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Burnley v Middlesbrough : Championship match betting preview, prediction and odds

Turf Moor, Burnley

Middlesbrough are on the road on Wednesday night, as manager Kim Hellberg takes his team to visit Burnley and Nicky Hayen at the Turf Moor in the Championship. Our predictions are based on complex statistical analysis of each side, across 17 of the biggest markets. Data shown and the odds are unique to each market, and head to head (H2H) stats are included across the board.

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Burnley's next match is v Wrexham at 19:45 on Tuesday 8th September
Middlesbrough's next match is v C Palace at 19:45 on Tuesday 8th September
The last English Championship meeting between Burnley and M'Boro was on Wednesday 2nd September 2026
English Championship
September 2nd 2026
Burnley 1
1 M'Boro
 
U. Raghouber 54'23' A. Morris
 
BRN
MID
Shots On
3
2
Shots Off
4
5
Corners
5
1
Possession
42%
58%
Fouls
10
7
Yellow/red cards
2/0
2/0
 
BurnleyM'Boro
 
M. Weiß
C. Roberts
U. Raghouberfootball icon
J. Bruun Larsen (A. Broja 77')
M. Amdouni (A. Ramsey 71')
D. Satpaev (M. Ndayishimiye 81')
A. Ahmedhodzic
H. Ekdal
O. Sonne
H. Mejbri (M. Alleyne 46')
A. Hountondji (L. Ramazani 46')
R. Vítek
C. Brittain
(A. Phillips 74') A. Jones
S. Berhalter
(T. Conway 61') R. McGree
football iconA. Morris
(D. Strelec 87') W. Lankshear
L. Ayling
A. Malanda
V. Borges dos Santos Neto
(L. Castledine 61') K. Joseph

Want to know who’s consistently beating the odds? Check out the Top Championship Tipsters and see the most profitable experts for this season!

If you’re keen on betting across various leagues and markets, our Live Bets page showcases active accumulator bets and real-time tips.

Best Tip: Both teams to score

Here is a pair of effective, attacking groups going head-to-head and, as such, we're predicting both of them to score at least 1 goal during the 90 mins. Can respective managers Nicky Hayen or Kim Hellberg mastermind a defensive masterclass to scupper our tip? Latest form stats and historical head-to-heads, as well as the latest odds from the bookmakers, suggest that's unlikely.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Burnley
30%
11/5-
Draw
23%
27/10-
M'Boro
47%
11/10-
Draw 1-1
10%
6/1-
M'Boro 2-1
9%
8/1-
M'Boro 1-0
7%
10/1-
Burnley 2-1
7%
11/1-
M'Boro 2-0
7%
11/1-
Draw 2-2
6%
10/1-
Burnley 1-0
6%
14/1-
M'Boro 3-1
5%
14/1-
Draw 0-0
4%
14/1-
Burnley 2-0
4%
18/1-
M'Boro 3-0
4%
20/1-
M'Boro 3-2
4%
20/1-
Burnley 3-1
3%
22/1-
Burnley 3-2
3%
25/1-
M'Boro 4-1
2%
28/1-
Over 2.5 Goals
62%
8/13-
Under 2.5 Goals
38%
13/10-
Home 1st Goal
46%
11/10-
Away 1st Goal
51%
8/11-
No 1st Goal
2%
14/1-
BTTS - Yes
63%
1/2-
BTTS - No
37%
6/4-
BTTS - Home Win
18%
9/2-
BTTS - Draw
19%
10/3-
BTTS - Away Win
26%
13/5-
Home/draw
53%
7/10-
Away/draw
70%
4/11-
Home/away
77%
2/7-
Over 1.5 Goals
83%
1/6-
Under 1.5 Goals
17%
4/1-
Over 3.5 Goals
39%
11/8-
Under 3.5 Goals
61%
4/7-
Over 4.5 Goals
22%
10/3-
Under 4.5 Goals
78%
2/9-
Over 5.5 Goals
10%
7/1-
Under 5.5 Goals
90%
1/12-
Over 0.5 Goals
96%
1/33-
Under 0.5 Goals
4%
14/1-
Home DNB
46%
11/8-
Away DNB
63%
8/15-
Burnley win to nil
13%
6/1-
M'Boro win to nil
21%
10/3-
Burnley / Burnley
17%
4/1-
Burnley / M'Boro
4%
20/1-
Burnley / Draw
6%
12/1-
Draw / Burnley
11%
13/2-
Draw / M'Boro
15%
9/2-
Draw / Draw
13%
11/2-
M'Boro / Burnley
3%
25/1-
M'Boro / M'Boro
24%
12/5-
M'Boro / Draw
6%
12/1-
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Win / draw / win Championship table
Won
Draw
Lost
Burnley
M'Boro
Results by League Table
TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY HOME AWAY
1
Swansea5320611 
Feb 13
Sep 12
Nov 24
May 1
2
M'Boro5311310 
d
 
