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Burnley v Derby County : Championship match betting preview, prediction and odds

Tue 10th Dec, 19:45 BST, Turf Moor, Burnley

We’ve Championship action to enjoy on Tuesday evening, as Scott Parker and his Burnley side host Paul Warne’s Derby County at the Turf Moor. We have custom-designed statistics for all of the main betting markets, from team to score first to full time result, including form and historical head to head (H2H) data. Predictions are calculated from these, and the odds come straight from the UK's biggest bookmakers.

Want to know who’s consistently beating the odds? Check out the Top Championship Tipsters and see the most profitable experts for this season!

If you’re keen on betting across various leagues and markets, our Live Bets page showcases active accumulator bets and real-time tips.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Predictions	Bet365	Coral
Burnley 52%	-	-
Draw 27%	-	-
Derby 21%	-	-
Burnley 1-0 15%	-	-
Draw 1-1 12%	-	-
Burnley 2-0 11%	-	-
Draw 0-0 10%	-	-
Burnley 2-1 9%	-	-
Derby 1-0 8%	-	-
Burnley 3-0 5%	-	-
Derby 2-1 5%	-	-
Burnley 3-1 4%	-	-
Draw 2-2 4%	-	-
Derby 2-0 3%	-	-
Burnley 4-0 2%	-	-
Burnley 3-2 2%	-	-
Burnley 4-1 2%	-	-
Derby 3-1 1%	-	-
Over 2.5 Goals 40%	-	-
Under 2.5 Goals 60%	-	-
Home 1st Goal 54%	-	-
Away 1st Goal 39%	-	-
No 1st Goal 7%	-	-
BTTS - Yes 43%	-	-
BTTS - No 57%	-	-
BTTS - Home Win 18%	-	-
BTTS - Draw 16%	-	-
BTTS - Away Win 8%	-	-
Home/draw 79%	-	-
Away/draw 48%	-	-
Home/away 73%	-	-
Over 1.5 Goals 66%	-	-
Under 1.5 Goals 34%	-	-
Over 3.5 Goals 20%	-	-
Under 3.5 Goals 80%	-	-
Over 4.5 Goals 8%	-	-
Under 4.5 Goals 92%	-	-
Over 5.5 Goals 3%	-	-
Under 5.5 Goals 97%	-	-
Over 0.5 Goals 90%	-	-
Under 0.5 Goals 10%	-	-
Home DNB 71%	-	-
Away DNB 40%	-	-
Burnley win to nil 34%	-	-
Derby win to nil 13%	-	-

Win / draw / win Championship table

Burnley have played 18 matches so far this season and lay in 2nd place in the Championship league table. Burnley are unbeaten at home after 8 games and have kept 6 clean sheets in those matches.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 18 games against teams below in the table, having won 10, drawn 6 and lost 2 matches. They have kept 12 clean sheets and have failed to score in 6 fixtures. Burnley have outscored their opponents by 23 goals to 22 goals.

Home League Performance

Burnley have played 8 games at home winning 5, drawing 3 and losing 0 games. They have scored 12 goals, kept 6 clean sheets and conceded 2 goals at home.

Derby are in 15th position in the Championship on 20 points having played 18 matches so far this season.

Away League Performance

5 of those games have been losing matches. They have conceded 15 goals and kept no clean sheets. They have scored 9 goals in total and failed to score in 2 fixtures.

Performance against teams above them in the league

11 games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 8 games, drawn 1 and won 2. Derby have conceded 19 goals, scored 13, failed to score in 2 fixtures and have kept 2 clean sheets.

BTTS yes BTTS no BTTS yes BTTS no Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Over 0.5 Under 0.5 Over 1.5 Under 1.5 Over 2.5 Under 2.5 Over 3.5 Under 3.5 Over 4.5 Under 4.5 Over 5.5 Under 5.5 For 0-0 Against Won Draw Lost	Burnley Derby
Results by League Table

