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Watford v Middlesbrough : Championship match betting preview, prediction and odds

Sat 1st Nov, 15:00 BST, Vicarage Road, Watford

Javier Gracia Carlos welcomes Rob Edwards to the Vicarage Road on Saturday afternoon, as their Watford and Middlesbrough troops go head to head in the Championship. Below there are predictions for 17 markets, supporting statistics including head to heads (H2Hs), and odds from leading bookmakers. Access it all via the tabs below.


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In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Watford
36%
--
Draw
26%
--
M'Boro
38%
--
Draw 1-1
13%
--
M'Boro 1-0
10%
--
Watford 1-0
9%
--
M'Boro 2-1
8%
--
Watford 2-1
8%
--
Draw 0-0
7%
--
M'Boro 2-0
6%
--
Watford 2-0
6%
--
Draw 2-2
5%
--
M'Boro 3-1
4%
--
Watford 3-1
3%
--
M'Boro 3-0
3%
--
Watford 3-0
3%
--
M'Boro 3-2
2%
--
Watford 3-2
2%
--
Over 2.5 Goals
49%
--
Under 2.5 Goals
51%
--
Home 1st Goal
47%
--
Away 1st Goal
48%
--
No 1st Goal
5%
--
BTTS - Yes
53%
--
BTTS - No
47%
--
BTTS - Home Win
17%
--
BTTS - Draw
19%
--
BTTS - Away Win
18%
--
Home/draw
62%
--
Away/draw
64%
--
Home/away
74%
--
Over 1.5 Goals
74%
--
Under 1.5 Goals
26%
--
Over 3.5 Goals
27%
--
Under 3.5 Goals
73%
--
Over 4.5 Goals
12%
--
Under 4.5 Goals
88%
--
Over 5.5 Goals
5%
--
Under 5.5 Goals
95%
--
Over 0.5 Goals
93%
--
Under 0.5 Goals
7%
--
Home DNB
54%
--
Away DNB
56%
--
Watford win to nil
19%
--
M'Boro win to nil
20%
--
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Win / draw / win Championship table

Watford have played 10 matches so far this season and are in 15th position in the league.

Performance against teams above them in the league

6 of those games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 2 games, drawn 2 and won 2. Watford have conceded 7 goals, scored 7, failed to score in 2 matches and kept no clean sheets.

Home league performance

Watford have played 5 games at home, winning 3, drawing 1 and losing 1 fixture. They have scored 8 goals, conceded 6 goals, kept 0 clean sheets and failed to score 1 time in home league games.

M'Boro lay in 2nd place on 21 points in the Championship league table having played 10 matches.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 10 games against teams below them in the table, winning 6, drawing 3 and losing 1 game. They have scored 14 goals and kept 4 clean sheets against lower placed opposition. M'Boro have conceded 7 goals and have failed to score in 2 matches.

Away league performance

M'Boro have played 5 away games, winning 2, drawing 2 and losing 1 game. They have scored an average of 1.6 goals per away game and conceded an average 1 goals per away game.

Won
Draw
Lost
Watford
M'Boro
Results by League Table
TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY HOME AWAY
1
Coventry106402222 
May 2
Oct 25
Nov 25
Feb 14
2
M'Boro10631721 
Nov 1
Apr 25
-
-
3
Stoke10532618 
Dec 20
Mar 14
d
 
0-00-0
Jan 21
4
Leicester10451517 
Mar 21
Dec 26
Feb 24
Nov 4
5
West Brom10523017 
Oct 22
Apr 21
w
 
2-1F
Jan 17
6
Millwall10523-217 
Jan 17
l
 
1-0A
Apr 3
w
 
0-3F
7
Bristol C10442616 
Nov 7
Feb 28
Mar 14
Dec 20
8
Preston10442316 
Nov 25
Feb 14
Jan 24
d
 
2-2A
9
Charlton10433115 
Apr 6
l
 
1-0A
Mar 11
Dec 9
10
Hull10433-115 
w
 
2-1A
Jan 4
Dec 29
Dec 5
11
QPR10433-215 
w
 
2-1F
Apr 3
Dec 13
Mar 7
12
Ipswich9342613 
Feb 24
Nov 4
w
 
2-1F
Apr 18
13
Swansea10343013 
Jan 31
d
 
1-1F
w
 
1-0F
Apr 6
14
Portsmouth10343-113 
Jan 21
d
 
2-2A
Apr 11
l
 
1-0A
15
Watford10334-112 
-
-
Apr 25
Nov 1
16
Southampton10262-112 
d
 
2-2A
Feb 7
Jan 4
d
 
1-1A
17
Birmingham10334-412 
Jan 1
Dec 1
Nov 8
Feb 28
18
Wrexham10244-210 
Mar 7
Dec 13
Oct 25
May 2
19
Oxford Utd10235-29 
w
 
