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Swansea City v Stoke City : Championship match betting preview, prediction and odds

Sat 7th Mar, 15:00 BST, Liberty Stadium, Swansea

It's an away match for Mark Robins's Stoke City side on Saturday afternoon, as they travel to the Liberty Stadium for a Championship meeting with Alan Sheehan's Swansea City. Analysing both sides' last 20 Championship matches, as well as trends within the competition and the market, to generate our match predictions. All the statistics, including head-to-heads, are shown below, alongside odds from leading bookmakers.


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In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Swansea
48%
--
Draw
28%
--
Stoke
24%
--
Swansea 1-0
15%
--
Draw 1-1
13%
--
Draw 0-0
11%
--
Swansea 2-0
10%
--
Stoke 1-0
10%
--
Swansea 2-1
9%
--
Stoke 2-1
6%
--
Swansea 3-0
4%
--
Stoke 2-0
4%
--
Swansea 3-1
4%
--
Draw 2-2
4%
--
Swansea 3-2
2%
--
Stoke 3-1
2%
--
Swansea 4-0
1%
--
Swansea 4-1
1%
--
Over 2.5 Goals
38%
--
Under 2.5 Goals
62%
--
Home 1st Goal
52%
--
Away 1st Goal
41%
--
No 1st Goal
7%
--
BTTS - Yes
43%
--
BTTS - No
57%
--
BTTS - Home Win
17%
--
BTTS - Draw
17%
--
BTTS - Away Win
9%
--
Home/draw
76%
--
Away/draw
52%
--
Home/away
72%
--
Over 1.5 Goals
65%
--
Under 1.5 Goals
35%
--
Over 3.5 Goals
18%
--
Under 3.5 Goals
82%
--
Over 4.5 Goals
7%
--
Under 4.5 Goals
93%
--
Over 5.5 Goals
3%
--
Under 5.5 Goals
97%
--
Over 0.5 Goals
89%
--
Under 0.5 Goals
11%
--
Home DNB
67%
--
Away DNB
44%
--
Swansea win to nil
31%
--
Stoke win to nil
15%
--
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Win / draw / win Championship table

Swansea have played 33 matches so far this season and lay in 15th place in the Championship league table.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 13 games against teams below in the table, having won 9, drawn 1 and lost 3 matches. They have kept 6 clean sheets and have scored in every game. Swansea have outscored their opponents by 39 goals to 36 goals.

Home League Performance

Swansea have played 17 games at home winning 9, drawing 4 and losing 4 games. They have scored 25 goals, kept 6 clean sheets and conceded 18 goals at home.

Stoke are in 16th position in the Championship on 44 points having played 33 matches so far this season.

Away League Performance

7 of those games have been losing matches. They have conceded 15 goals and kept 7 clean sheets. They have scored 15 goals in total and failed to score in 8 fixtures.

Performance against teams above them in the league

21 games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 10 games, drawn 4 and won 7. Stoke have conceded 23 goals, scored 19, failed to score in 10 fixtures and have kept 6 clean sheets.

Won
Draw
Lost
Swansea
Stoke
Results by League Table
TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY HOME AWAY
1
Coventry3319863265 
Mar 21
l
 