	TEAM	PLD	W	D	L	GD	PTS	HOME	AWAY	HOME	AWAY
1	Sheff Utd	18	12	4	2	16	38	Apr 21	Dec 26	Feb 1	l 1-0A
2	Burnley	18	10	6	2	17	36	-	-	Apr 9	Dec 10
3	Leeds	18	10	5	3	18	35	Jan 27	w 0-1F	Dec 29	Dec 7
4	Sunderland	18	9	6	3	13	33	Jan 17	l 1-0A	Jan 21	l 2-0A
5	M'Boro	18	9	3	6	11	30	Dec 6	Dec 29	w 1-0F	Mar 1
6	Watford	18	9	3	6	2	30	Dec 21	Apr 18	Jan 18	l 2-1F
7	West Brom	18	6	10	2	7	28	Mar 11	d 0-00-0	Dec 26	Apr 21
8	Blackburn	17	8	4	5	4	28	d 1-1F	Jan 4	Mar 8	l 4-2A
9	Norwich	18	6	7	5	8	25	Apr 12	Dec 15	l 2-3A	Feb 8
10	Millwall	17	6	7	4	5	25	May 3	l 1-0A	Feb 22	d 1-1F
11	Bristol C	18	6	7	5	3	25	Mar 29	w 0-1F	w 3-0F	Jan 4
12	Sheff Wed	18	7	4	7	-5	25	Feb 21	w 0-2F	l 1-2F	Jan 1
13	Swansea	18	6	5	7	1	23	w 1-0F	Mar 15	l 1-2A	Apr 5
14	Stoke	18	5	6	7	-3	21	Jan 1	w 0-2F	May 3	l 2-1A
15	Derby	18	5	5	8	-2	20	Dec 10	Apr 9	-	-
16	Coventry	18	4	6	8	-3	18	w 2-0F	Apr 5	Mar 11	w 1-2F
17	Oxford Utd	18	4	6	8	-8	18	Feb 8	d 0-00-0	Feb 11	d 1-1A
18	Preston	18	3	9	6	-8	18	d 0-00-0	Feb 15	Mar 29	d 1-1A
19	Luton	18	5	3	10	-13	18	Mar 8	w 1-4F	Apr 18	Dec 20
20	Cardiff	18	4	5	9	-11	17	w 5-0F	Mar 1	w 1-0F	Jan 25
21	Plymouth	18	4	5	9	-20	17	w 1-0F	Jan 22	d 1-1F	Mar 15
22	Hull	18	3	6	9	-9	15	Feb 12	d 1-1A	d 1-1A	Apr 26
23	QPR	18	2	9	7	-11	15	d 0-00-0	Apr 26	w 2-0F	Feb 14
24	Portsmouth	16	2	7	7	-12	13	w 2-1A	Feb 1	Dec 13	Apr 12

	Promotion
	Promotion Play Off
	Relegation

Win / draw / win form

Home

Overall

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

14 / 20

Conceded

13 / 20

Clean sheets

7 / 20

Failed to score

6 / 20

Won

Draw

Lost

HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Burnley	2 - 0	Coventry
Burnley	1 - 0	Swansea
Burnley	0 - 0	QPR
Burnley	0 - 0	Preston
Burnley	1 - 0	Plymouth
Burnley	2 - 1	Portsmouth
Burnley	1 - 1	Blackburn
Burnley	5 - 0	Cardiff
Burnley	1 - 2	Nottm Forest
Burnley	1 - 4	Newcastle
Burnley	1 - 1	Brighton
Burnley	1 - 1	Wolves
Burnley	2 - 1	Brentford
Burnley	0 - 2	Bournemouth
Burnley	0 - 5	Arsenal
Burnley	2 - 2	Fulham
Burnley	1 - 1	Luton
Burnley	0 - 2	Liverpool
Burnley	0 - 2	Everton
Burnley	5 - 0	Sheff Utd

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

14 / 20

Conceded

8 / 20

Clean sheets

12 / 20

Failed to score

6 / 20

Won

Draw

OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
A	Burnley	2 - 0	Stoke
H	Burnley	2 - 0	Coventry
A	Burnley	1 - 0	Bristol C
H	Burnley	1 - 0	Swansea
A	Burnley	0 - 0	West Brom
A	Burnley	0 - 1	Millwall
H	Burnley	0 - 0	QPR
A	Burnley	1 - 1	Hull
A	Burnley	2 - 0	Sheff Wed
H	Burnley	0 - 0	Preston
H	Burnley	1 - 0	Plymouth
A	Burnley	0 - 0	Oxford Utd
H	Burnley	2 - 1	Portsmouth
A	Burnley	1 - 0	Leeds
H	Burnley	1 - 1	Blackburn
A	Burnley	0 - 1	Sunderland
H	Burnley	5 - 0	Cardiff
A	Burnley	4 - 1	Luton
H	Burnley	1 - 2	Nottm Forest
A	Burnley	1 - 2	Spurs

