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Portsmouth v Derby County : Championship match betting preview, prediction and odds

Mon 16th Mar, 20:00 BST, Fratton Park, Portsmouth

Monday night at the Fratton Park, and it’s a Championship showdown between Portsmouth and Derby County. John Mousinho and John Eustace will be doing all they can to guide their side to the win. In this preview you'll find odds for 17 different betting markets as well as predictions, statistics and head to head (H2H) data for the two sides. You can access it all using the tabs below.


Want to know who’s consistently beating the odds? Check out the Top Championship Tipsters and see the most profitable experts for this season!

If you’re keen on betting across various leagues and markets, our Live Bets page showcases active accumulator bets and real-time tips.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Portsmouth
34%
--
Draw
27%
--
Derby
39%
--
Draw 1-1
13%
--
Derby 1-0
10%
--
Portsmouth 1-0
10%
--
Derby 2-1
8%
--
Draw 0-0
8%
--
Portsmouth 2-1
8%
--
Derby 2-0
7%
--
Portsmouth 2-0
6%
--
Draw 2-2
5%
--
Derby 3-1
4%
--
Portsmouth 3-1
3%
--
Derby 3-0
3%
--
Portsmouth 3-0
2%
--
Derby 3-2
2%
--
Portsmouth 3-2
2%
--
Over 2.5 Goals
47%
--
Under 2.5 Goals
53%
--
Home 1st Goal
47%
--
Away 1st Goal
49%
--
No 1st Goal
5%
--
BTTS - Yes
52%
--
BTTS - No
48%
--
BTTS - Home Win
16%
--
BTTS - Draw
19%
--
BTTS - Away Win
17%
--
Home/draw
61%
--
Away/draw
66%
--
Home/away
73%
--
Over 1.5 Goals
72%
--
Under 1.5 Goals
28%
--
Over 3.5 Goals
25%
--
Under 3.5 Goals
75%
--
Over 4.5 Goals
11%
--
Under 4.5 Goals
89%
--
Over 5.5 Goals
4%
--
Under 5.5 Goals
96%
--
Over 0.5 Goals
92%
--
Under 0.5 Goals
8%
--
Home DNB
53%
--
Away DNB
58%
--
Portsmouth win to nil
19%
--
Derby win to nil
22%
--
Win / draw / win Championship table

Portsmouth have played 35 matches so far this season and are in 19th position in the league.

Performance against teams above them in the league

27 of those games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 14 games, drawn 7 and won 6. Portsmouth have conceded 39 goals, scored 25, failed to score in 11 matches and kept 4 clean sheets.

Home league performance

Portsmouth have played 17 games at home, winning 6, drawing 4 and losing 7 fixtures. They have scored 18 goals, conceded 17 goals, kept 4 clean sheets and failed to score 6 times in home league games.

Derby lay in 7th place on 54 points in the Championship league table having played 36 matches.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 26 games against teams below them in the table, winning 13, drawing 6 and losing 7 games. They have scored 39 goals and kept 7 clean sheets against lower placed opposition. Derby have conceded 27 goals and have failed to score in 3 matches.

Away league performance

Derby have played 17 away games, winning 8, drawing 3 and losing 6 games. They have scored an average of 1.6 goals per away game and conceded an average 1.3 goals per away game.

Won
Draw
Lost
Portsmouth
Derby
Results by League Table
TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY HOME AWAY
1
Coventry3622863674 
l
 
