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Derby County v Millwall : Championship match betting preview, prediction and odds

Wed 10th Dec, 19:45 BST, Pride Park Stadium, Derby

Alex Neil will be hoping for a vital away win in the Championship on Wednesday evening, as he takes his Millwall side to the Pride Park Stadium to visit Derby County and John Eustace. We want to see our users winning on this match, so every statistics you could realistically need to make a sound selection is published below. Flip between seventeen betting markets or take our top tip. We've got predictions, head to head (H2H) analysis and odds from the UK's biggest bookmakers for it all.


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In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Derby
41%
--
Draw
26%
--
Millwall
33%
--
Draw 1-1
12%
--
Derby 1-0
10%
--
Millwall 1-0
9%
--
Derby 2-1
9%
--
Millwall 2-1
8%
--
Draw 0-0
7%
--
Derby 2-0
7%
--
Millwall 2-0
6%
--
Draw 2-2
5%
--
Derby 3-1
4%
--
Derby 3-0
3%
--
Millwall 3-1
3%
--
Derby 3-2
3%
--
Millwall 3-0
2%
--
Millwall 3-2
2%
--
Over 2.5 Goals
49%
--
Under 2.5 Goals
51%
--
Home 1st Goal
49%
--
Away 1st Goal
46%
--
No 1st Goal
5%
--
BTTS - Yes
54%
--
BTTS - No
46%
--
BTTS - Home Win
19%
--
BTTS - Draw
19%
--
BTTS - Away Win
16%
--
Home/draw
67%
--
Away/draw
59%
--
Home/away
74%
--
Over 1.5 Goals
74%
--
Under 1.5 Goals
26%
--
Over 3.5 Goals
28%
--
Under 3.5 Goals
72%
--
Over 4.5 Goals
13%
--
Under 4.5 Goals
87%
--
Over 5.5 Goals
5%
--
Under 5.5 Goals
95%
--
Over 0.5 Goals
93%
--
Under 0.5 Goals
7%
--
Home DNB
59%
--
Away DNB
52%
--
Derby win to nil
22%
--
Millwall win to nil
18%
--
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Win / draw / win Championship table

Derby have played 17 matches so far this season and are in 8th position in the league. Derby are winless in the 5 games they have played against teams above them in the table and have conceded in every game.

Performance against teams above them in the league

5 of those games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 3 games, drawn 2 and won zero. Derby have conceded 12 goals, scored 7, failed to score in 1 match and kept no clean sheets.

Home league performance

Derby have played 9 games at home, winning 3, drawing 3 and losing 3 fixtures. They have scored 12 goals, conceded 13 goals, kept 2 clean sheets and failed to score 1 time in home league games.

Millwall lay in 4th place on 28 points in the Championship league table having played 17 matches.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 14 games against teams below them in the table, winning 7, drawing 4 and losing 3 games. They have scored 17 goals and kept 5 clean sheets against lower placed opposition. Millwall have conceded 16 goals and have failed to score in 2 matches.

Away league performance

Millwall have played 8 away games, winning 3, drawing 3 and losing 2 games. They have scored an average of 1.3 goals per away game and conceded an average 1.6 goals per away game.

Won
Draw
Lost
Derby
Millwall
Results by League Table
TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY HOME AWAY
1
Coventry1712413040 
l
 
3-5A
Apr 3
l
 
0-4A
Jan 20
2
Stoke179351330 
Apr 6
l
 
3-1F
w
 
2-0F
Apr 21
3
M'Boro17863430 
Jan 1
Nov 29
l
 
0-3A
Apr 3
4
Millwall17845-428 
Dec 10
Mar 10
-
-
5
Ipswich167631227 
Feb 7
d
 
2-2A
Dec 26
Mar 21
6
Preston17764527 
l
 
0-1A
Jan 17
d
 
1-1A
Feb 28
7
Bristol C17755526 
d
 
1-1A
Jan 30
Dec 29
Dec 6
8
Derby17755126 
-
-
Mar 10
Dec 10
9
Birmingham17746625 
Mar 21
Dec 26
Feb 25
l
 
