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Borussia Dortmund v Bayer Leverkusen : Bundesliga match betting preview, prediction and odds

Signal Iduna Park, Dortmund

Borussia Dortmund are in Bundesliga action on Saturday afternoon, as Niko Kovač attempts to outsmart Kasper Hjulmand and his Bayer Leverkusen side at the Signal Iduna Park. Our predictions are based on in-depth statistical analysis of both teams' performance, across 17 of the biggest markets. Data shown and the odds is designed to fit each market, and head to head (H2H) statistics are included across the board.

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Borussia Dortmund's next match is v Freiburg at 16:30 on Sunday 26th April
Bayer Leverkusen's next match is v Köln at 14:30 on Saturday 25th April
The last German Bundesliga meeting between Dortmund and Leverkusen was on Saturday 11th April 2026
German Bundesliga
April 11th 2026
Dortmund 0
1 Leverkusen
 
42' R. Andrich
 
BVB
B04
Shots On
1
4
Shots Off
11
4
Corners
5
5
Possession
53%
47%
Fouls
5
6
Yellow/red cards
3/0
 
DortmundLeverkusen
 
G. Kobel
W. Anton
N. Schlotterbeck
R. Bensebaini
J. Bellingham (S. Özcan 76')
J. Brandt
S. Guirassy
D. Svensson (M. Beier 59')
J. Ryerson (A. Raouf Mohammed Kabar 75')
F. Soares Silva (S. Inacio 64')
M. Sabitzer (C. Chukwuemeka 64')
M. Flekken
L. Badé
E. Tapsoba
A. Grimaldo García
football iconR. Andrich
A. García Serrano
E. Palacios
(M. Tillman 90') I. Maza
(E. Poku 74') N. Tella
(P. Schick 54') C. Kofane
(L. Vázquez Iglesias 74') M. Amare Culbreath

Want to know who’s consistently beating the odds? Check out the Top Bundesliga Tipsters and see the most profitable experts for this season!

If you’re keen on betting across various leagues and markets, our Live Bets page showcases active accumulator bets and real-time tips.

Best Tip: Over 2.5 goals

Both our prediction and odds from the bookmakers suggest that this Bundesliga clash is going to be entertaining, with at least 3 goals to scored in the game. As neither side is a nailed-on winner given their latest form, we're going with the stats and past head-to-head (H2H) records below, both of which point strongly towards over 2.5 goals being the best bet here.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think Dortmund are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 51% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 2.00.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Dortmund
51%
1/1
3%
90/1
Draw
22%
29/10
1%
10/1
Leverkusen
28%
12/5
6%
1/25
Dortmund 2-1
9%
8/1
6%
28/1
Draw 1-1
9%
13/2
6%
4/1
Draw 2-2
7%
10/1
9%
70/1
Leverkusen 2-1
7%
11/1
8%
20/1
Dortmund 2-0
6%
11/1
8%
15/2
Dortmund 1-0
6%
11/1
8%
9/2
Dortmund 3-1
6%
12/1100/1
Leverkusen 1-0
5%
16/1
12%
2/5
Dortmund 3-2
4%
18/1125/1
Dortmund 3-0
4%
18/1
11%
16/1
Leverkusen 2-0
3%
20/111/2
Draw 0-0
3%
18/1
19%
9/2
Leverkusen 3-2
3%
25/1
13%
250/1
Leverkusen 3-1
3%
22/1
13%
80/1
Dortmund 4-1
3%
25/1150/1
Over 2.5 Goals
67%
1/2
5%
45/1
Under 2.5 Goals
33%
13/8
10%
1/1000
Home 1st Goal
52%
4/65/6
Away 1st Goal
46%
6/5
2%
6/4
No 1st Goal
2%
18/1
19%
9/2
BTTS - Yes
66%
4/9
6%
9/1
BTTS - No
34%
13/8
10%
1/25
BTTS - Home Win
30%
9/4
2%
25/1
BTTS - Draw
18%
10/3
4%
19/5
BTTS - Away Win
17%
9/2
20%
18/1
Home/draw
72%
3/10
1%
9/1
Away/draw
49%
4/5
4%
1/200
Home/away
78%
1/41/33
Over 1.5 Goals
86%
1/7
3%
11/2
Under 1.5 Goals
14%
9/2
9%
1/11
Over 3.5 Goals
45%
6/5
8%
125/1
Under 3.5 Goals
55%
4/6
6%
1/1000
Over 4.5 Goals
26%
3/1
15%
1/50
Under 4.5 Goals
74%
1/4
5%
1/50
Over 5.5 Goals
13%
6/1
23%
1/50
Under 5.5 Goals
87%
1/10
3%
1/50
Over 0.5 Goals
97%
1/40
1%
1/8
Under 0.5 Goals
3%
16/1
19%
19/4
Home DNB
66%
1/2
3%
22/1
Away DNB
43%
6/4
5%
1/1000
Dortmund win to nil
21%
10/3
8%
-
Leverkusen win to nil
10%
7/1-
Dortmund / Dortmund
26%
21/1013/2
Dortmund / Leverkusen
3%
25/128/1
Dortmund / Draw
6%
12/118/1
Draw / Dortmund
15%
9/29/5
Draw / Leverkusen
10%
7/117/5
Draw / Draw
13%
11/2
7%
11/5
Leverkusen / Dortmund
4%
18/128/1
Leverkusen / Leverkusen
16%
9/2
9%
11/1
Leverkusen / Draw
7%
12/1
15%
20/1
Win / draw / win Bundesliga table

