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Burnley v Bournemouth : Premier League match betting preview, prediction and odds

Sat 14th Mar, 15:00 BST, Turf Moor, Burnley

Andoni Iraola Sagarna takes his Bournemouth team to the Turf Moor in the English Premier League on Saturday afternoon, with Scott Parker's Burnley their rivals. We've got predictions, tips, and odds from leading bookmakers and head-to-head statistics across every major market, all with the aim of helping you find a winning bet on this Premier League clash.

Want to know who’s consistently beating the odds? Check out the Top Premier League Tipsters and see the most profitable experts for this season!

If you’re keen on betting across various leagues and markets, our Live Bets page showcases active accumulator bets and real-time tips.

Best Tip: Both teams to score

We have a pair of impressive, attacking sides going head-to-head and, as such, we're predicting both of them to score at least 1 goal during the 90 mins. Can respective bosses Scott Parker or Andoni Iraola Sagarna deliver a defensive plan that will shut out the opposition? Latest form statistics and historical head-to-heads, as well as the latest odds from the bookmakers, show that doesn't seem likely.

An away win looks like the most likely outcome in the win/draw/win market, with our predictive algorithm suggesting there’s a 45% chance of Bournemouth coming away with a win.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Predictions	Bet365	Coral
Burnley 32%	3.60	3.60
Draw 23%	3.60	3.60
Bournemouth 45%	1.91	2.00
Draw 1-1 10%	7.50	7.00
Bournemouth 2-1 9%	9.50	8.00
Burnley 2-1 8%	13.00	11.00
Bournemouth 1-0 7%	9.50	8.50
Draw 2-2 7%	15.00	11.00
Bournemouth 2-0 6%	11.00	10.00
Burnley 1-0 6%	13.00	11.00
Bournemouth 3-1 5%	17.00	13.00
Burnley 2-0 4%	21.00	17.00
Draw 0-0 4%	13.00	11.00
Bournemouth 3-2 4%	26.00	19.00
Burnley 3-1 4%	29.00	21.00
Bournemouth 3-0 4%	19.00	15.00
Burnley 3-2 3%	34.00	23.00
Bournemouth 4-1 2%	34.00	23.00
Over 2.5 Goals 63%	1.73	1.70
Under 2.5 Goals 37%	2.10	2.05
Home 1st Goal 47%	2.25	2.30
Away 1st Goal 51%	1.67	1.70
No 1st Goal 2%	13.00	11.00
BTTS - Yes 64%	1.67	1.62
BTTS - No 36%	2.10	2.15
BTTS - Home Win 19%	6.50	5.75
BTTS - Draw 19%	4.50	4.33
BTTS - Away Win 26%	3.75	3.50
Home/draw 55%	1.83	1.80
Away/draw 68%	1.29	1.29
Home/away 77%	1.29	1.29
Over 1.5 Goals 83%	1.22	1.22
Under 1.5 Goals 17%	4.33	4.00
Over 3.5 Goals 40%	2.75	2.70
Under 3.5 Goals 60%	1.44	1.44
Over 4.5 Goals 22%	5.00	4.80
Under 4.5 Goals 78%	1.17	1.15
Over 5.5 Goals 11%	10.00	9.50
Under 5.5 Goals 89%	1.06	1.05
Over 0.5 Goals 96%	1.04	1.03
Under 0.5 Goals 4%	13.00	11.00
Home DNB 48%	2.63	2.60
Away DNB 61%	1.44	1.44
Burnley win to nil 13%	7.00	-
Bournemouth win to nil 19%	3.75	-
Burnley / Burnley 15%	6.00	5.25
Burnley / Bournemouth 4%	23.00	17.00
Burnley / Draw 6%	15.00	12.00
Draw / Burnley 10%	8.50	8.00
Draw / Bournemouth 15%	5.50	5.25
Draw / Draw 15%	6.00	5.25
Bournemouth / Burnley 3%	34.00	23.00
Bournemouth / Bournemouth 26%	3.20	3.00
Bournemouth / Draw 6%	15.00	12.00

Win / draw / win Premier League table

Burnley have played 28 matches so far this season and are in 19th position in the league.

Performance against teams above them in the league

27 of those games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 17 games, drawn 7 and won 3. Burnley have conceded 54 goals, scored 29, failed to score in 9 matches and kept 3 clean sheets.

