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Manchester United v Aston Villa : Premier League match betting preview, prediction and odds

Sun 15th Mar, 14:00 BST, Old Trafford, Manchester

Michael Carrick and Unai Emery Etxegoien meet in the English Premier League on Sunday afternoon, as Manchester United face Aston Villa at the Old Trafford. You'll find statistics supporting our top of both teams to score below, but don't forget to explore 16 other markets we're covering too. We aim to deliver as full a picture as possible, with Premier League performances and head-to-heads included, so that you feel able to make a well-informed bet. Finally, be sure to get the best odds from one of the UK's biggest bookmakers.


Want to know who’s consistently beating the odds? Check out the Top Premier League Tipsters and see the most profitable experts for this season!

If you’re keen on betting across various leagues and markets, our Live Bets page showcases active accumulator bets and real-time tips.

Best Tip: Both teams to score

After surveying all relevant statistics, including historical head-to-head (H2H) data, we fully expect this fixture to deliver both elation and despair to both home and away supporters. We expect both Man Utd and A Villa to find the back of the net during the 90 minutes, but the ultimate winner of the game seems less clear. The odds point towards a both teams to score bet, and that looks a wise bet to us.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think Man Utd are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 49% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 1.80.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Man Utd
50%
4/5-
Draw
23%
11/4-
A Villa
27%
3/1-
Draw 1-1
10%
7/1-
Man Utd 2-1
10%
17/2-
Man Utd 1-0
8%
9/1-
Man Utd 2-0
7%
10/1-
A Villa 2-1
7%
14/1-
Draw 2-2
6%
14/1-
Man Utd 3-1
6%
14/1-
A Villa 1-0
6%
16/1-
Man Utd 3-0
4%
16/1-
Draw 0-0
4%
14/1-
Man Utd 3-2
4%
22/1-
A Villa 2-0
4%
25/1-
A Villa 3-1
3%
33/1-
A Villa 3-2
3%
33/1-
Man Utd 4-1
3%
28/1-
Over 2.5 Goals
60%
4/6-
Under 2.5 Goals
40%
6/5-
Home 1st Goal
52%
8/13-
Away 1st Goal
45%
11/8-
No 1st Goal
3%
14/1-
BTTS - Yes
61%
8/13-
BTTS - No
39%
6/5-
BTTS - Home Win
27%
12/5-
BTTS - Draw
18%
7/2-
BTTS - Away Win
15%
11/2-
Home/draw
73%
2/9-
Away/draw
50%
19/20-
Home/away
77%
1/4-
Over 1.5 Goals
82%
1/5-
Under 1.5 Goals
18%
7/2-
Over 3.5 Goals
38%
13/8-
Under 3.5 Goals
62%
1/2-
Over 4.5 Goals
20%
7/2-
Under 4.5 Goals
80%
1/5-
Over 5.5 Goals
10%
8/1-
Under 5.5 Goals
90%
1/14-
Over 0.5 Goals
96%
1/33-
Under 0.5 Goals
4%
14/1-
Home DNB
66%
4/11-
Away DNB
43%
2/1-
Man Utd win to nil
23%
5/2-
A Villa win to nil
12%
7/1-
Man Utd / Man Utd
30%
15/8-
Man Utd / A Villa
3%
33/1-
Man Utd / Draw
6%
14/1-
Draw / Man Utd
17%
4/1-
Draw / A Villa
9%
17/2-
Draw / Draw
13%
11/2-
A Villa / Man Utd
4%
20/1-
A Villa / A Villa
12%
6/1-
A Villa / Draw
6%
14/1-
Win / draw / win Premier League table

Man Utd have played 28 matches so far this season and lay in 3rd place in the Premier League league table.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 24 games against teams below in the table, having won 12, drawn 9 and lost 3 matches. They have kept 4 clean sheets and have failed to score in 1 fixture. Man Utd have outscored their opponents by 50 goals to 38 goals.

