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Chapecoense v Gremio : Serie A match betting preview, prediction and odds

Mon 16th Mar, 23:00 BST, Arena Condá, Chapecó

Gremio pay Serie A counterparts Chapecoense a visit on Monday night, as Luís Manuel Ribeiro de Castro guides his team into an away clash with Gilmar Dal Pozzo & co. at the Arena Condá. Below you'll find unique stats for all of the main betting markets, from team to score first to full time result, including form and historical head to head (H2H) data. Predictions are calculated from these, and the odds come directly from leading bookmakers.


Best Tip: Under 3.5 goals

Our calculations suggest that it's fairly unlikely that this fixture will serve up 4+ goals, and the odds and statistics align with our predictive algorithm on this one. Chapecoense and Gremio haven't typically served up a high volume of goals of late, whether that be in Serie A individually or in head-to-head clashes. So, in the absence of a compelling favourite win or double chance market, we're going for under 3.5 goals. That's available at a best price of 1.25.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
An away win looks like the most likely outcome in the win/draw/win market, with our predictive algorithm suggesting there’s a 38% chance of Gremio coming away with a win.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Chapecoense
35%
7/419/10
Draw
27%
11/511/5
Gremio
38%
7/529/20
Draw 1-1
13%
5/119/4
Gremio 1-0
10%
13/26/1
Chapecoense 1-0
10%
15/213/2
Gremio 2-1
8%
9/115/2
Draw 0-0
8%
15/27/1
Chapecoense 2-1
8%
10/18/1
Gremio 2-0
7%
11/19/1
Chapecoense 2-0
6%
12/111/1
Draw 2-2
5%
14/111/1
Gremio 3-1
4%
20/114/1
Chapecoense 3-1
3%
22/118/1
Gremio 3-0
3%
22/118/1
Chapecoense 3-0
2%
28/122/1
Gremio 3-2
2%
33/122/1
Chapecoense 3-2
2%
33/125/1
Over 2.5 Goals
46%
11/1021/20
Under 2.5 Goals
54%
7/107/10
Home 1st Goal
47%
11/1011/10
Away 1st Goal
48%
10/1119/20
No 1st Goal
5%
15/27/1
BTTS - Yes
51%
10/115/6
BTTS - No
49%
10/1110/11
BTTS - Home Win
16%
5/19/2
BTTS - Draw
19%
7/216/5
BTTS - Away Win
17%
9/219/5
Home/draw
62%
8/158/15
Away/draw
65%
2/52/5
Home/away
73%
4/111/3
Over 1.5 Goals
72%
4/117/20
Under 1.5 Goals
28%
11/52/1
Over 3.5 Goals
25%
3/113/5
Under 3.5 Goals
75%
1/41/4
Over 4.5 Goals
11%
7/16/1
Under 4.5 Goals
89%
1/121/12
Over 5.5 Goals
4%
16/114/1
Under 5.5 Goals
96%
1/401/66
Over 0.5 Goals
92%
1/141/16
Under 0.5 Goals
8%
15/27/1
Home DNB
54%
1/11/1
Away DNB
57%
8/118/11
Chapecoense win to nil
19%
7/2-
Gremio win to nil
21%
3/1-
Chapecoense / Chapecoense
17%
15/47/2
Chapecoense / Gremio
3%
28/120/1
Chapecoense / Draw
6%
14/111/1
Draw / Chapecoense
12%
11/211/2
Draw / Gremio
14%
5/119/4
Draw / Draw
17%
15/47/2
Gremio / Chapecoense
3%
28/122/1
Gremio / Gremio
21%
3/111/4
Gremio / Draw
6%
14/111/1
Match Predictor Pro
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Win / draw / win form
Chapecoense 9TH
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
38
Conceded
23
Games: Scored
18 / 20
Conceded
14 / 20
Clean sheets
6 / 20
Failed to score
2 / 20
Won
12
D
4
L
4
HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Chapecoense3 - 3Cortiba
Chapecoense4 - 2Santos
Chapecoense1 - 0Atletico Go
Chapecoense0 - 1America
Chapecoense2 - 0Operario
Chapecoense1 - 1Botafogo
Chapecoense1 - 0Novorizontin
Chapecoense0 - 1Avai
Chapecoense2 - 3Athletico PR
Chapecoense2 - 2Vila Nova
Chapecoense2 - 0Paysandu
Chapecoense3 - 2CRB
Chapecoense4 - 2Volta Redonda
Chapecoense1 - 1Remo
Chapecoense1 - 2Goias
Chapecoense2 - 1Ferroviaria
Chapecoense4 - 0Amazonas
Chapecoense2 - 1Cuiaba
Chapecoense2 - 1Criciuma
Chapecoense1 - 0Athletic Club
Goals: Scored
32
Conceded
21
Games: Scored
16 / 20
Conceded
14 / 20
Clean sheets
6 / 20
Failed to score
4 / 20
Won
9
Draw
6
Lost
5
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
HChapecoense3 - 3Cortiba
AChapecoense1 - 1Vasco d Gama
