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Flamengo v Cruzeiro : Serie A match betting preview, prediction and odds

Thu 12th Mar, 00:30 BST, Estadio Jornalista Mário Filho, Rio de Janeiro

the Estadio Jornalista Mário Filho is the stage on Thursday morning, as Filipe Luis Kasmirski's Flamengo welcome Adenor Leonardo Bacchi's Cruzeiro in the Serie A. Analysing both clubs' last 20 Serie A matches, as well as trends within the competition and the market, to generate our percentage predictions. All the stats, including head to heads (H2H), are shown below, alongside odds from leading bookmakers.


Best Tip: Flamengo to win

We're predicting Flamengo will be victorious come the end of the 90 minutes on Thursday in the win / draw / win market. The recent form statistics and historical head-to-head (H2H) records below all suggest that they are more than capable of getting the job done and, as favourites with the bookmakers, the odds back that up too. There could be wild scenes among the home fans when the game draws to a close at Estadio Jornalista Mário Filho.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think Flamengo are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 60% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 1.62.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Flamengo
60%
8/158/13
Draw
22%
27/1029/10
Cruzeiro
18%
19/49/2
Flamengo 1-0
12%
6/111/2
Flamengo 2-0
11%
13/26/1
Draw 1-1
11%
6/16/1
Flamengo 2-1
10%
15/213/2
Flamengo 3-0
7%
11/19/1
Draw 0-0
6%
10/18/1
Flamengo 3-1
6%
12/110/1
Cruzeiro 1-0
6%
14/111/1
Cruzeiro 2-1
5%
18/114/1
Draw 2-2
4%
16/112/1
Flamengo 4-0
3%
22/116/1
Flamengo 4-1
3%
25/118/1
Flamengo 3-2
3%
25/120/1
Cruzeiro 2-0
3%
28/120/1
Cruzeiro 3-1
1%
40/133/1
Over 2.5 Goals
52%
17/205/6
Under 2.5 Goals
48%
19/2010/11
Home 1st Goal
56%
1/210/21
Away 1st Goal
40%
15/821/10
No 1st Goal
4%
10/18/1
BTTS - Yes
50%
10/1110/11
BTTS - No
50%
10/115/6
BTTS - Home Win
26%
13/55/2
BTTS - Draw
16%
4/14/1
BTTS - Away Win
8%
10/18/1
Home/draw
82%
1/71/7
Away/draw
40%
13/105/4
Home/away
78%
2/71/4
Over 1.5 Goals
76%
2/72/7
Under 1.5 Goals
24%
11/45/2
Over 3.5 Goals
30%
11/52/1
Under 3.5 Goals
70%
4/117/20
Over 4.5 Goals
15%
5/19/2
Under 4.5 Goals
85%
1/81/8
Over 5.5 Goals
6%
12/110/1
Under 5.5 Goals
94%
1/251/33
Over 0.5 Goals
94%
1/201/20
Under 0.5 Goals
6%
10/117/2
Home DNB
76%
1/52/9
Away DNB
33%
10/329/10
Flamengo win to nil
34%
13/8-
Cruzeiro win to nil
9%
9/1-
Flamengo / Flamengo
33%
7/511/8
Flamengo / Cruzeiro
2%
40/128/1
Flamengo / Draw
6%
14/112/1
Draw / Flamengo
18%
10/317/5
Draw / Cruzeiro
8%
10/19/1
Draw / Draw
14%
5/117/4
Cruzeiro / Flamengo
4%
20/118/1
Cruzeiro / Cruzeiro
9%
17/27/1
Cruzeiro / Draw
5%
16/112/1
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Win / draw / win form
24
Flamengo have not lost in 24 consecutive home league games
7
Cruzeiro have not won in 7 consecutive league games
Flamengo 11TH
20 league games
Home
24
Overall
Goals: Scored
47
Conceded
9
Games: Scored
18 / 20
Conceded
7 / 20
Clean sheets
13 / 20
Failed to score
2 / 20
Won
14
Draw
6
HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Flamengo1 - 1Internacional
Flamengo1 - 0Ceara
Flamengo3 - 0Bragantino
Flamengo3 - 2Santos
Flamengo3 - 0S. Recife
Flamengo3 - 2Palmeiras
Flamengo0 - 0Cruzeiro
Flamengo1 - 1Vasco d Gama
Flamengo1 - 1Gremio
Flamengo8 - 0Vitoria
Flamengo2 - 1Mirassol
Flamengo1 - 0A Mineiro
Flamengo1 - 0Fluminense
Flamengo2 - 0Sao Paulo
Flamengo5 - 0Fortaleza
Flamengo0 - 0Botafogo
Flamengo1 - 0Bahia
Flamengo4 - 0Corinthians
Flamengo6 - 0Juventude
Flamengo1 - 1Internacional
Goals: Scored
37
Conceded
21
Games: Scored
17 / 20
Conceded
14 / 20
Clean sheets
6 / 20
Failed to score
3 / 20
Won
10
Draw
6
L
4
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
AFlamengo2 - 1Vitoria
HFlamengo1 - 1Internacional
AFlamengo1 - 2Sao Paulo
AFlamengo3 - 3Mirassol
HFlamengo1 - 0Ceara
AFlamengo1 - 1A Mineiro
HFlamengo3 - 0Bragantino
AFlamengo1 - 2Fluminense
AFlamengo5 - 1S. Recife
HFlamengo3 - 2Santos
AFlamengo2 - 2Sao Paulo
HFlamengo3 - 0S. Recife
AFlamengo0 - 1Fortaleza
HFlamengo3 - 2Palmeiras
AFlamengo3 - 0Botafogo
AFlamengo0 - 1Bahia
HFlamengo0 - 0Cruzeiro
AFlamengo2 - 1Corinthians
HFlamengo1 - 1Vasco d Gama
AFlamengo2 - 0Juventude
Cruzeiro 19TH
20 league games
Away
Overall
7
Goals: Scored
22
Conceded
20
Games: Scored
12 / 20
Conceded
11 / 20
Clean sheets
9 / 20
Failed to score
8 / 20
Won
6
Draw
10
L
4
AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Mirassol2 - 2Cruzeiro
Botafogo4 - 0Cruzeiro
Santos3 - 0Cruzeiro
Ceara1 - 1Cruzeiro
Juventude3 - 3Cruzeiro
Gremio0 - 1Cruzeiro
Palmeiras0 - 0Cruzeiro
A Mineiro1 - 1Cruzeiro
Flamengo0 - 0Cruzeiro
Vasco d Gama2 - 0Cruzeiro
Bahia1 - 2Cruzeiro
Mirassol1 - 1Cruzeiro
Botafogo0 - 2Cruzeiro
Corinthians0 - 0Cruzeiro
Fluminense0 - 2Cruzeiro
Vitoria0 - 0Cruzeiro
Fortaleza0 - 2Cruzeiro
S. Recife0 - 4Cruzeiro
Bragantino1 - 0Cruzeiro
Sao Paulo1 - 1Cruzeiro
Goals: Scored
24
Conceded
25
Games: Scored
14 / 20
Conceded
14 / 20
Clean sheets
6 / 20
Failed to score
6 / 20
Won
6
Draw
10
L
4
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
HCruzeiro1 - 1Corinthians
ACruzeiro2 - 2Mirassol
HCruzeiro1 - 2Cortiba
ACruzeiro0 - 4Botafogo
ACruzeiro0 - 3Santos
HCruzeiro2 - 2Botafogo
ACruzeiro1 - 1Ceara
HCruzeiro3 - 0Corinthians
ACruzeiro3 - 3Juventude
HCruzeiro0 - 0Fluminense
ACruzeiro1 - 0Gremio
HCruzeiro3 - 1Vitoria
ACruzeiro0 - 0Palmeiras
HCruzeiro1 - 0Fortaleza
ACruzeiro1 - 1A Mineiro
HCruzeiro1 - 1S. Recife
ACruzeiro0 - 0Flamengo
ACruzeiro0 - 2Vasco d Gama
HCruzeiro2 - 1Bragantino
ACruzeiro2 - 1Bahia
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
5
Flamengo have not lost to Cruzeiro in 5 consecutive home league meetings
League games at Flamengo since 2018
Flamengo
Cruzeiro
Goals: Scored
7
3
Games: Scored
4 / 5
3 / 5
Clean sheets
2 / 5
1 / 5
FLA
3
D
2
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Flamengo
Draw0 - 0Draw
Flamengo2 - 1
Draw1 - 1Draw
Flamengo3 - 1
Flamengo1 - 0
League games at Cruzeiro since 2018
Cruzeiro
Flamengo
Goals: Scored
3
8
Games: Scored
2 / 5
5 / 5
Clean sheets
0 / 5
3 / 5
FLA
4
CRU
1
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Cruzeiro
Cruzeiro2 - 1
0 - 1Flamengo
0 - 2Flamengo
1 - 2Flamengo
0 - 2Flamengo
Goal Statistics

