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Portsmouth v Derby County : Championship match betting preview, prediction and odds

Fratton Park, Portsmouth

Portsmouth and their manager John Mousinho will be looking to get one over on John Eustace and his Derby County side on Tuesday evening, as the pair go head to head at the Fratton Park in the Championship. Championship statistics are the backbone of the predictions you'll find below, with head to head (H2H) history included too. You can view it all, with data visualisations and odds from the UK's biggest bookmakers available for the biggest betting markets using the tabs.

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Portsmouth's next match is v Cardiff at 15:00 on Saturday 5th September
Derby County's next match is v West Ham at 15:00 on Saturday 5th September
The last English Championship meeting between Portsmouth and Derby was on Tuesday 1st September 2026
English Championship
September 1st 2026
Portsmouth 0
2 Derby
 
16' S. Szmodics
62' L. Salvesen
 
POR
DER
Shots On
3
5
Shots Off
9
2
Corners
11
2
Possession
66%
34%
Fouls
12
13
Yellow/red cards
1/0
2/0
 
PortsmouthDerby
 
B. Arthur
Z. Swanson (O. Bailey 85')
M. Pack (I. Mohamed 72')
A. Segečić
A. Kamara
T. Devlin
D. Bielica
M. Dia
E. Adams (R. Shein 72')
R. Kavuma-McQueen (L. Brooke-Smith 65')
M. Milovanović (C. Bishop 66')
J. Widell Zetterström
(R. Nyambe 80') C. Forsyth
S. Langås
C. Taylor
(J. Ward 81') B. Clark
(F. Bilbija 86') football iconS. Szmodics
(L. Salvesen 59') R. Brewster
A. Mowatt
D. Sanderson
O. Fraulo
(M. Johnston 86') R. Hedges

Want to know who’s consistently beating the odds? Check out the Top Championship Tipsters and see the most profitable experts for this season!

If you’re keen on betting across various leagues and markets, our Live Bets page showcases active accumulator bets and real-time tips.

Best Tip: Over 1.5 goals

The statistics suggest there isn't an obvious winner here, but the evidence does point towards the conclusion that Portsmouth and Derby will find the net twice at least between them. That has been the case when they've gone head-to-head in years gone by, and neither John Mousinho or John Eustace has suffered the frustration of many 0-0s of late either. The bookies are predicting over 1.5 goals too, with top odds of 1.33 equating to roughly a 74% probability.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Portsmouth
48%
1/1-
Draw
25%
23/10-
Derby
27%
13/5-
Draw 1-1
12%
5/1-
Portsmouth 1-0
11%
13/2-
Portsmouth 2-1
9%
8/1-
Portsmouth 2-0
8%
17/2-
Derby 1-0
8%
10/1-
Draw 0-0
7%
17/2-
Derby 2-1
7%
12/1-
Draw 2-2
5%
12/1-
Portsmouth 3-1
5%
16/1-
Portsmouth 3-0
4%
18/1-
Derby 2-0
4%
18/1-
Portsmouth 3-2
3%
25/1-
Derby 3-1
2%
28/1-
Derby 3-2
2%
40/1-
Portsmouth 4-1
2%
33/1-
Over 2.5 Goals
50%
1/1-
Under 2.5 Goals
50%
4/5-
Home 1st Goal
52%
8/11-
Away 1st Goal
44%
11/8-
No 1st Goal
5%
17/2-
BTTS - Yes
53%
4/5-
BTTS - No
47%
10/11-
BTTS - Home Win
22%
10/3-
BTTS - Draw
18%
10/3-
BTTS - Away Win
13%
13/2-
Home/draw
73%
2/7-
Away/draw
52%
4/5-
Home/away
75%
1/3-
Over 1.5 Goals
74%
3/10-
Under 1.5 Goals
26%
5/2-
Over 3.5 Goals
28%
5/2-
Under 3.5 Goals
72%
3/10-
Over 4.5 Goals
13%
11/2-
Under 4.5 Goals
87%
1/9-
Over 5.5 Goals
5%
14/1-
Under 5.5 Goals
95%
1/33-
Over 0.5 Goals
93%
1/16-
Under 0.5 Goals
7%
9/1-
Home DNB
65%
4/9-
Away DNB
45%
13/8-
Portsmouth win to nil
26%
5/2-
Derby win to nil
14%
11/2-
Portsmouth / Portsmouth
26%
9/4-
Portsmouth / Derby
2%
33/1-
Portsmouth / Draw
6%
12/1-
Draw / Portsmouth
16%
4/1-
Draw / Derby
10%
7/1-
Draw / Draw
16%
4/1-
Derby / Portsmouth
4%
22/1-
Derby / Derby
14%
5/1-
Derby / Draw
5%
14/1-
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Win / draw / win Championship table
Won
Draw
Lost
Portsmouth
Derby
Results by League Table
TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY HOME AWAY
1
Swansea4310610 
Nov 3
Jan 27
l
 
