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Derby County v Leicester City : Championship match betting preview, prediction and odds

Sat 6th Dec, 12:30 BST, Pride Park Stadium, Derby

Saturday lunch time at the Pride Park Stadium, and it’s a Championship clash between Derby County and Leicester City. John Eustace and Martí Cifuentes Corvillo going all-out to ensure the win. We've got bespoke statistics for every major market, from team to score first to full time result, including form and historical head-to-head data. Predictions are calculated from these, and the odds come directly from leading bookmakers.

Want to know who’s consistently beating the odds? Check out the Top Championship Tipsters and see the most profitable experts for this season!

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Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Predictions	Bet365	Coral
Derby 41%	-	-
Draw 26%	-	-
Leicester 33%	-	-
Draw 1-1 13%	-	-
Derby 1-0 10%	-	-
Leicester 1-0 9%	-	-
Derby 2-1 9%	-	-
Leicester 2-1 8%	-	-
Draw 0-0 7%	-	-
Derby 2-0 7%	-	-
Leicester 2-0 5%	-	-
Draw 2-2 5%	-	-
Derby 3-1 4%	-	-
Derby 3-0 3%	-	-
Leicester 3-1 3%	-	-
Derby 3-2 2%	-	-
Leicester 3-0 2%	-	-
Leicester 3-2 2%	-	-
Over 2.5 Goals 48%	-	-
Under 2.5 Goals 52%	-	-
Home 1st Goal 49%	-	-
Away 1st Goal 46%	-	-
No 1st Goal 5%	-	-
BTTS - Yes 53%	-	-
BTTS - No 47%	-	-
BTTS - Home Win 19%	-	-
BTTS - Draw 19%	-	-
BTTS - Away Win 15%	-	-
Home/draw 67%	-	-
Away/draw 59%	-	-
Home/away 74%	-	-
Over 1.5 Goals 73%	-	-
Under 1.5 Goals 27%	-	-
Over 3.5 Goals 26%	-	-
Under 3.5 Goals 74%	-	-
Over 4.5 Goals 12%	-	-
Under 4.5 Goals 88%	-	-
Over 5.5 Goals 5%	-	-
Under 5.5 Goals 95%	-	-
Over 0.5 Goals 93%	-	-
Under 0.5 Goals 7%	-	-
Home DNB 59%	-	-
Away DNB 51%	-	-
Derby win to nil 22%	-	-
Leicester win to nil 18%	-	-

Win / draw / win Championship table

Derby have played 17 matches so far this season and lay in 8th place in the Championship league table.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 12 games against teams below in the table, having won 7, drawn 3 and lost 2 matches. They have kept 3 clean sheets and have failed to score in 1 fixture. Derby have outscored their opponents by 24 goals to 20 goals.

Home League Performance

Derby have played 9 games at home winning 3, drawing 3 and losing 3 games. They have scored 12 goals, kept 2 clean sheets and conceded 13 goals at home.

Leicester are in 15th position in the Championship on 24 points having played 17 matches so far this season.

Away League Performance

4 of those games have been losing matches. They have conceded 13 goals and kept 1 clean sheet. They have scored 11 goals in total and failed to score in 2 fixtures.

Performance against teams above them in the league

9 games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 4 games, drawn 3 and won 2. Leicester have conceded 11 goals, scored 8, failed to score in 3 fixtures and have kept 2 clean sheets.

