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Fortaleza v Vasco da Gama : Serie A match betting preview, prediction and odds

Thu 16th Oct, 01:30 BST, Estádio Governador Plácido Adera, Fortaleza

Martin Svedik and Fernando Santos clash in the Serie A on Thursday morning, as Fortaleza face Vasco da Gama at the Estádio Governador Plácido Adera. Our aim is to give you all the tools you need to make a smart, well-informed bet on this tie, so we've delved into our 20+ year database and pulled out the statistics that matter the most. Head-to-head and recent form is included, and these are used to generate our predictions. Odds from leading bookmakers are there to get you maximum bang for your buck.

Best Tip: Over 1.5 goals

An away win looks like the most likely outcome in the win/draw/win market, with our predictive algorithm suggesting there’s a 42% chance of Vasco d Gama coming away with a win.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Predictions	Bet365	Coral
Fortaleza 33%	13/10	-
Draw 25%	11/5	-
Vasco d Gama 42%	21/10	-
Draw 1-1 12%	11/2	-
Vasco d Gama 1-0 9%	13/2	-
Vasco d Gama 2-1 9%	11/1	-
Fortaleza 1-0 8%	5/1	-
Fortaleza 2-1 8%	9/1	-
Vasco d Gama 2-0 7%	14/1	-
Draw 0-0 6%	6/1	-
Draw 2-2 6%	18/1	-
Fortaleza 2-0 5%	9/1	-
Vasco d Gama 3-1 4%	28/1	-
Vasco d Gama 3-0 3%	33/1	-
Fortaleza 3-1 3%	22/1	-
Vasco d Gama 3-2 3%	40/1	-
Fortaleza 3-2 2%	40/1	-
Fortaleza 3-0 2%	20/1	-
Over 2.5 Goals 52%	6/4	-
Under 2.5 Goals 48%	1/2	-
Home 1st Goal 46%	10/11	-
Away 1st Goal 50%	5/4	-
No 1st Goal 4%	6/1	-
BTTS - Yes 56%	11/10	-
BTTS - No 44%	4/6	-
BTTS - Home Win 16%	5/1	-
BTTS - Draw 19%	4/1	-
BTTS - Away Win 20%	13/2	-
Home/draw 58%	4/11	-
Away/draw 67%	4/7	-
Home/away 75%	4/11	-
Over 1.5 Goals 76%	1/2	-
Under 1.5 Goals 24%	13/8	-
Over 3.5 Goals 30%	4/1	-
Under 3.5 Goals 70%	1/6	-
Over 4.5 Goals 15%	10/1	-
Under 4.5 Goals 85%	1/20	-
Over 5.5 Goals 6%	22/1	-
Under 5.5 Goals 94%	1/80	-
Over 0.5 Goals 94%	1/10	-
Under 0.5 Goals 6%	6/1	-
Home DNB 51%	8/13	-
Away DNB 60%	6/5	-
Fortaleza win to nil 16%	5/2	-
Vasco d Gama win to nil 21%	7/2	-
Fortaleza / Fortaleza 21%	3/1	-
Fortaleza / Vasco d Gama 2%	33/1	-
Fortaleza / Draw 6%	14/1	-
Draw / Fortaleza 15%	9/2	-
Draw / Vasco d Gama 13%	11/2	-
Draw / Draw 19%	10/3	-
Vasco d Gama / Fortaleza 3%	28/1	-
Vasco d Gama / Vasco d Gama 15%	9/2	-
Vasco d Gama / Draw 6%	14/1	-

Win / draw / win form

Home

Overall

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

13 / 20

Conceded

11 / 20

Clean sheets

9 / 20

Failed to score

7 / 20

Won

Lost

HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Fortaleza	0 - 2	Sao Paulo
Fortaleza	1 - 0	S. Recife
Fortaleza	2 - 0	Vitoria
Fortaleza	0 - 1	Mirassol
Fortaleza	0 - 5	Botafogo
Fortaleza	3 - 1	Bragantino
Fortaleza	1 - 1	Bahia
Fortaleza	0 - 1	Ceara
Fortaleza	2 - 3	Santos
Fortaleza	0 - 2	Cruzeiro
Fortaleza	5 - 0	Juventude
Fortaleza	1 - 2	Palmeiras
Fortaleza	0 - 0	Internacional
Fortaleza	2 - 0	Fluminense
Fortaleza	3 - 0	Internacional
Fortaleza	0 - 0	Flamengo
Fortaleza	3 - 0	Vasco d Gama
Fortaleza	1 - 1	A Mineiro
Fortaleza	1 - 0	Cuiaba
Fortaleza	4 - 1	Bahia