4-0A
10
Wrexham17674325 
Jan 4
d
 
1-1A
l
 
0-2A
Feb 7
11
Hull17746-125 
w
 
2-1F
Feb 24
Dec 13
Mar 7
12
QPR17746-425 
w
 
1-0F
Apr 25
Apr 18
w
 
1-2F
13
Southampton17665424 
d
 
1-1A
Apr 11
Nov 29
Jan 1
14
Watford17665224 
l
 
2-3F
Feb 21
w
 
1-0F
Jan 17
15
Leicester17665024 
Dec 6
Dec 29
w
 
1-0F
Apr 25
16
Charlton17656-323 
d
 
1-1A
Jan 20
Jan 24
d
 
1-1A
17
West Brom17647-322 
Jan 23
w
 
0-1F
w
 
3-0F
Apr 11
18
Blackburn16619-519 
Feb 28
w
 
1-2F
Mar 14
Dec 20
19
Swansea17458-817 
Feb 14
w
 
1-2F
Jan 4
d
 
1-1A
20
Portsmouth17458-917 
Dec 20
Mar 14
Feb 21
l
 
3-1A
21
Sheff Utd175111-916 
May 2
w
 
1-3F
Jan 31
w
 
0-1F
22
Oxford Utd17368-615 
Apr 18
l
 
1-0A
May 2
d
 
2-2F
23
Norwich172411-1210 
w
 
1-0F
Apr 21
Apr 6
w
 
1-2F
24
Sheff Wed171511-21-4 
Mar 7
Dec 15
w
 
1-0F
Feb 14
Promotion
Promotion Play Off
Relegation
Win / draw / win form
Derby 8TH
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
18
Conceded
20
Games: Scored
11 / 20
Conceded
13 / 20
Clean sheets
7 / 20
Failed to score
9 / 20
Won
6
Draw
6
Lost
8
HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Derby2 - 3Watford
Derby2 - 1Hull
Derby1 - 0QPR
Derby1 - 0Norwich
Derby1 - 1Southampton
Derby1 - 1Charlton
Derby0 - 1Preston
Derby1 - 1Bristol C
Derby3 - 5Coventry
Derby0 - 0Stoke
Derby0 - 1Luton
Derby0 - 0Burnley
Derby2 - 0Preston
Derby2 - 0Coventry
Derby2 - 1Blackburn
Derby0 - 1Millwall
Derby0 - 0Oxford Utd
Derby0 - 1Sheff Utd
Derby0 - 1Sunderland
Derby0 - 2Watford
Goals: Scored
28
Conceded
24
Games: Scored
17 / 20
Conceded
15 / 20
Clean sheets
5 / 20
Failed to score
3 / 20
Won
9
Draw
6
Lost
5
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
ADerby2 - 1Swansea
HDerby2 - 3Watford
ADerby2 - 1Blackburn
HDerby2 - 1Hull
ADerby3 - 1Sheff Utd
HDerby1 - 0QPR
HDerby1 - 0Norwich
ADerby0 - 1Oxford Utd
HDerby1 - 1Southampton
HDerby1 - 1Charlton
ADerby1 - 1Wrexham
HDerby0 - 1Preston
ADerby1 - 0West Brom
ADerby2 - 2Ipswich
HDerby1 - 1Bristol C
HDerby3 - 5Coventry
ADerby1 - 3Stoke
HDerby0 - 0Stoke
ADerby1 - 0Hull
ADerby3 - 1West Brom
Millwall 4TH
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
22
Conceded
32
Games: Scored
17 / 20
Conceded
15 / 20
Clean sheets
5 / 20
Failed to score
3 / 20
Won
8
Draw
5
Lost
7
AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Portsmouth3 - 1Millwall
Birmingham4 - 0Millwall
Oxford Utd2 - 2Millwall
QPR1 - 2Millwall
Swansea1 - 1Millwall
Charlton1 - 1Millwall
Sheff Utd0 - 1Millwall
Norwich1 - 2Millwall
Burnley3 - 1Millwall
Blackburn4 - 1Millwall
Sheff Utd0 - 1Millwall
Sunderland1 - 0Millwall
Leeds2 - 0Millwall
Watford1 - 2Millwall
Derby0 - 1Millwall
Preston1 - 1Millwall
Plymouth5 - 1Millwall
Portsmouth0 - 1Millwall
Luton0 - 1Millwall
Sheff Wed2 - 2Millwall
Goals: Scored
24
Conceded
27
Games: Scored
16 / 20
Conceded
13 / 20
Clean sheets
7 / 20
Failed to score
4 / 20
Won
10
D
4
Lost
6
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
HMillwall1 - 0Sheff Wed
AMillwall1 - 3Portsmouth
HMillwall1 - 1Preston
AMillwall0 - 4Birmingham
AMillwall2 - 2Oxford Utd
HMillwall1 - 0Leicester
HMillwall2 - 0Stoke
AMillwall2 - 1QPR
HMillwall3 - 0West Brom
HMillwall0 - 4Coventry
AMillwall1 - 1Swansea
HMillwall1 - 0Watford
AMillwall1 - 1Charlton
HMillwall0 - 2Wrexham
AMillwall1 - 0Sheff Utd
HMillwall0 - 3M'Boro
AMillwall2 - 1Norwich
AMillwall1 - 3Burnley
HMillwall1 - 0Swansea
HMillwall3 - 1Norwich
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
5
Millwall have beaten Derby in 5 consecutive away league meetings
5
Millwall have not lost to Derby in 5 consecutive league meetings
League games at Derby since 1992
Derby
Millwall
Goals: Scored
18
18
Games: Scored
10 / 19
11 / 19
Clean sheets
8 / 19
9 / 19
DER
6
D
4
MIL
9
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Derby
0 - 1Millwall
1 - 2Millwall
0 - 1Millwall
0 - 1Millwall
0 - 1Millwall
Derby3 - 0
Draw0 - 0Draw
0 - 1Millwall
Derby1 - 0
Derby3 - 0
Draw0 - 0Draw
Derby1 - 0
0 - 3Millwall
Derby2 - 0
1 - 2Millwall
Draw2 - 2Draw
Derby3 - 2
Draw0 - 0Draw
1 - 2Millwall
League games at Millwall since 1993
Millwall
Derby
Goals: Scored
27
20
Games: Scored
13 / 19
12 / 19
Clean sheets
7 / 19
6 / 19
DER
4
D
7
MIL
8
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Millwall
Draw1 - 1Draw
Draw1 - 1Draw
0 - 1Derby
2 - 3Derby
Millwall2 - 1
Draw0 - 0Draw
Draw3 - 3Draw
1 - 5Derby
Millwall2 - 1
Draw0 - 0Draw
Millwall2 - 0
Millwall2 - 1
Millwall3 - 1
Draw0 - 0Draw
Millwall3 - 0
0 - 1Derby
Millwall4 - 1
Draw0 - 0Draw
Millwall1 - 0
Goal Statistics
Derby 8th Millwall 4th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.4
goals
1.2
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
25%
1
35%
2
24%
3
11%
4+
There is a 60% probability that Derby will score no more than 1 goal
0
29%
1
36%
2
22%
3
9%
4+
There is a 65% probability that Millwall will score no more than 1 goal
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
-24
Derby have scored 24% fewer goals at home than predicted
+10
Millwall’s goalscoring when away has been inline with predictions
0.9
average goals scored
1.1
average goals scored
1.0
conceded
1.6
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Championship - 2025/2026 season
Derby
PG (predicted goals)
Millwall
1.4
1.2
Attack rating
21%
better
DER
MIL
view stats
Games scored15
13
Failed to score2
4
Scored first9
9
Goals scored24
19
Avg. goals scored1.4
1.1
Avg. shots per game6
9
Avg. shots per goal4
8
Conversion rate for22
12
Avg. XG for1
1.3
KickOff rating
+21%
Defence rating
DER
MIL
10%
better
view stats
Games conceded14
11
Clean sheets3
6
Conceded first8
8
Goals conceded23
23
Avg. goals conceded1.4
1.4
Avg. shots/game conceded9
9
Avg. shots/goal conceded7
7
Conversion rate against15%
15%
Avg. XG against1.4
1.3
KickOff rating
+10%

