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Hull City v Derby County : Championship match betting preview, prediction and odds

KCOM Stadium, Hull

Hull City and their boss Ruben Albes will be looking to get one over on John Coleman and his Derby County side on Saturday afternoon, as the pair meet at the KCOM Stadium in the Championship. This preview has the best odds for seventeen different markets, alongside supporting data that changes as you go between markets. Our predictions are based on the last 20 matches, so all stats are shown from a 20-game perspective. Home, away and overall records can be viewed, while there's also head to head (H2H) history later on in the preview.

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Hull City's next match is v Portsmouth at 12:30 on Saturday 3rd May
Derby County's next match is v Stoke at 12:30 on Saturday 3rd May
The last English Championship meeting between Hull and Derby was on Saturday 26th April 2025
English Championship
April 26th 2025
Hull 0
1 Derby
 
84' N. Phillips
 
HUL
DER
Shots On
2
2
Shots Off
8
3
Corners
5
3
Possession
62%
38%
Fouls
11
15
Yellow/red cards
1/0
2/0
 
HullDerby
 
I. Pandur
J. Egan (A. Jones 61')
L. Coyle
S. McLoughlin
C. Hughes
G. Puerta Molano
R. Slater (S. Alzate 14')
K. Joseph (M. Crooks 88')
J. Gelhardt
N. Amrabat (M. Burstow 88')
A. Kamara (J. dos Santos Galvão 88')
J. Vickers
K. Wilson
football iconN. Phillips
M. Clarke
C. Forsyth
S. Langås
(K. Jackson 80') M. Harness
H. Armstrong
E. Adams
(N. Mendez-Laing 68') L. Thompson
(T. Barkhuizen 90') J. Yates

Want to know who’s consistently beating the odds? Check out the Top Championship Tipsters and see the most profitable experts for this season!

If you’re keen on betting across various leagues and markets, our Live Bets page showcases active accumulator bets and real-time tips.

Best Tip: Over 1.5 goals
In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think Hull are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 44% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 2.40.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Hull
44%
5/4
5%
-
Draw
26%
2/1
3%
-
Derby
30%
12/5
5%
-
Draw 1-1
12%
5/1-
Hull 1-0
11%
5/1
8%
-
Hull 2-1
9%
9/1-
Derby 1-0
8%
7/1
7%
-
Hull 2-0
8%
17/2
5%
-
Derby 2-1
7%
12/1
8%
-
Draw 0-0
7%
11/2-
Draw 2-2
5%
18/1-
Derby 2-0
5%
14/1-
Hull 3-1
4%
20/1
9%
-
Hull 3-0
4%
20/1
9%
-
Derby 3-1
3%
33/1
17%
-
Hull 3-2
3%
40/1-
Derby 3-2
2%
40/1-
Derby 3-0
2%
40/1
21%
-
Over 2.5 Goals
49%
7/4
5%
-
Under 2.5 Goals
51%
4/9
4%
-
Home 1st Goal
51%
4/5
2%
-
Away 1st Goal
45%
8/5
8%
-
No 1st Goal
5%
5/1
8%
-
BTTS - Yes
53%
6/5
5%
-
BTTS - No
47%
8/13
3%
-
BTTS - Home Win
20%
5/1-
BTTS - Draw
19%
15/4-
BTTS - Away Win
14%
15/2
13%
-
Home/draw
70%
3/10
4%
-
Away/draw
56%
8/13
6%
-
Home/away
74%
4/11-
Over 1.5 Goals
74%
8/15
2%
-
Under 1.5 Goals
26%
6/4
5%
-
Over 3.5 Goals
27%
4/1-
Under 3.5 Goals
73%
1/6-
Over 4.5 Goals
13%
12/1
18%
-
Under 4.5 Goals
87%
1/25
1%
-
Over 5.5 Goals
5%
25/1
13%
-
Under 5.5 Goals
95%
1/80-
Over 0.5 Goals
93%
1/9-
Under 0.5 Goals
7%
11/2-
Home DNB
62%
8/15
8%
-
Away DNB
48%
11/8
13%
-
Hull win to nil
24%
12/5
3%
-
Derby win to nil
16%
4/1
11%
-
Hull / Hull
22%
11/4
6%
-
Hull / Derby
2%
40/1
21%
-
Hull / Draw
6%
14/1-
Draw / Hull
15%
4/1
9%
-
Draw / Derby
12%
6/1
8%
-
Draw / Draw
19%
10/3-
Derby / Hull
3%
28/1-
Derby / Derby
15%
5/1
9%
-
Derby / Draw
6%
14/1-
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Win / draw / win Championship table

