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Swansea City v Burnley : Championship match betting preview, prediction and odds

Liberty Stadium, Swansea

the Liberty Stadium crowd welcome Burnley's travelling contingent on Saturday afternoon, as Alan Pardew's Swansea City go head to head with Scott Parker's side in the Championship. Quite simply, we want you to win betting on this game. To this end, stats for every betting market have been published below, with head-to-head history and statistically significant form streaks highlighted. The best odds are included as well.

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Swansea City's next match is v Leeds at 15:00 on Saturday 29th March
Burnley's next match is v Bristol C at 15:00 on Saturday 29th March
The last English Championship meeting between Swansea and Burnley was on Saturday 15th March 2025
English Championship
March 15th 2025
Swansea 0
2 Burnley
 
4' J. Brownhill
22' J. Anthony
 
SWA
BRN
Shots On
1
5
Shots Off
2
3
Corners
4
4
Possession
56%
44%
Fouls
12
12
Yellow/red cards
1/0
 
SwanseaBurnley
 
L. Vigouroux
J. Key
J. Tymon
K. Naughton (C. Christie 77')
B. Cabango
L. O'Brien (J. Allen 73')
G. Franco (J. Fulton 57')
J. Eom (O. Cooper 57')
L. Cullen
Ž. Vipotnik
R. Pereira Martins (S. Parker 73')
J. Trafford
M. Esteve
C. Egan Riley
C. Roberts
L. Pires Silva
football iconJ. Brownhill
(L. Foster 70') Z. Flemming
J. Laurent
J. Cullen
(H. Mejbri 70') M. Edwards
(A. Barnes 89') football iconJ. Anthony

Want to know who’s consistently beating the odds? Check out the Top Championship Tipsters and see the most profitable experts for this season!

If you’re keen on betting across various leagues and markets, our Live Bets page showcases active accumulator bets and real-time tips.

Best Tip: Under 2.5 goals

A tight, highly tactical defensive battle could be in store as Swansea and Burnley go head-to-head, with almost nothing between the sides in defence, making it difficult to predict who will win. The statistics don't provide any conclusive evidence in that regard, but they are pointing strongly towards there being 2 goals or fewer in the match. It's a prediction which is available at best priced odds of 1.50 with the bookmakers, so we're making under 2.5 goals our tip of the day on this occasion.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
An away win looks like the most likely outcome in the win/draw/win market, with our predictive algorithm suggesting there’s a 49% chance of Burnley coming away with a win.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Swansea
23%
3/1
5%
3/1
11%
Draw
28%
23/10
3%
11/5
6%
Burnley
49%
19/20
3%
1/1
2%
Burnley 1-0
15%
9/29/2
5%
Draw 1-1
13%
11/25/1
8%
Draw 0-0
11%
6/111/2
Burnley 2-0
10%
7/113/2
Swansea 1-0
9%
8/1
13%
7/1
7%
Burnley 2-1
9%
17/215/2
Swansea 2-1
5%
14/1
15%
11/1
Burnley 3-0
5%
16/112/1
13%
Burnley 3-1
4%
18/1
10%
14/1
12%
Swansea 2-0
4%
18/1
12%
14/1
15%
Draw 2-2
4%
18/1
10%
14/1
12%
Burnley 3-2
2%
40/125/1
10%
Burnley 4-0
2%
40/128/1
Swansea 3-1
2%
40/128/1
12%
Burnley 4-1
1%
40/128/1
15%
Over 2.5 Goals
39%
6/4
5%
7/5
4%
Under 2.5 Goals
61%
8/15
2%
8/15
2%
Home 1st Goal
40%
15/8
5%
-
Away 1st Goal
52%
8/13-
No 1st Goal
7%
6/1-
BTTS - Yes
43%
6/523/20
4%
BTTS - No
57%
8/1313/20
3%
BTTS - Home Win
9%
17/215/2
6%
BTTS - Draw
17%
4/1
9%
19/5
4%
BTTS - Away Win
17%
4/1
9%
19/5
4%
Home/draw
51%
4/54/5
3%
Away/draw
77%
2/9
2%
2/9
5%
Home/away
72%
1/3
2%
1/3
2%
Over 1.5 Goals
65%
1/210/21
1%
Under 1.5 Goals
35%
13/86/4
2%
Over 3.5 Goals
19%
4/17/2
6%
Under 3.5 Goals
81%
1/62/11
3%
Over 4.5 Goals
8%
10/18/1
10%
Under 4.5 Goals
92%
1/201/20
1%
Over 5.5 Goals
3%
22/118/1
10%
Under 5.5 Goals
97%
1/801/1000
Over 0.5 Goals
89%
1/101/10
1%
Under 0.5 Goals
11%
6/111/2
Home DNB
43%
7/4
5%
7/4
10%
Away DNB
68%
2/5
3%
2/5
5%
Swansea win to nil
15%
5/1
9%
-
Burnley win to nil
32%
7/4-
Swansea / Swansea
12%
6/111/2
13%
Swansea / Burnley
3%
28/122/1
Swansea / Draw
5%
16/112/1
Draw / Swansea
10%
7/113/2
7%
Draw / Burnley
17%
15/418/5
Draw / Draw
19%
10/316/5
5%
Burnley / Swansea
2%
40/128/1
Burnley / Burnley
25%
9/421/10
5%
Burnley / Draw
6%
14/112/1
Win / draw / win Championship table

