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Hamburger SV v Bayern Munich : Bundesliga match betting preview, prediction and odds

Volksparkstadion, Hamburg

Hamburger SV are in Bundesliga action on Saturday evening, as Merlin Polzin attempts to outsmart Vincent Kompany and his Bayern Munich side at the Volksparkstadion. Stats for our tip of Hamburg to win are shown below, including head-to-head history. Changing the market using the tabs below changes all stats and the odds from leading bookmakers, allowing you do find the bet that suits you best.

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Hamburger SV's next match is v Union Berlin at 14:30 on Saturday 14th February
Bayern Munich's next match is v Hoffenheim at 16:30 on Sunday 8th February

The last German Bundesliga meeting between Hamburg and Bayern was on Saturday 31st January 2026

German Bundesliga

January 31st 2026

Hamburg 2	2 Bayern

F. Ferreira Vieira 34'	42' H. Kane
L. Vušković 53'	46' L. Díaz Marulanda

	HSV FCB
Shots On	4 7
Shots Off	5 4
Corners	3 9
Possession	28% 72%
Fouls	12 16
Yellow/red cards	6/0 4/0

Hamburg	Bayern

D. Heuer Fernandes W. Mikelbrencis (W. Omari 73') D. Elfadli A. Sambi Lokonga (M. Pherai 85') R. Königsdörffer (R. Philippe 73') M. Muheim L. Vušković F. Ferreira Vieira (R. Glatzel 85') N. Remberg N. Capaldo B. Jatta (G. Gocholeishvili 59')	M. Neuer D. Upamecano (J. Tah 65') M. Kim A. Davies J. Kimmich (J. Musiala 65') S. Gnabry H. Kane M. Olise J. Stanisic (L. Díaz Marulanda 46') L. Karl A. Pavlović

Want to know who’s consistently beating the odds? Check out the Top Bundesliga Tipsters and see the most profitable experts for this season!

If you’re keen on betting across various leagues and markets, our Live Bets page showcases active accumulator bets and real-time tips.

Best Tip: Bayern to win

This one only looks like going one way and, unfortunately for the home team, that way is Bayern's. We predict Saturday's visitors to Volksparkstadion will have too much for their hosts, and it's a view backed up by each side's respective recent form stats, head-to-head (H2H) records and the odds from the UK's leading bookies too. They make an away win in the win / draw / win market the most likely result, and are offering a best price of 1.30.

An away win looks like the most likely outcome in the win/draw/win market, with our predictive algorithm suggesting there’s a 68% chance of Bayern coming away with a win.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Predictions	Bet365	Coral
Hamburg 15%	15/2	14/1
Draw 18%	19/4	2/9 4%
Bayern 68%	3/10	4/1
Bayern 2-1 10%	17/2 5%	4/1 6%
Bayern 2-0 9%	8/1 18%	9/2 6%
Bayern 3-1 8%	9/1	29/10
Draw 1-1 8%	11/1 8%	5/1
Bayern 3-0 7%	9/1 9%	7/1 10%
Bayern 1-0 7%	12/1 13%	9/2 17%
Draw 2-2 5%	16/1 13%	1/2 15%
Bayern 4-1 5%	14/1 15%	9/2
Bayern 4-0 4%	12/1 13%	12/1
Bayern 3-2 4%	18/1 12%	14/5
Hamburg 2-1 4%	22/1	11/1 12%
Hamburg 1-0 3%	28/1 15%	13/2
Draw 0-0 3%	25/1 24%	17/2 9%
Bayern 4-2 3%	25/1 13%	14/1 12%
Bayern 5-1 2%	22/1 10%	9/1
Over 2.5 Goals 68%	1/3 6%	1/10 3%
Under 2.5 Goals 32%	12/5 15%	5/1 6%
Home 1st Goal 41%	2/1 8%	14/5 5%
Away 1st Goal 58%	4/11 2%	7/20
No 1st Goal 1%	28/1 24%	17/2
BTTS - Yes 60%	8/13 8%	1/6 6%
BTTS - No 40%	6/5 12%	19/5 8%
BTTS - Home Win 9%	11/1 9%	8/1 5%
BTTS - Draw 15%	11/2 8%	4/9 8%
BTTS - Away Win 36%	11/8 8%	9/4 5%
Home/draw 32%	12/5	2/13 3%
Away/draw 85%	1/12	1/66 1%
Home/away 82%	1/7	3/1 1%
Over 1.5 Goals 87%	1/10 3%	1/14 1%
Under 1.5 Goals 13%	6/1 22%	13/2 7%
Over 3.5 Goals 47%	4/5 8%	1/7 6%
Under 3.5 Goals 53%	1/1 9%	4/1 5%
Over 4.5 Goals 28%	7/4 20%	14/5 10%
Under 4.5 Goals 72%	4/9 9%	2/9 5%
Over 5.5 Goals 14%	7/2 25%	20/1 13%
Under 5.5 Goals 86%	1/5 6%	1/1000 3%
Over 0.5 Goals 97%	1/200	1/25
Under 0.5 Goals 3%	22/1 24%	17/2
Home DNB 27%	6/1	29/10 4%
Away DNB 80%	1/10	2/9
Hamburg win to nil 6%	18/1 10%	-
Bayern win to nil 31%	13/8 12%	-
Hamburg / Hamburg 6%	14/1	100/1
Hamburg / Bayern 5%	14/1	100/1
Hamburg / Draw 4%	20/1 11%	125/1
Draw / Hamburg 5%	18/1	45/1
Draw / Bayern 18%	10/3 4%	18/1
Draw / Draw 8%	9/1 9%	28/1 6%
Bayern / Hamburg 2%	40/1	25/1
Bayern / Bayern 45%	4/5	1/9 3%
Bayern / Draw 5%	16/1	8/1

