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Sport Recife v Ceará : Serie A match betting preview, prediction and odds

Thu 16th Oct, 00:00 BST, Estádio Adelmar da Costa Carvalh, Recife

the Estádio Adelmar da Costa Carvalh plays host on Thursday morning, as Daniel Backstrom's Sport Recife welcome Leonardo Rodrigues Condé's Ceará in the Serie A. Our goal is for you to win betting on this match, so every statistics you could possibly need to make a sound selection is published below. Switch between 17 markets or take our top tip. We have predictions, head-to-head analysis and the best odds for it all.


Best Tip: Under 2.5 goals

Under 2.5 goals as a betting market simply means there will only be a maximum of 2 goals scored in total by S. Recife and Ceara during the traditional 90 mins. It's a bet the statistics below and the odds both favour on this occasion, and an outcome that we've seen before when these sides go head-to-head. With no obvious winner in sight, our best bet prediction for this one is under 2.5 goals.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
An away win looks like the most likely outcome in the win/draw/win market, with our predictive algorithm suggesting there’s a 37% chance of Ceara coming away with a win.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
S. Recife
34%
27/20-
Draw
29%
2/1-
Ceara
37%
23/10-
Draw 1-1
13%
5/1-
Ceara 1-0
12%
13/2-
S. Recife 1-0
12%
5/1-
Draw 0-0
11%
11/2-
Ceara 2-1
8%
12/1-
S. Recife 2-1
7%
9/1-
Ceara 2-0
7%
14/1-
S. Recife 2-0
6%
9/1-
Draw 2-2
4%
18/1-
Ceara 3-1
3%
33/1-
Ceara 3-0
3%
40/1-
S. Recife 3-1
3%
22/1-
S. Recife 3-0
2%
20/1-
Ceara 3-2
2%
40/1-
S. Recife 3-2
1%
40/1-
Over 2.5 Goals
38%
8/5-
Under 2.5 Goals
62%
19/40-
Home 1st Goal
46%
10/11-
Away 1st Goal
47%
13/10-
No 1st Goal
7%
11/2-
BTTS - Yes
45%
11/10-
BTTS - No
55%
4/6-
BTTS - Home Win
13%
5/1-
BTTS - Draw
18%
15/4-
BTTS - Away Win
14%
7/1-
Home/draw
63%
1/3-
Away/draw
66%
4/7-
Home/away
71%
4/11-
Over 1.5 Goals
65%
1/2-
Under 1.5 Goals
35%
13/8-
Over 3.5 Goals
18%
4/1-
Under 3.5 Goals
82%
1/6-
Over 4.5 Goals
7%
10/1-
Under 4.5 Goals
93%
1/20-
Over 5.5 Goals
3%
22/1-
Under 5.5 Goals
97%
1/80-
Over 0.5 Goals
89%
1/9-
Under 0.5 Goals
11%
11/2-
Home DNB
54%
4/7-
Away DNB
57%
5/4-
S. Recife win to nil
21%
5/2-
Ceara win to nil
23%
4/1-
S. Recife / S. Recife
21%
3/1-
S. Recife / Ceara
2%
33/1-
S. Recife / Draw
6%
14/1-
Draw / S. Recife
15%
9/2-
Draw / Ceara
12%
6/1-
Draw / Draw
19%
10/3-
Ceara / S. Recife
3%
28/1-
Ceara / Ceara
15%
9/2-
Ceara / Draw
6%
14/1-
Match Predictor Pro
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Win / draw / win form
S. Recife 20TH
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
27
Conceded
25
Games: Scored
15 / 20
Conceded
15 / 20
Clean sheets
5 / 20
Failed to score
5 / 20
Won
6
Draw
8
Lost
6
HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
S. Recife2 - 2Fluminense
S. Recife1 - 0Corinthians
S. Recife2 - 3Vasco d Gama
S. Recife2 - 2Sao Paulo
S. Recife0 - 0Bahia
S. Recife2 - 2Santos
S. Recife0 - 1Botafogo
S. Recife1 - 1Internacional
S. Recife0 - 4Cruzeiro
S. Recife0 - 0Fortaleza
S. Recife0 - 1Bragantino
S. Recife1 - 2Palmeiras
S. Recife2 - 1Santos
S. Recife1 - 1Chapecoense
S. Recife4 - 0Guarani
S. Recife3 - 1Botafogo
S. Recife1 - 2Operario
S. Recife2 - 1Ceara
S. Recife1 - 1Goias
S. Recife2 - 0CRB
Goals: Scored
16
Conceded
31
Games: Scored
11 / 20
Conceded
16 / 20
Clean sheets
4 / 20
Failed to score
9 / 20
W
2
Draw
8
Lost
10
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
HS. Recife2 - 2Fluminense
AS. Recife0 - 1Fortaleza
