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Hamburger SV v FC Koln : Bundesliga match betting preview, prediction and odds

Sat 14th Mar, 17:30 BST, Volksparkstadion, Hamburg

It's an away trip for Lukas Kwasniok's FC Koln side on Saturday evening, as they head to the Volksparkstadion for a Bundesliga clash with Merlin Polzin's Hamburger SV. Below there are predictions for seventeen major betting markets, supporting stats including head to heads (H2Hs), and odds. Access it all via the tabs below.

Want to know who’s consistently beating the odds? Check out the Top Bundesliga Tipsters and see the most profitable experts for this season!

If you’re keen on betting across various leagues and markets, our Live Bets page showcases active accumulator bets and real-time tips.

Best Tip: Over 1.5 goals

The stats suggest there's no obvious winner here, but good reason to think Hamburg and Köln will score at least a couple of goals between them. That has been the case when they've gone head-to-head in years gone by, and neither Merlin Polzin or Lukas Kwasniok has served up too many 0-0s lately either. The bookmakers predict over 1.5 goals too, with top odds of 1.25 equating to approximately a 78% probability.

If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think Hamburg are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 49% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 2.10.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Predictions	Bet365	Coral
Hamburg 49%	2.00	2.10 2%
Draw 25%	3.50	3.60 6%
Köln 27%	3.40	3.30 8%
Draw 1-1 12%	7.00	6.50
Hamburg 1-0 10%	9.00	8.00 7%
Hamburg 2-1 10%	9.00	8.00
Hamburg 2-0 8%	11.00	9.50 6%
Köln 1-0 7%	12.00	10.00
Köln 2-1 7%	12.00	10.00 9%
Draw 0-0 6%	13.00	10.00 5%
Draw 2-2 5%	13.00	11.00
Hamburg 3-1 5%	15.00	13.00
Hamburg 3-0 5%	19.00	15.00
Köln 2-0 4%	19.00	15.00
Hamburg 3-2 3%	23.00	19.00
Köln 3-1 3%	26.00	19.00 10%
Hamburg 4-1 2%	34.00	23.00
Köln 3-2 2%	29.00	23.00
Over 2.5 Goals 52%	1.80	1.75 3%
Under 2.5 Goals 48%	2.00	2.00 3%
Home 1st Goal 52%	1.73	1.75 3%
Away 1st Goal 44%	2.20	2.25 6%
No 1st Goal 4%	13.00	10.00 5%
BTTS - Yes 55%	1.67	1.67 2%
BTTS - No 45%	2.10	2.10 2%
BTTS - Home Win 23%	3.75	3.80
BTTS - Draw 18%	4.50	4.20
BTTS - Away Win 13%	6.00	5.50 8%
Home/draw 74%	1.30	1.33 3%
Away/draw 51%	1.80	1.73 1%
Home/away 75%	1.29	1.29 1%
Over 1.5 Goals 76%	1.25	1.25
Under 1.5 Goals 24%	4.00	3.80 6%
Over 3.5 Goals 30%	3.00	2.80 3%
Under 3.5 Goals 70%	1.40	1.40 3%
Over 4.5 Goals 15%	5.50	5.25
Under 4.5 Goals 85%	1.14	1.14 1%
Over 5.5 Goals 6%	11.00	10.00
Under 5.5 Goals 94%	1.05	1.04
Over 0.5 Goals 94%	1.04	1.04
Under 0.5 Goals 6%	13.00	10.00 5%
Home DNB 66%	1.53 2%	1.53 6%
Away DNB 44%	2.38 5%	2.38 8%
Hamburg win to nil 26%	3.75	-
Köln win to nil 13%	6.50	-
Hamburg / Hamburg 25%	3.25	3.10 3%
Hamburg / Köln 3%	29.00	23.00
Hamburg / Draw 6%	13.00	12.00
Draw / Hamburg 15%	5.50	5.25
Draw / Köln 11%	7.50	7.50 6%
Draw / Draw 14%	6.00	5.25 5%
Köln / Hamburg 4%	23.00 10%	19.00
Köln / Köln 15%	5.50	5.00 9%
Köln / Draw 6%	15.00	12.00

Win / draw / win Bundesliga table

Hamburg have played 25 matches so far this season and lay in 10th place in the Bundesliga league table.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 14 games against teams below in the table, having won 6, drawn 5 and lost 3 matches. They have kept 6 clean sheets and have failed to score in 6 fixtures. They have been outscored by their opponents by 34 goals to 28 goals.

