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Mirassol v Fluminense : Serie A match betting preview, prediction and odds

Sun 13th Jul, 19:00 BST, Estádio José Maria de Campos Maia, Mirassol

Sunday evening at the Estádio José Maria de Campos Maia, and it’s a Serie A clash between Mirassol and Fluminense. Rafael Escobar Obrero and Renato Arapi going all-out to ensure the win. Stats drive the algorithmic predictions below for 17 individual betting markets, and switching between them will display bespoke analysis, including head-to-head, form and a whole lot more besides. Odds are also provided. Hit the tabs below to find out more.


Best Tip: Over 1.5 goals

The stats suggest we don't have an obvious winner in this fixture, but the evidence does point towards the conclusion that Mirassol and Fluminense will find the net twice at least between them. That has been the case when they've gone head-to-head in the past, and neither Rafael Escobar Obrero or Renato Arapi has served up too many 0-0s recently either. The bookies predict over 1.5 goals too, with top odds of 1.50 equating to approximately a 75% probability.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think Mirassol are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 46% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 2.70.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Mirassol
46%
-17/10
8%
Draw
25%
-21/10
6%
Fluminense
28%
-7/4
2%
Draw 1-1
12%
-19/4
4%
Mirassol 1-0
10%
-11/2
Mirassol 2-1
9%
-17/2
6%
Mirassol 2-0
8%
-9/1
Fluminense 1-0
8%
-11/2
7%
Fluminense 2-1
7%
-17/2
Draw 0-0
7%
-11/2
7%
Draw 2-2
5%
-14/1
Mirassol 3-1
5%
-18/1
12%
Fluminense 2-0
4%
-9/1
9%
Mirassol 3-0
4%
-20/1
11%
Mirassol 3-2
3%
-28/1
12%
Fluminense 3-1
3%
-20/1
11%
Fluminense 3-2
2%
-28/1
12%
Mirassol 4-1
2%
-40/1
21%
Over 2.5 Goals
51%
-29/20
9%
Under 2.5 Goals
49%
-1/2
4%
Home 1st Goal
51%
-11/10
5%
Away 1st Goal
45%
-11/10
No 1st Goal
4%
-11/2
7%
BTTS - Yes
54%
-11/10
5%
BTTS - No
46%
-4/6
3%
BTTS - Home Win
22%
-5/1
9%
BTTS - Draw
19%
-18/5
BTTS - Away Win
14%
-5/1
4%
Home/draw
72%
-4/9
Away/draw
54%
-4/9
4%
Home/away
75%
-4/11
2%
Over 1.5 Goals
75%
-1/2
4%
Under 1.5 Goals
25%
-29/20
9%
Over 3.5 Goals
29%
-18/5
10%
Under 3.5 Goals
71%
-1/6
3%
Over 4.5 Goals
14%
-9/1
18%
Under 4.5 Goals
86%
-1/25
2%
Over 5.5 Goals
6%
-20/1
24%
Under 5.5 Goals
94%
-1/200
Over 0.5 Goals
93%
-1/10
3%
Under 0.5 Goals
7%
-11/2
13%
Home DNB
64%
-17/20
6%
Away DNB
46%
-17/20
5%
Mirassol win to nil
25%
--
Fluminense win to nil
15%
--
Mirassol / Mirassol
18%
-16/5
8%
Mirassol / Fluminense
3%
-25/1
13%
Mirassol / Draw
6%
-12/1
Draw / Mirassol
13%
-19/4
5%
Draw / Fluminense
13%
-19/4
4%
Draw / Draw
19%
-3/1
9%
Fluminense / Mirassol
3%
-25/1
13%
Fluminense / Fluminense
18%
-10/3
Fluminense / Draw
6%
-12/1
Match Predictor Pro
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Win / draw / win form
13
Mirassol have not lost in 13 consecutive home league games
Mirassol 8TH
20 league games
