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Derby County v West Bromwich Albion : Championship match betting preview, prediction and odds

Fri 23rd Jan, 20:00 BST, Pride Park Stadium, Derby

West Bromwich Albion are away from home on Friday night, as manager Ryan Mason takes his team to visit Derby County and John Eustace at the Pride Park Stadium in the Championship. We've got predictions, tips, and odds from leading bookmakers and head-to-head statistics across the biggest markets, all with the aim of helping you find a winning bet on this Championship clash.


Want to know who’s consistently beating the odds? Check out the Top Championship Tipsters and see the most profitable experts for this season!

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Best Tip: Under 3.5 goals

Under 3.5 goals simply means that there will be 3 goals or less scored by Derby and West Brom combined during a standard 90 mins. Recent form stats and historical head-to-head (H2H) performances have led us to our prediction, and we think there's a 76% chance of it being right on the money. The best price available at present on under 3.5 goals is 1.18.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think Derby are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 48% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 2.50.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Derby
48%
29/20
7%
6/4
7%
Draw
26%
2/111/5
West Brom
26%
9/5
6%
15/8
7%
Draw 1-1
12%
5/119/4
Derby 1-0
12%
6/111/2
Derby 2-1
9%
9/1
9%
8/1
Derby 2-0
9%
10/1
8%
9/1
West Brom 1-0
8%
13/2
7%
6/1
8%
Draw 0-0
8%
6/16/1
West Brom 2-1
6%
10/117/2
Draw 2-2
5%
16/114/1
Derby 3-1
4%
22/1
12%
18/1
Derby 3-0
4%
25/1
10%
20/1
West Brom 2-0
4%
12/1
8%
10/1
Derby 3-2
2%
40/125/1
10%
West Brom 3-1
2%
25/120/1
11%
Derby 4-1
2%
50/140/1
Derby 4-0
2%
50/140/1
Over 2.5 Goals
45%
6/4
5%
11/8
3%
Under 2.5 Goals
55%
8/15
3%
8/15
1%
Home 1st Goal
52%
20/21
5%
1/1
2%
Away 1st Goal
43%
11/10
2%
23/20
5%
No 1st Goal
5%
6/16/1
BTTS - Yes
49%
1/11/1
BTTS - No
51%
8/118/11
1%
BTTS - Home Win
20%
5/1
8%
9/2
4%
BTTS - Draw
18%
15/4
6%
17/5
BTTS - Away Win
11%
6/1
8%
5/1
4%
Home/draw
74%
4/11
3%
2/5
3%
Away/draw
52%
1/2
7%
1/2
4%
Home/away
74%
1/37/20
2%
Over 1.5 Goals
71%
4/94/9
Under 1.5 Goals
29%
7/413/8
Over 3.5 Goals
24%
7/217/5
Under 3.5 Goals
76%
1/52/11
Over 4.5 Goals
11%
9/18/1
Under 4.5 Goals
89%
1/161/20
Over 5.5 Goals
4%
20/118/1
Under 5.5 Goals
96%
1/661/500
Over 0.5 Goals
92%
1/101/12
Under 0.5 Goals
8%
6/16/1
Home DNB
66%
8/11
5%
3/4
5%
Away DNB
44%
1/1
9%
19/20
5%
Derby win to nil
28%
11/4
6%
-
West Brom win to nil
15%
10/3
8%
-
Derby / Derby
19%
10/3
4%
3/1
5%
Derby / West Brom
3%
33/122/1
Derby / Draw
6%
14/111/1
Draw / Derby
14%
5/19/2
8%
Draw / West Brom
13%
11/2
8%
5/1
Draw / Draw
19%
10/3
4%
10/3
West Brom / Derby
3%
28/1
15%
22/1
West Brom / West Brom
18%
15/4
6%
17/5
5%
West Brom / Draw
6%
14/111/1
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Win / draw / win Championship table

Derby have played 28 matches so far this season and lay in 10th place in the Championship league table.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 16 games against teams below in the table, having won 8, drawn 5 and lost 3 matches. They have kept 4 clean sheets and have failed to score in 1 fixture. Derby have outscored their opponents by 38 goals to 31 goals.

