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AZ v Ajax : Eredivisie match betting preview, prediction and odds

Sun 8th Feb, 13:30 BST, AFAS Stadion, Alkmaar

The Eredivisie is the focus for both AZ and Ajax on Sunday afternoon, as bosses Maarten Martens and Fred Grim go head to head at the AFAS Stadion. You'll see stats supporting our top of over 2.5 goals below, but don't forget to explore 16 other markets we cover too. Each has been designed to deliver as full a picture as possible, with Eredivisie performances and head-to-heads included, so that you can make a smart bet. Finally, be sure to get the best odds from one of the UK's biggest bookmakers.


Want to know who’s consistently beating the odds? Check out the Top Eredivisie Tipsters and see the most profitable experts for this season!

If you’re keen on betting across various leagues and markets, our Live Bets page showcases active accumulator bets and real-time tips.

Best Tip: Over 2.5 goals

Both our prediction and odds from the bookies suggest that this Eredivisie clash should present fine viewing for neutrals in the ground, with at least 3 goals to scored in the fixture. As we don't have an obvious winner here given their recent form, we're going with the statistics and past head-to-head (H2H) records below, both of which point firmly in the direction of a tip of over 2.5 goals.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think AZ Alkmaar are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 40% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 2.15.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
AZ Alkmaar
40%
23/2023/20
Draw
21%
27/1014/5
Ajax
39%
15/82/1
Draw 1-1
8%
7/16/1
AZ Alkmaar 2-1
8%
17/27/1
Ajax 2-1
8%
10/117/2
Draw 2-2
7%
10/19/1
5%
AZ Alkmaar 3-1
5%
14/111/1
Ajax 3-1
5%
20/116/1
AZ Alkmaar 3-2
5%
18/116/1
13%
Ajax 3-2
5%
20/118/1
AZ Alkmaar 1-0
4%
12/117/2
5%
Ajax 1-0
4%
14/110/1
8%
AZ Alkmaar 2-0
4%
14/110/1
Ajax 2-0
4%
18/114/1
Draw 3-3
3%
28/125/1
13%
AZ Alkmaar 3-0
3%
22/116/1
Ajax 3-0
2%
33/122/1
Over 2.5 Goals
74%
1/28/15
2%
Under 2.5 Goals
26%
6/411/8
3%
Home 1st Goal
49%
4/53/4
Away 1st Goal
49%
1/123/20
No 1st Goal
1%
18/112/1
BTTS - Yes
73%
4/91/2
1%
BTTS - No
27%
13/829/20
2%
BTTS - Home Win
27%
5/25/2
6%
BTTS - Draw
19%
10/316/5
BTTS - Away Win
26%
7/218/5
2%
Home/draw
61%
2/54/11
Away/draw
60%
4/64/6
2%
Home/away
79%
2/71/4
Over 1.5 Goals
90%
1/71/6
2%
Under 1.5 Goals
10%
9/218/5
8%
Over 3.5 Goals
54%
6/513/10
5%
Under 3.5 Goals
46%
8/1311/20
4%
Over 4.5 Goals
34%
11/43/1
8%
Under 4.5 Goals
66%
1/42/9
2%
Over 5.5 Goals
19%
6/113/2
15%
Under 5.5 Goals
81%
1/101/14
2%
Over 0.5 Goals
98%
1/501/66
Under 0.5 Goals
2%
18/112/1
13%
Home DNB
55%
4/63/5
2%
Away DNB
53%
11/106/5
2%
AZ Alkmaar win to nil
13%
4/1-
Ajax win to nil
12%
11/2-
AZ Alkmaar / AZ Alkmaar
24%
5/211/5
3%
AZ Alkmaar / Ajax
4%
22/120/1
AZ Alkmaar / Draw
7%
12/110/1
Draw / AZ Alkmaar
14%
5/119/4
Draw / Ajax
11%
13/26/1
7%
Draw / Draw
13%
11/25/1
Ajax / AZ Alkmaar
4%
20/116/1
Ajax / Ajax
18%
7/27/2
Ajax / Draw
6%
12/111/1
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Win / draw / win Eredivisie table

AZ Alkmaar have played 21 matches so far this season and are in 6th position in the league.

