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Burnley v Derby County : Championship match betting preview, prediction and odds

Sat 19th Sep, 15:00 BST, Turf Moor, Burnley

We’ve Championship action to look forward to on Saturday afternoon, as Nicky Hayen and his Burnley side host John Eustace’s Derby County at the Turf Moor. We've got predictions, tips, and odds and head-to-head statistics across every market, all with the aim of helping you find a winning bet on this Championship clash.


Want to know who’s consistently beating the odds? Check out the Top Championship Tipsters and see the most profitable experts for this season!

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In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Burnley
29%
--
Draw
25%
--
Derby
46%
--
Draw 1-1
12%
--
Derby 1-0
9%
--
Derby 2-1
9%
--
Derby 2-0
8%
--
Burnley 1-0
7%
--
Burnley 2-1
7%
--
Draw 0-0
6%
--
Draw 2-2
6%
--
Derby 3-1
5%
--
Burnley 2-0
4%
--
Derby 3-0
4%
--
Derby 3-2
3%
--
Burnley 3-1
3%
--
Burnley 3-2
2%
--
Derby 4-1
2%
--
Over 2.5 Goals
54%
--
Under 2.5 Goals
46%
--
Home 1st Goal
45%
--
Away 1st Goal
51%
--
No 1st Goal
3%
--
BTTS - Yes
56%
--
BTTS - No
44%
--
BTTS - Home Win
15%
--
BTTS - Draw
19%
--
BTTS - Away Win
23%
--
Home/draw
54%
--
Away/draw
71%
--
Home/away
75%
--
Over 1.5 Goals
77%
--
Under 1.5 Goals
23%
--
Over 3.5 Goals
31%
--
Under 3.5 Goals
69%
--
Over 4.5 Goals
16%
--
Under 4.5 Goals
84%
--
Over 5.5 Goals
7%
--
Under 5.5 Goals
93%
--
Over 0.5 Goals
94%
--
Under 0.5 Goals
6%
--
Home DNB
47%
--
Away DNB
63%
--
Burnley win to nil
14%
--
Derby win to nil
23%
--
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Win / draw / win Championship table
Won
Draw
Lost
Burnley
Derby
Results by League Table
TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY HOME AWAY
1
Swansea4310610 
Feb 13
Sep 12
l
 
0-3A
Apr 17
2
QPR4310410 
Jan 26
Nov 3
Feb 16
Oct 14
3
Charlton5311-110 
Oct 13
Feb 16
Mar 6
l
 
2-1F
4
Wolves421137 
Oct 16
Jan 16
May 1
Nov 24
5
M'Boro421127 
d
 
1-1A
Apr 20
Mar 16
Dec 5
6
West Brom421117 
Mar 2
l
 
3-1F
Sep 9
Apr 7
7
Bristol C421117 
l
 
1-2F
Apr 10
Dec 9
Apr 24
8
Sheff Utd413016 
Jan 1
Dec 12
Dec 29
Oct 24
9
Birmingham413016 
Nov 25
May 1
Sep 12
Feb 13
10
Stoke5203-16 
Dec 19
Apr 3
Oct 17
Jan 16
11
Millwall4202-26 
Mar 13
Nov 28
Jan 23
Oct 31
12
Wrexham412125 
Apr 6
Sep 8
Oct 10
Feb 27
13
West Ham412115 
d
 
2-2A
Mar 6
Apr 10
l
 
3-0A
14
Blackburn5122-15 
Nov 22
Feb 6
Jan 1
Dec 12
15
Watford4121-15 
Feb 27
Oct 10
Nov 28
Mar 13
16
Lincoln5122-25 
Dec 29
Oct 24
Dec 19
Apr 3
17
Southampton522154 
Apr 24
Dec 9
Feb 6
Nov 21
18
Bolton4112-14 
Mar 20
Dec 26
Nov 6
Jan 30
19
Derby4112-24 
Sep 19
Feb 20
-
-
20
Cardiff4031-13 
Jan 30
Nov 7
d
 