Hull have played 44 matches so far this season and lay in 21st place in the Championship league table.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 5 games against teams below in the table, having won 2, drawn 2 and lost 1 match. They have kept 1 clean sheet and have failed to score in 1 fixture. They have been outscored by their opponents by 47 goals to 43 goals.

Home League Performance

Hull have played 22 games at home winning 5, drawing 8 and losing 9 games. They have scored 24 goals, kept 2 clean sheets and conceded 27 goals at home.

Derby are in 22nd position in the Championship on 46 points having played 44 matches so far this season.

Away League Performance

13 of those games have been losing matches. They have conceded 38 goals and kept 1 clean sheet. They have scored 22 goals in total and failed to score in 8 fixtures.

Performance against teams above them in the league

40 games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 21 games, drawn 9 and won 10. Derby have conceded 51 goals, scored 41, failed to score in 16 fixtures and have kept 9 clean sheets.

Won
Draw
Lost
Hull
Derby
Results by League Table
TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY HOME AWAY
1
Leeds45281346497 
d
 
3-3F
l
 
2-0A
l
 
0-1A
l
 
2-0A
2
Burnley45271625197 
d
 
1-1F
l
 
2-0A
d
 
0-00-0
d
 
0-00-0
3
Sheff Utd45287102789 
l
 
0-2A
w
 
0-3F
l
 
0-1A
l
 
1-0A
4
Sunderland452113111576 
l
 
0-1A
w
 
0-1F
l
 
0-1A
l
 
2-0A
5
Bristol C45171612467 
d
 
1-1A
d
 
1-1F
w
 
3-0F
l
 
1-0A
6
Coventry4519917466 
d
 
1-1A
l
 
2-1F
w
 
2-0F
w
 
1-2F
7
Millwall45181215066 
d
 
0-00-0
w
 
0-1F
l
 
0-1A
d
 
1-1F
8
Blackburn4519818565 
l
 
0-1A
w
 
0-1F
w
 
2-1F
l
 
4-2A
9
M'Boro451810171064 
l
 
0-1A
l
 
3-1A
w
 
1-0F
l
 
1-0A
10
West Brom45141912861 
l
 
1-2A
d
 
1-1A
w
 
2-1F
w
 
1-3F
11
Swansea4517919-560 
w
 
2-1F
l
 
1-0A
l
 
1-2A
l
 
1-0A
12
Sheff Wed45151218-957 
l
 
0-2A
w
 
0-1F
l
 
1-2F
l
 
4-2A
13
Watford4516821-856 
d
 
1-1F
l
 
1-0A
l
 
0-2A
l
 
2-1F
14
Norwich45131517154 
d
 
1-1F
l
 
4-0A
l
 
2-3A
d
 
1-1A
15
QPR45131418-1153 
l
 
1-2A
w
 
1-3F
w
 
2-0F
l
 
4-0A
16
Portsmouth45141120-1353 
d
 
1-1F
May 3
w
 
4-0F
d
 
2-2F
17
Oxford Utd45131319-1652 
w
 
2-1A
l
 
1-0A
d
 
0-00-0
d
 
1-1A
18
Stoke45121419-1750 
l
 
1-2F
w
 
1-3A
May 3
l
 
2-1A
19
Derby Away45131022-849 
l
 
0-1A
d
 
1-1F
-
-
20
Preston45101916-1149 
w
 
2-1A
l
 
1-0A
w
 
2-0F
d
 
1-1A
21
Luton45131022-2249 
l
 
0-1A
l
 
1-0A
l
 
0-1A
l
 
2-1F
22
Hull Home45121221-1048 
-
-
d
 
1-1A
w
 
0-1F
23
Plymouth45111321-3646 
w
 
2-0F
d
 
1-1A
d
 
1-1F
w
 
2-3F
24
Cardiff4591719-2344 
w
 
4-1A
l
 
1-0A
w
 
1-0F
l
 
2-1A
Promotion
Promotion Play Off
Relegation
Win / draw / win form
Hull 22ND
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
23
Conceded
26
Games: Scored
14 / 20
Conceded
19 / 20
Clean sheets
1 / 20
Failed to score
6 / 20
Won
5
