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Swansea City v Burnley : Championship match betting preview, prediction and odds

Sat 12th Sep, 15:00 BST, Liberty Stadium, Swansea

Burnley pay Championship competitors Swansea City a visit on Saturday afternoon, as Nicky Hayen leads his men into an away clash with Vitor Matos & co. at the Liberty Stadium. Our predictions for each betting market are based on the past 20 games each side has played (home, away and overall) with extra weighting applied to top teams. All the statistics and infographics are tailored for the selected market. Head-to-head stats for this fixture are also given if there are are enough previous meetings. Odds are provided directly from from the UK's biggest bookmakers.


Want to know who’s consistently beating the odds? Check out the Top Championship Tipsters and see the most profitable experts for this season!

If you’re keen on betting across various leagues and markets, our Live Bets page showcases active accumulator bets and real-time tips.

Best Tip: Over 1.5 goals

The statistics suggest there's no obvious winner for this clash, but good reason to think Swansea and Burnley will score at least a couple of goals between them. We've seen goals when they've gone head-to-head historically, and neither Vitor Matos or Nicky Hayen has served up too many 0-0s recently either. The bookies predict over 1.5 goals too, with top odds of 1.25 equating to approximately a 78% probability.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Swansea
44%
23/20-
Draw
25%
23/10-
Burnley
31%
2/1-
Draw 1-1
12%
11/2-
Swansea 1-0
9%
15/2-
Swansea 2-1
9%
8/1-
Burnley 1-0
7%
10/1-
Burnley 2-1
7%
10/1-
Swansea 2-0
7%
10/1-
Draw 0-0
6%
11/1-
Draw 2-2
6%
12/1-
Swansea 3-1
5%
16/1-
Burnley 2-0
5%
16/1-
Swansea 3-0
4%
20/1-
Burnley 3-1
3%
22/1-
Swansea 3-2
3%
25/1-
Burnley 3-2
2%
28/1-
Burnley 3-0
2%
33/1-
Over 2.5 Goals
54%
4/5-
Under 2.5 Goals
46%
1/1-
Home 1st Goal
51%
4/5-
Away 1st Goal
46%
11/10-
No 1st Goal
3%
11/1-
BTTS - Yes
57%
4/6-
BTTS - No
43%
11/10-
BTTS - Home Win
22%
10/3-
BTTS - Draw
19%
10/3-
BTTS - Away Win
16%
9/2-
Home/draw
69%
1/3-
Away/draw
56%
8/13-
Home/away
75%
3/10-
Over 1.5 Goals
78%
1/4-
Under 1.5 Goals
22%
3/1-
Over 3.5 Goals
32%
11/5-
Under 3.5 Goals
68%
4/11-
Over 4.5 Goals
16%
9/2-
Under 4.5 Goals
84%
1/7-
Over 5.5 Goals
7%
10/1-
Under 5.5 Goals
93%
1/20-
Over 0.5 Goals
94%
1/25-
Under 0.5 Goals
6%
11/1-
Home DNB
62%
8/13-
Away DNB
48%
6/5-
Swansea win to nil
22%
3/1-
Burnley win to nil
15%
5/1-
Swansea / Swansea
23%
13/5-
Swansea / Burnley
3%
28/1-
Swansea / Draw
6%
12/1-
Draw / Swansea
15%
9/2-
Draw / Burnley
12%
6/1-
Draw / Draw
15%
9/2-
Burnley / Swansea
4%
22/1-
Burnley / Burnley
17%
4/1-
Burnley / Draw
6%
14/1-
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Win / draw / win Championship table
Won
Draw
Lost
Swansea
Burnley
Results by League Table
TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY HOME AWAY
1
Swansea5320611 
-
-
Feb 13
Sep 12
2
M'Boro5311310 
May 1
Nov 24
d
 
1-1A
Apr 20
3
QPR5311310 
Dec 29
Oct 24
Jan 26
Nov 3
4
Bristol C5311210 
Mar 16
Dec 5
l
 
1-2F
Apr 10
5
West Brom5311210 
Nov 21
Feb 6
Mar 2
l
 
3-1F
6
Charlton5311-110 
Jan 1
Dec 12
Oct 13
Feb 16
7
Millwall530229 
Feb 17
Oct 13
Mar 13
Nov 28
8
West Ham522148 
Oct 17
Jan 16
d
 
2-2A
Mar 6
9
Wolves522138 
Mar 20
Dec 26
Oct 16
Jan 16
10
Birmingham514017 
Jan 30
Nov 7
Nov 25
May 1
11
Wrexham513126 
d
 