1-1A
Apr 20
-
-
3
QPR5311310 
Jan 26
Nov 3
Apr 10
w
 
0-1F
4
Bristol C5311210 
l
 
1-2F
Apr 10
Nov 21
Feb 6
5
West Brom5311210 
Mar 2
l
 
3-1F
w
 
3-1F
Apr 17
6
Charlton5311-110 
Oct 13
Feb 16
Oct 31
Jan 23
7
Millwall530229 
Mar 13
Nov 28
Sep 15
Apr 6
8
West Ham522148 
d
 
2-2A
Mar 6
Apr 24
Dec 8
9
Wolves522138 
Oct 16
Jan 16
Oct 10
Feb 27
10
Birmingham514017 
Nov 25
May 1
Feb 20
Sep 19
11
Wrexham513126 
Apr 6
Sep 8
Jan 27
Nov 4
12
Norwich520306 
Apr 17
l
 
4-1A
Sep 12
Feb 13
13
Stoke5203-16 
Dec 19
Apr 3
Feb 17
Oct 13
14
Portsmouth5203-16 
Oct 31
Jan 23
Dec 19
Apr 3
15
Sheff Utd5131-16 
Jan 1
Dec 12
Mar 20
Dec 26
16
Blackburn5122-15 
Nov 22
Feb 6
Mar 2
l
 
2-1F
17
Lincoln5122-25 
Dec 29
Oct 24
w
 
2-1A
Mar 6
18
Watford5122-25 
Feb 27
Oct 10
Jan 30
Nov 7
19
Southampton522154 
Apr 24
Dec 9
Mar 13
Nov 27
20
Derby5113-54 
Sep 19
Feb 20
Dec 5
Mar 16
21
Bolton5113-54 
Mar 20
Dec 26
Dec 29
Oct 23
22
Cardiff5032-33 
Jan 30
Nov 7
Oct 17
Jan 16
23
Preston5104-53 
Dec 6
Mar 16
Jan 1
Dec 12
24
Burnley5023-62 
-
-
Apr 20
d
 
1-1F
Promotion
Promotion Play Off
Relegation
Win / draw / win form
Burnley 24TH
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
20
Conceded
31
Games: Scored
11 / 20
Conceded
16 / 20
Clean sheets
4 / 20
Failed to score
9 / 20
W
2
Draw
8
Lost
10
HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Burnley2 - 2West Ham
Burnley1 - 1Wolves
Burnley2 - 2A Villa
Burnley0 - 1Man City
Burnley0 - 2Brighton
Burnley0 - 0Bournemouth
Burnley3 - 4Brentford
Burnley0 - 2West Ham
Burnley2 - 2Spurs
Burnley2 - 2Man Utd
Burnley1 - 3Newcastle
Burnley0 - 0Everton
Burnley2 - 3Fulham
Burnley0 - 1C Palace
Burnley0 - 2Chelsea
Burnley0 - 2Arsenal
Burnley2 - 0Leeds
Burnley1 - 1Nottm Forest
Burnley0 - 1Liverpool
Burnley2 - 0Sunderland
Goals: Scored
20
Conceded
43
Games: Scored
13 / 20
Conceded
19 / 20
Clean sheets
1 / 20
Failed to score
7 / 20
W
1
Draw
7
Lost
12
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
ABurnley1 - 4Norwich
ABurnley1 - 3West Brom
HBurnley2 - 2West Ham
HBurnley1 - 1Wolves
ABurnley0 - 1Arsenal
HBurnley2 - 2A Villa
ABurnley1 - 3Leeds
HBurnley0 - 1Man City
ABurnley1 - 4Nottm Forest
HBurnley0 - 2Brighton
ABurnley1 - 3Fulham
HBurnley0 - 0Bournemouth
ABurnley0 - 2Everton
HBurnley3 - 4Brentford
ABurnley1 - 1Chelsea
ABurnley3 - 2C Palace
HBurnley0 - 2West Ham
ABurnley0 - 3Sunderland
HBurnley2 - 2Spurs
ABurnley1 - 1Liverpool
M'Boro 2ND
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
31
Conceded
29
Games: Scored
15 / 20
Conceded
18 / 20
Clean sheets
2 / 20
Failed to score
5 / 20
Won
7
Draw
7
Lost
6
AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Blackburn2 - 1M'Boro
Hull1 - 0M'Boro
Southampton1 - 1M'Boro
Wrexham2 - 2M'Boro
Ipswich2 - 2M'Boro
Swansea2 - 2M'Boro
Blackburn0 - 0M'Boro
QPR0 - 4M'Boro
Birmingham1 - 3M'Boro
Coventry3 - 1M'Boro
Sheff Utd1 - 2M'Boro
Stoke1 - 2M'Boro
West Brom2 - 3M'Boro
Derby1 - 0M'Boro
Bristol C2 - 0M'Boro
Charlton1 - 2M'Boro
Hull1 - 4M'Boro
Oxford Utd1 - 1M'Boro
Leicester1 - 1M'Boro
Watford3 - 0M'Boro
Goals: Scored
29
Conceded
21
Games: Scored
14 / 20
Conceded
15 / 20
Clean sheets
5 / 20
Failed to score
6 / 20
Won
6
Draw
9
Lost
5
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
HM'Boro3 - 1West Brom
AM'Boro1 - 2Blackburn
HM'Boro2 - 1Lincoln
AM'Boro0 - 1Hull
AM'Boro1 - 1Southampton
HM'Boro0 - 0Southampton
AM'Boro2 - 2Wrexham
HM'Boro5 - 1Watford
HM'Boro1 - 0Sheff Wed
AM'Boro2 - 2Ipswich
HM'Boro0 - 1Portsmouth
AM'Boro2 - 2Swansea
HM'Boro1 - 2Millwall
AM'Boro0 - 0Blackburn
HM'Boro1 - 1Bristol C
HM'Boro0 - 1Charlton
AM'Boro4 - 0QPR
AM'Boro3 - 1Birmingham
HM'Boro1 - 1Leicester
HM'Boro0 - 0Oxford Utd
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
League games at Burnley since 1994
Burnley
M'Boro
Goals: Scored
9
10
Games: Scored
5 / 9
7 / 9
Clean sheets
2 / 9
4 / 9
BRN
3
D
3
MID
3
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Burnley
Draw1 - 1Draw
Burnley3 - 1
Burnley1 - 0
Draw1 - 1Draw
0 - 1M'Boro
Draw0 - 0Draw
0 - 2M'Boro
Burnley3 - 1
0 - 3M'Boro
League games at M'Boro since 1994
M'Boro
Burnley
Goals: Scored
10
7
Games: Scored
6 / 9
4 / 9
Clean sheets
5 / 9
3 / 9
BRN
2
D
2
MID
5
FIXTURE HISTORY AT M'Boro
Draw0 - 0Draw
1 - 2Burnley
Draw0 - 0Draw
M'Boro1 - 0
M'Boro1 - 0
M'Boro3 - 2
0 - 2Burnley
M'Boro2 - 1
M'Boro2 - 0
Goal Statistics