Home League Performance

Man Utd have played 14 games at home winning 9, drawing 3 and losing 2 games. They have scored 27 goals, kept 4 clean sheets and conceded 16 goals at home.

A Villa are in 4th position in the Premier League on 51 points having played 28 matches so far this season.

Away League Performance

4 of those games have been losing matches. They have conceded 19 goals and kept 3 clean sheets. They have scored 18 goals in total and failed to score in 5 fixtures.

Performance against teams above them in the league

4 games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 1 games, drawn 0 and won 3. A Villa have conceded 6 goals, scored 6, scored in every game and have kept 1 clean sheet.

Won
Draw
Lost
Man Utd
A Villa
Results by League Table
TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY HOME AWAY
1
Arsenal2919733664 
l
 
0-1A
w
 
2-3A
w
 
2-1F
l
 
4-1A
2
Man City2818553259 
w
 
2-0F
l
 
3-0A
w
 
1-0F
May 24
3
Man Utd2814951251 
-
-
w
 
2-1A
Mar 15
4
A Villa281567851 
Mar 15
l
 
2-1F
-
-
5
Liverpool2814681048 
May 2
w
 
1-2F
May 17
l
 
2-0A
6
Chelsea2812971645 
w
 
2-1F
Apr 18
Mar 4
w
 
1-2A
7
Brentford2813411443 
Apr 25
l
 
3-1A
l
 
0-1A
l
 
1-0A
8
Everton2811710-140 
l
 
0-1A
w
 
0-1F
l
 
0-1A
d
 
0-00-0
9
Fulham2812412-240 
w
 
3-2F
d
 
1-1F
w
 
3-1A
Apr 25
10
Bournemouth289127-239 
d
 
4-4F
Mar 20
w
 
4-0F
d
 
1-1F
11
Brighton289109337 
w
 
4-2F
May 24
w
 
1-0F
w
 
3-4A
12
Sunderland289109-537 
w
 
2-0F
May 9
Apr 18
d
 
1-1F
13
Newcastle2810612-236 
w
 
1-0F
Mar 4
d
 
0-00-0
w
 
0-2F
14
C Palace289811-435 
w
 
2-1A
w
 
1-2A
l
 
0-3A
d
 
0-00-0
15
Leeds2871011-1031 
Apr 11
d
 
1-1A
d
 
1-1A
w
 
1-2A
16
Spurs287813-529 
w
 
2-0F
d
 
2-2F
May 2
w
 
1-2A
17
Nottm Forest287615-1527 
May 17
d
 
2-2F
w
 
3-1F
Apr 11
18
West Ham286715-2025 
d
 
1-1F
d
 
1-1A
Mar 22
w
 
2-3A
19
Burnley284717-2419 
w
 
3-2F
d
 
2-2A
w
 
2-1F
May 9
20
Wolves292720-3113 
d
 
1-1F
w
 
1-4F
w
 
1-0F
l
 
2-0A
Win / draw / win form
Man Utd 3RD
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
31
Conceded
23
Games: Scored
14 / 20
Conceded
14 / 20
Clean sheets
6 / 20
Failed to score
6 / 20
Won
10
Draw
5
Lost
5
Goals: Scored
39
Conceded
26
Games: Scored
19 / 20
Conceded
16 / 20
Clean sheets
4 / 20
Failed to score
1 / 20
Won
10
Draw
8
L
2
A Villa 4TH
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
27
Conceded
23
Games: Scored
14 / 20
Conceded
13 / 20
Clean sheets
7 / 20
Failed to score
6 / 20
Won
10
D
4
Lost
6
Goals: Scored
30
Conceded
22
Games: Scored
15 / 20
Conceded
14 / 20
Clean sheets
6 / 20
Failed to score
5 / 20
Won
12
D
3
Lost
5
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
League games at Man Utd since 1993
Man Utd
A Villa
Goals: Scored
61
18
Games: Scored
26 / 30
15 / 30
Clean sheets
15 / 30
4 / 30
MNU
23
D
5
AVL
2
League games at A Villa since 1992
A Villa
Man Utd
Goals: Scored
24
48
Games: Scored
16 / 31
27 / 31
Clean sheets
4 / 31
15 / 31
MNU
18
D
9
AVL
4
Goal Statistics

Manchester United have been reliable in front of goal of late, scoring in 15 consecutive English Premier League games. Their PG of 1.8 against Aston Villa on Sunday suggests they're likely to extend that run.

