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Borussia Dortmund v Hamburger SV : Bundesliga match betting preview, prediction and odds

Sat 21st Mar, 17:30 BST, Signal Iduna Park, Dortmund

It's a long trek for Merlin Polzin's Hamburger SV side on Saturday evening, as they travel to the Signal Iduna Park for a Bundesliga meeting with Niko Kovač's Borussia Dortmund. The predictions for all the markets are based on the past 20 games each side has played (at home, away or overall) with extra weighting given to top teams. All the stats and graphics are designed specifically for the betting market in question. Head-to-head stats for this fixture are also given where our data allows. Odds are provided directly from from leading bookmakers.


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In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Dortmund
59%
--
Draw
22%
--
Hamburg
20%
--
Draw 1-1
10%
--
Dortmund 2-1
10%
--
Dortmund 1-0
10%
--
Dortmund 2-0
10%
--
Dortmund 3-1
6%
--
Dortmund 3-0
6%
--
Hamburg 2-1
5%
--
Hamburg 1-0
5%
--
Draw 2-2
5%
--
Draw 0-0
5%
--
Dortmund 3-2
3%
--
Dortmund 4-1
3%
--
Dortmund 4-0
3%
--
Hamburg 2-0
3%
--
Hamburg 3-1
2%
--
Over 2.5 Goals
58%
--
Under 2.5 Goals
42%
--
Home 1st Goal
56%
--
Away 1st Goal
42%
--
No 1st Goal
3%
--
BTTS - Yes
56%
--
BTTS - No
44%
--
BTTS - Home Win
28%
--
BTTS - Draw
17%
--
BTTS - Away Win
11%
--
Home/draw
80%
--
Away/draw
41%
--
Home/away
78%
--
Over 1.5 Goals
80%
--
Under 1.5 Goals
20%
--
Over 3.5 Goals
35%
--
Under 3.5 Goals
65%
--
Over 4.5 Goals
18%
--
Under 4.5 Goals
82%
--
Over 5.5 Goals
8%
--
Under 5.5 Goals
92%
--
Over 0.5 Goals
95%
--
Under 0.5 Goals
5%
--
Home DNB
74%
--
Away DNB
35%
--
Dortmund win to nil
30%
--
Hamburg win to nil
9%
--
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Win / draw / win Bundesliga table

Dortmund have played 25 matches so far this season and lay in 2nd place in the Bundesliga league table. Dortmund are unbeaten in 23 games against teams below them in the league and kept 11 clean sheets out of 23 games.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 23 games against teams below in the table, having won 16, drawn 7 and lost no matches. They have kept 11 clean sheets and have scored in every game. Dortmund have outscored their opponents by 53 goals to 28 goals.

Home League Performance

Dortmund have played 12 games at home winning 9, drawing 2 and losing 1 game. They have scored 28 goals, kept 7 clean sheets and conceded 11 goals at home.

Hamburg are in 10th position in the Bundesliga on 29 points having played 25 matches so far this season.

Away League Performance

6 of those games have been losing matches. They have conceded 20 goals and kept 4 clean sheets. They have scored 9 goals in total and failed to score in 5 fixtures.

Performance against teams above them in the league

11 games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 7 games, drawn 3 and won 1. Hamburg have conceded 22 goals, scored 10, failed to score in 3 fixtures and have kept no clean sheets.

Won
Draw
Lost
Dortmund
Hamburg
Results by League Table
TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY HOME AWAY
1
Bayern2521316866 
l
 
