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Southampton v Birmingham City : Championship match betting preview, prediction and odds

Sat 6th Dec, 15:00 BST, St. Mary's Stadium, Southampton

Chris Davies is aiming for a vital away win in the Championship on Saturday afternoon, as he takes his Birmingham City side to the St. Mary's Stadium to visit Southampton and William Still. The predictions shown are based on complex statistical analysis of both teams' performance, across 17 of the biggest markets. Data shown and the odds is designed to fit each market, and head to head (H2H) stats are included across the board.


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In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Southampton
40%
--
Draw
29%
--
Birmingham
31%
--
Draw 1-1
13%
--
Southampton 1-0
13%
--
Birmingham 1-0
11%
--
Draw 0-0
11%
--
Southampton 2-1
8%
--
Southampton 2-0
8%
--
Birmingham 2-1
7%
--
Birmingham 2-0
6%
--
Draw 2-2
4%
--
Southampton 3-1
3%
--
Southampton 3-0
3%
--
Birmingham 3-1
2%
--
Birmingham 3-0
2%
--
Southampton 3-2
2%
--
Birmingham 3-2
1%
--
Over 2.5 Goals
37%
--
Under 2.5 Goals
63%
--
Home 1st Goal
48%
--
Away 1st Goal
44%
--
No 1st Goal
8%
--
BTTS - Yes
44%
--
BTTS - No
56%
--
BTTS - Home Win
14%
--
BTTS - Draw
18%
--
BTTS - Away Win
12%
--
Home/draw
69%
--
Away/draw
60%
--
Home/away
71%
--
Over 1.5 Goals
64%
--
Under 1.5 Goals
36%
--
Over 3.5 Goals
18%
--
Under 3.5 Goals
82%
--
Over 4.5 Goals
7%
--
Under 4.5 Goals
93%
--
Over 5.5 Goals
2%
--
Under 5.5 Goals
98%
--
Over 0.5 Goals
89%
--
Under 0.5 Goals
11%
--
Home DNB
60%
--
Away DNB
52%
--
Southampton win to nil
25%
--
Birmingham win to nil
20%
--
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Win / draw / win Championship table

Southampton have played 17 matches so far this season and are in 13th position in the league.

Performance against teams above them in the league

9 of those games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 4 games, drawn 3 and won 2. Southampton have conceded 15 goals, scored 10, failed to score in 1 match and kept no clean sheets.

Home league performance

Southampton have played 8 games at home, winning 3, drawing 3 and losing 2 fixtures. They have scored 10 goals, conceded 7 goals, kept 3 clean sheets and failed to score 3 times in home league games.

Birmingham lay in 9th place on 25 points in the Championship league table having played 17 matches.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 10 games against teams below them in the table, winning 5, drawing 3 and losing 2 games. They have scored 18 goals and kept 3 clean sheets against lower placed opposition. Birmingham have conceded 11 goals and have failed to score in 1 match.

Away league performance

Birmingham have played 9 away games, winning 2, drawing 2 and losing 5 games. They have scored an average of 0.7 goals per away game and conceded an average 1.3 goals per away game.

Won
Draw
Lost
Southampton
Birmingham
Results by League Table
TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY HOME AWAY
1
Coventry1712413040 
Dec 20
Mar 14
Jan 4
l
 
3-0A
2
Stoke179351330 
l
 
1-2A
Jan 31
Jan 24
l
 
1-0A
3
M'Boro17863430 
d
 
1-1F
Jan 4
Feb 28
l
 
2-1A
4
Millwall17845-428 
Jan 1
Nov 29
w
 
4-0F
Feb 25
5
Ipswich167631227 
Apr 3
d
 
1-1A
d
 
1-1F
Apr 6
6
Preston17764527 
l
 
0-2A
May 2
Apr 22
w
 
0-1F
7
Bristol C17755526 
Apr 21
l
 
3-1F
Apr 25
l
 
1-0A
8
Derby17755126 
Apr 11
d
 
1-1F
Dec 26
Mar 21
9
Birmingham17746625 
Dec 6
Dec 29
-
-
10
Wrexham17674325 
w
 
2-1A
Apr 6
Apr 11
d
 
1-1A
11
Hull17746-125 
Jan 17
l
 
3-1A
l
 
2-3A
Apr 18
12
QPR17746-425 
Feb 24
w
 
1-2F
Mar 10
Dec 9
13
Southampton17665424 
-
-
Dec 29
Dec 6
14
Watford17665224 
Feb 7
d
 
