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Ajax v NEC Nijmegen : Eredivisie match betting preview, prediction and odds

Sat 21st Feb, 20:00 BST, Johan Cruijff Arena, Amsterdam

Fred Grim welcomes Dick Schreuder to the Johan Cruijff Arena on Saturday night, as their Ajax and NEC Nijmegen charges go head to head in the Eredivisie. All statistics, including 20-game form for both teams and head-to-head records, will update as you browse each of the betting markets using the tabs below. Odds from leading bookmakers and, of course, our predictions will too.


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Best Tip: Over 2.5 goals

Both our prediction and odds from the bookmakers suggest that this Eredivisie showdown is going to be entertaining, with at least 3 goals to scored in the match. As both sides are unconvincing in the WDW market given their latest form, we're going with the stats and past head-to-head (H2H) records below, both of which point to a tip of over 2.5 goals.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think Ajax are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 47% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 1.95.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Ajax
47%
1.95-
Draw
22%
3.75-
NEC
31%
3.40-
Draw 1-1
9%
8.50-
Ajax 2-1
9%
9.00-
NEC 2-1
7%
13.00-
Draw 2-2
7%
11.00-
Ajax 1-0
6%
12.00-
Ajax 2-0
6%
12.00-
Ajax 3-1
6%
12.00-
NEC 1-0
5%
19.00-
Ajax 3-2
4%
17.00-
Ajax 3-0
4%
17.00-
NEC 2-0
4%
26.00-
NEC 3-1
4%
26.00-
NEC 3-2
4%
26.00-
Draw 0-0
3%
21.00-
Ajax 4-1
3%
21.00-
Over 2.5 Goals
67%
1.44-
Under 2.5 Goals
33%
2.70-
Home 1st Goal
51%
1.62-
Away 1st Goal
47%
2.25-
No 1st Goal
2%
21.00-
BTTS - Yes
67%
1.44-
BTTS - No
33%
2.63-
BTTS - Home Win
29%
2.88-
BTTS - Draw
19%
4.50-
BTTS - Away Win
20%
5.00-
Home/draw
69%
1.30-
Away/draw
53%
1.80-
Home/away
78%
1.25-
Over 1.5 Goals
86%
1.13-
Under 1.5 Goals
14%
6.00-
Over 3.5 Goals
46%
2.00-
Under 3.5 Goals
54%
1.73-
Over 4.5 Goals
27%
3.50-
Under 4.5 Goals
73%
1.29-
Over 5.5 Goals
14%
6.50-
Under 5.5 Goals
86%
1.11-
Over 0.5 Goals
97%
1.02-
Under 0.5 Goals
3%
21.00-
Home DNB
62%
1.36-
Away DNB
46%
3.00-
Ajax win to nil
18%
4.00-
NEC win to nil
11%
10.00-
Ajax / Ajax
30%
2.75-
Ajax / NEC
3%
26.00-
Ajax / Draw
6%
13.00-
Draw / Ajax
15%
5.50-
Draw / NEC
9%
9.00-
Draw / Draw
12%
7.00-
NEC / Ajax
4%
19.00-
NEC / NEC
14%
6.00-
NEC / Draw
6%
15.00-
Match Predictor Pro
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Win / draw / win Eredivisie table

Ajax have played 22 matches so far this season and are in 4th position in the league. Ajax are unbeaten in 3 games against teams above them in the league and kept 1 clean sheet out of 3 games.

Performance against teams above them in the league

3 of those games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost zero games, drawn 2 and won 1. Ajax have conceded 4 goals, scored 6, scored in every game and kept 1 clean sheet.

Home league performance

Ajax have played 11 games at home, winning 7, drawing 2 and losing 2 fixtures. They have scored 19 goals, conceded 9 goals, kept 5 clean sheets and failed to score 1 time in home league games.

NEC lay in 3rd place on 41 points in the Eredivisie league table having played 21 matches.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 19 games against teams below them in the table, winning 11, drawing 5 and losing 3 games. They have scored 49 goals and kept 3 clean sheets against lower placed opposition. NEC have conceded 28 goals and have failed to score in 1 match.

Away league performance

NEC have played 11 away games, winning 5, drawing 3 and losing 3 games. They have scored an average of 2.5 goals per away game and conceded an average 1.9 goals per away game.