Home league performance

Burnley have played 14 games at home, winning 2, drawing 4 and losing 8 fixtures. They have scored 15 goals, conceded 23 goals, kept 3 clean sheets and failed to score 6 times in home league games.

Bournemouth lay in 10th place on 39 points in the Premier League league table having played 28 matches.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 15 games against teams below them in the table, winning 6, drawing 8 and losing 1 game. They have scored 23 goals and kept 6 clean sheets against lower placed opposition. Bournemouth have conceded 16 goals and have failed to score in 2 matches.

Away league performance

Bournemouth have played 14 away games, winning 3, drawing 6 and losing 5 games. They have scored an average of 1.6 goals per away game and conceded an average 2.2 goals per away game.

BTTS yes BTTS no BTTS yes BTTS no Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Over 0.5 Under 0.5 Over 1.5 Under 1.5 Over 2.5 Under 2.5 Over 3.5 Under 3.5 Over 4.5 Under 4.5 Over 5.5 Under 5.5 For 0-0 Against Won Draw Lost	Burnley Bournemouth
Results by League Table

	TEAM	PLD	W	D	L	GD	PTS	HOME	AWAY	HOME	AWAY
1	Arsenal	29	19	7	3	36	64	l 0-2A	May 17	l 2-3F	Apr 11
2	Man City	28	18	5	5	32	59	Apr 25	l 5-1A	May 17	l 3-1A
3	Man Utd	28	14	9	5	12	51	d 2-2F	l 3-2A	Mar 20	d 4-4A
4	A Villa	28	15	6	7	8	51	May 9	l 2-1A	d 1-1A	l 4-0A
5	Liverpool	28	14	6	8	10	48	l 0-1A	d 1-1A	w 3-2F	l 4-2A
6	Chelsea	28	12	9	7	16	45	l 0-2A	d 1-1A	d 0-00-0	d 2-2F
7	Brentford	28	13	4	11	4	43	l 3-4A	l 3-1A	Mar 3	l 4-1A
8	Everton	28	11	7	10	-1	40	d 0-00-0	Mar 3	l 0-1A	w 1-2A
9	Fulham	28	12	4	12	-2	40	l 2-3A	Mar 21	w 3-1A	May 9
10	Bournemouth	28	9	12	7	-2	39	Mar 14	d 1-1A	-	-
11	Brighton	28	9	10	9	3	37	Apr 11	l 2-0A	w 2-1F	d 1-1F
12	Sunderland	28	9	10	9	-5	37	w 2-0F	l 3-0A	d 1-1A	l 3-2F
13	Newcastle	28	10	6	12	-2	36	l 1-3A	l 2-1A	d 0-00-0	Apr 18
14	C Palace	28	9	8	11	-4	35	l 0-1A	w 2-3A	May 2	d 3-3F
15	Leeds	28	7	10	11	-10	31	w 2-0F	May 2	Apr 25	d 2-2F
16	Spurs	28	7	8	13	-5	29	d 2-2A	l 3-0A	w 3-2A	w 0-1F
17	Nottm Forest	28	7	6	15	-15	27	d 1-1A	Apr 18	w 2-0F	May 24
18	West Ham	28	6	7	15	-20	25	l 0-2A	l 3-2F	d 2-2A	d 0-00-0
19	Burnley	28	4	7	17	-24	19	-	-	d 1-1F	Mar 14
20	Wolves	29	2	7	20	-31	13	May 24	w 2-3F	w 1-0F	w 0-2F

	UEFA Champions League
	UEFA Europa League
	Relegation

Win / draw / win form

Bournemouth have not lost in 5 consecutive away league games

Home

Overall

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

14 / 20

Conceded

15 / 20

Clean sheets

5 / 20

Failed to score

6 / 20

Won

Draw

Lost

HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Burnley	3 - 4	Brentford
Burnley	0 - 2	West Ham
Burnley	2 - 2	Spurs
Burnley	2 - 2	Man Utd
Burnley	1 - 3	Newcastle
Burnley	0 - 0	Everton
Burnley	2 - 3	Fulham
Burnley	0 - 1	C Palace
Burnley	0 - 2	Chelsea
Burnley	0 - 2	Arsenal
Burnley	2 - 0	Leeds
Burnley	1 - 1	Nottm Forest
Burnley	0 - 1	Liverpool
Burnley	2 - 0	Sunderland
Burnley	3 - 1	Millwall
Burnley	2 - 1	Sheff Utd
Burnley	2 - 1	Norwich
Burnley	1 - 0	Bristol C
Burnley	1 - 1	West Brom
Burnley	4 - 0	Luton