2-2F
Dec 1
Jan 1
15
Leicester17665024 
w
 
3-0F
Feb 14
Feb 7
l
 
2-0A
16
Charlton17656-323 
Feb 21
w
 
1-5F
Dec 13
Mar 7
17
West Brom17647-322 
Dec 9
Mar 11
Feb 14
d
 
1-1A
18
Blackburn16619-519 
Apr 25
l
 
2-1F
Apr 3
w
 
1-2A
19
Swansea17458-817 
d
 
0-00-0
Apr 18
w
 
1-0F
Jan 17
20
Portsmouth17458-917 
d
 
0-00-0
Jan 25
w
 
4-0F
May 2
21
Sheff Utd175111-916 
Jan 21
w
 
1-2A
Mar 14
Dec 20
22
Oxford Utd17368-615 
Mar 21
Dec 26
w
 
1-0F
Jan 31
23
Norwich172411-1210 
Mar 7
Dec 13
w
 
4-1F
Feb 21
24
Sheff Wed171511-21-4 
w
 
3-1F
Feb 28
d
 
2-2F
Jan 20
Promotion
Promotion Play Off
Relegation
Win / draw / win form
Southampton 13TH
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
16
Conceded
38
Games: Scored
11 / 20
Conceded
16 / 20
Clean sheets
4 / 20
Failed to score
9 / 20
W
3
Draw
5
Lost
12
HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Southampton3 - 0Leicester
Southampton3 - 1Sheff Wed
Southampton0 - 2Preston
Southampton0 - 0Swansea
Southampton1 - 1M'Boro
Southampton0 - 0Portsmouth
Southampton1 - 2Stoke
Southampton2 - 1Wrexham
Southampton1 - 2Arsenal
Southampton0 - 0Man City
Southampton1 - 2Fulham
Southampton0 - 3A Villa
Southampton1 - 1C Palace
Southampton1 - 2Wolves
Southampton0 - 4Brighton
Southampton1 - 3Bournemouth
Southampton1 - 3Newcastle
Southampton0 - 5Brentford
Southampton0 - 1West Ham
Southampton0 - 5Spurs
Goals: Scored
27
Conceded
26
Games: Scored
15 / 20
Conceded
16 / 20
Clean sheets
4 / 20
Failed to score
5 / 20
Won
6
Draw
7
Lost
7
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
HSouthampton3 - 0Leicester
ASouthampton5 - 1Charlton
HSouthampton3 - 1Sheff Wed
ASouthampton2 - 1QPR
HSouthampton0 - 2Preston
ASouthampton1 - 2Blackburn
ASouthampton1 - 3Bristol C
HSouthampton0 - 0Swansea
ASouthampton1 - 1Derby
ASouthampton2 - 1Sheff Utd
HSouthampton1 - 1M'Boro
ASouthampton1 - 3Hull
HSouthampton0 - 0Portsmouth
ASouthampton2 - 2Watford
HSouthampton1 - 2Stoke
ASouthampton1 - 1Ipswich
HSouthampton2 - 1Wrexham
HSouthampton1 - 2Arsenal
ASouthampton0 - 2Everton
HSouthampton0 - 0Man City
Birmingham 9TH
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
21
Conceded
21
Games: Scored
15 / 20
Conceded
15 / 20
Clean sheets
5 / 20
Failed to score
5 / 20
Won
9
Draw
5
Lost
6
AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
West Brom1 - 1Birmingham
M'Boro2 - 1Birmingham
Bristol C1 - 0Birmingham
Preston0 - 1Birmingham
Wrexham1 - 1Birmingham
Coventry3 - 0Birmingham
Stoke1 - 0Birmingham
Leicester2 - 0Birmingham
Blackburn1 - 2Birmingham
Cambridge1 - 2Birmingham
Blackpool0 - 2Birmingham
Stevenage0 - 1Birmingham
Burton1 - 2Birmingham
Peterborough1 - 2Birmingham
Bristol R1 - 2Birmingham
Northampton1 - 1Birmingham
Bolton3 - 1Birmingham
Reading0 - 0Birmingham
Huddersfield0 - 1Birmingham
Wrexham1 - 1Birmingham
Goals: Scored
33
Conceded
20
Games: Scored
16 / 20
Conceded
13 / 20
Clean sheets
7 / 20
Failed to score
4 / 20
Won
10
D
4
Lost
6
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
ABirmingham1 - 1West Brom
HBirmingham4 - 1Norwich
ABirmingham1 - 2M'Boro
HBirmingham4 - 0Millwall
HBirmingham4 - 0Portsmouth
ABirmingham0 - 1Bristol C
ABirmingham1 - 0Preston
HBirmingham2 - 3Hull
ABirmingham1 - 1Wrexham
HBirmingham2 - 2Sheff Wed
ABirmingham0 - 3Coventry
HBirmingham1 - 0Swansea
ABirmingham0 - 1Stoke
ABirmingham0 - 2Leicester
HBirmingham1 - 0Oxford Utd
ABirmingham2 - 1Blackburn
HBirmingham1 - 1Ipswich
ABirmingham2 - 1Cambridge
ABirmingham2 - 0Blackpool
HBirmingham4 - 0Mansfield
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
League games at Southampton since 2002
Southampton
Birmingham
Goals: Scored
14
7
Games: Scored
5 / 7
4 / 7
Clean sheets
3 / 7
2 / 7
SOU
4
D
2
BIR
1
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Southampton
Southampton3 - 1
Southampton4 - 1
1 - 2Birmingham
Southampton4 - 3
Draw0 - 0Draw
Draw0 - 0Draw
Southampton2 - 0
League games at Birmingham since 2003
Birmingham
Southampton
Goals: Scored
13
9
Games: Scored
6 / 7
5 / 7
Clean sheets
2 / 7
1 / 7
SOU
1
D
1
BIR
5
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Birmingham
3 - 4Southampton
Draw0 - 0Draw
Birmingham1 - 0
Birmingham2 - 1
Birmingham2 - 1
Birmingham2 - 1
Birmingham3 - 2
Goal Statistics
Southampton 13th Birmingham 9th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.2
goals
1.0
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
31%
1
36%
2
21%
3
8%
4+
There is a 67% probability that Southampton will score no more than 1 goal
0
37%
1
37%
2
19%
3
4+
There is a 74% probability that Birmingham will score no more than 1 goal
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
-35
Southampton have scored 35% fewer goals at home than predicted
-22
Birmingham have scored 22% fewer goals when away than predicted
0.8
average goals scored
1.1
average goals scored
1.9
conceded
1.1
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Championship - 2025/2026 season
Southampton
PG (predicted goals)
Birmingham
1.2
1
Attack rating
6%
better
SOU
BIR
view stats
Games scored14
13
Failed to score3
4
Scored first9
8
Goals scored26
25
Avg. goals scored1.5
1.5
Avg. shots per game11
10
Avg. shots per goal7
6
Conversion rate for15
15
Avg. XG for1.8
1.6
KickOff rating
+6%
Defence rating
SOU
BIR
8%
better
view stats
Games conceded14
12
Clean sheets3
5
Conceded first6
9
Goals conceded22
19
Avg. goals conceded1.3
1.1
Avg. shots/game conceded8
7
Avg. shots/goal conceded6
6
Conversion rate against17%
16%
Avg. XG against1.2
1
KickOff rating
+8%