1-0A
l
 
0-1A
Feb 28
2
M'Boro3318871762 
Apr 6
l
 
1-0A
l
 
1-2F
d
 
0-00-0
3
Millwall331689256 
d
 
1-1F
l
 
2-1A
Apr 21
l
 
2-0A
4
Ipswich3115972054 
l
 
1-4A
Feb 28
Mar 10
l
 
1-0A
5
Hull3216610554 
d
 
2-2F
l
 
2-1A
l
 
1-2F
w
 
0-1F
6
Wrexham3313128751 
w
 
2-1A
Mar 13
w
 
1-0F
Apr 18
7
Birmingham33131010549 
d
 
1-1F
l
 
1-0A
w
 
1-0F
d
 
1-1A
8
Derby3313911648 
l
 
1-2A
l
 
2-0A
w
 
3-1A
Apr 6
9
Watford3312129548 
d
 
1-1A
w
 
0-2F
Mar 14
l
 
1-0A
10
Preston3312129348 
Feb 24
l
 
2-1A
d
 
0-00-0
Mar 20
11
Southampton33121110447 
Apr 18
d
 
0-00-0
l
 
0-2A
w
 
1-2F
12
Bristol C3313812447 
w
 
1-0F
l
 
3-0A
w
 
5-1F
May 2
13
QPR3313812-147 
l
 
0-1A
Apr 21
d
 
0-00-0
l
 
1-0A
14
Sheff Utd3314316145 
w
 
1-0F
Apr 3
l
 
1-2A
l
 
4-0A
15
Swansea3313614045 
-
-
w
 
2-1F
Mar 7
16
Stoke3312813544 
Mar 7
l
 
2-1A
-
-
17
Charlton33101013-1040 
May 2
d
 
1-1A
w
 
3-0F
l
 
1-0A
18
Norwich3311616-139 
w
 
2-1F
Apr 25
d
 
1-1A
w
 
0-2F
19
Portsmouth3210913-839 
w
 
1-0F
Mar 10
Apr 25
w
 
0-1F
20
Blackburn3310815-1038 
w
 
3-1F
w
 
1-2A
Apr 11
d
 
1-1F
21
West Brom339717-1734 
w
 
1-0F
l
 
3-2F
l
 
0-1A
d
 
0-00-0
22
Leicester3310914-733 
l
 
1-3A
Apr 11
d
 
2-2F
l
 
2-1A
23
Oxford Utd3361116-1629 
w
 
2-0F
w
 
0-1F
Feb 25
w
 
0-3F
24
Sheff Wed331824-46-7 
w
 
4-0F
w
 
0-2F
Apr 3
w
 
0-3F
Promotion
Promotion Play Off
Relegation
Win / draw / win form
Swansea 15TH
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
32
Conceded
21
Games: Scored
19 / 20
Conceded
12 / 20
Clean sheets
8 / 20
Failed to score
1 / 20
Won
11
Draw
5
L
4
HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Swansea1 - 0Bristol C
Swansea4 - 0Sheff Wed
Swansea3 - 1Blackburn
Swansea1 - 1Birmingham
Swansea1 - 0West Brom
Swansea2 - 1Wrexham
Swansea1 - 0Portsmouth
Swansea2 - 0Oxford Utd
Swansea1 - 2Derby
Swansea1 - 4Ipswich
Swansea2 - 1Norwich
Swansea0 - 1QPR
Swansea1 - 3Leicester
Swansea1 - 1Millwall
Swansea2 - 2Hull
Swansea1 - 1Watford
Swansea1 - 0Sheff Utd
Swansea3 - 3Oxford Utd
Swansea1 - 0Hull
Swansea3 - 0Plymouth
Goals: Scored
26
Conceded
26
Games: Scored
17 / 20
Conceded
13 / 20
Clean sheets
7 / 20
Failed to score
3 / 20
Won
9
D
1
Lost
10
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
HSwansea1 - 0Bristol C
ASwansea0 - 2Derby
HSwansea4 - 0Sheff Wed
ASwansea2 - 0Watford
ASwansea1 - 2Hull
HSwansea3 - 1Blackburn
HSwansea1 - 1Birmingham
ASwansea1 - 2Millwall
HSwansea1 - 0West Brom
ASwansea1 - 0Oxford Utd
ASwansea0 - 1Coventry
HSwansea2 - 1Wrexham
ASwansea1 - 2Stoke
HSwansea1 - 0Portsmouth
HSwansea2 - 0Oxford Utd
ASwansea2 - 3West Brom
HSwansea1 - 2Derby
ASwansea0 - 3Bristol C
HSwansea1 - 4Ipswich
ASwansea1 - 2Preston
Stoke 16TH
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
16
Conceded
21
Games: Scored
10 / 20
Conceded
11 / 20
Clean sheets
9 / 20
Failed to score
10 / 20
Won
7
Draw
5
Lost
8
AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Charlton1 - 0Stoke
West Brom0 - 0Stoke
Birmingham1 - 1Stoke
Norwich0 - 2Stoke
Hull0 - 1Stoke
Watford1 - 0Stoke
Ipswich1 - 0Stoke
Sheff Utd4 - 0Stoke
Leicester2 - 1Stoke
Oxford Utd0 - 3Stoke
Portsmouth0 - 1Stoke
Millwall2 - 0Stoke
Blackburn1 - 1Stoke
M'Boro0 - 0Stoke
QPR1 - 0Stoke
Southampton1 - 2Stoke
Sheff Wed0 - 3Stoke
Derby0 - 0Stoke
Leeds6 - 0Stoke
Cardiff0 - 1Stoke
Goals: Scored
18
Conceded
22
Games: Scored
11 / 20
Conceded
13 / 20
Clean sheets
7 / 20
Failed to score
9 / 20
Won
5
Draw
5
Lost
10
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
HStoke2 - 2Leicester
AStoke0 - 1Charlton
AStoke0 - 0West Brom
HStoke0 - 2Southampton
AStoke1 - 1Birmingham
HStoke1 - 2M'Boro
HStoke0 - 0QPR
AStoke2 - 0Norwich
AStoke1 - 0Hull
HStoke1 - 2Sheff Utd
HStoke0 - 0Preston
AStoke0 - 1Watford
HStoke2 - 1Swansea
AStoke0 - 1Ipswich
AStoke0 - 4Sheff Utd
HStoke1 - 2Hull
HStoke3 - 0Charlton
AStoke1 - 2Leicester
HStoke0 - 1Coventry
AStoke3 - 0Oxford Utd
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
League games at Swansea since 2011
Swansea
Stoke
Goals: Scored
24
16
Games: Scored
12 / 14
8 / 14
Clean sheets
6 / 14
2 / 14
SWA
7
D
2
STK
5
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Swansea
Draw0 - 0Draw
Swansea3 - 0
1 - 3Stoke
1 - 3Stoke
Swansea2 - 0
1 - 2Stoke
Swansea3 - 1
1 - 2Stoke
Swansea2 - 0
0 - 1Stoke
Swansea2 - 0
Draw3 - 3Draw
Swansea3 - 1
Swansea2 - 0
League games at Stoke since 2012
Stoke
Swansea
Goals: Scored
28
12
Games: Scored
15 / 15
10 / 15
Clean sheets
5 / 15
0 / 15
SWA
1
D
4
STK
10
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Stoke
Stoke2 - 1
Stoke3 - 1
Draw1 - 1Draw
Draw1 - 1Draw
Stoke3 - 0
1 - 2Swansea
Stoke2 - 0
Stoke1 - 0
Stoke2 - 1
Stoke3 - 1
Draw2 - 2Draw
Stoke2 - 1
Draw1 - 1Draw
Stoke2 - 0
Stoke2 - 0
Goal Statistics