Middlesbrough's fans will be hoping for goals on Wednesday night, not least because Burnley have conceded in each of their last 11 Championship games. A PG of 1.8 for K. Hellberg's side suggests that run should continue.

Burnley 24th M'Boro 2nd
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.4
goals
1.8
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
25%
1
35%
2
24%
3
11%
4+
There is a 75% probability that Burnley will score 1 or more goals
0
17%
1
30%
2
27%
3
16%
4+
11%
There is a 83% probability that M'Boro will score 1 or more goals
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
-10
Burnley’s goalscoring at home has been inline with predictions
+13
M'Boro have scored 13% more goals when away than predicted
1.0
average goals scored
1.6
average goals scored
1.6
conceded
1.5
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Championship - 2026/2027 season
Burnley
PG (predicted goals)
M'Boro
1.4
1.8
Attack rating
BRN
MID
21%
better
view stats
Games scored3
3
Failed to score0
0
Scored first1
2
Goals scored4
6
Avg. goals scored1.3
2
Avg. shots per game11
12
Avg. shots per goal8
6
Conversion rate for12
17
Avg. XG for1.7
2.1
KickOff rating
+21%
Defence rating
BRN
MID
31%
better
view stats
Games conceded3
3
Clean sheets0
0
Conceded first2
1
Goals conceded9
4
Avg. goals conceded3
1.3
Avg. shots/game conceded9
6
Avg. shots/goal conceded3
5
Conversion rate against35%
22%
Avg. XG against2
1
KickOff rating
+31%

Burnley v M'Boro Championship lLine ups will show here when available.

Burnley Championship squad statistics 2026/2027
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
5111
M WeißU RaghouberJ Larsen O Sonne
Line-upAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
M Weiß GLK5
-
O Sonne DEF4
1
-
H Ekdal DEF2
1
-
A Ahmedhodzic DEF3
-
C Roberts DEF3
-
U Raghouber MID51
1
-
H Mejbri MID5
1
-
J Larsen  MID51
-
Z Amdouni MID51
-
D. Satpaev MID3
-
A Hountondji FWD3
-
Subs
G Coudert GLK
-
K Walker DEF4
1
-
M. Alleyne DEF51
-
S Sambo DEF
-
A Ramsey MID51
-
M Edwards FWD3
1
-
L Ramazani FWD2
-
A Broja  FWD4
1
-
M Trésor FWD2
-
M'Boro Championship squad statistics 2026/2027
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
5512
R VítekW. LankshearL AylingW. Lankshear
Line-upAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
R Vítek GLK5
-
L Ayling DEF51
-
A Jones DEF41
1
-
A Malanda DEF5
1
-
C Brittain MID51
1
-
S Berhalter MID51
-
A Morris MID41
-
N Borges MID5
-
K Joseph FWD5
-
R McGree FWD51
-
W. Lankshear FWD55
2
-
Subs
S Brynn GLK
-
S Byram DEF
-
A Phillips DEF2
-
M Arfsten DEF4
-
L. Castledine MID3
-
R Pukstas MID1
-
C. Ibeh MID
-
T Conway FWD3
-
D Strelec FWD1
-