Southampton v Birmingham Championship lLine ups will show here when available.

Southampton Championship squad statistics 2025/2026
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
14635
A ArmstrongA ArmstrongA ArmstrongF Downes
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
A Armstrong FWD1763
1
-
R Manning DEF1632
3
-
J. Robinson FWD1521
-
N Wood DEF131
3
-
F Azaz MID1341
-
T Harwood-Bellis DEF1231
4
-
T Fellows MID122
1
-
C. Jander MID122
2
-
S Charles MID121
3
-
L Scienza FWD1221
-
R Fraser FWD122
-
F Downes MID11
5
-
D Downs FWD111
1
-
G Bazunu GLK10
1
-
R Edwards DEF10
-
J Stephens DEF101
2
-
C Archer FWD101
1
-
M Roerslev DEF9
1
-
J Quarshie DEF8
1
-
R Stewart FWD821
2
-
A McCarthy GLK7
-
Welington  DEF7
1
1
J Aribo MID4
-
E Jelert DEF3
-
K Matsuki MID2
1
-
Birmingham Championship squad statistics 2025/2026
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
17835
C KlarerJ StansfieldD GrayT Iwata
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
C Klarer DEF171
4
-
T Doyle MID172
-
T Iwata MID1711
5
-
D Gray FWD1733
2
-
S Paik MID163
3
-
K Furuhashi FWD16
1
-
J Stansfield FWD1682
3
-
A Cochrane DEF1513
2
-
L Dykes FWD142
-
L. Koumas FWD13
1
-
K Anderson  FWD131
1
-
B Osayi-Samuel DEF12
5
-
P Neumann DEF121
1
-
P Roberts FWD1213
1
-
M Leonard MID10
1
-
J Beadle GLK9
2
-
M Ducksch FWD93
-
R Allsop GLK8
1
-
E Laird DEF71
-
E Cashin DEF5
-
J Robinson DEF4
2
2
W Willumsson MID3
-
A Sampsted DEF1
-
K Fujimoto MID1
-