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Botafogo v Flamengo : Serie A match betting preview, prediction and odds

Sat 14th Mar, 23:30 BST, Estádio Nilton Santos, Rio de Janeiro

The Serie A is the focus for both Botafogo and Flamengo on Saturday night, as managers Davide Ancelotti and Filipe Luis Kasmirski face one another at the Estádio Nilton Santos. You'll find statistics supporting our top of under 3.5 goals below, but don't forget to explore 16 other betting markets we're covering too. We aim to give you as full a picture as possible, with Serie A performances and head-to-heads included, so that you can make a smart bet. Finally, be sure to get the best odds from one of the UK's biggest bookmakers.


Best Tip: Under 3.5 goals

There's 74% chance of Botafogo and Flamengo 3 goals or less combined during this Serie A clash according to our predictive algorithm and, without a strong favourite in the WDW market, we think that's where the smart money should go. Our calculations are made based on latest form, historical head-to-head (H2H) statistics and the view of the betting market, and you can go with it at a best price of 1.29.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
An away win looks like the most likely outcome in the win/draw/win market, with our predictive algorithm suggesting there’s a 46% chance of Flamengo coming away with a win.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Botafogo
28%
5/25/2
Draw
26%
9/423/10
Flamengo
46%
21/2011/10
Draw 1-1
12%
5/15/1
Flamengo 1-0
11%
6/111/2
Flamengo 2-1
9%
8/17/1
Flamengo 2-0
8%
9/18/1
Botafogo 1-0
8%
9/115/2
Draw 0-0
7%
8/17/1
Botafogo 2-1
7%
12/19/1
Draw 2-2
5%
14/111/1
Botafogo 2-0
5%
16/114/1
Flamengo 3-1
5%
16/114/1
Flamengo 3-0
4%
18/114/1
Flamengo 3-2
3%
28/120/1
Botafogo 3-1
3%
28/122/1
Botafogo 3-2
2%
40/128/1
Flamengo 4-1
2%
40/125/1
Over 2.5 Goals
48%
21/201/1
Under 2.5 Goals
52%
3/48/11
Home 1st Goal
44%
13/1011/8
Away 1st Goal
51%
8/113/4
No 1st Goal
5%
8/17/1
BTTS - Yes
52%
4/55/6
BTTS - No
48%
19/2010/11
BTTS - Home Win
13%
6/111/2
BTTS - Draw
18%
7/210/3
BTTS - Away Win
20%
7/210/3
Home/draw
54%
7/107/10
Away/draw
72%
2/72/7
Home/away
74%
1/31/3
Over 1.5 Goals
73%
1/31/3
Under 1.5 Goals
27%
12/521/10
Over 3.5 Goals
26%
11/45/2
Under 3.5 Goals
74%
2/71/4
Over 4.5 Goals
12%
6/16/1
Under 4.5 Goals
88%
1/101/12
Over 5.5 Goals
5%
14/112/1
Under 5.5 Goals
95%
1/331/66
Over 0.5 Goals
93%
1/141/16
Under 0.5 Goals
7%
8/17/1
Home DNB
46%
6/429/20
Away DNB
64%
1/21/2
Botafogo win to nil
15%
5/1-
Flamengo win to nil
26%
5/2-
Botafogo / Botafogo
15%
9/217/4
Botafogo / Flamengo
3%
25/120/1
Botafogo / Draw
6%
14/111/1
Draw / Botafogo
11%
13/213/2
Draw / Flamengo
16%
4/117/4
Draw / Draw
17%
4/118/5
Flamengo / Botafogo
3%
33/125/1
Flamengo / Flamengo
24%
12/511/5
Flamengo / Draw
6%
12/111/1
Match Predictor Pro
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Win / draw / win form
5
Botafogo have won 5 consecutive home league games
6
Botafogo have not lost in 6 consecutive home league games
Botafogo 14TH
20 league games
Home
5
Overall
Goals: Scored
43
Conceded
24
Games: Scored
16 / 20
Conceded
13 / 20
Clean sheets
7 / 20
Failed to score
4 / 20
Won
12
Draw
5
L
3
HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Botafogo4 - 0Cruzeiro
Botafogo4 - 2Fortaleza
Botafogo3 - 2Gremio
Botafogo3 - 2S. Recife
Botafogo3 - 0Vasco d Gama
Botafogo2 - 2Santos
Botafogo0 - 3Flamengo
Botafogo2 - 1Bahia
Botafogo1 - 0A Mineiro
Botafogo3 - 3Mirassol
Botafogo4 - 1Bragantino
Botafogo0 - 1Palmeiras
Botafogo0 - 2Cruzeiro
Botafogo1 - 1Corinthians
Botafogo0 - 0Vitoria
Botafogo3 - 2Ceara
Botafogo4 - 0Internacional
Botafogo2 - 0Fluminense
Botafogo2 - 2Sao Paulo
Botafogo2 - 0Juventude
Goals: Scored
35
Conceded
30
Games: Scored
14 / 20
Conceded
14 / 20
Clean sheets
6 / 20
Failed to score
6 / 20
Won
8
Draw
7
Lost
5
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
ABotafogo0 - 1Fluminense
ABotafogo3 - 5Gremio
HBotafogo4 - 0Cruzeiro
HBotafogo4 - 2Fortaleza
ABotafogo2 - 2Cruzeiro
ABotafogo2 - 2Corinthians
HBotafogo3 - 2Gremio
HBotafogo3 - 2S. Recife
ABotafogo0 - 0Vitoria
HBotafogo3 - 0Vasco d Gama
ABotafogo0 - 0Mirassol
HBotafogo2 - 2Santos
ABotafogo2 - 0Ceara
HBotafogo0 - 3Flamengo
ABotafogo0 - 2Internacional
HBotafogo2 - 1Bahia
ABotafogo0 - 2Fluminense
ABotafogo1 - 1Gremio
HBotafogo1 - 0A Mineiro
HBotafogo3 - 3Mirassol
Flamengo 11TH
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
33
Conceded
21
Games: Scored
16 / 20
Conceded
15 / 20
Clean sheets
5 / 20
Failed to score
4 / 20
Won
9
Draw
5
Lost
6
AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Vitoria1 - 2Flamengo
Sao Paulo2 - 1Flamengo
Mirassol3 - 3Flamengo
A Mineiro1 - 1Flamengo
Fluminense2 - 1Flamengo
S. Recife1 - 5Flamengo
Sao Paulo2 - 2Flamengo
Fortaleza1 - 0Flamengo
Botafogo0 - 3Flamengo
Bahia1 - 0Flamengo
Corinthians1 - 2Flamengo
Juventude0 - 2Flamengo
Internacional1 - 3Flamengo
Ceara1 - 1Flamengo
Bragantino1 - 2Flamengo
Santos1 - 0Flamengo
Palmeiras0 - 2Flamengo
Cruzeiro2 - 1Flamengo
Vasco d Gama0 - 0Flamengo
Gremio0 - 2Flamengo
Goals: Scored
37
Conceded
21
Games: Scored
17 / 20
Conceded
14 / 20
Clean sheets
6 / 20
Failed to score
3 / 20
Won
10
Draw
6
L
4
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
AFlamengo2 - 1Vitoria
HFlamengo1 - 1Internacional
AFlamengo1 - 2Sao Paulo
AFlamengo3 - 3Mirassol
HFlamengo1 - 0Ceara
AFlamengo1 - 1A Mineiro
HFlamengo3 - 0Bragantino
AFlamengo1 - 2Fluminense
AFlamengo5 - 1S. Recife
HFlamengo3 - 2Santos
AFlamengo2 - 2Sao Paulo
HFlamengo3 - 0S. Recife
AFlamengo0 - 1Fortaleza
HFlamengo3 - 2Palmeiras
AFlamengo3 - 0Botafogo
AFlamengo0 - 1Bahia
HFlamengo0 - 0Cruzeiro
AFlamengo2 - 1Corinthians
HFlamengo1 - 1Vasco d Gama
AFlamengo2 - 0Juventude
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
League games at Botafogo since 2018
Botafogo
Flamengo
Goals: Scored
7
10
Games: Scored
3 / 7
7 / 7
Clean sheets
0 / 7
4 / 7
BOT
2
FLA
5
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Botafogo
0 - 3Flamengo
Botafogo4 - 1
1 - 2Flamengo
0 - 1Flamengo
0 - 1Flamengo
0 - 1Flamengo
Botafogo2 - 1
League games at Flamengo since 2018
Flamengo
Botafogo
Goals: Scored
8
9
Games: Scored
4 / 7
5 / 7
Clean sheets
2 / 7
3 / 7
BOT
3
D
2
FLA
2
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Flamengo
Draw0 - 0Draw
0 - 2Botafogo
2 - 3Botafogo
0 - 1Botafogo
Draw1 - 1Draw
Flamengo3 - 2
Flamengo2 - 0
Goal Statistics