BTTS yes BTTS no BTTS yes BTTS no Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Over 0.5 Under 0.5 Over 1.5 Under 1.5 Over 2.5 Under 2.5 Over 3.5 Under 3.5 Over 4.5 Under 4.5 Over 5.5 Under 5.5 For 0-0 Against Won Draw Lost	Derby Leicester
Results by League Table

	TEAM	PLD	W	D	L	GD	PTS	HOME	AWAY	HOME	AWAY
1	Coventry	17	12	4	1	30	40	l 3-5A	Apr 3	d 0-00-0	Jan 17
2	Stoke	17	9	3	5	13	30	Apr 6	l 3-1F	w 2-1F	Feb 21
3	M'Boro	17	8	6	3	4	30	Jan 1	Nov 29	d 1-1F	Feb 24
4	Millwall	17	8	4	5	-4	28	Dec 10	Mar 10	Apr 25	l 1-0A
5	Ipswich	16	7	6	3	12	27	Feb 7	d 2-2A	Dec 13	Mar 7
6	Preston	17	7	6	4	5	27	l 0-1A	Jan 17	Apr 3	l 2-1A
7	Bristol C	17	7	5	5	5	26	d 1-1A	Jan 30	Mar 10	Dec 10
8	Derby	17	7	5	5	1	26	-	-	Dec 29	Dec 6
9	Birmingham	17	7	4	6	6	25	Mar 21	Dec 26	w 2-0F	Feb 7
10	Wrexham	17	6	7	4	3	25	Jan 4	d 1-1A	d 1-1F	Jan 20
11	Hull	17	7	4	6	-1	25	w 2-1F	Feb 24	Apr 22	l 2-1A
12	QPR	17	7	4	6	-4	25	w 1-0F	Apr 25	Mar 14	Dec 20
13	Southampton	17	6	6	5	4	24	d 1-1A	Apr 11	Feb 14	l 3-0A
14	Watford	17	6	6	5	2	24	l 2-3F	Feb 21	Dec 26	Mar 21
15	Leicester	17	6	6	5	0	24	Dec 6	Dec 29	-	-
16	Charlton	17	6	5	6	-3	23	d 1-1A	Jan 20	Jan 31	w 0-1F
17	West Brom	17	6	4	7	-3	22	Jan 23	w 0-1F	Jan 5	d 1-1A
18	Blackburn	16	6	1	9	-5	19	Feb 28	w 1-2F	l 0-2A	May 2
19	Swansea	17	4	5	8	-8	17	Feb 14	w 1-2F	Apr 11	w 1-3F
20	Portsmouth	17	4	5	8	-9	17	Dec 20	Mar 14	d 1-1F	Apr 18
21	Sheff Utd	17	5	1	11	-9	16	May 2	w 1-3F	Nov 29	Jan 1
22	Oxford Utd	17	3	6	8	-6	15	Apr 18	l 1-0A	Jan 24	d 2-2A
23	Norwich	17	2	4	11	-12	10	w 1-0F	Apr 21	Feb 28	w 1-2A
24	Sheff Wed	17	1	5	11	-21	-4	Mar 7	Dec 15	w 2-1A	Apr 6

	Promotion
	Promotion Play Off
	Relegation

Win / draw / win form

Home

Overall

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

11 / 20

Conceded

13 / 20

Clean sheets

7 / 20

Failed to score

9 / 20

Won

Draw

Lost

HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Derby	2 - 3	Watford
Derby	2 - 1	Hull
Derby	1 - 0	QPR
Derby	1 - 0	Norwich
Derby	1 - 1	Southampton
Derby	1 - 1	Charlton
Derby	0 - 1	Preston
Derby	1 - 1	Bristol C
Derby	3 - 5	Coventry
Derby	0 - 0	Stoke
Derby	0 - 1	Luton
Derby	0 - 0	Burnley
Derby	2 - 0	Preston
Derby	2 - 0	Coventry
Derby	2 - 1	Blackburn
Derby	0 - 1	Millwall
Derby	0 - 0	Oxford Utd
Derby	0 - 1	Sheff Utd
Derby	0 - 1	Sunderland
Derby	0 - 2	Watford