1-2A
Apr 21
l
 
3-5A
Apr 3
2
M'Boro3620972369 
w
 
1-0F
Apr 11
w
 
1-0F
l
 
2-1F
3
Millwall361989965 
w
 
3-1F
w
 
1-3F
d
 
1-1A
Mar 10
4
Ipswich35181072664 
-
l
 
2-1A
l
 
1-2A
d
 
2-2A
5
Hull3618612560 
l
 
0-1A
l
 
3-2F
w
 
2-1F
l
 
4-2A
6
Wrexham3515128957 
d
 
0-00-0
l
 
2-1A
l
 
1-2A
d
 
1-1A
7
Derby3615912754 
Mar 16
d
 
1-1F
-
-
8
Southampton351411101153 
d
 
1-1A
d
 
0-00-0
d
 
1-1A
Apr 11
9
Watford35131210451 
d
 
2-2F
d
 
1-1F
l
 
2-3F
l
 
2-0A
10
Bristol C3614814250 
l
 
0-1A
l
 
5-0A
d
 
1-1A
w
 
0-5F
11
Sheff Utd3615417249 
l
 
0-1A
l
 
3-0A
May 2
w
 
1-3F
12
Birmingham36131013-149 
May 2
l
 
4-0A
Mar 21
d
 
1-1F
13
Swansea3614715-149 
Mar 10
l
 
1-0A
w
 
2-0F
w
 
1-2F
14
Preston36121311-149 
w
 
1-0F
l
 
1-0A
l
 
0-1A
w
 
0-1F
15
Stoke3613815347 
l
 
0-1A
Apr 25
Apr 6
l
 
3-1F
16
QPR3613815-1247 
d
 
1-1F
Mar 21
w
 
1-0F
Apr 25
17
Norwich3513616345 
l
 
1-2A
Apr 3
w
 
1-0F
Apr 21
18
Charlton36111114-1044 
w
 
2-1F
w
 
1-3F
d
 
1-1A
w
 
1-2F
19
Portsmouth35101015-1040 
-
-
d
 
1-1A
Mar 16
20
Blackburn3610917-1339 
w
 
2-1A
d
 
1-1F
w
 
3-1A
w
 
1-2F
21
West Brom369918-1836 
w
 
3-0F
d
 
1-1A
d
 
1-1F
w
 
0-1F
22
Leicester36101115-935 
Apr 18
d
 
1-1A
l
 
1-3A
l
 
2-1A
23
Oxford Utd3681117-1435 
Apr 6
w
 
0-1F
Apr 18
l
 
1-0A
24
Sheff Wed361827-51-7 
l
 
0-2A
w
 
0-1F
w
 
2-1F
w
 
0-3F
Promotion
Promotion Play Off
Relegation
Win / draw / win form
Portsmouth 19TH
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
22
Conceded
20
Games: Scored
14 / 20
Conceded
15 / 20
Clean sheets
5 / 20
Failed to score
6 / 20
Won
7
Draw
6
Lost
7
Goals: Scored
23
Conceded
25
Games: Scored
13 / 20
Conceded
18 / 20
Clean sheets
2 / 20
Failed to score
7 / 20
Won
7
Draw
5
Lost
8
Derby 7TH
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
34
Conceded
25
Games: Scored
18 / 20
Conceded
15 / 20
Clean sheets
5 / 20
Failed to score
2 / 20
Won
10
D
4
Lost
6
Goals: Scored
32
Conceded
25
Games: Scored
19 / 20
Conceded
15 / 20
Clean sheets
5 / 20
Failed to score
1 / 20
Won
9
D
4
Lost
7
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
3
Portsmouth have drawn with Derby in 3 consecutive home league meetings
11
Derby have not lost to Portsmouth in 11 consecutive league meetings
League games at Portsmouth since 1993
Portsmouth
Derby
Goals: Scored
23
15
Games: Scored
9 / 11
9 / 11
Clean sheets
2 / 11
2 / 11
POR
4
D
5
DER
2
League games at Derby since 1992
Derby
Portsmouth
Goals: Scored
24
14
Games: Scored
12 / 12
8 / 12
Clean sheets
4 / 12
0 / 12
POR
2
D
4
DER
6
Goal Statistics
Portsmouth 19th Derby 7th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.2
goals
1.3
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
29%
1
36%
2
22%
3
9%
4+
There is a 65% probability that Portsmouth will score no more than 1 goal
0
27%
1
35%
2
23%
3
10%
4+
There is a 62% probability that Derby will score no more than 1 goal
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
-14
Portsmouth have scored 14% fewer goals at home than predicted
+44
Derby have scored 44% more goals when away than predicted
1.1
average goals scored
1.7
average goals scored
1.0
conceded
1.3
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Championship - 2025/2026 season
Portsmouth
PG (predicted goals)
Derby
1.2
1.3
Attack rating
POR
DER
33%
better
view stats
Games scored23
33
Failed to score12
3
Scored first15
19
Goals scored35
54
Avg. goals scored1
1.5
Avg. shots per game9
8
Avg. shots per goal9
5
Conversion rate for12
20
Avg. XG for1.2
1.1
KickOff rating
+33%
Defence rating
POR
DER
3%
better
view stats
Games conceded28
28
Clean sheets7
8
Conceded first18
17
Goals conceded45
47
Avg. goals conceded1.3
1.3
Avg. shots/game conceded8
9
Avg. shots/goal conceded6
7
Conversion rate against16%
15%
Avg. XG against1.2
1.3
KickOff rating
+3%

Portsmouth v Derby Championship lLine ups will show here when available.

Portsmouth Championship squad statistics 2025/2026
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
32668
R PooleA SegecicJ MurphyJ Swift
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
R Poole DEF321
5
-
C Bishop FWD322
2
-
T Devlin DEF3051
1
1
Z Swanson DEF302
4
-
A Segecic MID2961
1
-
A Dozzell MID2911
7
-
C Chaplin FWD2713
1
-
N Schmid GLK25
-
M Pack MID252
6
-
C Ogilvie DEF241
3
-
J Williams DEF2311
3
-
J Swift MID2322
8
-
M Kosznovszky MID15
1
-
M. Yang FWD1531
2
-
J Knight DEF14
-
J Murphy FWD146
3
-
M Kirk FWD131
1
-
I Bowat DEF121
1
-
H. Matthews DEF11
1
-
C Shaughnessy DEF101
-
L Roux MID10
3
-
F Bianchini FWD101
-
H Blair FWD10
-
J Bursik GLK9
1
-
C Lang  FWD82
1
-
T. Waddingham FWD4
1
-
B Killip GLK2
-
J. Farrell DEF1
-
F Umeh FWD1
-
Derby Championship squad statistics 2025/2026
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
351079
M ClarkeP. AgyemangJ WardL Travis
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
M Clarke DEF3532
6
1
B Clark MID3532
5
-
P. Agyemang FWD32103
4
-
B Díaz FWD3153
5
-
D Sanderson DEF301
6
-
J Zetterström GLK28
1
-
C Elder DEF2815
8
-
J Ward MID2817
2
1
R Brewster FWD2662
1
-
A Weimann  MID2513
1
-
L Salvesen FWD2532
3
-
E Adams MID231
7
-
D Ozoh MID231
6
-
C Morris FWD2110
4
-
S Langas DEF1921
2
-
K Jackson FWD19
2
-
L Thompson MID171
4
-
L Travis MID171
8
1
C Forsyth DEF131
2
-
M Johnston DEF9
1
-
D Batth DEF9
1
-
C Blackett-Taylor FWD91
-
R Nyambe DEF7
1
-
J Vickers GLK6
-
R O'Donnell GLK2
-
C Nelson DEF2
-