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Derby County v Birmingham City : Championship match betting preview, prediction and odds

Sat 12th Sep, 12:30 BST, Pride Park Stadium, Derby

It's an away match for Chris Davies's Birmingham City side on Saturday lunch time, as they make their way to the Pride Park Stadium for a Championship meeting with John Eustace's Derby County. We've got bespoke stats for all of the main betting markets, from team to score first to full time result, including form and historical head-to-head data. Predictions are generated from these, and the odds come straight from the UK's biggest bookmakers.


Want to know who’s consistently beating the odds? Check out the Top Championship Tipsters and see the most profitable experts for this season!

If you’re keen on betting across various leagues and markets, our Live Bets page showcases active accumulator bets and real-time tips.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Derby
45%
--
Draw
27%
--
Birmingham
28%
--
Derby 1-0
13%
--
Draw 1-1
13%
--
Draw 0-0
10%
--
Birmingham 1-0
10%
--
Derby 2-0
9%
--
Derby 2-1
9%
--
Birmingham 2-1
6%
--
Birmingham 2-0
5%
--
Draw 2-2
4%
--
Derby 3-0
4%
--
Derby 3-1
4%
--
Birmingham 3-1
2%
--
Derby 3-2
2%
--
Birmingham 3-0
2%
--
Birmingham 3-2
1%
--
Over 2.5 Goals
42%
--
Under 2.5 Goals
58%
--
Home 1st Goal
51%
--
Away 1st Goal
43%
--
No 1st Goal
6%
--
BTTS - Yes
47%
--
BTTS - No
53%
--
BTTS - Home Win
18%
--
BTTS - Draw
18%
--
BTTS - Away Win
11%
--
Home/draw
72%
--
Away/draw
55%
--
Home/away
73%
--
Over 1.5 Goals
68%
--
Under 1.5 Goals
32%
--
Over 3.5 Goals
21%
--
Under 3.5 Goals
79%
--
Over 4.5 Goals
9%
--
Under 4.5 Goals
91%
--
Over 5.5 Goals
3%
--
Under 5.5 Goals
97%
--
Over 0.5 Goals
90%
--
Under 0.5 Goals
10%
--
Home DNB
64%
--
Away DNB
47%
--
Derby win to nil
27%
--
Birmingham win to nil
16%
--
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Win / draw / win Championship table
Won
Draw
Lost
Derby
Birmingham
Results by League Table
TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY HOME AWAY
1
Charlton330039 
Mar 6
l
 
2-1F
Mar 17
Dec 5
2
Wolves321057 
May 1
Nov 24
Sep 6
Apr 10
3
Swansea321047 
l
 
0-3A
Apr 17
Nov 7
Jan 30
4
QPR321037 
Feb 16
Oct 14
Oct 17
Jan 16
5
M'Boro320126 
Mar 16
Dec 5
Sep 19
Feb 20
6
Millwall320116 
Jan 23
Oct 31
Nov 3
Jan 26
7
West Brom320116 
Sep 9
Apr 7
Feb 27
Oct 10
8
Birmingham312015 
Sep 12
Feb 13
-
-
9
Watford312015 
Nov 28
Mar 13
Dec 8
Apr 24
10
Blackburn311104 
Jan 1
Dec 12
Mar 20
Dec 26
11
Bolton311104 
Nov 6
Jan 30
Nov 28
Mar 13
12
Bristol C3111-14 
Dec 9
Apr 24
d
 
2-2A
Mar 2
13
Cardiff303003 
d
 
2-2A
Mar 2
Dec 29
Oct 24
14
Sheff Utd303003 
Dec 29
Oct 24
Mar 6
d
 
0-00-0
15
Norwich3102-13 
Nov 3
Jan 26
Apr 7
Sep 9
16
Portsmouth3102-13 
Apr 20
Sep 1
Jan 1
Dec 12
17
Lincoln3102-23 
Dec 19
Apr 3
Jan 23
Oct 31
18
Southampton320152 
Feb 6
Nov 21
Sep 1
Apr 20
19
West Ham3021-12 
Apr 10
Sep 5
Dec 19
Apr 3
20
Wrexham3021-12 
Oct 10
Feb 27
Apr 17
w
 