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

13 / 20

Conceded

19 / 20

Clean sheets

1 / 20

Failed to score

7 / 20

Draw

Lost

OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
H	Burnley	3 - 4	Brentford
A	Burnley	1 - 1	Chelsea
A	Burnley	3 - 2	C Palace
H	Burnley	0 - 2	West Ham
A	Burnley	0 - 3	Sunderland
H	Burnley	2 - 2	Spurs
A	Burnley	1 - 1	Liverpool
H	Burnley	2 - 2	Man Utd
A	Burnley	0 - 2	Brighton
H	Burnley	1 - 3	Newcastle
H	Burnley	0 - 0	Everton
A	Burnley	1 - 1	Bournemouth
H	Burnley	2 - 3	Fulham
A	Burnley	1 - 2	Newcastle
H	Burnley	0 - 1	C Palace
A	Burnley	1 - 3	Brentford
H	Burnley	0 - 2	Chelsea
A	Burnley	2 - 3	West Ham
H	Burnley	0 - 2	Arsenal
A	Burnley	3 - 2	Wolves

Away

Overall

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

17 / 20

Conceded

16 / 20

Clean sheets

4 / 20

Failed to score

3 / 20

Draw

Lost

AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
West Ham	0 - 0	Bournemouth
Everton	1 - 2	Bournemouth
Wolves	0 - 2	Bournemouth
Brighton	1 - 1	Bournemouth
Chelsea	2 - 2	Bournemouth
Brentford	4 - 1	Bournemouth
Man Utd	4 - 4	Bournemouth
Sunderland	3 - 2	Bournemouth
A Villa	4 - 0	Bournemouth
Man City	3 - 1	Bournemouth
C Palace	3 - 3	Bournemouth
Leeds	2 - 2	Bournemouth
Spurs	0 - 1	Bournemouth
Liverpool	4 - 2	Bournemouth
Man City	3 - 1	Bournemouth
Arsenal	1 - 2	Bournemouth
C Palace	0 - 0	Bournemouth
West Ham	2 - 2	Bournemouth
Spurs	2 - 2	Bournemouth
Brighton	2 - 1	Bournemouth

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

16 / 20

Conceded

16 / 20

Clean sheets

4 / 20

Failed to score

4 / 20

Won

Draw

Lost

OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
H	Bournemouth	1 - 1	Sunderland
A	Bournemouth	0 - 0	West Ham
A	Bournemouth	2 - 1	Everton
H	Bournemouth	1 - 1	A Villa
A	Bournemouth	2 - 0	Wolves
H	Bournemouth	3 - 2	Liverpool
A	Bournemouth	1 - 1	Brighton
H	Bournemouth	3 - 2	Spurs
H	Bournemouth	2 - 3	Arsenal
A	Bournemouth	2 - 2	Chelsea
A	Bournemouth	1 - 4	Brentford
H	Bournemouth	1 - 1	Burnley
A	Bournemouth	4 - 4	Man Utd
H	Bournemouth	0 - 0	Chelsea
H	Bournemouth	0 - 1	Everton
A	Bournemouth	2 - 3	Sunderland
H	Bournemouth	2 - 2	West Ham
A	Bournemouth	0 - 4	A Villa
A	Bournemouth	1 - 3	Man City
H	Bournemouth	2 - 0	Nottm Forest

Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)

Burnley

Bournemouth

Goals: Scored

Games: Scored

5 / 6

4 / 6

Clean sheets

2 / 6

1 / 6

BRN

BOU

FIXTURE HISTORY AT Burnley
	0 - 2	Bournemouth
Burnley	3 - 0
Burnley	4 - 0
	1 - 2	Bournemouth
Burnley	3 - 2
Draw	1 - 1	Draw

Bournemouth

Burnley

Goals: Scored

Games: Scored

6 / 7

7 / 7

Clean sheets

0 / 7

1 / 7

BRN

BOU

FIXTURE HISTORY AT Bournemouth
Draw	1 - 1	Draw
Bournemouth	2 - 1
	0 - 1	Burnley
	1 - 3	Burnley
	1 - 2	Burnley
Bournemouth	2 - 1
Draw	1 - 1	Draw

Goal Statistics

Bournemouth's fans will be hoping for goals on Saturday afternoon, not least because Burnley have conceded in each of their last 9 English Premier League games. A PG of 1.8 for A. Iraola's side suggests that run should continue.

