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Borussia Dortmund v Bayer Leverkusen : Bundesliga match betting preview, prediction and odds

Signal Iduna Park, Dortmund

Borussia Dortmund are in Bundesliga action on Friday evening, as Nuri Şahin attempts to outsmart Xabi Alonso and his Bayer Leverkusen side at the Signal Iduna Park. Statistics power the predictions below for 17 individual betting markets, and switching between them shows bespoke analysis, including head to head (H2H), form and unique league tables. Odds from the UK's biggest bookmakers are also provided. Click on the tabs below to see it all.

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Borussia Dortmund's next match is v W.Bremen at 14:30 on Saturday 25th January
Bayer Leverkusen's next match is v RB Leipzig at 14:30 on Saturday 25th January
The last German Bundesliga meeting between Dortmund and Leverkusen was on Friday 10th January 2025
German Bundesliga
January 10th 2025
Dortmund 2
3 Leverkusen
 
J. Bynoe-Gittens 12'1' N. Tella
S. Guirassy 79'8' P. Schick
19' P. Schick
 
BVB
B04
Shots On
5
5
Shots Off
3
2
Corners
6
1
Possession
70%
30%
Fouls
8
6
Yellow/red cards
1/0
2/0
 
DortmundLeverkusen
 
G. Kobel
Y. Couto
A. Raouf Mohammed Kabar (M. Sabitzer 79')
J. Ryerson (W. Campbell 89')
Y. Lührs
J. Brandt
F. Nmecha
M. Beier (G. Reyna 78')
S. Guirassyfootball icon
K. Adeyemi (J. Duranville 63')
J. Bynoe-Gittensfootball icon (D. Malen 78')
L. Hradecký
J. Tah
(E. Palacios 89') A. Grimaldo García
E. Tapsoba
P. Hincapié Reyna
N. Mukiele Mulere
(A. de Matos Soares 88') J. Frimpong
(M. Terrier 74') football iconN. Tella
R. Andrich
G. Xhaka
(F. Wirtz 63') football iconfootball iconP. Schick

Want to know who’s consistently beating the odds? Check out the Top Bundesliga Tipsters and see the most profitable experts for this season!

If you’re keen on betting across various leagues and markets, our Live Bets page showcases active accumulator bets and real-time tips.

Best Tip: Both teams to score

We have a pair of effective, attacking groups going head-to-head and, as such, we are predicting both of them to score at least 1 goal during the 90 minutes. Can respective bosses Nuri Şahin or Xabi Alonso find a tactical plan to top their opponent? Recent form stats and historical head-to-heads, as well as the latest odds from the bookmakers, do not suggest so.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think Dortmund are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 39% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 2.70.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Dortmund
38%
27/10
42%
27/10
41%
Draw
23%
14/5
6%
27/10
3%
Leverkusen
39%
10/11
24%
19/20
22%
Draw 1-1
10%
13/26/1
8%
Leverkusen 2-1
8%
8/1
10%
7/1
6%
Dortmund 2-1
8%
12/1
30%
10/1
22%
Draw 2-2
7%
10/19/1
Leverkusen 1-0
6%
10/1
8%
17/2
5%
Dortmund 1-0
6%
16/1
31%
12/1
30%
Leverkusen 2-0
5%
11/1
20%
10/1
15%
Dortmund 2-0
5%
22/1
53%
16/1
31%
Leverkusen 3-1
5%
12/1
24%
10/1
27%
Dortmund 3-1
5%
25/1
37%
18/1
27%
Leverkusen 3-2
4%
18/1
10%
14/1
12%
Dortmund 3-2
4%
25/1
24%
18/1
12%
Draw 0-0
4%
16/111/1
Leverkusen 3-0
3%
16/1
35%
14/1
21%
Dortmund 3-0
3%
40/1
58%
28/1
38%
Over 2.5 Goals
65%
8/15
3%
1/2
4%
Under 2.5 Goals
35%
6/4
5%
7/5
4%
Home 1st Goal
49%
7/5
20%
-
Away 1st Goal
49%
4/7
13%
-
No 1st Goal
2%
16/1-
BTTS - Yes
66%
1/210/21
1%
BTTS - No
34%
6/46/4
BTTS - Home Win
23%
5/1
39%
17/4
31%
BTTS - Draw
19%
10/316/5
5%
BTTS - Away Win
23%
9/4
19%
21/10
21%
Home/draw
61%
5/6
22%
5/6
20%
Away/draw
62%
2/7
14%
2/7
13%
Home/away
77%
1/4
3%
2/7
Over 1.5 Goals
85%
1/62/13
3%
Under 1.5 Goals
15%
4/119/5
7%
Over 3.5 Goals
43%
13/10
3%
6/5
4%
Under 3.5 Goals
57%
8/13
3%
3/5
3%
Over 4.5 Goals
25%
3/1
8%
27/10
8%
Under 4.5 Goals
75%
1/4
2%
1/4
2%
Over 5.5 Goals
12%
6/1
13%
11/2
7%
Under 5.5 Goals
88%
1/10
2%
1/11
1%
Over 0.5 Goals
96%
1/33
1%
1/40
Under 0.5 Goals
4%
14/1
12%
12/1
8%
Home DNB
54%
13/8
43%
13/8
37%
Away DNB
55%
4/9
21%
4/9
20%
Dortmund win to nil
15%
7/1
45%
-
Leverkusen win to nil
15%
3/1
27%
-
Dortmund / Dortmund
14%
9/2
38%
19/4
37%
Dortmund / Leverkusen
4%
18/1
17%
16/1
11%
Dortmund / Draw
6%
14/1
15%
11/1
9%
Draw / Dortmund
10%
15/2
31%
7/1
33%
Draw / Leverkusen
15%
9/2
15%
4/1
13%
Draw / Draw
13%
11/2
8%
9/2
Leverkusen / Dortmund
3%
25/1
13%
22/1
21%
Leverkusen / Leverkusen
26%
2/1
25%
2/1
23%
Leverkusen / Draw
7%
12/110/1
Win / draw / win Bundesliga table

