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Sao Paulo v Chapecoense : Serie A match betting preview, prediction and odds

Thu 12th Mar, 23:00 BST, Estádio Cícero Pompeu de Toledo, São Paulo

It's an away trip for Gilmar Dal Pozzo's Chapecoense side on Thursday night, as they visit the Estádio Cícero Pompeu de Toledo for a Serie A tie with Hernán Jorge Crespo's Sao Paulo. In this preview you'll find odds from the UK's biggest bookmakers for 17 different betting markets, alongside bespoke data that changes as you go between markets. Our predictions run off the last 20 matches, so all statistics are shown for each side's last 20 too. Home, away and overall records can be viewed, while there's also head-to-head history later on in the preview.


Best Tip: Sao Paulo to win

As the Sao Paulo players ready themselves for this game, the bookmakers are predicting a win for them. The odds and our pre-match stats below also point that way, as does the historical head-to-head (H2H) data we take advantage of in our predictive algorithms. The Estádio Cícero Pompeu de Toledo has rarely been a successful away day for Chapecoense in the past, and we we'd back more of the same on Thursday night. A win / draw / win home win is the way to go.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think Sao Paulo are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 65% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 1.53.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Sao Paulo
65%
9/208/15
Draw
20%
29/1010/3
Chapecoense
15%
6/15/1
Sao Paulo 2-0
12%
6/111/2
Sao Paulo 1-0
12%
6/15/1
Sao Paulo 2-1
10%
15/213/2
Draw 1-1
10%
13/213/2
Sao Paulo 3-0
8%
9/18/1
Sao Paulo 3-1
7%
11/110/1
Draw 0-0
6%
10/19/1
Chapecoense 1-0
5%
16/111/1
Draw 2-2
4%
16/114/1
Chapecoense 2-1
4%
20/114/1
Sao Paulo 4-0
4%
18/114/1
Sao Paulo 4-1
3%
22/118/1
Sao Paulo 3-2
3%
25/120/1
Chapecoense 2-0
2%
33/122/1
Sao Paulo 5-0
2%
40/125/1
Over 2.5 Goals
55%
17/204/5
Under 2.5 Goals
45%
19/2010/11
Home 1st Goal
59%
4/94/9
Away 1st Goal
38%
21/1011/5
No 1st Goal
3%
10/19/1
BTTS - Yes
49%
19/201/1
BTTS - No
51%
4/53/4
BTTS - Home Win
28%
12/512/5
BTTS - Draw
15%
9/29/2
BTTS - Away Win
7%
12/19/1
Home/draw
85%
1/102/15
Away/draw
35%
13/86/4
Home/away
80%
1/41/5
Over 1.5 Goals
78%
1/41/4
Under 1.5 Goals
22%
3/15/2
Over 3.5 Goals
32%
11/52/1
Under 3.5 Goals
68%
4/117/20
Over 4.5 Goals
16%
9/29/2
Under 4.5 Goals
84%
1/71/8
Over 5.5 Goals
7%
10/110/1
Under 5.5 Goals
93%
1/201/33
Over 0.5 Goals
94%
1/201/25
Under 0.5 Goals
6%
10/19/1
Home DNB
79%
1/72/11
Away DNB
29%
9/210/3
Sao Paulo win to nil
38%
11/8-
Chapecoense win to nil
7%
10/1-
Sao Paulo / Sao Paulo
36%
5/46/5
Sao Paulo / Chapecoense
2%
40/133/1
Sao Paulo / Draw
5%
14/114/1
Draw / Sao Paulo
19%
3/110/3
Draw / Chapecoense
7%
12/110/1
Draw / Draw
13%
5/15/1
Chapecoense / Sao Paulo
4%
20/118/1
Chapecoense / Chapecoense
8%
10/115/2
Chapecoense / Draw
5%
16/114/1
Match Predictor Pro
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Win / draw / win form
4
Sao Paulo have won 4 consecutive home league games
3
Chapecoense have drawn 3 consecutive away league games
6
Chapecoense have not lost in 6 consecutive away league games
Sao Paulo 2ND
20 league games
Home
4
Overall
Goals: Scored
31
Conceded
18
Games: Scored
16 / 20
Conceded
12 / 20
Clean sheets
8 / 20
Failed to score
4 / 20
Won
12
D
3
Lost
5
HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Sao Paulo2 - 0Gremio
Sao Paulo2 - 1Flamengo
Sao Paulo3 - 0Internacional
Sao Paulo2 - 1Juventude
Sao Paulo0 - 1Bragantino
Sao Paulo2 - 2Flamengo
Sao Paulo2 - 0Bahia
Sao Paulo2 - 3Palmeiras
Sao Paulo0 - 1Ceara
Sao Paulo1 - 0Botafogo
Sao Paulo2 - 0A Mineiro
Sao Paulo2 - 0Vitoria
Sao Paulo3 - 1Fluminense
Sao Paulo2 - 0Corinthians
Sao Paulo1 - 3Vasco d Gama
Sao Paulo0 - 2Mirassol
Sao Paulo2 - 1Gremio
Sao Paulo0 - 0Fortaleza
Sao Paulo2 - 1Santos
Sao Paulo1 - 1Cruzeiro
Goals: Scored
23
Conceded
26
Games: Scored
13 / 20
Conceded
13 / 20
Clean sheets
7 / 20
Failed to score
7 / 20
Won
9
D
2
Lost
9
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
ASao Paulo1 - 0Cortiba
HSao Paulo2 - 0Gremio
ASao Paulo1 - 1Santos
HSao Paulo2 - 1Flamengo
ASao Paulo0 - 1Vitoria
HSao Paulo3 - 0Internacional
ASao Paulo0 - 6Fluminense
HSao Paulo2 - 1Juventude
ASao Paulo1 - 3Corinthians
HSao Paulo0 - 1Bragantino
HSao Paulo2 - 2Flamengo
ASao Paulo2 - 0Vasco d Gama
HSao Paulo2 - 0Bahia
ASao Paulo0 - 3Mirassol
ASao Paulo0 - 2Gremio
HSao Paulo2 - 3Palmeiras
ASao Paulo2 - 0Fortaleza
HSao Paulo0 - 1Ceara
ASao Paulo0 - 1Santos
HSao Paulo1 - 0Botafogo
Chapecoense 9TH
20 league games
Away
3
Overall
Goals: Scored
21
Conceded
16
Games: Scored
12 / 20
Conceded
14 / 20
Clean sheets
6 / 20
Failed to score
8 / 20
Won
7
Draw
6
Lost
7
AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Vasco d Gama1 - 1Chapecoense
Volta Redonda1 - 1Chapecoense
Remo1 - 1Chapecoense
Goias1 - 3Chapecoense
Ferroviaria0 - 1Chapecoense
Amazonas1 - 3Chapecoense
Cuiaba1 - 0Chapecoense
Criciuma2 - 0Chapecoense
Athletic Club0 - 4Chapecoense
Cortiba0 - 0Chapecoense
Atletico Go0 - 0Chapecoense
America 0 - 1Chapecoense
Operario1 - 2Chapecoense
Botafogo1 - 0Chapecoense
Novorizontin1 - 0Chapecoense
Avai2 - 1Chapecoense
Athletico PR1 - 1Chapecoense
Vila Nova1 - 0Chapecoense
Paysandu0 - 2Chapecoense
CRB1 - 0Chapecoense
Goals: Scored
32
Conceded
21
Games: Scored
16 / 20
Conceded
14 / 20
Clean sheets
6 / 20
Failed to score
4 / 20
Won
9
Draw
6
Lost
5
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
HChapecoense3 - 3Cortiba
AChapecoense1 - 1Vasco d Gama
HChapecoense4 - 2Santos
HChapecoense1 - 0Atletico Go
AChapecoense1 - 1Volta Redonda
HChapecoense0 - 1America
AChapecoense1 - 1Remo
HChapecoense2 - 0Operario
AChapecoense3 - 1Goias
HChapecoense1 - 1Botafogo
AChapecoense1 - 0Ferroviaria
HChapecoense1 - 0Novorizontin
AChapecoense3 - 1Amazonas
HChapecoense0 - 1Avai
AChapecoense0 - 1Cuiaba
HChapecoense2 - 3Athletico PR
AChapecoense0 - 2Criciuma
HChapecoense2 - 2Vila Nova
AChapecoense4 - 0Athletic Club
HChapecoense2 - 0Paysandu
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
League games at Sao Paulo since 2018
Sao Paulo
Chapecoense
Goals: Scored
7
1
Games: Scored
3 / 3
1 / 3
Clean sheets
2 / 3
0 / 3
SAO
2
D
1
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Sao Paulo
Draw1 - 1Draw
Sao Paulo4 - 0
Sao Paulo2 - 0
League games at Chapecoense since 2018
Chapecoense
Sao Paulo
Goals: Scored
2
4
Games: Scored
2 / 3
2 / 3
Clean sheets
1 / 3
1 / 3
SAO
1
D
1
CHP
1
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Chapecoense
Draw1 - 1Draw
0 - 3Sao Paulo
Chapecoense1 - 0
Goal Statistics

