FC St. Pauli's team badge Bayern Munich's team badge

FC St. Pauli v Bayern Munich : Bundesliga match betting preview, prediction and odds

Sat 11th Apr, 17:30 BST, Millerntor-Stadion, Hamburg

Alexander Blessin welcomes Vincent Kompany to the Millerntor-Stadion on Saturday evening, as their FC St. Pauli and Bayern Munich charges meet in the Bundesliga. Below we've got predictions for 17 markets, supporting statistics including head-to-heads, and odds from leading bookmakers. All is accessible via the tabs below.


Want to know who’s consistently beating the odds? Check out the Top Bundesliga Tipsters and see the most profitable experts for this season!

If you’re keen on betting across various leagues and markets, our Live Bets page showcases active accumulator bets and real-time tips.

Best Tip: Bayern to win

We could well see a packed Millerntor-Stadion on Saturday evening but, unfortunately, we predict a high percentage of those in attendance will be gutted come full time. The statistics below, including head-to-head (H2H) records and recent form, are all pointing towards an away win in the win / draw / win market, with visitors Bayern getting the better of hosts St. Pauli. It could be a bruising afternoon for home manager Alexander Blessin but, in the meantime, we'd suggest making the most of best bookie odds of 1.33 to back the away win.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
An away win looks like the most likely outcome in the win/draw/win market, with our predictive algorithm suggesting there’s a 70% chance of Bayern coming away with a win.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
St. Pauli
12%
8/1
25%
7/1
6%
Draw
18%
15/4
17%
9/2
4%
Bayern
70%
1/3
9%
7/20
4%
Bayern 2-0
11%
13/2
7%
6/1
Bayern 1-0
10%
17/27/1
Bayern 2-1
10%
8/1
10%
7/1
Bayern 3-0
9%
8/1
13%
15/2
6%
Draw 1-1
8%
17/2
14%
8/1
5%
Bayern 3-1
7%
10/117/2
6%
Bayern 4-0
5%
14/1
36%
11/1
9%
Bayern 4-1
4%
16/1
13%
12/1
Draw 0-0
4%
16/1
11%
14/1
Draw 2-2
4%
16/1
19%
14/1
12%
St. Pauli 1-0
4%
25/1
10%
16/1
St. Pauli 2-1
4%
22/1
21%
18/1
Bayern 3-2
3%
22/1
12%
16/1
11%
Bayern 5-0
2%
25/1
37%
18/1
12%
Bayern 5-1
2%
28/1
12%
22/1
10%
Over 2.5 Goals
62%
1/2
4%
1/2
1%
Under 2.5 Goals
38%
13/8
4%
29/20
2%
Home 1st Goal
38%
9/4
10%
13/5
4%
Away 1st Goal
60%
1/3
3%
3/10
No 1st Goal
3%
16/1
11%
14/1
BTTS - Yes
52%
4/5
8%
5/6
1%
BTTS - No
48%
19/20
8%
10/11
3%
BTTS - Home Win
7%
14/1
21%
10/1
8%
BTTS - Draw
13%
5/1
20%
5/1
8%
BTTS - Away Win
32%
7/417/10
Home/draw
30%
9/4
19%
11/5
6%
Away/draw
88%
1/14
2%
1/12
1%
Home/away
82%
2/11
4%
1/7
1%
Over 1.5 Goals
83%
1/72/13
1%
Under 1.5 Goals
17%
9/24/1
Over 3.5 Goals
39%
6/5
5%
6/5
2%
Under 3.5 Goals
61%
4/6
3%
8/13
Over 4.5 Goals
22%
3/1
7%
27/10
3%
Under 4.5 Goals
78%
1/4
3%
1/4
Over 5.5 Goals
10%
11/211/2
Under 5.5 Goals
90%
1/91/11
1%
Over 0.5 Goals
96%
1/40
1%
1/80
Under 0.5 Goals
4%
16/1
11%
14/1
Home DNB
24%
6/1
30%
5/1
8%
Away DNB
83%
1/10
4%
1/9
2%
St. Pauli win to nil
6%
16/1
11%
-
Bayern win to nil
38%
11/8
13%
-
St. Pauli / St. Pauli
6%
14/1
29%
10/1
St. Pauli / Bayern
5%
16/1
11%
16/1
St. Pauli / Draw
4%
18/1
17%
16/1
Draw / St. Pauli
5%
18/1
10%
14/1
Draw / Bayern
19%
3/110/3
3%
Draw / Draw
10%
15/2
11%
13/2
6%
Bayern / St. Pauli
2%
40/133/1
17%
Bayern / Bayern
43%
10/11
14%
17/20
3%
Bayern / Draw
5%
16/1
19%
14/1
12%
Match Predictor Pro
Your ultimate betting assistant
Try it now
Win / draw / win Bundesliga table

