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Fluminense v Juventude : Serie A match betting preview, prediction and odds

Fri 17th Oct, 01:30 BST, Estadio Jornalista Mário Filho, Rio de Janeiro

Juventude are away on Friday morning, as manager Thiago Motta takes his men to visit Fluminense and Luis Francisco Zubeldía at the Estadio Jornalista Mário Filho in the Serie A. Stats drive the predictions below for 17 individual betting markets, and flipping between them will display bespoke analysis, including head-to-head, form and a whole lot more besides. Odds from the UK's biggest bookmakers are also provided. Click on the tabs below to find out more.

Best Tip: Fluminense to win

As training goes on this week and the Fluminense players prepare themselves for this game, the bookmakers are predicting a win for them. The odds and our pre-match stats below also point that way, as does the historical head-to-head (H2H) record we take advantage of in our predictive algorithms. The Estadio Jornalista Mário Filho has rarely been an easy place to go for Juventude in the past, and we we think that will be the case again on Friday morning. A win / draw / win home win is the bet.

If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think Fluminense are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 63% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 1.44.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Predictions	Bet365	Coral
Fluminense 63%	4/9	-
Draw 22%	10/3	-
Juventude 14%	6/1	-
Fluminense 1-0 15%	9/2	-
Fluminense 2-0 13%	5/1	-
Draw 1-1 10%	15/2	-
Fluminense 2-1 9%	8/1	-
Draw 0-0 8%	17/2	-
Fluminense 3-0 8%	8/1	-
Juventude 1-0 6%	14/1	-
Fluminense 3-1 6%	12/1	-
Juventude 2-1 4%	20/1	-
Fluminense 4-0 4%	18/1	-
Draw 2-2 3%	22/1	-
Fluminense 4-1 3%	25/1	-
Juventude 2-0 2%	33/1	-
Fluminense 3-2 2%	33/1	-
Fluminense 5-0 1%	40/1	-
Over 2.5 Goals 46%	1/1	-
Under 2.5 Goals 54%	4/5	-
Home 1st Goal 59%	2/5	-
Away 1st Goal 35%	12/5	-
No 1st Goal 6%	17/2	-
BTTS - Yes 42%	6/5	-
BTTS - No 58%	8/13	-
BTTS - Home Win 22%	3/1	-
BTTS - Draw 14%	11/2	-
BTTS - Away Win 6%	14/1	-
Home/draw 86%	1/10	-
Away/draw 37%	13/8	-
Home/away 78%	1/5	-
Over 1.5 Goals 71%	1/3	-
Under 1.5 Goals 29%	12/5	-
Over 3.5 Goals 24%	11/4	-
Under 3.5 Goals 76%	2/7	-
Over 4.5 Goals 11%	6/1	-
Under 4.5 Goals 89%	1/10	-
Over 5.5 Goals 4%	14/1	-
Under 5.5 Goals 96%	1/33	-
Over 0.5 Goals 92%	1/16	-
Under 0.5 Goals 8%	17/2	-
Home DNB 79%	1/7	-
Away DNB 30%	9/2	-
Fluminense win to nil 41%	11/10	-
Juventude win to nil 8%	10/1	-
Fluminense / Fluminense 38%	6/5	-
Fluminense / Juventude 2%	40/1	-
Fluminense / Draw 5%	16/1	-
Draw / Fluminense 21%	3/1	-
Draw / Juventude 6%	14/1	-
Draw / Draw 14%	5/1	-
Juventude / Fluminense 4%	22/1	-
Juventude / Juventude 6%	12/1	-
Juventude / Draw 4%	20/1	-

Win / draw / win form

Home

Overall

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

15 / 20

Conceded

11 / 20

Clean sheets

9 / 20

Failed to score

5 / 20

Won

Draw

HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Fluminense	2 - 0	Botafogo
Fluminense	0 - 1	Corinthians
Fluminense	2 - 1	Fortaleza
Fluminense	1 - 0	Gremio
Fluminense	1 - 2	Palmeiras
Fluminense	0 - 2	Cruzeiro
Fluminense	2 - 1	Vasco d Gama
Fluminense	2 - 1	S. Recife
Fluminense	1 - 1	Vitoria
Fluminense	1 - 0	Santos
Fluminense	2 - 1	Bragantino
Fluminense	1 - 0	Cuiaba
Fluminense	0 - 0	Criciuma
Fluminense	2 - 2	Fortaleza
Fluminense	2 - 2	Gremio
Fluminense	1 - 0	Athletico PR
Fluminense	1 - 0	Cruzeiro
Fluminense	0 - 1	Botafogo
Fluminense	2 - 0	Sao Paulo
Fluminense	0 - 0	Corinthians