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

11 / 20

Conceded

15 / 20

Clean sheets

5 / 20

Failed to score

9 / 20

Lost

OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
H	Fortaleza	0 - 2	Sao Paulo
H	Fortaleza	1 - 0	S. Recife
A	Fortaleza	1 - 4	Palmeiras
H	Fortaleza	2 - 0	Vitoria
A	Fortaleza	1 - 2	Internacional
H	Fortaleza	0 - 1	Mirassol
A	Fortaleza	1 - 2	Fluminense
H	Fortaleza	0 - 5	Botafogo
A	Fortaleza	1 - 1	Corinthians
A	Fortaleza	1 - 2	Gremio
H	Fortaleza	3 - 1	Bragantino
H	Fortaleza	1 - 1	Bahia
H	Fortaleza	0 - 1	Ceara
H	Fortaleza	2 - 3	Santos
A	Fortaleza	0 - 5	Flamengo
H	Fortaleza	0 - 2	Cruzeiro
A	Fortaleza	0 - 3	Vasco d Gama
H	Fortaleza	5 - 0	Juventude
A	Fortaleza	0 - 0	Sao Paulo
A	Fortaleza	0 - 0	S. Recife

Away

Overall

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

13 / 20

Conceded

19 / 20

Clean sheets

1 / 20

Failed to score

7 / 20

Lost

AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Palmeiras	3 - 0	Vasco d Gama
Flamengo	1 - 1	Vasco d Gama
S. Recife	2 - 3	Vasco d Gama
Juventude	2 - 0	Vasco d Gama
Santos	0 - 6	Vasco d Gama
Mirassol	3 - 2	Vasco d Gama
Internacional	1 - 1	Vasco d Gama
Sao Paulo	1 - 3	Vasco d Gama
Fluminense	2 - 1	Vasco d Gama
Vitoria	2 - 1	Vasco d Gama
Cruzeiro	1 - 0	Vasco d Gama
Ceara	2 - 1	Vasco d Gama
Corinthians	3 - 0	Vasco d Gama
Cuiaba	1 - 2	Vasco d Gama
Corinthians	3 - 1	Vasco d Gama
Fortaleza	3 - 0	Vasco d Gama
Botafogo	3 - 0	Vasco d Gama
Sao Paulo	3 - 0	Vasco d Gama
Cruzeiro	1 - 1	Vasco d Gama
Flamengo	1 - 1	Vasco d Gama

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

15 / 20

Conceded

17 / 20

Clean sheets

3 / 20

Failed to score

5 / 20

Won

Draw

Lost

OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
A	Vasco d Gama	0 - 3	Palmeiras
H	Vasco d Gama	2 - 0	Cruzeiro
H	Vasco d Gama	3 - 1	Bahia
A	Vasco d Gama	1 - 1	Flamengo
H	Vasco d Gama	2 - 2	Ceara
A	Vasco d Gama	3 - 2	S. Recife
H	Vasco d Gama	2 - 3	Corinthians
A	Vasco d Gama	0 - 2	Juventude
A	Vasco d Gama	6 - 0	Santos
H	Vasco d Gama	1 - 1	A Mineiro
A	Vasco d Gama	2 - 3	Mirassol
A	Vasco d Gama	1 - 1	Internacional
H	Vasco d Gama	1 - 1	Gremio
H	Vasco d Gama	0 - 2	Botafogo
A	Vasco d Gama	3 - 1	Sao Paulo
H	Vasco d Gama	0 - 2	Bragantino
A	Vasco d Gama	1 - 2	Fluminense
H	Vasco d Gama	3 - 0	Fortaleza
A	Vasco d Gama	1 - 2	Vitoria
H	Vasco d Gama	0 - 1	Palmeiras

Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)

Fortaleza have beaten Vasco d Gama in 3 consecutive home league meetings

Fortaleza have kept a clean sheet in 3 consecutive home league meetings with Vasco d Gama

Fortaleza

Vasco d Gama

Goals: Scored

Games: Scored

4 / 4

1 / 4

Clean sheets

3 / 4

0 / 4

FOR

FIXTURE HISTORY AT Fortaleza
Fortaleza	3 - 0
Fortaleza	2 - 0
Fortaleza	3 - 0
Draw	1 - 1	Draw

Vasco d Gama

Fortaleza

Goals: Scored

Games: Scored

4 / 5

0 / 5

Clean sheets

5 / 5

1 / 5

VDG

FIXTURE HISTORY AT Vasco d Gama
Vasco d Gama	3 - 0
Vasco d Gama	2 - 0
Vasco d Gama	1 - 0
Draw	0 - 0	Draw
Vasco d Gama	1 - 0

