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Chelsea v Newcastle United : Premier League match betting preview, prediction and odds

Sat 14th Mar, 17:30 BST, Stamford Bridge, London

the Stamford Bridge faithful welcome Newcastle United's travelling contingent on Saturday evening, as Liam Rosenior's Chelsea go head to head with Eddie Howe's side in the English Premier League. It's our aim to give you everything you need to make a smart bet on this encounter, so we've sifted through our expansive database and pulled out the statistics that will help you do exactly that. Head-to-head and recent form is included, and the KickOff predictions are produced from them. Odds from the UK's biggest bookmakers are there to get you maximum bang for your buck.


Want to know who’s consistently beating the odds? Check out the Top Premier League Tipsters and see the most profitable experts for this season!

If you’re keen on betting across various leagues and markets, our Live Bets page showcases active accumulator bets and real-time tips.

Best Tip: Both teams to score

Analysing our match predictions, bookmakers' odds and relevant stats, there's one market that seems hard to ignore for this tie: both teams to score. In Chelsea and Newcastle we have two sides going head-to-head that regularly score, but equally have trouble shutting the opposition out, and we expect them to prove that on Saturday evening. BTTS – yes best odds: 1.50.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think Chelsea are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 49% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 1.85.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Chelsea
49%
9/1017/20
Draw
23%
14/529/10
Newcastle
28%
5/227/10
Draw 1-1
11%
15/213/2
Chelsea 2-1
10%
17/215/2
Chelsea 1-0
8%
11/117/2
Chelsea 2-0
7%
12/19/1
Newcastle 2-1
7%
12/111/1
Draw 2-2
6%
12/110/1
Newcastle 1-0
6%
16/112/1
Chelsea 3-1
6%
14/111/1
Draw 0-0
5%
18/114/1
Chelsea 3-0
4%
18/114/1
Newcastle 2-0
4%
22/118/1
Chelsea 3-2
4%
20/116/1
Newcastle 3-1
3%
28/118/1
Newcastle 3-2
3%
28/122/1
Chelsea 4-1
3%
28/118/1
Over 2.5 Goals
59%
8/158/15
Under 2.5 Goals
41%
6/411/8
Home 1st Goal
52%
4/68/13
Away 1st Goal
45%
6/57/5
No 1st Goal
3%
18/112/1
BTTS - Yes
60%
1/28/15
BTTS - No
40%
6/411/8
BTTS - Home Win
26%
9/421/10
BTTS - Draw
19%
7/217/5
BTTS - Away Win
16%
9/29/2
Home/draw
72%
2/71/4
Away/draw
51%
10/1110/11
Home/away
77%
1/41/4
Over 1.5 Goals
81%
1/61/6
Under 1.5 Goals
19%
4/119/5
Over 3.5 Goals
37%
13/1013/10
Under 3.5 Goals
63%
8/134/7
Over 4.5 Goals
20%
3/129/10
Under 4.5 Goals
80%
1/42/9
Over 5.5 Goals
9%
6/16/1
Under 5.5 Goals
91%
1/101/12
Over 0.5 Goals
95%
1/401/50
Under 0.5 Goals
5%
16/112/1
Home DNB
65%
4/92/5
Away DNB
44%
13/817/10
Chelsea win to nil
23%
3/1-
Newcastle win to nil
12%
7/1-
Chelsea / Chelsea
29%
2/17/4
Chelsea / Newcastle
3%
28/122/1
Chelsea / Draw
6%
14/111/1
Draw / Chelsea
15%
9/217/4
Draw / Newcastle
9%
8/115/2
Draw / Draw
13%
6/15/1
Newcastle / Chelsea
4%
20/116/1
Newcastle / Newcastle
14%
5/19/2
Newcastle / Draw
6%
14/111/1
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Win / draw / win Premier League table

Chelsea have played 28 matches so far this season and lay in 6th place in the Premier League league table.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 22 games against teams below in the table, having won 11, drawn 7 and lost 4 matches. They have kept 9 clean sheets and have failed to score in 2 fixtures. Chelsea have outscored their opponents by 49 goals to 40 goals.

Home League Performance

Chelsea have played 14 games at home winning 6, drawing 5 and losing 3 games. They have scored 23 goals, kept 5 clean sheets and conceded 16 goals at home.

