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Santos v Corinthians : Serie A match betting preview, prediction and odds

Thu 16th Oct, 01:30 BST, Estádio Urbano Caldeira, Santos

Juan Pablo Vojvoda's Santos side will have home backing in the Serie A on Thursday morning, as Dorival Silvestre Júnior's Corinthians visit the Estádio Urbano Caldeira. For every Serie A match preview, KickOff explores the stats for all of the biggest markets. Key stats, including head to head (H2H) results, are then brought forward alongside odds from leading bookmakers.

Best Tip: Under 2.5 goals

We're expecting a game with little to choose between the sides here and, as such, our prediction is under 2.5 goals. That means we a suggesting 2 goals or less will be scored in total as Santos and Corinthians go head-to-head. Tight defences and clear heads will be required to deliver us a winner, but we have faith in both sides to deliver precisely that. The stats and the odds below suggest it's a sound bet too.

An away win looks like the most likely outcome in the win/draw/win market, with our predictive algorithm suggesting there’s a 36% chance of Corinthians coming away with a win.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Predictions	Bet365	Coral
Santos 34%	2.20	-
Draw 30%	3.10	-
Corinthians 36%	3.50	-
Draw 1-1 14%	6.00	-
Corinthians 1-0 13%	8.00	-
Santos 1-0 13%	6.00	-
Draw 0-0 13%	6.50	-
Corinthians 2-1 7%	13.00	-
Santos 2-1 7%	10.00	-
Corinthians 2-0 7%	17.00	-
Santos 2-0 7%	9.00	-
Draw 2-2 4%	19.00	-
Corinthians 3-1 2%	34.00	-
Corinthians 3-0 2%	41.00	-
Santos 3-1 2%	21.00	-
Santos 3-0 2%	21.00	-
Corinthians 3-2 1%	41.00	-
Santos 3-2 1%	41.00	-
Over 2.5 Goals 34%	2.60	-
Under 2.5 Goals 66%	1.48	-
Home 1st Goal 45%	1.83	-
Away 1st Goal 46%	2.40	-
No 1st Goal 9%	6.50	-
BTTS - Yes 42%	2.10	-
BTTS - No 58%	1.67	-
BTTS - Home Win 12%	6.00	-
BTTS - Draw 18%	4.75	-
BTTS - Away Win 12%	9.00	-
Home/draw 64%	1.29	-
Away/draw 66%	1.67	-
Home/away 70%	1.36	-
Over 1.5 Goals 61%	1.53	-
Under 1.5 Goals 39%	2.50	-
Over 3.5 Goals 16%	5.00	-
Under 3.5 Goals 84%	1.17	-
Over 4.5 Goals 6%	11.00	-
Under 4.5 Goals 94%	1.05	-
Over 5.5 Goals 2%	26.00	-
Under 5.5 Goals 98%	1.01	-
Over 0.5 Goals 87%	1.11	-
Under 0.5 Goals 13%	6.50	-
Home DNB 55%	1.50	-
Away DNB 57%	2.50	-
Santos win to nil 22%	3.25	-
Corinthians win to nil 23%	5.00	-
Santos / Santos 23%	3.60	-
Santos / Corinthians 2%	41.00	-
Santos / Draw 6%	15.00	-
Draw / Santos 17%	5.00	-
Draw / Corinthians 12%	7.00	-
Draw / Draw 19%	4.33	-
Corinthians / Santos 3%	29.00	-
Corinthians / Corinthians 14%	6.00	-
Corinthians / Draw 6%	15.00	-

Win / draw / win form

Home

Overall

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

15 / 20

Conceded

12 / 20

Clean sheets

8 / 20

Failed to score

5 / 20

Won

Draw

Lost

HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Santos	1 - 1	Gremio
Santos	1 - 0	Sao Paulo
Santos	0 - 0	Fluminense
Santos	0 - 6	Vasco d Gama
Santos	3 - 1	Juventude
Santos	1 - 2	Internacional
Santos	1 - 0	Flamengo
Santos	0 - 1	Botafogo
Santos	0 - 0	Ceara
Santos	1 - 2	Bragantino
Santos	2 - 0	A Mineiro
Santos	2 - 2	Bahia
Santos	0 - 2	CRB
Santos	3 - 0	Vila Nova
Santos	1 - 0	Ceara
Santos	3 - 2	Mirassol
Santos	1 - 0	Operario
Santos	1 - 1	Novorizontin
Santos	2 - 1	America
Santos	2 - 2	Ponte Preta