Swansea have played 37 matches so far this season and are in 16th position in the league.

Performance against teams above them in the league

25 of those games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 13 games, drawn 4 and won 8. Swansea have conceded 27 goals, scored 24, failed to score in 11 matches and kept 9 clean sheets.

Home league performance

Swansea have played 18 games at home, winning 7, drawing 5 and losing 6 fixtures. They have scored 25 goals, conceded 19 goals, kept 7 clean sheets and failed to score 4 times in home league games.

Burnley lay in 3rd place on 75 points in the Championship league table having played 37 matches.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 34 games against teams below them in the table, winning 18, drawing 14 and losing 2 games. They have scored 47 goals and kept 23 clean sheets against lower placed opposition. Burnley have conceded 11 goals and have failed to score in 12 matches.

Away league performance

Burnley have played 18 away games, winning 10, drawing 6 and losing 2 games. They have scored an average of 1.3 goals per away game and conceded an average 0.3 goals per away game.

Won
Draw
Lost
Swansea
Burnley
Results by League Table
TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY HOME AWAY
1
Leeds38231145180 
l
 
3-4F
Mar 29
d
 
0-00-0
w
 
0-1F
2
Sheff Utd3825762580 
l
 
1-2F
l
 
1-0A
Apr 21
w
 
0-2F
3
Burnley Away38211524178 
l
 
0-2A
l
 
1-0A
-
-
4
Sunderland38191271869 
l
 
2-3F
Apr 12
d
 
0-00-0
l
 
1-0A
5
Coventry3817813759 
l
 
0-2A
w
 
1-2F
w
 
2-0F
Apr 5
6
West Brom38131871457 
d
 
1-1A
l
 
1-0A
d
 
1-1A
d
 
0-00-0
7
Bristol C3814159857 
d
 
1-1F
w
 
0-1F
Mar 29
w
 
0-1F
8
M'Boro3815914954 
w
 
1-0F
l
 
1-0A
d
 
1-1A
d
 
0-00-0
9
Blackburn3815716252 
w
 
3-0F
l
 
1-0A
d
 
1-1F
w
 
0-1F
10
Watford3815716-452 
w
 
1-0F
l
 
1-0A
w
 
2-1F
Apr 18
11
Millwall38131213-251 
l
 
0-1A
Apr 26
May 3
l
 
1-0A
12
Sheff Wed3814915-651 
l
 
0-1A
d
 
0-00-0
w
 
4-0F
w
 
0-2F
13
Norwich38121313649 
w
 
1-0F
l
 
5-1A
Apr 11
w
 
1-2A
14
Preston38101711-547 
w
 
3-0F
d
 
0-00-0
d
 
0-00-0
d
 
0-00-0
15
QPR38111215-645 
w
 
3-0F
Apr 21
d
 
0-00-0
Apr 26
16
Swansea Home3812818-1144 
-
-
w
 
1-0F
w
 
0-2F
17
Portsmouth3811918-1542 
d
 
2-2A
l
 
4-0A
w
 
2-1A
d
 
0-00-0
18
Oxford Utd38101216-1642 
May 3
w
 
1-2F
w
 
1-0F
d
 
0-00-0
19
Hull38101117-841 
Apr 18
l
 
2-1A
w
 
2-0F
d
 
1-1A
20
Stoke3891217-1439 
d
 
0-00-0
l
 
3-1F
d
 
0-00-0
w
 
0-2F
21
Cardiff3891217-2039 
d
 
1-1F
l
 
3-0A
w
 
5-0F
w
 
1-2F
22
Derby3810820-1138 
Apr 5
w
 
1-2F
d
 
0-00-0
Apr 8
23
Luton389821-2635 
w
 
2-1A
d
 
1-1A
w
 
4-0F
w
 
1-4F
24
Plymouth3871219-3733 
Apr 9
w
 
1-2F
w
 
1-0F
w
 
0-5F
Promotion
Promotion Play Off
Relegation
Win / draw / win form
Swansea 16TH
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
26
Conceded
20
Games: Scored
15 / 20
Conceded
12 / 20
Clean sheets
8 / 20
Failed to score
5 / 20
Won
8
Draw
5
Lost
7
Goals: Scored
22
Conceded
32
Games: Scored
14 / 20
Conceded
15 / 20
Clean sheets
5 / 20
Failed to score
6 / 20
Won
6
D
4
Lost
10
Burnley 3RD
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
25
Conceded
9
Games: Scored
13 / 20
Conceded
8 / 20
Clean sheets