Newcastle are in 13th position in the Premier League on 36 points having played 28 matches so far this season.

Away League Performance

7 of those games have been losing matches. They have conceded 19 goals and kept 4 clean sheets. They have scored 14 goals in total and failed to score in 6 fixtures.

Performance against teams above them in the league

17 games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 11 games, drawn 3 and won 3. Newcastle have conceded 31 goals, scored 21, failed to score in 5 fixtures and have kept 2 clean sheets.

Won
Draw
Lost
Chelsea
Newcastle
Results by League Table
TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY HOME AWAY
1
Arsenal2919733664 
d
 
1-1F
l
 
2-1A
l
 
1-2F
Apr 25
2
Man City2818553259 
Apr 11
d
 
1-1A
w
 
2-1F
l
 
2-1A
3
Man Utd2814951251 
Apr 18
l
 
2-1A
Mar 4
l
 
1-0A
4
A Villa281567851 
l
 
1-2F
Mar 4
l
 
0-2A
d
 
0-00-0
5
Liverpool2814681048 
w
 
2-1F
May 9
l
 
2-3A
l
 
4-1F
6
Chelsea2812971645 
-
-
d
 
2-2F
Mar 14
7
Brentford2813411443 
w
 
2-0F
d
 
2-2A
l
 
2-3F
l
 
3-1F
8
Everton2811710-140 
w
 
2-0F
Mar 21
l
 
2-3A
w
 
1-4F
9
Fulham2812412-240 
w
 
2-0F
l
 
2-1A
w
 
2-1F
May 24
10
Bournemouth289127-239 
d
 
2-2A
d
 
0-00-0
Apr 18
d
 
0-00-0
11
Brighton289109337 
l
 
1-3F
Apr 25
May 2
l
 
2-1A
12
Sunderland289109-537 
l
 
1-2F
May 24
Mar 22
l
 
1-0A
13
Newcastle2810612-236 
Mar 14
d
 
2-2A
-
-
14
C Palace289811-435 
d
 
0-00-0
w
 
1-3F
w
 
2-0F
Apr 11
15
Leeds2871011-1031 
d
 
2-2F
l
 
3-1A
w
 
4-3A
d
 
0-00-0
16
Spurs287813-529 
May 17
w
 
0-1F
d
 
2-2F
w
 
1-2F
17
Nottm Forest287615-1527 
May 2
w
 
0-3F
w
 
2-0F
May 9
18
West Ham286715-2025 
w
 
3-2A
w
 
1-5A
May 17
l
 
3-1F
19
Burnley284717-2419 
d
 
1-1F
w
 
0-2F
w
 
2-1F
w
 
1-3F
20
Wolves292720-3113 
w
 
3-0F
w
 
1-3F
w
 
1-0F
d
 
0-00-0
Win / draw / win form
5
Chelsea have not lost in 5 consecutive home league games
Chelsea 6TH
20 league games
Home
5
Overall
Goals: Scored
32
Conceded
19
Games: Scored
19 / 20
Conceded
11 / 20
Clean sheets
9 / 20
Failed to score
1 / 20
Won
11
Draw
6
L
3
HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Chelsea1 - 1Burnley
Chelsea2 - 2Leeds
Chelsea3 - 2West Ham
Chelsea2 - 0Brentford
Chelsea2 - 2Bournemouth
Chelsea1 - 2A Villa
Chelsea2 - 0Everton
Chelsea1 - 1Arsenal
Chelsea3 - 0Wolves
Chelsea1 - 2Sunderland
Chelsea2 - 1Liverpool
Chelsea1 - 3Brighton
Chelsea2 - 0Fulham
Chelsea0 - 0C Palace
Chelsea1 - 0Man Utd
Chelsea3 - 1Liverpool
Chelsea1 - 0Everton
Chelsea2 - 2Ipswich
Chelsea1 - 0Spurs
Chelsea1 - 0Leicester
Goals: Scored
35
Conceded
22
Games: Scored
19 / 20
Conceded
13 / 20
Clean sheets
7 / 20
Failed to score
1 / 20
Won
9
Draw
7
L
4
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
HChelsea1 - 1Burnley
HChelsea2 - 2Leeds
AChelsea3 - 1Wolves
HChelsea3 - 2West Ham
AChelsea3 - 1C Palace
HChelsea2 - 0Brentford
AChelsea1 - 2Fulham
AChelsea1 - 1Man City
HChelsea2 - 2Bournemouth
HChelsea1 - 2A Villa
AChelsea2 - 2Newcastle
HChelsea2 - 0Everton