0-3A
Apr 17
2
QPR4310410 
l
 
1-3F
Mar 6
Feb 16
Oct 14
3
Charlton4310310 
Feb 13
Sep 12
Mar 6
l
 
2-1F
4
Wolves421137 
Apr 6
Oct 20
May 1
Nov 24
5
M'Boro421127 
Apr 3
Dec 19
Mar 16
Dec 5
6
West Brom421117 
Dec 5
Mar 16
Sep 9
Apr 7
7
Bristol C421117 
Apr 17
l
 
2-1A
Dec 9
Apr 24
8
Sheff Utd413016 
Oct 14
Feb 16
Dec 29
Oct 24
9
Birmingham413016 
Dec 12
Jan 1
Sep 12
Feb 13
10
Millwall4202-26 
Oct 24
Dec 29
Jan 23
Oct 31
11
Wrexham412125 
Mar 13
Nov 28
Oct 10
Feb 27
12
West Ham412115 
Nov 24
May 1
Apr 10
Sep 5
13
Blackburn412105 
Sep 19
Feb 20
Jan 1
Dec 12
14
Watford4121-15 
Dec 26
Mar 20
Nov 28
Mar 13
15
Bolton4112-14 
Feb 6
Nov 21
Nov 6
Jan 30
16
Derby4112-24 
l
 
0-2A
Apr 20
-
-
17
Lincoln4112-24 
Mar 3
w
 
1-3F
Dec 19
Apr 3
18
Southampton421153 
Feb 28
Oct 11
Feb 6
Nov 21
19
Cardiff4031-13 
Sep 5
Apr 10
d
 
2-2A
Mar 2
20
Norwich4103-23 
Jan 16
Oct 17
Nov 3
Jan 26
21
Portsmouth4103-33 
-
-
Apr 20
w
 
0-2F
22
Stoke4103-53 
Nov 7
Jan 30
Oct 17
Jan 16
23
Burnley4022-52 
Jan 23
Oct 31
Feb 20
Sep 19
24
Preston4004-60 
Apr 24
Dec 9
Mar 20
Dec 26
Promotion
Promotion Play Off
Relegation
Win / draw / win form
Portsmouth 21ST
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
22
Conceded
20
Games: Scored
14 / 20
Conceded
15 / 20
Clean sheets
5 / 20
Failed to score
6 / 20
Won
7
Draw
5
Lost
8
HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Portsmouth1 - 3QPR
Portsmouth1 - 1Birmingham
Portsmouth1 - 0Leicester
Portsmouth2 - 0Ipswich
Portsmouth2 - 2Oxford Utd
Portsmouth0 - 1Derby
Portsmouth1 - 2Swansea
Portsmouth0 - 1Hull
Portsmouth0 - 1Sheff Utd
Portsmouth3 - 0West Brom
Portsmouth1 - 1Southampton
Portsmouth2 - 1Charlton
Portsmouth1 - 1QPR
Portsmouth2 - 1Blackburn
Portsmouth0 - 1Bristol C
Portsmouth3 - 1Millwall
Portsmouth0 - 0Wrexham
Portsmouth0 - 1Stoke
Portsmouth1 - 2Coventry
Portsmouth1 - 0M'Boro
Goals: Scored
27
Conceded
32
Games: Scored
17 / 20
Conceded
17 / 20
Clean sheets
3 / 20
Failed to score
3 / 20
Won
7
D
4
Lost
9
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
APortsmouth1 - 2Bristol C
APortsmouth3 - 1Lincoln
HPortsmouth1 - 3QPR
HPortsmouth1 - 1Birmingham
APortsmouth3 - 1Stoke
APortsmouth1 - 5Coventry
HPortsmouth1 - 0Leicester
HPortsmouth2 - 0Ipswich
APortsmouth1 - 0M'Boro
HPortsmouth2 - 2Oxford Utd
APortsmouth1 - 1Norwich
APortsmouth1 - 6QPR
HPortsmouth0 - 1Derby
HPortsmouth1 - 2Swansea
APortsmouth1 - 1Blackburn
HPortsmouth0 - 1Hull
APortsmouth1 - 2Wrexham
APortsmouth3 - 1Millwall
APortsmouth3 - 1Charlton
HPortsmouth0 - 1Sheff Utd
Derby 16TH
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
32
Conceded
28
Games: Scored
17 / 20
Conceded
16 / 20
Clean sheets
4 / 20
Failed to score
3 / 20
Won
9
D
1
Lost
10
AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Charlton2 - 1Derby
QPR2 - 3Derby
Norwich2 - 1Derby
Southampton2 - 1Derby
Coventry3 - 2Derby
Portsmouth0 - 1Derby
Millwall1 - 0Derby
Hull4 - 2Derby
Watford2 - 0Derby
Bristol C0 - 5Derby
Charlton1 - 2Derby
Preston0 - 1Derby
Leicester2 - 1Derby
Birmingham1 - 1Derby
Sheff Wed0 - 3Derby
M'Boro2 - 1Derby
Swansea1 - 2Derby
Blackburn1 - 2Derby
Sheff Utd1 - 3Derby
Oxford Utd1 - 0Derby
Goals: Scored
31
Conceded
29
Games: Scored
17 / 20
Conceded
14 / 20
Clean sheets
6 / 20
Failed to score
3 / 20
Won
9
D
1
Lost
10
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
HDerby0 - 3Swansea
HDerby2 - 2Cardiff
ADerby1 - 2Charlton
HDerby1 - 2Sheff Utd
ADerby3 - 2QPR
ADerby1 - 2Norwich
HDerby1 - 0Oxford Utd
ADerby1 - 2Southampton
HDerby2 - 0Stoke
ADerby2 - 3Coventry
HDerby1 - 0Birmingham
ADerby1 - 0Portsmouth
ADerby0 - 1Millwall
HDerby2 - 1Sheff Wed
HDerby3 - 1Blackburn
ADerby2 - 4Hull
ADerby0 - 2Watford
HDerby2 - 0Swansea
HDerby1 - 2Ipswich
ADerby5 - 0Bristol C
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
League games at Portsmouth since 1993
Portsmouth
Derby
Goals: Scored
23
16
Games: Scored
9 / 12
10 / 12
Clean sheets
2 / 12
3 / 12
POR
4
D
5
DER
3
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Portsmouth
0 - 1Derby
Draw2 - 2Draw
Draw2 - 2Draw
Draw0 - 0Draw
1 - 2Derby
Draw1 - 1Draw
Portsmouth3 - 1
Portsmouth6 - 2
Draw2 - 2Draw
0 - 1Derby
Portsmouth3 - 2
Portsmouth3 - 0
League games at Derby since 1992
Derby
Portsmouth
Goals: Scored
24
14
Games: Scored
12 / 12
8 / 12
Clean sheets
4 / 12
0 / 12
POR
2
D
4
DER
6
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Derby
Draw1 - 1Draw
Derby4 - 0
Draw1 - 1Draw
Draw1 - 1Draw
Derby3 - 1
Derby2 - 0
Draw2 - 2Draw
1 - 2Portsmouth
Derby3 - 2
Derby3 - 0
Derby1 - 0
2 - 4Portsmouth
Goal Statistics

