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Burnley v Middlesbrough : Championship match betting preview, prediction and odds

Fri 6th Dec, 20:00 BST, Turf Moor, Burnley

It's an away trip for Michael Carrick's Middlesbrough side on Friday night, as they visit the Turf Moor for a Championship meeting with Scott Parker's Burnley. All of the important statistics for the clash, including head-to-heads, predictions and the best odds across 17 of the biggest betting markets are covered in this betting preview. It's all brought together specifically to help you make the most well-informed bet possible.


Want to know who’s consistently beating the odds? Check out the Top Championship Tipsters and see the most profitable experts for this season!

If you’re keen on betting across various leagues and markets, our Live Bets page showcases active accumulator bets and real-time tips.

Best Tip: Under 3.5 goals

There is 76% chance of Burnley and M'Boro 3 goals or less combined during this Championship game according to our predictive algorithm and, without a strong favourite in the win draw win market, we think that's a great tip here. Calculations are made based on 20-game form, historical head-to-head (H2H) statistics and the view of the betting market, and you can go with it at a best price of 1.20.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think Burnley are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 41% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 2.30.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Burnley
41%
5/4
14%
13/10
12%
Draw
26%
5/2
6%
12/5
3%
M'Boro
32%
2/1
15%
21/10
18%
Draw 1-1
13%
11/25/1
Burnley 1-0
11%
13/2
7%
6/1
8%
M'Boro 1-0
9%
15/2
21%
7/1
23%
Burnley 2-1
9%
17/2
14%
15/2
11%
Draw 0-0
8%
17/2
27%
7/1
14%
M'Boro 2-1
7%
10/19/1
5%
Burnley 2-0
7%
9/1
17%
17/2
5%
M'Boro 2-0
5%
14/1
25%
11/1
20%
Draw 2-2
5%
16/1
11%
12/1
13%
Burnley 3-1
4%
18/1
17%
14/1
21%
Burnley 3-0
3%
20/1
19%
16/1
19%
M'Boro 3-1
3%
25/1
13%
18/1
Burnley 3-2
2%
28/1
29%
22/1
21%
M'Boro 3-0
2%
33/1
31%
22/1
10%
M'Boro 3-2
2%
33/1
17%
25/1
10%
Over 2.5 Goals
47%
11/10
12%
21/20
11%
Under 2.5 Goals
53%
8/11
10%
7/10
10%
Home 1st Goal
49%
8/11
16%
-
Away 1st Goal
46%
13/10
12%
-
No 1st Goal
5%
17/2
27%
-
BTTS - Yes
52%
5/6
9%
17/20
10%
BTTS - No
48%
5/6
6%
17/20
9%
BTTS - Home Win
18%
4/1
23%
18/5
23%
BTTS - Draw
19%
15/4
5%
7/2
6%
BTTS - Away Win
15%
11/25/1
Home/draw
68%
4/11
6%
4/11
8%
Away/draw
59%
8/13
13%
3/5
8%
Home/away
74%
2/7
3%
3/10
2%
Over 1.5 Goals
73%
4/11
6%
7/20
6%
Under 1.5 Goals
27%
11/5
16%
2/1
15%
Over 3.5 Goals
26%
3/1
11%
13/5
17%
Under 3.5 Goals
74%
1/4
4%
1/4
6%
Over 4.5 Goals
12%
7/1
20%
6/1
22%
Under 4.5 Goals
88%
1/12
2%
1/12
3%
Over 5.5 Goals
5%
16/1
19%
14/1
21%
Under 5.5 Goals
95%
1/40
1%
1/66
2%
Over 0.5 Goals
92%
1/16
2%
1/16
2%
Under 0.5 Goals
8%
9/1
33%
7/1
14%
Home DNB
60%
4/6
9%
8/13
12%
Away DNB
51%
11/10
15%
23/20
16%
Burnley win to nil
23%
11/4
6%
-
M'Boro win to nil
18%
4/1
25%
-
Burnley / Burnley
22%
11/4
17%
13/5
14%
Burnley / M'Boro
3%
28/1
15%
28/1
Burnley / Draw
6%
14/112/1
13%
Draw / Burnley
15%
9/2
8%
17/4
9%
Draw / M'Boro
12%
6/1
17%
11/2
13%
Draw / Draw
17%
4/1
15%
19/5
7%
M'Boro / Burnley
3%
25/1
24%
22/1
21%
M'Boro / M'Boro
17%
4/1
11%
19/5
14%
M'Boro / Draw
6%
14/112/1
13%
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Win / draw / win Championship table

