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Gremio v Bragantino : Serie A match betting preview, prediction and odds

Fri 13th Mar, 00:30 BST, Arena do Grêmio, Rio

The Serie A is the focus for both Gremio and Bragantino on Friday morning, as bosses Luís Manuel Ribeiro de Castro and Vágner Carmo Mancini face one another at the Arena do Grêmio. We've got predictions, tips, and odds and head-to-head stats across the biggest markets, all with the aim of helping you find a winning bet on this Serie A clash.


Best Tip: Over 1.5 goals

Our predictive algorithm suggests there is a 74% probability of Gremio and Bragantino scoring at least a couple of goals in this Serie A match. Recent form statistics and head-to-head (H2H) records are central to that calculation , and the bookies like the look of it as a tip too. This over 1.5 goals tip is available at 1.33.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think Gremio are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 46% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 2.10.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Gremio
46%
1/111/10
Draw
26%
23/1012/5
Bragantino
28%
5/212/5
Draw 1-1
12%
11/25/1
Gremio 1-0
11%
13/211/2
Gremio 2-1
9%
8/17/1
Gremio 2-0
8%
17/28/1
Bragantino 1-0
8%
9/18/1
Draw 0-0
7%
17/215/2
Bragantino 2-1
7%
11/110/1
Draw 2-2
5%
14/111/1
Gremio 3-1
5%
16/114/1
Bragantino 2-0
5%
16/112/1
Gremio 3-0
4%
18/114/1
Gremio 3-2
3%
28/122/1
Bragantino 3-1
3%
28/120/1
Bragantino 3-2
2%
33/125/1
Gremio 4-1
2%
40/125/1
Over 2.5 Goals
49%
1/119/20
Under 2.5 Goals
51%
4/53/4
Home 1st Goal
51%
8/113/4
Away 1st Goal
44%
13/1011/8
No 1st Goal
5%
17/215/2
BTTS - Yes
53%
4/54/5
BTTS - No
47%
19/2010/11
BTTS - Home Win
21%
7/216/5
BTTS - Draw
18%
7/217/5
BTTS - Away Win
13%
6/15/1
Home/draw
72%
2/73/10
Away/draw
54%
8/117/10
Home/away
74%
1/33/10
Over 1.5 Goals
74%
1/31/3
Under 1.5 Goals
26%
12/511/5
Over 3.5 Goals
27%
5/212/5
Under 3.5 Goals
73%
3/102/7
Over 4.5 Goals
13%
6/111/2
Under 4.5 Goals
87%
1/101/11
Over 5.5 Goals
5%
14/112/1
Under 5.5 Goals
95%
1/331/50
Over 0.5 Goals
93%
1/161/16
Under 0.5 Goals
7%
17/215/2
Home DNB
64%
1/21/2
Away DNB
46%
6/47/5
Gremio win to nil
25%
5/2-
Bragantino win to nil
15%
5/1-
Gremio / Gremio
24%
12/511/5
Gremio / Bragantino
3%
33/125/1
Gremio / Draw
6%
12/111/1
Draw / Gremio
16%
4/117/4
Draw / Bragantino
11%
13/213/2
Draw / Draw
16%
4/119/5
Bragantino / Gremio
4%
25/118/1
Bragantino / Bragantino
14%
5/117/4
Bragantino / Draw
6%
14/111/1
Match Predictor Pro
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Win / draw / win form
Gremio 8TH
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
29
Conceded
20
Games: Scored
15 / 20
Conceded
15 / 20
Clean sheets
5 / 20
Failed to score
5 / 20
Won
10
Draw
5
Lost
5
HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Gremio2 - 1A Mineiro
Gremio5 - 3Botafogo
Gremio1 - 2Fluminense
Gremio3 - 2Palmeiras
Gremio2 - 0Vasco d Gama
Gremio0 - 1Cruzeiro
Gremio3 - 1Juventude
Gremio2 - 0Sao Paulo
Gremio3 - 1Vitoria
Gremio1 - 1Botafogo
Gremio0 - 1Mirassol
Gremio0 - 0Ceara
Gremio0 - 1S. Recife
Gremio2 - 1Fortaleza
Gremio1 - 1Corinthians
Gremio1 - 0Bahia
Gremio1 - 1Bragantino
Gremio1 - 0Santos
Gremio1 - 1Internacional
Gremio0 - 2Flamengo
Goals: Scored
35
Conceded
31
Games: Scored
15 / 20
Conceded
17 / 20
Clean sheets
3 / 20
Failed to score
5 / 20
Won
9
D
3
Lost
8
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
HGremio2 - 1A Mineiro
AGremio0 - 2Sao Paulo
HGremio5 - 3Botafogo
AGremio1 - 2Fluminense
AGremio4 - 0S. Recife
HGremio1 - 2Fluminense
HGremio3 - 2Palmeiras
AGremio2 - 3Botafogo
HGremio2 - 0Vasco d Gama
AGremio2 - 2Fortaleza
HGremio0 - 1Cruzeiro
AGremio0 - 2Corinthians
HGremio3 - 1Juventude
AGremio0 - 4Bahia
HGremio2 - 0Sao Paulo
AGremio0 - 1Bragantino
AGremio1 - 1Santos
HGremio3 - 1Vitoria
HGremio1 - 1Botafogo
AGremio3 - 2Internacional
Bragantino 7TH
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
18
Conceded
33
Games: Scored
15 / 20
Conceded
16 / 20
Clean sheets
4 / 20
Failed to score
5 / 20
Won
6
D
2
Lost
12
AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Corinthians2 - 0Bragantino
Cortiba0 - 1Bragantino
Internacional3 - 1Bragantino
Flamengo3 - 0Bragantino
Sao Paulo0 - 1Bragantino
Bahia2 - 1Bragantino
Juventude1 - 0Bragantino
Palmeiras5 - 1Bragantino
Mirassol1 - 1Bragantino
Cruzeiro2 - 1Bragantino
Botafogo4 - 1Bragantino
Ceara1 - 0Bragantino
A Mineiro2 - 1Bragantino
Fortaleza3 - 1Bragantino
Vitoria1 - 0Bragantino
Corinthians1 - 2Bragantino
Vasco d Gama0 - 2Bragantino
Gremio1 - 1Bragantino
Santos1 - 2Bragantino
S. Recife0 - 1Bragantino
Goals: Scored
21
Conceded
28
Games: Scored
15 / 20
Conceded
14 / 20
Clean sheets
6 / 20
Failed to score
5 / 20
Won
7
D
4
Lost
9
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
HBragantino1 - 1Athletico PR
ABragantino0 - 2Corinthians
HBragantino1 - 0A Mineiro
ABragantino1 - 0Cortiba
ABragantino1 - 3Internacional
HBragantino4 - 0Vitoria
HBragantino0 - 1Fortaleza
ABragantino0 - 3Flamengo
HBragantino2 - 0A Mineiro
ABragantino1 - 0Sao Paulo
HBragantino2 - 1Corinthians
ABragantino1 - 2Bahia
HBragantino0 - 3Vasco d Gama
ABragantino0 - 1Juventude
ABragantino1 - 5Palmeiras
HBragantino1 - 0Gremio
ABragantino1 - 1Mirassol
HBragantino2 - 2Santos
ABragantino1 - 2Cruzeiro
HBragantino1 - 1S. Recife
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
6
Bragantino have not lost to Gremio in 6 consecutive league meetings
League games at Gremio since 2020
Gremio
Bragantino
Goals: Scored
9
7
Games: Scored
4 / 5
4 / 5
Clean sheets
1 / 5
1 / 5
GRE
2
D
2
RBB
1
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Gremio
Draw1 - 1Draw
0 - 2Bragantino
Draw3 - 3Draw
Gremio3 - 0
Gremio2 - 1
League games at Bragantino since 2021
Bragantino
Gremio
Goals: Scored
7
2
Games: Scored
5 / 5
1 / 5
Clean sheets
4 / 5
0 / 5
D
1
RBB
4
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Bragantino
Bragantino1 - 0
Draw2 - 2Draw
Bragantino2 - 0
Bragantino1 - 0
Bragantino1 - 0
Goal Statistics

