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Burnley v Middlesbrough : Championship match betting preview, prediction and odds

Wed 2nd Sep, 20:00 BST, Turf Moor, Burnley

the Turf Moor masses welcome Middlesbrough's fans on Wednesday night, as Nicky Hayen's Burnley take on Kim Hellberg's charges in the Championship. Ahead of the game, it's our goal to help you find the perfect bet for you. To this end, stats for seventeen major betting market have been published below, with head-to-head history and particularly important form streaks highlighted. The best odds are included as well.


Want to know who’s consistently beating the odds? Check out the Top Championship Tipsters and see the most profitable experts for this season!

If you’re keen on betting across various leagues and markets, our Live Bets page showcases active accumulator bets and real-time tips.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Burnley
28%
--
Draw
25%
--
M'Boro
47%
--
Draw 1-1
12%
--
M'Boro 1-0
10%
--
M'Boro 2-1
9%
--
M'Boro 2-0
8%
--
Burnley 1-0
8%
--
Burnley 2-1
7%
--
Draw 0-0
7%
--
Draw 2-2
5%
--
M'Boro 3-1
5%
--
Burnley 2-0
4%
--
M'Boro 3-0
4%
--
M'Boro 3-2
3%
--
Burnley 3-1
3%
--
Burnley 3-2
2%
--
M'Boro 4-1
2%
--
Over 2.5 Goals
51%
--
Under 2.5 Goals
49%
--
Home 1st Goal
45%
--
Away 1st Goal
51%
--
No 1st Goal
4%
--
BTTS - Yes
54%
--
BTTS - No
46%
--
BTTS - Home Win
14%
--
BTTS - Draw
19%
--
BTTS - Away Win
22%
--
Home/draw
53%
--
Away/draw
72%
--
Home/away
75%
--
Over 1.5 Goals
75%
--
Under 1.5 Goals
25%
--
Over 3.5 Goals
29%
--
Under 3.5 Goals
71%
--
Over 4.5 Goals
14%
--
Under 4.5 Goals
86%
--
Over 5.5 Goals
6%
--
Under 5.5 Goals
94%
--
Over 0.5 Goals
93%
--
Under 0.5 Goals
7%
--
Home DNB
46%
--
Away DNB
64%
--
Burnley win to nil
15%
--
M'Boro win to nil
25%
--
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Win / draw / win Championship table
Won
Draw
Lost
Burnley
M'Boro
Results by League Table
TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY HOME AWAY
1
QPR110023 
Jan 26
Nov 3
Apr 10
Sep 5
2
Millwall110023 
Mar 13
Nov 28
Sep 8
Apr 6
3
Charlton110013 
Oct 13
Feb 16
Oct 31
Jan 23
4
M'Boro110013 
Sep 2
Apr 20
-
-
5
West Brom110013 
Mar 2
Aug 23
Aug 29
Apr 17
6
Swansea110013 
Feb 13
Sep 12
Nov 24
May 1
7
Bolton110013 
Mar 20
Dec 26
Dec 29
Oct 23
8
Watford110013 
Feb 27
Oct 10
Jan 30
Nov 7
9
West Ham101001 
d
 
2-2A
Mar 6
Apr 24
Dec 8
10
Blackburn101001 
Nov 22
Feb 6
Mar 2
Aug 22
11
Burnley101001 
-
-
Apr 20
Sep 2
12
Wolves101001 
Oct 16
Jan 16
Oct 10
Feb 27
13
Wrexham101001 
Apr 6
Sep 8
Jan 27
Nov 4
14
Cardiff101001 
Jan 30
Nov 7
Oct 17
Jan 16
15
Sheff Utd101001 
Jan 1
Dec 12
Mar 20
Dec 26
16
Birmingham101001 
Nov 25
May 1
Feb 20
Sep 19
17
Preston1001-10 
Dec 6
Mar 16
Jan 1
Dec 12
18
Stoke1001-10 
Dec 19
Apr 3
Feb 17
Oct 13
19
Lincoln1001-10 
Dec 29
Oct 24
w
 