2-2A
Mar 2
21
Norwich4103-23 
Apr 17
l
 
4-1A
Nov 3
Jan 26
22
Portsmouth4103-33 
Oct 31
Jan 23
Apr 20
w
 
0-2F
23
Preston5104-53 
Dec 6
Mar 16
Mar 20
Dec 26
24
Burnley4022-52 
-
-
Feb 20
Sep 19
Promotion
Promotion Play Off
Relegation
Win / draw / win form
Burnley 24TH
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
19
Conceded
32
Games: Scored
11 / 20
Conceded
17 / 20
Clean sheets
3 / 20
Failed to score
9 / 20
W
1
Draw
9
Lost
10
HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Burnley1 - 1M'Boro
Burnley2 - 2West Ham
Burnley1 - 1Wolves
Burnley2 - 2A Villa
Burnley0 - 1Man City
Burnley0 - 2Brighton
Burnley0 - 0Bournemouth
Burnley3 - 4Brentford
Burnley0 - 2West Ham
Burnley2 - 2Spurs
Burnley2 - 2Man Utd
Burnley1 - 3Newcastle
Burnley0 - 0Everton
Burnley2 - 3Fulham
Burnley0 - 1C Palace
Burnley0 - 2Chelsea
Burnley0 - 2Arsenal
Burnley2 - 0Leeds
Burnley1 - 1Nottm Forest
Burnley0 - 1Liverpool
Goals: Scored
20
Conceded
43
Games: Scored
13 / 20
Conceded
19 / 20
Clean sheets
1 / 20
Failed to score
7 / 20
W
1
Draw
7
Lost
12
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
HBurnley1 - 1M'Boro
ABurnley1 - 4Norwich
ABurnley1 - 3West Brom
HBurnley2 - 2West Ham
HBurnley1 - 1Wolves
ABurnley0 - 1Arsenal
HBurnley2 - 2A Villa
ABurnley1 - 3Leeds
HBurnley0 - 1Man City
ABurnley1 - 4Nottm Forest
HBurnley0 - 2Brighton
ABurnley1 - 3Fulham
HBurnley0 - 0Bournemouth
ABurnley0 - 2Everton
HBurnley3 - 4Brentford
ABurnley1 - 1Chelsea
ABurnley3 - 2C Palace
HBurnley0 - 2West Ham
ABurnley0 - 3Sunderland
HBurnley2 - 2Spurs
Derby 19TH
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
34
Conceded
27
Games: Scored
18 / 20
Conceded
15 / 20
Clean sheets
5 / 20
Failed to score
2 / 20
Won
10
D
1
Lost
9
AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Portsmouth0 - 2Derby
Charlton2 - 1Derby
QPR2 - 3Derby
Norwich2 - 1Derby
Southampton2 - 1Derby
Coventry3 - 2Derby
Portsmouth0 - 1Derby
Millwall1 - 0Derby
Hull4 - 2Derby
Watford2 - 0Derby
Bristol C0 - 5Derby
Charlton1 - 2Derby
Preston0 - 1Derby
Leicester2 - 1Derby
Birmingham1 - 1Derby
Sheff Wed0 - 3Derby
M'Boro2 - 1Derby
Swansea1 - 2Derby
Blackburn1 - 2Derby
Sheff Utd1 - 3Derby
Goals: Scored
28
Conceded
29
Games: Scored
17 / 20
Conceded
14 / 20
Clean sheets
6 / 20
Failed to score
3 / 20
Won
9
D
1
Lost
10
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
ADerby2 - 0Portsmouth
HDerby0 - 3Swansea
HDerby2 - 2Cardiff
ADerby1 - 2Charlton
HDerby1 - 2Sheff Utd
ADerby3 - 2QPR
ADerby1 - 2Norwich
HDerby1 - 0Oxford Utd
ADerby1 - 2Southampton
HDerby2 - 0Stoke
ADerby2 - 3Coventry
HDerby1 - 0Birmingham
ADerby1 - 0Portsmouth
ADerby0 - 1Millwall
HDerby2 - 1Sheff Wed
HDerby3 - 1Blackburn
ADerby2 - 4Hull
ADerby0 - 2Watford
HDerby2 - 0Swansea
HDerby1 - 2Ipswich
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
League games at Burnley since 1995
Burnley
Derby
Goals: Scored
21
7
Games: Scored
9 / 13
5 / 13
Clean sheets
8 / 13
4 / 13
BRN
8
D
4
DER
1
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Burnley
Draw0 - 0Draw
Burnley4 - 1
Burnley2 - 0
Burnley2 - 0
Draw0 - 0Draw
Burnley2 - 1
Burnley3 - 0
Draw0 - 0Draw
Draw2 - 2Draw
0 - 2Derby
Burnley1 - 0
Burnley2 - 0
Burnley3 - 1
League games at Derby since 1995
Derby
Burnley
Goals: Scored
17
15
Games: Scored
10 / 13
7 / 13
Clean sheets
6 / 13
3 / 13
BRN
5
D
4
DER
4
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Derby
Draw0 - 0Draw
Draw0 - 0Draw
0 - 3Burnley
1 - 2Burnley
1 - 2Burnley
2 - 4Burnley
Draw1 - 1Draw
Derby1 - 0
Derby3 - 0
Draw1 - 1Draw
Derby2 - 0
1 - 2Burnley
Derby4 - 0
Goal Statistics