2-1A
Apr 11
Feb 21
Nov 22
20
Norwich10226-48 
Dec 6
Dec 29
Jan 31
w
 
1-2F
21
Derby10154-58 
Feb 21
Nov 22
Nov 29
Jan 1
22
Blackburn9216-67 
l
 
0-1A
Jan 24
Dec 26
Mar 21
23
Sheff Utd10208-126 
Apr 18
l
 
1-0A
w
 
1-0F
Feb 7
24
Sheff Wed10136-136 
Dec 9
Mar 10
Apr 21
Oct 22
Promotion
Promotion Play Off
Relegation
Win / draw / win form
Watford 15TH
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
22
Conceded
24
Games: Scored
15 / 20
Conceded
15 / 20
Clean sheets
5 / 20
Failed to score
5 / 20
Won
8
D
4
Lost
8
HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Watford2 - 1Oxford Utd
Watford2 - 1Hull
Watford0 - 1Blackburn
Watford2 - 2Southampton
Watford2 - 1QPR
Watford1 - 1Sheff Wed
Watford1 - 2Burnley
Watford1 - 0Hull
Watford0 - 0Plymouth
Watford1 - 0Swansea
Watford1 - 2Millwall
Watford2 - 0Luton
Watford0 - 4Leeds
Watford0 - 1Norwich
Watford1 - 2Preston
Watford1 - 2Sheff Utd
Watford1 - 2Cardiff
Watford2 - 1Portsmouth
Watford2 - 1West Brom
Watford0 - 0QPR
Goals: Scored
18
Conceded
23
Games: Scored
13 / 20
Conceded
17 / 20
Clean sheets
3 / 20
Failed to score
7 / 20
Won
5
Draw
5
Lost
10
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
AWatford0 - 1Sheff Utd
HWatford2 - 1Oxford Utd
AWatford2 - 2Portsmouth
HWatford2 - 1Hull
AWatford0 - 1Millwall
HWatford0 - 1Blackburn
HWatford2 - 2Southampton
AWatford1 - 1Swansea
HWatford2 - 1QPR
AWatford0 - 1Charlton
HWatford1 - 1Sheff Wed
AWatford1 - 2Blackburn
AWatford0 - 1Portsmouth
HWatford1 - 2Burnley
AWatford1 - 2West Brom
HWatford1 - 0Hull
AWatford1 - 2Bristol C
HWatford0 - 0Plymouth
AWatford0 - 1Oxford Utd
HWatford1 - 0Swansea
M'Boro 2ND
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
24
Conceded
28
Games: Scored
15 / 20
Conceded
16 / 20
Clean sheets
4 / 20
Failed to score
5 / 20
Won
5
Draw
5
Lost
10
AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Portsmouth1 - 0M'Boro
Southampton1 - 1M'Boro
Preston2 - 2M'Boro
Norwich1 - 2M'Boro
Millwall0 - 3M'Boro
Coventry2 - 0M'Boro
Sheff Wed2 - 1M'Boro
Millwall1 - 0M'Boro
Blackburn0 - 2M'Boro
Luton0 - 0M'Boro
Swansea1 - 0M'Boro
Stoke1 - 3M'Boro
Bristol C2 - 1M'Boro
Sheff Utd3 - 1M'Boro
Preston2 - 1M'Boro
Portsmouth2 - 1M'Boro
Hull0 - 1M'Boro
Plymouth3 - 3M'Boro
Leeds3 - 1M'Boro
Burnley1 - 1M'Boro
Goals: Scored
23
Conceded
16
Games: Scored
13 / 20
Conceded
13 / 20
Clean sheets
7 / 20
Failed to score
7 / 20
Won
10
Draw
5
Lost
5
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
HM'Boro2 - 1Ipswich
AM'Boro0 - 1Portsmouth
HM'Boro0 - 0Stoke
AM'Boro1 - 1Southampton
HM'Boro2 - 1West Brom
AM'Boro2 - 2Preston
HM'Boro1 - 0Sheff Utd
AM'Boro2 - 1Norwich
AM'Boro3 - 0Millwall
HM'Boro1 - 0Swansea
AM'Boro0 - 2Coventry
HM'Boro0 - 0Norwich
AM'Boro1 - 2Sheff Wed
HM'Boro2 - 1Plymouth
AM'Boro0 - 1Millwall
HM'Boro0 - 1Leeds
AM'Boro2 - 0Blackburn
HM'Boro2 - 1Oxford Utd
AM'Boro0 - 0Luton
HM'Boro2 - 1QPR
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
League games at Watford since 1993
Watford
M'Boro
Goals: Scored
23
14
Games: Scored
14 / 15
9 / 15
Clean sheets
6 / 15
1 / 15
WAT
9
D
3
MID
3
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Watford
Watford2 - 1
2 - 3M'Boro
Watford2 - 1
Watford1 - 0
Draw0 - 0Draw
Watford2 - 0
Watford1 - 0
1 - 2M'Boro
Watford2 - 1
Watford3 - 1
Draw1 - 1Draw
Watford2 - 0
1 - 3M'Boro
Draw1 - 1Draw
Watford2 - 0
League games at M'Boro since 1994
M'Boro
Watford
Goals: Scored
21
14
Games: Scored
12 / 15
12 / 15
Clean sheets
3 / 15
3 / 15
WAT
4
D
5
MID
6
FIXTURE HISTORY AT M'Boro
0 - 1Watford
M'Boro3 - 1
M'Boro2 - 0
Draw1 - 1Draw
0 - 1Watford
Draw1 - 1Draw
Draw2 - 2Draw
1 - 2Watford
M'Boro1 - 0
M'Boro2 - 1
0 - 1Watford
M'Boro4 - 1
Draw1 - 1Draw
M'Boro2 - 0
Draw1 - 1Draw
Goal Statistics

