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Portsmouth v Derby County : Championship match betting preview, prediction and odds

Tue 1st Sep, 19:45 BST, Fratton Park, Portsmouth

John Eustace is aiming for a vital away win in the Championship on Tuesday evening, as he takes his Derby County side to the Fratton Park to visit Portsmouth and John Mousinho. Championship stats are the foundation of the predictions you'll find below, with head to head (H2H) performance included too. It's all on this page, with data visualisations and odds available for every betting markets via the tabs.


Want to know who’s consistently beating the odds? Check out the Top Championship Tipsters and see the most profitable experts for this season!

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In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

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Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Portsmouth
35%
--
Draw
27%
--
Derby
38%
--
Draw 1-1
13%
--
Derby 1-0
10%
--
Portsmouth 1-0
10%
--
Derby 2-1
8%
--
Portsmouth 2-1
8%
--
Draw 0-0
8%
--
Derby 2-0
7%
--
Portsmouth 2-0
6%
--
Draw 2-2
5%
--
Derby 3-1
4%
--
Portsmouth 3-1
3%
--
Derby 3-0
3%
--
Portsmouth 3-0
3%
--
Derby 3-2
2%
--
Portsmouth 3-2
2%
--
Over 2.5 Goals
47%
--
Under 2.5 Goals
53%
--
Home 1st Goal
47%
--
Away 1st Goal
48%
--
No 1st Goal
5%
--
BTTS - Yes
52%
--
BTTS - No
48%
--
BTTS - Home Win
16%
--
BTTS - Draw
19%
--
BTTS - Away Win
17%
--
Home/draw
62%
--
Away/draw
65%
--
Home/away
73%
--
Over 1.5 Goals
72%
--
Under 1.5 Goals
28%
--
Over 3.5 Goals
25%
--
Under 3.5 Goals
75%
--
Over 4.5 Goals
12%
--
Under 4.5 Goals
88%
--
Over 5.5 Goals
5%
--
Under 5.5 Goals
95%
--
Over 0.5 Goals
92%
--
Under 0.5 Goals
8%
--
Home DNB
54%
--
Away DNB
57%
--
Portsmouth win to nil
19%
--
Derby win to nil
21%
--
Win / draw / win Championship table
Won
Draw
Lost
Portsmouth
Derby
Results by League Table
TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY HOME AWAY
1
QPR110023 
l
 
1-3F
Mar 6
Feb 16
Oct 14
2
Millwall110023 
Oct 24
Dec 29
Jan 23
Oct 31
3
Charlton110013 
Feb 13
Sep 12
Mar 6
l
 