0-00-0
Apr 10
Apr 6
Sep 8
12
Norwich520306 
Oct 10
Feb 27
Apr 17
l
 
4-1A
13
Stoke5203-16 
Mar 6
w
 
1-2A
Dec 19
Apr 3
14
Portsmouth5203-16 
Jan 27
Nov 3
Oct 31
Jan 23
15
Sheff Utd5131-16 
d
 
0-00-0
Mar 3
Jan 1
Dec 12
16
Blackburn5122-15 
Oct 31
Jan 23
Nov 22
Feb 6
17
Lincoln5122-25 
Feb 20
Sep 19
Dec 29
Oct 24
18
Watford5122-25 
w
 
2-0F
Apr 21
Feb 27
Oct 10
19
Southampton522154 
Apr 6
Sep 8
Apr 24
Dec 9
20
Derby5113-54 
Apr 17
w
 
0-3F
Sep 19
Feb 20
21
Bolton5113-54 
Dec 8
Apr 24
Mar 20
Dec 26
22
Cardiff5032-33 
Nov 29
Mar 13
Jan 30
Nov 7
23
Preston5104-53 
Dec 19
Apr 3
Dec 6
Mar 16
24
Burnley5023-62 
Sep 12
Feb 13
-
-
Promotion
Promotion Play Off
Relegation
Win / draw / win form
Swansea 1ST
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
30
Conceded
19
Games: Scored
17 / 20
Conceded
11 / 20
Clean sheets
9 / 20
Failed to score
3 / 20
Won
11
Draw
5
L
4
HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Swansea0 - 0Wrexham
Swansea2 - 0Watford
Swansea0 - 0Sheff Utd
Swansea3 - 1Charlton
Swansea1 - 2Southampton
Swansea2 - 2M'Boro
Swansea0 - 3Coventry
Swansea2 - 0Stoke
Swansea1 - 1Preston
Swansea1 - 0Bristol C
Swansea4 - 0Sheff Wed
Swansea3 - 1Blackburn
Swansea1 - 1Birmingham
Swansea1 - 0West Brom
Swansea2 - 1Wrexham
Swansea1 - 0Portsmouth
Swansea2 - 0Oxford Utd
Swansea1 - 2Derby
Swansea1 - 4Ipswich
Swansea2 - 1Norwich
Goals: Scored
26
Conceded
23
Games: Scored
14 / 20
Conceded
13 / 20
Clean sheets
7 / 20
Failed to score
6 / 20
Won
9
Draw
6
Lost
5
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
HSwansea0 - 0Wrexham
HSwansea2 - 0Watford
ASwansea3 - 0Derby
HSwansea0 - 0Sheff Utd
ASwansea2 - 1Stoke
HSwansea3 - 1Charlton
ASwansea1 - 1Norwich
ASwansea2 - 1QPR
HSwansea1 - 2Southampton
ASwansea1 - 0Leicester
HSwansea2 - 2M'Boro
ASwansea3 - 3Sheff Utd
HSwansea0 - 3Coventry
ASwansea0 - 2Wrexham
ASwansea2 - 1Portsmouth
HSwansea2 - 0Stoke
ASwansea0 - 3Ipswich
HSwansea1 - 1Preston
HSwansea1 - 0Bristol C
ASwansea0 - 2Derby
Burnley 24TH
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
22
Conceded
50
Games: Scored
16 / 20
Conceded
20 / 20
Clean sheets
0 / 20
Failed to score
4 / 20
W
2
D
3
Lost
15
AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Norwich4 - 1Burnley
West Brom3 - 1Burnley
Arsenal1 - 0Burnley
Leeds3 - 1Burnley
Nottm Forest4 - 1Burnley
Fulham3 - 1Burnley
Everton2 - 0Burnley
Chelsea1 - 1Burnley
C Palace2 - 3Burnley
Sunderland3 - 0Burnley
Liverpool1 - 1Burnley
Brighton2 - 0Burnley
Bournemouth1 - 1Burnley
Newcastle2 - 1Burnley
Brentford3 - 1Burnley
West Ham3 - 2Burnley
Wolves2 - 3Burnley
A Villa2 - 1Burnley
Man City5 - 1Burnley
Man Utd3 - 2Burnley
Goals: Scored
19
Conceded
43
Games: Scored
13 / 20
Conceded
19 / 20
Clean sheets
1 / 20
Failed to score
7 / 20
W
1
Draw
6
Lost
13
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
HBurnley1 - 2Bristol C
HBurnley1 - 1M'Boro
ABurnley1 - 4Norwich
ABurnley1 - 3West Brom
HBurnley2 - 2West Ham
HBurnley1 - 1Wolves
ABurnley0 - 1Arsenal
HBurnley2 - 2A Villa
ABurnley1 - 3Leeds
HBurnley0 - 1Man City
ABurnley1 - 4Nottm Forest
HBurnley0 - 2Brighton
ABurnley1 - 3Fulham
HBurnley0 - 0Bournemouth
ABurnley0 - 2Everton
HBurnley3 - 4Brentford
ABurnley1 - 1Chelsea
ABurnley3 - 2C Palace
HBurnley0 - 2West Ham
ABurnley0 - 3Sunderland
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
4
Burnley have beaten Swansea in 4 consecutive league meetings
League games at Swansea since 2008
Swansea
Burnley
Goals: Scored
8
7
Games: Scored
6 / 7
4 / 7
Clean sheets
3 / 7
1 / 7
SWA
4
D
1
BRN
2
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Swansea
0 - 2Burnley
1 - 2Burnley
Swansea1 - 0
Swansea3 - 2
Swansea1 - 0
Swansea1 - 0
Draw1 - 1Draw
League games at Burnley since 2009
Burnley
Swansea
Goals: Scored
9
5
Games: Scored
4 / 7
4 / 7
Clean sheets
3 / 7
3 / 7
SWA
3
BRN
4
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Burnley
Burnley1 - 0
Burnley4 - 0
Burnley2 - 0
0 - 1Swansea
0 - 1Swansea
Burnley2 - 1
0 - 2Swansea
Goal Statistics