A PG of 2.0 is decent for Sao Paulo in their meeting with Chapecoense, as is their run of scoring 1 goal or more in 35 consecutive Serie A matches.

Sao Paulo 2nd Chapecoense 9th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
2.0
goals
0.8
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
13%
1
27%
2
27%
3
18%
4+
15%
There is a 60% probability that Sao Paulo will score 2 or more goals in this match
0
43%
1
36%
2
15%
3
4+
There is a 79% probability of Chapecoense scoring 1 goal or less
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
+14
Sao Paulo have scored 14% more goals at home than predicted
+8
Chapecoense’s goalscoring when away has been inline with predictions
1.6
average goals scored
1.1
average goals scored
0.9
conceded
0.8
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Serie A - 2026/2026 season
Sao Paulo
PG (predicted goals)
Chapecoense
2
0.8
Attack rating
SAO
CHP
4%
better
view stats
Games scored4
3
Failed to score0
0
Scored first2
1
Goals scored6
8
Avg. goals scored1.5
2.7
Avg. shots per game10
8
Avg. shots per goal6
3
Conversion rate for16
32
Avg. XG for1.9
1.3
KickOff rating
+4%
Defence rating
51%
better
SAO
CHP
view stats
Games conceded2
3
Clean sheets2
0
Conceded first2
2
Goals conceded2
6
Avg. goals conceded0.5
2
Avg. shots/game conceded9
18
Avg. shots/goal conceded19
9
Conversion rate against5%
11%
Avg. XG against1.1
2.8
KickOff rating
+51%

Sao Paulo v Chapecoense Serie A lLine ups will show here when available.

Sao Paulo Serie A squad statistics 2026
Overall
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
NO DATA AVAILABLE
Chapecoense Serie A squad statistics 2026
Overall
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
NO DATA AVAILABLE