Home League Performance

Hamburg have played 13 games at home winning 5, drawing 4 and losing 4 games. They have scored 19 goals, kept 2 clean sheets and conceded 16 goals at home.

Köln are in 14th position in the Bundesliga on 24 points having played 25 matches so far this season.

Away League Performance

7 of those games have been losing matches. They have conceded 22 goals and kept 2 clean sheets. They have scored 12 goals in total and failed to score in 3 fixtures.

Performance against teams above them in the league

19 games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 13 games, drawn 3 and won 3. Köln have conceded 36 goals, scored 24, failed to score in 4 fixtures and have kept 1 clean sheet.

BTTS yes BTTS no BTTS yes BTTS no Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Over 0.5 Under 0.5 Over 1.5 Under 1.5 Over 2.5 Under 2.5 Over 3.5 Under 3.5 Over 4.5 Under 4.5 Over 5.5 Under 5.5 For 0-0 Against Won Draw Lost	Hamburg Köln
Results by League Table

	TEAM	PLD	W	D	L	GD	PTS	HOME	AWAY	HOME	AWAY
1	Bayern	25	21	3	1	68	66	d 2-2F	l 5-0A	l 1-3F	May 16
2	Dortmund	25	16	7	2	27	55	d 1-1A	Mar 21	l 1-2A	l 1-0A
3	Hoffenheim	25	15	4	6	20	49	Apr 25	l 4-1A	d 2-2F	w 0-1F
4	Stuttgart	25	14	5	6	16	47	w 2-1F	Apr 12	l 1-2F	l 3-1A
5	RB Leipzig	25	14	5	6	14	47	l 1-2F	l 2-1A	l 1-2A	l 3-1A
6	Leverkusen	25	13	5	7	16	44	l 0-1A	May 16	Apr 25	l 2-0A
7	E.Frankfurt	25	9	8	8	-1	35	d 1-1F	May 2	l 3-4F	Apr 5
8	Freiburg	25	9	7	9	-5	34	May 9	l 2-1F	w 4-1F	l 2-1F
9	Augsburg	25	9	4	12	-12	31	Apr 4	l 1-0A	d 1-1A	l 2-0A
10	Hamburg	25	7	8	10	-8	29	-	-	w 4-1F	Mar 14
11	Union Berlin	25	7	7	11	-12	28	w 3-2A	d 0-00-0	l 0-1A	May 2
12	B. M'gladbach	25	6	7	12	-15	25	d 0-00-0	d 0-00-0	Mar 21	l 3-1A
13	W.Bremen	25	6	7	12	-16	25	w 3-2A	Apr 18	Apr 12	d 1-1A
14	Köln	25	6	6	13	-9	24	Mar 14	l 4-1A	-	-
15	Mainz	25	5	9	11	-12	24	w 4-0F	d 1-1A	w 2-1A	w 0-1F
16	St. Pauli	25	6	6	13	-17	24	l 0-2A	d 0-00-0	d 1-1F	Apr 17
17	Wolfsburg	25	5	5	15	-21	20	l 0-1A	w 1-2A	w 1-0F	d 3-3F
18	Heidenheim	25	3	5	17	-33	14	w 2-1F	w 0-2F	May 9	d 2-2A

	UEFA Champions League
	UEFA Europa League
	UEFA Conference League Qualifiers
	Relegation Play Off
	Relegation

Win / draw / win form

Köln have lost 3 consecutive away league games

Köln have not won in 8 consecutive away league games

Home

Overall

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

15 / 20

Conceded

16 / 20

Clean sheets

4 / 20

Failed to score

5 / 20

Won

Draw

Lost

HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Hamburg	0 - 1	Leverkusen
Hamburg	1 - 2	RB Leipzig
Hamburg	3 - 2	Union Berlin
Hamburg	2 - 2	Bayern
Hamburg	0 - 0	B. M'gladbach
Hamburg	1 - 1	E.Frankfurt
Hamburg	3 - 2	W.Bremen
Hamburg	2 - 1	Stuttgart
Hamburg	1 - 1	Dortmund
Hamburg	0 - 1	Wolfsburg
Hamburg	4 - 0	Mainz
Hamburg	2 - 1	Heidenheim
Hamburg	0 - 2	St. Pauli
Hamburg	6 - 1	Ulm
Hamburg	1 - 2	Karlsruher
Hamburg	2 - 4	E. Braun
Hamburg	0 - 0	Elversberg
Hamburg	4 - 1	Dusseldorf
Hamburg	3 - 0	Kaiserslautern
Hamburg	2 - 2	Hannover