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

12 / 20

Conceded

15 / 20

Clean sheets

5 / 20

Failed to score

8 / 20

Won

Draw

Lost

OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
H	Santos	1 - 1	Gremio
A	Santos	2 - 2	Bragantino
H	Santos	1 - 0	Sao Paulo
A	Santos	1 - 1	A Mineiro
H	Santos	0 - 0	Fluminense
A	Santos	0 - 2	Bahia
H	Santos	0 - 6	Vasco d Gama
A	Santos	2 - 1	Cruzeiro
H	Santos	3 - 1	Juventude
A	Santos	2 - 2	S. Recife
H	Santos	1 - 2	Internacional
A	Santos	0 - 3	Mirassol
H	Santos	1 - 0	Flamengo
A	Santos	3 - 2	Fortaleza
H	Santos	0 - 1	Botafogo
A	Santos	1 - 0	Vitoria
A	Santos	0 - 1	Corinthians
H	Santos	0 - 0	Ceara
A	Santos	0 - 1	Gremio
H	Santos	1 - 2	Bragantino

Away

Overall

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

15 / 20

Conceded

15 / 20

Clean sheets

5 / 20

Failed to score

5 / 20

Won

Draw

Lost

AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Internacional	1 - 1	Corinthians
S. Recife	1 - 0	Corinthians
Fluminense	0 - 1	Corinthians
Vasco d Gama	2 - 3	Corinthians
Juventude	2 - 1	Corinthians
Botafogo	1 - 1	Corinthians
Sao Paulo	2 - 0	Corinthians
Ceara	0 - 1	Corinthians
Gremio	1 - 1	Corinthians
A Mineiro	0 - 0	Corinthians
Mirassol	2 - 1	Corinthians
Flamengo	4 - 0	Corinthians
Palmeiras	2 - 0	Corinthians
Bahia	1 - 1	Corinthians
Gremio	0 - 3	Corinthians
Criciuma	2 - 4	Corinthians
Vitoria	1 - 2	Corinthians
Cuiaba	0 - 1	Corinthians
Sao Paulo	3 - 1	Corinthians
Botafogo	2 - 1	Corinthians

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

15 / 20

Conceded

14 / 20

Clean sheets

6 / 20

Failed to score

5 / 20

Won

Draw

Lost

OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
A	Corinthians	1 - 1	Internacional
H	Corinthians	1 - 2	Flamengo
A	Corinthians	0 - 1	S. Recife
A	Corinthians	1 - 0	Fluminense
H	Corinthians	1 - 1	Palmeiras
A	Corinthians	3 - 2	Vasco d Gama
H	Corinthians	1 - 2	Bahia
A	Corinthians	1 - 2	Juventude
H	Corinthians	1 - 1	Fortaleza
A	Corinthians	1 - 1	Botafogo
H	Corinthians	0 - 0	Cruzeiro
A	Corinthians	0 - 2	Sao Paulo
A	Corinthians	1 - 0	Ceara
H	Corinthians	1 - 2	Bragantino
A	Corinthians	1 - 1	Gremio
H	Corinthians	0 - 0	Vitoria
A	Corinthians	0 - 0	A Mineiro
H	Corinthians	1 - 0	Santos
A	Corinthians	1 - 2	Mirassol
H	Corinthians	4 - 2	Internacional

Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)

Corinthians have not lost to Santos in 7 consecutive league meetings

Corinthians have kept a clean sheet in 3 consecutive away league meetings with Santos

Santos

Corinthians

Goals: Scored

Games: Scored

3 / 6

2 / 6

Clean sheets

4 / 6

3 / 6

STS

CTH

FIXTURE HISTORY AT Santos
	0 - 2	Corinthians
	0 - 1	Corinthians
Draw	0 - 0	Draw
Santos	1 - 0
Santos	1 - 0
Santos	1 - 0

Corinthians

Santos

Goals: Scored

Games: Scored

5 / 7

3 / 7

Clean sheets

4 / 7

2 / 7

CTH

FIXTURE HISTORY AT Corinthians
Corinthians	1 - 0
Draw	1 - 1	Draw
Draw	0 - 0	Draw
Corinthians	2 - 0
Draw	1 - 1	Draw
Draw	0 - 0	Draw
Draw	1 - 1	Draw

Goal Statistics

Goals have been a problem for Corinthians of late. It has been 5 Serie A matches since they last scored more than 1, and a PG of 1.1 suggests they'll struggle to end that run on Thursday morning against Santos.