2-1A
Mar 6
20
Norwich1001-10 
Apr 17
Aug 29
Sep 12
Feb 13
21
Derby1001-10 
Sep 19
Feb 20
Dec 5
Mar 16
22
Portsmouth1001-20 
Oct 31
Jan 23
Dec 19
Apr 3
23
Bristol C1001-20 
Sep 5
Apr 10
Nov 21
Feb 6
24
Southampton1001-1-4 
Apr 24
Dec 9
Mar 13
Nov 27
Promotion
Promotion Play Off
Relegation
Win / draw / win form
3
Burnley have drawn 3 consecutive home league games
Burnley 11TH
20 league games
Home
3
Overall
Goals: Scored
20
Conceded
31
Games: Scored
11 / 20
Conceded
16 / 20
Clean sheets
4 / 20
Failed to score
9 / 20
W
2
Draw
8
Lost
10
HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Burnley2 - 2West Ham
Burnley1 - 1Wolves
Burnley2 - 2A Villa
Burnley0 - 1Man City
Burnley0 - 2Brighton
Burnley0 - 0Bournemouth
Burnley3 - 4Brentford
Burnley0 - 2West Ham
Burnley2 - 2Spurs
Burnley2 - 2Man Utd
Burnley1 - 3Newcastle
Burnley0 - 0Everton
Burnley2 - 3Fulham
Burnley0 - 1C Palace
Burnley0 - 2Chelsea
Burnley0 - 2Arsenal
Burnley2 - 0Leeds
Burnley1 - 1Nottm Forest
Burnley0 - 1Liverpool
Burnley2 - 0Sunderland
Goals: Scored
20
Conceded
40
Games: Scored
12 / 20
Conceded
19 / 20
Clean sheets
1 / 20
Failed to score
8 / 20
W
1
Draw
8
Lost
11
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
HBurnley2 - 2West Ham
HBurnley1 - 1Wolves
ABurnley0 - 1Arsenal
HBurnley2 - 2A Villa
ABurnley1 - 3Leeds
HBurnley0 - 1Man City
ABurnley1 - 4Nottm Forest
HBurnley0 - 2Brighton
ABurnley1 - 3Fulham
HBurnley0 - 0Bournemouth
ABurnley0 - 2Everton
HBurnley3 - 4Brentford
ABurnley1 - 1Chelsea
ABurnley3 - 2C Palace
HBurnley0 - 2West Ham
ABurnley0 - 3Sunderland
HBurnley2 - 2Spurs
ABurnley1 - 1Liverpool
HBurnley2 - 2Man Utd
ABurnley0 - 2Brighton
M'Boro 4TH
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
31
Conceded
27
Games: Scored
15 / 20
Conceded
17 / 20
Clean sheets
3 / 20
Failed to score
5 / 20
Won
8
Draw
7
Lost
5
AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Hull1 - 0M'Boro
Southampton1 - 1M'Boro
Wrexham2 - 2M'Boro
Ipswich2 - 2M'Boro
Swansea2 - 2M'Boro
Blackburn0 - 0M'Boro
QPR0 - 4M'Boro
Birmingham1 - 3M'Boro
Coventry3 - 1M'Boro
Sheff Utd1 - 2M'Boro
Stoke1 - 2M'Boro
West Brom2 - 3M'Boro
Derby1 - 0M'Boro
Bristol C2 - 0M'Boro
Charlton1 - 2M'Boro
Hull1 - 4M'Boro
Oxford Utd1 - 1M'Boro
Leicester1 - 1M'Boro
Watford3 - 0M'Boro
Sheff Wed0 - 1M'Boro
Goals: Scored
28
Conceded
22
Games: Scored
14 / 20
Conceded
15 / 20
Clean sheets
5 / 20
Failed to score
6 / 20
Won
6
Draw
9
Lost
5
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
HM'Boro2 - 1Lincoln
AM'Boro0 - 1Hull
AM'Boro1 - 1Southampton
HM'Boro0 - 0Southampton
AM'Boro2 - 2Wrexham
HM'Boro5 - 1Watford
HM'Boro1 - 0Sheff Wed
AM'Boro2 - 2Ipswich
HM'Boro0 - 1Portsmouth
AM'Boro2 - 2Swansea
HM'Boro1 - 2Millwall
AM'Boro0 - 0Blackburn
HM'Boro1 - 1Bristol C
HM'Boro0 - 1Charlton
AM'Boro4 - 0QPR
AM'Boro3 - 1Birmingham
HM'Boro1 - 1Leicester
HM'Boro0 - 0Oxford Utd
AM'Boro1 - 3Coventry
AM'Boro2 - 1Sheff Utd
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
League games at Burnley since 1994
Burnley
M'Boro
Goals: Scored
9
10
Games: Scored
5 / 9
7 / 9
Clean sheets
2 / 9
4 / 9
BRN
3
D
3
MID
3
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Burnley
Draw1 - 1Draw
Burnley3 - 1
Burnley1 - 0
Draw1 - 1Draw
0 - 1M'Boro
Draw0 - 0Draw
0 - 2M'Boro
Burnley3 - 1
0 - 3M'Boro
League games at M'Boro since 1994
M'Boro
Burnley
Goals: Scored
10
7
Games: Scored
6 / 9
4 / 9
Clean sheets
5 / 9
3 / 9
BRN
2
D
2
MID
5
FIXTURE HISTORY AT M'Boro
Draw0 - 0Draw
1 - 2Burnley
Draw0 - 0Draw
M'Boro1 - 0
M'Boro1 - 0
M'Boro3 - 2
0 - 2Burnley
M'Boro2 - 1
M'Boro2 - 0
Goal Statistics