Portsmouth have been steady in attack of late, finding the net in 12 consecutive Championship games. Their PG of 1.6 against Derby County on Tuesday suggests that run is likely to continue.

Portsmouth 21st Derby 16th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.6
goals
1.1
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
21%
1
33%
2
26%
3
13%
4+
There is a 79% probability that Portsmouth will score 1 or more goals
0
33%
1
37%
2
20%
3
4+
There is a 70% probability that Derby will score no more than 1 goal
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
-12
Portsmouth have scored 12% fewer goals at home than predicted
+23
Derby have scored 23% more goals when away than predicted
1.1
average goals scored
1.6
average goals scored
1.0
conceded
1.4
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Championship - 2026/2027 season
Portsmouth
PG (predicted goals)
Derby
1.6
1.1
Attack rating
40%
better
POR
DER
view stats
Games scored3
2
Failed to score0
1
Scored first2
1
Goals scored5
3
Avg. goals scored1.7
1
Avg. shots per game11
8
Avg. shots per goal7
8
Conversion rate for15
12
Avg. XG for1.7
1.3
KickOff rating
+40%
Defence rating
12%
better
POR
DER
view stats
Games conceded3
3
Clean sheets0
0
Conceded first1
2
Goals conceded6
7
Avg. goals conceded2
2.3
Avg. shots/game conceded9
13
Avg. shots/goal conceded5
5
Conversion rate against21%
18%
Avg. XG against1.8
2.4
KickOff rating
+12%

Portsmouth v Derby Championship lLine ups will show here when available.

Portsmouth Championship squad statistics 2026/2027
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
4111
T DevlinT DevlinE AdamsT Devlin
Line-upAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
D Bielica GLK1
-
T Devlin DEF41
1
-
B. Arthur DEF4
-
M. Dia DEF2
-
Z Swanson DEF4
-
M Pack MID3
-
E Adams MID411
-
A Kamara MID41
-
A Segecic MID41
-
R. Kavuma-McQueen MID41
-
M Milovanovic FWD41
-
Subs
N Schmid GLK3
-
R Poole DEF1
-
J Swift MID1
-
R Shein MID4
1
-
O Bailey MID2
-
I Mohamed MID1
-
C Bishop FWD4
-
L. Brooke-Smith FWD3
-
H Blair FWD1
-
Derby Championship squad statistics 2026/2027
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
4223
J ZetterströmS SzmodicsB ClarkS Langas
Line-upAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
J Zetterström GLK4
-
S Langas DEF4
3
-
D Sanderson DEF4
2
-
C Forsyth DEF2
-
C Taylor DEF4
1
-
O Fraulo MID31
1
-
A Mowatt MID4
1
-
R Hedges MID3
-
B Clark MID412
-
R Brewster MID4
1
-
S Szmodics FWD32
-
Subs
J Vickers GLK
-
M Johnston DEF4
1
-
R Nyambe DEF2
-
F Bilbija MID2
-
J Ward MID3
-
O. Eames MID1
-
L Salvesen FWD41
-
H. Meister FWD
-
C Blackett-Taylor FWD3
1
-