	Burnley 19th	Bournemouth 10th
	Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction	1.5 goals	1.8 goals
	Scoring probability
Scoring probability	0 23% 1 34% 2 25% 3 12% 4+ There is a 77% probability that Burnley will score 1 or more goals	0 17% 1 30% 2 27% 3 16% 4+ 10% There is a 83% probability that Bournemouth will score 1 or more goals

	20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games	+21 Burnley have scored 21% more goals at home than predicted	+6 Bournemouth’s goalscoring when away has been inline with predictions
	1.5 average goals scored	1.6 average goals scored
	1.4 conceded	2.1 conceded

Attack defence ratings
Premier League - 2025/2026 season

BRN

BOU

26%

better

view stats

Games scored	18		22
Failed to score	9		5
Scored first	5		13
Goals scored	29		43
Avg. goals scored	1		1.5
Avg. shots per game	6		9
Avg. shots per goal	6		6
Conversion rate for	17		16
Avg. XG for	0.9		1.6
KickOff rating		+26%

BRN

BOU

18%

better

view stats

Games conceded	24		20
Clean sheets	3		7
Conceded first	21		11
Goals conceded	52		45
Avg. goals conceded	1.9		1.6
Avg. shots/game conceded	12		9
Avg. shots/goal conceded	6		5
Conversion rate against	16%		19%
Avg. XG against	2.2		1.6
KickOff rating		+18%

Burnley v Bournemouth Premier League lLine ups will show here when available.

Burnley Premier League squad statistics 2025/2026

Overall

Attack

Defence

Most starts	Most goals	Most assists	Most cards
28	7	4	8
M Dúbravka	J Anthony	Q Hartman	K Walker

Players	Appserances	goals	Assists	cards
M Dúbravka GLK	28			1 -
L Ugochukwu MID	27	3	1	2 1
J Anthony FWD	27	7	1	4 -
K Walker DEF	26		2	8 -
M Estève DEF	25			-
J Laurent MID	25	1		6 -
Florentino MID	23		2	4 -
J Larsen FWD	23		1	-
L Tchaouna FWD	21	1		1 -
H Mejbri MID	20	1	3	6 -
L Foster FWD	20	3	1	4 -
Z Flemming FWD	20	7	1	3 -
A Broja FWD	19	1	1	-
J Cullen MID	18	2	2	2 -
M Edwards FWD	17	1	3	-
Q Hartman DEF	15		4	1 -
H Ekdal DEF	15			-
L Pires DEF	13			1
B Humphreys DEF	12			3 -
A Tuanzebe DEF	11	1		1 -
J Worrall DEF	9		1	-
M Trésor MID	4			-
A Barnes FWD	4			1 -
J Ward-Prowse MID	3		1	-

Most goals	Most shots on target	Most assists	Most big chances
7	15	4	5
J Anthony	J Anthony	Q Hartman	M Edwards

Players	goals	shots on	Assists	big chances
J Anthony FWD	7	15	1	3
Z Flemming FWD	7	13	1
L Ugochukwu MID	3	7	1
L Foster FWD	3	4	1	1
J Cullen MID	2	6	2	4
J Laurent MID	1	4
L Tchaouna FWD	1	6		1
H Mejbri MID	1	4	3	4
A Broja FWD	1	6	1	1
M Edwards FWD	1	5	3	5
A Tuanzebe DEF	1	1
K Walker DEF			2	3
M Estève DEF		1		1
Florentino MID		1	2
J Larsen FWD		4	1	2
Q Hartman DEF		2	4	4
H Ekdal DEF		1
L Pires DEF		1
B Humphreys DEF		1		1
J Worrall DEF			1	1
A Barnes FWD		1
J Ward-Prowse MID			1	1