Middlesbrough's defensive record is to be admired, Rob Edwards's men having conceded 1 or less in 5 consecutive Championship matches. An average PG rating of 1.3 for Watford makes sense in this context.

Watford 15th M'Boro 2nd
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.3
goals
1.3
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
28%
1
36%
2
23%
3
10%
4+
There is a 64% probability that Watford will score no more than 1 goal
0
26%
1
35%
2
23%
3
10%
4+
There is a 61% probability that M'Boro will score no more than 1 goal
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
-18
Watford have scored 18% fewer goals at home than predicted
-13
M'Boro have scored 13% fewer goals when away than predicted
1.1
average goals scored
1.2
average goals scored
1.2
conceded
1.4
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Championship - 2025/2026 season
Watford
PG (predicted goals)
M'Boro
1.3
1.3
Attack rating
WAT
MID
32%
better
view stats
Games scored6
8
Failed to score4
2
Scored first2
6
Goals scored11
14
Avg. goals scored1.1
1.4
Avg. shots per game11
7
Avg. shots per goal10
5
Conversion rate for10
19
Avg. XG for1.5
1.2
KickOff rating
+32%
Defence rating
WAT
MID
42%
better
view stats
Games conceded10
6
Clean sheets0
4
Conceded first8
3
Goals conceded12
7
Avg. goals conceded1.2
0.7
Avg. shots/game conceded10
7
Avg. shots/goal conceded8
9
Conversion rate against12%
11%
Avg. XG against1.4
1
KickOff rating
+42%

Watford v M'Boro Championship lLine ups will show here when available.

Watford Championship squad statistics 2025/2026
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
9223
E SelvikN IrankundaI Louza I Louza 
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
N Irankunda FWD1021
1
-
K Baah FWD101
2
-
E Selvik GLK9
1
-
K Keben DEF9
2
-
H Kyprianou MID9
2
-
M Sissoko MID9
-
E Kayembe MID9
1
-
L Kjerrumgaard FWD92
1
-
M. Alleyne DEF8
1
-
J Ngakia DEF82
1
-
I Louza  MID722
2
1
R Vata FWD712
-
M Bola DEF6
-
J Abankwah DEF6
1
-
V Semedo FWD611
1
-
C Wiley DEF5
-
M Pollock DEF5
2
-
M. Doumbia FWD5
-
J Petris DEF4
1
-
N Mendy MID4
-
N Baxter GLK2
-
F Mendy DEF2
-
T Ince FWD2
-
J Morris DEF1
1
-
M'Boro Championship squad statistics 2025/2026
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
10223
S BrynnT ConwayL AylingA Jones
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
S Brynn GLK10
-
A Jones DEF101
3
-
L Ayling DEF102
1
-
A Morris MID101
-
H Hackney MID1012
2
-
T Conway FWD1021
3
-
C Brittain DEF9
3
-
M Whittaker FWD912
2
-
M Targett DEF711
1
-
D Fry DEF71
-
S Nypan MID7
2
-
K Sène FWD72
1
-
S Hansen FWD71
-
S Silvera FWD7
3
-
D Burgzorg FWD71
1
-
A Browne MID6
-
D Strelec FWD61
1
-
A. Raslan Kanté MID4
-
G Edmundson DEF3
1
-
D Lenihan DEF2
1
-