1. FSV Mainz 05's team badge FC Union Berlin's team badge

1. FSV Mainz 05 v FC Union Berlin : Bundesliga match betting preview, prediction and odds

Mewa Arena, Mainz

It's an away match for Steffen Baumgart's FC Union Berlin side on Sunday evening, as they head to the Mewa Arena for a Bundesliga clash with Urs Fischer's 1. FSV Mainz 05. The odds you see on the page are provided straight from top bookmakers, while predictions are algorithmically generated from statistics over a 20-game period. Particular attention is given to Bundesliga match data, including head-to-head records. Click the tabs below to explore it all.

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The last German Bundesliga meeting between Mainz and Union Berlin was on Sunday 10th May 2026
German Bundesliga
May 10th 2026
Mainz 1
3 Union Berlin
 
S. Becker 48'38' A. Ilić
88' O. Burke
90' J. Juranović
 
M05
FCU
Shots On
4
9
Shots Off
7
6
Corners
7
8
Possession
53%
47%
Fouls
11
10
Yellow/red cards
2/0
1/0
 
MainzUnion Berlin
 
P. Mwene
S. Posch
A. Caci (N. Veratschnig 70')
K. Sano
P. Nebel (J. Lee 70')
N. Amiri
P. Tietz (N. Weiper 81')
D. Vieira da Costa (K. Potulski 16')
R. Zentner
D. Kohr
S. Beckerfootball icon (A. Sieb 81')
D. Monteiro Pinto Leite
D. Doekhi
R. Khedira
(T. Skarke 88') football iconO. Burke
(W. Jeong 59') L. Burcu
(A. Schafer 60') I. Ansah
(D. Köhn 60') T. Rothe
A. Kemlein
C. Klaus
(J. Juranović 81') C. Trimmel
football iconA. Ilić

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Best Tip: Over 1.5 goals

We make over 1.5 goals our best tip on this fixture, meaning that the teams will score at least two goals between them during the standard 90 mins. Both Mainz and Union Berlin's recent form stats suggest goals are to be expected, while their head-to-head (H2H) record adds further weight to the argument. The bookies make it the most probable outcome in this market too, available at 1.25.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think Mainz are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 54% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 1.75.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Mainz
54%
4/61/50
Draw
23%
10/370/1
Union Berlin
23%
7/21/1000
Draw 1-1
11%
8/13/5
Mainz 2-1
10%
8/13/1
Mainz 1-0
9%
11/111/2
Mainz 2-0
9%
10/18/1
Mainz 3-1
6%
11/116/1
Union Berlin 2-1
6%
14/17/1
Union Berlin 1-0
6%
20/19/2
Draw 2-2
6%
11/120/1
Mainz 3-0
5%
14/114/1
Draw 0-0
5%
22/17/1
Mainz 3-2
3%
16/170/1
Union Berlin 2-0
3%
28/113/2
Mainz 4-1
3%
20/155/1
Mainz 4-0
3%
22/128/1
Union Berlin 3-1
2%
28/145/1
Over 2.5 Goals
57%
4/96/5
Under 2.5 Goals
43%
7/48/13
Home 1st Goal
54%
8/153/4
Away 1st Goal
43%
11/87/5
No 1st Goal
3%
22/17/1
BTTS - Yes
57%
4/97/20
BTTS - No
43%
13/82/1
BTTS - Home Win
27%
7/417/5
BTTS - Draw
18%
7/21/3
BTTS - Away Win
12%
11/213/2
Home/draw
77%
2/1160/1
Away/draw
46%
23/201/50
Home/away
77%
1/51/1000
Over 1.5 Goals
80%
1/81/8
Under 1.5 Goals
20%
5/19/2
Over 3.5 Goals
35%
1/111/1
Under 3.5 Goals
65%
4/51/40
Over 4.5 Goals
18%
12/511/2
Under 4.5 Goals
82%
1/31/11
Over 5.5 Goals
8%
5/145/1
Under 5.5 Goals
92%
1/81/1000
Over 0.5 Goals
95%
1/501/18
Under 0.5 Goals
5%
18/17/1
Home DNB
70%
2/74/9
Away DNB
39%
5/213/8
Mainz win to nil
27%
11/4-
Union Berlin win to nil
11%
10/1-
Mainz / Mainz
32%
6/425/1
Mainz / Union Berlin
3%
28/166/1
Mainz / Draw
6%
12/150/1
Draw / Mainz
16%
4/18/1
Draw / Union Berlin
8%
9/114/1
Draw / Draw
12%
13/211/1
Union Berlin / Mainz
5%
16/117/4
Union Berlin / Union Berlin
12%
6/11/1
Union Berlin / Draw
6%
14/116/5
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Win / draw / win Bundesliga table