Dortmund have played 28 matches so far this season and lay in 2nd place in the Bundesliga league table. Dortmund are unbeaten in 26 games against teams below them in the league and kept 13 clean sheets out of 26 games.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 26 games against teams below in the table, having won 19, drawn 7 and lost no matches. They have kept 13 clean sheets and have scored in every game. Dortmund have outscored their opponents by 60 goals to 58 goals.

Home League Performance

Dortmund have played 14 games at home winning 11, drawing 2 and losing 1 game. They have scored 33 goals, kept 8 clean sheets and conceded 13 goals at home.

Leverkusen are in 6th position in the Bundesliga on 49 points having played 28 matches so far this season.

Away League Performance

4 of those games have been losing matches. They have conceded 24 goals and kept 1 clean sheet. They have scored 26 goals in total and failed to score in 4 fixtures.

Performance against teams above them in the league

7 games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 5 games, drawn 1 and won 1. Leverkusen have conceded 14 goals, scored 7, failed to score in 2 fixtures and have kept no clean sheets.

Won
Draw
Lost
Dortmund
Leverkusen
Results by League Table
TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY HOME AWAY
1
Bayern3025418079 
l
 
2-3F
l
 
2-1A
d
 
1-1F
l
 
3-0A
2
Dortmund3019743064 
-
-
l
 
1-2A
w
 
0-1F
3
RB Leipzig3018572259 
d
 
1-1A
d
 
2-2A
May 2
w
 
1-3A
4
Stuttgart3017582056 
d
 
3-3F
w
 
0-2F
l
 
1-4A
May 9
5
Hoffenheim3016681554 
w
 
2-0F
l
 
2-1A
l
 
1-2F
l
 
1-0A
6
Leverkusen3015781952 
l
 
0-1A
w
 
1-2F
-
-
7
Freiburg3012711-443 
Apr 26
d
 
1-1F
w
 
2-0F
d
 
3-3A
8
E.Frankfurt3011910-242 
May 8
d
 
3-3F
w
 
3-1F
w
 
1-3F
9
Augsburg3010614-1636 
w
 
2-0F
w
 
0-1F
l
 
1-2F
l
 
2-0A
10
Mainz3081012-934 
w
 
4-0F
w
 
0-2F
d
 
1-1A
w
 
3-4F
11
Union Berlin308814-1832 
w
 
3-0F
w
 
0-3F
w
 
2-0F
l
 
1-0A
12
Köln3071013-731 
w
 
1-0F
w
 
1-2F
w
 
2-0F
Apr 25
13
B. M'gladbach3071013-1431 
w
 
2-0F
May 3
d
 
1-1F
d
 
1-1A
14
Hamburg3071013-1531 
w
 
3-2A
d
 
1-1F
May 16
w
 
0-1F
15
W.Bremen308715-1831 
w
 
3-0F
May 16
w
 
1-0F
d
 
3-3F
16
St. Pauli306816-2526 
w
 
3-2F
d
 
3-3F
w
 
4-0F
w
 
1-2F
17
Wolfsburg306618-2524 
w
 
1-0F
w
 
1-2F
w
 
6-3A
w
 
1-3F
18
Heidenheim304719-3319 
w
 
3-2F
w
 
0-2F
w
 
6-0F
d
 
3-3F
Win / draw / win form
Dortmund 2ND
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
52
Conceded
17
Games: Scored
19 / 20
Conceded
9 / 20
Clean sheets
11 / 20
Failed to score
1 / 20
Won
16
D
2
L
2
Goals: Scored
46
Conceded
22
Games: Scored
20 / 20
Conceded
12 / 20
Clean sheets
8 / 20
Failed to score
0 / 20
Won
14
Draw
5
L
1
Leverkusen 6TH
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
40
Conceded
33
Games: Scored
16 / 20
Conceded
18 / 20
Clean sheets
2 / 20
Failed to score
4 / 20
Won
9
Draw
7
L
4
Goals: Scored
40
Conceded
28
Games: Scored
16 / 20
Conceded
15 / 20
Clean sheets
5 / 20
Failed to score
4 / 20
Won
9
Draw
5
Lost
6
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
