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Hamburger SV v Bayern Munich : Bundesliga match betting preview, prediction and odds

Sat 28th Nov, 14:30 BST, Volksparkstadion, Hamburg

Saturday afternoon sees Merlin Polzin’s Hamburger SV and Vincent Kompany’s Bayern Munich go head to head in a Bundesliga battle at the Volksparkstadion. We want you to make a smart bet on this match, so we've searched our expansive database and found the statistics that are most significant. Head-to-head and recent form are included, and it all goes into our algorithmic predictions. The best odds are there to get you maximum bang for your buck.


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Best Tip: Bayern to win

Going to Volksparkstadion and coming away with a win is never easy, especially in the Bundesliga, but we predict Bayern boss Vincent Kompany has the skill and the know-how to deliver just that. Form statistics, head-to-head (H2H) records and odds from the bookmakers all point towards the away win, and we make it the best bet on this match.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
An away win looks like the most likely outcome in the win/draw/win market, with our predictive algorithm suggesting there’s a 64% chance of Bayern coming away with a win.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Hamburg
17%
14/1-
Draw
19%
7/1-
Bayern
64%
1/8-
Bayern 2-1
10%
11/1-
Bayern 2-0
8%
10/1-
Draw 1-1
8%
18/1-
Bayern 3-1
8%
9/1-
Bayern 1-0
7%
18/1-
Bayern 3-0
7%
17/2-
Draw 2-2
6%
22/1-
Hamburg 2-1
5%
40/1-
Bayern 4-1
4%
11/1-
Bayern 3-2
4%
20/1-
Bayern 4-0
4%
10/1-
Hamburg 1-0
3%
50/1-
Draw 0-0
3%
33/1-
Bayern 4-2
3%
22/1-
Hamburg 3-2
2%
50/1-
Over 2.5 Goals
68%
1/5-
Under 2.5 Goals
32%
7/2-
Home 1st Goal
42%
11/4-
Away 1st Goal
56%
1/4-
No 1st Goal
2%
33/1-
BTTS - Yes
62%
4/6-
BTTS - No
38%
11/10-
BTTS - Home Win
11%
20/1-
BTTS - Draw
16%
15/2-
BTTS - Away Win
35%
21/20-
Home/draw
36%
5/1-
Away/draw
83%
1/33-
Home/away
81%
1/12-
Over 1.5 Goals
86%
1/20-
Under 1.5 Goals
14%
10/1-
Over 3.5 Goals
46%
1/2-
Under 3.5 Goals
54%
13/8-
Over 4.5 Goals
27%
11/10-
Under 4.5 Goals
73%
8/11-
Over 5.5 Goals
14%
12/5-
Under 5.5 Goals
86%
1/3-
Over 0.5 Goals
97%
1/200-
Under 0.5 Goals
3%
33/1-
Home DNB
30%
12/1-
Away DNB
77%
1/25-
Hamburg win to nil
7%
33/1-
Bayern win to nil
29%
5/4-
Hamburg / Hamburg
3%
28/1-
Hamburg / Bayern
6%
14/1-
Hamburg / Draw
3%
28/1-
Draw / Hamburg
2%
33/1-
Draw / Bayern
19%
10/3-
Draw / Draw
5%
16/1-
Bayern / Hamburg
2%
50/1-
Bayern / Bayern
57%
4/9-
Bayern / Draw
4%
22/1-
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Win / draw / win Bundesliga table

Hamburg have played 9 matches so far this season and are in 11th position in the league.

Performance against teams above them in the league

5 of those games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 3 games, drawn zero and won 2. Hamburg have conceded 12 goals, scored 5, failed to score in 2 matches and kept 1 clean sheet.

Home league performance

Hamburg have played 4 games at home, winning 3, drawing 0 and losing 1 fixture. They have scored 6 goals, conceded 7 goals, kept 1 clean sheet and failed to score 1 time in home league games.

Bayern lay in 1st place on 21 points in the Bundesliga league table having played 9 matches. Bayern are unbeaten in 9 games against teams below them in the league and kept 2 clean sheets out of 9 games. Bayern are unbeaten away after 5 games and have kept 1 clean sheet in those matches.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 9 games against teams below them in the table, winning 6, drawing 3 and losing 0 games. They have scored 29 goals and kept 2 clean sheets against lower placed opposition. Bayern have conceded 9 goals and have failed to score in 1 match.

Away league performance

Bayern have played 5 away games, winning 3, drawing 2 and losing 0 games. They have scored an average of 1.8 goals per away game and conceded an average 1 goals per away game.

