1. FSV Mainz 05's team badge FC Union Berlin's team badge

1. FSV Mainz 05 v FC Union Berlin : Bundesliga match betting preview, prediction and odds

Sat 28th Nov, 14:30 BST, Mewa Arena, Mainz

Urs Fischer's 1. FSV Mainz 05 side enjoy home advantage in the Bundesliga on Saturday afternoon, as Mauro Lustrinelli's FC Union Berlin travel to the Mewa Arena. The aim of this preview is, quite simply, to help you make the smartest bet possible. To this end, statistics for every betting market have been laid out below, with head-to-head history and particularly important form streaks highlighted. Odds are included as well.


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Best Tip: Mainz to win

As the Mainz players ready themselves for this clash, the bookmakers have predicted a win for them. The odds and our pre-match statistics below suggest the same, as does the historical head-to-head (H2H) information we use in our predictive algorithms. The Mewa Arena has not been a successful away day for Union Berlin in the past, and we we'd back more of the same on Saturday afternoon. A win / draw / win home win is the way to go.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think Mainz are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 62% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 1.50.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Mainz
62%
1/2
3%
-
Draw
19%
10/3
3%
-
Union Berlin
19%
19/4
10%
-
Mainz 2-1
9%
15/2-
Draw 1-1
8%
15/2-
Mainz 2-0
8%
15/2
6%
-
Mainz 3-1
7%
10/1
8%
-
Mainz 1-0
6%
17/2-
Mainz 3-0
6%
11/1-
Draw 2-2
6%
14/1-
Union Berlin 2-1
5%
16/1-
Mainz 3-2
5%
20/1-
Mainz 4-1
4%
18/1
10%
-
Mainz 4-0
4%
20/1-
Union Berlin 1-0
3%
18/1-
Draw 0-0
3%
16/1-
Mainz 4-2
3%
33/1-
Union Berlin 3-2
2%
40/1
21%
-
Over 2.5 Goals
70%
4/7
3%
-
Under 2.5 Goals
30%
11/8
5%
-
Home 1st Goal
55%
4/9
4%
-
Away 1st Goal
44%
7/4
6%
-
No 1st Goal
1%
16/1-
BTTS - Yes
64%
4/6
3%
-
BTTS - No
36%
11/10
5%
-
BTTS - Home Win
36%
15/8-
BTTS - Draw
16%
4/1-
BTTS - Away Win
12%
8/1
6%
-
Home/draw
81%
1/7
3%
-
Away/draw
38%
6/4
5%
-
Home/away
81%
1/5
2%
-
Over 1.5 Goals
87%
1/6-
Under 1.5 Goals
13%
4/1-
Over 3.5 Goals
48%
13/10
3%
-
Under 3.5 Goals
52%
8/13
3%
-
Over 4.5 Goals
29%
10/3
8%
-
Under 4.5 Goals
71%
2/9
2%
-
Over 5.5 Goals
16%
7/1-
Under 5.5 Goals
84%
1/12-
Over 0.5 Goals
97%
1/40-
Under 0.5 Goals
3%
14/1
12%
-
Home DNB
75%
1/5
2%
-
Away DNB
32%
10/3
8%
-
Mainz win to nil
26%
7/4
8%
-
Union Berlin win to nil
7%
10/1-
Mainz / Mainz
37%
5/4-
Mainz / Union Berlin
2%
33/1-
Mainz / Draw
6%
14/1-
Draw / Mainz
18%
7/2-
Draw / Union Berlin
7%
11/1-
Draw / Draw
12%
6/1-
Union Berlin / Mainz
4%
18/1-
Union Berlin / Union Berlin
9%
17/2
6%
-
Union Berlin / Draw
5%
16/1-
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Win / draw / win Bundesliga table

Mainz have played 9 matches so far this season and lay in 12th place in the Bundesliga league table. Mainz are unbeaten in 3 games against teams below them in the league and kept 2 clean sheets out of 3 games. Mainz are having a poor run against away teams, having not won a match so far this season. They have also not scored in 1 of those game.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 3 games against teams below in the table, having won 2, drawn 1 and lost no matches. They have kept 2 clean sheets and have failed to score in 1 fixture. Mainz have outscored their opponents by 18 goals to 7 goals.