Won
Draw
Lost
Ajax
NEC
Results by League Table
TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY HOME AWAY
1
PSV2219214059 
May 2
d
 
2-2A
l
 
3-5A
Mar 14
2
Feyenoord2213362042 
w
 
2-0F
Mar 22
Apr 12
w
 
2-4F
3
NEC2112542141 
Feb 21
d
 
2-2A
-
-
4
Ajax2210931339 
-
-
d
 
2-2F
Feb 21
5
S.Rotterdam221138-736 
Mar 14
d
 
3-3F
w
 
3-1F
Feb 15
6
Twente2281041234 
Apr 4
w
 
2-3A
d
 
3-3A
Apr 25
7
AZ Alkmaar22967133 
l
 
0-2A
d
 
1-1A
w
 
2-1F
w
 
1-3F
8
Groningen22949131 
w
 
2-0F
Mar 7
w
 
2-0F
May 10
9
Fortuna227510-526 
Feb 14
w
 
1-3A
Feb 28
l
 
3-2A
10
Excelsior227510-1326 
l
 
1-2A
d
 
2-2F
w
 
5-0F
Apr 4
11
PEC Zwolle227510-1426 
w
 
3-1F
Mar 1
w
 
2-1A
d
 
2-2F
12
Heerenveen21678-425 
d
 
1-1F
May 17
Mar 22
l
 
3-2A
13
Utrecht21669224 
May 10
l
 
2-1A
Feb 11
l
 
1-0A
14
GA Eagles214116-323 
d
 
2-2F
d
 
2-2F
May 17
d
 
1-1F
15
FC Volendam225611-1321 
w
 
2-0F
d
 
1-1A
Mar 8
w
 
2-3A
16
Telstar223811-1217 
w
 
2-0F
w
 
2-3F
May 2
d
 
2-2A
17
Heracles225215-2617 
w
 
2-0F
Apr 11
w
 
4-1F
w
 
1-4A
18
NAC223712-1316 
w
 
2-1F
Apr 25
w
 
3-0F
w
 
3-4F
UEFA Champions League
UEFA Champions League Qualifiers
UEFA Europa League Qualifiers
UEFA Conference League Qualifiers Play Off
Relegation Play Off
Relegation
Win / draw / win form
Ajax 4TH
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
37
Conceded
18
Games: Scored
18 / 20
Conceded
12 / 20
Clean sheets
8 / 20
Failed to score
2 / 20
Won
13
D
4
L
3
HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Ajax2 - 0FC Volendam
Ajax2 - 2GA Eagles
Ajax2 - 0Feyenoord
Ajax2 - 0Groningen
Ajax1 - 2Excelsior
Ajax1 - 1Heerenveen
Ajax0 - 2AZ Alkmaar
Ajax2 - 1NAC
Ajax3 - 1PEC Zwolle
Ajax2 - 0Heracles
Ajax2 - 0Telstar
Ajax2 - 0Twente
Ajax0 - 3NEC
Ajax1 - 1S.Rotterdam
Ajax3 - 1NAC
Ajax2 - 2AZ Alkmaar
Ajax2 - 0GA Eagles
Ajax4 - 0Heracles
Ajax2 - 1Feyenoord
Ajax2 - 1Waalwijk
Goals: Scored
38
Conceded
27
Games: Scored
19 / 20
Conceded
16 / 20
Clean sheets
4 / 20
Failed to score
1 / 20
Won
9
Draw
8
L
3
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
AAjax1 - 1AZ Alkmaar
AAjax2 - 2Excelsior
HAjax2 - 0FC Volendam
HAjax2 - 2GA Eagles
AAjax3 - 2Telstar
AAjax2 - 2NEC
HAjax2 - 0Feyenoord
AAjax3 - 1Fortuna
HAjax2 - 0Groningen
HAjax1 - 2Excelsior
AAjax1 - 2Utrecht
HAjax1 - 1Heerenveen
AAjax3 - 2Twente
HAjax0 - 2AZ Alkmaar
AAjax3 - 3S.Rotterdam
HAjax2 - 1NAC
AAjax2 - 2PSV
HAjax3 - 1PEC Zwolle
AAjax1 - 1FC Volendam
HAjax2 - 0Heracles
NEC 3RD
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
36
Conceded
32
Games: Scored
15 / 20
Conceded
17 / 20
Clean sheets
3 / 20
Failed to score
5 / 20
Won
8
Draw
5
Lost
7
AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
AZ Alkmaar1 - 3NEC
NAC3 - 4NEC
Telstar2 - 2NEC
FC Volendam2 - 3NEC
Feyenoord2 - 4NEC
Utrecht1 - 0NEC
PEC Zwolle2 - 2NEC
GA Eagles1 - 1NEC
Heerenveen3 - 2NEC
Fortuna3 - 2NEC
Heracles1 - 4NEC
Twente2 - 2NEC
Heracles1 - 2NEC
Ajax0 - 3NEC
Heerenveen1 - 0NEC
S.Rotterdam2 - 0NEC
Utrecht0 - 1NEC
Feyenoord0 - 0NEC
Twente2 - 0NEC
Groningen2 - 1NEC
Goals: Scored
51
Conceded
35
Games: Scored
19 / 20
Conceded
18 / 20
Clean sheets
2 / 20
Failed to score
1 / 20
Won
11
Draw
5
L
4
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
HNEC4 - 1Heracles
ANEC3 - 1AZ Alkmaar
HNEC2 - 1PEC Zwolle
ANEC4 - 3NAC
HNEC2 - 2Ajax
ANEC2 - 2Telstar
ANEC3 - 2FC Volendam
HNEC3 - 1S.Rotterdam
ANEC4 - 2Feyenoord
HNEC2 - 0Groningen
ANEC0 - 1Utrecht
ANEC2 - 2PEC Zwolle
HNEC3 - 3Twente
ANEC1 - 1GA Eagles
HNEC2 - 1AZ Alkmaar
ANEC2 - 3Heerenveen
HNEC3 - 5PSV
ANEC2 - 3Fortuna
HNEC3 - 0NAC
ANEC4 - 1Heracles
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
League games at Ajax since 2016
Ajax
NEC
Goals: Scored
15
7
Games: Scored
5 / 6
3 / 6
Clean sheets
3 / 6
1 / 6
AJA
3
D
2
NEC
1
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Ajax
0 - 3NEC
Draw2 - 2Draw
Ajax1 - 0
Ajax5 - 0
Ajax5 - 0
Draw2 - 2Draw
League games at NEC since 2015
NEC
Ajax
Goals: Scored
6
15
Games: Scored
5 / 7
7 / 7
Clean sheets
0 / 7
2 / 7
AJA
5
D
2
FIXTURE HISTORY AT NEC
Draw2 - 2Draw
1 - 2Ajax
1 - 2Ajax
Draw1 - 1Draw
0 - 1Ajax
1 - 5Ajax
0 - 2Ajax
Goal Statistics

