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Vasco da Gama v Vitória : Serie A match betting preview, prediction and odds

Sun 5th Oct, 20:00 BST, Estádio Club de Regatas Vasco da, Rio de Janeiro

Fernando Santos's Vasco da Gama side are on home soil in the Serie A on Sunday night, as Jair Zaksauskas Ribeiro Ventura's Vitória visit the Estádio Club de Regatas Vasco da. All of the important statistics for the tie, including head to heads (H2Hs), predictions and odds from the UK's biggest bookmakers across 17 of the biggest betting markets are included in this betting preview. It's all designed to help you make a well informed, intelligent bet.


Best Tip: Under 3.5 goals

Our calculations suggest that there's minimal chance that this game will have 4 goals or more, and the odds and statistics point in the same direction as our predictive algorithm on this one. Vasco d Gama and Vitoria have rarely been involved in a high volume of goals of late, whether that be in Serie A individually or when going head-to-head. So, without a compelling favourite WDW or double chance market, we're going for under 3.5 goals. That's available at a best price of 1.22.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think Vasco d Gama are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 58% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 1.70.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Vasco d Gama
58%
1.671.70
Draw
24%
3.753.75
Vitoria
18%
5.255.00
Vasco d Gama 1-0
13%
6.506.00
Vasco d Gama 2-0
11%
7.507.00
Draw 1-1
11%
7.006.50
Vasco d Gama 2-1
10%
8.507.50
Draw 0-0
8%
10.008.50
Vasco d Gama 3-0
7%
13.0011.00
Vitoria 1-0
6%
13.0011.00
Vasco d Gama 3-1
6%
15.0012.00
Vitoria 2-1
5%
17.0013.00
Draw 2-2
4%
17.0015.00
Vasco d Gama 4-0
3%
26.0019.00
Vitoria 2-0
3%
26.0019.00
Vasco d Gama 4-1
2%
29.0021.00
Vasco d Gama 3-2
2%
29.0021.00
Vitoria 3-1
1%
41.0029.00
Over 2.5 Goals
47%
1.951.95
Under 2.5 Goals
53%
1.851.80
Home 1st Goal
57%
1.531.55
Away 1st Goal
39%
2.752.88
No 1st Goal
5%
10.008.50
BTTS - Yes
46%
1.951.91
BTTS - No
54%
1.801.80
BTTS - Home Win
23%
3.753.70
BTTS - Draw
16%
5.005.00
BTTS - Away Win
8%
10.008.50
Home/draw
82%
1.171.17
Away/draw
42%
2.152.10
Home/away
76%
1.251.25
Over 1.5 Goals
72%
1.301.30
Under 1.5 Goals
28%
3.503.20
Over 3.5 Goals
25%
3.503.30
Under 3.5 Goals
75%
1.301.30
Over 4.5 Goals
12%
6.506.50
Under 4.5 Goals
88%
1.111.10
Over 5.5 Goals
5%
15.0012.00
Under 5.5 Goals
95%
1.031.02
Over 0.5 Goals
92%
1.061.06
Under 0.5 Goals
8%
10.008.50
Home DNB
75%
1.251.25
Away DNB
35%
3.753.50
Vasco d Gama win to nil
36%
2.63-
Vitoria win to nil
10%
9.00-
Vasco d Gama / Vasco d Gama
31%
2.602.60
Vasco d Gama / Vitoria
2%
41.0029.00
Vasco d Gama / Draw
6%
15.0013.00
Draw / Vasco d Gama
18%
4.504.33
Draw / Vitoria
8%
10.009.50
Draw / Draw
15%
5.505.00
Vitoria / Vasco d Gama
4%
23.0019.00
Vitoria / Vitoria
10%
8.507.50
Vitoria / Draw
5%
17.0013.00
Match Predictor Pro
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Win / draw / win form
5
Vasco d Gama have not won in 5 consecutive league games
15
Vitoria have not won in 15 consecutive away league games
Vasco d Gama 12TH
20 league games
Home
Overall
5
Goals: Scored
28
Conceded
22
Games: Scored
14 / 20
Conceded
15 / 20