Home League Performance

Mainz have played 5 games at home winning 0, drawing 1 and losing 4 games. They have scored 7 goals, kept 1 clean sheet and conceded 12 goals at home.

Union Berlin are in 16th position in the Bundesliga on 7 points having played 9 matches so far this season. Union Berlin are having a poor run against away teams, having not won a match so far this season. They have also not scored in 3 of those games.

Away League Performance

3 of those games have been losing matches. They have conceded 14 goals and kept no clean sheets. They have scored 1 goal in total and failed to score in 3 fixtures.

Performance against teams above them in the league

8 games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 3 games, drawn 4 and won 1. Union Berlin have conceded 18 goals, scored 6, failed to score in 4 fixtures and have kept 2 clean sheets.

Won
Draw
Lost
Mainz
Union Berlin
Results by League Table
TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY HOME AWAY
1
Bayern96302021 
l
 
1-2A
Mar 13
Feb 13
l
 
7-0A
2
Dortmund9630921 
May 8
Jan 8
d
 
0-00-0
Feb 27
3
Freiburg96121019 
Dec 13
Apr 17
Mar 13
l
 
2-0A
4
RB Leipzig96031418 
Apr 10
Dec 5
Nov 21
Mar 20
5
Leverkusen9513316 
l
 
3-4A
Feb 20
Jan 30
l
 
4-0A
6
W.Bremen9432215 
l
 
2-3A
Mar 3
May 8
Jan 10
7
Elversberg9414-113 
Mar 6
l
 
4-1A
w
 
1-0F
Feb 20
8
Stuttgart9405012 
May 22
Jan 15
Apr 17
Dec 12
9
Hoffenheim9405-112 
Jan 12
May 15
Dec 20
Apr 24
10
E.Frankfurt9333-512 
l
 