2-3F
l
 
2-1A
d
 
2-2F
l
 
5-0A
2
Dortmund2516722755 
-
-
d
 
1-1A
Mar 21
3
Hoffenheim2515462049 
w
 
2-0F
Apr 18
Apr 25
l
 
4-1A
4
Stuttgart2514561647 
d
 
3-3F
Apr 4
w
 
2-1F
Apr 12
5
RB Leipzig2514561447 
d
 
1-1A
d
 
2-2A
l
 
1-2F
l
 
2-1A
6
Leverkusen2513571644 
Apr 11
w
 
1-2F
l
 
0-1A
May 16
7
E.Frankfurt24978-134 
May 9
d
 
3-3F
d
 
1-1F
May 2
8
Freiburg25979-534 
Apr 25
d
 
1-1F
May 9
l
 
2-1F
9
Augsburg259412-1231 
Mar 14
w
 
0-1F
Apr 4
l
 
1-0A
10
Hamburg257810-829 
Mar 21
d
 
1-1F
-
-
11
Union Berlin247710-928 
w
 
3-0F
w
 
0-3F
w
 
3-2A
d
 
0-00-0
12
B. M'gladbach256712-1525 
w
 
2-0F
May 2
d
 
0-00-0
d
 
0-00-0
13
Köln256613-924 
w
 
1-0F
w
 
1-2F
Mar 14
l
 
4-1A
14
Mainz255911-1224 
w
 
4-0F
w
 
0-2F
w
 
4-0F
d
 
1-1A
15
St. Pauli246513-1723 
w
 
3-2F
d
 
3-3F
l
 
0-2A
d
 
0-00-0
16
W.Bremen245712-1922 
w
 
3-0F
May 16
w
 
3-2A
Apr 18
17
Wolfsburg255515-2120 
w
 
1-0F
w
 
1-2F
l
 
0-1A
w
 
1-2A
18
Heidenheim253517-3314 
w
 
3-2F
w
 
0-2F
w
 
2-1F
w
 
0-2F
Win / draw / win form
Dortmund 2ND
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
50
Conceded
19
Games: Scored
19 / 20
Conceded
10 / 20
Clean sheets
10 / 20
Failed to score
1 / 20
Won
14
D
3
L
3
HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Dortmund2 - 3Bayern
Dortmund4 - 0Mainz
Dortmund3 - 2Heidenheim
Dortmund3 - 2St. Pauli
Dortmund3 - 0W.Bremen
Dortmund2 - 0B. M'gladbach
Dortmund2 - 0Hoffenheim
Dortmund3 - 3Stuttgart
Dortmund1 - 0Köln
Dortmund1 - 1RB Leipzig
Dortmund1 - 0Wolfsburg
Dortmund3 - 0Union Berlin
Dortmund3 - 0Holstein
Dortmund4 - 0Wolfsburg
Dortmund3 - 2B. M'gladbach
Dortmund3 - 1Mainz
Dortmund0 - 1Augsburg
Dortmund6 - 0Union Berlin
Dortmund1 - 2Stuttgart
Dortmund2 - 2W.Bremen
Goals: Scored
42
Conceded
23
Games: Scored
20 / 20
Conceded
13 / 20
Clean sheets
7 / 20
Failed to score
0 / 20
Won
12
Draw
6
L
2
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
ADortmund2 - 1Köln
HDortmund2 - 3Bayern
ADortmund2 - 2RB Leipzig
HDortmund4 - 0Mainz
ADortmund2 - 1Wolfsburg
HDortmund3 - 2Heidenheim
ADortmund3 - 0Union Berlin
HDortmund3 - 2St. Pauli
HDortmund3 - 0W.Bremen
ADortmund3 - 3E.Frankfurt
HDortmund2 - 0B. M'gladbach
ADortmund1 - 1Freiburg
HDortmund2 - 0Hoffenheim
ADortmund2 - 1Leverkusen
HDortmund3 - 3Stuttgart
ADortmund1 - 1Hamburg
ADortmund1 - 0Augsburg
HDortmund1 - 0Köln
ADortmund1 - 2Bayern
HDortmund1 - 1RB Leipzig
Hamburg 10TH
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
26
Conceded
29
Games: Scored
14 / 20
Conceded
13 / 20
Clean sheets
7 / 20
Failed to score
6 / 20
Won
6
Draw
6
Lost
8
AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Wolfsburg1 - 2Hamburg
Mainz1 - 1Hamburg
Heidenheim0 - 2Hamburg
St. Pauli0 - 0Hamburg
Freiburg2 - 1Hamburg
Hoffenheim4 - 1Hamburg
Augsburg1 - 0Hamburg
Köln4 - 1Hamburg
RB Leipzig2 - 1Hamburg
Union Berlin0 - 0Hamburg
Bayern5 - 0Hamburg
B. M'gladbach0 - 0Hamburg
Greuther3 - 2Hamburg
Darmstadt0 - 4Hamburg
Schalke2 - 2Hamburg
Nurnberg0 - 3Hamburg
Magdeburg0 - 3Hamburg
Paderborn2 - 0Hamburg
Regensburg1 - 1Hamburg
Preussen Munster1 - 2Hamburg
Goals: Scored
26
Conceded
28
Games: Scored
15 / 20
Conceded
16 / 20
Clean sheets
4 / 20
Failed to score
5 / 20
Won
6
Draw
6
Lost
8
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
AHamburg2 - 1Wolfsburg
HHamburg0 - 1Leverkusen
HHamburg1 - 2RB Leipzig
AHamburg1 - 1Mainz
HHamburg3 - 2Union Berlin
AHamburg2 - 0Heidenheim
HHamburg2 - 2Bayern
AHamburg0 - 0St. Pauli
HHamburg0 - 0B. M'gladbach
AHamburg1 - 2Freiburg
HHamburg1 - 1E.Frankfurt
AHamburg1 - 4Hoffenheim
HHamburg3 - 2W.Bremen
HHamburg2 - 1Stuttgart
AHamburg0 - 1Augsburg
HHamburg1 - 1Dortmund
AHamburg1 - 4Köln
HHamburg0 - 1Wolfsburg
AHamburg1 - 2RB Leipzig
HHamburg4 - 0Mainz
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
3
Dortmund have beaten Hamburg in 3 consecutive home league meetings
6
Dortmund have not lost to Hamburg in 6 consecutive league meetings
3
Dortmund have kept a clean sheet in 3 consecutive home league meetings with Hamburg
League games at Dortmund since 2013
Dortmund
Hamburg
Goals: Scored
15
7
Games: Scored
5 / 6
3 / 6
Clean sheets
3 / 6
1 / 6
BVB
4
HSV
2
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Dortmund
Dortmund2 - 0
Dortmund3 - 0
Dortmund3 - 0
0 - 1Hamburg
Dortmund6 - 2
1 - 4Hamburg
League games at Hamburg since 2012
Hamburg
Dortmund
Goals: Scored
12
12
Games: Scored
5 / 6
5 / 6
Clean sheets
1 / 6
1 / 6
BVB
2
D
1
HSV
3
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Hamburg
Draw1 - 1Draw
0 - 3Dortmund
2 - 5Dortmund
Hamburg3 - 1
Hamburg3 - 0
Hamburg3 - 2
Goal Statistics