Win / draw / win Bundesliga table

Hamburg have played 18 matches so far this season and are in 16th position in the league.

Performance against teams above them in the league

15 of those games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 7 games, drawn 5 and won 3. Hamburg have conceded 24 goals, scored 15, failed to score in 6 matches and kept 4 clean sheets.

Home league performance

Hamburg have played 9 games at home, winning 4, drawing 3 and losing 2 fixtures. They have scored 13 goals, conceded 9 goals, kept 2 clean sheets and failed to score 3 times in home league games.

Bayern lay in 1st place on 50 points in the Bundesliga league table having played 19 matches. Bayern are unbeaten away after 9 games and have kept 4 clean sheets in those matches.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 19 games against teams below them in the table, winning 16, drawing 2 and losing 1 game. They have scored 72 goals and kept 8 clean sheets against lower placed opposition. Bayern have conceded 16 goals and scored in every game.

Away league performance

Bayern have played 9 away games, winning 8, drawing 1 and losing 0 games. They have scored an average of 3.6 goals per away game and conceded an average 0.8 goals per away game.

BTTS yes BTTS no BTTS yes BTTS no Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Over 0.5 Under 0.5 Over 1.5 Under 1.5 Over 2.5 Under 2.5 Over 3.5 Under 3.5 Over 4.5 Under 4.5 Over 5.5 Under 5.5 For 0-0 Against Won Draw Lost	Hamburg Bayern
Results by League Table

	TEAM	PLD	W	D	L	GD	PTS	HOME	AWAY	HOME	AWAY
1	Bayern	20	16	3	1	56	51	d 2-2F	l 5-0A	-	-
2	Dortmund	21	14	6	1	23	48	d 1-1A	Mar 21	w 2-1F	Feb 28
3	Hoffenheim	20	13	3	4	20	42	Apr 25	l 4-1A	w 5-1F	w 1-4F
4	Stuttgart	21	12	3	6	10	39	w 2-1F	Apr 11	Apr 18	w 0-5F
5	Leverkusen	20	11	3	6	12	36	Mar 4	May 16	w 3-0F	Mar 14
6	RB Leipzig	20	11	3	6	11	36	Mar 1	l 2-1A	w 6-0F	w 1-5A
7	Freiburg	21	8	6	7	-1	30	May 9	l 2-1F	w 6-2A	Apr 4
8	E.Frankfurt	21	7	7	7	-5	28	d 1-1F	May 2	Feb 21	w 0-3F
9	Union Berlin	21	6	7	8	-8	25	Feb 14	d 0-00-0	Mar 21	d 2-2A
10	Köln	20	6	5	9	-3	23	Mar 14	l 4-1A	May 16	w 1-3A
11	Hamburg	20	5	7	8	-8	22	-	-	w 5-0F	d 2-2A
12	B. M'gladbach	21	5	7	9	-9	22	d 0-00-0	d 0-00-0	Mar 6	w 0-3F
13	Augsburg	21	6	4	11	-15	22	Apr 4	l 1-0A	l 1-2F	w 2-3F
14	Mainz	21	5	6	10	-8	21	w 4-0F	Feb 20	d 2-2F	Apr 25
15	Wolfsburg	21	5	4	12	-15	19	l 0-1A	Mar 7	w 8-1F	May 9
16	W.Bremen	21	4	7	10	-17	19	w 3-2A	Apr 18	w 4-0F	Feb 14
17	St. Pauli	21	4	5	12	-15	17	l 0-2A	d 0-00-0	w 3-1A	Apr 11
18	Heidenheim	21	3	4	14	-28	13	w 2-1F	w 0-2F	May 2	w 0-4F