Ajax have been consistent in attack of late, finding the net in 12 consecutive Eredivisie games. Their PG of 1.9 against NEC Nijmegen on Saturday suggests that run is likely to continue.

Ajax 4th NEC 3rd
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.9
goals
1.5
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
14%
1
28%
2
27%
3
17%
4+
13%
There is a 86% probability that Ajax will score 1 or more goals
0
21%
1
33%
2
25%
3
13%
4+
7%
There is a 79% probability that NEC will score 1 or more goals
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
-16
Ajax have scored 16% fewer goals at home than predicted
+27
NEC have scored 27% more goals when away than predicted
1.9
average goals scored
1.8
average goals scored
0.9
conceded
1.6
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Eredivisie - 2025/2026 season
Ajax
PG (predicted goals)
NEC
1.9
1.5
Attack rating
AJA
NEC
11%
better
view stats
Games scored21
20
Failed to score1
1
Scored first13
12
Goals scored42
56
Avg. goals scored1.9
2.7
Avg. shots per game11
12
Avg. shots per goal6
4
Conversion rate for17
23
Avg. XG for1.7
1.9
KickOff rating
+11%
Defence rating
14%
better
AJA
NEC
view stats
Games conceded17
18
Clean sheets5
3
Conceded first9
9
Goals conceded29
35
Avg. goals conceded1.3
1.7
Avg. shots/game conceded9
9
Avg. shots/goal conceded7
6
Conversion rate against14%
18%
Avg. XG against1.3
1.4
KickOff rating
+14%

Ajax v NEC Eredivisie lLine ups will show here when available.

Ajax Eredivisie squad statistics 2025/2026
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
191074
Y Baas M GodtsM GodtsY Regeer
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
D Klaassen MID2242
1
-
O Gloukh MID2155
2
-
M Godts FWD20107
2
-
Y Baas  DEF1941
2
1
V Jaroš GLK18
1
-
A Gaaei DEF183
2
-
Y Regeer MID182
4
-
W Weghorst FWD1761
4
-
L Rosa DEF16
2
-
K Taylor MID1524
3
-
J. Mokio MID151
-
O Wijndal DEF141
3
-
K Itakura DEF141
1
-
O Edvardsen FWD141
2
-
R Moro FWD141
1
-
J Sutalo DEF13
1
-
R. Bounida MID124
2
-
K Dolberg FWD1231
1
-
K Fitz-Jim MID111
2
-
S. Steur MID8
-
S Berghuis  FWD812
-
A. Bouwman DEF61
2
-
D. Christoffel Annum-Assamoah Konadu FWD5
-
R Pasveer GLK4
-
J. McConnell MID4
-
G. Alders DEF3
-
NEC Eredivisie squad statistics 2025/2026
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
21776
G CrettazK OgawaB LinssenA Kaplan
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
G Crettaz GLK21
3
-
K Sano MID2134
2
-
T Chery MID2065
2
1
S. Ouaissa MID2052
4
1
B Linssen FWD1967
5
-
K Ogawa FWD1873
1
-
B. Onal FWD1856
4
-
B Pereira DEF161
1
-
D. Fonville DEF162
-
A Kaplan DEF161
6
-
D Nejasmic MID161
1
-
D Proper MID163
2
-
P Sandler DEF1512
4
1
V Misidjan FWD1512
-
E Dasa DEF141
-
K. Shiogai FWD127
1
-
Y Kachati FWD1022
-
V Crooij MID81
-
T Ouwejan DEF612
-
J Willems DEF4
-
R González FWD3
-
Y. Sbai DEF2
-
B Nuytinck DEF1
-