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Swansea City v Oxford United : Championship match betting preview, prediction and odds

Sat 3rd May, 12:30 BST, Liberty Stadium, Swansea

Gary Rowett pays counterpart Alan Pardew a visit on Saturday lunch time in the Championship, as their Oxford United and Swansea City sides go head to head at the Liberty Stadium. Below we've got predictions for 17 markets, supporting stats including head to heads (H2Hs), and odds. Access it all via the tabs below.

Want to know who’s consistently beating the odds? Check out the Top Championship Tipsters and see the most profitable experts for this season!

If you’re keen on betting across various leagues and markets, our Live Bets page showcases active accumulator bets and real-time tips.

Best Tip: Under 2.5 goals

We are anticipating a relatively tight affair here and, as such, our prediction is under 2.5 goals. That means we a suggesting 2 goals or less will be scored in total as Swansea and Oxford Utd go head-to-head. Clear game plans will be required to deliver us a winner, but we trust both sides to deliver just that. The stats and the odds below also suggest this is a strong tip.

If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think Swansea are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 49% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 1.65.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Predictions	Bet365	Coral
Swansea 49%	13/20 5%	-
Draw 29%	3/1 7%	-
Oxford Utd 22%	15/4 6%	-
Swansea 1-0 16%	11/2 8%	-
Draw 0-0 13%	10/1 22%	-
Draw 1-1 13%	13/2 7%	-
Swansea 2-0 11%	13/2	-
Oxford Utd 1-0 10%	11/1 20%	-
Swansea 2-1 8%	15/2	-
Oxford Utd 2-1 5%	14/1	-
Swansea 3-0 5%	11/1 8%	-
Oxford Utd 2-0 4%	22/1 10%	-
Swansea 3-1 4%	12/1 13%	-
Draw 2-2 3%	18/1	-
Swansea 4-0 1%	25/1 10%	-
Swansea 3-2 1%	28/1 15%	-
Oxford Utd 3-1 1%	40/1	-
Swansea 4-1 1%	28/1 15%	-
Over 2.5 Goals 34%	10/11 9%	-
Under 2.5 Goals 66%	10/11 10%	-
Home 1st Goal 53%	4/9 4%	-
Away 1st Goal 39%	2/1	-
No 1st Goal 9%	10/1 22%	-
BTTS - Yes 39%	10/11 5%	-
BTTS - No 61%	4/5 4%	-
BTTS - Home Win 15%	11/4 13%	-
BTTS - Draw 16%	9/2	-
BTTS - Away Win 8%	17/2	-
Home/draw 78%	2/11	-
Away/draw 51%	6/5 7%	-
Home/away 71%	2/9 2%	-
Over 1.5 Goals 61%	3/10 4%	-
Under 1.5 Goals 39%	5/2 9%	-
Over 3.5 Goals 15%	12/5 15%	-
Under 3.5 Goals 85%	1/3 6%	-
Over 4.5 Goals 6%	11/2 19%	-
Under 4.5 Goals 94%	1/9 3%	-
Over 5.5 Goals 2%	14/1 12%	-
Under 5.5 Goals 98%	1/33 1%	-
Over 0.5 Goals 87%	1/20 2%	-
Under 0.5 Goals 13%	10/1 22%	-
Home DNB 69%	2/7 1%	-
Away DNB 42%	5/2 3%	-
Swansea win to nil 34%	13/8	-
Oxford Utd win to nil 15%	7/1 14%	-
Swansea / Swansea 32%	8/5 5%	-
Swansea / Oxford Utd 2%	40/1	-
Swansea / Draw 6%	14/1	-
Draw / Swansea 19%	7/2	-
Draw / Oxford Utd 8%	9/1 5%	-
Draw / Draw 15%	9/2 10%	-
Oxford Utd / Swansea 4%	22/1	-
Oxford Utd / Oxford Utd 10%	15/2 6%	-
Oxford Utd / Draw 5%	16/1	-

Win / draw / win Championship table

Swansea have played 45 matches so far this season and lay in 11th place in the Championship league table.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 25 games against teams below in the table, having won 12, drawn 6 and lost 7 matches. They have kept 10 clean sheets and have failed to score in 7 fixtures. Swansea have outscored their opponents by 48 goals to 46 goals.