Dortmund have played 15 matches so far this season and are in 6th position in the league. Dortmund are unbeaten at home after 8 games and have kept 2 clean sheets in those matches.

Performance against teams above them in the league

4 of those games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 1 game, drawn 1 and won 2. Dortmund have conceded 5 goals, scored 6, scored in every game and kept 1 clean sheet.

Home league performance

Dortmund have played 8 games at home, winning 6, drawing 2 and losing 0 fixtures. They have scored 20 goals, conceded 8 goals, kept 2 clean sheets and scored in every home league game.

Leverkusen lay in 2nd place on 32 points in the Bundesliga league table having played 15 matches. Leverkusen are unbeaten away after 7 games and have kept 1 clean sheet in those matches.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 14 games against teams below them in the table, winning 9, drawing 4 and losing 1 game. They have scored 36 goals and kept 2 clean sheets against lower placed opposition. Leverkusen have conceded 20 goals and have failed to score in 1 match.

Away league performance

Leverkusen have played 7 away games, winning 4, drawing 3 and losing 0 games. They have scored an average of 2.1 goals per away game and conceded an average 1.1 goals per away game.

Won
Draw
Lost
Dortmund
Leverkusen
Results by League Table
TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY HOME AWAY
1
Bayern1814314145 
d
 
1-1F
Apr 12
Feb 15
d
 
1-1F
2
Leverkusen Away1812512041 
l
 
2-3A
May 10
-
-
3
E.Frankfurt1811341836 
w
 
2-0F
l
 
2-0A
w
 
2-1A
Mar 1
4
Stuttgart189541032 
Feb 8
l
 
5-1A
d
 
0-00-0
Mar 15
5
RB Leipzig18945531 
w
 
2-1A
Mar 15
l
 
2-3F
Jan 25
6
Wolfsburg19847828 
May 3
w
 
1-3F
w
 
4-3A
Feb 8
7
Mainz18846828 
Mar 29
l
 
3-1A
w
 
1-0F
May 17
8
Freiburg18837-927 
w
 
4-0F
Apr 5
w
 
5-1F
May 3
9
W.Bremen18756-326 
Jan 25
d
 
0-00-0
Mar 8
d
 
2-2F
10
Dortmund Home18747125 
-
-
May 10
w
 
2-3F
11
B. M'gladbach18738-224 
Apr 19
d
 
1-1F
w
 
3-1F
w
 
2-3F
12
Augsburg18648-1222 
Mar 8
l
 
2-1F
Apr 26
w
 
0-2F
13
Union Berlin18558-820 
Feb 22
l
 
2-1A
Apr 12
w
 
1-2F
14
St. Pauli185211-717 
w
 
2-1F
Mar 1
w
 
2-1F
Apr 19
15
Hoffenheim18459-1217 
d
 
1-1F
Apr 26
Feb 2
w
 
1-4F
16
Heidenheim184212-1514 
w
 
4-2F
Feb 1
w
 
5-2A
Apr 5
17
Holstein193313-2012 
May 17
l
 
4-2A
d
 
2-2F
Feb 22
18
VfL Bochum182412-2310 
w
 
4-2A
Feb 15
Mar 29
d
 
1-1F
Win / draw / win form
Dortmund 10TH
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
48
Conceded
26
Games: Scored
18 / 20
Conceded
16 / 20
Clean sheets
4 / 20
Failed to score
2 / 20
Won
12
D
4
L
4
Goals: Scored
39
Conceded
31
Games: Scored
18 / 20
Conceded
16 / 20
Clean sheets
4 / 20
Failed to score
2 / 20
Won
9
Draw
5
Lost
6
Leverkusen 2ND
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
47
Conceded
18
Games: Scored
20 / 20
Conceded
13 / 20
Clean sheets
7 / 20
Failed to score
0 / 20
Won
15
Draw
5
Goals: Scored
52
Conceded
26
Games: Scored
19 / 20
Conceded
17 / 20
Clean sheets
3 / 20
Failed to score
1 / 20
Won
12
Draw
7
L
1
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
