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Corinthians v Mirassol : Serie A match betting preview, prediction and odds

Sun 5th Oct, 01:00 BST, Arena Corinthians, São Paulo

Corinthians and Mirassol go head to head at the Arena Corinthians on Sunday morning, with both Dorival Silvestre Júnior and Rafael Escobar Obrero hoping for success in the Serie A. We want to see our users winning on this match, so every stats you could realistically need to make a well-informed wager is laid out below. Switch between seventeen markets or take our top tip. We have predictions, head to head (H2H) analysis and odds from leading bookmakers for every one.

Best Tip: Under 2.5 goals

It would probably be a little strong to say that we expect Dorival Silvestre Júnior and Rafael Escobar Obrero to got all-out defensive here, but we do not expect a glut of goals as Corinthians and Mirassol go head-to-head. The statistics belowpoint towards there being under 2.5 goals (i.e. 2 goals of fewer in total), and we reckon that looks like a strong prediction. With best odds of 1.57 available on under 2.5 goals and nothing too eyecatching in the full time result market, that's the bet we're recommending.

If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think Corinthians are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 38% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 2.10.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Predictions	Bet365	Coral
Corinthians 38%	1/1	1/1
Draw 29%	9/4	9/4
Mirassol 33%	3/1	29/10
Draw 1-1 13%	5/1	5/1
Corinthians 1-0 12%	5/1	9/2
Mirassol 1-0 11%	8/1	7/1
Draw 0-0 10%	13/2	11/2
Corinthians 2-1 8%	8/1	15/2
Corinthians 2-0 7%	15/2	7/1
Mirassol 2-1 7%	14/1	11/1
Mirassol 2-0 6%	18/1	14/1
Draw 2-2 4%	18/1	14/1
Corinthians 3-1 3%	18/1	14/1
Corinthians 3-0 3%	16/1	14/1
Mirassol 3-1 3%	40/1	25/1
Mirassol 3-0 2%	40/1	33/1
Corinthians 3-2 2%	33/1	25/1
Mirassol 3-2 2%	40/1	33/1
Over 2.5 Goals 39%	27/20	13/10
Under 2.5 Goals 61%	4/7	11/20
Home 1st Goal 48%	8/11	8/11
Away 1st Goal 45%	6/4	8/5
No 1st Goal 7%	6/1	11/2
BTTS - Yes 46%	21/20	11/10
BTTS - No 54%	7/10	4/6
BTTS - Home Win 15%	4/1	19/5
BTTS - Draw 18%	15/4	19/5
BTTS - Away Win 13%	8/1	7/1
Home/draw 67%	2/9	1/4
Away/draw 62%	4/5	3/4
Home/away 71%	1/3	1/3
Over 1.5 Goals 66%	4/9	4/9
Under 1.5 Goals 34%	7/4	8/5
Over 3.5 Goals 19%	7/2	10/3
Under 3.5 Goals 81%	1/5	2/11
Over 4.5 Goals 8%	9/1	8/1
Under 4.5 Goals 92%	1/16	1/20
Over 5.5 Goals 3%	20/1	18/1
Under 5.5 Goals 97%	1/66	1/200
Over 0.5 Goals 90%	1/10	1/11
Under 0.5 Goals 10%	6/1	6/1
Home DNB 58%	2/5	2/5
Away DNB 53%	7/4	17/10
Corinthians win to nil 24%	2/1	-
Mirassol win to nil 20%	5/1	-
Corinthians / Corinthians 25%	9/4	21/10
Corinthians / Mirassol 2%	40/1	28/1
Corinthians / Draw 6%	14/1	12/1
Draw / Corinthians 17%	15/4	19/5
Draw / Mirassol 10%	7/1	13/2
Draw / Draw 18%	7/2	10/3
Mirassol / Corinthians 3%	28/1	20/1
Mirassol / Mirassol 13%	11/2	5/1
Mirassol / Draw 6%	14/1	12/1