Home League Performance

Swansea have played 22 games at home winning 10, drawing 5 and losing 7 games. They have scored 30 goals, kept 10 clean sheets and conceded 21 goals at home.

Oxford Utd are in 17th position in the Championship on 52 points having played 45 matches so far this season.

Away League Performance

12 of those games have been losing matches. They have conceded 33 goals and kept 4 clean sheets. They have scored 15 goals in total and failed to score in 9 fixtures.

Performance against teams above them in the league

31 games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 18 games, drawn 6 and won 7. Oxford Utd have conceded 49 goals, scored 26, failed to score in 10 fixtures and have kept 8 clean sheets.

BTTS yes BTTS no BTTS yes BTTS no Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Over 0.5 Under 0.5 Over 1.5 Under 1.5 Over 2.5 Under 2.5 Over 3.5 Under 3.5 Over 4.5 Under 4.5 Over 5.5 Under 5.5 For 0-0 Against Won Draw Lost	Swansea Oxford Utd
Results by League Table

	TEAM	PLD	W	D	L	GD	PTS	HOME	AWAY	HOME	AWAY
1	Leeds	45	28	13	4	64	97	l 3-4F	d 2-2A	l 0-1A	l 4-0A
2	Burnley	45	27	16	2	51	97	l 0-2A	l 1-0A	d 0-00-0	l 1-0A
3	Sheff Utd	45	28	7	10	27	89	l 1-2F	l 1-0A	w 1-0F	l 3-0A
4	Sunderland	45	21	13	11	15	76	l 2-3F	w 0-1F	w 2-0F	l 2-0A
5	Bristol C	45	17	16	12	4	67	d 1-1F	w 0-1F	d 1-1F	l 2-1F
6	Coventry	45	19	9	17	4	66	l 0-2A	w 1-2F	l 2-3A	l 3-2A
7	Millwall	45	18	12	15	0	66	l 0-1A	l 1-0A	d 1-1A	w 0-1F
8	Blackburn	45	19	8	18	5	65	w 3-0F	l 1-0A	w 1-0F	l 2-1F
9	M'Boro	45	18	10	17	10	64	w 1-0F	l 1-0A	l 2-6F	l 2-1F
10	West Brom	45	14	19	12	8	61	d 1-1A	l 1-0A	d 1-1A	l 2-0A
11	Swansea Home	45	17	9	19	-5	60	-	-	l 1-2A	May 3
12	Sheff Wed	45	15	12	18	-9	57	l 0-1A	d 0-00-0	l 1-3F	w 0-1F
13	Watford	45	16	8	21	-8	56	w 1-0F	l 1-0A	w 1-0F	l 1-0A
14	Norwich	45	13	15	17	1	54	w 1-0F	l 5-1A	w 2-0F	d 1-1A
15	QPR	45	13	14	18	-11	53	w 3-0F	w 1-2F	l 1-3A	l 2-0A
16	Portsmouth	45	14	11	20	-13	53	d 2-2A	l 4-0A	l 0-2A	d 1-1A
17	Oxford Utd Away	45	13	13	19	-16	52	May 3	w 1-2F	-	-
18	Stoke	45	12	14	19	-17	50	d 0-00-0	l 3-1F	w 1-0F	d 0-00-0
19	Derby	45	13	10	22	-8	49	w 1-0F	w 1-2F	d 1-1F	d 0-00-0
20	Preston	45	10	19	16	-11	49	w 3-0F	d 0-00-0	w 3-1A	d 1-1F
21	Luton	45	13	10	22	-22	49	w 2-1A	d 1-1A	w 3-2A	d 2-2A
22	Hull	45	12	12	21	-10	48	w 1-0F	l 2-1A	w 1-0F	l 2-1F
23	Plymouth	45	11	13	21	-36	46	w 3-0F	w 1-2F	w 2-0F	d 1-1F
24	Cardiff	45	9	17	19	-23	44	d 1-1F	l 3-0A	w 3-2F	d 1-1A