Flamengo have been reliable in front of goal of late, scoring in 12 consecutive Serie A matches. Their PG of 1.9 against Cruzeiro on Thursday suggests they're likely to extend that run.

Flamengo 11th Cruzeiro 19th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.9
goals
0.9
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
16%
1
29%
2
27%
3
17%
4+
12%
There is a 84% probability that Flamengo will score 1 or more goals
0
41%
1
37%
2
16%
3
4+
There is a 78% probability of Cruzeiro scoring 1 goal or less
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
+19
Flamengo have scored 19% more goals at home than predicted
+3
Cruzeiro’s goalscoring when away has been inline with predictions
2.4
average goals scored
1.1
average goals scored
0.5
conceded
1.0
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Serie A - 2026/2026 season
Flamengo
PG (predicted goals)
Cruzeiro
1.9
0.9
Attack rating
16%
better
FLA
CRU
view stats
Games scored3
3
Failed to score0
1
Scored first2
3
Goals scored4
4
Avg. goals scored1.3
1
Avg. shots per game9
9
Avg. shots per goal7
9
Conversion rate for15
12
Avg. XG for1.3
1.3
KickOff rating
+16%
Defence rating
21%
better
FLA
CRU
view stats
Games conceded3
4
Clean sheets0
0
Conceded first1
1
Goals conceded4
9
Avg. goals conceded1.3
2.3
Avg. shots/game conceded7
9
Avg. shots/goal conceded5
4
Conversion rate against19%
26%
Avg. XG against0.9
1.4
KickOff rating
+21%

Flamengo v Cruzeiro Serie A lLine ups will show here when available.

Flamengo Serie A squad statistics 2026
Overall
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
NO DATA AVAILABLE
Cruzeiro Serie A squad statistics 2026
Overall
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
NO DATA AVAILABLE