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

15 / 20

Conceded

16 / 20

Clean sheets

4 / 20

Failed to score

5 / 20

Won

Draw

Lost

OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
A	Hamburg	2 - 1	Wolfsburg
H	Hamburg	0 - 1	Leverkusen
H	Hamburg	1 - 2	RB Leipzig
A	Hamburg	1 - 1	Mainz
H	Hamburg	3 - 2	Union Berlin
A	Hamburg	2 - 0	Heidenheim
H	Hamburg	2 - 2	Bayern
A	Hamburg	0 - 0	St. Pauli
H	Hamburg	0 - 0	B. M'gladbach
A	Hamburg	1 - 2	Freiburg
H	Hamburg	1 - 1	E.Frankfurt
A	Hamburg	1 - 4	Hoffenheim
H	Hamburg	3 - 2	W.Bremen
H	Hamburg	2 - 1	Stuttgart
A	Hamburg	0 - 1	Augsburg
H	Hamburg	1 - 1	Dortmund
A	Hamburg	1 - 4	Köln
H	Hamburg	0 - 1	Wolfsburg
A	Hamburg	1 - 2	RB Leipzig
H	Hamburg	4 - 0	Mainz

Away

Overall

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

14 / 20

Conceded

17 / 20

Clean sheets

3 / 20

Failed to score

6 / 20

Won

Lost

AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Augsburg	2 - 0	Köln
Stuttgart	3 - 1	Köln
Freiburg	2 - 1	Köln
Heidenheim	2 - 2	Köln
Leverkusen	2 - 0	Köln
W.Bremen	1 - 1	Köln
B. M'gladbach	3 - 1	Köln
Dortmund	1 - 0	Köln
Hoffenheim	0 - 1	Köln
RB Leipzig	3 - 1	Köln
Wolfsburg	3 - 3	Köln
Mainz	0 - 1	Köln
Nurnberg	1 - 2	Köln
Hannover	1 - 0	Köln
Greuther	1 - 1	Köln
Paderborn	1 - 2	Köln
Ulm	0 - 1	Köln
Karlsruher	1 - 0	Köln
Magdeburg	3 - 0	Köln
E. Braun	1 - 2	Köln

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

16 / 20

Conceded

18 / 20

Clean sheets

2 / 20

Failed to score

4 / 20

Draw

Lost

OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
H	Köln	1 - 2	Dortmund
A	Köln	0 - 2	Augsburg
H	Köln	2 - 2	Hoffenheim
A	Köln	1 - 3	Stuttgart
H	Köln	1 - 2	RB Leipzig
H	Köln	1 - 0	Wolfsburg
A	Köln	1 - 2	Freiburg
H	Köln	2 - 1	Mainz
H	Köln	1 - 3	Bayern
A	Köln	2 - 2	Heidenheim
H	Köln	0 - 1	Union Berlin
A	Köln	0 - 2	Leverkusen
H	Köln	1 - 1	St. Pauli
A	Köln	1 - 1	W.Bremen
H	Köln	3 - 4	E.Frankfurt
A	Köln	1 - 3	B. M'gladbach
H	Köln	4 - 1	Hamburg
A	Köln	0 - 1	Dortmund
H	Köln	1 - 1	Augsburg
A	Köln	1 - 0	Hoffenheim

Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)

Hamburg

Köln

Goals: Scored

Games: Scored

4 / 6

Clean sheets

2 / 6

HSV

KOE

FIXTURE HISTORY AT Hamburg
Hamburg	1 - 0
Hamburg	1 - 0
	0 - 2	Köln
Hamburg	2 - 1
Draw	1 - 1	Draw
	0 - 2	Köln

