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Palmeiras v Mirassol : Serie A match betting preview, prediction and odds

Wed 16th Jul, 23:00 BST, Allianz Parque, São Paulo

Abel Fernando Moreira Ferreira and Rafael Escobar Obrero pit their wits in the Serie A on Wednesday night, as Palmeiras face Mirassol at the Allianz Parque. We want you to make a winning bet on this match, so every stats you could realistically need to make a well-informed wager is laid out below. Switch between 17 betting markets or take our top tip. We have predictions, head-to-head analysis and odds from leading bookmakers for every one.


Best Tip: Under 2.5 goals

We are tipping a close-fought game here and, as such, we predict under 2.5 goals. This means that we expect 2 goals or less will be scored in total as Palmeiras and Mirassol go head-to-head. Good performances all round will be required to deliver us a winner, but we have faith in both sides to deliver exactly that. The stats and the odds below point in this direction too.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think Palmeiras are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 44% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 1.50.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Palmeiras
44%
1/2-
Draw
30%
10/3-
Mirassol
26%
9/2-
Palmeiras 1-0
16%
4/1-
Draw 0-0
14%
15/2-
Draw 1-1
13%
15/2-
Mirassol 1-0
11%
10/1-
Palmeiras 2-0
9%
5/1-
Palmeiras 2-1
8%
8/1-
Mirassol 2-1
5%
18/1-
Mirassol 2-0
5%
28/1-
Palmeiras 3-0
4%
9/1-
Draw 2-2
3%
25/1-
Palmeiras 3-1
3%
14/1-
Mirassol 3-1
1%
50/1-
Mirassol 3-0
1%
80/1-
Palmeiras 3-2
1%
40/1-
Palmeiras 4-0
1%
20/1-
Over 2.5 Goals
32%
6/5-
Under 2.5 Goals
68%
13/20-
Home 1st Goal
50%
4/11-
Away 1st Goal
41%
11/4-
No 1st Goal
9%
15/2-
BTTS - Yes
39%
11/8-
BTTS - No
61%
8/15-
BTTS - Home Win
13%
10/3-
BTTS - Draw
17%
6/1-
BTTS - Away Win
8%
12/1-
Home/draw
74%
1/7-
Away/draw
56%
6/4-
Home/away
70%
1/5-
Over 1.5 Goals
59%
2/5-
Under 1.5 Goals
41%
2/1-
Over 3.5 Goals
14%
10/3-
Under 3.5 Goals
86%
2/9-
Over 4.5 Goals
5%
8/1-
Under 4.5 Goals
95%
1/14-
Over 5.5 Goals
2%
18/1-
Under 5.5 Goals
98%
1/50-
Over 0.5 Goals
86%
1/14-
Under 0.5 Goals
14%
15/2-
Home DNB
65%
1/5-
Away DNB
47%
10/3-
Palmeiras win to nil
30%
11/10-
Mirassol win to nil
18%
7/1-
Palmeiras / Palmeiras
36%
13/10-
Palmeiras / Mirassol
2%
40/1-
Palmeiras / Draw
5%
16/1-
Draw / Palmeiras
21%
3/1-
Draw / Mirassol
6%
12/1-
Draw / Draw
15%
9/2-
Mirassol / Palmeiras
3%
25/1-
Mirassol / Mirassol
7%
11/1-
Mirassol / Draw
4%
18/1-
Match Predictor Pro
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Win / draw / win form
Palmeiras 4TH
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
35
Conceded
16
Games: Scored
15 / 20
Conceded
11 / 20
Clean sheets
9 / 20
Failed to score
5 / 20
Won
13
D
2
Lost
5
HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Palmeiras0 - 2Flamengo
Palmeiras1 - 0Sao Paulo
Palmeiras0 - 1Bahia
Palmeiras2 - 0Corinthians
Palmeiras0 - 0Botafogo
Palmeiras0 - 1Fluminense
Palmeiras1 - 3Botafogo
Palmeiras1 - 0Gremio
Palmeiras2 - 2Fortaleza
Palmeiras2 - 1A Mineiro
Palmeiras5 - 0Criciuma
Palmeiras5 - 0Cuiaba
Palmeiras2 - 1Sao Paulo
Palmeiras0 - 2Vitoria
Palmeiras2 - 0Cruzeiro
Palmeiras3 - 1Atletico Go
Palmeiras2 - 0Bahia
Palmeiras2 - 0Corinthians
Palmeiras3 - 1Juventude
Palmeiras2 - 1Bragantino
Goals: Scored
26
Conceded
21
Games: Scored
15 / 20
Conceded
13 / 20
Clean sheets
7 / 20
Failed to score
5 / 20
Won
12
D
2
Lost
6
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
APalmeiras1 - 2Cruzeiro
HPalmeiras0 - 2Flamengo
APalmeiras2 - 1Bragantino
HPalmeiras1 - 0Sao Paulo
APalmeiras1 - 0Vasco d Gama
HPalmeiras0 - 1Bahia
APalmeiras2 - 1Fortaleza
APalmeiras1 - 0Internacional
HPalmeiras2 - 0Corinthians
APalmeiras2 - 1S. Recife
HPalmeiras0 - 0Botafogo
HPalmeiras0 - 1Fluminense
APalmeiras2 - 1Cruzeiro
HPalmeiras1 - 3Botafogo
APalmeiras1 - 0Atletico Go
APalmeiras2 - 1Bahia
HPalmeiras1 - 0Gremio
APalmeiras0 - 2Corinthians
HPalmeiras2 - 2Fortaleza
APalmeiras5 - 3Juventude
Mirassol 8TH
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
21
Conceded
22
Games: Scored
15 / 20
Conceded
13 / 20
Clean sheets
7 / 20
Failed to score
5 / 20
Won
6
Draw
7
Lost
7
AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Sao Paulo0 - 2Mirassol
Internacional1 - 1Mirassol
Bragantino1 - 0Mirassol
Juventude2 - 2Mirassol
Bahia1 - 1Mirassol
Cruzeiro2 - 1Mirassol
Operario1 - 1Mirassol
Avai0 - 0Mirassol
CRB0 - 1Mirassol
Santos3 - 2Mirassol
Goias0 - 1Mirassol
Guarani1 - 0Mirassol
Ituano3 - 2Mirassol
Paysandu0 - 0Mirassol
Ceara1 - 2Mirassol
Chapecoense0 - 1Mirassol
Cortiba0 - 1Mirassol
Ponte Preta4 - 2Mirassol
Novorizontin1 - 1Mirassol
Vila Nova1 - 0Mirassol
Goals: Scored
31
Conceded
17
Games: Scored
18 / 20
Conceded
12 / 20
Clean sheets
8 / 20
Failed to score
2 / 20
Won
10
Draw
7
L
3
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
HMirassol1 - 0S. Recife
AMirassol2 - 0Sao Paulo
AMirassol1 - 1Internacional
HMirassol2 - 1Corinthians
AMirassol0 - 1Bragantino
HMirassol2 - 2A Mineiro
AMirassol2 - 2Juventude
HMirassol4 - 1Gremio
AMirassol1 - 1Bahia
HMirassol1 - 1Fortaleza
AMirassol1 - 2Cruzeiro
HMirassol1 - 0Chapecoense
AMirassol1 - 1Operario
AMirassol0 - 0Avai
HMirassol4 - 1Cortiba
HMirassol3 - 0Ponte Preta
AMirassol1 - 0CRB
HMirassol1 - 0Novorizontin
AMirassol2 - 3Santos
HMirassol1 - 0Vila Nova
Goal Statistics