Won
Draw
Lost
Hamburg
Bayern
Results by League Table
TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY HOME AWAY
1
Bayern96302021 
Nov 28
Apr 3
-
-
2
Dortmund9630921 
Jan 23
l
 
2-0A
d
 
2-2F
Mar 6
3
Freiburg96121019 
May 15
Jan 13
Mar 3
w
 
1-3F
4
RB Leipzig96031418 
Feb 6
l
 
5-0A
w
 
6-1F
Feb 27
5
Leverkusen9513316 
Jan 10
May 8
Jan 13
May 15
6
W.Bremen9432215 
Mar 20
Nov 22
Dec 18
Apr 24
7
Elversberg9414-113 
Apr 24
Dec 19
Feb 6
w
 
1-2F
8
Stuttgart9405012 
w
 
1-0F
Feb 27
w
 
5-1F
Jan 23
9
Hoffenheim9405-112 
Feb 20
w
 
2-3F
Apr 17
Dec 13
10
E.Frankfurt9333-512 
Mar 6
l
 
3-1A
May 22
Jan 16
11
Hamburg9405-1012 
-
-
Apr 3
Nov 28
12
Mainz9315-110 
l
 
0-5A
Jan 30
Mar 13
w
 
1-2F
13
Paderborn9243-310 
Mar 3
l
 
1-0A
Dec 4
Apr 10
14
Augsburg923409 
Jan 16
May 22
Feb 20
d
 
2-2A
15
Köln9234-49 
w
 
2-1F
Feb 13
Nov 20
Mar 20
16
Union Berlin9144-147 
Apr 10
Dec 5
w
 
7-0F
Feb 13
17
Schalke9135-66 
Dec 11
Apr 17
Jan 30
d
 
0-00-0
18
B. M'gladbach9117-134 
w
 
3-1F
Mar 13
May 8
Jan 9
Win / draw / win form
3
Hamburg have won 3 consecutive home league games
Hamburg 11TH
20 league games
Home
3
Overall
Goals: Scored
31
Conceded
27
Games: Scored
16 / 20
Conceded
17 / 20
Clean sheets
3 / 20
Failed to score
4 / 20
Won
9
Draw
6
Lost
5
HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Hamburg3 - 1B. M'gladbach
Hamburg1 - 0Stuttgart
Hamburg2 - 1Köln
Hamburg0 - 5Mainz
Hamburg3 - 2Freiburg
Hamburg1 - 2Hoffenheim
Hamburg1 - 1Augsburg
Hamburg1 - 1Köln
Hamburg0 - 1Leverkusen
Hamburg1 - 2RB Leipzig
Hamburg3 - 2Union Berlin
Hamburg2 - 2Bayern
Hamburg0 - 0B. M'gladbach
Hamburg1 - 1E.Frankfurt
Hamburg3 - 2W.Bremen
Hamburg2 - 1Stuttgart
Hamburg1 - 1Dortmund
Hamburg0 - 1Wolfsburg
Hamburg4 - 0Mainz
Hamburg2 - 1Heidenheim
Goals: Scored
24
Conceded
40
Games: Scored
14 / 20
Conceded
19 / 20
Clean sheets
1 / 20
Failed to score
6 / 20
Won
7
D
3
Lost
10
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
HHamburg3 - 1B. M'gladbach
AHamburg1 - 3E.Frankfurt
AHamburg0 - 1Paderborn
HHamburg1 - 0Stuttgart
AHamburg3 - 2Hoffenheim
HHamburg2 - 1Köln
AHamburg0 - 5RB Leipzig
HHamburg0 - 5Mainz
AHamburg0 - 2Dortmund
AHamburg1 - 1Leverkusen
HHamburg3 - 2Freiburg
AHamburg2 - 1E.Frankfurt
HHamburg1 - 2Hoffenheim
AHamburg1 - 3W.Bremen
AHamburg0 - 4Stuttgart
HHamburg1 - 1Augsburg
AHamburg2 - 3Dortmund
HHamburg1 - 1Köln
AHamburg2 - 1Wolfsburg
HHamburg0 - 1Leverkusen
Bayern 1ST
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
56
Conceded
19
Games: Scored
19 / 20
Conceded
12 / 20
Clean sheets
8 / 20
Failed to score
1 / 20
Won
15
Draw
5
AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Mainz1 - 2Bayern
Freiburg1 - 3Bayern
Augsburg2 - 2Bayern
Elversberg1 - 2Bayern
Schalke0 - 0Bayern
Wolfsburg0 - 1Bayern
Mainz3 - 4Bayern
St. Pauli0 - 5Bayern
Freiburg2 - 3Bayern
Leverkusen1 - 1Bayern
Dortmund2 - 3Bayern
W.Bremen0 - 3Bayern
Hamburg2 - 2Bayern
RB Leipzig1 - 5Bayern
Köln1 - 3Bayern
Heidenheim0 - 4Bayern
Stuttgart0 - 5Bayern
Union Berlin2 - 2Bayern
B. M'gladbach0 - 3Bayern
E.Frankfurt0 - 3Bayern
Goals: Scored
66
Conceded
24
Games: Scored
19 / 20
Conceded
15 / 20
Clean sheets
5 / 20
Failed to score
1 / 20
Won
15
Draw
5
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
ABayern2 - 1Mainz
HBayern2 - 2Dortmund
ABayern3 - 1Freiburg
HBayern6 - 1RB Leipzig
ABayern2 - 2Augsburg
HBayern7 - 0Union Berlin
ABayern2 - 1Elversberg
ABayern0 - 0Schalke
HBayern5 - 1Stuttgart
HBayern5 - 1Köln
ABayern1 - 0Wolfsburg
HBayern3 - 3Heidenheim
ABayern4 - 3Mainz
HBayern4 - 2Stuttgart
ABayern5 - 0St. Pauli
ABayern3 - 2Freiburg
HBayern4 - 0Union Berlin
ABayern1 - 1Leverkusen
HBayern4 - 1B. M'gladbach
ABayern3 - 2Dortmund
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
League games at Hamburg since 2012
Hamburg
Bayern
Goals: Scored
4
13
Games: Scored
3 / 6
6 / 6
Clean sheets
0 / 6
3 / 6
D
1
FCB
5
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Hamburg
Draw2 - 2Draw
0 - 1Bayern
0 - 1Bayern
1 - 2Bayern
1 - 4Bayern
0 - 3Bayern
League games at Bayern since 2013
Bayern
Hamburg
Goals: Scored
33
2
Games: Scored
5 / 5
1 / 5
Clean sheets
4 / 5
0 / 5
FCB
5
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Bayern
Bayern5 - 0
Bayern6 - 0
Bayern8 - 0
Bayern5 - 0
Bayern9 - 2
Goal Statistics