Mainz have played 32 matches so far this season and lay in 10th place in the Bundesliga league table.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 14 games against teams below in the table, having won 4, drawn 6 and lost 4 matches. They have kept 2 clean sheets and have failed to score in 4 fixtures. Mainz have outscored their opponents by 41 goals to 37 goals.

Home League Performance

Mainz have played 16 games at home winning 4, drawing 5 and losing 7 games. They have scored 20 goals, kept 2 clean sheets and conceded 22 goals at home.

Union Berlin are in 13th position in the Bundesliga on 33 points having played 32 matches so far this season.

Away League Performance

10 of those games have been losing matches. They have conceded 31 goals and kept 3 clean sheets. They have scored 15 goals in total and failed to score in 5 fixtures.

Performance against teams above them in the league

22 games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 9 games, drawn 7 and won 6. Union Berlin have conceded 39 goals, scored 27, failed to score in 7 fixtures and have kept 4 clean sheets.

Won
Draw
Lost
Mainz
Union Berlin
Results by League Table
TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY HOME AWAY
1
Bayern3428518689 
l
 
3-4F
d
 
2-2A
d
 
2-2F
l
 
4-0A
2
Dortmund3422753673 
l
 
0-2A
l
 
4-0A
l
 
0-3A
l
 
3-0A
3
RB Leipzig3420591965 
l
 
0-1A
w
 
1-2A
w
 
3-1F
l
 
3-1A
4
Stuttgart3418882262 
d
 
2-2F
l
 
2-1F
w
 
2-1F
d
 
1-1A
5
Hoffenheim3418791361 
d
 
1-1A
w
 
1-2F
l
 
2-4A
l
 
3-1A
6
Leverkusen3417892159 
l
 
3-4A
d
 
1-1F
w
 
1-0F
l
 
2-0A
7
Freiburg3413813-647 
l
 
0-1A
l
 
4-0A
d
 
0-00-0
w
 
0-1F
8
E.Frankfurt34111112-444 
w
 
2-1F
l
 
1-0A
d
 
1-1A
w
 
3-4F
9
Augsburg3412715-1643 
w
 
2-0F
w
 
1-4F
w
 
4-0F
d
 
1-1A
10
Mainz34101014-940 
-
-
d
 
2-2A
w
 
1-3F
11
Union Berlin3410915-1439 
l
 
1-3A
d
 
2-2F
-
-
12
B. M'gladbach3491114-1138 
l
 
0-1A
d
 
1-1A
w
 
3-1F
l
 
1-0A
13
Hamburg3491114-1438 
d
 
1-1F
l
 
4-0A
d
 
0-00-0
l
 
3-2F
14
Köln3471116-1432 
l
 
0-1A
l
 
2-1F
d
 
2-2A
w
 
0-1F
15
W.Bremen348818-2332 
d
 
1-1F
w
 
0-2F
l
 
1-4F
l
 
1-0A
16
Wolfsburg347819-2429 
w
 
3-1A
d
 
1-1A
l
 
1-2A
l
 
3-1A
17
Heidenheim346820-3126 
w
 
2-1F
w
 
0-2F
l
 
1-2F
l
 
3-1A
18
St. Pauli346820-3126 
d
 
0-00-0
w
 
1-2F
d
 
1-1A
w
 
0-1F
Win / draw / win form
Mainz 10TH
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
26
Conceded
28
Games: Scored
14 / 20
Conceded
18 / 20
Clean sheets
2 / 20
Failed to score
6 / 20
W
4
Draw
9
Lost
7
HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Mainz3 - 4Bayern
Mainz0 - 1Freiburg
Mainz2 - 1E.Frankfurt
Mainz2 - 2Stuttgart
Mainz1 - 1Hamburg
Mainz2 - 0Augsburg
Mainz3 - 1Wolfsburg
Mainz2 - 1Heidenheim
Mainz0 - 0St. Pauli
Mainz0 - 1B. M'gladbach
Mainz1 - 1Hoffenheim
Mainz1 - 1W.Bremen
Mainz3 - 4Leverkusen
Mainz0 - 2Dortmund
Mainz0 - 1RB Leipzig
Mainz0 - 1Köln
Mainz2 - 2Leverkusen
Mainz1 - 1E.Frankfurt
Mainz2 - 2Wolfsburg
Mainz1 - 1Holstein