1-2F
21
Derby3012-41 
-
-
Feb 13
Sep 12
22
Burnley3012-51 
Feb 20
Sep 19
May 1
Nov 25
23
Preston3003-40 
Mar 20
Dec 26
Oct 13
Feb 16
24
Stoke3003-60 
Oct 17
Jan 16
Feb 6
Nov 21
Promotion
Promotion Play Off
Relegation
Win / draw / win form
Derby 21ST
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
27
Conceded
23
Games: Scored
19 / 20
Conceded
13 / 20
Clean sheets
7 / 20
Failed to score
1 / 20
Won
10
D
4
Lost
6
HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Derby0 - 3Swansea
Derby2 - 2Cardiff
Derby1 - 2Sheff Utd
Derby1 - 0Oxford Utd
Derby2 - 0Stoke
Derby1 - 0Birmingham
Derby2 - 1Sheff Wed
Derby3 - 1Blackburn
Derby2 - 0Swansea
Derby1 - 2Ipswich
Derby1 - 1West Brom
Derby1 - 2Wrexham
Derby1 - 0M'Boro
Derby1 - 1Portsmouth
Derby1 - 1Millwall
Derby1 - 3Leicester
Derby2 - 3Watford
Derby2 - 1Hull
Derby1 - 0QPR
Derby1 - 0Norwich
Goals: Scored
31
Conceded
29
Games: Scored
17 / 20
Conceded
14 / 20
Clean sheets
6 / 20
Failed to score
3 / 20
Won
9
D
1
Lost
10
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
HDerby0 - 3Swansea
HDerby2 - 2Cardiff
ADerby1 - 2Charlton
HDerby1 - 2Sheff Utd
ADerby3 - 2QPR
ADerby1 - 2Norwich
HDerby1 - 0Oxford Utd
ADerby1 - 2Southampton
HDerby2 - 0Stoke
ADerby2 - 3Coventry
HDerby1 - 0Birmingham
ADerby1 - 0Portsmouth
ADerby0 - 1Millwall
HDerby2 - 1Sheff Wed
HDerby3 - 1Blackburn
ADerby2 - 4Hull
ADerby0 - 2Watford
HDerby2 - 0Swansea
HDerby1 - 2Ipswich
ADerby5 - 0Bristol C
Birmingham 8TH
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
17
Conceded
27
Games: Scored
13 / 20
Conceded
16 / 20
Clean sheets
4 / 20
Failed to score
7 / 20
Won
5
Draw
5
Lost
10
AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Wrexham1 - 2Birmingham
Sheff Utd0 - 0Birmingham
Portsmouth1 - 1Birmingham
Hull1 - 1Birmingham
Ipswich2 - 1Birmingham
Derby1 - 0Birmingham
Charlton1 - 0Birmingham
Millwall3 - 0Birmingham
Norwich1 - 2Birmingham
Oxford Utd0 - 2Birmingham
Sheff Wed0 - 2Birmingham
Swansea1 - 1Birmingham
Watford3 - 0Birmingham
Sheff Utd3 - 0Birmingham
QPR2 - 1Birmingham
Southampton3 - 1Birmingham
West Brom1 - 1Birmingham
M'Boro2 - 1Birmingham
Bristol C1 - 0Birmingham
Preston0 - 1Birmingham
Goals: Scored
22
Conceded
21
Games: Scored
14 / 20
Conceded
15 / 20
Clean sheets
5 / 20
Failed to score
6 / 20
Won
8
Draw
6
Lost
6
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
ABirmingham2 - 1Wrexham
HBirmingham2 - 2Bristol C
ABirmingham0 - 0Sheff Utd
ABirmingham1 - 1Portsmouth
HBirmingham2 - 1Bristol C
HBirmingham2 - 1Preston
ABirmingham1 - 1Hull