Home League Performance

Derby have played 14 games at home winning 4, drawing 5 and losing 5 games. They have scored 17 goals, kept 3 clean sheets and conceded 20 goals at home.

West Brom are in 19th position in the Championship on 31 points having played 28 matches so far this season.

Away League Performance

11 of those games have been losing matches. They have conceded 24 goals and kept 2 clean sheets. They have scored 13 goals in total and failed to score in 5 fixtures.

Performance against teams above them in the league

22 games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 14 games, drawn 2 and won 6. West Brom have conceded 36 goals, scored 26, failed to score in 6 fixtures and have kept 2 clean sheets.

Won
Draw
Lost
Derby
West Brom
Results by League Table
TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY HOME AWAY
1
Coventry2817743058 
l
 
3-5A
Apr 3
Feb 21
l
 
3-2F
2
Ipswich2714852350 
Feb 7
d
 
2-2A
Apr 25
l
 
1-0A
3
M'Boro2714761249 
w
 
1-0F
l
 
2-1F
l
 
2-3A
l
 
2-1A
4
Hull271458647 
w
 
2-1F
Feb 24
Mar 14
l
 
1-0A
5
Millwall281378-346 
d
 
1-1A
Mar 10
Apr 11
l
 
3-0A
6
Preston2811107743 
l
 
0-1A
w
 
0-1F
w
 
2-1F
Apr 18
7
Stoke2712510941 
Apr 6
l
 
3-1F
Feb 7
w
 
0-1F
8
Watford261187641 
l
 
2-3F
Feb 21
Apr 21
l
 
2-1F
9
Wrexham2810117541 
l
 
1-2A
d
 
1-1A
Apr 3
w
 
2-3F
10
Derby281189241 
-
-
l
 
0-1A
Jan 23
11
Bristol C2811710740 
d
 
1-1A
Jan 30
l
 
1-2A
Mar 21
12
QPR2811710-140 
w
 
1-0F
Apr 25
w
 
2-1F
l
 
3-1A
13
Birmingham2810810138 
Mar 21
d
 
1-1F
d
 
1-1F
Feb 10
14
Leicester2810810-238 
l
 
1-3A
l
 
2-1A
d
 
1-1F
l
 
2-1A
15
Swansea2810612-436 
Feb 14
w
 
1-2F
w
 
3-2A
l
 
1-0A
16
Southampton278910-133 
d
 
1-1A
Apr 11
Mar 11
l
 
3-2A
17
Sheff Utd2610214-332 
May 2
w
 
1-3F
w
 
2-0F
Mar 7
18
Charlton278811-732 
d
 
1-1A
w
 
1-2F
Feb 24
l
 
1-0A
19
West Brom289415-1231 
Jan 23
w
 
0-1F
-
-
20
Norwich288614-530 
w
 
1-0F
Apr 21
l
 
0-5A
w
 
0-1F
21
Blackburn277713-1128 
Feb 28
w
 
1-2F
w
 
1-0F
Apr 6
22
Portsmouth257711-1328 
d
 
1-1A
Mar 14
d
 
1-1F
Jan 31
23
Oxford Utd275913-1024 
Apr 18
l
 
1-0A
w
 
2-1A
Feb 28
24
Sheff Wed271818-36-7 
Mar 7
w
 
0-3F
d
 
0-00-0
May 2
Promotion
Promotion Play Off
Relegation
Win / draw / win form
10
West Brom have lost 10 consecutive away league games
10
West Brom have not won in 10 consecutive away league games
Derby 14TH
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
23
Conceded
22
Games: Scored
16 / 20
Conceded
13 / 20
Clean sheets
7 / 20
Failed to score
4 / 20
Won
7
Draw
7
Lost
6
HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Derby1 - 2Wrexham
Derby1 - 0M'Boro
Derby1 - 1Portsmouth
Derby1 - 1Millwall
Derby1 - 3Leicester
Derby2 - 3Watford
Derby2 - 1Hull
Derby1 - 0QPR
Derby1 - 0Norwich
Derby1 - 1Southampton
Derby1 - 1Charlton
Derby0 - 1Preston
Derby1 - 1Bristol C
Derby3 - 5Coventry
Derby0 - 0Stoke
