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Sunderland v Brighton and Hove Albion : Premier League match betting preview, prediction and odds

Sat 14th Mar, 15:00 BST, Stadium of Light, Sunderland

Brighton and Hove Albion are away on Saturday afternoon, as manager Fabian Hürzeler takes his team to visit Sunderland and Régis Le Bris at the Stadium of Light in the English Premier League. We want you to make a winning bet on this match, so every statistics you could possibly need to make a sound selection is published below. Go between seventeen betting markets or take our top tip. We have predictions, head to head (H2H) analysis and odds from the UK's biggest bookmakers for it all.


Want to know who’s consistently beating the odds? Check out the Top Premier League Tipsters and see the most profitable experts for this season!

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Best Tip: Under 3.5 goals

It's our view that there's not a clear favourite to to get the win in this one, but does appear clear is that the odds suggest it'll have a maximum of 3 goals. Our statistical analysis draws the same conclusion. Sunderland and Brighton have served up a lot of under 3.5 goal games lately, and key performance stats point towards those records being extended. We're confidently predicting under 3.5 goals on Saturday afternoon, and the bookmakers have it priced at 1.29.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think Sunderland are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 39% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 3.00.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Sunderland
39%
23/102/1
Draw
27%
23/1011/5
Brighton
34%
11/1029/20
Draw 1-1
13%
6/15/1
Sunderland 1-0
10%
10/115/2
Brighton 1-0
10%
15/27/1
Sunderland 2-1
8%
12/19/1
Draw 0-0
8%
9/115/2
Brighton 2-1
8%
9/18/1
Sunderland 2-0
7%
18/112/1
Brighton 2-0
6%
10/110/1
Draw 2-2
5%
14/111/1
Sunderland 3-1
4%
28/118/1
Brighton 3-1
3%
18/116/1
Sunderland 3-0
3%
40/122/1
Brighton 3-0
2%
20/118/1
Sunderland 3-2
2%
40/125/1
Brighton 3-2
2%
28/122/1
Over 2.5 Goals
47%
10/111/1
Under 2.5 Goals
53%
10/118/11
Home 1st Goal
49%
5/411/10
Away 1st Goal
47%
8/1119/20
No 1st Goal
5%
9/17/1
BTTS - Yes
52%
3/43/4
BTTS - No
48%
1/119/20
BTTS - Home Win
17%
11/29/2
BTTS - Draw
19%
7/216/5
BTTS - Away Win
16%
10/318/5
Home/draw
66%
7/108/15
Away/draw
61%
1/32/5
Home/away
73%
1/37/20
Over 1.5 Goals
72%
2/71/3
Under 1.5 Goals
28%
11/421/10
Over 3.5 Goals
25%
12/55/2
Under 3.5 Goals
75%
1/32/7
Over 4.5 Goals
12%
5/16/1
Under 4.5 Goals
88%
1/81/11
Over 5.5 Goals
5%
12/112/1
Under 5.5 Goals
95%
1/251/50
Over 0.5 Goals
92%
1/201/16
Under 0.5 Goals
8%
10/17/1
Home DNB
58%
11/821/20
Away DNB
53%
8/157/10
Sunderland win to nil
21%
5/1-
Brighton win to nil
19%
11/4-
Sunderland / Sunderland
16%
9/27/2
Sunderland / Brighton
3%
25/120/1
Sunderland / Draw
6%
14/111/1
Draw / Sunderland
12%
13/211/2
Draw / Brighton
15%
9/219/4
Draw / Draw
17%
9/217/5
Brighton / Sunderland
3%
33/122/1
Brighton / Brighton
23%
5/211/4
Brighton / Draw
6%
14/111/1
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Win / draw / win Premier League table

Sunderland have played 28 matches so far this season and are in 12th position in the league.

Performance against teams above them in the league

17 of those games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 7 games, drawn 7 and won 3. Sunderland have conceded 26 goals, scored 14, failed to score in 8 matches and kept 2 clean sheets.

Home league performance

Sunderland have played 14 games at home, winning 7, drawing 5 and losing 2 fixtures. They have scored 22 goals, conceded 13 goals, kept 5 clean sheets and failed to score 2 times in home league games.

Brighton lay in 11th place on 37 points in the Premier League league table having played 28 matches.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 12 games against teams below them in the table, winning 5, drawing 6 and losing 1 game. They have scored 17 goals and kept 5 clean sheets against lower placed opposition. Brighton have conceded 9 goals and have failed to score in 3 matches.

Away league performance

Brighton have played 14 away games, winning 3, drawing 4 and losing 7 games. They have scored an average of 1.1 goals per away game and conceded an average 1.4 goals per away game.