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

17 / 20

Conceded

15 / 20

Clean sheets

5 / 20

Failed to score

3 / 20

Won

Draw

Lost

OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
A	Derby	2 - 1	Swansea
H	Derby	2 - 3	Watford
A	Derby	2 - 1	Blackburn
H	Derby	2 - 1	Hull
A	Derby	3 - 1	Sheff Utd
H	Derby	1 - 0	QPR
H	Derby	1 - 0	Norwich
A	Derby	0 - 1	Oxford Utd
H	Derby	1 - 1	Southampton
H	Derby	1 - 1	Charlton
A	Derby	1 - 1	Wrexham
H	Derby	0 - 1	Preston
A	Derby	1 - 0	West Brom
A	Derby	2 - 2	Ipswich
H	Derby	1 - 1	Bristol C
H	Derby	3 - 5	Coventry
A	Derby	1 - 3	Stoke
H	Derby	0 - 0	Stoke
A	Derby	1 - 0	Hull
A	Derby	3 - 1	West Brom

Away

Overall

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

12 / 20

Conceded

19 / 20

Clean sheets

1 / 20

Failed to score

8 / 20

Lost

AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Southampton	3 - 0	Leicester
Norwich	1 - 2	Leicester
Millwall	1 - 0	Leicester
Hull	2 - 1	Leicester
Swansea	1 - 3	Leicester
West Brom	1 - 1	Leicester
Oxford Utd	2 - 2	Leicester
Charlton	0 - 1	Leicester
Preston	2 - 1	Leicester
Bournemouth	2 - 0	Leicester
Nottm Forest	2 - 2	Leicester
Wolves	3 - 0	Leicester
Brighton	2 - 2	Leicester
Man City	2 - 0	Leicester
Chelsea	1 - 0	Leicester
West Ham	2 - 0	Leicester
Everton	4 - 0	Leicester
Spurs	1 - 2	Leicester
A Villa	2 - 1	Leicester
Liverpool	3 - 1	Leicester

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

15 / 20

Conceded

16 / 20

Clean sheets

4 / 20

Failed to score

5 / 20

Won

Draw

Lost

OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
A	Leicester	0 - 3	Southampton
H	Leicester	2 - 1	Stoke
A	Leicester	2 - 1	Norwich
H	Leicester	1 - 1	M'Boro
H	Leicester	0 - 2	Blackburn
A	Leicester	0 - 1	Millwall
A	Leicester	1 - 2	Hull
H	Leicester	1 - 1	Portsmouth
A	Leicester	3 - 1	Swansea
H	Leicester	1 - 1	Wrexham
A	Leicester	1 - 1	West Brom
H	Leicester	0 - 0	Coventry
A	Leicester	2 - 2	Oxford Utd
H	Leicester	2 - 0	Birmingham
A	Leicester	1 - 0	Charlton
A	Leicester	1 - 2	Preston
H	Leicester	2 - 1	Sheff Wed
A	Leicester	0 - 2	Bournemouth
H	Leicester	2 - 0	Ipswich
A	Leicester	2 - 2	Nottm Forest

Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)

Derby

Leicester

Goals: Scored

Games: Scored

13 / 18

11 / 18

Clean sheets

7 / 18

5 / 18

DER

LEI

FIXTURE HISTORY AT Derby
	0 - 1	Leicester
Derby	2 - 1
	0 - 1	Leicester
	0 - 2	Leicester
Derby	1 - 0
Derby	1 - 0
Draw	1 - 1	Draw
	1 - 2	Leicester
Draw	1 - 1	Draw
	2 - 3	Leicester
Derby	2 - 0
Derby	3 - 0
Derby	2 - 0
	0 - 4	Leicester
Derby	2 - 0
	0 - 1	Leicester
Derby	3 - 2
Derby	2 - 0