Win / draw / win form

Corinthians have not won in 7 consecutive home league games

Home

Overall

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

17 / 20

Conceded

13 / 20

Clean sheets

7 / 20

Failed to score

3 / 20

Won

Draw

HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Corinthians	1 - 2	Flamengo
Corinthians	1 - 1	Palmeiras
Corinthians	1 - 2	Bahia
Corinthians	1 - 1	Fortaleza
Corinthians	0 - 0	Cruzeiro
Corinthians	1 - 2	Bragantino
Corinthians	0 - 0	Vitoria
Corinthians	1 - 0	Santos
Corinthians	4 - 2	Internacional
Corinthians	2 - 1	S. Recife
Corinthians	0 - 2	Fluminense
Corinthians	3 - 0	Vasco d Gama
Corinthians	3 - 0	Bahia
Corinthians	3 - 1	Vasco d Gama
Corinthians	2 - 1	Cruzeiro
Corinthians	2 - 0	Palmeiras
Corinthians	5 - 2	Athletico PR
Corinthians	2 - 2	Internacional
Corinthians	3 - 0	Atletico Go
Corinthians	2 - 1	Flamengo

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

15 / 20

Conceded

14 / 20

Clean sheets

6 / 20

Failed to score

5 / 20

Won

Draw

Lost

OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
A	Corinthians	1 - 1	Internacional
H	Corinthians	1 - 2	Flamengo
A	Corinthians	0 - 1	S. Recife
A	Corinthians	1 - 0	Fluminense
H	Corinthians	1 - 1	Palmeiras
A	Corinthians	3 - 2	Vasco d Gama
H	Corinthians	1 - 2	Bahia
A	Corinthians	1 - 2	Juventude
H	Corinthians	1 - 1	Fortaleza
A	Corinthians	1 - 1	Botafogo
H	Corinthians	0 - 0	Cruzeiro
A	Corinthians	0 - 2	Sao Paulo
A	Corinthians	1 - 0	Ceara
H	Corinthians	1 - 2	Bragantino
A	Corinthians	1 - 1	Gremio
H	Corinthians	0 - 0	Vitoria
A	Corinthians	0 - 0	A Mineiro
H	Corinthians	1 - 0	Santos
A	Corinthians	1 - 2	Mirassol
H	Corinthians	4 - 2	Internacional

Away

Overall

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

16 / 20

Conceded

13 / 20

Clean sheets

7 / 20

Failed to score

4 / 20

Won

Draw

Lost

AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
A Mineiro	1 - 0	Mirassol
Botafogo	3 - 3	Mirassol
Gremio	0 - 1	Mirassol
Fortaleza	0 - 1	Mirassol
Flamengo	2 - 1	Mirassol
Ceara	0 - 2	Mirassol
Palmeiras	1 - 1	Mirassol
Sao Paulo	0 - 2	Mirassol
Internacional	1 - 1	Mirassol
Bragantino	1 - 0	Mirassol
Juventude	2 - 2	Mirassol
Bahia	1 - 1	Mirassol
Cruzeiro	2 - 1	Mirassol
Operario	1 - 1	Mirassol
Avai	0 - 0	Mirassol
CRB	0 - 1	Mirassol
Santos	3 - 2	Mirassol
Goias	0 - 1	Mirassol
Guarani	1 - 0	Mirassol
Ituano	3 - 2	Mirassol

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

18 / 20

Conceded

13 / 20

Clean sheets

7 / 20

Failed to score

2 / 20

Won

Draw

OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
H	Mirassol	1 - 1	Bragantino
A	Mirassol	0 - 1	A Mineiro
H	Mirassol	2 - 0	Juventude
A	Mirassol	3 - 3	Botafogo
A	Mirassol	1 - 0	Gremio
H	Mirassol	5 - 1	Bahia
A	Mirassol	1 - 0	Fortaleza
H	Mirassol	1 - 1	Cruzeiro
A	Mirassol	1 - 2	Flamengo
H	Mirassol	3 - 2	Vasco d Gama
H	Mirassol	1 - 1	Vitoria
A	Mirassol	2 - 0	Ceara
H	Mirassol	3 - 0	Santos
A	Mirassol	1 - 1	Palmeiras
H	Mirassol	1 - 0	S. Recife
A	Mirassol	2 - 0	Sao Paulo
A	Mirassol	1 - 1	Internacional
H	Mirassol	2 - 1	Corinthians
A	Mirassol	0 - 1	Bragantino
H	Mirassol	2 - 2	A Mineiro

Goal Statistics

Goals have been a problem for Corinthians of late. It has been 5 Serie A matches since they last scored more than 1, and a PG of 1.2 suggests they'll struggle to end that run on Sunday morning against Mirassol.