HS. Recife1 - 0Corinthians
AS. Recife1 - 1Bragantino
HS. Recife2 - 3Vasco d Gama
AS. Recife0 - 3Palmeiras
HS. Recife2 - 2Sao Paulo
AS. Recife1 - 0Gremio
HS. Recife0 - 0Bahia
HS. Recife2 - 2Santos
AS. Recife2 - 2Vitoria
HS. Recife0 - 1Botafogo
AS. Recife0 - 2Juventude
AS. Recife0 - 1Mirassol
HS. Recife1 - 1Internacional
AS. Recife0 - 2Ceara
HS. Recife0 - 4Cruzeiro
AS. Recife1 - 2Fluminense
HS. Recife0 - 0Fortaleza
AS. Recife1 - 2Corinthians
Ceara 11TH
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
21
Conceded
25
Games: Scored
13 / 20
Conceded
15 / 20
Clean sheets
5 / 20
Failed to score
7 / 20
Won
5
Draw
5
Lost
10
AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Vitoria1 - 0Ceara
Sao Paulo0 - 1Ceara
Vasco d Gama2 - 2Ceara
Gremio0 - 0Ceara
Palmeiras2 - 1Ceara
Cruzeiro1 - 2Ceara
Internacional1 - 0Ceara
Fortaleza0 - 1Ceara
Botafogo3 - 2Ceara
Santos0 - 0Ceara
Bahia1 - 0Ceara
Juventude2 - 1Ceara
Bragantino2 - 2Ceara
Guarani0 - 0Ceara
Botafogo1 - 4Ceara
Santos1 - 0Ceara
Ituano1 - 2Ceara
S. Recife2 - 1Ceara
Cortiba3 - 1Ceara
Chapecoense2 - 1Ceara
Goals: Scored
16
Conceded
18
Games: Scored
12 / 20
Conceded
13 / 20
Clean sheets
7 / 20
Failed to score
8 / 20
Won
6
Draw
6
Lost
8
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
ACeara0 - 1Vitoria
ACeara1 - 0Sao Paulo
HCeara1 - 1Bahia
ACeara2 - 2Vasco d Gama
HCeara0 - 1Juventude
ACeara0 - 0Gremio
HCeara1 - 0Bragantino
ACeara1 - 2Palmeiras
HCeara1 - 1Flamengo
ACeara2 - 1Cruzeiro
HCeara0 - 2Mirassol
ACeara0 - 1Internacional
HCeara0 - 1Corinthians
ACeara1 - 0Fortaleza
ACeara2 - 3Botafogo
HCeara0 - 1A Mineiro
HCeara2 - 0S. Recife
ACeara0 - 0Santos
HCeara1 - 0Vitoria
HCeara1 - 1Sao Paulo
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
5
S. Recife have not lost to Ceara in 5 consecutive home league meetings
League games at S. Recife since 2018
S. Recife
Ceara
Goals: Scored
8
3
Games: Scored
4 / 5
2 / 5
Clean sheets
3 / 5
1 / 5
REC
4
D
1
FIXTURE HISTORY AT S. Recife
S. Recife2 - 1
S. Recife2 - 0
Draw0 - 0Draw
S. Recife3 - 2
S. Recife1 - 0
League games at Ceara since 2018
Ceara
S. Recife
Goals: Scored
7
2
Games: Scored
4 / 6
2 / 6
Clean sheets
4 / 6
2 / 6
D
2
CEA
4
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Ceara
Ceara2 - 0
Draw0 - 0Draw
Ceara2 - 1
Ceara2 - 1
Draw0 - 0Draw
Ceara1 - 0
Goal Statistics
S. Recife 20th Ceara 11th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.1
goals
1.1
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
34%
1
37%
2
20%
3
4+
There is a 71% probability that S. Recife will score no more than 1 goal
0
32%
1
36%
2
21%
3
8%
4+
There is a 68% probability that Ceara will score no more than 1 goal
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
-1
S. Recife’s goalscoring at home has been inline with predictions
-2
Ceara’s goalscoring when away has been inline with predictions
1.4
average goals scored
1.1
average goals scored
1.3
conceded
1.3
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Serie A - 2025/2025 season
S. Recife
PG (predicted goals)
Ceara
1.1
1.1
Attack rating
REC
CEA
22%
better
view stats
Games scored12
15
Failed to score10
8
Scored first7
11
Goals scored16
22
Avg. goals scored0.7
0.9
Avg. shots per game8
9
Avg. shots per goal13
10
Conversion rate for8
10
Avg. XG for1.1
1.1
KickOff rating
+22%
Defence rating
REC
CEA
20%
better
view stats
Games conceded17
16
Clean sheets5
7
Conceded first12
10
Goals conceded34
23
Avg. goals conceded1.4
0.9
Avg. shots/game conceded11
8
Avg. shots/goal conceded8
9
Conversion rate against13%
11%
Avg. XG against1.6
1.1
KickOff rating
+20%