	Promotion
	Promotion Play Off
	Relegation

Win / draw / win form

Swansea have won 3 consecutive home league games

Swansea have kept a clean sheet for 3 consecutive home league games

Home

Overall

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

15 / 20

Conceded

11 / 20

Clean sheets

9 / 20

Failed to score

5 / 20

Won

Lost

HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Swansea	1 - 0	Hull
Swansea	3 - 0	Plymouth
Swansea	1 - 0	Derby
Swansea	0 - 2	Burnley
Swansea	1 - 0	M'Boro
Swansea	3 - 0	Blackburn
Swansea	0 - 1	Sheff Wed
Swansea	0 - 2	Coventry
Swansea	1 - 2	Sheff Utd
Swansea	1 - 1	West Brom
Swansea	2 - 1	Luton
Swansea	3 - 0	QPR
Swansea	2 - 3	Sunderland
Swansea	2 - 2	Portsmouth
Swansea	3 - 4	Leeds
Swansea	1 - 0	Watford
Swansea	0 - 1	Millwall
Swansea	0 - 0	Stoke
Swansea	1 - 1	Bristol C
Swansea	1 - 0	Norwich

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

13 / 20

Conceded

12 / 20

Clean sheets

8 / 20

Failed to score

7 / 20

Won

Lost

OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
A	Swansea	0 - 1	Millwall
A	Swansea	2 - 1	QPR
H	Swansea	1 - 0	Hull
A	Swansea	1 - 0	Sunderland
H	Swansea	3 - 0	Plymouth
H	Swansea	1 - 0	Derby
A	Swansea	2 - 2	Leeds
H	Swansea	0 - 2	Burnley
A	Swansea	0 - 1	Watford
H	Swansea	1 - 0	M'Boro
A	Swansea	0 - 0	Preston
H	Swansea	3 - 0	Blackburn
A	Swansea	1 - 3	Stoke
H	Swansea	0 - 1	Sheff Wed
A	Swansea	1 - 0	Bristol C
H	Swansea	0 - 2	Coventry
A	Swansea	1 - 5	Norwich
H	Swansea	1 - 2	Sheff Utd
A	Swansea	0 - 3	Cardiff
H	Swansea	1 - 1	West Brom

Away

Overall

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

11 / 20

Conceded

16 / 20

Clean sheets

4 / 20

Failed to score

9 / 20

Draw

Lost

AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Cardiff	1 - 1	Oxford Utd
Sheff Wed	0 - 1	Oxford Utd
M'Boro	2 - 1	Oxford Utd
Hull	2 - 1	Oxford Utd
Norwich	1 - 1	Oxford Utd
West Brom	2 - 0	Oxford Utd
Derby	0 - 0	Oxford Utd
Burnley	1 - 0	Oxford Utd
Stoke	0 - 0	Oxford Utd
Plymouth	1 - 1	Oxford Utd
Preston	1 - 1	Oxford Utd
Millwall	0 - 1	Oxford Utd
Leeds	4 - 0	Oxford Utd
QPR	2 - 0	Oxford Utd
Sheff Utd	3 - 0	Oxford Utd
Watford	1 - 0	Oxford Utd
Sunderland	2 - 0	Oxford Utd
Portsmouth	1 - 1	Oxford Utd
Luton	2 - 2	Oxford Utd
Bristol C	2 - 1	Oxford Utd

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

14 / 20

Conceded

13 / 20

Clean sheets

7 / 20

Failed to score

6 / 20

Won

Draw

Lost

OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
H	Oxford Utd	2 - 0	Sunderland
A	Oxford Utd	1 - 1	Cardiff
H	Oxford Utd	0 - 1	Leeds
A	Oxford Utd	1 - 0	Sheff Wed
H	Oxford Utd	1 - 3	QPR
H	Oxford Utd	1 - 0	Sheff Utd
A	Oxford Utd	1 - 2	M'Boro
H	Oxford Utd	1 - 0	Watford
A	Oxford Utd	1 - 2	Hull
A	Oxford Utd	1 - 1	Norwich
H	Oxford Utd	2 - 3	Coventry
A	Oxford Utd	0 - 2	West Brom
H	Oxford Utd	0 - 2	Portsmouth
A	Oxford Utd	0 - 0	Derby
A	Oxford Utd	0 - 1	Burnley
H	Oxford Utd	1 - 1	Bristol C
A	Oxford Utd	0 - 0	Stoke
H	Oxford Utd	3 - 2	Luton
H	Oxford Utd	1 - 0	Blackburn
A	Oxford Utd	1 - 1	Plymouth

Goal Statistics

An absolutely dreadful PG of just 0.8 should cause concerns for Oxford United fans, as should a 9 Championship matches run in which they have failed to score more than 1 goal.