	UEFA Champions League
	UEFA Europa League
	UEFA Conference League Qualifiers
	Relegation Play Off
	Relegation

Win / draw / win form

Home

Overall

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

16 / 20

Conceded

14 / 20

Clean sheets

6 / 20

Failed to score

4 / 20

Won

Draw

HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Hamburg	0 - 0	B. M'gladbach
Hamburg	1 - 1	E.Frankfurt
Hamburg	3 - 2	W.Bremen
Hamburg	2 - 1	Stuttgart
Hamburg	1 - 1	Dortmund
Hamburg	0 - 1	Wolfsburg
Hamburg	4 - 0	Mainz
Hamburg	2 - 1	Heidenheim
Hamburg	0 - 2	St. Pauli
Hamburg	6 - 1	Ulm
Hamburg	1 - 2	Karlsruher
Hamburg	2 - 4	E. Braun
Hamburg	0 - 0	Elversberg
Hamburg	4 - 1	Dusseldorf
Hamburg	3 - 0	Kaiserslautern
Hamburg	2 - 2	Hannover
Hamburg	1 - 0	Köln
Hamburg	5 - 0	Greuther
Hamburg	2 - 2	Darmstadt
Hamburg	2 - 2	Schalke

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

12 / 20

Conceded

15 / 20

Clean sheets

5 / 20

Failed to score

8 / 20

Won

Draw

Lost

OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
A	Hamburg	0 - 0	St. Pauli
H	Hamburg	0 - 0	B. M'gladbach
A	Hamburg	1 - 2	Freiburg
H	Hamburg	1 - 1	E.Frankfurt
A	Hamburg	1 - 4	Hoffenheim
H	Hamburg	3 - 2	W.Bremen
H	Hamburg	2 - 1	Stuttgart
A	Hamburg	0 - 1	Augsburg
H	Hamburg	1 - 1	Dortmund
A	Hamburg	1 - 4	Köln
H	Hamburg	0 - 1	Wolfsburg
A	Hamburg	1 - 2	RB Leipzig
H	Hamburg	4 - 0	Mainz
A	Hamburg	0 - 0	Union Berlin
H	Hamburg	2 - 1	Heidenheim
A	Hamburg	0 - 5	Bayern
H	Hamburg	0 - 2	St. Pauli
A	Hamburg	0 - 0	B. M'gladbach
A	Hamburg	2 - 3	Greuther
H	Hamburg	6 - 1	Ulm

Away

Overall

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

19 / 20

Conceded

12 / 20

Clean sheets

8 / 20

Failed to score

1 / 20

Won

Draw

AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
RB Leipzig	1 - 5	Bayern
Köln	1 - 3	Bayern
Heidenheim	0 - 4	Bayern
Stuttgart	0 - 5	Bayern
Union Berlin	2 - 2	Bayern
B. M'gladbach	0 - 3	Bayern
E.Frankfurt	0 - 3	Bayern
Hoffenheim	1 - 4	Bayern
Augsburg	2 - 3	Bayern
Hoffenheim	0 - 4	Bayern
RB Leipzig	3 - 3	Bayern
Heidenheim	0 - 4	Bayern
Augsburg	1 - 3	Bayern
Union Berlin	1 - 1	Bayern
Stuttgart	1 - 3	Bayern
Leverkusen	0 - 0	Bayern
Freiburg	1 - 2	Bayern
B. M'gladbach	0 - 1	Bayern
Mainz	2 - 1	Bayern
Dortmund	1 - 1	Bayern