Scoring more than 1 goal looks like a tall order for Stoke City, with M. Robins's men failing to score in 3 consecutive Championship outings.

Swansea 15th Stoke 16th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.3
goals
0.9
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
26%
1
35%
2
24%
3
11%
4+
There is a 61% probability that Swansea will score no more than 1 goal
0
42%
1
36%
2
16%
3
4+
There is a 78% probability of Stoke scoring 1 goal or less
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
+13
Swansea have scored 13% more goals at home than predicted
-28
Stoke have scored 28% fewer goals when away than predicted
1.6
average goals scored
0.8
average goals scored
1.1
conceded
1.1
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Championship - 2025/2026 season
Swansea
PG (predicted goals)
Stoke
1.3
0.9
Attack rating
13%
better
SWA
STK
view stats
Games scored25
19
Failed to score7
13
Scored first14
14
Goals scored38
34
Avg. goals scored1.2
1
Avg. shots per game8
7
Avg. shots per goal7
7
Conversion rate for14
14
Avg. XG for1.2
1.1
KickOff rating
+13%
Defence rating
SWA
STK
20%
better
view stats
Games conceded23
20
Clean sheets9
12
Conceded first17
14
Goals conceded39
29
Avg. goals conceded1.2
0.9
Avg. shots/game conceded8
8
Avg. shots/goal conceded7
10
Conversion rate against14%
10%
Avg. XG against1.3
1.4
KickOff rating
+20%

Swansea v Stoke Championship lLine ups will show here when available.

Swansea Championship squad statistics 2025/2026
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
3316710
L VigourouxZ VipotnikJ TymonM Stamenić
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
L Vigouroux GLK33
-
C Burgess DEF33
7
-
E Galbraith MID3321
5
-
Ronald FWD3334
2
-
J Tymon DEF3217
7
-
B Cabango DEF321
8
-
G Franco MID3234
5
-
J Eom  FWD3211
1
-
Z Vipotnik FWD31162
1
-
L Cullen MID273
5
-
M Stamenić MID2522
10
-
M. Widell MID251
3
-
Z Inoussa FWD252
4
-
J Key DEF241
2
-
M. Junior Yalcouyé MID2312
1
J Fulton MID221
4
-
A Idah FWD1831
1
-
K Casey DEF81
-
B Hedilazio FWD6
-
I Samuels-Smith DEF51
2
-
B Wales FWD4
-
R Santos DEF1
-
Stoke Championship squad statistics 2025/2026
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
33979
S ThomasS ThomasS ThomasB Pearson
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
S Thomas MID3397
8
-
T Seko MID321
3
-
M Manhoef FWD3252
1
-
B Wilmot DEF313
4
-
J. Bae MID3113
1
-
A Phillips DEF281
5
-
D Mubama FWD2551
3
1
V Johansson GLK241
2
-
T Rigo MID241
1
-
B Pearson MID231
8
1
L Cissé FWD233
3
-
A Cresswell  DEF223
2
-
J Tchamadeu DEF2011
9
-
S Nzonzi MID201
2
-
R Bozenik FWD191
2
-
E Bocat DEF161
-
L Baker MID1241
1
-
M Taloverov DEF11
4
-
S Gallagher FWD101
-
B Gibson DEF4
1
-
J. Donley MID41
-