League games at Dortmund since 2012
Dortmund
Leverkusen
Goals: Scored
32
17
Games: Scored
11 / 13
8 / 13
Clean sheets
5 / 13
2 / 13
BVB
8
D
1
B04
4
League games at Leverkusen since 2013
Leverkusen
Dortmund
Goals: Scored
22
27
Games: Scored
11 / 13
11 / 13
Clean sheets
2 / 13
2 / 13
BVB
6
D
4
B04
3
Goal Statistics

Borussia Dortmund's forwards have been superb of late, scoring 2 goals or more in 14 consecutive Bundesliga games. A PG of 2.0 suggests that run should continue on Saturday afternoon.

Dortmund 2nd Leverkusen 6th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
2.0
goals
1.4
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
14%
1
27%
2
27%
3
18%
4+
14%
There is a 59% probability that Dortmund will score 2 or more goals in this match
0
24%
1
34%
2
24%
3
12%
4+
There is a 76% probability that Leverkusen will score 1 or more goals
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
+25
Dortmund have scored 25% more goals at home than predicted
+18
Leverkusen have scored 18% more goals when away than predicted
2.6
average goals scored
2.0
average goals scored
0.9
conceded
1.7
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Bundesliga - 2025/2025 season
Dortmund
PG (predicted goals)
Leverkusen
2
1.4
Attack rating
24%
better
BVB
B04
view stats
Games scored28
24
Failed to score0
4
Scored first24
17
Goals scored60
58
Avg. goals scored2.1
2.1
Avg. shots per game9
11
Avg. shots per goal4
5
Conversion rate for23
19
Avg. XG for1.9
1.9
KickOff rating
+24%
Defence rating
30%
better
BVB
B04
view stats
Games conceded15
21
Clean sheets13
7
Conceded first4
11
Goals conceded28
39
Avg. goals conceded1
1.4
Avg. shots/game conceded8
9
Avg. shots/goal conceded8
7
Conversion rate against12%
15%
Avg. XG against1.2
1.3
KickOff rating
+30%

Dortmund v Leverkusen Bundesliga lLine ups will show here when available.

Dortmund Bundesliga squad statistics 2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
3014138
G KobelS Guirassy J RyersonJ Ryerson
Line-upAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
G Kobel GLK30
2
-
W Anton DEF282
3
-
N Schlotterbeck DEF2441
7
-
R Bensebaini DEF2041
6
-
J Ryerson MID2713
8
-
M Sabitzer  MID2312
3
-
J Bellingham MID282
1
1
J Brandt MID2573
-
D Svensson MID3022
-
S Guirassy  FWD29142
3
-
F Silva FWD2416
3
-
Subs
A Meyer GLK
-
N Süle DEF101
3
-
A. Raouf Mohammed Kabar DEF1
-
L. Reggiani DEF51
1
-
S Özcan MID8
-
C Chukwuemeka MID252
2
-
M Beier FWD2884
3
-
S. Inacio FWD3
1
-
M. Albert FWD
-
Leverkusen Bundesliga squad statistics 2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
271176
A GarcíaP Schick A GrimaldoR Andrich
Line-upAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
M Flekken GLK21
1
-
R Andrich DEF282
5
1
L Badé DEF22
5
-
E Tapsoba DEF2553
6
-
M. Amare Culbreath MID81
-
E Palacios MID141
1
-
A García MID2926
5
-
A Grimaldo MID2587
4
-
I Maza FWD2433
2
-
N Tella FWD152
2
-
C. Kofane FWD2753
3
-
Subs
J Blaswich GLK10
-
T Oermann DEF2
-
L Vázquez DEF1112
2
-
E Fernández MID181
3
1
J Hofmann MID2222
3
-
M Tillman MID2561
1
-
P Schick  FWD24113
1
-
E Seghir FWD7
2
-
E Poku FWD2755
-