Köln

Hamburg

Goals: Scored

Games: Scored

6 / 7

5 / 7

Clean sheets

2 / 7

1 / 7

HSV

KOE

FIXTURE HISTORY AT Köln
Köln	4 - 1
	1 - 2	Hamburg
Draw	1 - 1	Draw
	1 - 3	Hamburg
Köln	3 - 0
Köln	2 - 1
Draw	0 - 0	Draw

Goal Statistics

	Hamburg 10th	Köln 14th
	Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction	1.6 goals	1.1 goals
	Scoring probability
Scoring probability	0 20% 1 32% 2 26% 3 14% 4+ 8% There is a 80% probability that Hamburg will score 1 or more goals	0 32% 1 36% 2 21% 3 8% 4+ There is a 68% probability that Köln will score no more than 1 goal

	20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games	+8 Hamburg’s goalscoring at home has been inline with predictions	-26 Köln have scored 26% fewer goals when away than predicted
	1.9 average goals scored	1.0 average goals scored
	1.3 conceded	1.6 conceded

Attack defence ratings
Bundesliga - 2025/2025 season

HSV

KOE

22%

better

view stats

Games scored	16		21
Failed to score	9		4
Scored first	8		12
Goals scored	28		34
Avg. goals scored	1.1		1.4
Avg. shots per game	10		9
Avg. shots per goal	9		7
Conversion rate for	12		14
Avg. XG for	1.3		1.3
KickOff rating		+22%

16%

better

HSV

KOE

view stats

Games conceded	19		22
Clean sheets	6		3
Conceded first	13		13
Goals conceded	36		43
Avg. goals conceded	1.4		1.7
Avg. shots/game conceded	10		10
Avg. shots/goal conceded	7		6
Conversion rate against	14%		17%
Avg. XG against	1.6		1.7
KickOff rating		+16%

Hamburg v Köln Bundesliga lLine ups will show here when available.

Hamburg Bundesliga squad statistics 2025

Overall

Attack

Defence

Most starts	Most goals	Most assists	Most cards
25	5	4	8
D Fernandes	L. Vušković	M Muheim	N Remberg

Players	Appserances	goals	Assists	cards
D Fernandes GLK	25			3 -
R Königsdörffer FWD	25	4	2	1 -
M Muheim DEF	24		4	5 -
N Remberg MID	24		1	8 -
L. Vušković DEF	22	5		5 -
R Philippe FWD	22	5		2 -
G Gocholeishvili DEF	20		2	2 1
F Vieira MID	20	4	4	3 2
N Capaldo MID	20	1	1	6 -
W Mikelbrencis DEF	19		2	2 -
A Lokonga MID	19	4		2 -
D Elfadli DEF	18			5 1
M Dompé FWD	18	3		-
J Torunarigha DEF	16			1 -
R Glatzel FWD	14	1	1	-
Y Poulsen FWD	12	1		4 -
W Omari DEF	11			-
B Jatta FWD	11		1	-
F. Uri Baldé FWD	11		1	-
A. Røssing-Lelesiit FWD	11		1	2 1
G Ramos DEF	8			-
I Pherai MID	6			1 1
A. Souhmahoro DEF	4			1 -
J Meffert MID	4			-
E Sahiti FWD	2			-

Most goals	Most shots on target	Most assists	Most big chances
5	17	4	6
L. Vušković	R Königsdörffer	M Muheim	M Dompé

Players	goals	shots on	Assists	big chances
L. Vušković DEF	5	8
R Philippe FWD	5	14		2
R Königsdörffer FWD	4	17	2	1
F Vieira MID	4	12	4	5
A Lokonga MID	4	8
M Dompé FWD	3	12		6
N Capaldo MID	1	5	1	2
R Glatzel FWD	1	4	1	1
Y Poulsen FWD	1	3		1
M Muheim DEF		6	4	5
N Remberg MID		7	1	2
G Gocholeishvili DEF		3	2	1
W Mikelbrencis DEF		5	2	4
D Elfadli DEF		1
J Torunarigha DEF		1
W Omari DEF		1
B Jatta FWD		3	1
F. Uri Baldé FWD		3	1	2
A. Røssing-Lelesiit FWD		2	1	2
G Ramos DEF		1