Burnley have played 18 matches so far this season and lay in 2nd place in the Championship league table. Burnley are unbeaten at home after 8 games and have kept 6 clean sheets in those matches.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 18 games against teams below in the table, having won 10, drawn 6 and lost 2 matches. They have kept 12 clean sheets and have failed to score in 6 fixtures. They have been outscored by their opponents by 32 goals to 23 goals.

Home League Performance

Burnley have played 8 games at home winning 5, drawing 3 and losing 0 games. They have scored 12 goals, kept 6 clean sheets and conceded 2 goals at home.

M'Boro are in 5th position in the Championship on 30 points having played 18 matches so far this season.

Away League Performance

3 of those games have been losing matches. They have conceded 10 goals and kept 2 clean sheets. They have scored 17 goals in total and failed to score in 2 fixtures.

Performance against teams above them in the league

2 games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 1 games, drawn 0 and won 1. M'Boro have conceded 1 goal, scored 1, failed to score in 1 fixture and have kept 1 clean sheet.

Won
Draw
Lost
Burnley
M'Boro
Results by League Table
TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY HOME AWAY
1
Sheff Utd1812421638 
Apr 21
Dec 26
w
 
1-0F
Feb 12
2
Burnley 1810621736 
-
-
Dec 29
Dec 6
3
Leeds1810531835 
Jan 27
w
 
0-1F
Apr 8
Dec 10
4
Sunderland189631333 
Jan 17
l
 
1-0A
Feb 3
l
 
1-0A
5
M'Boro 189361130 
Dec 6
Dec 29
-
-
6
Watford18936230 
Dec 21
Apr 18
Feb 15
l
 