Mirassol's defensive record is very strong, Rafael Escobar Obrero's men having conceded 1 or less in 5 consecutive Serie A games. An underwhelming PG rating of 1.2 for Palmeiras makes sense in this context.

Palmeiras 4th Mirassol 8th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.2
goals
0.8
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
31%
1
36%
2
21%
3
4+
There is a 67% probability that Palmeiras will score no more than 1 goal
0
44%
1
36%
2
15%
3
4+
There is a 80% probability of Mirassol scoring 1 goal or less
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
+5
Palmeiras’s goalscoring at home has been inline with predictions
+14
Mirassol have scored 14% more goals when away than predicted
1.8
average goals scored
1.1
average goals scored
0.8
conceded
1.1
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Serie A - 2025/2025 season
https://api.kickoff.co.uk/v1/fixture/294584/accaPanel/formStats/marketCode/FULL
Palmeiras
PG (predicted goals)
Mirassol
1.2
0.8
Attack rating
PAL
25%
better
view stats
Games scored8
10
Failed to score3
1
Scored first6
6
Goals scored12
17
Avg. goals scored1.1
1.5
Avg. shots per game10
9
Avg. shots per goal9
6
Conversion rate for11
17
Avg. XG for1.3
1.6
KickOff rating
+25%
Defence rating
28%
better
PAL
view stats
Games conceded6
9
Clean sheets5
2
Conceded first4
5
Goals conceded8
12
Avg. goals conceded0.7
1.1
Avg. shots/game conceded7
10
Avg. shots/goal conceded10
9
Conversion rate against10%
11%
Avg. XG against0.9
1.4
KickOff rating
+28%

Palmeiras v Mirassol Serie A lLine ups will show here when available.

Palmeiras Serie A squad statistics 2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
11224
WevertonJ PiquerezR RíosR Ríos
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
Weverton GLK11
1
-
J Piquerez DEF112
2
-
A Giay DEF11
-
E Martínez MID101
1
-
V Roque FWD102
2
-
J López FWD102
2
-
R Ríos MID92
4
-
F Torres FWD921
1
-
G Portillo DEF8
3
-
B Fuchs DEF8
2
-
L Evangelista MID81
-
A Moreno  MID8
-
F Anderson FWD8
-
M Maurício MID71
-
Paulinho FWD7
-
Micael DEF6
1
-
A. Andrade Elias MID61
-
R Veiga MID5
-
Murilo DEF41
3
-
Mayke DEF2
1
-
L. Sousa Santos FWD2
-
Vanderlan DEF1
-
K Naves DEF1
-
L. Roncholeta Benedetti DEF1
-
T. Gomes de Araújo FWD1
-
Mirassol Serie A squad statistics 2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
11623
J. Ribeiro da SilvaReinaldoReinaldoN Moura 
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
Reinaldo DEF1162
2
-
J. Ribeiro da Silva DEF111
1
-
J Victor DEF11
2
-
Danielzinho MID111
1
-
L Ramon DEF1011
2
-
Edson FWD1022
1
-
J Aldo MID9
2
-
Gabriel MID92
1
-
N Moura  MID9
3
-
I Castilho FWD91
2
-
F Daniel FWD8
-
Negueba FWD7
2
-
A Muralha GLK6
2
-
Clayson MID62
2
-
Walter GLK5
1
-
D Borges DEF52
2
-
E. de Oliveira Santos FWD5
1
-
Roni MID4
1
-
M Bianqui MID4
1
-
Chico MID3
-
J. Silva Neves MID2
1
-
M Davó FWD21
-
L Filipe MID1
-