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

15 / 20

Conceded

15 / 20

Clean sheets

5 / 20

Failed to score

5 / 20

Won

Draw

Lost

OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
A	Fluminense	2 - 2	S. Recife
H	Fluminense	2 - 0	Botafogo
A	Fluminense	1 - 0	Vitoria
H	Fluminense	0 - 1	Corinthians
A	Fluminense	0 - 0	Santos
A	Fluminense	2 - 4	Bragantino
H	Fluminense	2 - 1	Fortaleza
A	Fluminense	3 - 3	Bahia
H	Fluminense	1 - 0	Gremio
A	Fluminense	1 - 3	Sao Paulo
H	Fluminense	1 - 2	Palmeiras
A	Fluminense	0 - 1	Flamengo
H	Fluminense	0 - 2	Cruzeiro
A	Fluminense	2 - 0	Internacional
H	Fluminense	2 - 1	Vasco d Gama
A	Fluminense	1 - 1	Juventude
A	Fluminense	2 - 3	A Mineiro
H	Fluminense	2 - 1	S. Recife
A	Fluminense	0 - 2	Botafogo
H	Fluminense	1 - 1	Vitoria

Away

Overall

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

10 / 20

Conceded

17 / 20

Clean sheets

3 / 20

Failed to score

10 / 20

Draw

Lost

AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
A Mineiro	0 - 0	Juventude
Mirassol	2 - 0	Juventude
Ceara	0 - 1	Juventude
Vitoria	2 - 2	Juventude
Santos	3 - 1	Juventude
Bahia	3 - 0	Juventude
Cruzeiro	4 - 0	Juventude
Bragantino	1 - 0	Juventude
Fortaleza	5 - 0	Juventude
Internacional	3 - 1	Juventude
Flamengo	6 - 0	Juventude
Botafogo	2 - 0	Juventude
Sao Paulo	1 - 2	Juventude
A Mineiro	2 - 3	Juventude
Gremio	2 - 2	Juventude
Flamengo	4 - 2	Juventude
Vasco d Gama	1 - 1	Juventude
Vitoria	1 - 0	Juventude
Cuiaba	0 - 0	Juventude
Atletico Go	2 - 1	Juventude

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

10 / 20

Conceded

16 / 20

Clean sheets

4 / 20

Failed to score

10 / 20

Lost

OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
A	Juventude	0 - 0	A Mineiro
H	Juventude	1 - 1	Internacional
A	Juventude	0 - 2	Mirassol
H	Juventude	0 - 2	Flamengo
A	Juventude	1 - 0	Ceara
H	Juventude	1 - 3	Botafogo
H	Juventude	2 - 0	Vasco d Gama
A	Juventude	2 - 2	Vitoria
H	Juventude	2 - 1	Corinthians
A	Juventude	1 - 3	Santos
A	Juventude	0 - 3	Bahia
H	Juventude	0 - 1	Sao Paulo
A	Juventude	0 - 4	Cruzeiro
H	Juventude	2 - 0	S. Recife
H	Juventude	0 - 2	Gremio
A	Juventude	0 - 1	Bragantino
H	Juventude	1 - 1	Fluminense
A	Juventude	0 - 5	Fortaleza
H	Juventude	0 - 1	A Mineiro
A	Juventude	1 - 3	Internacional

Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)

Fluminense

Juventude

Goals: Scored

Games: Scored

3 / 3

2 / 3

Clean sheets

1 / 3

0 / 3

FLU

FIXTURE HISTORY AT Fluminense
Draw	1 - 1	Draw
Fluminense	4 - 0
Draw	1 - 1	Draw

Juventude

Fluminense

Goals: Scored

Games: Scored

4 / 4

2 / 4

Clean sheets

2 / 4

0 / 4

JUV

FIXTURE HISTORY AT Juventude
Draw	1 - 1	Draw
Juventude	2 - 1
Juventude	1 - 0
Juventude	1 - 0

Goal Statistics

An absolutely dreadful PG of just 0.7 should cause concerns for Juventude fans, as should a 6 Serie A games run in which they have failed to score more than 1 goal.

