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Vasco da Gama v Palmeiras : Serie A match betting preview, prediction and odds

Thu 12th Mar, 22:30 BST, Estádio Club de Regatas Vasco da, Rio de Janeiro

The Serie A is the focus for both Vasco da Gama and Palmeiras on Thursday night, as managers Fernando Diniz Silva and Abel Fernando Moreira Ferreira face one another at the Estádio Club de Regatas Vasco da. The aim of this preview is, quite simply, to help you make the smartest bet possible. To this end, statistics for the biggest betting market have been published below, with head to head (H2H) records and statistically significant form streaks highlighted. Odds from the UK's biggest bookmakers are included as well.


Best Tip: Over 1.5 goals

We are making over 1.5 goals our best tip on this match, meaning that the teams will score 2 goals or more between them during 90 minutes. Both Vasco d Gama and Palmeiras's current form stats suggest things will go that way, while their head-to-head (H2H) record is pointing in the same direction too. The bookies make it the most probable outcome in this market too, available at 1.33.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
An away win looks like the most likely outcome in the win/draw/win market, with our predictive algorithm suggesting there’s a 49% chance of Palmeiras coming away with a win.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Vasco d Gama
27%
11/413/5
Draw
24%
12/55/2
Palmeiras
49%
10/1121/20
Draw 1-1
12%
11/25/1
Palmeiras 1-0
10%
7/16/1
Palmeiras 2-1
10%
15/27/1
Palmeiras 2-0
8%
17/215/2
Vasco d Gama 1-0
7%
11/18/1
Vasco d Gama 2-1
7%
12/19/1
Draw 0-0
6%
10/18/1
Draw 2-2
6%
12/111/1
Palmeiras 3-1
5%
14/112/1
Palmeiras 3-0
4%
16/114/1
Vasco d Gama 2-0
4%
18/114/1
Palmeiras 3-2
3%
25/120/1
Vasco d Gama 3-1
3%
28/122/1
Palmeiras 4-1
2%
33/125/1
Vasco d Gama 3-2
2%
33/125/1
Over 2.5 Goals
53%
9/1010/11
Under 2.5 Goals
47%
9/104/5
Home 1st Goal
44%
13/1011/8
Away 1st Goal
52%
4/68/11
No 1st Goal
3%
10/18/1
BTTS - Yes
56%
3/44/5
BTTS - No
44%
1/110/11
BTTS - Home Win
14%
6/111/2
BTTS - Draw
18%
7/217/5
BTTS - Away Win
24%
3/13/1
Home/draw
51%
4/53/4
Away/draw
73%
1/42/7
Home/away
76%
3/102/7
Over 1.5 Goals
77%
2/73/10
Under 1.5 Goals
23%
11/423/10
Over 3.5 Goals
31%
12/523/10
Under 3.5 Goals
69%
1/33/10
Over 4.5 Goals
16%
5/111/2
Under 4.5 Goals
84%
1/81/10
Over 5.5 Goals
7%
12/111/1
Under 5.5 Goals
93%
1/251/50
Over 0.5 Goals
94%
1/201/20
Under 0.5 Goals
6%
10/18/1
Home DNB
44%
13/86/4
Away DNB
66%
4/910/21
Vasco d Gama win to nil
13%
11/2-
Palmeiras win to nil
25%
5/2-
Vasco d Gama / Vasco d Gama
14%
5/117/4
Vasco d Gama / Palmeiras
4%
22/118/1
Vasco d Gama / Draw
6%
14/111/1
Draw / Vasco d Gama
10%
7/113/2
Draw / Palmeiras
16%
4/117/4
Draw / Draw
15%
9/24/1
Palmeiras / Vasco d Gama
3%
33/125/1
Palmeiras / Palmeiras
26%
11/52/1
Palmeiras / Draw
6%
12/111/1
Match Predictor Pro
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Win / draw / win form
3
Palmeiras have won 3 consecutive league games
6
Vasco d Gama have not won in 6 consecutive league games
6
Palmeiras have not lost in 6 consecutive league games
Vasco d Gama 20TH
20 league games
Home
Overall
6
Goals: Scored
30
Conceded
27
Games: Scored
13 / 20
Conceded
16 / 20
Clean sheets
4 / 20
Failed to score
7 / 20
Won
7
Draw
5
Lost
8
HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Vasco d Gama0 - 1Bahia
Vasco d Gama1 - 1Chapecoense
Vasco d Gama0 - 2Mirassol
