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Cruzeiro v Vasco da Gama : Serie A match betting preview, prediction and odds

Sun 15th Mar, 23:30 BST, Estádio Governador Magalhães Pin, Belo Horizonte

It's a long trek for Fernando Diniz Silva's Vasco da Gama side on Sunday night, as they visit the Estádio Governador Magalhães Pin for a Serie A tie with Adenor Leonardo Bacchi's Cruzeiro. We want you to make a winning bet on this match, so every stats you could realistically need to make a sound selection is laid out below. Go between seventeen markets or take our top tip. We've got predictions, head-to-head analysis and odds from the UK's biggest bookmakers for each one.


Best Tip: Over 1.5 goals

We are making over 1.5 goals our top tip on this fixture, meaning that the teams will score 2 goals or more between them during the standard 90 mins. Both Cruzeiro and Vasco d Gama's recent form stats suggest it's likely, while their head-to-head (H2H) record is pointing in the same direction too. The bookies make it their favoured prediction in this market too, available at 1.30.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think Cruzeiro are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 59% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 1.67.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Cruzeiro
59%
4/74/6
Draw
23%
13/511/4
Vasco d Gama
18%
9/217/4
Cruzeiro 1-0
12%
11/25/1
Cruzeiro 2-0
11%
13/26/1
Draw 1-1
11%
6/111/2
Cruzeiro 2-1
10%
15/213/2
Draw 0-0
7%
17/215/2
Cruzeiro 3-0
7%
11/19/1
Vasco d Gama 1-0
6%
12/110/1
Cruzeiro 3-1
6%
12/111/1
Vasco d Gama 2-1
5%
16/114/1
Draw 2-2
4%
16/114/1
Cruzeiro 4-0
3%
22/118/1
Vasco d Gama 2-0
3%
28/120/1
Cruzeiro 4-1
3%
28/120/1
Cruzeiro 3-2
3%
28/122/1
Vasco d Gama 3-1
1%
40/133/1
Over 2.5 Goals
50%
1/119/20
Under 2.5 Goals
50%
4/53/4
Home 1st Goal
56%
8/151/2
Away 1st Goal
39%
15/82/1
No 1st Goal
4%
17/215/2
BTTS - Yes
49%
19/201/1
BTTS - No
51%
4/53/4
BTTS - Home Win
24%
11/411/4
BTTS - Draw
16%
4/14/1
BTTS - Away Win
8%
10/117/2
Home/draw
82%
1/72/13
Away/draw
41%
5/46/5
Home/away
77%
2/71/4
Over 1.5 Goals
74%
3/103/10
Under 1.5 Goals
26%
5/211/5
Over 3.5 Goals
28%
5/212/5
Under 3.5 Goals
72%
3/102/7
Over 4.5 Goals
13%
11/211/2
Under 4.5 Goals
87%
1/91/10
Over 5.5 Goals
5%
14/112/1
Under 5.5 Goals
95%
1/331/50
Over 0.5 Goals
93%
1/161/18
Under 0.5 Goals
7%
17/215/2
Home DNB
75%
2/92/9
Away DNB
35%
3/111/4
Cruzeiro win to nil
34%
13/8-
Vasco d Gama win to nil
10%
8/1-
Cruzeiro / Cruzeiro
32%
6/429/20
Cruzeiro / Vasco d Gama
2%
40/133/1
Cruzeiro / Draw
6%
14/112/1
Draw / Cruzeiro
18%
10/317/5
Draw / Vasco d Gama
8%
10/19/1
Draw / Draw
15%
9/24/1
Vasco d Gama / Cruzeiro
4%
22/118/1
Vasco d Gama / Vasco d Gama
9%
8/17/1
Vasco d Gama / Draw
5%
16/112/1
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Win / draw / win form
6
Vasco d Gama have lost 6 consecutive away league games
6
Vasco d Gama have not won in 6 consecutive away league games
Cruzeiro 19TH
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
35
Conceded
16
Games: Scored
18 / 20
Conceded
12 / 20
Clean sheets
8 / 20
Failed to score
2 / 20
Won
12
Draw
5
L
3
HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Cruzeiro1 - 1Corinthians
Cruzeiro1 - 2Cortiba
Cruzeiro2 - 2Botafogo