Middlesbrough's fans will be hoping for goals on Wednesday night, not least because Burnley have conceded in each of their last 9 Championship matches. A PG of 1.6 for K. Hellberg's side suggests that run should continue.

Burnley 11th M'Boro 4th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.2
goals
1.6
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
32%
1
36%
2
21%
3
8%
4+
There is a 68% probability that Burnley will score no more than 1 goal
0
21%
1
33%
2
26%
3
13%
4+
There is a 79% probability that M'Boro will score 1 or more goals
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
-10
Burnley’s goalscoring at home has been inline with predictions
+11
M'Boro have scored 11% more goals when away than predicted
1.0
average goals scored
1.6
average goals scored
1.6
conceded
1.4
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Championship - 2026/2027 season
Burnley
PG (predicted goals)
M'Boro
1.2
1.6
Attack rating
1%
better
BRN
MID
view stats
Games scored1
1
Failed to score0
0
Scored first0
0
Goals scored2
2
Avg. goals scored2
2
Avg. shots per game16
15
Avg. shots per goal8
8
Conversion rate for13
13
Avg. XG for2.7
2.6
KickOff rating
+1%
Defence rating
BRN
MID
20%
better
view stats
Games conceded1
1
Clean sheets0
0
Conceded first1
1
Goals conceded2
1
Avg. goals conceded2
1
Avg. shots/game conceded5
6
Avg. shots/goal conceded3
6
Conversion rate against40%
17%
Avg. XG against1.6
0.9
KickOff rating
+20%

Burnley v M'Boro Championship lLine ups will show here when available.

Burnley Championship squad statistics 2026/2027
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
1211
M WeißZ FlemmingM. AlleyneZ Flemming
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
M Weiß GLK1
-
M. Alleyne DEF11
-
O Sonne DEF1
-
B Humphreys DEF1
-
L Pires DEF1
-
K Walker DEF1
-
U Raghouber MID1
-
H Mejbri MID1
-
A Ramsey MID1
-
M Trésor MID1
-
J Laurent MID1
-
Z Flemming FWD12
1
-
J Larsen  FWD1
-
M Edwards FWD1
-
Z Amdouni FWD1
-
A Broja  FWD1
-
M'Boro Championship squad statistics 2026/2027
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
1210
R VítekW. LankshearR McGree
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
R Vítek GLK1
-
L Ayling DEF1
-
A Malanda DEF1
-
A Jones DEF1
-
C Brittain DEF1
-
N Borges DEF1
-
S Berhalter MID1
-
M Peart-Harris MID1
-
A. Raslan Kanté MID1
-
R McGree MID11
-
L. Castledine MID1
-
M Arfsten FWD1
-
W. Lankshear FWD12
-
K Joseph FWD1
-
J Sarmiento  FWD1
-
M Whittaker FWD1
-