AChelsea0 - 0Bournemouth
AChelsea1 - 3Leeds
HChelsea1 - 1Arsenal
AChelsea2 - 0Burnley
HChelsea3 - 0Wolves
AChelsea1 - 0Spurs
HChelsea1 - 2Sunderland
AChelsea3 - 0Nottm Forest
Newcastle 13TH
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
20
Conceded
27
Games: Scored
12 / 20
Conceded
14 / 20
Clean sheets
6 / 20
Failed to score
8 / 20
Won
5
Draw
5
Lost
10
AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Man City2 - 1Newcastle
Spurs1 - 2Newcastle
Liverpool4 - 1Newcastle
Wolves0 - 0Newcastle
Burnley1 - 3Newcastle
Man Utd1 - 0Newcastle
Sunderland1 - 0Newcastle
Everton1 - 4Newcastle
Brentford3 - 1Newcastle
West Ham3 - 1Newcastle
Brighton2 - 1Newcastle
Bournemouth0 - 0Newcastle
Leeds0 - 0Newcastle
A Villa0 - 0Newcastle
Arsenal1 - 0Newcastle
Brighton1 - 1Newcastle
A Villa4 - 1Newcastle
Leicester0 - 3Newcastle
West Ham0 - 1Newcastle
Liverpool2 - 0Newcastle
Goals: Scored
33
Conceded
35
Games: Scored
16 / 20
Conceded
18 / 20
Clean sheets
2 / 20
Failed to score
4 / 20
Won
8
D
3
Lost
9
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
HNewcastle2 - 3Everton
ANewcastle1 - 2Man City
ANewcastle2 - 1Spurs
HNewcastle2 - 3Brentford
ANewcastle1 - 4Liverpool
HNewcastle0 - 2A Villa
ANewcastle0 - 0Wolves
HNewcastle4 - 3Leeds
HNewcastle2 - 0C Palace
ANewcastle3 - 1Burnley
ANewcastle0 - 1Man Utd
HNewcastle2 - 2Chelsea
ANewcastle0 - 1Sunderland
HNewcastle2 - 1Burnley
HNewcastle2 - 2Spurs
ANewcastle4 - 1Everton
HNewcastle2 - 1Man City
ANewcastle1 - 3Brentford
ANewcastle1 - 3West Ham
HNewcastle2 - 1Fulham
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
12
Chelsea have not lost to Newcastle in 12 consecutive home league meetings
League games at Chelsea since 1993
Chelsea
Newcastle
Goals: Scored
58
17
Games: Scored
28 / 30
14 / 30
Clean sheets
16 / 30
2 / 30
CHE
22
D
7
NEW
1
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Chelsea
Chelsea2 - 1
Chelsea3 - 2
Draw1 - 1Draw
Chelsea1 - 0
Chelsea2 - 0
Chelsea1 - 0
Chelsea2 - 1
Chelsea3 - 1
Chelsea5 - 1
Chelsea2 - 0
Chelsea3 - 0
Chelsea2 - 0
0 - 2Newcastle
Draw2 - 2Draw
Draw0 - 0Draw
Chelsea2 - 1
Chelsea1 - 0
Chelsea3 - 0
Chelsea4 - 0
Chelsea5 - 0
Chelsea3 - 0
Draw1 - 1Draw
Chelsea3 - 1
Chelsea1 - 0
Draw1 - 1Draw
Chelsea1 - 0
Draw1 - 1Draw
Chelsea1 - 0
Draw1 - 1Draw
Chelsea1 - 0
League games at Newcastle since 1994
Newcastle
Chelsea
Goals: Scored
43
34
Games: Scored
21 / 31
21 / 31
Clean sheets
10 / 31
10 / 31
CHE
9
D
7
NEW
15
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Newcastle
Draw2 - 2Draw
Newcastle2 - 0
Newcastle4 - 1
Newcastle1 - 0
0 - 3Chelsea
0 - 2Chelsea
Newcastle1 - 0
1 - 2Chelsea
Newcastle3 - 0
Draw2 - 2Draw
Newcastle2 - 1
Newcastle2 - 0
Newcastle3 - 2
0 - 3Chelsea
Draw1 - 1Draw
0 - 2Chelsea
0 - 2Chelsea
Draw0 - 0Draw
Newcastle1 - 0
Draw1 - 1Draw
Newcastle2 - 1
Newcastle2 - 1
1 - 2Chelsea
Draw0 - 0Draw
0 - 1Chelsea
0 - 1Chelsea
Newcastle3 - 1
Newcastle3 - 1
Newcastle2 - 0
Newcastle4 - 2
Draw0 - 0Draw
Goal Statistics