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

20 / 20

Conceded

11 / 20

Clean sheets

9 / 20

Failed to score

0 / 20

Won

OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
H	Bayern	1 - 2	Augsburg
A	Bayern	5 - 1	RB Leipzig
A	Bayern	3 - 1	Köln
H	Bayern	8 - 1	Wolfsburg
A	Bayern	4 - 0	Heidenheim
H	Bayern	2 - 2	Mainz
A	Bayern	5 - 0	Stuttgart
H	Bayern	3 - 1	St. Pauli
H	Bayern	6 - 2	Freiburg
A	Bayern	2 - 2	Union Berlin
H	Bayern	3 - 0	Leverkusen
A	Bayern	3 - 0	B. M'gladbach
H	Bayern	2 - 1	Dortmund
A	Bayern	3 - 0	E.Frankfurt
H	Bayern	4 - 0	W.Bremen
A	Bayern	4 - 1	Hoffenheim
H	Bayern	5 - 0	Hamburg
A	Bayern	3 - 2	Augsburg
H	Bayern	6 - 0	RB Leipzig
A	Bayern	4 - 0	Hoffenheim

Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)

Bayern have beaten Hamburg in 10 consecutive league meetings

Bayern have not lost to Hamburg in 10 consecutive league meetings

Bayern have kept a clean sheet in 5 consecutive league meetings with Hamburg

Hamburg

Bayern

Goals: Scored

Games: Scored

2 / 5

5 / 5

Clean sheets

0 / 5

3 / 5

FCB

FIXTURE HISTORY AT Hamburg
		0 - 1		Bayern
		0 - 1		Bayern
		1 - 2		Bayern
		1 - 4		Bayern
		0 - 3		Bayern

Bayern

Hamburg

Goals: Scored

Games: Scored

5 / 5

1 / 5

Clean sheets

4 / 5

0 / 5

FCB

FIXTURE HISTORY AT Bayern
Bayern		5 - 0
Bayern		6 - 0
Bayern		8 - 0
Bayern		5 - 0
Bayern		9 - 2

Goal Statistics

Goals have been an issue for Hamburger SV of late. It has been 5 Bundesliga games since they last scored more than 1, and a PG of 1.1 suggests they'll struggle to end that run on Saturday evening against Bayern Munich.

A PG of 2.5 is fairly strong for Bayern Munich in their meeting with Hamburger SV, as is their run of scoring 1 goal or more in 31 consecutive Bundesliga games.

	Hamburg 13th	Bayern 1st
	Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction	1.1 goals	2.5 goals
	Scoring probability
Scoring probability	0 34% 1 37% 2 20% 3 4+ There is a 71% probability that Hamburg will score no more than 1 goal	0 9% 1 21% 2 26% 3 21% 4+ 23% There is a 70% probability that Bayern will score 2 or more goals in this match

	20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games	+10 Hamburg’s goalscoring at home has been inline with predictions	+20 Bayern have scored 20% more goals when away than predicted
	2.1 average goals scored	2.8 average goals scored
	1.2 conceded	0.9 conceded

Attack defence ratings
Bundesliga - 2025/2025 season

HSV

FCB

63%

better

view stats

Games scored	10		19
Failed to score	8		0
Scored first	5		14
Goals scored	17		72
Avg. goals scored	0.9		3.8
Avg. shots per game	10		14
Avg. shots per goal	10		4
Conversion rate for	10		27
Avg. XG for	1.2		2.7
KickOff rating		+63%

HSV

FCB

28%

better

view stats

Games conceded	13		11
Clean sheets	5		8
Conceded first	9		5
Goals conceded	27		16
Avg. goals conceded	1.5		0.8
Avg. shots/game conceded	10		7
Avg. shots/goal conceded	7		8
Conversion rate against	15%		13%
Avg. XG against	1.4		0.9
KickOff rating		+28%

Hamburg v Bayern Bundesliga lLine ups will show here when available.

Hamburg Bundesliga squad statistics 2025

Overall

Attack

Defence

Most starts	Most goals	Most assists	Most cards
20	5	4	7
D Fernandes	R Philippe	M Muheim	N Remberg

Line-up	Appserances	goals	Assists	cards
D Fernandes GLK	20			3 -
N Capaldo DEF	17		1	5 -
L. Vušković DEF	18	4		4 -
D Elfadli DEF	14			4 1
W Mikelbrencis MID	14		1	1 -
A Lokonga MID	16	4		2 -
N Remberg MID	19		1	7 -
M Muheim MID	20		4	3 -
B Jatta FWD	8			-
F Vieira FWD	15	2	4	2 2
R Königsdörffer FWD	20	2	2	1 -
Subs
S Tangvik GLK				-
G Gocholeishvili DEF	16		1	2 1
W Omari DEF	7			-
J Torunarigha DEF	11			1 -
I Pherai MID	6			1 1
O Megeed MID				-
R Glatzel FWD	12	1		-
R Philippe FWD	19	5		2 -