	Swansea 11th	Oxford Utd 17th
	Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction	1.3 goals	0.8 goals
	Scoring probability
Scoring probability	0 27% 1 35% 2 23% 3 10% 4+ There is a 62% probability that Swansea will score no more than 1 goal	0 46% 1 36% 2 14% 3 4+ There is a 82% probability of Oxford Utd scoring 1 goal or less

	20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games	-6 Swansea’s goalscoring at home has been inline with predictions	-32 Oxford Utd have scored 32% fewer goals when away than predicted
	1.3 average goals scored	0.6 average goals scored
	1.0 conceded	1.4 conceded

Attack defence ratings
Championship - 2024/2025 season

SWA

OXF

better

view stats

Games scored	29		33
Failed to score	16		12
Scored first	22		21
Goals scored	48		46
Avg. goals scored	1.1		1
Avg. shots per game	8		6
Avg. shots per goal	7		6
Conversion rate for	14		16
Avg. XG for	1.3		0.9
KickOff rating		+4%

better

SWA

OXF

view stats

Games conceded	31		32
Clean sheets	14		13
Conceded first	20		21
Goals conceded	53		62
Avg. goals conceded	1.2		1.4
Avg. shots/game conceded	8		10
Avg. shots/goal conceded	7		7
Conversion rate against	14%		14%
Avg. XG against	1.4		1.5
KickOff rating		+7%

Swansea v Oxford Utd Championship lLine ups will show here when available.

Swansea Championship squad statistics 2024/2025

Overall

Attack

Defence

Most starts	Most goals	Most assists	Most cards
45	10	7	9
L Vigouroux	L Cullen	Ronald	B Cabango

Players	Appserances	goals	Assists	cards
L Vigouroux GLK	45			-
Ronald FWD	45	1	7	3 -
J Tymon DEF	44	2	4	6 -
J Key DEF	44	1	3	3 -
B Cabango DEF	44	2	1	9 -
L Cullen FWD	41	10	3	8 -
Z Vipotnik FWD	41	7		1 -
H Darling DEF	39	5	3	3 1
G Franco MID	39	2	2	6 -
J Eom FWD	36	2	2	2 -
F Bianchini FWD	36	3		2 -
J Fulton MID	31	1		6 -
M Peart-Harris MID	29	3	4	6 -
O Cooper MID	27	1	1	-
J Allen MID	24	1	1	2 -
K Naughton DEF	22			1 -
L O'Brien MID	15	1		2 -
H Delcroix DEF	11			2 -
C Christie DEF	11			1 -
S. Parker DEF	6			-
J Ginnelly FWD	3			-
N Tjoe-A-On DEF	1			-
B Lloyd MID	1			-

Most goals	Most shots on target	Most assists	Most big chances
10	23	7	36
L Cullen	L Cullen	Ronald	J Tymon

Players	goals	shots on	Assists	big chances
L Cullen FWD	10	23	3	19
Z Vipotnik FWD	7	21		3
H Darling DEF	5	16	3	9
M Peart-Harris MID	3	9	4	13
F Bianchini FWD	3	9		7
J Eom FWD	2	12	2	17
J Tymon DEF	2	10	4	36
B Cabango DEF	2	5	1	9
G Franco MID	2	14	2	15
L O'Brien MID	1	6		2
J Allen MID	1	3	1	3
O Cooper MID	1	3	1	8
J Fulton MID	1	1		3
Ronald FWD	1	15	7	29
J Key DEF	1	8	3	21
K Naughton DEF				4

Most passes	Most tackles	Most duels won
3192	123	293
B Cabango	G Franco	Ronald

Players	passes	tackles	duels won
B Cabango DEF	3192	83	231
H Darling DEF	2399	31	186
J Key DEF	1893	56	164
L Vigouroux GLK	1787	3	18
J Tymon DEF	1775	46	123
G Franco MID	1402	123	204
Ronald FWD	1067	86	293
L Cullen FWD	732	37	126
J Eom FWD	632	38	161
L O'Brien MID	580	27	91
K Naughton DEF	573	27	50
J Fulton MID	549	22	60
M Peart-Harris MID	493	19	87
H Delcroix DEF	486	21	51
J Allen MID	348	13	32
O Cooper MID	275	23	67
Z Vipotnik FWD	251	6	72
F Bianchini FWD	216	20	67
C Christie DEF	210	2	22
S. Parker DEF	35	2	7
J Ginnelly FWD	21		3
B Lloyd MID	6
N Tjoe-A-On DEF	4