Goal Statistics

	Fortaleza 19th	Vasco d Gama 12th
	Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction	1.3 goals	1.5 goals
	Scoring probability
Scoring probability	0 28% 1 36% 2 23% 3 10% 4+ There is a 64% probability that Fortaleza will score no more than 1 goal	0 23% 1 34% 2 25% 3 12% 4+ There is a 77% probability that Vasco d Gama will score 1 or more goals

	20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games	+1 Fortaleza’s goalscoring at home has been inline with predictions	+29 Vasco d Gama have scored 29% more goals when away than predicted
	1.5 average goals scored	1.2 average goals scored
	1.0 conceded	1.9 conceded

Attack defence ratings
Serie A - 2025/2025 season

FOR

VDG

22%

better

view stats

Games scored	14		17
Failed to score	9		7
Scored first	7		10
Goals scored	23		36
Avg. goals scored	0.9		1.4
Avg. shots per game	8		10
Avg. shots per goal	8		7
Conversion rate for	12		14
Avg. XG for	1.2		1.3
KickOff rating		+22%

better

FOR

VDG

view stats

Games conceded	17		21
Clean sheets	6		3
Conceded first	13		13
Goals conceded	38		35
Avg. goals conceded	1.5		1.3
Avg. shots/game conceded	10		9
Avg. shots/goal conceded	6		7
Conversion rate against	16%		15%
Avg. XG against	1.5		1.4
KickOff rating		+4%

Fortaleza v Vasco d Gama Serie A lLine ups will show here when available.

Fortaleza Serie A squad statistics 2025

Overall

Attack

Defence

Most starts	Most goals	Most assists	Most cards
19	4	3	6
L Sasha	B Lopes	M Pereira	E Martínez

Players	Appserances	goals	Assists	cards
Y Pikachu FWD	22	2		2 -
J Lucero FWD	22	3	1	5 -
L Sasha MID	19	1		1 -
Deyverson FWD	19	3		2 -
B Lopes FWD	19	4		2 -
B Kuscevic DEF	18	1		1 -
E Mancuso DEF	17		2	3 -
Marinho FWD	16	1	2	3 1
G Ávila DEF	15			2 -
T Pochettino MID	15	1	2	1 -
J Ricardo GLK	14			1 -
E Martínez MID	14	1	1	6 -
D Barbosa DEF	12	1		1 -
M Pereira MID	12		3	2 -
L. Prior Pimenta MID	12	2		2 -
M Rossetto MID	11			-
Tinga DEF	10	1		1 -
A Bareiro FWD	10			2 -
B Pacheco DEF	9	1	1	3 -
J Welison MID	9			3 -
E Brítez DEF	8			6 -
J Herrera FWD	8			1 -
Allanzinho FWD	7		2	1 -
H Leite GLK	4			-
L Crispim MID	4	1		-
Brenno GLK	3			1 1
M Magrão GLK	3			1 -
Weverson DEF	3			-
R. Oliveira dos Santos MID	3			-
M Moisés FWD	3		1	1 -
V Silvestre GLK	2			-
L Gazal DEF	2			1 -
Y Guzmán MID	2			-
Pablo MID	2			-
Pierre MID	2			1 -

Most goals	Most shots on target	Most assists	Most big chances
4	11	3	5
B Lopes	J Lucero	M Pereira	J Lucero

Players	goals	shots on	Assists	big chances
B Lopes FWD	4	10		2
J Lucero FWD	3	11	1	5
Deyverson FWD	3	8
Y Pikachu FWD	2	6		2
L. Prior Pimenta MID	2	4		3
L Sasha MID	1	3		1
B Kuscevic DEF	1	2
Marinho FWD	1	6	2	4
T Pochettino MID	1	9	2	1
E Martínez MID	1	4	1	1
D Barbosa DEF	1	1		1
Tinga DEF	1	1
B Pacheco DEF	1	2	1	1
L Crispim MID	1	1		1
E Mancuso DEF		4	2	1
G Ávila DEF		4
M Pereira MID		2	3	2
A Bareiro FWD		6
J Welison MID		1
E Brítez DEF		1		1
J Herrera FWD		4		2
Allanzinho FWD			2	4
R. Oliveira dos Santos MID		1
M Moisés FWD		1	1
L Gazal DEF		1