	Corinthians 13th	Mirassol 5th
	Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction	1.2 goals	1.1 goals
	Scoring probability
Scoring probability	0 31% 1 36% 2 21% 3 8% 4+ There is a 67% probability that Corinthians will score no more than 1 goal	0 34% 1 37% 2 20% 3 4+ There is a 71% probability that Mirassol will score no more than 1 goal

	20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games	+25 Corinthians have scored 25% more goals at home than predicted	+18 Mirassol have scored 18% more goals when away than predicted
	1.9 average goals scored	1.2 average goals scored
	1.0 conceded	1.1 conceded

Attack defence ratings
Serie A - 2025/2025 season

CTH

43%

better

view stats

Games scored	16		22
Failed to score	8		1
Scored first	7		14
Goals scored	24		41
Avg. goals scored	0.9		1.6
Avg. shots per game	8		9
Avg. shots per goal	9		5
Conversion rate for	11		19
Avg. XG for	1.2		1.6
KickOff rating		+43%

CTH

16%

better

view stats

Games conceded	17		16
Clean sheets	7		7
Conceded first	14		9
Goals conceded	29		23
Avg. goals conceded	1.1		0.9
Avg. shots/game conceded	8		9
Avg. shots/goal conceded	7		10
Conversion rate against	14%		10%
Avg. XG against	1.2		1.3
KickOff rating		+16%

Corinthians v Mirassol Serie A lLine ups will show here when available.

Corinthians Serie A squad statistics 2025

Overall

Attack

Defence

Most starts	Most goals	Most assists	Most cards
21	6	3	8
B Bidon	Y Alberto	M Depay	J Martínez

Players	Appserances	goals	Assists	cards
B Bidon MID	23	1	1	6 -
Ángel Romero FWD	22		1	4 1
H Souza GLK	21			2 -
Matheuzinho DEF	21	2	2	7 -
Raniele MID	21		1	5 -
T Magno FWD	21	1	1	2 -
A Ramalho DEF	18			4 -
F Angileri DEF	18			3 -
M Bidu DEF	17		2	5 -
J Martínez MID	17		1	8 -
Maycon MID	17	1		1 -
Cacá DEF	16	2		4 -
Y Alberto FWD	16	6	1	3 -
A Carrillo MID	15	1	1	1 -
M Depay FWD	14	4	3	4 -
G Henrique DEF	13	1		2 -
R Lima MID	13			1 -
Charles MID	11			2 -
R Garro MID	11		1	3 -
G. Silva Inácio FWD	11	3	1	3 -
F Torres DEF	9			1 -
H Hernández FWD	9	1		-
Vitinho FWD	7			-
Hugo DEF	6			-
J Rodrigues DEF	6		1	3 -
D. da Cruz Lopes FWD	6			-
M Donelli GLK	5			1 -
K Guimarães FWD	5			-
L. Lemos Carvalho MID	2			-

Most goals	Most shots on target	Most assists	Most big chances
6	17	3	6
Y Alberto	Y Alberto	M Depay	M Bidu

Players	goals	shots on	Assists	big chances
Y Alberto FWD	6	17	1	1
M Depay FWD	4	15	3	3
G. Silva Inácio FWD	3	3	1	1
Matheuzinho DEF	2	3	2	3
Cacá DEF	2	4		1
B Bidon MID	1	3	1	4
T Magno FWD	1	6	1	1
Maycon MID	1	1		1
A Carrillo MID	1	2	1	3
G Henrique DEF	1	6
H Hernández FWD	1	3
Ángel Romero FWD		4	1	3
Raniele MID		4	1	2
A Ramalho DEF		1
F Angileri DEF		1
M Bidu DEF		3	2	6
J Martínez MID		2	1	2
Charles MID		1
R Garro MID		5	1	5
F Torres DEF				1
Vitinho FWD		4		1
Hugo DEF		1
J Rodrigues DEF			1
K Guimarães FWD				1

Most passes	Most tackles	Most duels won
1215	46	132
A Ramalho	Matheuzinho	B Bidon