Oxford Utd Championship squad statistics 2024/2025

Overall

Attack

Defence

Most starts	Most goals	Most assists	Most cards
45	6	5	10
J Cumming	M Harris	T Goodrham	C Brannagan

Players	Appserances	goals	Assists	cards
J Cumming GLK	45			1 -
M Harris FWD	45	6	3	5 -
W Vaulks MID	44	1	2	4 -
C Brown DEF	41	4	3	6 -
T Goodrham FWD	40	3	5	5 -
R Rodrigues MID	38	4	3	3 -
G Leigh DEF	33	5	1	1 -
C Brannagan MID	32	3	4	10 -
P Placheta FWD	31	2	3	5 -
P Kioso DEF	30		1	5 -
I Mizouni MID	28	1	2	2 -
M Phillips FWD	28		2	2 -
E Moore DEF	25	1	2	7 -
S Dembélé FWD	25	2	1	2 -
S Long DEF	23	1	1	2 -
H Avest DEF	20	1		1 -
M Helik DEF	19	4		4 -
A. Matos MID	19			4 -
B Nelson DEF	17	1		1 -
O Romeny FWD	13	1		2 -
J McEachran MID	12		1	1 -
J Bennett DEF	11			1 -
T Bradshaw FWD	11			1 -
S Mills FWD	10	1		2 -
J Thorniley DEF	2			-

Most goals	Most shots on target	Most assists	Most big chances
6	19	5	26
M Harris	M Harris	T Goodrham	T Goodrham

Players	goals	shots on	Assists	big chances
M Harris FWD	6	19	3	12
G Leigh DEF	5	6	1	20
M Helik DEF	4	7		4
C Brown DEF	4	7	3	9
R Rodrigues MID	4	10	3	20
T Goodrham FWD	3	14	5	26
C Brannagan MID	3	16	4	18
P Placheta FWD	2	13	3	11
S Dembélé FWD	2	8	1	6
E Moore DEF	1	4	2	2
H Avest DEF	1	4		3
S Long DEF	1	3	1	6
S Mills FWD	1	1		1
I Mizouni MID	1	6	2	12
O Romeny FWD	1	3		1
W Vaulks MID	1	7	2	18
B Nelson DEF	1	2		1
T Bradshaw FWD		2		1
J McEachran MID			1	6
A. Matos MID				1
M Phillips FWD		2	2	6
P Kioso DEF			1	5

Most passes	Most tackles	Most duels won
1842	87	216
C Brown	W Vaulks	C Brown

Players	passes	tackles	duels won
C Brown DEF	1842	28	216
W Vaulks MID	1757	87	175
J Cumming GLK	1634		14
C Brannagan MID	1215	57	104
E Moore DEF	980	17	92
T Goodrham FWD	892	71	169
P Kioso DEF	885	55	156
G Leigh DEF	866	37	133
M Helik DEF	773	21	112
S Long DEF	734	27	94
B Nelson DEF	636	20	65
R Rodrigues MID	622	45	132
I Mizouni MID	567	46	67
P Placheta FWD	505	34	94
M Harris FWD	414	28	89
H Avest DEF	312	27	50
J Bennett DEF	308	13	25
S Dembélé FWD	295	34	110
J McEachran MID	255	16	26
M Phillips FWD	241	11	54
A. Matos MID	192	47	87
O Romeny FWD	94	2	15
S Mills FWD	82	11	24
T Bradshaw FWD	63		20
J Thorniley DEF	23	1	9

English Championship match betting previews, predictions and odds

Sheff Utd v Blackburn

Swansea City v Oxford United : Championship match betting preview, prediction and odds

Swansea have played 45 matches so far this season and lay in 11th place in the Championship league table.

Performance against teams below them in the league

Home League Performance

Oxford Utd are in 17th position in the Championship on 52 points having played 45 matches so far this season.

Away League Performance

Performance against teams above them in the league

Swansea v Oxford Utd Championship lLine ups will show here when available.

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