2-1F
7
West Brom186102728 
Mar 11
d
 
0-00-0
Jan 21
w
 
0-1F
8
Blackburn17845428 
d
 
1-1F
Jan 4
l
 
0-1A
Apr 5
9
Norwich18675825 
Apr 12
Dec 15
Apr 26
d
 
3-3A
10
Millwall17674525 
May 3
l
 
1-0A
Dec 14
Apr 12
11
Bristol C18675325 
Mar 29
w
 
0-1F
l
 
0-2A
Feb 21
12
Sheff Wed18747-525 
Feb 21
w
 
0-2F
Dec 26
Apr 21
13
Swansea18657123 
w
 
1-0F
Mar 15
w
 
1-0F
Mar 8
14
Stoke18567-321 
Jan 1
w
 
0-2F
w
 
2-0F
Feb 7
15
Derby18558-220 
Dec 10
Apr 9
Mar 1
l
 
1-0A
16
Coventry18468-318 
w
 
2-0F
Apr 5
l
 
0-3A
May 3
17
Oxford Utd18468-818 
Feb 8
d
 
0-00-0
Mar 29
w
 
2-6A
18
Preston18396-818 
d
 
0-00-0
Feb 15
d
 
1-1F
Jan 25
19
Luton185310-1318 
Mar 8
w
 
1-4F
w
 
5-1F
Mar 15
20
Cardiff18459-1117 
w
 
5-0F
Mar 1
Jan 4
w
 
0-2F
21
Plymouth18459-2017 
w
 
1-0F
Jan 22
Apr 18
Dec 21
22
Hull18369-915 
Feb 12
d
 
1-1A
w
 
3-1F
Jan 1
23
QPR18297-1115 
d
 
0-00-0
Apr 26
Mar 11
w
 
1-4F
24
Portsmouth16277-1213 
w
 
2-1A
Feb 1
d
 
2-2A
Jan 18
Promotion
Promotion Play Off
Relegation
Win / draw / win form
4
Burnley have won 4 consecutive league games
8
Burnley have not lost in 8 consecutive home league games
5
Burnley have kept a clean sheet for 5 consecutive league games
Burnley 2ND
20 league games
Home
8
Overall
4
Goals: Scored
26
Conceded
25
Games: Scored
14 / 20
Conceded
13 / 20
Clean sheets
7 / 20
Failed to score
6 / 20
Won
7
Draw
7
Lost
6
HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Burnley2 - 0Coventry
Burnley1 - 0Swansea
Burnley0 - 0QPR
Burnley0 - 0Preston
Burnley1 - 0Plymouth
Burnley2 - 1Portsmouth
Burnley1 - 1Blackburn
Burnley5 - 0Cardiff
Burnley1 - 2Nottm Forest
Burnley1 - 4Newcastle
Burnley1 - 1Brighton
Burnley1 - 1Wolves
Burnley2 - 1Brentford
Burnley0 - 2Bournemouth
Burnley0 - 5Arsenal
Burnley2 - 2Fulham
Burnley1 - 1Luton
Burnley0 - 2Liverpool
Burnley0 - 2Everton
Burnley5 - 0Sheff Utd
Goals: Scored
25
Conceded
10
Games: Scored
14 / 20
Conceded
8 / 20
Clean sheets
12 / 20
Failed to score
6 / 20
Won
10
Draw
6
L
4
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
ABurnley2 - 0Stoke
HBurnley2 - 0Coventry
ABurnley1 - 0Bristol C
HBurnley1 - 0Swansea
ABurnley0 - 0West Brom
ABurnley0 - 1Millwall
HBurnley0 - 0QPR
ABurnley1 - 1Hull
ABurnley2 - 0Sheff Wed
HBurnley0 - 0Preston
HBurnley1 - 0Plymouth
ABurnley0 - 0Oxford Utd
HBurnley2 - 1Portsmouth
ABurnley1 - 0Leeds
HBurnley1 - 1Blackburn
ABurnley0 - 1Sunderland
HBurnley5 - 0Cardiff
ABurnley4 - 1Luton
HBurnley1 - 2Nottm Forest
ABurnley1 - 2Spurs
M'Boro 5TH
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
36
Conceded
23
Games: Scored
16 / 20
Conceded
16 / 20
Clean sheets
4 / 20
Failed to score
4 / 20
Won
10
D
4
Lost
6
AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Oxford Utd2 - 6M'Boro
QPR1 - 4M'Boro
Norwich3 - 3M'Boro
Watford2 - 1M'Boro
West Brom0 - 1M'Boro
Sunderland1 - 0M'Boro
Cardiff0 - 2M'Boro
Derby1 - 0M'Boro
Cardiff1 - 4M'Boro
Ipswich1 - 1M'Boro
Hull2 - 2M'Boro
Southampton1 - 1M'Boro
Birmingham0 - 1M'Boro
QPR0 - 2M'Boro
Stoke2 - 0M'Boro
Leicester1 - 2M'Boro
Preston2 - 1M'Boro
Millwall1 - 3M'Boro
Huddersfield1 - 2M'Boro
Rotherham1 - 0M'Boro
Goals: Scored
39
Conceded
23
Games: Scored
15 / 20
Conceded
15 / 20
Clean sheets
5 / 20
Failed to score
5 / 20
Won
11
D
3
Lost
6
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
HM'Boro3 - 1Hull
HM'Boro0 - 1Blackburn
AM'Boro6 - 2Oxford Utd
HM'Boro5 - 1Luton
AM'Boro4 - 1QPR
HM'Boro0 - 3Coventry
AM'Boro3 - 3Norwich
HM'Boro1 - 0Sheff Utd
HM'Boro0 - 2Bristol C
AM'Boro1 - 2Watford
AM'Boro1 - 0West Brom
HM'Boro2 - 0Stoke
AM'Boro0 - 1Sunderland
HM'Boro1 - 1Preston
AM'Boro2 - 0Cardiff
HM'Boro2 - 2Portsmouth
AM'Boro0 - 1Derby
HM'Boro1 - 0Swansea
HM'Boro3 - 1Watford
AM'Boro4 - 1Cardiff
bet365
bet365
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
5
Burnley have not lost to M'Boro in 5 consecutive league meetings
League games at Burnley since 1994
Burnley
M'Boro
Goals: Scored
8
9
Games: Scored
4 / 8
6 / 8
Clean sheets
2 / 8
4 / 8
BRN
3
D
2
MID
3
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Burnley
Burnley3 - 1
Burnley1 - 0
Draw1 - 1Draw
0 - 1M'Boro
Draw0 - 0Draw
0 - 2M'Boro
Burnley3 - 1
0 - 3M'Boro
League games at M'Boro since 1994
M'Boro
Burnley
Goals: Scored
10
7
Games: Scored
6 / 8
4 / 8
Clean sheets
4 / 8
2 / 8
BRN
2
D
1
MID
5
FIXTURE HISTORY AT M'Boro
1 - 2Burnley
Draw0 - 0Draw
M'Boro1 - 0
M'Boro1 - 0
M'Boro3 - 2
0 - 2Burnley
M'Boro2 - 1
M'Boro2 - 0
Goal Statistics