	Santos 16th	Corinthians 13th
	Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction	1.0 goals	1.1 goals
	Scoring probability
Scoring probability	0 36% 1 37% 2 19% 3 4+ There is a 73% probability that Santos will score no more than 1 goal	0 35% 1 37% 2 19% 3 4+ There is a 72% probability that Corinthians will score no more than 1 goal

	20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games	-14 Santos have scored 14% fewer goals at home than predicted	+26 Corinthians have scored 26% more goals when away than predicted
	1.3 average goals scored	1.2 average goals scored
	1.2 conceded	1.4 conceded

Attack defence ratings
Serie A - 2025/2025 season

STS

CTH

better

view stats

Games scored	14		16
Failed to score	9		8
Scored first	7		7
Goals scored	22		24
Avg. goals scored	0.9		0.9
Avg. shots per game	8		8
Avg. shots per goal	9		9
Conversion rate for	11		11
Avg. XG for	1.2		1.2
KickOff rating		+5%

STS

CTH

better

view stats

Games conceded	17		17
Clean sheets	6		7
Conceded first	14		14
Goals conceded	32		29
Avg. goals conceded	1.3		1.1
Avg. shots/game conceded	9		8
Avg. shots/goal conceded	7		7
Conversion rate against	14%		14%
Avg. XG against	1.3		1.2
KickOff rating		+5%

Santos v Corinthians Serie A lLine ups will show here when available.

Santos Serie A squad statistics 2025

Overall

Attack

Defence

Most starts	Most goals	Most assists	Most cards
25	6	3	6
G Brazão	Álvaro Barreal	B Rollheiser	B Rollheiser

Players	Appserances	goals	Assists	cards
G Brazão GLK	25			1 -
B Rollheiser FWD	23		3	6 -
G Escobar DEF	22			5 1
T Soares FWD	21	2	3	2 -
Álvaro Barreal FWD	21	6		1 -
J Schmidt MID	19		1	5 -
G Augusto FWD	19	4	2	-
G. Silva Bontempo MID	18	1	1	1 -
L Peres DEF	17			4 -
Z Rafael MID	16			2 -
T Rincón MID	15			4 1
Z Ivaldo DEF	14	1		5 1
J. de Souza Menezes DEF	13		2	2 -
Thaciano MID	13	1		-
Neymar MID	13	3		5 1
I Vinícius DEF	9			3 -
Mayke DEF	8			1 -
G Caballero FWD	8	1	1	1 -
J Basso DEF	6	1		2 -
L Doria DEF	6			2 -
L Díaz FWD	4	2	1	-
M. de Sousa FWD	3			-
A Frías DEF	2			1 -
A Duarte DEF	2			-
H. Carvalho Machado Silva MID	2			-
V Hugo MID	2			-
D Diógenes GLK	1			-
W Arão MID	1			-
B Brahimi FWD	1			-

Most goals	Most shots on target	Most assists	Most big chances
6	15	3	5
Álvaro Barreal	G Augusto	B Rollheiser	B Rollheiser

Players	goals	shots on	Assists	big chances
Álvaro Barreal FWD	6	13		4
G Augusto FWD	4	15	2	5
Neymar MID	3	13		2
T Soares FWD	2	8	3	3
L Díaz FWD	2	3	1	1
G. Silva Bontempo MID	1	1	1	2
Z Ivaldo DEF	1	1
Thaciano MID	1	2
G Caballero FWD	1	2	1	1
J Basso DEF	1	1
G Brazão GLK				1
B Rollheiser FWD		8	3	5
G Escobar DEF		2
J Schmidt MID		2	1	2
L Peres DEF		1
Z Rafael MID		2
J. de Souza Menezes DEF			2	4
I Vinícius DEF		2		1
A Duarte DEF		1
V Hugo MID		1		1
B Brahimi FWD		1