Draw
6
Lost
9
HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Hull2 - 1Preston
Hull1 - 1Coventry
Hull0 - 1Luton
Hull2 - 1Oxford Utd
Hull2 - 0Plymouth
Hull1 - 1Norwich
Hull1 - 2Stoke
Hull1 - 2QPR
Hull3 - 3Leeds
Hull0 - 1M'Boro
Hull2 - 1Swansea
Hull1 - 1Watford
Hull0 - 1Blackburn
Hull0 - 2Sheff Wed
Hull1 - 2West Brom
Hull1 - 1Portsmouth
Hull1 - 1Burnley
Hull0 - 1Sunderland
Hull4 - 1Cardiff
Hull0 - 2Sheff Utd
Goals: Scored
21
Conceded
20
Games: Scored
14 / 20
Conceded
15 / 20
Clean sheets
5 / 20
Failed to score
6 / 20
Won
7
Draw
5
Lost
8
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
HHull2 - 1Preston
AHull0 - 1Swansea
HHull1 - 1Coventry
AHull0 - 1Watford
AHull1 - 0Sheff Wed
HHull0 - 1Luton
AHull1 - 1West Brom
HHull2 - 1Oxford Utd
AHull1 - 1Bristol C
HHull2 - 0Plymouth
AHull0 - 1Cardiff
AHull1 - 0Sunderland
HHull1 - 1Norwich
AHull0 - 2Burnley
HHull1 - 2Stoke
AHull3 - 0Sheff Utd
HHull1 - 2QPR
AHull1 - 0Millwall
HHull3 - 3Leeds
HHull0 - 1M'Boro
Derby 19TH
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
19
Conceded
32
Games: Scored
12 / 20
Conceded
19 / 20
Clean sheets
1 / 20
Failed to score
8 / 20
W
3
Draw
6
Lost
11
AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
West Brom1 - 3Derby
Portsmouth2 - 2Derby
Swansea1 - 0Derby
Plymouth2 - 3Derby
M'Boro1 - 0Derby
QPR4 - 0Derby
Norwich1 - 1Derby
Cardiff2 - 1Derby
Bristol C1 - 0Derby
Sheff Wed4 - 2Derby
Luton2 - 1Derby
Burnley0 - 0Derby
Leeds2 - 0Derby
Preston1 - 1Derby
Coventry1 - 2Derby
Stoke2 - 1Derby
Oxford Utd1 - 1Derby
Millwall1 - 1Derby
Sunderland2 - 0Derby
Sheff Utd1 - 0Derby
Goals: Scored
18
Conceded
26
Games: Scored
9 / 20
Conceded
16 / 20
Clean sheets
4 / 20
Failed to score
11 / 20
Won
5
D
4
Lost
11
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
ADerby3 - 1West Brom
HDerby0 - 1Luton
ADerby2 - 2Portsmouth
HDerby0 - 0Burnley
ADerby0 - 1Swansea
HDerby2 - 0Preston
ADerby3 - 2Plymouth
HDerby2 - 0Coventry
HDerby2 - 1Blackburn
ADerby0 - 1M'Boro
HDerby0 - 1Millwall
ADerby0 - 4QPR
HDerby0 - 0Oxford Utd
ADerby1 - 1Norwich
HDerby0 - 1Sheff Utd
ADerby1 - 2Cardiff
HDerby0 - 1Sunderland
HDerby0 - 2Watford
ADerby0 - 1Bristol C
ADerby2 - 4Sheff Wed
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
League games at Hull since 2005
Hull
Derby
Goals: Scored
10
12
Games: Scored
6 / 11
8 / 11
Clean sheets
3 / 11
5 / 11
HUL
4
D
1
DER
6
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Hull
0 - 1Derby
Hull2 - 0
1 - 2Derby
Draw0 - 0Draw
0 - 2Derby
0 - 2Derby
Hull2 - 1
0 - 1Derby
Hull2 - 0
1 - 2Derby
Hull2 - 1
League games at Derby since 2006
Derby
Hull
Goals: Scored
20
13
Games: Scored
9 / 12
8 / 12
Clean sheets
4 / 12
3 / 12
HUL
4
D
3
DER
5
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Derby
Draw1 - 1Draw
Derby3 - 1
Derby1 - 0
Derby2 - 0
Derby5 - 0
0 - 3Hull
Derby4 - 0
1 - 2Hull
0 - 2Hull
0 - 1Hull
Draw2 - 2Draw
Draw1 - 1Draw
Goal Statistics