League games at Dortmund since 2012
Dortmund
Leverkusen
Goals: Scored
30
14
Games: Scored
10 / 12
7 / 12
Clean sheets
5 / 12
2 / 12
BVB
8
D
1
B04
3
League games at Leverkusen since 2013
Leverkusen
Dortmund
Goals: Scored
19
21
Games: Scored
9 / 11
9 / 11
Clean sheets
2 / 11
2 / 11
BVB
4
D
4
B04
3
Goal Statistics

Borussia Dortmund have been consistent in attack of late, scoring in 13 consecutive Bundesliga games. Their PG of 1.7 against Bayer Leverkusen on Friday suggests they're likely to extend that run.

Dortmund 10th Leverkusen 2nd
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.7
goals
1.7
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
19%
1
31%
2
26%
3
15%
4+
9%
There is a 81% probability that Dortmund will score 1 or more goals
0
19%
1
31%
2
26%
3
15%
4+
9%
There is a 81% probability that Leverkusen will score 1 or more goals
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
+10
Dortmund’s goalscoring at home has been inline with predictions
+20
Leverkusen have scored 20% more goals when away than predicted
2.4
average goals scored
2.4
average goals scored
1.3
conceded
0.9
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Bundesliga - 2024/2025 season
https://api.kickoff.co.uk/v1/fixture/283561/accaPanel/formStats/marketCode/FULL
Dortmund
PG (predicted goals)
Leverkusen
1.7
1.7
Attack rating
BVB
B04
9%
better
view stats
Games scored14
14
Failed to score1
1
Scored first9
11
Goals scored28
37
Avg. goals scored1.9
2.5
Avg. shots per game9
12
Avg. shots per goal5
5
Conversion rate for21
20
Avg. XG for1.6
2
KickOff rating
+9%
Defence rating
BVB
B04
5%
better
view stats
Games conceded12
13
Clean sheets3
2
Conceded first5
3
Goals conceded22
21
Avg. goals conceded1.5
1.4
Avg. shots/game conceded8
8
Avg. shots/goal conceded5
6
Conversion rate against19%
17%
Avg. XG against1.2
1.2
KickOff rating
+5%

Dortmund v Leverkusen Bundesliga lLine ups will show here when available.

Dortmund Bundesliga squad statistics 2024/2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
16744
G KobelJ Bynoe-GittensJ BrandtY Couto
Line-upAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
G Kobel GLK16
-
Y Couto DEF12
4
-
Y Luhrs DEF3
-
J Ryerson DEF1511
2
-
A. Raouf Mohammed Kabar DEF4
1
1
F Nmecha MID1821
2
-
K Adeyemi  MID923
1
-
J Brandt MID1524
1
-
J Bynoe-Gittens MID1873
3
-
M Beier FWD1732
2
-
S Guirassy  FWD1571
1
-
Subs
M Lotka GLK
-
D Lelle DEF
-
G Reyna MID82
1
-
M Sabitzer  MID15
2
-
K. Wätjen MID2
-
A Azhil MID1
1
-
J Duranville FWD5
1
-
D Malen FWD143
2
-
W Campbell FWD4
-
Leverkusen Bundesliga squad statistics 2024/2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
181284
E TapsobaP Schick F WirtzR Andrich
Line-upAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
L Hradecky GLK16
-
E Tapsoba DEF18
2
-
J Tah DEF172
1
-
P Hincapié DEF1811
3
-
N Mukiele MID7
2
-
R Andrich MID1421
4
-
G Xhaka MID1826
2
-
A Grimaldo MID1823
3
-
J Frimpong FWD1824
3
-
N Tella FWD1412
-
P Schick  FWD1512
3
-
Subs
M Kovář GLK2
-
A. Natali DEF
-
Arthur DEF81
-
A García MID152
-
E Palacios MID1215
-
J Hofmann MID51
-
F Wirtz MID1898
1
-
A. Stepanov FWD
-
M Terrier  FWD1521
1
-