Most passes	Most tackles	Most duels won
1038	75	106
K Walker	Florentino	Florentino

Players	passes	tackles	duels won
K Walker DEF	1038	36	99
M Estève DEF	977	31	104
M Dúbravka GLK	927	1	27
J Cullen MID	866	31	66
Florentino MID	792	75	106
L Ugochukwu MID	617	46	99
J Anthony FWD	555	31	98
J Laurent MID	525	34	69
Q Hartman DEF	514	31	45
B Humphreys DEF	513	21	47
H Ekdal DEF	477	19	63
A Tuanzebe DEF	445	12	33
L Pires DEF	389	24	41
H Mejbri MID	319	18	68
M Edwards FWD	268	8	33
J Larsen FWD	265	12	30
L Tchaouna FWD	225	15	43
L Foster FWD	219	12	56
Z Flemming FWD	172	8	72
A Broja FWD	130	6	59
J Worrall DEF	121	3	18
J Ward-Prowse MID	53	1	7
M Trésor MID	15
A Barnes FWD	8		6

Bournemouth Premier League squad statistics 2025/2026

Overall

Attack

Defence

Most starts	Most goals	Most assists	Most cards
28	8	4	8
Đorđe Petrović	E Kroupi	M Senesi	M Senesi

Players	Appserances	goals	Assists	cards
Đorđe Petrović GLK	28			2 -
A Truffert DEF	28		2	3 -
A Scott MID	28	2	1	2 -
M Senesi DEF	27		4	8 -
Evanilson FWD	26	6		1 -
A. Jiménez Sánchez DEF	24	1	1	8 -
M Tavernier MID	24	5	4	3 -
A Adli FWD	24	3	1	2 -
E Kroupi FWD	23	8		3 -
D Brooks FWD	23	1	2	7 -
J Hill DEF	19		3	2 -
B Diakité DEF	18			1 -
J Kluivert MID	18	2		4 -
R Christie MID	18	1		2 -
T Adams MID	17	2	1	6 -
A Smith DEF	16		1	2 -
L Cook MID	16		1	1 2
E Ünal FWD	15	1		1 -
V. Milosavljević DEF	7			-
R Rocha FWD	5	2	1	1 -
A Toth MID	4			1 -
B Doak FWD	4		1	-
J Soler DEF	3			-

Most goals	Most shots on target	Most assists	Most big chances
8	21	4	6
E Kroupi	Evanilson	M Senesi	M Senesi

Players	goals	shots on	Assists	big chances
E Kroupi FWD	8	15		1
Evanilson FWD	6	21		2
M Tavernier MID	5	16	4	5
A Adli FWD	3	8	1	2
A Scott MID	2	10	1	2
J Kluivert MID	2	4		4
T Adams MID	2	6	1
R Rocha FWD	2	3	1	1
A. Jiménez Sánchez DEF	1	5	1	2
D Brooks FWD	1	12	2	6
R Christie MID	1	5		1
E Ünal FWD	1	2
A Truffert DEF		1	2	2
M Senesi DEF		5	4	6
J Hill DEF		1	3	3
A Smith DEF			1	1
L Cook MID			1
B Doak FWD			1	1

Most passes	Most tackles	Most duels won
1642	79	161
M Senesi	A Truffert	A Truffert

Players	passes	tackles	duels won
M Senesi DEF	1642	47	131
A Truffert DEF	1127	79	161
A Scott MID	947	42	135
T Adams MID	769	40	71
M Tavernier MID	755	30	89
B Diakité DEF	749	20	60
Đorđe Petrović GLK	688		18
A. Jiménez Sánchez DEF	616	52	105
J Hill DEF	531	23	93
L Cook MID	490	26	43
D Brooks FWD	374	15	48
A Adli FWD	349	31	82
J Kluivert MID	332	10	36
Evanilson FWD	322	7	76
R Christie MID	301	15	42
E Kroupi FWD	278	7	26
A Smith DEF	229	7	23
V. Milosavljević DEF	190	5	17
R Rocha FWD	109	3	22
E Ünal FWD	34		9
A Toth MID	24	1	4
B Doak FWD	23	2	4
J Soler DEF	23	1	3