Derby0 - 1Luton
Derby0 - 0Burnley
Derby2 - 0Preston
Derby2 - 0Coventry
Derby2 - 1Blackburn
Goals: Scored
28
Conceded
22
Games: Scored
19 / 20
Conceded
15 / 20
Clean sheets
5 / 20
Failed to score
1 / 20
Won
10
D
4
Lost
6
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
ADerby2 - 1Charlton
ADerby1 - 0Preston
HDerby1 - 2Wrexham
HDerby1 - 0M'Boro
ADerby1 - 2Leicester
ADerby1 - 1Birmingham
HDerby1 - 1Portsmouth
ADerby3 - 0Sheff Wed
HDerby1 - 1Millwall
HDerby1 - 3Leicester
ADerby1 - 2M'Boro
ADerby2 - 1Swansea
HDerby2 - 3Watford
ADerby2 - 1Blackburn
HDerby2 - 1Hull
ADerby3 - 1Sheff Utd
HDerby1 - 0QPR
HDerby1 - 0Norwich
ADerby0 - 1Oxford Utd
HDerby1 - 1Southampton
West Brom 16TH
20 league games
Away
10
Overall
Goals: Scored
16
Conceded
31
Games: Scored
12 / 20
Conceded
17 / 20
Clean sheets
3 / 20
Failed to score
8 / 20
W
3
D
3
Lost
14
AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Leicester2 - 1West Brom
Swansea1 - 0West Brom
Hull1 - 0West Brom
Southampton3 - 2West Brom
QPR3 - 1West Brom
Coventry3 - 2West Brom
Charlton1 - 0West Brom
Ipswich1 - 0West Brom
Watford2 - 1West Brom
Millwall3 - 0West Brom
Norwich0 - 1West Brom
M'Boro2 - 1West Brom
Stoke0 - 1West Brom
Wrexham2 - 3West Brom
Cardiff0 - 0West Brom
Coventry2 - 0West Brom
Bristol C2 - 1West Brom
Norwich1 - 0West Brom
Burnley1 - 1West Brom
Leeds1 - 1West Brom
Goals: Scored
22
Conceded
36
Games: Scored
13 / 20
Conceded
18 / 20
Clean sheets
2 / 20
Failed to score
7 / 20
Won
5
D
2
Lost
13
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
HWest Brom0 - 5Norwich
HWest Brom2 - 3M'Boro
AWest Brom1 - 2Leicester
AWest Brom0 - 1Swansea
HWest Brom2 - 1QPR
HWest Brom1 - 2Bristol C
AWest Brom0 - 1Hull
HWest Brom2 - 0Sheff Utd
AWest Brom2 - 3Southampton
AWest Brom1 - 3QPR
HWest Brom3 - 2Swansea
HWest Brom1 - 1Birmingham
AWest Brom2 - 3Coventry
HWest Brom2 - 1Oxford Utd
AWest Brom0 - 1Charlton
HWest Brom0 - 0Sheff Wed
AWest Brom0 - 1Ipswich
AWest Brom1 - 2Watford
HWest Brom2 - 1Preston
AWest Brom0 - 3Millwall
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
4
Derby have beaten West Brom in 4 consecutive league meetings
7
Derby have not lost to West Brom in 7 consecutive home league meetings
League games at Derby since 1993
Derby
West Brom
Goals: Scored
21
11
Games: Scored
10 / 11
8 / 11
Clean sheets
3 / 11
1 / 11
DER
7
D
3
WBA
1
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Derby
Derby2 - 1
Derby1 - 0
Draw1 - 1Draw
Derby3 - 1
Draw2 - 2Draw
Derby1 - 0
Derby2 - 1
0 - 1West Brom
Derby3 - 0
Draw1 - 1Draw
Derby5 - 3
League games at West Brom since 1994
West Brom
Derby
Goals: Scored
13
14
Games: Scored
8 / 11
7 / 11
Clean sheets
4 / 11
3 / 11
DER
4
D
3
WBA
4
FIXTURE HISTORY AT West Brom
0 - 1Derby
1 - 3Derby
Draw0 - 0Draw
West Brom2 - 0
1 - 4Derby
West Brom3 - 1
West Brom1 - 0
Draw1 - 1Draw
West Brom3 - 2
Draw0 - 0Draw
1 - 2Derby
Goal Statistics