12 / 20
Failed to score
7 / 20
Won
10
Draw
7
L
3
Goals: Scored
29
Conceded
5
Games: Scored
13 / 20
Conceded
5 / 20
Clean sheets
15 / 20
Failed to score
7 / 20
Won
11
Draw
9
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
3
Burnley have beaten Swansea in 3 consecutive league meetings
League games at Swansea since 2008
Swansea
Burnley
Goals: Scored
8
5
Games: Scored
6 / 6
3 / 6
Clean sheets
3 / 6
0 / 6
SWA
4
D
1
BRN
1
League games at Burnley since 2009
Burnley
Swansea
Goals: Scored
9
5
Games: Scored
4 / 7
4 / 7
Clean sheets
3 / 7
3 / 7
SWA
3
BRN
4
Goal Statistics
Swansea 16th Burnley 3rd
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
0.9
goals
1.4
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
43%
1
36%
2
16%
3
4+
There is a 79% probability of Swansea scoring 1 goal or less
0
25%
1
35%
2
24%
3
11%
4+
There is a 60% probability that Burnley will score no more than 1 goal
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
-11
Swansea have scored 11% fewer goals at home than predicted
+3
Burnley’s goalscoring when away has been inline with predictions
1.3
average goals scored
1.3
average goals scored
1.0
conceded
0.5
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Championship - 2024/2025 season
https://api.kickoff.co.uk/v1/fixture/280543/accaPanel/formStats/marketCode/FULL
Swansea
PG (predicted goals)
Burnley
0.9
1.4
Attack rating
SWA
BRN
11%
better
view stats
Games scored23
24
Failed to score14
13
Scored first17
19
Goals scored38
50
Avg. goals scored1
1.4
Avg. shots per game8
9
Avg. shots per goal7
6
Conversion rate for14
15
Avg. XG for1.3
1.2
KickOff rating
+11%
Defence rating
SWA
BRN
61%
better
view stats
Games conceded27
11
Clean sheets10
26
Conceded first17
7
Goals conceded47
11
Avg. goals conceded1.3
0.3
Avg. shots/game conceded9
6
Avg. shots/goal conceded7
22
Conversion rate against15%
5%
Avg. XG against1.4
0.9
KickOff rating
+61%

Swansea v Burnley Championship lLine ups will show here when available.

Swansea Championship squad statistics 2024/2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
381068
L VigourouxL CullenRonaldB Cabango
Line-upAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
L Vigouroux GLK38
-
J Key DEF372
3
-
B Cabango DEF3711
8
-
K Naughton DEF20
1
-
J Tymon DEF3724
5
-
G Franco MID3221
5
-
L O'Brien MID8
-
Ronald MID3816
3
-
L Cullen MID35102
7
-
J Eom  MID2911
1
-
Z Vipotnik FWD345
1
-
Subs
J McLaughlin GLK
-
C Christie DEF9
1
-
S. Parker DEF5
-
J Fulton MID241
4
-
J Allen MID171
1
-
O Cooper MID2111
-
J Ginnelly FWD3
-
F Bianchini FWD313
2
-
Burnley Championship squad statistics 2024/2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
3813610
M EstèveJ Brownhill J AnthonyJ Cullen
Line-upAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
J Trafford GLK37
8
-
C Roberts DEF3323
4
-
C Egan-Riley DEF331
6
1
M Estève DEF381
3
-
L Pires DEF262
6
-
J Brownhill  MID34134
3
-
J Cullen MID3612
10
-
M Edwards MID711
-
J Laurent MID3422
4
-
J Anthony MID3546
5
-
Z Flemming FWD2883
2
-
Subs
V Hladky GLK1
-
O Sonne DEF2
-
J Worrall DEF71
1
-
H Mejbri MID292
6
1
J Sarmiento  MID292
3
-
B Hedilazio FWD31
1
-
L Foster FWD2424
3
-
L Koleosho FWD262
3
-
A Barnes FWD71
1
-