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Mirassol v Fluminense : Serie A match betting preview, prediction and odds

Thu 9th Oct, 01:00 BST, Estádio José Maria de Campos Maia, Mirassol

The Serie A is the focus for both Mirassol and Fluminense on Thursday morning, as managers Rafael Escobar Obrero and Luis Francisco Zubeldía face one another at the Estádio José Maria de Campos Maia. You'll find statistics supporting our top of below, but be sure to take a look at the 16 other betting markets we cover too. Each has been designed to deliver as full a picture as possible, with Serie A performances and head to heads (H2Hs) included, so that you feel able to make a well-informed bet. Finally, be sure to get the best odds from leading bookmakers.


Best Tip: Over 1.5 goals

The stats suggest we don't have an obvious winner in this fixture, but the evidence does point towards the conclusion that Mirassol and Fluminense will find the net twice at least between them. That has been the case when they've gone head-to-head in the past, and neither Rafael Escobar Obrero or Renato Arapi has served up too many 0-0s recently either. The bookies predict over 1.5 goals too, with top odds of 1.50 equating to approximately a 75% probability.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think Mirassol are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 51% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 2.30.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Mirassol
51%
13/1013/10
8%
Draw
24%
21/1021/10
6%
Fluminense
26%
11/59/4
4%
Draw 1-1
11%
5/119/4
4%
Mirassol 1-0
10%
6/111/2
Mirassol 2-1
10%
17/215/2
6%
Mirassol 2-0
8%
10/117/2
Fluminense 1-0
7%
8/17/1
7%
Fluminense 2-1
6%
11/19/1
Draw 0-0
6%
15/26/1
7%
Draw 2-2
6%
14/112/1
Mirassol 3-1
6%
20/114/1
12%
Mirassol 3-0
5%
20/116/1
11%
Fluminense 2-0
4%
14/112/1
9%
Mirassol 3-2
3%
33/122/1
12%
Fluminense 3-1
2%
28/120/1
Mirassol 4-1
2%
40/128/1
21%
Fluminense 3-2
2%
40/125/1
12%
Over 2.5 Goals
55%
23/2011/10
9%
Under 2.5 Goals
45%
4/64/6
4%
Home 1st Goal
53%
5/617/20
5%
Away 1st Goal
44%
6/55/4
No 1st Goal
3%
15/26/1
7%
BTTS - Yes
56%
10/1117/20
5%
BTTS - No
44%
10/1117/20
3%
BTTS - Home Win
25%
4/118/5
9%
BTTS - Draw
18%
10/310/3
BTTS - Away Win
13%
6/15/1
4%
Home/draw
74%
4/111/3
Away/draw
49%
4/73/5
4%
Home/away
76%
4/117/20
2%
Over 1.5 Goals
78%
4/114/11
3%
Under 1.5 Goals
22%
11/515/8
7%
Over 3.5 Goals
32%
3/127/10
10%
Under 3.5 Goals
68%
1/41/4
3%
Over 4.5 Goals
16%
7/113/2
12%
Under 4.5 Goals
84%
1/121/14
2%
Over 5.5 Goals
7%
16/114/1
12%
Under 5.5 Goals
93%
1/401/80
Over 0.5 Goals
94%
1/141/14
3%
Under 0.5 Goals
6%
15/213/2
13%
Home DNB
67%
8/133/5
6%
Away DNB
42%
6/56/5
5%
Mirassol win to nil
26%
11/4-
Fluminense win to nil
12%
9/2-
Mirassol / Mirassol
22%
11/413/5
11%
Mirassol / Fluminense
3%
33/125/1
13%
Mirassol / Draw
6%
12/111/1
Draw / Mirassol
15%
9/217/4
5%
Draw / Fluminense
12%
6/111/2
4%
Draw / Draw
18%
15/416/5
9%
Fluminense / Mirassol
3%
28/120/1
13%
Fluminense / Fluminense
16%
4/14/1
Fluminense / Draw
6%
14/111/1
Win / draw / win form
20
Mirassol have not won in 20 consecutive home league games
Mirassol 5TH
20 league games
Home
20
Overall
Goals: Scored
37
Conceded
12
Games: Scored
18 / 20
Conceded
10 / 20
Clean sheets
10 / 20
Failed to score
2 / 20
Won
13
Draw
7
Goals: Scored
33
Conceded
18
Games: Scored
18 / 20
Conceded
13 / 20
Clean sheets
7 / 20
Failed to score
2 / 20
Won
10
Draw
7
L
3
Fluminense 8TH
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
22
Conceded
29
Games: Scored
14 / 20
Conceded
14 / 20
Clean sheets
6 / 20
Failed to score
6 / 20
Won
5
Draw
5
Lost
10
Goals: Scored
25
Conceded
28
Games: Scored
15 / 20
Conceded
15 / 20
Clean sheets
5 / 20
Failed to score
5 / 20
Won
7
Draw
5
Lost
8
Goal Statistics
Mirassol 5th Fluminense 8th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.7
goals
1.2
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
18%
1
31%
2
26%
3
15%
4+
10%
There is a 82% probability that Mirassol will score 1 or more goals
0
32%
1
36%
2
21%
3
8%
4+
There is a 68% probability that Fluminense will score no more than 1 goal
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
+27
Mirassol have scored 27% more goals at home than predicted
+12
Fluminense have scored 12% more goals when away than predicted
1.9
average goals scored
1.1
average goals scored
0.6
conceded
1.5
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Serie A - 2025/2025 season
Mirassol
PG (predicted goals)
Fluminense
1.7
1.2
Attack rating
36%
better
FLU
view stats
Games scored22
16
Failed to score1
6
Scored first14
11
Goals scored41
26
Avg. goals scored1.6
1.1
Avg. shots per game9
8
Avg. shots per goal5
8
Conversion rate for19
13
Avg. XG for1.6
1
KickOff rating
+36%
Defence rating
15%
better
FLU
view stats
Games conceded16
16
Clean sheets7
6
Conceded first9
10
Goals conceded23
29
Avg. goals conceded0.9
1.2
Avg. shots/game conceded9
7
Avg. shots/goal conceded10
6
Conversion rate against10%
17%
Avg. XG against1.3
1
KickOff rating
+15%