Vasco d Gama5 - 1Internacional
Vasco d Gama1 - 3Juventude
Vasco d Gama0 - 2Sao Paulo
Vasco d Gama2 - 0Fluminense
Vasco d Gama4 - 3Vitoria
Vasco d Gama2 - 0Cruzeiro
Vasco d Gama3 - 1Bahia
Vasco d Gama2 - 2Ceara
Vasco d Gama2 - 3Corinthians
Vasco d Gama1 - 1A Mineiro
Vasco d Gama1 - 1Gremio
Vasco d Gama0 - 2Botafogo
Vasco d Gama0 - 2Bragantino
Vasco d Gama3 - 0Fortaleza
Vasco d Gama0 - 1Palmeiras
Vasco d Gama0 - 0Flamengo
Vasco d Gama3 - 1S. Recife
Goals: Scored
26
Conceded
33
Games: Scored
12 / 20
Conceded
16 / 20
Clean sheets
4 / 20
Failed to score
8 / 20
Won
7
D
2
Lost
11
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
AVasco d Gama1 - 2Santos
HVasco d Gama0 - 1Bahia
HVasco d Gama1 - 1Chapecoense
AVasco d Gama1 - 2Mirassol
AVasco d Gama0 - 5A Mineiro
HVasco d Gama0 - 2Mirassol
HVasco d Gama5 - 1Internacional
AVasco d Gama0 - 1Bahia
AVasco d Gama0 - 2Gremio
HVasco d Gama1 - 3Juventude
AVasco d Gama0 - 3Botafogo
HVasco d Gama0 - 2Sao Paulo
AVasco d Gama3 - 0Bragantino
HVasco d Gama2 - 0Fluminense
AVasco d Gama2 - 0Fortaleza
HVasco d Gama4 - 3Vitoria
AVasco d Gama0 - 3Palmeiras
HVasco d Gama2 - 0Cruzeiro
HVasco d Gama3 - 1Bahia
AVasco d Gama1 - 1Flamengo
Palmeiras 1ST
20 league games
Away
Overall
3
Goals: Scored
34
Conceded
24
Games: Scored
18 / 20
Conceded
15 / 20
Clean sheets
5 / 20
Failed to score
2 / 20
Won
11
D
3
Lost
6
AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Internacional1 - 3Palmeiras
A Mineiro2 - 2Palmeiras
Ceara1 - 3Palmeiras
A Mineiro0 - 3Palmeiras
Gremio3 - 2Palmeiras
Santos1 - 0Palmeiras
Mirassol2 - 1Palmeiras
Juventude0 - 2Palmeiras
Flamengo3 - 2Palmeiras
Sao Paulo2 - 3Palmeiras
Bahia1 - 0Palmeiras
Corinthians1 - 1Palmeiras
Botafogo0 - 1Palmeiras
Vitoria2 - 2Palmeiras
Fluminense1 - 2Palmeiras
Cruzeiro2 - 1Palmeiras
Bragantino1 - 2Palmeiras
Vasco d Gama0 - 1Palmeiras
Fortaleza1 - 2Palmeiras
Internacional0 - 1Palmeiras
Goals: Scored
42
Conceded
20
Games: Scored
15 / 20
Conceded
13 / 20
Clean sheets
7 / 20
Failed to score
5 / 20
Won
11
D
4
Lost
5
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
HPalmeiras2 - 1Fluminense
APalmeiras3 - 1Internacional
HPalmeiras5 - 1Vitoria
APalmeiras2 - 2A Mineiro
APalmeiras3 - 1Ceara
APalmeiras3 - 0A Mineiro
APalmeiras2 - 3Gremio
HPalmeiras0 - 0Fluminense
HPalmeiras0 - 0Vitoria
APalmeiras0 - 1Santos
APalmeiras1 - 2Mirassol
HPalmeiras2 - 0Santos
APalmeiras2 - 0Juventude
HPalmeiras0 - 0Cruzeiro
APalmeiras2 - 3Flamengo
HPalmeiras5 - 1Bragantino
HPalmeiras4 - 1Juventude
APalmeiras3 - 2Sao Paulo
HPalmeiras3 - 0Vasco d Gama
APalmeiras0 - 1Bahia
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
5
Palmeiras have beaten Vasco d Gama in 5 consecutive league meetings
12
Palmeiras have not lost to Vasco d Gama in 12 consecutive league meetings
5
Palmeiras have kept a clean sheet in 5 consecutive league meetings with Vasco d Gama
League games at Vasco d Gama since 2018
Vasco d Gama
Palmeiras
Goals: Scored
3
8
Games: Scored
2 / 6
6 / 6
Clean sheets
0 / 6
4 / 6
D
1
PAL
5
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Vasco d Gama
0 - 1Palmeiras
0 - 1Palmeiras
Draw2 - 2Draw
0 - 1Palmeiras
1 - 2Palmeiras
0 - 1Palmeiras
League games at Palmeiras since 2018
Palmeiras
Vasco d Gama
Goals: Scored
9
2
Games: Scored
6 / 6
2 / 6
Clean sheets
4 / 6
0 / 6
D
2
PAL
4
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Palmeiras
Palmeiras3 - 0
Palmeiras2 - 0
Palmeiras1 - 0
Draw1 - 1Draw
Draw1 - 1Draw
Palmeiras1 - 0
Goal Statistics