Derby County's fans will be hoping for goals on Saturday afternoon, not least because Burnley have conceded in each of their last 12 Championship matches. A PG of 1.7 for J. Eustace's side suggests that run should continue.

Burnley 24th Derby 19th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.2
goals
1.6
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
29%
1
36%
2
22%
3
9%
4+
There is a 65% probability that Burnley will score no more than 1 goal
0
20%
1
32%
2
26%
3
14%
4+
8%
There is a 80% probability that Derby will score 1 or more goals
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
-15
Burnley have scored 15% fewer goals at home than predicted
+32
Derby have scored 32% more goals when away than predicted
1.0
average goals scored
1.7
average goals scored
1.6
conceded
1.4
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Championship - 2026/2027 season
Burnley
PG (predicted goals)
Derby
1.2
1.6
Attack rating
%
better
BRN
DER
view stats
Games scored0
0
Failed to score0
0
Scored first0
0
Goals scored0
0
Avg. goals scored0
0
Avg. shots per game0
0
Avg. shots per goal0
0
Conversion rate for0
0
Avg. XG for0
0
KickOff rating
0%
Defence rating
%
better
BRN
DER
view stats
Games conceded0
0
Clean sheets0
0
Conceded first0
0
Goals conceded0
0
Avg. goals conceded0
0
Avg. shots/game conceded0
0
Avg. shots/goal conceded0
0
Conversion rate against0%
0%
Avg. XG against0
0
KickOff rating
0%

Burnley v Derby Championship lLine ups will show here when available.

Burnley Championship squad statistics 2026/2027
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
4112
M WeißU RaghouberM. AlleyneJ Laurent
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
M Weiß GLK4
-
M. Alleyne DEF41
-
H Mejbri MID4
1
-
A Ramsey MID4
-
U Raghouber MID41
1
-
J Larsen  FWD41
-
Z Amdouni FWD41
-
O Sonne DEF3
1
-
K Walker DEF3
-
C Roberts DEF3
-
J Laurent MID31
1
1
D. Satpaev FWD3
-
M Edwards FWD3
1
-
A Broja  FWD3
-
A Ahmedhodzic DEF2
-
B Humphreys DEF2
-
L Pires DEF2
-
M Trésor MID2
-
A Hountondji FWD2
-
H Ekdal DEF1
-
L Ramazani FWD1
-
Derby Championship squad statistics 2026/2027
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
4223
J ZetterströmS SzmodicsB ClarkS Langas
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
J Zetterström GLK4
-
C Taylor DEF4
1
-
S Langas DEF4
3
-
M Johnston DEF4
1
-
D Sanderson DEF4
2
-
B Clark MID412
-
A Mowatt MID4
1
-
L Salvesen FWD41
-
R Brewster FWD4
1
-
O Fraulo MID31
1
-
L Travis MID3
2
-
J Ward MID3
-
S Szmodics MID32
-
R Hedges FWD3
-
C Blackett-Taylor FWD3
1
-
C Forsyth DEF2
-
R Nyambe DEF2
-
F Bilbija FWD2
-
C Morris FWD211
-