	Fluminense 8th	Juventude 18th
	Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction	1.8 goals	0.7 goals
	Scoring probability
Scoring probability	0 17% 1 30% 2 27% 3 16% 4+ 11% There is a 83% probability that Fluminense will score 1 or more goals	0 49% 1 35% 2 12% 3 4+ There is a 84% probability of Juventude scoring 1 goal or less

	20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games	-13 Fluminense have scored 13% fewer goals at home than predicted	-2 Juventude’s goalscoring when away has been inline with predictions
	1.2 average goals scored	0.8 average goals scored
	0.8 conceded	2.2 conceded

Attack defence ratings
Serie A - 2025/2025 season

22%

better

FLU

JUV

view stats

Games scored	16		12
Failed to score	6		11
Scored first	11		9
Goals scored	26		19
Avg. goals scored	1.1		0.8
Avg. shots per game	8		7
Avg. shots per goal	8		9
Conversion rate for	13		11
Avg. XG for	1		0.8
KickOff rating		+22%

21%

better

FLU

JUV

view stats

Games conceded	16		19
Clean sheets	6		4
Conceded first	10		14
Goals conceded	29		45
Avg. goals conceded	1.2		1.8
Avg. shots/game conceded	7		10
Avg. shots/goal conceded	6		6
Conversion rate against	17%		17%
Avg. XG against	1		1.7
KickOff rating		+21%

Fluminense v Juventude Serie A lLine ups will show here when available.

Fluminense Serie A squad statistics 2025

Overall

Attack

Defence

Most starts	Most goals	Most assists	Most cards
24	6	3	5
F Fábio	G Cano	K Serna	F Cruz

Players	Appserances	goals	Assists	cards
F Fábio GLK	24			1 -
Martinelli MID	21	1	2	4 -
J Freytes DEF	20			3 1
H Hércules MID	20	3		1 -
K Serna FWD	20	3	3	2 -
Lima MID	18	2		2 -
Everaldo FWD	18	2		1 -
A Canobbio FWD	17	2	2	3 -
G Cano FWD	17	6		1 -
S Xavier DEF	16	2	1	3 -
Renê DEF	15	1		-
T Silva DEF	14			-
Guga DEF	14	1	1	1 -
Ganso MID	14			2 -
Ignacio DEF	13			2 -
F Cruz MID	13			5 -
Nonato MID	12	1		3 -
Keno FWD	9		2	-
Y Soteldo FWD	9			-
G Fuentes DEF	8			3 -
T Santos DEF	7			2 -
Manoel DEF	5			-
L Acosta MID	5	2		2 -
J Kennedy FWD	5	1		-
R Lezcano MID	4			-
O Otávio MID	4			-
R. Silva de Almeida FWD	4			-
I Rabello DEF	3			1 1
S Moreno FWD	3			1 -
J Lavega FWD	2			-

Most goals	Most shots on target	Most assists	Most big chances
6	10	3	4
G Cano	G Cano	K Serna	K Serna

Players	goals	shots on	Assists	big chances
G Cano FWD	6	10		2
H Hércules MID	3	7
K Serna FWD	3	8	3	4
Lima MID	2	6
Everaldo FWD	2	7		2
A Canobbio FWD	2	5	2	1
S Xavier DEF	2	3	1	1
L Acosta MID	2	4		1
Martinelli MID	1	5	2	3
Renê DEF	1	1		1
Guga DEF	1	2	1	3
Nonato MID	1	3
J Kennedy FWD	1	2
J Freytes DEF		3
T Silva DEF		2
Ganso MID				2
Ignacio DEF		3		1
F Cruz MID		4
Keno FWD		2	2	2
Y Soteldo FWD				1
G Fuentes DEF		2
R. Silva de Almeida FWD				1
J Lavega FWD		1