Performance against teams above them in the league

6 of those games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 3 games, drawn 1 and won 2. AZ Alkmaar have conceded 13 goals, scored 9, scored in every game and kept 2 clean sheets.

Home league performance

AZ Alkmaar have played 10 games at home, winning 4, drawing 4 and losing 2 fixtures. They have scored 21 goals, conceded 19 goals, kept 1 clean sheet and scored in every home league game.

Ajax lay in 4th place on 38 points in the Eredivisie league table having played 21 matches.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 18 games against teams below them in the table, winning 9, drawing 6 and losing 3 games. They have scored 35 goals and kept 4 clean sheets against lower placed opposition. Ajax have conceded 24 goals and have failed to score in 1 match.

Away league performance

Ajax have played 10 away games, winning 3, drawing 6 and losing 1 game. They have scored an average of 2.2 goals per away game and conceded an average 1.9 goals per away game.

Won
Draw
Lost
AZ Alkmaar
Ajax
Results by League Table
TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY HOME AWAY
1
PSV2118213956 
l
 
1-5A
Mar 7
May 2
d
 
2-2A
2
Feyenoord2112361939 
d
 
3-3F
May 10
w
 
2-0F
Mar 22
3
NEC2011541838 
l
 
1-3A
l
 
2-1A
Feb 21
d
 
2-2A
4
Ajax2110831338 
Feb 8
w
 
0-2F
-
-
5
S.Rotterdam211128-735 
Feb 22
w
 
0-1F
Mar 14
d
 
3-3F
6
AZ Alkmaar21957132 
-
-
l
 
0-2A
Feb 8
7
Twente217104731 
May 3
l
 
1-0A
Apr 4
w
 
2-3A
8
Groningen21948231 
w
 
4-1F
Mar 22
w
 
2-0F
Mar 7
9
PEC Zwolle21759-1326 
d
 
2-2F
l
 
3-1A
w
 
3-1F
Mar 1
10
Heerenveen20677125 
Apr 12
l
 
3-1A
d
 
1-1F
May 17
11
Fortuna217410-525 
Apr 4
l
 
4-3A
Feb 14
w
 
1-3A
12
Utrecht20668324 
w
 
4-1F
Mar 1
May 10
l
 
2-1A
13
Excelsior216510-1523 
d
 
1-1F
Feb 14
l
 
1-2A
d
 
2-2F
14
GA Eagles204106-322 
d
 
2-2A
Apr 23
d
 
2-2F
d
 
2-2F
15
FC Volendam214611-1418 
w
 
1-0F
d
 
2-2A
w
 
2-0F
d
 
1-1A
16
Heracles215214-2317 
Mar 15
w
 
1-2F
w
 
2-0F
Apr 11
17
NAC213711-1116 
May 17
w
 
0-1F
w
 
2-1F
Apr 25
18
Telstar213711-1216 
w
 
2-1F
w
 
0-1F
w
 
2-0F
w
 
2-3F
UEFA Champions League
UEFA Champions League Qualifiers
UEFA Europa League Qualifiers
UEFA Conference League Qualifiers Play Off
Relegation Play Off
Relegation
Win / draw / win form
AZ Alkmaar 7TH
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
39
Conceded
29
Games: Scored
19 / 20
Conceded
16 / 20
Clean sheets
4 / 20
Failed to score
1 / 20
Won
9
Draw
7
L
4
HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
AZ Alkmaar1 - 3NEC
AZ Alkmaar1 - 1Excelsior
AZ Alkmaar1 - 0FC Volendam
AZ Alkmaar2 - 2GA Eagles
AZ Alkmaar1 - 5PSV
AZ Alkmaar4 - 1Utrecht
AZ Alkmaar2 - 1Telstar
AZ Alkmaar2 - 2PEC Zwolle
AZ Alkmaar3 - 3Feyenoord
AZ Alkmaar4 - 1Groningen
AZ Alkmaar3 - 2Twente
AZ Alkmaar4 - 1Heerenveen
AZ Alkmaar1 - 1Almere City