Most goals	Most shots on target	Most assists	Most big chances
5	14	4	5
R Philippe	R Königsdörffer	M Muheim	M Muheim

Line-up	goals	shots on	Assists	big chances
R Philippe FWD	5	14		2
L. Vušković DEF	4	6
A Lokonga MID	4	8
F Vieira FWD	2	7	4	5
R Königsdörffer FWD	2	14	2	1
Subs
R Glatzel FWD	1	3
N Capaldo DEF		4	1	2
D Elfadli DEF		1
W Mikelbrencis MID		5	1	2
N Remberg MID		6	1	1
M Muheim MID		5	4	5
B Jatta FWD		3
Subs
G Gocholeishvili DEF		2	1	1
J Torunarigha DEF		1

Most passes	Most tackles	Most duels won
1084	46	134
L. Vušković	N Capaldo	L. Vušković

Line-up	passes	tackles	duels won
L. Vušković DEF	1084	13	134
D Fernandes GLK	1003		7
M Muheim MID	846	42	101
N Remberg MID	845	39	109
Subs
J Torunarigha DEF	572	20	62
D Elfadli DEF	570	18	45
N Capaldo DEF	515	46	105
A Lokonga MID	446	21	59
F Vieira FWD	408	7	40
Subs
W Omari DEF	280	3	12
R Königsdörffer FWD	228	1	48
Subs
G Gocholeishvili DEF	192	16	49
R Philippe FWD	170	16	37
W Mikelbrencis MID	168	10	20
B Jatta FWD	114	8	17
Subs
R Glatzel FWD	39		10
I Pherai MID	23	2	6

Bayern Bundesliga squad statistics 2025

Overall

Attack

Defence

Most starts	Most goals	Most assists	Most cards
18	22	15	5
H Kane	H Kane	M Olise	L Díaz

Line-up	Appserances	goals	Assists	cards
M Neuer GLK	16			-
J Stanisic DEF	12	2	2	1 -
D Upamecano DEF	16	1	1	3 -
M Kim DEF	13	1	1	1 -
A Davies DEF	5			1 -
J Kimmich MID	16	1	5	4 -
A Pavlović MID	17	2	1	2 -
M Olise MID	20	10	15	4 -
L. Karl MID	18	4	2	-
S Gnabry MID	15	6	5	1 -
H Kane FWD	20	22	4	1 -
Subs
J Urbig GLK	4			-
J Tah DEF	17	2	2	3 -
H Ito DEF	8	1	3	-
S Boey DEF	9			1 -
L Goretzka MID	18	1		4 -
J Musiala MID	3		1	-
T Bischof MID	16		3	2 -
N Jackson FWD	13	3		-
L Díaz FWD	19	10	9	5 -

Most goals	Most shots on target	Most assists	Most big chances
22	42	15	20
H Kane	H Kane	M Olise	M Olise

Line-up	goals	shots on	Assists	big chances
H Kane FWD	22	42	4	9
M Olise MID	10	35	15	20
Subs
L Díaz FWD	10	23	9	9
S Gnabry MID	6	13	5	6
L. Karl MID	4	13	2	2
Subs
N Jackson FWD	3	7		1
J Stanisic DEF	2	2	2	1
A Pavlović MID	2	4	1	3
Subs
J Tah DEF	2	5	2	1
D Upamecano DEF	1	2	1	2
M Kim DEF	1	1	1	1
J Kimmich MID	1	5	5	12
Subs
H Ito DEF	1	3	3	1
L Goretzka MID	1	3		2
J Musiala MID		1	1
T Bischof MID		2	3	3

Most passes	Most tackles	Most duels won
1443	25	94
J Kimmich	D Upamecano	M Olise

Line-up	passes	tackles	duels won
J Kimmich MID	1443	12	34
Subs
J Tah DEF	1347	18	54
A Pavlović MID	1190	23	40
D Upamecano DEF	1086	25	54
M Olise MID	1034	17	94
Subs
L Goretzka MID	949	20	51
L Díaz FWD	826	15	79
M Kim DEF	741	10	39
Subs
T Bischof MID	718	9	22
J Stanisic DEF	646	7	26
M Neuer GLK	554		2
L. Karl MID	526	18	38
H Kane FWD	521	12	86
S Gnabry MID	485	15	29
Subs
H Ito DEF	393		14
S Boey DEF	293	6	20
J Urbig GLK	167
A Davies DEF	162	5	11
Subs
N Jackson FWD	121	2	13
J Musiala MID	36	1	5