Most passes	Most tackles	Most duels won
856	71	122
L Peres	G Escobar	G Augusto

Players	passes	tackles	duels won
L Peres DEF	856	19	63
B Rollheiser FWD	766	16	76
J Schmidt MID	756	25	62
G Escobar DEF	748	71	120
Z Ivaldo DEF	604	18	63
G Augusto FWD	526	30	122
G Brazão GLK	521	1	13
Álvaro Barreal FWD	514	25	61
Z Rafael MID	493	44	91
Neymar MID	446	4	72
T Rincón MID	441	18	41
G. Silva Bontempo MID	377	23	59
J. de Souza Menezes DEF	333	27	56
J Basso DEF	251	7	30
T Soares FWD	231	11	83
Mayke DEF	229	15	28
I Vinícius DEF	179	16	29
L Doria DEF	174	7	17
A Duarte DEF	110	3	7
Thaciano MID	78	8	29
A Frías DEF	56		6
G Caballero FWD	53	6	18
V Hugo MID	39	1	5
L Díaz FWD	37	2	13
D Diógenes GLK	13
H. Carvalho Machado Silva MID	12	2	3
B Brahimi FWD	10
M. de Sousa FWD	4	1	3
W Arão MID			1

Corinthians Serie A squad statistics 2025

Overall

Attack

Defence

Most starts	Most goals	Most assists	Most cards
21	6	3	8
B Bidon	Y Alberto	M Depay	J Martínez

Players	Appserances	goals	Assists	cards
B Bidon MID	23	1	1	6 -
Ángel Romero FWD	22		1	4 1
H Souza GLK	21			2 -
Matheuzinho DEF	21	2	2	7 -
Raniele MID	21		1	5 -
T Magno FWD	21	1	1	2 -
F Angileri DEF	18			3 -
A Ramalho DEF	18			4 -
M Bidu DEF	17		2	5 -
J Martínez MID	17		1	8 -
Maycon MID	17	1		1 -
Cacá DEF	16	2		4 -
Y Alberto FWD	16	6	1	3 -
A Carrillo MID	15	1	1	1 -
M Depay FWD	14	4	3	4 -
G Henrique DEF	13	1		2 -
R Lima MID	13			1 -
Charles MID	11			2 -
R Garro MID	11		1	3 -
G. Silva Inácio FWD	11	3	1	3 -
F Torres DEF	9			1 -
H Hernández FWD	9	1		-
Vitinho FWD	7			-
J Rodrigues DEF	6		1	3 -
Hugo DEF	6			-
D. da Cruz Lopes FWD	6			-
M Donelli GLK	5			1 -
K Guimarães FWD	5			-
L. Lemos Carvalho MID	2			-

Most goals	Most shots on target	Most assists	Most big chances
6	17	3	6
Y Alberto	Y Alberto	M Depay	M Bidu

Players	goals	shots on	Assists	big chances
Y Alberto FWD	6	17	1	1
M Depay FWD	4	15	3	3
G. Silva Inácio FWD	3	3	1	1
Matheuzinho DEF	2	3	2	3
Cacá DEF	2	4		1
B Bidon MID	1	3	1	4
T Magno FWD	1	6	1	1
Maycon MID	1	1		1
A Carrillo MID	1	2	1	3
G Henrique DEF	1	6
H Hernández FWD	1	3
Ángel Romero FWD		4	1	3
Raniele MID		4	1	2
F Angileri DEF		1
A Ramalho DEF		1
M Bidu DEF		3	2	6
J Martínez MID		2	1	2
Charles MID		1
R Garro MID		5	1	5
F Torres DEF				1
Vitinho FWD		4		1
J Rodrigues DEF			1
Hugo DEF		1
K Guimarães FWD				1

Most passes	Most tackles	Most duels won
1215	46	132
A Ramalho	Matheuzinho	B Bidon

Players	passes	tackles	duels won
A Ramalho DEF	1215	25	70
Matheuzinho DEF	1001	46	81
Cacá DEF	927	23	71
B Bidon MID	899	42	132
G Henrique DEF	729	14	64
F Angileri DEF	680	28	62
M Bidu DEF	661	23	92
A Carrillo MID	643	14	33
Raniele MID	586	33	99
H Souza GLK	532		4
J Martínez MID	480	20	61
Maycon MID	474	19	32
R Garro MID	431	7	52
F Torres DEF	395	11	20
M Depay FWD	342	6	38
Ángel Romero FWD	314	18	58
T Magno FWD	273	19	81
J Rodrigues DEF	216	8	14
R Lima MID	201	18	38
Y Alberto FWD	187	6	52
Charles MID	176	17	26
Hugo DEF	135	5	18
M Donelli GLK	113		2
Vitinho FWD	93	8	24
G. Silva Inácio FWD	92	5	31
D. da Cruz Lopes FWD	55	2	7
K Guimarães FWD	51		7
H Hernández FWD	45	4	13
L. Lemos Carvalho MID	17	3	4