Most passes	Most tackles	Most duels won
1301	52	169
L. Vušković	M Muheim	L. Vušković

Players	passes	tackles	duels won
L. Vušković DEF	1301	16	169
D Fernandes GLK	1279		7
N Remberg MID	1026	51	140
M Muheim DEF	982	52	125
J Torunarigha DEF	794	26	78
D Elfadli DEF	631	20	52
N Capaldo MID	594	51	123
F Vieira MID	566	12	62
A Lokonga MID	500	24	68
W Omari DEF	406	6	20
R Königsdörffer FWD	311	3	70
M Dompé FWD	277	7	36
W Mikelbrencis DEF	242	20	36
G Gocholeishvili DEF	218	21	61
R Philippe FWD	179	17	38
B Jatta FWD	160	10	20
Y Poulsen FWD	93	5	40
J Meffert MID	81	4	7
F. Uri Baldé FWD	71	7	21
A. Røssing-Lelesiit FWD	68	9	23
R Glatzel FWD	62		15
A. Souhmahoro DEF	60	1	1
G Ramos DEF	45		6
E Sahiti FWD	31		5
I Pherai MID	23	2	6

Köln Bundesliga squad statistics 2025

Overall

Attack

Defence

Most starts	Most goals	Most assists	Most cards
25	8	4	8
M Schwäbe	S. El Mala	S. El Mala	E Martel

Players	Appserances	goals	Assists	cards
M Schwäbe GLK	25			-
J Kaminski FWD	25	6	2	1 -
S. El Mala FWD	25	8	4	1 -
K Lund DEF	24		1	1 -
E Martel MID	24	1	2	8 -
R Ache FWD	24	5	3	2 -
S Sebulonsen DEF	23			4 -
Ísak Bergmann Jóhannesson MID	23	1	1	3 -
M Bülter FWD	23	3	3	3 -
T Krauß MID	21		1	4 -
J Thielmann FWD	19	3	1	3 -
L Waldschmidt FWD	17	3	3	-
C Özkacar DEF	16			1 -
L Maina FWD	15	2		-
D Huseinbašić MID	14			1 -
J Schmied DEF	13			4 -
R Berg DEF	11			1
F Kainz MID	11	1		-
T Hübers DEF	8			-
D Heintz DEF	8			-
A Castro-Montes MID	8		3	2 -
J Gazibegovic DEF	1			-

Most goals	Most shots on target	Most assists	Most big chances
8	20	4	8
S. El Mala	S. El Mala	S. El Mala	J Kaminski

Players	goals	shots on	Assists	big chances
S. El Mala FWD	8	20	4	4
J Kaminski FWD	6	17	2	8
R Ache FWD	5	17	3	5
M Bülter FWD	3	12	3	6
J Thielmann FWD	3	10	1	1
L Waldschmidt FWD	3	7	3	4
L Maina FWD	2	7		1
E Martel MID	1	1	2	4
Ísak Bergmann Jóhannesson MID	1	1	1	1
F Kainz MID	1	3		1
M Schwäbe GLK				1
K Lund DEF		4	1	3
S Sebulonsen DEF		3		4
T Krauß MID		1	1	2
C Özkacar DEF		4
A Castro-Montes MID			3	3

Most passes	Most tackles	Most duels won
1182	59	161
M Schwäbe	T Krauß	R Ache

Players	passes	tackles	duels won
M Schwäbe GLK	1182	2	8
E Martel MID	1066	35	142
J Kaminski FWD	727	39	84
T Krauß MID	688	59	96
Ísak Bergmann Jóhannesson MID	610	20	34
S Sebulonsen DEF	600	35	76
K Lund DEF	574	24	93
R Berg DEF	562	12	31
C Özkacar DEF	532	18	53
D Huseinbašić MID	407	17	29
J Schmied DEF	377	11	33
T Hübers DEF	367	14	46
J Thielmann FWD	321	16	59
M Bülter FWD	296	5	60
D Heintz DEF	262	3	23
S. El Mala FWD	259	17	80
R Ache FWD	255	11	161
A Castro-Montes MID	212	13	32
L Maina FWD	185	4	15
L Waldschmidt FWD	157	7	22
F Kainz MID	153	4	12
J Gazibegovic DEF	6