St. Pauli have played 27 matches so far this season and are in 16th position in the league.

Performance against teams above them in the league

25 of those games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 14 games, drawn 6 and won 5. St. Pauli have conceded 41 goals, scored 21, failed to score in 11 matches and kept 5 clean sheets.

Home league performance

St. Pauli have played 13 games at home, winning 4, drawing 4 and losing 5 fixtures. They have scored 14 goals, conceded 20 goals, kept 2 clean sheets and failed to score 5 times in home league games.

Bayern lay in 1st place on 70 points in the Bundesliga league table having played 27 matches. Bayern are unbeaten away after 13 games and have kept 5 clean sheets in those matches.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 27 games against teams below them in the table, winning 22, drawing 4 and losing 1 game. They have scored 97 goals and kept 10 clean sheets against lower placed opposition. Bayern have conceded 25 goals and scored in every game.

Away league performance

Bayern have played 13 away games, winning 10, drawing 3 and losing 0 games. They have scored an average of 3.2 goals per away game and conceded an average 0.9 goals per away game.

Won
Draw
Lost
St. Pauli
Bayern
Results by League Table
TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY HOME AWAY
1
Bayern2722417270 
Apr 11
l
 
3-1F
-
-
2
Dortmund2718723061 
d
 
3-3A
l
 
3-2A
w
 
2-1F
w
 
2-3A
3
Stuttgart2716562053 
w
 
2-1F
l
 
2-0A
Apr 19
w
 
0-5F
4
RB Leipzig2715571850 
d
 
1-1A
May 9
w
 
6-0F
w
 
1-5A
5
Hoffenheim2715571550 
l
 
0-3A
w
 
0-1F
w
 
5-1F
w
 
1-4F
6
Leverkusen2713771646 
l
 
1-2A
l
 
4-0A
w
 
3-0F
d
 
1-1A
7
E.Frankfurt271089-138 
d
 
0-00-0
l
 
2-0A
w
 
3-2F
w
 
0-3F
8
Freiburg2710710-537 
l
 
1-2F
l
 
2-1A
w
 
6-2A
Apr 4
9
Union Berlin278712-1531 
l
 
0-1A
Apr 5
w
 
4-0F
d
 
2-2A
10
Augsburg279414-1731 
w
 
2-1A
l
 
2-1F
l
 
1-2F
w
 
2-3F
11
Mainz277911-930 
May 2
d
 
0-00-0
d
 
2-2F
Apr 25
12
Hamburg277911-930 
d
 
0-00-0
w
 
0-2F
w
 
5-0F
d
 
2-2A
13
B. M'gladbach277812-1329 
l
 
0-4A
l
 
2-0A
w
 
4-1F
w
 
0-3F
14
W.Bremen277713-1728 
w
 
2-1F
l
 
1-0A
w
 
4-0F
w
 
0-3F
15
Köln276813-926 
Apr 17
d
 
1-1A
May 16
w
 
1-3A
16
St. Pauli276615-2024 
-
-
w
 
3-1A
Apr 11
17
Wolfsburg275616-2221 
May 16
l
 
2-1A
w
 
8-1F
May 9
18
Heidenheim273618-3415 
w
 
2-1F
Apr 25
May 2
w
 
0-4F
Win / draw / win form
St. Pauli 16TH
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
17
Conceded
28
Games: Scored
11 / 20
Conceded
17 / 20
Clean sheets
3 / 20
Failed to score