Cruzeiro3 - 0Corinthians
Cruzeiro0 - 0Fluminense
Cruzeiro3 - 1Vitoria
Cruzeiro1 - 0Fortaleza
Cruzeiro1 - 1S. Recife
Cruzeiro2 - 1Bragantino
Cruzeiro1 - 0Sao Paulo
Cruzeiro2 - 1Internacional
Cruzeiro1 - 2Santos
Cruzeiro1 - 2Ceara
Cruzeiro4 - 0Juventude
Cruzeiro4 - 1Gremio
Cruzeiro2 - 1Palmeiras
Cruzeiro0 - 0A Mineiro
Cruzeiro2 - 1Flamengo
Cruzeiro1 - 0Vasco d Gama
Cruzeiro3 - 0Bahia
Goals: Scored
24
Conceded
25
Games: Scored
14 / 20
Conceded
14 / 20
Clean sheets
6 / 20
Failed to score
6 / 20
Won
6
Draw
10
L
4
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
HCruzeiro1 - 1Corinthians
ACruzeiro2 - 2Mirassol
HCruzeiro1 - 2Cortiba
ACruzeiro0 - 4Botafogo
ACruzeiro0 - 3Santos
HCruzeiro2 - 2Botafogo
ACruzeiro1 - 1Ceara
HCruzeiro3 - 0Corinthians
ACruzeiro3 - 3Juventude
HCruzeiro0 - 0Fluminense
ACruzeiro1 - 0Gremio
HCruzeiro3 - 1Vitoria
ACruzeiro0 - 0Palmeiras
HCruzeiro1 - 0Fortaleza
ACruzeiro1 - 1A Mineiro
HCruzeiro1 - 1S. Recife
ACruzeiro0 - 0Flamengo
ACruzeiro0 - 2Vasco d Gama
HCruzeiro2 - 1Bragantino
ACruzeiro2 - 1Bahia
Vasco d Gama 20TH
20 league games
Away
6
Overall
Goals: Scored
26
Conceded
35
Games: Scored
13 / 20
Conceded
17 / 20
Clean sheets
3 / 20
Failed to score
7 / 20
Won
5
D
2
Lost
13
AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Santos2 - 1Vasco d Gama
Mirassol2 - 1Vasco d Gama
A Mineiro5 - 0Vasco d Gama
Bahia1 - 0Vasco d Gama
Gremio2 - 0Vasco d Gama
Botafogo3 - 0Vasco d Gama
Bragantino0 - 3Vasco d Gama
Fortaleza0 - 2Vasco d Gama
Palmeiras3 - 0Vasco d Gama
Flamengo1 - 1Vasco d Gama
S. Recife2 - 3Vasco d Gama
Juventude2 - 0Vasco d Gama
Santos0 - 6Vasco d Gama
Mirassol3 - 2Vasco d Gama
Internacional1 - 1Vasco d Gama
Sao Paulo1 - 3Vasco d Gama
Fluminense2 - 1Vasco d Gama
Vitoria2 - 1Vasco d Gama
Cruzeiro1 - 0Vasco d Gama
Ceara2 - 1Vasco d Gama
Goals: Scored
26
Conceded
33
Games: Scored
12 / 20
Conceded
16 / 20
Clean sheets
4 / 20
Failed to score
8 / 20
Won
7
D
2
Lost
11
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
AVasco d Gama1 - 2Santos
HVasco d Gama0 - 1Bahia
HVasco d Gama1 - 1Chapecoense
AVasco d Gama1 - 2Mirassol
AVasco d Gama0 - 5A Mineiro
HVasco d Gama0 - 2Mirassol
HVasco d Gama5 - 1Internacional
AVasco d Gama0 - 1Bahia
AVasco d Gama0 - 2Gremio
HVasco d Gama1 - 3Juventude
AVasco d Gama0 - 3Botafogo
HVasco d Gama0 - 2Sao Paulo
AVasco d Gama3 - 0Bragantino
HVasco d Gama2 - 0Fluminense
AVasco d Gama2 - 0Fortaleza
HVasco d Gama4 - 3Vitoria
AVasco d Gama0 - 3Palmeiras
HVasco d Gama2 - 0Cruzeiro
HVasco d Gama3 - 1Bahia
AVasco d Gama1 - 1Flamengo
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
7
Cruzeiro have not lost to Vasco d Gama in 7 consecutive home league meetings
League games at Cruzeiro since 2018
Cruzeiro
Vasco d Gama
Goals: Scored
11
5
Games: Scored
7 / 7
4 / 7
Clean sheets
3 / 7
0 / 7
CRU
4
D
3
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Cruzeiro
Cruzeiro1 - 0
Draw1 - 1Draw
Draw2 - 2Draw
Cruzeiro3 - 0
Cruzeiro2 - 1
Cruzeiro1 - 0
Draw1 - 1Draw
League games at Vasco d Gama since 2018
Vasco d Gama
Cruzeiro
Goals: Scored
7
2
Games: Scored
5 / 7
2 / 7
Clean sheets
5 / 7
2 / 7
CRU
1
D
2
VDG
4
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Vasco d Gama
Vasco d Gama2 - 0
Draw0 - 0Draw
0 - 1Cruzeiro
Vasco d Gama1 - 0
Draw1 - 1Draw
Vasco d Gama1 - 0
Vasco d Gama2 - 0
Goal Statistics