Burnley's defensive record is very strong, Scott Parker's men having conceded 1 or less in 18 consecutive Championship games. An average PG rating of 1.2 for Middlesbrough makes sense in this context.

Burnley 2nd M'Boro 5th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.4
goals
1.2
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
25%
1
35%
2
24%
3
11%
4+
There is a 60% probability that Burnley will score no more than 1 goal
0
30%
1
36%
2
22%
3
9%
4+
There is a 66% probability that M'Boro will score no more than 1 goal
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
-16
Burnley have scored 16% fewer goals at home than predicted
+26
M'Boro have scored 26% more goals when away than predicted
1.3
average goals scored
1.8
average goals scored
1.3
conceded
1.2
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Championship - 2024/2025 season
https://api.kickoff.co.uk/v1/fixture/280305/accaPanel/formStats/marketCode/FULL
Burnley
PG (predicted goals)
M'Boro
1.4
1.2
Attack rating
BRN
MID
14%
better
view stats
Games scored12
13
Failed to score6
5
Scored first10
10
Goals scored23
32
Avg. goals scored1.3
1.8
Avg. shots per game9
11
Avg. shots per goal7
6
Conversion rate for14
16
Avg. XG for1.2
1.8
KickOff rating
+14%
Defence rating
52%
better
BRN
MID
view stats
Games conceded6
13
Clean sheets12
5
Conceded first4
8
Goals conceded6
21
Avg. goals conceded0.3
1.2
Avg. shots/game conceded7
6
Avg. shots/goal conceded20
5
Conversion rate against5%
18%
Avg. XG against0.8
0.9
KickOff rating
+52%

Burnley v M'Boro Championship lLine ups will show here when available.

Burnley Championship squad statistics 2024/2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
18624
M EstèveJ Brownhill L PiresJ Cullen
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
M Estève DEF18
2
-
J Trafford GLK17
3
-
J Brownhill  MID1761
2
-
L Koleosho FWD172
2
-
J Cullen MID16
4
-
L Pires DEF152
3
-
C Egan-Riley DEF151
3
-
J Anthony FWD1522
1
-
C Roberts DEF142
1
-
H Mejbri MID13
4
-
J Laurent MID131
-
J Sarmiento  FWD132
2
-
J Rodríguez FWD132
1
-
B Humphreys DEF12
2
1
Z Flemming MID911
1
-
H Massengo MID81
1
-
A Hountondji FWD8
-
L Foster FWD811
3
-
J Worrall DEF31
1
-
V Hladky GLK1
-
S Sambo DEF1
-
B Hedilazio FWD1
-
M'Boro Championship squad statistics 2024/2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
17875
F AzazT ConwayF AzazH Hackney
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
E Lath FWD1872
2
-
L Ayling DEF172
1
-
F Azaz MID1767
3
-
S Dieng GLK15
-
H Hackney MID1521
4
1
A Morris MID15
2
-
I Jones FWD15
1
-
N Borges DEF141
3
-
G Edmundson DEF141
4
-
D Burgzorg FWD142
1
-
T Conway FWD148
-
M. Hamilton FWD13
-
B Doak FWD1315
4
-
M Clarke DEF122
-
R McGree MID1115
2
-
A Dijksteel DEF101
-
D Barlaser MID101
-
R Berg DEF8
1
-
J Howson MID7
-
M Forss FWD4
-
L Engel DEF3
1
-
D Fry DEF2
-
A Gilbert FWD2
-