1-3A
Feb 6
d
 
3-3F
Jan 24
11
Hamburg9405-1012 
Jan 30
w
 
0-5F
Dec 5
Apr 10
12
Mainz9315-110 
-
-
Apr 3
Nov 28
13
Paderborn9243-310 
d
 
0-00-0
Jan 23
Jan 13
May 15
14
Augsburg923409 
Mar 20
Nov 22
Mar 3
d
 
1-1A
15
Köln9234-49 
Dec 19
Apr 24
d
 
1-1F
Mar 6
16
Union Berlin9144-147 
Nov 28
Apr 3
-
-
17
Schalke9135-66 
Feb 27
w
 
0-1F
l
 
1-3A
Feb 6
18
B. M'gladbach9117-134 
Feb 13
w
 
3-4A
May 22
Jan 16
Win / draw / win form
4
Mainz have lost 4 consecutive home league games
Mainz 12TH
20 league games
Home
4
Overall
Goals: Scored
28
Conceded
35
Games: Scored
15 / 20
Conceded
17 / 20
Clean sheets
3 / 20
Failed to score
5 / 20
W
4
Draw
6
Lost
10
HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Mainz1 - 2Bayern
Mainz2 - 3W.Bremen
Mainz3 - 4Leverkusen
Mainz1 - 3E.Frankfurt
Mainz0 - 0Paderborn
Mainz1 - 3Union Berlin
Mainz3 - 4Bayern
Mainz0 - 1Freiburg
Mainz2 - 1E.Frankfurt
Mainz2 - 2Stuttgart
Mainz1 - 1Hamburg
Mainz2 - 0Augsburg
Mainz3 - 1Wolfsburg
Mainz2 - 1Heidenheim
Mainz0 - 0St. Pauli
Mainz0 - 1B. M'gladbach
Mainz1 - 1Hoffenheim
Mainz1 - 1W.Bremen
Mainz3 - 4Leverkusen
Mainz0 - 2Dortmund
Goals: Scored
36
Conceded
34
Games: Scored
18 / 20
Conceded
15 / 20
Clean sheets
5 / 20
Failed to score
2 / 20
Won
8
D
4
Lost
8
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
HMainz1 - 2Bayern
AMainz1 - 4Elversberg
HMainz2 - 3W.Bremen
AMainz1 - 0Schalke
HMainz3 - 4Leverkusen
AMainz4 - 3B. M'gladbach
HMainz1 - 3E.Frankfurt
AMainz5 - 0Hamburg
HMainz0 - 0Paderborn
AMainz2 - 0Heidenheim
HMainz1 - 3Union Berlin
AMainz2 - 1St. Pauli
HMainz3 - 4Bayern
AMainz1 - 1B. M'gladbach
HMainz0 - 1Freiburg
AMainz2 - 1Hoffenheim
HMainz2 - 1E.Frankfurt
AMainz2 - 0W.Bremen
HMainz2 - 2Stuttgart
AMainz1 - 1Leverkusen
Union Berlin 16TH
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
19
Conceded
43
Games: Scored
13 / 20
Conceded
17 / 20
Clean sheets
3 / 20
Failed to score
7 / 20
Won
5
D
3
Lost
12
AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Freiburg2 - 0Union Berlin
Augsburg1 - 1Union Berlin
Bayern7 - 0Union Berlin
Leverkusen4 - 0Union Berlin
Mainz1 - 3Union Berlin
RB Leipzig3 - 1Union Berlin
Heidenheim3 - 1Union Berlin
Bayern4 - 0Union Berlin
Freiburg0 - 1Union Berlin
B. M'gladbach1 - 0Union Berlin
Hamburg3 - 2Union Berlin
Hoffenheim3 - 1Union Berlin
Stuttgart1 - 1Union Berlin
Augsburg1 - 1Union Berlin
Köln0 - 1Union Berlin
Wolfsburg3 - 1Union Berlin
St. Pauli0 - 1Union Berlin
W.Bremen1 - 0Union Berlin
Leverkusen2 - 0Union Berlin
E.Frankfurt3 - 4Union Berlin
Goals: Scored
22
Conceded
42
Games: Scored
14 / 20
Conceded
16 / 20
Clean sheets
4 / 20
Failed to score
6 / 20
W
4
Draw
6
Lost
10
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
AUnion Berlin0 - 2Freiburg
HUnion Berlin1 - 1Köln
AUnion Berlin1 - 1Augsburg
HUnion Berlin0 - 0Dortmund
HUnion Berlin1 - 0Elversberg
AUnion Berlin0 - 7Bayern
HUnion Berlin1 - 3Schalke
AUnion Berlin0 - 4Leverkusen
HUnion Berlin3 - 3E.Frankfurt
HUnion Berlin4 - 0Augsburg
AUnion Berlin3 - 1Mainz
HUnion Berlin2 - 2Köln
AUnion Berlin1 - 3RB Leipzig
HUnion Berlin1 - 2Wolfsburg
AUnion Berlin1 - 3Heidenheim
HUnion Berlin1 - 1St. Pauli
AUnion Berlin0 - 4Bayern
AUnion Berlin1 - 0Freiburg
HUnion Berlin1 - 4W.Bremen
AUnion Berlin0 - 1B. M'gladbach
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
League games at Mainz since 2019
Mainz
Union Berlin
Goals: Scored
7
10
Games: Scored
6 / 7
5 / 7
Clean sheets
2 / 7
1 / 7
M05
1
D
3
FCU
3
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Mainz
1 - 3Union Berlin
Draw1 - 1Draw
Draw1 - 1Draw
Draw0 - 0Draw
1 - 2Union Berlin
Mainz1 - 0
2 - 3Union Berlin
League games at Union Berlin since 2020
Union Berlin
Mainz
Goals: Scored
18
7
Games: Scored
7 / 7
6 / 7
Clean sheets
1 / 7
0 / 7
D
2
FCU
5
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Union Berlin
Draw2 - 2Draw
Union Berlin2 - 1
Union Berlin4 - 1
Union Berlin2 - 1
Union Berlin3 - 1
Union Berlin4 - 0
Draw1 - 1Draw
Goal Statistics