Goals: Scored
30
Conceded
27
Games: Scored
16 / 20
Conceded
17 / 20
Clean sheets
3 / 20
Failed to score
4 / 20
Won
8
Draw
7
Lost
5
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
AMainz2 - 1St. Pauli
HMainz3 - 4Bayern
AMainz1 - 1B. M'gladbach
HMainz0 - 1Freiburg
AMainz2 - 1Hoffenheim
HMainz2 - 1E.Frankfurt
AMainz2 - 0W.Bremen
HMainz2 - 2Stuttgart
AMainz1 - 1Leverkusen
HMainz1 - 1Hamburg
AMainz0 - 4Dortmund
HMainz2 - 0Augsburg
AMainz2 - 1RB Leipzig
HMainz3 - 1Wolfsburg
AMainz1 - 2Köln
HMainz2 - 1Heidenheim
AMainz2 - 2Union Berlin
HMainz0 - 0St. Pauli
AMainz2 - 2Bayern
HMainz0 - 1B. M'gladbach
Union Berlin 11TH
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
20
Conceded
34
Games: Scored
14 / 20
Conceded
16 / 20
Clean sheets
4 / 20
Failed to score
6 / 20
Won
6
D
4
Lost
10
AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
RB Leipzig3 - 1Union Berlin
Heidenheim3 - 1Union Berlin
Bayern4 - 0Union Berlin
Freiburg0 - 1Union Berlin
B. M'gladbach1 - 0Union Berlin
Hamburg3 - 2Union Berlin
Hoffenheim3 - 1Union Berlin
Stuttgart1 - 1Union Berlin
Augsburg1 - 1Union Berlin
Köln0 - 1Union Berlin
Wolfsburg3 - 1Union Berlin
St. Pauli0 - 1Union Berlin
W.Bremen1 - 0Union Berlin
Leverkusen2 - 0Union Berlin
E.Frankfurt3 - 4Union Berlin
Dortmund3 - 0Union Berlin
Augsburg1 - 2Union Berlin
VfL Bochum1 - 1Union Berlin
Leverkusen0 - 0Union Berlin
Freiburg1 - 2Union Berlin
Goals: Scored
22
Conceded
38
Games: Scored
17 / 20
Conceded
17 / 20
Clean sheets
3 / 20
Failed to score
3 / 20
W
4
Draw
6
Lost
10
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
HUnion Berlin2 - 2Köln
AUnion Berlin1 - 3RB Leipzig
HUnion Berlin1 - 2Wolfsburg
AUnion Berlin1 - 3Heidenheim
HUnion Berlin1 - 1St. Pauli
AUnion Berlin0 - 4Bayern
AUnion Berlin1 - 0Freiburg
HUnion Berlin1 - 4W.Bremen
AUnion Berlin0 - 1B. M'gladbach
HUnion Berlin1 - 0Leverkusen
AUnion Berlin2 - 3Hamburg
HUnion Berlin1 - 1E.Frankfurt
AUnion Berlin1 - 3Hoffenheim
HUnion Berlin0 - 3Dortmund
AUnion Berlin1 - 1Stuttgart
AUnion Berlin1 - 1Augsburg
HUnion Berlin2 - 2Mainz
AUnion Berlin1 - 0Köln
HUnion Berlin3 - 1RB Leipzig
AUnion Berlin1 - 3Wolfsburg
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
3
Mainz have drawn with Union Berlin in 3 consecutive home league meetings
9
Union Berlin have not lost to Mainz in 9 consecutive league meetings
League games at Mainz since 2019
Mainz
Union Berlin
Goals: Scored
6
7
Games: Scored
5 / 6
4 / 6
Clean sheets
2 / 6
1 / 6
M05
1
D
3
FCU
2
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Mainz
Draw1 - 1Draw
Draw1 - 1Draw
Draw0 - 0Draw
1 - 2Union Berlin
Mainz1 - 0
2 - 3Union Berlin
League games at Union Berlin since 2020
Union Berlin
Mainz
Goals: Scored
18
7
Games: Scored
7 / 7
6 / 7
Clean sheets
1 / 7
0 / 7
D
2
FCU
5
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Union Berlin
Draw2 - 2Draw
Union Berlin2 - 1
Union Berlin4 - 1
Union Berlin2 - 1
Union Berlin3 - 1
Union Berlin4 - 0
Draw1 - 1Draw
Goal Statistics