Most passes	Most tackles	Most duels won
744	71	111
L Sasha	L Sasha	L Sasha

Players	passes	tackles	duels won
L Sasha MID	744	71	111
B Kuscevic DEF	666	36	83
M Pereira MID	624	15	38
G Ávila DEF	618	40	74
E Mancuso DEF	448	29	64
M Rossetto MID	444	14	24
E Martínez MID	401	17	38
Y Pikachu FWD	400	15	45
B Lopes FWD	357	5	55
E Brítez DEF	342	17	44
J Ricardo GLK	325		3
Tinga DEF	312	12	39
L. Prior Pimenta MID	255	11	43
Deyverson FWD	242	6	82
B Pacheco DEF	234	18	58
D Barbosa DEF	226	17	45
T Pochettino MID	216	26	49
J Welison MID	208	16	29
J Lucero FWD	204	15	52
Marinho FWD	171	10	50
L Gazal DEF	132	2	14
J Herrera FWD	126	8	24
L Crispim MID	94	1	10
Weverson DEF	85	3	6
H Leite GLK	68		2
Allanzinho FWD	63	3	26
Pierre MID	63	1	2
M Magrão GLK	57
A Bareiro FWD	56	3	22
V Silvestre GLK	53		1
Pablo MID	48	3	5
Y Guzmán MID	42		1
Brenno GLK	41	1	2
R. Oliveira dos Santos MID	32	4	5
M Moisés FWD	21	1	6

Vasco d Gama Serie A squad statistics 2025

Overall

Attack

Defence

Most starts	Most goals	Most assists	Most cards
25	12	5	7
N Moreira	P Vegetti	N Moreira	P Henrique

Players	Appserances	goals	Assists	cards
N Moreira FWD	26	4	5	1 -
L Jardim GLK	25			1 2
H Moura MID	24		1	6 -
P Vegetti FWD	24	12	1	3 -
R Rocha FWD	24	7	1	3 -
P Henrique DEF	20	1	4	7 -
P Coutinho MID	20	5	2	1
L Freitas DEF	19	1		4 -
L Piton DEF	19	1	5	4 -
T Tchê MID	18	1		1 -
J Bebanz DEF	16	2	2	-
David FWD	14	1	3	2 -
Jair MID	11			3 -
B Garré FWD	10			1 -
Adson FWD	10			-
Paulinho MID	9			2 -
L Oliveira DEF	7			1 -
C Luz MID	6			3 -
A Gomez FWD	6		2	1 -
C Cuesta DEF	4	1		1 -
R Renan DEF	4			-
V Luis DEF	4			-
M Lemos DEF	4			-
T Mendes MID	4			1 -
M França MID	4			-
G. Souza da Silva FWD	4			-
D Fuzato GLK	2			-
J Meneses MID	1			-

Most goals	Most shots on target	Most assists	Most big chances
12	25	5	8
P Vegetti	R Rocha	N Moreira	N Moreira

Players	goals	shots on	Assists	big chances
P Vegetti FWD	12	20	1	3
R Rocha FWD	7	25	1	5
P Coutinho MID	5	21	2	6
N Moreira FWD	4	13	5	8
J Bebanz DEF	2	8	2	3
P Henrique DEF	1	8	4	3
L Freitas DEF	1	1
L Piton DEF	1	1	5	5
T Tchê MID	1	2
David FWD	1	5	3	5
C Cuesta DEF	1	2
H Moura MID		5	1	3
Jair MID		1
B Garré FWD		1		1
Adson FWD		2		1
C Luz MID		2
A Gomez FWD		1	2	2
V Luis DEF		1
M França MID		2

Most passes	Most tackles	Most duels won
1296	69	166
H Moura	P Henrique	P Henrique

Players	passes	tackles	duels won
H Moura MID	1296	46	76
L Freitas DEF	1093	15	54
L Piton DEF	1051	19	54
P Coutinho MID	901	16	71
T Tchê MID	792	12	59
N Moreira FWD	777	27	99
P Henrique DEF	754	69	166
L Jardim GLK	686		13
J Bebanz DEF	533	17	51
R Rocha FWD	457	26	120
Jair MID	413	13	38
P Vegetti FWD	279	15	100
C Luz MID	258	11	44
R Renan DEF	194	4	10
David FWD	175	7	30
Paulinho MID	159	6	19
B Garré FWD	140	6	9
T Mendes MID	139		3
Adson FWD	138	6	13
M Lemos DEF	136	1	5
C Cuesta DEF	135	7	16
V Luis DEF	97		5
L Oliveira DEF	91	3	11
D Fuzato GLK	52		1
A Gomez FWD	34	4	21
G. Souza da Silva FWD	30	3	7
M França MID	24	2	6
J Meneses MID	3	1	2