Clean sheets
5 / 20
Failed to score
6 / 20
Won
8
Draw
6
Lost
6
HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Vasco d Gama2 - 0Cruzeiro
Vasco d Gama3 - 1Bahia
Vasco d Gama2 - 2Ceara
Vasco d Gama2 - 3Corinthians
Vasco d Gama1 - 1A Mineiro
Vasco d Gama1 - 1Gremio
Vasco d Gama0 - 2Botafogo
Vasco d Gama0 - 2Bragantino
Vasco d Gama3 - 0Fortaleza
Vasco d Gama0 - 1Palmeiras
Vasco d Gama0 - 0Flamengo
Vasco d Gama3 - 1S. Recife
Vasco d Gama2 - 1Santos
Vasco d Gama2 - 0A Mineiro
Vasco d Gama2 - 2Atletico Go
Vasco d Gama0 - 1Internacional
Vasco d Gama3 - 2Bahia
Vasco d Gama1 - 0Cuiaba
Vasco d Gama1 - 1Juventude
Vasco d Gama0 - 1Palmeiras
Goals: Scored
32
Conceded
30
Games: Scored
15 / 20
Conceded
17 / 20
Clean sheets
3 / 20
Failed to score
5 / 20
Won
6
Draw
5
Lost
9
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
AVasco d Gama0 - 3Palmeiras
HVasco d Gama2 - 0Cruzeiro
HVasco d Gama3 - 1Bahia
AVasco d Gama1 - 1Flamengo
HVasco d Gama2 - 2Ceara
AVasco d Gama3 - 2S. Recife
HVasco d Gama2 - 3Corinthians
AVasco d Gama0 - 2Juventude
AVasco d Gama6 - 0Santos
HVasco d Gama1 - 1A Mineiro
AVasco d Gama2 - 3Mirassol
AVasco d Gama1 - 1Internacional
HVasco d Gama1 - 1Gremio
HVasco d Gama0 - 2Botafogo
AVasco d Gama3 - 1Sao Paulo
HVasco d Gama0 - 2Bragantino
AVasco d Gama1 - 2Fluminense
HVasco d Gama3 - 0Fortaleza
AVasco d Gama1 - 2Vitoria
HVasco d Gama0 - 1Palmeiras
Vitoria 17TH
20 league games
Away
15
Overall
Goals: Scored
17
Conceded
34
Games: Scored
12 / 20
Conceded
16 / 20
Clean sheets
4 / 20
Failed to score
8 / 20
W
3
Draw
8
Lost
9
AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Gremio3 - 1Vitoria
Fortaleza2 - 0Vitoria
Flamengo8 - 0Vitoria
Sao Paulo2 - 0Vitoria
Mirassol1 - 1Vitoria
Botafogo0 - 0Vitoria
Internacional1 - 0Vitoria
Corinthians0 - 0Vitoria
Bahia2 - 1Vitoria
Ceara1 - 0Vitoria
Fluminense1 - 1Vitoria
A Mineiro2 - 2Vitoria
Juventude2 - 0Vitoria
Flamengo2 - 2Vitoria
Botafogo1 - 1Vitoria
Criciuma0 - 1Vitoria
Athletico PR1 - 2Vitoria
A Mineiro2 - 2Vitoria
Internacional3 - 1Vitoria
Atletico Go0 - 2Vitoria
Goals: Scored
14
Conceded
29
Games: Scored
10 / 20
Conceded
14 / 20
Clean sheets
6 / 20
Failed to score
10 / 20
W
4
Draw
7
Lost
9
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
HVitoria1 - 0Ceara
AVitoria1 - 3Gremio
HVitoria0 - 1Fluminense
AVitoria0 - 2Fortaleza
HVitoria1 - 0A Mineiro
AVitoria0 - 8Flamengo
HVitoria2 - 2Juventude
AVitoria0 - 2Sao Paulo
HVitoria2 - 2Palmeiras
AVitoria1 - 1Mirassol
HVitoria2 - 2S. Recife
HVitoria1 - 0Bragantino
AVitoria0 - 0Botafogo
AVitoria0 - 1Internacional
HVitoria0 - 0Cruzeiro
AVitoria0 - 0Corinthians
HVitoria0 - 1Santos
AVitoria1 - 2Bahia
HVitoria2 - 1Vasco d Gama
AVitoria0 - 1Ceara
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
League games at Vasco d Gama since 2018
Vasco d Gama
Vitoria
Goals: Scored
4
7
Games: Scored
2 / 3
3 / 3
Clean sheets
0 / 3
1 / 3
VDG
1
VIT
2
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Vasco d Gama
Vasco d Gama2 - 1
0 - 3Vitoria
2 - 3Vitoria
League games at Vitoria since 2018
Vitoria
Vasco d Gama
Goals: Scored
3
3
Games: Scored
2 / 4
3 / 4
Clean sheets
1 / 4
2 / 4
VDG
2
VIT
2
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Vitoria
Vitoria2 - 1
0 - 1Vasco d Gama
0 - 1Vasco d Gama
Vitoria1 - 0
Goal Statistics