9 / 20
Won
5
Draw
6
Lost
9
HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
St. Pauli1 - 2Freiburg
St. Pauli0 - 0E.Frankfurt
St. Pauli2 - 1W.Bremen
St. Pauli2 - 1Stuttgart
St. Pauli1 - 1RB Leipzig
St. Pauli0 - 0Hamburg
St. Pauli2 - 1Heidenheim
St. Pauli0 - 1Union Berlin
St. Pauli0 - 4B. M'gladbach
St. Pauli0 - 3Hoffenheim
St. Pauli1 - 2Leverkusen
St. Pauli2 - 1Augsburg
St. Pauli3 - 3Dortmund
St. Pauli0 - 2VfL Bochum
St. Pauli0 - 1Stuttgart
St. Pauli1 - 1Leverkusen
St. Pauli1 - 1B. M'gladbach
St. Pauli1 - 0Hoffenheim
St. Pauli0 - 2Dortmund
St. Pauli0 - 1Freiburg
Goals: Scored
16
Conceded
32
Games: Scored
12 / 20
Conceded
16 / 20
Clean sheets
4 / 20
Failed to score
8 / 20
W
4
Draw
5
Lost
11
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
HSt. Pauli1 - 2Freiburg
ASt. Pauli0 - 2B. M'gladbach
HSt. Pauli0 - 0E.Frankfurt
ASt. Pauli1 - 0Hoffenheim
HSt. Pauli2 - 1W.Bremen
ASt. Pauli0 - 4Leverkusen
HSt. Pauli2 - 1Stuttgart
ASt. Pauli1 - 2Augsburg
HSt. Pauli1 - 1RB Leipzig
HSt. Pauli0 - 0Hamburg
ASt. Pauli2 - 3Dortmund
ASt. Pauli1 - 2Wolfsburg
ASt. Pauli0 - 0Mainz
HSt. Pauli2 - 1Heidenheim
ASt. Pauli1 - 1Köln
ASt. Pauli1 - 3Bayern
HSt. Pauli0 - 1Union Berlin
ASt. Pauli1 - 2Freiburg
HSt. Pauli0 - 4B. M'gladbach
ASt. Pauli0 - 2E.Frankfurt
Bayern 1ST
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
59
Conceded
18
Games: Scored
19 / 20
Conceded
12 / 20
Clean sheets
8 / 20
Failed to score
1 / 20
Won
14
Draw
6
AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Leverkusen1 - 1Bayern
Dortmund2 - 3Bayern
W.Bremen0 - 3Bayern
Hamburg2 - 2Bayern
RB Leipzig1 - 5Bayern
Köln1 - 3Bayern
Heidenheim0 - 4Bayern
Stuttgart0 - 5Bayern
Union Berlin2 - 2Bayern
B. M'gladbach0 - 3Bayern
E.Frankfurt0 - 3Bayern
Hoffenheim1 - 4Bayern
Augsburg2 - 3Bayern
Hoffenheim0 - 4Bayern
RB Leipzig3 - 3Bayern
Heidenheim0 - 4Bayern
Augsburg1 - 3Bayern
Union Berlin1 - 1Bayern
Stuttgart1 - 3Bayern
Leverkusen0 - 0Bayern
Goals: Scored
70
Conceded
21
Games: Scored
20 / 20
Conceded
14 / 20
Clean sheets
6 / 20
Failed to score
0 / 20
Won
15
D
4
L
1
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
HBayern4 - 0Union Berlin
ABayern1 - 1Leverkusen
HBayern4 - 1B. M'gladbach
ABayern3 - 2Dortmund
HBayern3 - 2E.Frankfurt
ABayern3 - 0W.Bremen
HBayern5 - 1Hoffenheim
ABayern2 - 2Hamburg
HBayern1 - 2Augsburg
ABayern5 - 1RB Leipzig
ABayern3 - 1Köln
HBayern8 - 1Wolfsburg
ABayern4 - 0Heidenheim
HBayern2 - 2Mainz
ABayern5 - 0Stuttgart
HBayern3 - 1St. Pauli
HBayern6 - 2Freiburg
ABayern2 - 2Union Berlin
HBayern3 - 0Leverkusen
ABayern3 - 0B. M'gladbach
Goal Statistics