Leicester

Derby

Goals: Scored

Games: Scored

14 / 18

13 / 18

Clean sheets

5 / 18

4 / 18

DER

LEI

FIXTURE HISTORY AT Leicester
Leicester	4 - 1
Leicester	4 - 1
Leicester	4 - 0
Leicester	2 - 0
Draw	0 - 0	Draw
Draw	1 - 1	Draw
Draw	2 - 2	Draw
Leicester	1 - 0
Leicester	3 - 1
	0 - 3	Derby
Leicester	2 - 1
	0 - 1	Derby
	1 - 2	Derby
	1 - 2	Derby
Leicester	4 - 2
Draw	0 - 0	Draw
Draw	3 - 3	Draw
Leicester	3 - 2

Goal Statistics

	Derby 8th	Leicester 15th
	Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction	1.4 goals	1.2 goals
	Scoring probability
Scoring probability	0 25% 1 35% 2 24% 3 11% 4+ There is a 60% probability that Derby will score no more than 1 goal	0 30% 1 36% 2 22% 3 9% 4+ There is a 66% probability that Leicester will score no more than 1 goal

	20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games	-24 Derby have scored 24% fewer goals at home than predicted	-19 Leicester have scored 19% fewer goals when away than predicted
	0.9 average goals scored	1.0 average goals scored
	1.0 conceded	1.9 conceded

Attack defence ratings
Championship - 2025/2026 season

23%

better

DER

LEI

view stats

Games scored	15		13
Failed to score	2		4
Scored first	9		7
Goals scored	24		20
Avg. goals scored	1.4		1.2
Avg. shots per game	6		9
Avg. shots per goal	4		8
Conversion rate for	22		13
Avg. XG for	1		1.2
KickOff rating		+23%

DER

LEI

better

view stats

Games conceded	14		14
Clean sheets	3		3
Conceded first	8		9
Goals conceded	23		20
Avg. goals conceded	1.4		1.2
Avg. shots/game conceded	9		9
Avg. shots/goal conceded	7		8
Conversion rate against	15%		13%
Avg. XG against	1.4		1.5
KickOff rating		+4%

Derby v Leicester Championship lLine ups will show here when available.

Derby Championship squad statistics 2025/2026

Overall

Attack

Defence

Most starts	Most goals	Most assists	Most cards
17	10	4	6
J Zetterström	C Morris	J Ward	E Adams

Players	Appserances	goals	Assists	cards
J Zetterström GLK	17			1 -
M Clarke DEF	17	1		3 -
D Sanderson DEF	16	1		5 -
B Clark MID	16			2 -
E Adams MID	16	1		6 -
C Morris FWD	16	10		4 -
A Weimann MID	15	1	2	1 -
C Elder DEF	13	1	2	2 -
D Ozoh MID	13	1		4 -
B Díaz FWD	12	1		3 -
K Jackson FWD	12			1 -
L Salvesen FWD	11	2		2 -
J Ward MID	10	1	4	-
M Johnston DEF	9			1 -
R Brewster FWD	9	1		-
C Forsyth DEF	8			2 -
S Langas DEF	7	1	1	-
D Batth DEF	6			-
R Nyambe DEF	6			1 -
L Travis MID	6		1	4 -
L Thompson MID	4			1 -
C Blackett-Taylor FWD	2		1	-

Most goals	Most shots on target	Most assists	Most big chances
10	14	4	3
C Morris	C Morris	J Ward	B Díaz

Players	goals	shots on	Assists	big chances
C Morris FWD	10	14		2
L Salvesen FWD	2	5
M Clarke DEF	1	1		2
D Sanderson DEF	1	1		1
E Adams MID	1	1
A Weimann MID	1	3	2	2
C Elder DEF	1	2	2	2
D Ozoh MID	1	1
B Díaz FWD	1	6		3
J Ward MID	1	2	4	3
R Brewster FWD	1	1
S Langas DEF	1	2	1	1
B Clark MID		1		2
K Jackson FWD		2
M Johnston DEF		1		1
R Nyambe DEF		1
L Travis MID			1	2
C Blackett-Taylor FWD			1	1