Won
Draw
Lost
Sunderland
Brighton
Results by League Table
TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY HOME AWAY
1
Arsenal2919733664 
d
 
2-2F
l
 
3-0A
Mar 4
l
 
2-1A
2
Man City2818553259 
d
 
0-00-0
l
 
3-0A
w
 
2-1A
d
 
1-1A
3
Man Utd2814951251 
May 9
l
 
2-0A
May 24
l
 
4-2A
4
A Villa281567851 
d
 
1-1A
Apr 18
l
 
3-4F
l
 
1-0A
5
Liverpool2814681048 
l
 
0-1A
d
 
1-1F
Mar 21
l
 
2-0A
6
Chelsea2812971645 
May 24
w
 
1-2A
Apr 25
w
 
1-3A
7
Brentford2813411443 
w
 
2-1A
l
 
3-0A
w
 
2-1A
w
 
0-2F
8
Everton2811710-140 
d
 
1-1A
May 17
d
 
1-1F
l
 
2-0A
9
Fulham2812412-240 
l
 
1-3A
l
 
1-0A
d
 
1-1F
l
 
2-1F
10
Bournemouth289127-239 
w
 
3-2A
d
 
1-1F
d
 
1-1A
l
 
2-1A
11
Brighton289109337 
Mar 14
d
 
0-00-0
-
-
12
Sunderland289109-537 
-
-
d
 
0-00-0
Mar 14
13
Newcastle2810612-236 
w
 
1-0F
Mar 22
w
 
2-1F
May 2
14
C Palace289811-435 
w
 
2-1A
d
 
0-00-0
l
 
0-1A
d
 
0-00-0
15
Leeds2871011-1031 
d
 
1-1F
Mar 3
w
 
3-0F
May 17
16
Spurs287813-529 
Apr 11
d
 
1-1A
d
 
2-2F
Apr 18
17
Nottm Forest287615-1527 
Apr 25
w
 
0-1F
w
 
2-1F
w
 
0-2F
18
West Ham286715-2025 
w
 
3-0F
l
 
3-1A
d
 
1-1A
d
 
2-2A
19
Burnley284717-2419 
w
 
3-0F
l
 
2-0A
w
 
2-0F
Apr 11
20
Wolves292720-3113 
w
 
2-0F
May 2
May 9
d
 
1-1A
Win / draw / win form
Sunderland 12TH
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
24
Conceded
18
Games: Scored
14 / 20
Conceded
14 / 20
Clean sheets
6 / 20
Failed to score
6 / 20
Won
8
Draw
6
Lost
6
HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Sunderland1 - 3Fulham
Sunderland0 - 1Liverpool
Sunderland3 - 0Burnley
Sunderland2 - 1C Palace
Sunderland0 - 0Man City
Sunderland1 - 1Leeds
Sunderland1 - 0Newcastle
Sunderland3 - 2Bournemouth
Sunderland2 - 2Arsenal
Sunderland1 - 1Everton
Sunderland2 - 0Wolves
Sunderland1 - 1A Villa
Sunderland2 - 1Brentford
Sunderland3 - 0West Ham
Sunderland0 - 1Coventry
Sunderland0 - 1QPR
Sunderland0 - 1Blackburn
Sunderland0 - 1Swansea
Sunderland1 - 0Millwall
Sunderland1 - 1Preston
Goals: Scored
20
Conceded
28
Games: Scored
13 / 20
Conceded
16 / 20
Clean sheets
4 / 20
Failed to score
7 / 20
Won
5
Draw
8
Lost
7
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
ASunderland1 - 1Bournemouth
HSunderland1 - 3Fulham
HSunderland0 - 1Liverpool
ASunderland0 - 3Arsenal
HSunderland3 - 0Burnley
ASunderland1 - 3West Ham
HSunderland2 - 1C Palace
ASunderland0 - 3Brentford
ASunderland1 - 1Spurs
HSunderland0 - 0Man City
HSunderland1 - 1Leeds
ASunderland0 - 0Brighton
HSunderland1 - 0Newcastle
ASunderland0 - 3Man City
ASunderland1 - 1Liverpool
HSunderland3 - 2Bournemouth
ASunderland0 - 1Fulham
HSunderland2 - 2Arsenal
HSunderland1 - 1Everton
ASunderland2 - 1Chelsea
Brighton 11TH
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
31
Conceded
29
Games: Scored
16 / 20
Conceded
15 / 20
Clean sheets
5 / 20
Failed to score
4 / 20
Won
6
Draw
5
Lost
9
AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Brentford0 - 2Brighton
A Villa1 - 0Brighton
Fulham2 - 1Brighton
Man City1 - 1Brighton
West Ham2 - 2Brighton
Arsenal2 - 1Brighton
Liverpool2 - 0Brighton
Nottm Forest0 - 2Brighton
C Palace0 - 0Brighton
Man Utd4 - 2Brighton
Wolves1 - 1Brighton
Chelsea1 - 3Brighton
Bournemouth2 - 1Brighton
Everton2 - 0Brighton
Spurs1 - 4Brighton
Wolves0 - 2Brighton
Brentford4 - 2Brighton
C Palace2 - 1Brighton
Man City2 - 2Brighton