Goals have been difficult to come by for Aston Villa of late. It has been 5 English Premier League games since they last scored more than 1, and a PG of 1.3 suggests they'll struggle to end that run on Sunday afternoon against Manchester United.

Man Utd 3rd A Villa 4th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.8
goals
1.3
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
16%
1
29%
2
27%
3
16%
4+
11%
There is a 84% probability that Man Utd will score 1 or more goals
0
27%
1
35%
2
23%
3
10%
4+
There is a 73% probability that A Villa will score 1 or more goals
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
-7
Man Utd’s goalscoring at home has been inline with predictions
=0
A Villa’s goalscoring when away has been inline with predictions
1.6
average goals scored
1.4
average goals scored
1.2
conceded
1.2
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Premier League - 2025/2026 season
Man Utd
PG (predicted goals)
A Villa
1.8
1.3
Attack rating
%
better
MNU
AVL
view stats
Games scored0
0
Failed to score0
0
Scored first0
0
Goals scored0
0
Avg. goals scored0
0
Avg. shots per game0
0
Avg. shots per goal0
0
Conversion rate for0
0
Avg. XG for0
0
KickOff rating
0%
Defence rating
%
better
MNU
AVL
view stats
Games conceded0
0
Clean sheets0
0
Conceded first0
0
Goals conceded0
0
Avg. goals conceded0
0
Avg. shots/game conceded0
0
Avg. shots/goal conceded0
0
Conversion rate against0%
0%
Avg. XG against0
0
KickOff rating
0%

Man Utd v A Villa Premier League lLine ups will show here when available.

Man Utd Premier League squad statistics 2025/2026
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
279128
L ShawB MbeumoB FernandesCasemiro
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
L Shaw DEF271
4
-
D Dalot DEF2513
4
-
Casemiro MID2552
7
1
L Yoro DEF24
-
B Fernandes MID24612
3
-
M Cunha FWD2462
1
-
P. Chinazaekpere Dorgu DEF2233
5
-
B Sesko FWD2271
1
-
B Mbeumo FWD2293
3
-
S Lammens GLK21
-
A Diallo FWD2122
2
-
K Mainoo MID182
-
M Ugarte MID18
1
-
M Mount  MID173
-
J Zirkzee FWD1621
1
-
L Martínez  DEF14
-
H Maguire DEF1411
2
-
M Ligt DEF131
-
N Mazraoui  DEF13
2
-
A. Heaven DEF121
1
-
A Bayındır GLK6
-
T Fredricson DEF1
-
T Malacia DEF1
-
A Villa Premier League squad statistics 2025/2026
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
28856
M RogersM RogersM RogersM Cash
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
M Rogers MID2885
5
-
E Konsa DEF27
1
O Watkins FWD2781
1
-
M Cash DEF2632
6
-
E Buendía MID2652
5
-
E Martínez GLK24
2
-
L Digne DEF244
3
-
I Maatsen DEF22
2
-
J McGinn MID2232
3
-
L Bogarde MID22
5
-
A Onana MID192
2
-
B Kamara MID1813
5
-
Y Tielemans MID174
-
J Sancho FWD171
-
P Torres DEF16
-
V Lindelöf DEF121
-
T Mings DEF11
-
R Barkley MID111
-
L Bailey FWD6
1
-
M Bizot GLK5
2
-
D Luiz MID5
-
T Abraham FWD51
-
H Elliot MID4
-
A García DEF3
-
A. da Rocha dos Santos FWD2
-