Goals have been a problem for FC Union Berlin of late. It has been 8 Bundesliga matches since they last scored more than 1, and a PG of 1.2 suggests they'll have problems ending that run on Saturday afternoon against 1. FSV Mainz 05.

Mainz 12th Union Berlin 16th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
2.4
goals
1.2
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
9%
1
22%
2
26%
3
21%
4+
21%
There is a 69% probability that Mainz will score 2 or more goals in this match
0
29%
1
36%
2
22%
3
9%
4+
There is a 65% probability that Union Berlin will score no more than 1 goal
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
-11
Mainz have scored 11% fewer goals at home than predicted
-20
Union Berlin have scored 20% fewer goals when away than predicted
1.4
average goals scored
1.0
average goals scored
1.8
conceded
2.2
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Bundesliga - 2026/2027 season
Mainz
PG (predicted goals)
Union Berlin
2.4
1.2
Attack rating
%
better
M05
FCU
view stats
Games scored0
0
Failed to score0
0
Scored first0
0
Goals scored0
0
Avg. goals scored0
0
Avg. shots per game0
0
Avg. shots per goal0
0
Conversion rate for0
0
Avg. XG for0
0
KickOff rating
0%
Defence rating
%
better
M05
FCU
view stats
Games conceded0
0
Clean sheets0
0
Conceded first0
0
Goals conceded0
0
Avg. goals conceded0
0
Avg. shots/game conceded0
0
Avg. shots/goal conceded0
0
Conversion rate against0%
0%
Avg. XG against0
0
KickOff rating
0%

Mainz v Union Berlin Bundesliga lLine ups will show here when available.

Mainz Bundesliga squad statistics 2026/2027
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
9645
A CaciP TietzS BeckerP Mwene
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
A Caci DEF933
1
-
D Costa DEF91
1
-
K. Potulski DEF9
1
-
N Amiri MID91
1
-
K Sano MID92
1
-
R Königsdörffer FWD91
2
-
P Tietz FWD961
1
-
S Becker FWD924
2
-
P Mwene DEF811
5
-
J Lee MID811
1
-
S Posch DEF7
2
1
F. Gruber DEF6
-
E Martel MID61
-
A Schwolow GLK5
2
-
S Widmer  DEF5
-
L Maloney MID5
-
B Hollerbach FWD521
1
-
R Zentner GLK4
-
P Nebel MID4
-
R. Nakuzola DEF3
-
O Ruoppi MID31
-
D Kohr DEF1
-
Union Berlin Bundesliga squad statistics 2026/2027
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
9224
M AebischerJ Haberer J JuranovicZ Bosch
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
M Aebischer MID9
1
-
J Haberer  MID92
3
-
W Jeong MID9
1
-
R Khedira MID9
1
-
A Schäfer  MID9
-
T Skarke FWD921
2
-
F Rönnow GLK8
-
Z Bosch DEF8
4
-
T Rothe DEF81
1
-
A Kemlein MID8
2
-
L. Burcu FWD81
1
-
F Uduokhai DEF6
3
1
E Lath FWD61
-
C Trimmel  DEF5
-
L Querfeld DEF411
1
-
D Köhn DEF4
1
-
K Imeri MID4
1
-
O Burke FWD4
-
J Juranovic DEF32
-
M. Gray FWD31
1
-
M Ljubicic FWD3
1
-
M Friedrich DEF2
-
L. Güther FWD2
-
M Raab GLK1
-
R Skov MID1
-
A Ilić FWD1
-