Bayern Munich's forwards have been in fine form of late, finding the net twice or more in 7 consecutive Bundesliga matches. A PG of 2.3 suggests that run should continue on Saturday afternoon.

Hamburg 11th Bayern 1st
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.1
goals
2.3
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
32%
1
36%
2
21%
3
8%
4+
There is a 68% probability that Hamburg will score no more than 1 goal
0
10%
1
22%
2
26%
3
21%
4+
21%
There is a 68% probability that Bayern will score 2 or more goals in this match
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
=0
Hamburg’s goalscoring at home has been inline with predictions
+7
Bayern’s goalscoring when away has been inline with predictions
1.6
average goals scored
2.8
average goals scored
1.4
conceded
1.0
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Bundesliga - 2026/2027 season
Hamburg
PG (predicted goals)
Bayern
1.1
2.3
Attack rating
%
better
HSV
FCB
view stats
Games scored0
0
Failed to score0
0
Scored first0
0
Goals scored0
0
Avg. goals scored0
0
Avg. shots per game0
0
Avg. shots per goal0
0
Conversion rate for0
0
Avg. XG for0
0
KickOff rating
0%
Defence rating
%
better
HSV
FCB
view stats
Games conceded0
0
Clean sheets0
0
Conceded first0
0
Goals conceded0
0
Avg. goals conceded0
0
Avg. shots/game conceded0
0
Avg. shots/goal conceded0
0
Conversion rate against0%
0%
Avg. XG against0
0
KickOff rating
0%

Hamburg v Bayern Bundesliga lLine ups will show here when available.

Hamburg Bundesliga squad statistics 2026/2027
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
9343
D FernandesM MuheimA GrönbaekW Omari
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
D Fernandes GLK9
-
T Moffi FWD92
-
D Wolfe DEF8
-
M Adeline MID8
1
-
A Grönbaek MID814
1
-
Z Ouahdi DEF71
1
-
W Omari DEF7
3
-
A Lokonga MID71
2
-
O. Emerson Stange FWD7
2
-
Y Poulsen FWD72
-
S Bornauw DEF6
-
N Capaldo  DEF61
2
-
L. Lemke DEF6
-
F Vieira MID6
-
P Daka FWD6
-
S. Nandja DEF51
3
-
J Torunarigha DEF5
1
-
M Muheim DEF531
-
N Remberg MID5
-
B Nadir MID4
-
K. Amoako MID4
-
A. Røssing-Lelesiit FWD4
-
B Jatta MID3
-
J. D. B. Mouelle DEF1
-
Bayern Bundesliga squad statistics 2026/2027
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
9683
D UpamecanoM OliseH KaneK Laimer
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
D Upamecano DEF93
2
-
N Brown DEF912
-
M Olise FWD964
-
H Kane FWD948
-
A Davies DEF82
-
J Stanisic DEF8
1
-
T Bischof MID82
-
A Pavlović MID821
1
-
I Saibari MID823
-
J Kimmich MID813
-
L. Karl MID82
-
K Laimer DEF61
3
-
J Tah DEF6
1
-
L Díaz  FWD641
-
J Urbig GLK5
-
M Neuer  GLK5
-
M Kim DEF5
1
-
S Gnabry FWD51
-
S Boey DEF3
-
J Musiala MID311
-
H Ito DEF2
-