AZ Alkmaar3 - 0Groningen
AZ Alkmaar1 - 1NAC
AZ Alkmaar0 - 1Feyenoord
AZ Alkmaar2 - 2Waalwijk
AZ Alkmaar1 - 0Fortuna
AZ Alkmaar2 - 0PEC Zwolle
AZ Alkmaar1 - 2S.Rotterdam
Goals: Scored
32
Conceded
34
Games: Scored
19 / 20
Conceded
15 / 20
Clean sheets
5 / 20
Failed to score
1 / 20
Won
8
Draw
5
Lost
7
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
HAZ Alkmaar1 - 3NEC
AAZ Alkmaar1 - 0Telstar
HAZ Alkmaar1 - 1Excelsior
AAZ Alkmaar1 - 3PEC Zwolle
HAZ Alkmaar1 - 0FC Volendam
AAZ Alkmaar3 - 4Fortuna
HAZ Alkmaar2 - 2GA Eagles
AAZ Alkmaar0 - 1Twente
AAZ Alkmaar1 - 3Heerenveen
HAZ Alkmaar1 - 5PSV
AAZ Alkmaar1 - 0S.Rotterdam
HAZ Alkmaar4 - 1Utrecht
AAZ Alkmaar2 - 0Ajax
HAZ Alkmaar2 - 1Telstar
AAZ Alkmaar1 - 2NEC
HAZ Alkmaar2 - 2PEC Zwolle
HAZ Alkmaar3 - 3Feyenoord
AAZ Alkmaar2 - 1Heracles
AAZ Alkmaar1 - 0NAC
AAZ Alkmaar2 - 2FC Volendam
Ajax 3RD
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
37
Conceded
28
Games: Scored
19 / 20
Conceded
14 / 20
Clean sheets
6 / 20
Failed to score
1 / 20
Won
10
Draw
7
L
3
AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Excelsior2 - 2Ajax
Telstar2 - 3Ajax
NEC2 - 2Ajax
Fortuna1 - 3Ajax
Utrecht2 - 1Ajax
Twente2 - 3Ajax
S.Rotterdam3 - 3Ajax
PSV2 - 2Ajax
FC Volendam1 - 1Ajax
GA Eagles2 - 2Ajax
Groningen2 - 2Ajax
Utrecht4 - 0Ajax
Willem II1 - 2Ajax
PSV0 - 2Ajax
PEC Zwolle0 - 1Ajax
Almere City0 - 1Ajax
Fortuna0 - 2Ajax
Heerenveen0 - 2Ajax
S.Rotterdam0 - 2Ajax
AZ Alkmaar2 - 1Ajax
Goals: Scored
39
Conceded
28
Games: Scored
19 / 20
Conceded
16 / 20
Clean sheets
4 / 20
Failed to score
1 / 20
Won
9
Draw
8
L
3
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
AAjax2 - 2Excelsior
HAjax2 - 0FC Volendam
HAjax2 - 2GA Eagles
AAjax3 - 2Telstar
AAjax2 - 2NEC
HAjax2 - 0Feyenoord
AAjax3 - 1Fortuna
HAjax2 - 0Groningen
HAjax1 - 2Excelsior
AAjax1 - 2Utrecht
HAjax1 - 1Heerenveen
AAjax3 - 2Twente
HAjax0 - 2AZ Alkmaar
AAjax3 - 3S.Rotterdam
HAjax2 - 1NAC
AAjax2 - 2PSV
HAjax3 - 1PEC Zwolle
AAjax1 - 1FC Volendam
HAjax2 - 0Heracles
AAjax2 - 2GA Eagles
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
3
AZ Alkmaar have beaten Ajax in 3 consecutive home league meetings
9
AZ Alkmaar have not lost to Ajax in 9 consecutive league meetings
League games at AZ Alkmaar since 2015
AZ Alkmaar
Ajax
Goals: Scored
13
14
Games: Scored
8 / 10
7 / 10
Clean sheets
3 / 10
2 / 10
AZ
5
D
2
AJA
3
FIXTURE HISTORY AT AZ Alkmaar
AZ Alkmaar2 - 1
AZ Alkmaar2 - 0
AZ Alkmaar2 - 1
Draw2 - 2Draw
0 - 3Ajax
AZ Alkmaar1 - 0
AZ Alkmaar1 - 0
1 - 2Ajax
Draw2 - 2Draw
0 - 3Ajax
League games at Ajax since 2016
Ajax
AZ Alkmaar
Goals: Scored
22
12
Games: Scored
8 / 11
7 / 11
Clean sheets
4 / 11
3 / 11
AZ
4
D
2
AJA
5
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Ajax
0 - 2AZ Alkmaar
Draw2 - 2Draw
1 - 2AZ Alkmaar
Draw0 - 0Draw
1 - 2AZ Alkmaar
Ajax2 - 0
0 - 2AZ Alkmaar
Ajax5 - 0
Ajax3 - 0
Ajax4 - 1
Ajax4 - 1
Goal Statistics