Chelsea have been steady in attack of late, scoring in 23 consecutive English Premier League games. Their PG of 1.8 against Newcastle United on Saturday suggests that run is likely to continue.

Chelsea 6th Newcastle 13th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.8
goals
1.3
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
17%
1
30%
2
27%
3
16%
4+
11%
There is a 83% probability that Chelsea will score 1 or more goals
0
28%
1
36%
2
23%
3
10%
4+
There is a 72% probability that Newcastle will score 1 or more goals
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
-11
Chelsea have scored 11% fewer goals at home than predicted
-27
Newcastle have scored 27% fewer goals when away than predicted
1.6
average goals scored
1.0
average goals scored
1.0
conceded
1.4
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Premier League - 2025/2026 season
Chelsea
PG (predicted goals)
Newcastle
1.8
1.3
Attack rating
23%
better
CHE
NEW
view stats
Games scored25
20
Failed to score2
7
Scored first16
16
Goals scored48
38
Avg. goals scored1.8
1.4
Avg. shots per game9
9
Avg. shots per goal5
7
Conversion rate for19
15
Avg. XG for2
1.7
KickOff rating
+23%
Defence rating
10%
better
CHE
NEW
view stats
Games conceded18
20
Clean sheets9
7
Conceded first9
7
Goals conceded31
39
Avg. goals conceded1.1
1.4
Avg. shots/game conceded8
8
Avg. shots/goal conceded7
6
Conversion rate against14%
18%
Avg. XG against1.4
1.3
KickOff rating
+10%

Chelsea v Newcastle Premier League lLine ups will show here when available.

Chelsea Premier League squad statistics 2025/2026
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
261149
R SánchezJ Pedro J Pedro M Caicedo
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
J Pedro  FWD27114
3
-
P Neto FWD2754
2
-
R Sánchez GLK261
3
1
T Chalobah DEF263
3
1
E Fernández MID2682
6
-
M Cucurella  DEF2413
5
1
M Gusto DEF2422
3
1
R James  DEF2424
4
-
M Caicedo MID2231
8
1
A Santos MID20
4
-
E. Almeida de Oliveira Gonçalves FWD1922
3
-
L Delap FWD181
2
-
W Fofana DEF161
2
1
C Palmer MID1681
3
-
A Garnacho FWD1613
1
-
J Bynoe-Gittens FWD162
-
J Hato DEF12
3
-
J. Acheampong DEF121
1
-
T Adarabioyo DEF12
2
-
B Badiashile  DEF8
2
-
M Guiu FWD71
1
-
R Lavia MID4
-
F Jörgensen GLK2
-
M Sarr DEF1
-
Newcastle Premier League squad statistics 2025/2026
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
24949
S TonaliB GuimarãesB GuimarãesD Burn
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
S Tonali MID282
3
-
H Barnes FWD275
1
-
M Thiaw DEF254
3
-
N Woltemade FWD2572
-
A Elanga FWD241
-
B Guimarães MID2394
5
-
J Murphy FWD2331
1
-
N Pope  GLK22
1
-
A Gordon FWD2232
3
1
L Hall DEF2111
3
-
Joelinton MID2121
6
-
D Burn DEF202
8
1
L Miley MID1913
-
J Ramsey MID1821
3
-
J Willock MID17
3
-
K Trippier DEF16
2
-
F Schär DEF16
1
-
S Botman DEF1511
1
-
W Osula FWD151
-
T Livramento  DEF131
1
-
Y Wissa FWD1211
1
-
A Ramsdale GLK7
-
A. Murphy DEF1
-
E Krafth DEF1
-