HBirmingham2 - 0Wrexham
ABirmingham1 - 2Ipswich
HBirmingham0 - 1Blackburn
ABirmingham0 - 1Derby
HBirmingham1 - 1Sheff Utd
HBirmingham1 - 0QPR
ABirmingham0 - 1Charlton
HBirmingham1 - 3M'Boro
ABirmingham0 - 3Millwall
ABirmingham2 - 1Norwich
HBirmingham0 - 0West Brom
HBirmingham2 - 1Leicester
ABirmingham2 - 0Oxford Utd
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
League games at Derby since 1992
Derby
Birmingham
Goals: Scored
27
24
Games: Scored
16 / 18
16 / 18
Clean sheets
2 / 18
2 / 18
DER
7
D
7
BIR
4
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Derby
Derby1 - 0
Draw2 - 2Draw
1 - 2Birmingham
Derby3 - 2
Derby3 - 1
Draw1 - 1Draw
Derby1 - 0
0 - 3Birmingham
Draw2 - 2Draw
Draw1 - 1Draw
Derby3 - 2
Derby2 - 1
Draw1 - 1Draw
1 - 2Birmingham
0 - 1Birmingham
Draw1 - 1Draw
Draw1 - 1Draw
Derby3 - 1
League games at Birmingham since 1993
Birmingham
Derby
Goals: Scored
24
32
Games: Scored
15 / 18
14 / 18
Clean sheets
4 / 18
3 / 18
DER
6
D
7
BIR
5
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Birmingham
Draw1 - 1Draw
Birmingham2 - 0
0 - 4Derby
1 - 3Derby
Draw2 - 2Draw
0 - 3Derby
1 - 2Derby
Draw1 - 1Draw
0 - 4Derby
Draw3 - 3Draw
Birmingham3 - 1
Draw2 - 2Draw
Birmingham1 - 0
Draw1 - 1Draw
Birmingham1 - 0
1 - 4Derby
Birmingham3 - 0
Draw1 - 1Draw
Goal Statistics
Derby 21st Birmingham 8th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.4
goals
1.0
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
26%
1
35%
2
24%
3
11%
4+
There is a 61% probability that Derby will score no more than 1 goal
0
37%
1
37%
2
18%
3
4+
There is a 74% probability of Birmingham scoring 1 goal or less
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
-3
Derby’s goalscoring at home has been inline with predictions
-21
Birmingham have scored 21% fewer goals when away than predicted
1.4
average goals scored
0.9
average goals scored
1.2
conceded
1.4
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Championship - 2026/2027 season
Derby
PG (predicted goals)
Birmingham
1.4
1
Attack rating
3%
better
DER
BIR
view stats
Games scored2
2
Failed to score0
1
Scored first1
1
Goals scored3
4
Avg. goals scored1
1.3
Avg. shots per game8
6
Avg. shots per goal8
5
Conversion rate for13
21
Avg. XG for1.6
1.3
KickOff rating
+3%
Defence rating
DER
BIR
26%
better
view stats
Games conceded2
2
Clean sheets0
1
Conceded first1
1
Goals conceded4
3
Avg. goals conceded1.3
1
Avg. shots/game conceded7
8
Avg. shots/goal conceded5
8
Conversion rate against19%
13%
Avg. XG against2.1
1
KickOff rating
+26%