AZ have been steady in attack of late, finding the net in 7 consecutive Eredivisie outings. Their PG of 1.9 against Ajax on Sunday suggests they're likely to extend that run.

AZ Alkmaar 7th Ajax 3rd
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.9
goals
1.9
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
14%
1
28%
2
27%
3
18%
4+
13%
There is a 86% probability that AZ Alkmaar will score 1 or more goals
0
15%
1
28%
2
27%
3
17%
4+
13%
There is a 85% probability that Ajax will score 1 or more goals
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
-7
AZ Alkmaar’s goalscoring at home has been inline with predictions
+3
Ajax’s goalscoring when away has been inline with predictions
2.0
average goals scored
1.9
average goals scored
1.5
conceded
1.4
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Eredivisie - 2025/2026 season
AZ Alkmaar
PG (predicted goals)
Ajax
1.9
1.9
Attack rating
AZ
AJA
7%
better
view stats
Games scored20
20
Failed to score1
1
Scored first12
13
Goals scored36
41
Avg. goals scored1.7
2
Avg. shots per game11
11
Avg. shots per goal7
6
Conversion rate for15
17
Avg. XG for2.1
1.7
KickOff rating
+7%
Defence rating
AZ
AJA
10%
better
view stats
Games conceded16
16
Clean sheets5
5
Conceded first9
8
Goals conceded35
28
Avg. goals conceded1.7
1.3
Avg. shots/game conceded9
9
Avg. shots/goal conceded6
7
Conversion rate against18%
14%
Avg. XG against1.4
1.4
KickOff rating
+10%

AZ Alkmaar v Ajax Eredivisie lLine ups will show here when available.

AZ Alkmaar Eredivisie squad statistics 2025/2026
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
211158
A PenetraT ParrottS MijnansW Goes
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
A Penetra DEF2111
4
-
M Wit DEF2022
7
-
W Goes DEF20
8
-
P Koopmeiners MID201
4
-
I Jensen FWD2012
-
S Mijnans MID1855
1
-
K. Smit MID1822
4
-
Weslley FWD1722
-
R Owusu-Oduro GLK16
-
T Parrott FWD16111
2
-
I Sadiq FWD162
2
-
M. Chávez García DEF141
4
-
M Šín MID1411
1
-
R. Daal FWD131
-
D Kasius DEF1121
2
-
L Zeefuik FWD10
1
-
E. Dijkstra DEF8
1
-
M Meerdink FWD831
1
-
J Clasie MID7
3
1
J Zoet GLK6
-
M Dekker DEF6
-
D. Kwakman MID6
-
S Maikuma DEF4
-
Ajax Eredivisie squad statistics 2025/2026
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
181074
Y Baas M GodtsM GodtsY Regeer
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
D Klaassen MID2142
1
-
O Gloukh MID2055
2
-
M Godts FWD19107
2
-
Y Baas  DEF1841
2
1
V Jaroš GLK17
1
-
A Gaaei DEF173
2
-
Y Regeer MID172
4
-
L Rosa DEF16
2
-
W Weghorst FWD1661
4
-
K Taylor MID1524
3
-
J. Mokio MID151
-
K Itakura DEF141
1
-
R Moro FWD141
1
-
O Wijndal DEF131
3
-
O Edvardsen FWD13
2
-
J Sutalo DEF12
1
-
R. Bounida MID114
2
-
K Dolberg FWD1131
1
-
K Fitz-Jim MID10
2
-
S Berghuis  FWD812
-
S. Steur MID7
-
A. Bouwman DEF61
2
-
D. Christoffel Annum-Assamoah Konadu FWD5
-
R Pasveer GLK4
-
J. McConnell MID4
-
G. Alders DEF3
-