Away

Overall

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

14 / 20

Conceded

14 / 20

Clean sheets

6 / 20

Failed to score

6 / 20

Won

Draw

Lost

AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Preston	1 - 1	Derby
Coventry	1 - 2	Derby
Stoke	2 - 1	Derby
Oxford Utd	1 - 1	Derby
Millwall	1 - 1	Derby
Sunderland	2 - 0	Derby
Sheff Utd	1 - 0	Derby
Watford	2 - 1	Derby
Blackburn	4 - 2	Derby
Cambridge	0 - 1	Derby
Wycombe	0 - 0	Derby
Portsmouth	2 - 2	Derby
Northampton	1 - 0	Derby
Bristol R	0 - 3	Derby
Barnsley	2 - 1	Derby
Exeter	0 - 3	Derby
Charlton	0 - 1	Derby
Reading	1 - 0	Derby
Lincoln	0 - 0	Derby
Fleetwood	1 - 3	Derby

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

18 / 20

Conceded

14 / 20

Clean sheets

6 / 20

Failed to score

2 / 20

Won

Draw

Lost

OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
H	Derby	1 - 2	Sheff Wed
H	Derby	1 - 2	Swansea
A	Derby	1 - 1	Preston
H	Derby	1 - 1	Plymouth
A	Derby	2 - 1	Coventry
A	Derby	1 - 2	Stoke
H	Derby	1 - 1	Hull
A	Derby	1 - 1	Oxford Utd
A	Derby	1 - 1	Millwall
H	Derby	2 - 0	QPR
A	Derby	0 - 2	Sunderland
H	Derby	2 - 3	Norwich
A	Derby	0 - 1	Sheff Utd
H	Derby	1 - 0	Cardiff
H	Derby	3 - 0	Bristol C
A	Derby	1 - 2	Watford
H	Derby	1 - 0	M'Boro
A	Derby	2 - 4	Blackburn
H	Derby	2 - 0	Carlisle
A	Derby	1 - 0	Cambridge

Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)

Burnley have beaten Derby in 3 consecutive home league meetings

Burnley have not lost to Derby in 12 consecutive league meetings

Burnley

Derby

Goals: Scored

Games: Scored

9 / 12

5 / 12

Clean sheets

7 / 12

3 / 12

BRN

DER

FIXTURE HISTORY AT Burnley
Burnley	4 - 1
Burnley	2 - 0
Burnley	2 - 0
Draw	0 - 0	Draw
Burnley	2 - 1
Burnley	3 - 0
Draw	0 - 0	Draw
Draw	2 - 2	Draw
	0 - 2	Derby
Burnley	1 - 0
Burnley	2 - 0
Burnley	3 - 1

Derby

Burnley

Goals: Scored

Games: Scored

10 / 12

7 / 12

Clean sheets

5 / 12

2 / 12

BRN

DER

FIXTURE HISTORY AT Derby
Draw	0 - 0	Draw
	0 - 3	Burnley
	1 - 2	Burnley
	1 - 2	Burnley
	2 - 4	Burnley
Draw	1 - 1	Draw
Derby	1 - 0
Derby	3 - 0
Draw	1 - 1	Draw
Derby	2 - 0
	1 - 2	Burnley
Derby	4 - 0

Goal Statistics

Burnley's fans will be hoping for goals on Tuesday evening, not least because Derby County have conceded in each of their last 9 Championship outings. A PG of 1.5 for Scott Parker's side suggests that run should continue.

With a PG of just 0.8, Derby County look set to struggle here. Add in the fact that Burnley have kept a clean sheet in 5 consecutive Championship games, and it could be a long evening for Paul Warne's men.