Swansea City's fans will be hoping for goals on Saturday afternoon, not least because Burnley have conceded in each of their last 12 Championship outings. A PG of 1.6 for Vitor Matos's side suggests that run should continue.

Swansea City's defensive record is to be admired, Vitor Matos's men having conceded 1 or less in 7 consecutive Championship matches. An underwhelming PG rating of 1.3 for Burnley makes sense in this context.

Swansea 1st Burnley 24th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.6
goals
1.3
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
21%
1
33%
2
26%
3
13%
4+
There is a 79% probability that Swansea will score 1 or more goals
0
28%
1
36%
2
23%
3
10%
4+
There is a 64% probability that Burnley will score no more than 1 goal
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
+4
Swansea’s goalscoring at home has been inline with predictions
+1
Burnley’s goalscoring when away has been inline with predictions
1.5
average goals scored
1.1
average goals scored
1.0
conceded
2.5
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Championship - 2026/2027 season
Swansea
PG (predicted goals)
Burnley
1.6
1.3
Attack rating
1%
better
SWA
BRN
view stats
Games scored3
4
Failed to score1
0
Scored first2
1
Goals scored7
5
Avg. goals scored1.4
1
Avg. shots per game8
8
Avg. shots per goal6
8
Conversion rate for18
13
Avg. XG for1.9
1.5
KickOff rating
+1%
Defence rating
76%
better
SWA
BRN
view stats
Games conceded1
4
Clean sheets3
0
Conceded first1
3
Goals conceded1
10
Avg. goals conceded0.2
2
Avg. shots/game conceded5
7
Avg. shots/goal conceded23
3
Conversion rate against4%
30%
Avg. XG against1.1
1.7
KickOff rating
+76%

Swansea v Burnley Championship lLine ups will show here when available.

Swansea Championship squad statistics 2026/2027
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
5222
L VigourouxA IdahJ Eom F. Lissah
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
L Vigouroux GLK5
-
F. Lissah DEF5
2
-
S Welsh DEF5
1
-
J Tymon DEF51
1
-
J Key DEF5
-
E Just MID5
1
-
M Stamenić MID5
1
-
J Fulton MID5
1
-
M. Widell MID5
1
-
Z Vipotnik FWD51
-
A Idah FWD521
-
J Eom  FWD522
-
J. Amankwaah Opoku FWD52
1
-
M Yeo FWD5
-
B Cabango DEF3
1
-
S Eustaquio MID31
-
J Seelt DEF1
-
Ronald FWD11
-
R Stewart FWD1
-
Burnley Championship squad statistics 2026/2027
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
5112
M WeißU RaghouberM. AlleyneJ Laurent
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
M Weiß GLK5
-
M. Alleyne DEF51
-
U Raghouber MID51
1
-
H Mejbri MID5
1
-
A Ramsey MID51
-
J Larsen  FWD51
-
Z Amdouni FWD51
-
O Sonne DEF4
1
-
K Walker DEF4
1
-
J Laurent MID41
1
1
A Broja  FWD4
1
-
A Ahmedhodzic DEF3
-
C Roberts DEF3
-
A Hountondji FWD3
-
M Edwards FWD3
1
-
D. Satpaev FWD3
-
B Humphreys DEF2
-
L Pires DEF2
-
H Ekdal DEF2
1
-
M Trésor MID2
-
L Ramazani FWD2
-
R Hatate MID11
-