Goals have been difficult to come by for Bragantino of late. It has been 5 Serie A matches since they last scored more than 1, and a PG of 1.1 suggests they'll have problems ending that run on Friday morning against Gremio.

Gremio 8th Bragantino 7th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.5
goals
1.1
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
22%
1
33%
2
25%
3
13%
4+
There is a 78% probability that Gremio will score 1 or more goals
0
32%
1
37%
2
21%
3
8%
4+
There is a 69% probability that Bragantino will score no more than 1 goal
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
+14
Gremio have scored 14% more goals at home than predicted
-11
Bragantino have scored 11% fewer goals when away than predicted
1.5
average goals scored
0.9
average goals scored
1.0
conceded
1.7
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Serie A - 2026/2026 season
Gremio
PG (predicted goals)
Bragantino
1.5
1.1
Attack rating
16%
better
GRE
RBB
view stats
Games scored3
3
Failed to score1
1
Scored first1
3
Goals scored8
3
Avg. goals scored2
0.8
Avg. shots per game9
12
Avg. shots per goal5
16
Conversion rate for22
6
Avg. XG for1.6
1.3
KickOff rating
+16%
Defence rating
GRE
RBB
58%
better
view stats
Games conceded4
2
Clean sheets0
2
Conceded first3
1
Goals conceded8
3
Avg. goals conceded2
0.8
Avg. shots/game conceded10
10
Avg. shots/goal conceded5
13
Conversion rate against21%
8%
Avg. XG against1.9
0.8
KickOff rating
+58%

Gremio v Bragantino Serie A lLine ups will show here when available.

Gremio Serie A squad statistics 2026
Overall
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
NO DATA AVAILABLE
Bragantino Serie A squad statistics 2026
Overall
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
NO DATA AVAILABLE