Cruzeiro's fans will be hoping for goals on Sunday night, not least because Vasco da Gama have conceded in each of their last 12 Serie A matches. A PG of 1.8 for A. Bacchi's side suggests that run should continue.

An absolutely awful PG of just 0.9 should cause concerns for Vasco da Gama fans, as should a 6 Serie A games run in which they have failed to score more than 1 goal.

Cruzeiro 19th Vasco d Gama 20th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.8
goals
0.9
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
17%
1
30%
2
27%
3
16%
4+
11%
There is a 83% probability that Cruzeiro will score 1 or more goals
0
41%
1
37%
2
16%
3
4+
There is a 78% probability of Vasco d Gama scoring 1 goal or less
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
+5
Cruzeiro’s goalscoring at home has been inline with predictions
+16
Vasco d Gama have scored 16% more goals when away than predicted
1.8
average goals scored
1.3
average goals scored
0.8
conceded
1.8
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Serie A - 2026/2026 season
Cruzeiro
PG (predicted goals)
Vasco d Gama
1.8
0.9
Attack rating
19%
better
CRU
VDG
view stats
Games scored3
3
Failed to score1
1
Scored first3
2
Goals scored4
3
Avg. goals scored1
0.8
Avg. shots per game9
15
Avg. shots per goal9
20
Conversion rate for12
5
Avg. XG for1.3
2.5
KickOff rating
+19%
Defence rating
CRU
VDG
5%
better
view stats
Games conceded4
4
Clean sheets0
0
Conceded first1
2
Goals conceded9
6
Avg. goals conceded2.3
1.5
Avg. shots/game conceded9
8
Avg. shots/goal conceded4
5
Conversion rate against26%
20%
Avg. XG against1.4
0.7
KickOff rating
+5%

Cruzeiro v Vasco d Gama Serie A lLine ups will show here when available.

Cruzeiro Serie A squad statistics 2026
Overall
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
NO DATA AVAILABLE
Vasco d Gama Serie A squad statistics 2026
Overall
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
NO DATA AVAILABLE