Home
13
Overall
Goals: Scored
27
Conceded
8
Games: Scored
16 / 20
Conceded
6 / 20
Clean sheets
14 / 20
Failed to score
4 / 20
Won
13
Draw
6
L
1
HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Mirassol1 - 0S. Recife
Mirassol2 - 1Corinthians
Mirassol2 - 2A Mineiro
Mirassol4 - 1Gremio
Mirassol1 - 1Fortaleza
Mirassol1 - 0Chapecoense
Mirassol4 - 1Cortiba
Mirassol3 - 0Ponte Preta
Mirassol1 - 0Novorizontin
Mirassol1 - 0Vila Nova
Mirassol0 - 0S. Recife
Mirassol0 - 0Amazonas
Mirassol1 - 0America
Mirassol1 - 2Botafogo
Mirassol2 - 0Brusque
Mirassol1 - 0Operario
Mirassol0 - 0Avai
Mirassol1 - 0CRB
Mirassol0 - 0Santos
Mirassol1 - 0Goias
Goals: Scored
31
Conceded
17
Games: Scored
18 / 20
Conceded
12 / 20
Clean sheets
8 / 20
Failed to score
2 / 20
Won
10
Draw
7
L
3
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
HMirassol1 - 0S. Recife
AMirassol2 - 0Sao Paulo
AMirassol1 - 1Internacional
HMirassol2 - 1Corinthians
AMirassol0 - 1Bragantino
HMirassol2 - 2A Mineiro
AMirassol2 - 2Juventude
HMirassol4 - 1Gremio
AMirassol1 - 1Bahia
HMirassol1 - 1Fortaleza
AMirassol1 - 2Cruzeiro
HMirassol1 - 0Chapecoense
AMirassol1 - 1Operario
AMirassol0 - 0Avai
HMirassol4 - 1Cortiba
HMirassol3 - 0Ponte Preta
AMirassol1 - 0CRB
HMirassol1 - 0Novorizontin
AMirassol2 - 3Santos
HMirassol1 - 0Vila Nova
Fluminense 5TH
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
18
Conceded
21
Games: Scored
13 / 20
Conceded
13 / 20
Clean sheets
7 / 20
Failed to score
7 / 20
Won
7
D
3
Lost
10
AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Internacional0 - 2Fluminense
Juventude1 - 1Fluminense
A Mineiro3 - 2Fluminense
Botafogo2 - 0Fluminense
Corinthians0 - 2Fluminense
Fortaleza2 - 0Fluminense
Palmeiras0 - 1Fluminense
Athletico PR1 - 1Fluminense
Internacional2 - 0Fluminense
Vitoria2 - 1Fluminense
Flamengo0 - 2Fluminense
Atletico Go1 - 0Fluminense
Juventude2 - 1Fluminense
A Mineiro0 - 2Fluminense
Vasco d Gama2 - 0Fluminense
Bragantino0 - 1Fluminense
Cuiaba0 - 1Fluminense
Criciuma1 - 1Fluminense
Fortaleza1 - 0Fluminense
Gremio1 - 0Fluminense
Goals: Scored
24
Conceded
21
Games: Scored
16 / 20
Conceded
13 / 20
Clean sheets
7 / 20
Failed to score
4 / 20
Won
9
Draw
6
Lost
5
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
AFluminense2 - 0Internacional
HFluminense2 - 1Vasco d Gama
AFluminense1 - 1Juventude
AFluminense2 - 3A Mineiro
HFluminense2 - 1S. Recife
AFluminense0 - 2Botafogo
HFluminense1 - 1Vitoria
AFluminense2 - 0Corinthians
HFluminense1 - 0Santos
HFluminense2 - 1Bragantino
AFluminense0 - 2Fortaleza
AFluminense1 - 0Palmeiras
HFluminense1 - 0Cuiaba
AFluminense1 - 1Athletico PR
HFluminense0 - 0Criciuma
HFluminense2 - 2Fortaleza
AFluminense0 - 2Internacional
HFluminense2 - 2Gremio
AFluminense1 - 2Vitoria
HFluminense1 - 0Athletico PR
Goal Statistics

Mirassol's defensive record is to be admired, Rafael Escobar Obrero's men having conceded 1 or less in 5 consecutive Serie A matches. An underwhelming PG rating of 1.2 for Fluminense makes sense in this context.