Mirassol v Fluminense Serie A lLine ups will show here when available.

Mirassol Serie A squad statistics 2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
25947
J. Ribeiro da SilvaReinaldoAlessonJ Victor
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
J. Ribeiro da Silva DEF252
2
-
Reinaldo DEF2493
4
-
Danielzinho MID242
4
-
L Ramon DEF2322
5
-
N Moura  MID23
6
-
J Victor DEF2111
6
1
J Aldo MID211
2
-
C Renato FWD2141
2
-
Negueba FWD2133
2
-
Edson FWD2142
1
-
Walter GLK19
2
-
Gabriel MID1831
2
-
Y Felipe MID151
2
-
Alesson FWD1334
1
-
Chico FWD126
1
-
C Eduardo FWD123
1
-
M Bianqui MID11
1
-
Chico MID10
1
-
D Borges DEF92
2
-
Roni MID7
1
-
A Muralha GLK6
2
-
E. de Oliveira Santos FWD5
1
-
Gabriel DEF4
-
Shaylon MID4
-
Guilherme MID2
-
F Jonatan DEF1
-
Fluminense Serie A squad statistics 2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
24635
F FábioG CanoK SernaF Cruz
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
F Fábio GLK24
1
-
Martinelli MID2112
4
-
J Freytes DEF20
3
1
H Hércules MID203
1
-
K Serna FWD2033
2
-
Lima MID182
2
-
Everaldo FWD182
1
-
G Cano FWD176
1
-
A Canobbio FWD1722
3
-
S Xavier DEF1621
3
-
Renê DEF151
-
T Silva DEF14
-
Guga DEF1411
1
-
Ganso MID14
2
-
Ignacio DEF13
2
-
F Cruz MID13
5
-
Nonato MID121
3
-
Y Soteldo FWD9
-
Keno FWD92
-
G Fuentes DEF8
3
-
T Santos DEF7
2
-
Manoel DEF5
-
L Acosta MID52
2
-
J Kennedy FWD51
-
R Lezcano MID4
-
O Otávio MID4
-
R. Silva de Almeida FWD4
-
I Rabello  DEF3
1
1
S Moreno FWD3
1
-
J Lavega FWD2
-