1. FSV Mainz 05's fans will be hoping for goals on Sunday evening, not least because FC Union Berlin have conceded in each of their last 8 Bundesliga games. A PG of 1.9 for U. Fischer's side suggests that run should continue.

1. FSV Mainz 05's defensive record is very strong, U. Fischer's men having conceded 1 or less in 10 consecutive Bundesliga games. An average PG rating of 1.1 for FC Union Berlin makes sense in this context.

Mainz 10th Union Berlin 11th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.9
goals
1.1
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
16%
1
29%
2
27%
3
17%
4+
12%
There is a 84% probability that Mainz will score 1 or more goals
0
32%
1
37%
2
21%
3
8%
4+
There is a 69% probability that Union Berlin will score no more than 1 goal
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
-16
Mainz have scored 16% fewer goals at home than predicted
-18
Union Berlin have scored 18% fewer goals when away than predicted
1.3
average goals scored
1.0
average goals scored
1.4
conceded
1.7
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Bundesliga - 2025/2025 season
Mainz
PG (predicted goals)
Union Berlin
1.9
1.1
Attack rating
4%
better
M05
FCU
view stats
Games scored22
24
Failed to score10
8
Scored first15
12
Goals scored41
37
Avg. goals scored1.3
1.2
Avg. shots per game9
9
Avg. shots per goal7
8
Conversion rate for15
13
Avg. XG for1.5
1.3
KickOff rating
+4%
Defence rating
1%
better
M05
FCU
view stats
Games conceded29
26
Clean sheets3
6
Conceded first16
18
Goals conceded50
57
Avg. goals conceded1.6
1.8
Avg. shots/game conceded10
10
Avg. shots/goal conceded7
5
Conversion rate against15%
18%
Avg. XG against1.6
1.5
KickOff rating
+1%

Mainz v Union Berlin Bundesliga lLine ups will show here when available.

Mainz Bundesliga squad statistics 2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
3412312
K SanoN AmiriD CostaD Kohr
Line-upAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
R Zentner GLK10
2
1
D Costa DEF3423
3
-
S Posch DEF16
4
-
D Kohr DEF292
10
2
A Caci MID10
3
-
P Nebel MID3052
2
2
K Sano MID3412
1
-
N Amiri MID26122
6
-
P Mwene MID2912
4
-
P Tietz FWD1953
2
-
S Becker FWD1433
2
-
Subs
D Batz GLK21
2
-
K. Potulski DEF1511
3
-
N Veratschnig DEF211
3
-
S Widmer  DEF2721
5
-
J Lee MID2842
4
-
L Maloney MID21
1
-
S Kawasaki MID10
1
-
A Sieb FWD222
1
-
N Weiper FWD24
1
-
Union Berlin Bundesliga squad statistics 2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
346108
D DoekhiO BurkeA IlićC Trimmel 
Line-upAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
C Klaus GLK4
-
C Trimmel  DEF293
8
-
D Doekhi DEF345
4
-
D Leite DEF23
4
-
T Rothe DEF212
1
1
R Khedira MID3251
7
-
A Kemlein MID302
4
-
O Burke MID2962
4
-
I Ansah MID3352
1
-
L. Burcu MID1811
4
-
A Ilić FWD32510
5
-
Subs
T. Wisbereit GLK
-
L Querfeld DEF313
6
-
J Juranovic DEF1111
1
-
S Nsoki DEF1312
2
-
D Köhn DEF2912
5
1
W Jeong MID2841
-
A Schäfer  MID2821
2
1
T Skarke MID2211
-
A Kral MID201
1
-
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