Derby County have been steady in front of goal of late, finding the net in 17 consecutive Championship games. Their PG of 1.5 against West Bromwich Albion on Friday suggests they're likely to extend that run.

Derby 14th West Brom 16th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.5
goals
1.0
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
23%
1
34%
2
25%
3
12%
4+
There is a 77% probability that Derby will score 1 or more goals
0
36%
1
37%
2
19%
3
4+
There is a 73% probability that West Brom will score no more than 1 goal
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
-4
Derby’s goalscoring at home has been inline with predictions
-27
West Brom have scored 27% fewer goals when away than predicted
1.2
average goals scored
0.8
average goals scored
1.1
conceded
1.6
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Championship - 2025/2026 season
Derby
PG (predicted goals)
West Brom
1.5
1
Attack rating
25%
better
DER
WBA
view stats
Games scored25
20
Failed to score2
7
Scored first14
12
Goals scored36
31
Avg. goals scored1.3
1.1
Avg. shots per game7
9
Avg. shots per goal5
9
Conversion rate for19
12
Avg. XG for1
1.4
KickOff rating
+25%
Defence rating
10%
better
DER
WBA
view stats
Games conceded21
22
Clean sheets6
5
Conceded first13
14
Goals conceded35
38
Avg. goals conceded1.3
1.4
Avg. shots/game conceded8
8
Avg. shots/goal conceded7
6
Conversion rate against15%
18%
Avg. XG against1.4
1.1
KickOff rating
+10%

Derby v West Brom Championship lLine ups will show here when available.

Derby Championship squad statistics 2025/2026
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
281057
M ClarkeC MorrisJ WardE Adams
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
M Clarke DEF2812
4
1
J Zetterström GLK27
1
-
B Clark MID2721
4
-
D Sanderson DEF241
6
-
A Weimann  MID2412
1
-
P. Agyemang FWD2473
2
-
C Elder DEF2313
6
-
E Adams MID231
7
-
B Díaz FWD2322
4
-
L Salvesen FWD2122
3
-
J Ward MID2015
1
1
K Jackson FWD19
2
-
S Langas DEF1821
2
-
R Brewster FWD1821
1
-
C Morris FWD1610
4
-
D Ozoh MID151
5
-
L Thompson MID151
4
-
C Forsyth DEF11
2
-
L Travis MID101
5
-
M Johnston DEF9
1
-
C Blackett-Taylor FWD81
-
R Nyambe DEF7
1
-
D Batth DEF7
-
C Nelson DEF2
-
R O'Donnell GLK1
-
West Brom Championship squad statistics 2025/2026
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
27897
N PhillipsA HeggebøM JohnstonC Styles
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
I Price MID2862
3
-
A Heggebø FWD2883
1
-
N Phillips DEF273
5
-
C Styles DEF272
7
-
M Johnston FWD2729
2
-
A Mowatt MID2513
3
-
G Campbell DEF2412
5
-
J Maja FWD2311
1
-
S Junior DEF221
1
-
C Mepham DEF22
6
-
K Grant FWD223
2
-
J Griffiths GLK21
-
O Diakité MID211
3
-
J Molumby MID211
2
1
C Taylor DEF16
1
-
K Bielik DEF12
1
-
T. Collyer MID121
-
J Wallace FWD1121
-
D Dike FWD8
-
J Wildsmith GLK7
-
A Gilchrist DEF7
1
T. Bany FWD1
-