Most passes	Most tackles	Most duels won
679	41	148
M Clarke	E Adams	C Morris

Players	passes	tackles	duels won
M Clarke DEF	679	31	103
J Zetterström GLK	521		11
D Sanderson DEF	508	17	61
C Morris FWD	375	13	148
E Adams MID	369	41	86
C Elder DEF	365	22	64
B Clark MID	311	26	53
C Forsyth DEF	310	11	31
D Ozoh MID	270	18	40
L Travis MID	232	16	32
B Díaz FWD	198	3	28
M Johnston DEF	182	13	18
S Langas DEF	168	9	33
J Ward MID	159	9	20
D Batth DEF	126	2	22
A Weimann MID	93	5	13
L Thompson MID	90	4	9
R Brewster FWD	71	2	22
R Nyambe DEF	70	6	14
K Jackson FWD	63	2	16
L Salvesen FWD	35	3	10
C Blackett-Taylor FWD	9		2

Leicester Championship squad statistics 2025/2026

Overall

Attack

Defence

Most starts	Most goals	Most assists	Most cards
17	3	4	5
J Vestergaard	I Fatawu	I Fatawu	L Thomas

Players	Appserances	goals	Assists	cards
J Vestergaard DEF	17	2		3 -
I Fatawu FWD	17	3	4	3 -
P Daka FWD	17	1	2	1 -
L Thomas DEF	16			5 -
H Winks MID	16		2	2 -
J Ayew FWD	15	2	1	2 -
J Stolarczyk GLK	14			-
W Faes DEF	14	1	1	1 -
J James MID	13	3	1	1 -
B Soumaré MID	13		1	1 -
S Mavididi FWD	13	1		1 -
R Pereira DEF	11	2		4 -
C Okoli DEF	11			-
H Choudhury MID	11			3 -
J. Monga FWD	11	1	1	1 -
B Cordova-Reid FWD	10	1		-
O Skipp MID	9			3 -
J Carranza FWD	9			1 -
A Ramsey MID	5	2		1
A Begovic GLK	4			1 -
V Kristiansen DEF	4			-
L. Page MID	3		1	-
B Nelson DEF	2			-

Most goals	Most shots on target	Most assists	Most big chances
3	14	4	4
I Fatawu	I Fatawu	I Fatawu	I Fatawu

Players	goals	shots on	Assists	big chances
I Fatawu FWD	3	14	4	4
J James MID	3	8	1	2
J Vestergaard DEF	2	4
J Ayew FWD	2	9	1	4
R Pereira DEF	2	3
A Ramsey MID	2	6
P Daka FWD	1	6	2	1
W Faes DEF	1	3	1
S Mavididi FWD	1	6		1
J. Monga FWD	1	2	1	1
B Cordova-Reid FWD	1	2		2
L Thomas DEF		1		2
H Winks MID		1	2	1
B Soumaré MID			1
C Okoli DEF				1
H Choudhury MID				2
J Carranza FWD		3
L. Page MID			1

Most passes	Most tackles	Most duels won
1075	23	115
J Vestergaard	J Vestergaard	I Fatawu

Players	passes	tackles	duels won
J Vestergaard DEF	1075	23	103
H Winks MID	967	20	48
L Thomas DEF	577	18	50
W Faes DEF	564	6	21
C Okoli DEF	505	14	60
B Soumaré MID	482	12	36
R Pereira DEF	477	20	38
I Fatawu FWD	411	19	115
J Stolarczyk GLK	405		7
H Choudhury MID	388	16	29
J James MID	306	10	25
J Ayew FWD	266	18	76
O Skipp MID	187	14	30
S Mavididi FWD	173	15	45
P Daka FWD	146	3	36
J. Monga FWD	122	5	31
B Cordova-Reid FWD	107	2	8
A Begovic GLK	97		3
V Kristiansen DEF	73	7	10
A Ramsey MID	69	5	7
J Carranza FWD	60	5	15
B Nelson DEF	47	3	6
L. Page MID	29	2	3