	Burnley 2nd	Derby 15th
	Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction	1.5 goals	0.8 goals
	Scoring probability
Scoring probability	0 23% 1 34% 2 25% 3 12% 4+ There is a 77% probability that Burnley will score 1 or more goals	0 44% 1 36% 2 15% 3 4+ There is a 80% probability of Derby scoring 1 goal or less

	20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games	-16 Burnley have scored 16% fewer goals at home than predicted	-12 Derby have scored 12% fewer goals when away than predicted
	1.3 average goals scored	1.2 average goals scored
	1.3 conceded	1.1 conceded

Attack defence ratings
Championship - 2024/2025 season

BRN

DER

13%

better

view stats

Games scored	12		16
Failed to score	6		2
Scored first	10		9
Goals scored	23		22
Avg. goals scored	1.3		1.2
Avg. shots per game	9		8
Avg. shots per goal	7		6
Conversion rate for	14		15
Avg. XG for	1.2		1.1
KickOff rating		+13%

58%

better

BRN

DER

view stats

Games conceded	6		14
Clean sheets	12		4
Conceded first	4		9
Goals conceded	6		24
Avg. goals conceded	0.3		1.3
Avg. shots/game conceded	7		8
Avg. shots/goal conceded	20		6
Conversion rate against	5%		17%
Avg. XG against	0.8		1
KickOff rating		+58%

Burnley v Derby Championship lLine ups will show here when available.

Burnley Championship squad statistics 2024/2025

Overall

Attack

Defence

Most starts	Most goals	Most assists	Most cards
18	6	2	4
M Estève	J Brownhill	L Pires	J Cullen

Players	Appserances	goals	Assists	cards
M Estève DEF	18			2 -
J Trafford GLK	17			3 -
J Brownhill MID	17	6	1	2 -
L Koleosho FWD	17	2		2 -
J Cullen MID	16			4 -
L Pires DEF	15		2	3 -
C Egan-Riley DEF	15	1		3 -
J Anthony FWD	15	2	2	1 -
C Roberts DEF	14		2	1 -
H Mejbri MID	13			4 -
J Laurent MID	13		1	-
J Sarmiento FWD	13	2		2 -
J Rodríguez FWD	13	2		1 -
B Humphreys DEF	12			2 1
Z Flemming MID	9	1	1	1 -
H Massengo MID	8		1	1 -
A Hountondji FWD	8			-
L Foster FWD	8	1	1	3 -
J Worrall DEF	3		1	1 -
V Hladky GLK	1			-
S Sambo DEF	1			-
B Hedilazio FWD	1			-

Most goals	Most shots on target	Most assists	Most big chances
6	11	2	22
J Brownhill	Z Flemming	L Pires	L Koleosho

Players	goals	shots on	Assists	big chances
J Brownhill MID	6	10	1	13
J Sarmiento FWD	2	4		6
L Koleosho FWD	2	9		22
J Anthony FWD	2	9	2	18
J Rodríguez FWD	2	3		2
Z Flemming MID	1	11	1	7
C Egan-Riley DEF	1	2		8
L Foster FWD	1	3	1	2
J Worrall DEF			1	1
A Hountondji FWD		1
H Massengo MID			1
B Humphreys DEF				4
J Laurent MID		2	1	6
H Mejbri MID		2		7
C Roberts DEF			2	7
L Pires DEF		1	2	14
J Cullen MID		2		12

Most passes	Most tackles	Most duels won
1307	36	75
M Estève	L Pires	L Koleosho

Players	passes	tackles	duels won
M Estève DEF	1307	23	60
C Egan-Riley DEF	1093	26	58
J Cullen MID	905	24	61
C Roberts DEF	774	16	46
J Brownhill MID	685	26	58
J Trafford GLK	615		8
L Pires DEF	613	36	55
B Humphreys DEF	415	20	42
L Koleosho FWD	413	24	75
J Anthony FWD	410	15	46
J Laurent MID	312	12	43
H Mejbri MID	297	12	52
J Worrall DEF	234	2	16
J Sarmiento FWD	153	16	44
L Foster FWD	137	5	31
J Rodríguez FWD	120	5	21
Z Flemming MID	83	7	27
H Massengo MID	54	3	6
V Hladky GLK	34
A Hountondji FWD	27	1	4
S Sambo DEF	9	1	2
B Hedilazio FWD	9		2