Most passes	Most tackles	Most duels won
1372	35	95
J Freytes	Martinelli	K Serna

Players	passes	tackles	duels won
J Freytes DEF	1372	14	69
Martinelli MID	949	35	90
T Silva DEF	859	7	38
S Xavier DEF	736	19	48
Renê DEF	706	29	72
H Hércules MID	684	32	64
Guga DEF	513	27	59
Ignacio DEF	469	19	55
F Fábio GLK	454		6
Ganso MID	443	10	34
F Cruz MID	434	22	45
Lima MID	376	15	55
G Fuentes DEF	376	18	43
K Serna FWD	349	25	95
A Canobbio FWD	325	27	64
G Cano FWD	301	5	36
Nonato MID	273	14	29
Manoel DEF	178		6
Everaldo FWD	170	6	55
O Otávio MID	168	5	14
L Acosta MID	150	5	16
I Rabello DEF	117	2	7
Y Soteldo FWD	94	2	25
T Santos DEF	90	9	19
Keno FWD	85	3	31
S Moreno FWD	63	2	6
R Lezcano MID	36	1	5
R. Silva de Almeida FWD	31	7	14
J Lavega FWD	22	1	6
J Kennedy FWD	13		8

Juventude Serie A squad statistics 2025

Overall

Attack

Defence

Most starts	Most goals	Most assists	Most cards
23	4	3	7
J Jádson	G Taliari	Nenê	J Jádson

Players	Appserances	goals	Assists	cards
Mandaca MID	24	2		2 -
J Jádson MID	23		1	7 -
G Taliari FWD	22	4	2	3 -
E Batalla FWD	21	4	2	3 -
Caique MID	17			6 -
Gilberto FWD	17	2	2	4 -
Enio FWD	17	2		4 -
M Babi FWD	16	2		4 -
A Ruschel DEF	15			3 -
W Ángel DEF	15	1		4 -
Reginaldo DEF	15		2	1 -
A Silva DEF	14		1	3 -
Nenê MID	14	2	3	-
D Giraldo MID	14			3 -
Ewerthon DEF	13			2 -
M Hermes DEF	12		2	3 -
G Veron FWD	11			-
M Paulo DEF	10			4 -
Giovanny FWD	10		1	1 -
Jandrei GLK	8			2 -
R Sam DEF	7			2 -
I Formiga DEF	7	1		-
L Freitas DEF	6			-
L Fernandes MID	5			-
R Bilu FWD	4			-
Cipriano DEF	3			1 1
J Sforza MID	3			-
H. Batista da Silva MID	3			2 1
D. Nascimento Peixoto dos Santos MID	3			-
R Carneiro GLK	2			-
Natã DEF	2			-
E. Mendes de Carvalho FWD	2			-

Most goals	Most shots on target	Most assists	Most big chances
4	12	3	3
G Taliari	G Taliari	Nenê	Enio

Players	goals	shots on	Assists	big chances
G Taliari FWD	4	12	2
E Batalla FWD	4	11	2	2
Mandaca MID	2	10		1
Gilberto FWD	2	9	2	2
Enio FWD	2	7		3
M Babi FWD	2	2
Nenê MID	2	4	3	1
W Ángel DEF	1	5
I Formiga DEF	1	3
J Jádson MID		3	1	1
A Ruschel DEF				2
Reginaldo DEF		1	2
A Silva DEF			1	2
Ewerthon DEF		2
M Hermes DEF		2	2	2
G Veron FWD		2
M Paulo DEF		2
Giovanny FWD			1	1
L Fernandes MID		1
R Bilu FWD		1

Most passes	Most tackles	Most duels won
828	43	140
J Jádson	Mandaca	Mandaca

Players	passes	tackles	duels won
J Jádson MID	828	37	90
Caique MID	570	43	97
Mandaca MID	554	43	140
W Ángel DEF	527	10	53
A Silva DEF	443	12	41
M Hermes DEF	397	23	41
Ewerthon DEF	396	19	39
M Paulo DEF	389	10	33
D Giraldo MID	359	10	22
Reginaldo DEF	319	8	22
A Ruschel DEF	318	18	52
E Batalla FWD	272	20	69
R Sam DEF	261	9	35
Enio FWD	245	6	46
L Freitas DEF	228	11	20
Jandrei GLK	222		2
G Taliari FWD	193	21	76
Nenê MID	185	2	29
I Formiga DEF	148	16	36
G Veron FWD	142	6	27
Gilberto FWD	127	6	40
Giovanny FWD	126	3	19
L Fernandes MID	110	4	16
H. Batista da Silva MID	89	3	7
M Babi FWD	70	6	30
Cipriano DEF	67	2	7
R Carneiro GLK	56		1
J Sforza MID	53	4	9
D. Nascimento Peixoto dos Santos MID	51	4	9
Natã DEF	31	3	3
R Bilu FWD	30	2	11
E. Mendes de Carvalho FWD	3		2