Hull City's defensive record is very strong, Ruben Albes's men having conceded 1 or less in 13 consecutive Championship matches. An underwhelming PG rating of 1.2 for Derby County makes sense in this context.

Hull 22nd Derby 19th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.5
goals
1.2
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
23%
1
34%
2
25%
3
12%
4+
There is a 77% probability that Hull will score 1 or more goals
0
31%
1
36%
2
21%
3
8%
4+
There is a 67% probability that Derby will score no more than 1 goal
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
-14
Hull have scored 14% fewer goals at home than predicted
+1
Derby’s goalscoring when away has been inline with predictions
1.2
average goals scored
1.0
average goals scored
1.3
conceded
1.6
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Championship - 2024/2025 season
https://api.kickoff.co.uk/v1/fixture/280619/accaPanel/formStats/marketCode/FULL
Hull
PG (predicted goals)
Derby
1.5
1.2
Attack rating
HUL
DER
7%
better
view stats
Games scored28
28
Failed to score16
16
Scored first17
18
Goals scored43
47
Avg. goals scored1
1.1
Avg. shots per game8
7
Avg. shots per goal8
6
Conversion rate for12
15
Avg. XG for1.2
1.1
KickOff rating
+7%
Defence rating
HUL
DER
1%
better
view stats
Games conceded37
34
Clean sheets7
10
Conceded first26
23
Goals conceded52
56
Avg. goals conceded1.2
1.3
Avg. shots/game conceded9
8
Avg. shots/goal conceded8
6
Conversion rate against13%
16%
Avg. XG against1.4
1.2
KickOff rating
+1%

Hull v Derby Championship lLine ups will show here when available.

Hull Championship squad statistics 2024/2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
43639
I PandurJ Pedro A KamaraC Hughes
Line-upAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
I Pandur GLK42
3
-
L Coyle DEF4312
7
-
J Egan DEF10
1
-
C Hughes DEF2611
9
-
S McLoughlin DEF362
5
-
G Puerta  MID29
4
1
R Slater MID4411
7
-
A Kamara MID3553
1
-
J Gelhardt MID195
4
-
N Amrabat MID101
-
K Joseph FWD15
-
Subs
T Lo-Tutala GLK
-
A Jones DEF40
8
-
C Drameh DEF2811
2
-
K Palmer MID2512
2
-
Lincoln MID101
-
S Alzate MID281
2
-
M Crooks MID1721
2
1
J Pedro  FWD3461
4
1
M Burstow FWD3021
1
-
Derby Championship squad statistics 2024/2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
4110412
E AdamsJ YatesC ForsythE Adams
Line-upAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
J Vickers GLK4
-
S Langas DEF13
3
-
N Phillips DEF3113
5
-
M Clarke DEF1511
2
-
K Wilson MID3121
-
L Thompson MID261
5
-
H. Armstrong MID141
3
-
E Adams MID4261
12
-
C Forsyth MID3734
4
-
J Yates FWD41104
1
-
M Harness FWD4043
12
-
Subs
R Luthra GLK
-
E Pieters  DEF
-
B Osborn MID241
2
-
K Goudmijn MID4022
5
-
T Barkhuizen FWD18
2
-
K Roofe FWD2
-
N Mendez-Laing FWD3934
4
-
K Jackson FWD4432
6
-
C Blackett-Taylor FWD121
1
-