Derby v Birmingham Championship lLine ups will show here when available.

Derby Championship squad statistics 2026/2027
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
3112
J ZetterströmB ClarkB ClarkS Langas
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
J Zetterström GLK3
-
S Langas DEF3
2
-
M Johnston DEF3
1
-
D Sanderson DEF3
2
-
C Taylor DEF3
-
A Mowatt MID3
1
-
B Clark MID311
-
L Travis MID3
2
-
L Salvesen FWD3
-
C Blackett-Taylor FWD3
1
-
R Brewster FWD3
1
-
S Szmodics MID21
-
O Fraulo MID2
1
-
J Ward MID2
-
R Hedges FWD2
-
C Morris FWD211
-
C Forsyth DEF1
-
R Nyambe DEF1
-
O. Eames MID1
-
F Bilbija FWD1
-
Birmingham Championship squad statistics 2026/2027
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
3212
J BeadleP NeumannA CochraneB Osayi-Samuel
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
J Beadle GLK3
-
A Cochrane DEF31
1
-
B Osayi-Samuel DEF3
2
-
C Klarer DEF3
-
P Neumann DEF32
-
E Laird DEF3
-
J Solís MID3
-
S Paik MID3
-
T Iwata MID3
-
L Vázquez FWD3
-
D Gray FWD31
-
C Vicente FWD3
-
J Stansfield FWD3
-
A. Priske FWD31
-
P Roberts FWD2
1
-
D Fry DEF1
-
M Bird MID1
-
M Ducksch FWD1
-
English Championship match betting previews, predictions and odds
Portsmouth v Derby
Tue 1st Sep, 19:45
Preston v Bristol C
Tue 1st Sep, 19:45
Sheff Utd v Bolton
Tue 1st Sep, 19:45
Swansea v Watford
Tue 1st Sep, 19:45
Lincoln v Blackburn
Tue 1st Sep, 19:45
West Ham v Wolves
Tue 1st Sep, 19:45
Stoke v Norwich
Tue 1st Sep, 20:00
Birmingham v Southampton
Tue 1st Sep, 20:00
West Brom v Charlton
Wed 2nd Sep, 19:45
QPR v Cardiff
Wed 2nd Sep, 19:45
Millwall v Wrexham
Wed 2nd Sep, 19:45
Burnley v M'Boro
Wed 2nd Sep, 20:00
Lincoln v Southampton
Sat 5th Sep, 12:30
Preston v Blackburn
Sat 5th Sep, 12:30
Stoke v Charlton
Sat 5th Sep, 12:30
West Brom v Watford
Sat 5th Sep, 15:00
West Ham v Derby
Sat 5th Sep, 15:00
Millwall v Bolton
Sat 5th Sep, 15:00
Sheff Utd v Norwich
Sat 5th Sep, 15:00
Portsmouth v Cardiff
Sat 5th Sep, 15:00
QPR v M'Boro
Sat 5th Sep, 15:00
Burnley v Bristol C
Sat 5th Sep, 15:00
Swansea v Wrexham
Sat 5th Sep, 20:00
Birmingham v Wolves
Sun 6th Sep, 12:00
Wrexham v Burnley
Tue 8th Sep, 19:45
Blackburn v Sheff Utd
Tue 8th Sep, 19:45
Cardiff v Stoke
Tue 8th Sep, 19:45
Watford v Preston
Tue 8th Sep, 19:45
Southampton v Swansea
Tue 8th Sep, 19:45
Bolton v West Ham
Tue 8th Sep, 20:00
Norwich v Birmingham
Wed 9th Sep, 19:45
Derby v West Brom
Wed 9th Sep, 19:45
Charlton v QPR
Wed 9th Sep, 20:00
West Ham v Wrexham
Fri 11th Sep, 20:00
Bolton v Cardiff
Sat 12th Sep, 12:30
Derby v Birmingham
Sat 12th Sep, 12:30
West Brom v QPR
Sat 12th Sep, 12:30
Blackburn v Millwall
Sat 12th Sep, 15:00
Preston v Lincoln
Sat 12th Sep, 15:00
Swansea v Burnley
Sat 12th Sep, 15:00
Southampton v Bristol C
Sat 12th Sep, 15:00
M'Boro v Norwich
Sat 12th Sep, 15:00
Charlton v Portsmouth
Sat 12th Sep, 15:00
Watford v Stoke
Sat 12th Sep, 15:00
Sheff Utd v Wolves
Sun 13th Sep, 12:00