Bayern Munich's forwards have been in fine form of late, scoring 2 goals or more in 5 consecutive Bundesliga games. A PG of 2.3 suggests that run should continue on Saturday evening.

St. Pauli 16th Bayern 1st
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
0.9
goals
2.3
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
42%
1
36%
2
16%
3
4+
There is a 78% probability of St. Pauli scoring 1 goal or less
0
10%
1
23%
2
26%
3
21%
4+
21%
There is a 67% probability that Bayern will score 2 or more goals in this match
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
-38
St. Pauli have scored 38% fewer goals at home than predicted
+28
Bayern have scored 28% more goals when away than predicted
0.9
average goals scored
3.0
average goals scored
1.4
conceded
0.9
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Bundesliga - 2025/2025 season
St. Pauli
PG (predicted goals)
Bayern
0.9
2.3
Attack rating
STP
FCB
61%
better
view stats
Games scored16
27
Failed to score11
0
Scored first8
19
Goals scored24
97
Avg. goals scored0.9
3.6
Avg. shots per game7
14
Avg. shots per goal8
4
Conversion rate for12
25
Avg. XG for1
2.7
KickOff rating
+61%
Defence rating
STP
FCB
36%
better
view stats
Games conceded22
17
Clean sheets5
10
Conceded first16
8
Goals conceded44
25
Avg. goals conceded1.6
0.9
Avg. shots/game conceded9
7
Avg. shots/goal conceded5
8
Conversion rate against18%
13%
Avg. XG against1.5
1.1
KickOff rating
+36%

St. Pauli v Bayern Bundesliga lLine ups will show here when available.

St. Pauli Bundesliga squad statistics 2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
27535
N VasiljD SinaniJ FujitaE Smith
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
N Vasilj GLK27
-
J Fujita MID2613
4
-
M Lage FWD2512
3
-
A Pyrka DEF241
3
-
E Smith DEF2422
4
1
J Sands MID241
4
-
D Sinani MID2453
3
-
H Wahl DEF232
1
-
M Kaars FWD223
1
-
L. Oppie DEF201
-
K Mets DEF18
2
-
C Metcalfe MID181
1
-
J Irvine MID18
-
A Dzwigala DEF1611
5
-
L Ritzka DEF16
1
-
M Saliakas DEF1513
3
-
A. Ceesay FWD15
2
-
A Hountondji FWD144
1
-
R Jade-Jones FWD82
1
-
O Afolayan FWD7
1
-
Bayern Bundesliga squad statistics 2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
2331177
H KaneH KaneM OliseL Díaz 
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
H Kane FWD26315
1
-
M Olise FWD251117
5
-
L Díaz  FWD251511
6
1
L Goretzka MID2422
4
-
L. Karl MID2343
-
J Kimmich MID2326
4
-
J Tah DEF2222
5
-
D Upamecano DEF2211
4
-
K Laimer DEF2235
5
-
T Bischof MID223
2
-
A Pavlović MID2131
2
-
S Gnabry FWD2086
1
-
M Neuer  GLK19
-
J Stanisic DEF1923
1
-
M Kim DEF1911
1
-
N Jackson FWD174
1
1
R Guerreiro DEF1332
-
H Ito DEF1113
-
J Urbig GLK9
-
S Boey DEF9
1
-
A Davies DEF81
1
-
J Musiala MID812
1
-
W. Okpako Mike FWD4
-
S Ulreich GLK1
1
-