Borussia Dortmund's forwards have been in fine form of late, scoring 2 goals or more in 10 consecutive Bundesliga games. A PG of 2.1 suggests that run should continue on Saturday evening.

Dortmund 2nd Hamburg 10th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
2.0
goals
1.0
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
14%
1
28%
2
27%
3
18%
4+
14%
There is a 86% probability that Dortmund will score 1 or more goals
0
35%
1
37%
2
19%
3
4+
There is a 72% probability that Hamburg will score no more than 1 goal
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
+21
Dortmund have scored 21% more goals at home than predicted
-8
Hamburg’s goalscoring when away has been inline with predictions
2.5
average goals scored
1.3
average goals scored
1.0
conceded
1.5
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Bundesliga - 2025/2025 season
Dortmund
PG (predicted goals)
Hamburg
2
1
Attack rating
51%
better
BVB
HSV
view stats
Games scored24
15
Failed to score0
9
Scored first21
8
Goals scored51
26
Avg. goals scored2
1
Avg. shots per game9
9
Avg. shots per goal4
9
Conversion rate for23
11
Avg. XG for1.8
1.3
KickOff rating
+51%
Defence rating
31%
better
BVB
HSV
view stats
Games conceded13
18
Clean sheets11
6
Conceded first3
12
Goals conceded25
35
Avg. goals conceded1
1.4
Avg. shots/game conceded8
10
Avg. shots/goal conceded8
7
Conversion rate against13%
14%
Avg. XG against1.3
1.6
KickOff rating
+31%

Dortmund v Hamburg Bundesliga lLine ups will show here when available.

Dortmund Bundesliga squad statistics 2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
2512116
G KobelS Guirassy J RyersonN Schlotterbeck
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
G Kobel GLK25
2
-
D Svensson DEF2522
-
F Nmecha MID2523
-
S Guirassy  FWD24122
2
-
W Anton DEF232
3
-
J Bellingham MID232
1
1
M Beier FWD2384
2
-
K Adeyemi  FWD2353
3
-
J Ryerson DEF2211
5
-
J Brandt MID2063
-
N Schlotterbeck DEF1941
6
-
C Chukwuemeka MID192
1
-
F Silva FWD1915
3
-
M Sabitzer  MID1812
2
-
R Bensebaini DEF162
5
-
Y Couto MID1613
4
-
P Groß MID111
-
E Can DEF93
3
-
N Süle DEF91
3
-
S Özcan MID7
-
A Anselmino DEF61
-
F. Mane DEF4
1
W Campbell FWD1
-
Hamburg Bundesliga squad statistics 2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
25548
D FernandesL. VuškovićM MuheimN Remberg
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
D Fernandes GLK25
3
-
R Königsdörffer FWD2542
1
-
M Muheim DEF244
5
-
N Remberg MID241
8
-
L. Vušković DEF225
5
-
R Philippe FWD225
2
-
G Gocholeishvili DEF202
2
1
F Vieira MID2044
3
2
N Capaldo  MID2011
6
-
W Mikelbrencis DEF192
2
-
A Lokonga MID194
2
-
D Elfadli DEF18
5
1
M Dompé FWD183
-
J Torunarigha DEF16
1
-
R Glatzel FWD1411
-
Y Poulsen FWD121
4
-
W Omari DEF11
-
B Jatta FWD111
-
F. Uri Baldé FWD111
-
A. Røssing-Lelesiit FWD111
2
1
G Ramos DEF8
-
I Pherai MID6
1
1
A. Souhmahoro DEF4
1
-
J Meffert MID4
-
E Sahiti FWD2
-