Players	passes	tackles	duels won
A Ramalho DEF	1215	25	70
Matheuzinho DEF	1001	46	81
Cacá DEF	927	23	71
B Bidon MID	899	42	132
G Henrique DEF	729	14	64
F Angileri DEF	680	28	62
M Bidu DEF	661	23	92
A Carrillo MID	643	14	33
Raniele MID	586	33	99
H Souza GLK	532		4
J Martínez MID	480	20	61
Maycon MID	474	19	32
R Garro MID	431	7	52
F Torres DEF	395	11	20
M Depay FWD	342	6	38
Ángel Romero FWD	314	18	58
T Magno FWD	273	19	81
J Rodrigues DEF	216	8	14
R Lima MID	201	18	38
Y Alberto FWD	187	6	52
Charles MID	176	17	26
Hugo DEF	135	5	18
M Donelli GLK	113		2
Vitinho FWD	93	8	24
G. Silva Inácio FWD	92	5	31
D. da Cruz Lopes FWD	55	2	7
K Guimarães FWD	51		7
H Hernández FWD	45	4	13
L. Lemos Carvalho MID	17	3	4

Mirassol Serie A squad statistics 2025

Overall

Attack

Defence

Most starts	Most goals	Most assists	Most cards
25	9	4	7
J. Ribeiro da Silva	Reinaldo	Alesson	J Victor

Players	Appserances	goals	Assists	cards
J. Ribeiro da Silva DEF	25	2		2 -
Reinaldo DEF	24	9	3	4 -
Danielzinho MID	24		2	4 -
L Ramon DEF	23	2	2	5 -
N Moura MID	23			6 -
J Victor DEF	21	1	1	6 1
J Aldo MID	21		1	2 -
Negueba FWD	21	3	3	2 -
Edson FWD	21	4	2	1 -
C Renato FWD	21	4	1	2 -
Walter GLK	19			2 -
Gabriel MID	18	3	1	2 -
Y Felipe MID	15		1	2 -
Alesson FWD	13	3	4	1 -
Chico FWD	12	6		1 -
C Eduardo FWD	12		3	1 -
M Bianqui MID	11			1 -
Chico MID	10			1 -
D Borges DEF	9	2		2 -
Roni MID	7			1 -
A Muralha GLK	6			2 -
E. de Oliveira Santos FWD	5			1 -
Gabriel DEF	4			-
Shaylon MID	4			-
Guilherme MID	2			-
F Jonatan DEF	1			-

Most goals	Most shots on target	Most assists	Most big chances
9	19	4	9
Reinaldo	Reinaldo	Alesson	Reinaldo

Players	goals	shots on	Assists	big chances
Reinaldo DEF	9	19	3	9
Chico FWD	6	7		1
Edson FWD	4	12	2	4
C Renato FWD	4	16	1	1
Negueba FWD	3	11	3	5
Gabriel MID	3	9	1	4
Alesson FWD	3	4	4	2
J. Ribeiro da Silva DEF	2	4
L Ramon DEF	2	10	2	4
D Borges DEF	2	2
J Victor DEF	1	2	1	1
Danielzinho MID		4	2	4
J Aldo MID		6	1	3
Y Felipe MID			1	2
C Eduardo FWD		4	3	4
M Bianqui MID		2
Chico MID		1
E. de Oliveira Santos FWD		1		1
Gabriel DEF		2
Shaylon MID		1		1

Most passes	Most tackles	Most duels won
1370	52	142
Danielzinho	L Ramon	L Ramon

Players	passes	tackles	duels won
Danielzinho MID	1370	41	112
J. Ribeiro da Silva DEF	1143	50	119
N Moura MID	1091	50	88
J Victor DEF	971	19	75
Reinaldo DEF	911	33	86
L Ramon DEF	744	52	142
J Aldo MID	505	27	61
Gabriel MID	492	7	43
Walter GLK	476		16
Negueba FWD	369	21	77
Y Felipe MID	270	18	43
Edson FWD	203	27	72
Gabriel DEF	157	3	16
Chico FWD	146	2	31
D Borges DEF	144	7	16
A Muralha GLK	140		2
Alesson FWD	128	13	51
C Renato FWD	122	8	43
Chico MID	101	10	26
Shaylon MID	75	6	7
Roni MID	68	4	5
C Eduardo FWD	63	4	22
E. de Oliveira Santos FWD	41	1	8
Guilherme MID	33		3
F Jonatan DEF	32	1	3
M Bianqui MID	26	3	15