2-1F
4
M'Boro110013 
Apr 3
Dec 19
Mar 16
Dec 5
5
West Brom110013 
Dec 5
Mar 16
Sep 9
Apr 7
6
Swansea110013 
Nov 3
Jan 27
Aug 29
Apr 17
7
Bolton110013 
Feb 6
Nov 21
Nov 6
Jan 30
8
Watford110013 
Dec 26
Mar 20
Nov 28
Mar 13
9
West Ham101001 
Nov 24
May 1
Apr 10
Sep 5
10
Blackburn101001 
Sep 19
Feb 20
Jan 1
Dec 12
11
Burnley101001 
Jan 23
Oct 31
Feb 20
Sep 19
12
Wolves101001 
Apr 6
Sep 9
May 1
Nov 24
13
Wrexham101001 
Mar 13
Nov 28
Oct 10
Feb 27
14
Cardiff101001 
Sep 5
Apr 10
Aug 22
Mar 2
15
Sheff Utd101001 
Oct 14
Feb 16
Dec 29
Oct 24
16
Birmingham101001 
Dec 12
Jan 1
Sep 12
Feb 13
17
Preston1001-10 
Apr 24
Dec 9
Mar 20
Dec 26
18
Stoke1001-10 
Nov 7
Jan 30
Oct 17
Jan 16
19
Lincoln1001-10 
Mar 3
Aug 22
Dec 19
Apr 3
20
Norwich1001-10 
Jan 16
Oct 17
Nov 3
Jan 26
21
Derby1001-10 
Sep 1
Apr 20
-
-
22
Portsmouth1001-20 
-
-
Apr 20
Sep 1
23
Bristol C1001-20 
Apr 17
Aug 29
Dec 9
Apr 24
24
Southampton1001-1-4 
Feb 28
Oct 11
Feb 6
Nov 21
Promotion
Promotion Play Off
Relegation
Win / draw / win form
Portsmouth 22ND
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
22
Conceded
20
Games: Scored
14 / 20
Conceded
15 / 20
Clean sheets
5 / 20
Failed to score
6 / 20
Won
7
Draw
5
Lost
8
Goals: Scored
26
Conceded
30
Games: Scored
16 / 20
Conceded
16 / 20
Clean sheets
4 / 20
Failed to score
4 / 20
Won
7
D
4
Lost
9
Derby 21ST
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
32
Conceded
28
Games: Scored
17 / 20
Conceded
16 / 20
Clean sheets
4 / 20
Failed to score
3 / 20
Won
9
D
1
Lost
10
Goals: Scored
32
Conceded
26
Games: Scored
18 / 20
Conceded
14 / 20
Clean sheets
6 / 20
Failed to score
2 / 20
Won
10
D
1
Lost
9
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
League games at Portsmouth since 1993
Portsmouth
Derby
Goals: Scored
23
16
Games: Scored
9 / 12
10 / 12
Clean sheets
2 / 12
3 / 12
POR
4
D
5
DER
3
League games at Derby since 1992
Derby
Portsmouth
Goals: Scored
24
14
Games: Scored
12 / 12
8 / 12
Clean sheets
4 / 12
0 / 12
POR
2
D
4
DER
6
Goal Statistics
Portsmouth 22nd Derby 21st
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.3
goals
1.3
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
29%
1
36%
2
22%
3
9%
4+
There is a 65% probability that Portsmouth will score no more than 1 goal
0
27%
1
35%
2
23%
3
10%
4+
There is a 62% probability that Derby will score no more than 1 goal
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
-12
Portsmouth have scored 12% fewer goals at home than predicted
+23
Derby have scored 23% more goals when away than predicted
1.1
average goals scored
1.6
average goals scored
1.0
conceded
1.4
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Championship - 2026/2027 season
Portsmouth
PG (predicted goals)
Derby
1.3
1.3
Attack rating
POR
DER
5%
better
view stats
Games scored1
1
Failed to score0
0
Scored first1
1
Goals scored1
1
Avg. goals scored1
1
Avg. shots per game14
9
Avg. shots per goal14
9
Conversion rate for7
11
Avg. XG for2.3
1.3
KickOff rating
+5%
Defence rating
POR
DER
10%
better
view stats
Games conceded1
1
Clean sheets0
0
Conceded first0
0
Goals conceded3
2
Avg. goals conceded3
2
Avg. shots/game conceded11
8
Avg. shots/goal conceded4
4
Conversion rate against27%
25%
Avg. XG against2.1
1.2
KickOff rating
+10%

Portsmouth v Derby Championship lLine ups will show here when available.

Portsmouth Championship squad statistics 2026/2027
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
1110
N SchmidT DevlinE Adams
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
N Schmid GLK1
-
B. Arthur DEF1
-
T Devlin DEF11
-
C Shaughnessy DEF1
-
Z Swanson DEF1
-
R Poole DEF1
-
R Shein MID1
-
O Bailey MID1
-
E Adams MID11
-
A Segecic FWD1
-
J Murphy FWD1
-
C Bishop FWD1
-
R. Kavuma-McQueen FWD1
-
A Kamara FWD1
-
L. Brooke-Smith FWD1
-
M Milovanovic FWD1
-
Derby Championship squad statistics 2026/2027
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
1111
J ZetterströmS SzmodicsC MorrisS Langas
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
J Zetterström GLK1
-
C Taylor DEF1
-
S Langas DEF1
1
-
M Johnston DEF1
-
C Forsyth DEF1
-
D Sanderson DEF1
-
A Mowatt MID1
1
-
S Szmodics MID11
-
B Clark MID1
-
O Fraulo MID1
-
L Travis MID1
-
J Ward MID1
-
C Morris FWD11
-
L Salvesen FWD1
-
C Blackett-Taylor FWD1
-
R Brewster FWD1
1
-