Mirassol 8th Fluminense 5th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.5
goals
1.2
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
21%
1
33%
2
25%
3
13%
4+
There is a 79% probability that Mirassol will score 1 or more goals
0
32%
1
36%
2
21%
3
8%
4+
There is a 68% probability that Fluminense will score no more than 1 goal
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
-1
Mirassol’s goalscoring at home has been inline with predictions
-1
Fluminense’s goalscoring when away has been inline with predictions
1.4
average goals scored
0.9
average goals scored
0.4
conceded
1.1
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Serie A - 2025/2025 season
https://api.kickoff.co.uk/v1/fixture/294575/accaPanel/formStats/marketCode/FULL
Mirassol
PG (predicted goals)
Fluminense
1.5
1.2
Attack rating
13%
better
FLU
view stats
Games scored10
9
Failed to score1
2
Scored first6
6
Goals scored17
15
Avg. goals scored1.5
1.4
Avg. shots per game9
10
Avg. shots per goal6
7
Conversion rate for17
14
Avg. XG for1.6
1.1
KickOff rating
+13%
Defence rating
FLU
3%
better
view stats
Games conceded9
8
Clean sheets2
3
Conceded first5
5
Goals conceded12
12
Avg. goals conceded1.1
1.1
Avg. shots/game conceded10
8
Avg. shots/goal conceded9
7
Conversion rate against11%
14%
Avg. XG against1.4
0.9
KickOff rating
+3%

Mirassol v Fluminense Serie A lLine ups will show here when available.

Mirassol Serie A squad statistics 2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
11623
J. Ribeiro da SilvaReinaldoReinaldoN Moura 
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
Reinaldo DEF1162
2
-
J. Ribeiro da Silva DEF111
1
-
J Victor DEF11
2
-
Danielzinho MID111
1
-
L Ramon DEF1011
2
-
Edson FWD1022
1
-
C Renato FWD1011
2
-
Gabriel MID92
1
-
N Moura  MID9
3
-
J Aldo MID9
2
-
I Castilho FWD91
2
-
Y Felipe MID8
-
F Daniel FWD8
-
Negueba FWD7
2
-
A Muralha GLK6
2
-
Clayson MID62
2
-
Walter GLK5
1
-
D Borges DEF52
2
-
E. de Oliveira Santos FWD5
1
-
Roni MID4
1
-
M Bianqui MID4
1
-
Chico MID3
-
J. Silva Neves MID2
1
-
M Davó FWD21
-
L Filipe MID1
-
Fluminense Serie A squad statistics 2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
11343
F FábioK SernaJ AriasNonato
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
F Fábio GLK11
1
-
J Freytes DEF11
2
-
Martinelli MID1111
-
Everaldo FWD111
1
-
J Arias FWD1114
1
-
S Xavier DEF911
2
-
K Serna FWD93
-
Renê DEF81
-
Lima MID81
1
-
H Hércules MID81
1
-
A Canobbio FWD811
1
-
Ignacio DEF7
-
T Silva DEF7
-
Ganso MID7
1
-
Nonato MID7
3
-
F Cruz MID6
2
-
G Cano FWD61
1
-
Guga DEF51
1
-
T Santos DEF4
-
P Baya FWD411
-
Keno FWD4
-
G Fuentes DEF3
1
-
R Lezcano MID3
-
R Augusto MID2
-
R. Silva de Almeida FWD2
-
I. Severino Silva MID1
-
J Lavega FWD1
-