Flamengo have been reliable in front of goal of late, finding the net in 12 consecutive Serie A matches. Their PG of 1.5 against Botafogo on Saturday suggests they're likely to extend that run.

Botafogo 14th Flamengo 11th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.1
goals
1.5
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
33%
1
37%
2
20%
3
4+
There is a 70% probability that Botafogo will score no more than 1 goal
0
23%
1
34%
2
25%
3
12%
4+
There is a 77% probability that Flamengo will score 1 or more goals
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
+37
Botafogo have scored 37% more goals at home than predicted
+17
Flamengo have scored 17% more goals when away than predicted
2.2
average goals scored
1.7
average goals scored
1.2
conceded
1.1
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Serie A - 2026/2026 season
Botafogo
PG (predicted goals)
Flamengo
1.1
1.5
Attack rating
0%
better
BOT
FLA
view stats
Games scored2
3
Failed to score1
0
Scored first2
2
Goals scored7
4
Avg. goals scored2.3
1.3
Avg. shots per game7
9
Avg. shots per goal3
7
Conversion rate for33
15
Avg. XG for0.8
1.3
KickOff rating
0%
Defence rating
9%
better
BOT
FLA
view stats
Games conceded2
3
Clean sheets1
0
Conceded first1
1
Goals conceded6
4
Avg. goals conceded2
1.3
Avg. shots/game conceded10
7
Avg. shots/goal conceded5
5
Conversion rate against21%
19%
Avg. XG against2.2
0.9
KickOff rating
+9%

Botafogo v Flamengo Serie A lLine ups will show here when available.

Botafogo Serie A squad statistics 2026
Overall
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
NO DATA AVAILABLE
Flamengo Serie A squad statistics 2026
Overall
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
NO DATA AVAILABLE