Goals have been a problem for Vasco da Gama of late. It has been 6 Serie A games since they last scored more than 1, and a PG of 1.2 suggests they'll have problems ending that run on Thursday night against Palmeiras.

Palmeiras have been reliable in front of goal of late, scoring in 7 consecutive Serie A matches. Their PG of 1.7 against Vasco da Gama on Thursday suggests that run is likely to continue.

Vasco d Gama 20th Palmeiras 1st
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.2
goals
1.7
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
31%
1
36%
2
21%
3
8%
4+
There is a 67% probability that Vasco d Gama will score no more than 1 goal
0
19%
1
32%
2
26%
3
14%
4+
9%
There is a 81% probability that Palmeiras will score 1 or more goals
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
+11
Vasco d Gama have scored 11% more goals at home than predicted
+34
Palmeiras have scored 34% more goals when away than predicted
1.5
average goals scored
1.7
average goals scored
1.4
conceded
1.2
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Serie A - 2026/2026 season
Vasco d Gama
PG (predicted goals)
Palmeiras
1.2
1.7
Attack rating
VDG
PAL
55%
better
view stats
Games scored3
4
Failed to score1
0
Scored first2
4
Goals scored3
12
Avg. goals scored0.8
3
Avg. shots per game15
11
Avg. shots per goal20
4
Conversion rate for5
28
Avg. XG for2.5
1.6
KickOff rating
+55%
Defence rating
VDG
PAL
25%
better
view stats
Games conceded4
4
Clean sheets0
0
Conceded first2
0
Goals conceded6
5
Avg. goals conceded1.5
1.3
Avg. shots/game conceded8
10
Avg. shots/goal conceded5
8
Conversion rate against20%
12%
Avg. XG against0.7
1.3
KickOff rating
+25%

Vasco d Gama v Palmeiras Serie A lLine ups will show here when available.

Vasco d Gama Serie A squad statistics 2026
Overall
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
NO DATA AVAILABLE
Palmeiras Serie A squad statistics 2026
Overall
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
NO DATA AVAILABLE