An absolutely dreadful PG of just 0.8 should cause concerns for Vitória fans, as should a 6 Serie A games run in which they have failed to score more than 1 goal.

Vasco d Gama 12th Vitoria 17th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.7
goals
0.8
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
18%
1
31%
2
26%
3
15%
4+
10%
There is a 82% probability that Vasco d Gama will score 1 or more goals
0
43%
1
36%
2
15%
3
4+
There is a 79% probability of Vitoria scoring 1 goal or less
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
+10
Vasco d Gama’s goalscoring at home has been inline with predictions
=0
Vitoria’s goalscoring when away has been inline with predictions
1.4
average goals scored
0.9
average goals scored
1.1
conceded
1.7
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Serie A - 2025/2025 season
Vasco d Gama
PG (predicted goals)
Vitoria
1.7
0.8
Attack rating
33%
better
VDG
VIT
view stats
Games scored17
13
Failed to score7
11
Scored first10
7
Goals scored36
19
Avg. goals scored1.4
0.7
Avg. shots per game10
8
Avg. shots per goal7
11
Conversion rate for14
9
Avg. XG for1.3
1
KickOff rating
+33%
Defence rating
VDG
VIT
7%
better
view stats
Games conceded21
19
Clean sheets3
5
Conceded first13
14
Goals conceded35
35
Avg. goals conceded1.3
1.3
Avg. shots/game conceded9
11
Avg. shots/goal conceded7
8
Conversion rate against15%
13%
Avg. XG against1.4
1.5
KickOff rating
+7%

Vasco d Gama v Vitoria Serie A lLine ups will show here when available.

Vasco d Gama Serie A squad statistics 2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
251257
N MoreiraP VegettiN MoreiraP Henrique
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
N Moreira FWD2645
1
-
L Jardim GLK25
1
2
H Moura MID241
6
-
P Vegetti FWD24121
3
-
R Rocha FWD2471
3
-
P Henrique DEF2014
7
-
P Coutinho MID2052
1
L Piton  DEF1915
4
-
L Freitas DEF191
4
-
T Tchê MID181
1
-
J Bebanz DEF1622
-
David  FWD1413
2
-
Jair MID11
3
-
B Garré FWD10
1
-
Adson FWD10
-
Paulinho MID9
2
-
L Oliveira DEF7
1
-
C Luz MID6
3
-
A Gomez FWD62
1
-
M Lemos  DEF4
-
C Cuesta DEF41
1
-
R Renan DEF4
-
V Luis DEF4
-
M França MID4
-
T Mendes MID4
1
-
G. Souza da Silva FWD4
-
D Fuzato GLK2
-
J Meneses MID1
-
Vitoria Serie A squad statistics 2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
25727
L ArcanjoR KayzerRonaldG Baralhas
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
L Arcanjo GLK25
2
-
L Halter DEF2411
5
-
Ronald MID222
4
-
Erick FWD2032
5
-
Osvaldo FWD202
3
-
Z Marcos DEF1911
3
-
G Baralhas MID1911
7
-
R Kayzer FWD197
2
-
Matheuzinho MID182
3
1
R Ryller MID16
3
-
F Fabrício FWD161
-
L Braga FWD151
1
-
Claudinho DEF14
5
-
Edu DEF13
-
Pepê MID13
3
1
R Cáceres DEF121
4
-
Jamerson DEF122
-
R López FWD121
2
-
W Oliveira MID11
4
-
Ramon DEF8
2
-
M. Kesley de Jesus Ramalho DEF7
1
-
A Cantalapiedra  MID711
1
-
Camutanga DEF5
2
-
Neris DEF4
1
1
R Rodrigues MID4
-
Romarinho FWD4
-
Carlinhos FWD41
2
-
F. Cardoso MID3
-
Dudu MID2
2
1
Ismael MID1
-