Southampton0 - 4Brighton
Goals: Scored
26
Conceded
24
Games: Scored
15 / 20
Conceded
14 / 20
Clean sheets
6 / 20
Failed to score
5 / 20
Won
6
Draw
7
Lost
7
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
ABrighton2 - 0Brentford
ABrighton0 - 1A Villa
HBrighton0 - 1C Palace
HBrighton1 - 1Everton
ABrighton1 - 2Fulham
HBrighton1 - 1Bournemouth
ABrighton1 - 1Man City
HBrighton2 - 0Burnley
ABrighton2 - 2West Ham
ABrighton1 - 2Arsenal
HBrighton0 - 0Sunderland
ABrighton0 - 2Liverpool
HBrighton1 - 1West Ham
HBrighton3 - 4A Villa
ABrighton2 - 0Nottm Forest
HBrighton2 - 1Brentford
ABrighton0 - 0C Palace
HBrighton3 - 0Leeds
ABrighton2 - 4Man Utd
HBrighton2 - 1Newcastle
Goal Statistics
Sunderland 12th Brighton 11th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.3
goals
1.2
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
27%
1
35%
2
23%
3
10%
4+
There is a 62% probability that Sunderland will score no more than 1 goal
0
29%
1
36%
2
22%
3
9%
4+
There is a 65% probability that Brighton will score no more than 1 goal
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
-16
Sunderland have scored 16% fewer goals at home than predicted
+10
Brighton’s goalscoring when away has been inline with predictions
1.2
average goals scored
1.6
average goals scored
0.9
conceded
1.5
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Premier League - 2025/2026 season
Sunderland
PG (predicted goals)
Brighton
1.3
1.2
Attack rating
SUN
BHA
17%
better
view stats
Games scored17
21
Failed to score10
6
Scored first8
10
Goals scored28
36
Avg. goals scored1
1.3
Avg. shots per game7
9
Avg. shots per goal7
7
Conversion rate for15
14
Avg. XG for1.1
1.4
KickOff rating
+17%
Defence rating
7%
better
SUN
BHA
view stats
Games conceded19
21
Clean sheets8
6
Conceded first16
15
Goals conceded33
34
Avg. goals conceded1.2
1.3
Avg. shots/game conceded10
9
Avg. shots/goal conceded8
7
Conversion rate against12%
14%
Avg. XG against1.8
1.6
KickOff rating
+7%

Sunderland v Brighton Premier League lLine ups will show here when available.

Sunderland Premier League squad statistics 2025/2026
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
28557
R RoefsB BrobbeyG XhakaT Hume
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
R Roefs GLK28
3
-
T Hume DEF281
7
-
E Fée MID2744
5
-
N Mukiele DEF2514
4
-
W Isidor FWD254
2
-
O Alderete DEF2411
4
-
D Ballard DEF2421
3
-
G Xhaka MID2415
4
-
N Sadiki MID231
6
-
L Geertruida DEF22
-
B Brobbey FWD2251
3
-
C Talbi FWD2131
-
R Mandava DEF171
6
1
E Mayenda FWD162
-
R Mundle FWD14
1
-
H Diarra MID111
3
-
B Traoré FWD111
1
-
C Rigg MID10
-
D Cirkin DEF6
1
-
L O'Nien DEF5
1
N Angulo FWD4
-
D. Bi FWD1
-
Brighton Premier League squad statistics 2025/2026
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
27948
B VerbruggenD WelbeckY MintehL Dunk
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
B Verbruggen GLK27
3
-
F Kadioglu DEF26
5
-
L Dunk DEF26
8
-
D Welbeck FWD269
4
-
J Hecke DEF2532
7
-
D Amarilla MID244
6
-
Y Minteh FWD2414
-
G Rutter FWD2323
2
-
M Cuyper DEF222
2
-
C Quomah MID22
5
-
Y Ayari MID2132
-
M Wieffer MID173
5
-
K Mitoma FWD1721
2
-
J Milner  MID1611
2
-
J Hinshelwood MID1611
-
C. Kostoulas FWD1621
2
-
J Veltman DEF151
4
-
S Tzimas FWD911
-
P Groß MID81
2
-
O Boscagli DEF71
1
-
M O'Riley MID31
-