Derby v Millwall Championship lLine ups will show here when available.

Derby Championship squad statistics 2025/2026
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
171046
J ZetterströmC MorrisJ WardE Adams
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
J Zetterström GLK17
1
-
M Clarke DEF171
3
-
D Sanderson DEF161
5
-
E Adams MID161
6
-
B Clark MID16
2
-
C Morris FWD1610
4
-
A Weimann  MID1512
1
-
C Elder DEF1312
2
-
D Ozoh MID131
4
-
B Díaz FWD121
3
-
K Jackson FWD12
1
-
L Salvesen FWD112
2
-
J Ward MID1014
-
M Johnston DEF9
1
-
R Brewster FWD91
-
C Forsyth DEF8
2
-
S Langas DEF711
-
D Batth DEF6
-
R Nyambe DEF6
1
-
L Travis MID61
4
-
L Thompson MID4
1
-
C Blackett-Taylor FWD21
-
Millwall Championship squad statistics 2025/2026
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
17535
T CramaF AzeezT BalloJ Cooper
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
T Crama DEF1711
3
-
C Neghli FWD172
1
-
J Cooper DEF1621
5
-
M Ivanovic FWD1631
-
A Emakhu FWD151
-
L Cundle MID141
-
R Leonard DEF131
2
-
Z. Norton Sturge DEF121
3
-
T Ballo FWD1213
2
-
C Norre MID111
-
D Mazou-Sacko MID10
-
M Langstaff FWD101
-
S Benda GLK9
-
J Bryan DEF9
3
1
B Mitchell MID91
3
-
F Azeez MID951
-
M Luongo MID9
1
-
M Crocombe GLK8
-
W Harding DEF8
-
J Coburn FWD81
1
-
C Taylor DEF6
-
W Smallbone MID6
-
D Kelly MID6
-
R. Bangura-Williams FWD61
1
-
A Doughty MID52
1
-
D McNamara DEF2
1
-