S. Recife v Ceara Serie A lLine ups will show here when available.

S. Recife Serie A squad statistics 2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
21349
C RiveraL LimaL LimaL Lima
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
C Barletta FWD2421
2
-
C Rivera MID22
5
-
L Lima MID2134
9
-
J. Gomes da Silva MID19
4
-
I Cariús DEF16
1
-
M Alexandre DEF161
6
-
R Atencio FWD14
1
-
Romarinho FWD132
-
Gabriel GLK12
1
-
C França GLK12
2
-
R Menezes  DEF121
2
-
J Silva DEF12
1
-
R Thyere DEF12
-
Matheusinho MID1221
1
-
Pablo FWD121
1
-
Hereda DEF111
1
-
D Lacerda FWD103
6
-
L Pereira FWD91
-
S Oliveira MID81
3
-
Kevyson DEF7
2
-
P Augusto MID7
3
-
J Ramírez FWD7
1
-
L Cunha DEF6
2
-
Hyoran MID61
1
-
Aderlan DEF5
1
-
G Paciência FWD4
-
L Cândido DEF31
1
-
L Kal MID2
-
Ceara Serie A squad statistics 2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
25757
GaleanoP RaulL MugniF Sobral
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
Galeano FWD2552
2
-
Diego DEF242
3
-
W Machado DEF24
3
-
F Sobral MID23
7
-
P Raul FWD237
3
-
F Silva DEF221
6
-
L Lourenço MID2221
1
-
L Mugni MID2015
4
-
Marllon DEF192
2
-
Bruno GLK18
2
-
P Henrique FWD183
5
-
M Bahia DEF161
4
-
Aylon FWD162
2
-
R Ramos DEF14
2
-
Nicolas DEF11
1
-
L Lima MID11
-
Richardson MID10
3
-
M Araújo MID1011
-
Fernandinho FWD91
2
-
F Miguel GLK8
-
G. Oliveira da Silva FWD71
1
-
M Victor DEF6
-
P Baya FWD6
-
Vina MID5
1
-
V Zanocelo MID3
-
Rodriguinho FWD3
1
Éder DEF2
-