Derby Championship squad statistics 2024/2025

Overall

Attack

Defence

Most starts	Most goals	Most assists	Most cards
18	4	3	5
C Nelson	J Yates	N Mendez-Laing	E Adams

Players	Appserances	goals	Assists	cards
C Nelson DEF	18	2		2 -
E Adams MID	18	2		5 -
N Mendez-Laing FWD	18	2	3	2 -
K Jackson FWD	18	2	2	2 -
K Goudmijn MID	17	2		2 -
J Zetterström GLK	16			-
C Forsyth DEF	16	1	1	2 -
E Cashin DEF	16			5 -
J Yates FWD	15	4	2	1 -
K Wilson DEF	13	1		-
B Osborn MID	13		1	2 -
J Collins FWD	12			1 -
M Harness FWD	12	1	1	4 -
C Elder DEF	11		1	5 -
N Phillips DEF	11			1 -
L Thompson MID	10			2 -
R Nyambe DEF	9			1 -
C Blackett-Taylor FWD	8	1		1 -
D Brown FWD	8	1		-
T Barkhuizen FWD	6			1 -
D Ozoh MID	5	1		-
J Ward MID	4			-
S Bradley DEF	3			1 -
J Vickers GLK	2			-
T Chirewa MID	2			1 -

Most goals	Most shots on target	Most assists	Most big chances
4	12	3	25
J Yates	K Jackson	N Mendez-Laing	N Mendez-Laing

Players	goals	shots on	Assists	big chances
J Yates FWD	4	9	2	6
C Nelson DEF	2	6		1
E Adams MID	2	3		5
N Mendez-Laing FWD	2	6	3	25
K Jackson FWD	2	12	2	7
K Goudmijn MID	2	4		6
D Ozoh MID	1	2
D Brown FWD	1	1
C Blackett-Taylor FWD	1	4		4
M Harness FWD	1	4	1	8
C Forsyth DEF	1	1	1	5
K Wilson DEF	1	3		3
B Osborn MID			1	16
C Elder DEF			1	6
N Phillips DEF		2
L Thompson MID				2
R Nyambe DEF				1
E Cashin DEF		4		1
T Barkhuizen FWD		1		1
J Ward MID		1
S Bradley DEF		1
T Chirewa MID		1

Most passes	Most tackles	Most duels won
801	68	135
E Cashin	E Adams	E Adams

Players	passes	tackles	duels won
E Cashin DEF	801	33	96
C Nelson DEF	649	21	62
E Adams MID	436	68	135
K Goudmijn MID	433	18	40
J Zetterström GLK	408	1	9
C Forsyth DEF	399	15	42
N Mendez-Laing FWD	364	27	57
B Osborn MID	334	17	33
K Jackson FWD	274	21	66
C Elder DEF	269	12	39
K Wilson DEF	242	15	54
R Nyambe DEF	209	15	29
M Harness FWD	183	15	30
N Phillips DEF	183	6	26
J Yates FWD	178	3	39
L Thompson MID	160	7	18
D Ozoh MID	100	20	36
T Barkhuizen FWD	61	3	10
J Vickers GLK	57		1
S Bradley DEF	54		2
J Collins FWD	47	1	10
C Blackett-Taylor FWD	40	2	15
T Chirewa MID	25	3	5
D Brown FWD	24	2	12
J Ward MID	24	1	3

English Championship match betting previews, predictions and odds

Plymouth v Oxford Utd

Portsmouth v Bristol C

Sat 7th Dec, 15:00

QPR v Norwich

Sat 7th Dec, 15:00

West Brom v Sheff Utd

Sunderland v Bristol C

Tue 10th Dec, 19:45

Sheff Wed v Blackburn

Oxford Utd v Sheff Wed

Burnley v Derby County : Championship match betting preview, prediction and odds

Burnley have played 18 matches so far this season and lay in 2nd place in the Championship league table. Burnley are unbeaten at home after 8 games and have kept 6 clean sheets in those matches.

Performance against teams below them in the league

Home League Performance

Derby are in 15th position in the Championship on 20 points having played 18 matches so far this season.

Away League Performance

Performance against teams above them in the league

Burnley v Derby Championship lLine ups will show here when available.

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