HChapecoense4 - 2Santos
HChapecoense1 - 0Atletico Go
AChapecoense1 - 1Volta Redonda
HChapecoense0 - 1America
AChapecoense1 - 1Remo
HChapecoense2 - 0Operario
AChapecoense3 - 1Goias
HChapecoense1 - 1Botafogo
AChapecoense1 - 0Ferroviaria
HChapecoense1 - 0Novorizontin
AChapecoense3 - 1Amazonas
HChapecoense0 - 1Avai
AChapecoense0 - 1Cuiaba
HChapecoense2 - 3Athletico PR
AChapecoense0 - 2Criciuma
HChapecoense2 - 2Vila Nova
AChapecoense4 - 0Athletic Club
HChapecoense2 - 0Paysandu
Gremio 8TH
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
24
Conceded
35
Games: Scored
14 / 20
Conceded
18 / 20
Clean sheets
2 / 20
Failed to score
6 / 20
W
4
Draw
5
Lost
11
AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Sao Paulo2 - 0Gremio
Fluminense2 - 1Gremio
S. Recife0 - 4Gremio
Botafogo3 - 2Gremio
Fortaleza2 - 2Gremio
Corinthians2 - 0Gremio
Bahia4 - 0Gremio
Bragantino1 - 0Gremio
Santos1 - 1Gremio
Internacional2 - 3Gremio
Flamengo1 - 1Gremio
A Mineiro1 - 3Gremio
Fluminense1 - 0Gremio
Palmeiras1 - 0Gremio
Vasco d Gama1 - 1Gremio
Cruzeiro4 - 1Gremio
Juventude0 - 2Gremio
Sao Paulo2 - 1Gremio
Vitoria1 - 1Gremio
Mirassol4 - 1Gremio
Goals: Scored
35
Conceded
31
Games: Scored
15 / 20
Conceded
17 / 20
Clean sheets
3 / 20
Failed to score
5 / 20
Won
9
D
3
Lost
8
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
HGremio2 - 1A Mineiro
AGremio0 - 2Sao Paulo
HGremio5 - 3Botafogo
AGremio1 - 2Fluminense
AGremio4 - 0S. Recife
HGremio1 - 2Fluminense
HGremio3 - 2Palmeiras
AGremio2 - 3Botafogo
HGremio2 - 0Vasco d Gama
AGremio2 - 2Fortaleza
HGremio0 - 1Cruzeiro
AGremio0 - 2Corinthians
HGremio3 - 1Juventude
AGremio0 - 4Bahia
HGremio2 - 0Sao Paulo
AGremio0 - 1Bragantino
AGremio1 - 1Santos
HGremio3 - 1Vitoria
HGremio1 - 1Botafogo
AGremio3 - 2Internacional
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
League games at Chapecoense since 2018
Chapecoense
Gremio
Goals: Scored
2
5
Games: Scored
2 / 4
3 / 4
Clean sheets
1 / 4
2 / 4
D
2
GRE
2
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Chapecoense
Draw0 - 0Draw
1 - 3Gremio
0 - 1Gremio
Draw1 - 1Draw
League games at Gremio since 2018
Gremio
Chapecoense
Goals: Scored
7
5
Games: Scored
3 / 4
3 / 4
Clean sheets
1 / 4
1 / 4
CHP
1
D
1
GRE
2
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Gremio
0 - 1Chapecoense
Gremio2 - 1
Draw3 - 3Draw
Gremio2 - 0
Goal Statistics
Chapecoense 9th Gremio 8th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.2
goals
1.3
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
29%
1
36%
2
22%
3
9%
4+
There is a 65% probability that Chapecoense will score no more than 1 goal
0
27%
1
35%
2
23%
3
10%
4+
There is a 62% probability that Gremio will score no more than 1 goal
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
+20
Chapecoense have scored 20% more goals at home than predicted
+20
Gremio have scored 20% more goals when away than predicted
1.9
average goals scored
1.2
average goals scored
1.2
conceded
1.8
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Serie A - 2026/2026 season
Chapecoense
PG (predicted goals)
Gremio
1.2
1.3
Attack rating
23%
better
CHP
GRE
view stats
Games scored3
3
Failed to score0
1
Scored first1
1
Goals scored8
8
Avg. goals scored2.7
2
Avg. shots per game8
9
Avg. shots per goal3
5
Conversion rate for32
22
Avg. XG for1.3
1.6
KickOff rating
+23%
Defence rating
19%
better
CHP
GRE
view stats
Games conceded3
4
Clean sheets0
0
Conceded first2
3
Goals conceded6
8
Avg. goals conceded2
2
Avg. shots/game conceded18
10
Avg. shots/goal conceded9
5
Conversion rate against11%
21%
Avg. XG against2.8
1.9
KickOff rating
+19%

Chapecoense v Gremio Serie A lLine ups will show here when available.

Chapecoense Serie A squad statistics 2026
Overall
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
NO DATA AVAILABLE
Gremio Serie A squad statistics 2026
Overall
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
NO DATA AVAILABLE