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FC St. Pauli v FC Koln : Bundesliga match betting preview, prediction and odds

Fri 17th Apr, 19:30 BST, Millerntor-Stadion, Hamburg

Friday evening sees Alexander Blessin’s FC St. Pauli and Lukas Kwasniok’s FC Koln go up against one another in a Bundesliga clash at the Millerntor-Stadion. Stats drive the algorithmic predictions below for 17 individual betting markets, and changing between them will display bespoke analysis, including head to head (H2H), form and much more besides. Odds from leading bookmakers are also provided. Click on the tabs below to find out more.

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Predictions	Bet365	Coral
St. Pauli 39%	-	-
Draw 28%	-	-
Köln 33%	-	-
Draw 1-1 13%	-	-
St. Pauli 1-0 12%	-	-
Köln 1-0 11%	-	-
Draw 0-0 9%	-	-
St. Pauli 2-1 8%	-	-
Köln 2-1 7%	-	-
St. Pauli 2-0 7%	-	-
Köln 2-0 6%	-	-
Draw 2-2 5%	-	-
St. Pauli 3-1 3%	-	-
St. Pauli 3-0 3%	-	-
Köln 3-1 3%	-	-
Köln 3-0 2%	-	-
St. Pauli 3-2 2%	-	-
Köln 3-2 2%	-	-
Over 2.5 Goals 42%	-	-
Under 2.5 Goals 58%	-	-
Home 1st Goal 48%	-	-
Away 1st Goal 46%	-	-
No 1st Goal 6%	-	-
BTTS - Yes 48%	-	-
BTTS - No 52%	-	-
BTTS - Home Win 16%	-	-
BTTS - Draw 18%	-	-
BTTS - Away Win 14%	-	-
Home/draw 67%	-	-
Away/draw 61%	-	-
Home/away 72%	-	-
Over 1.5 Goals 68%	-	-
Under 1.5 Goals 32%	-	-
Over 3.5 Goals 21%	-	-
Under 3.5 Goals 79%	-	-
Over 4.5 Goals 9%	-	-
Under 4.5 Goals 91%	-	-
Over 5.5 Goals 3%	-	-
Under 5.5 Goals 97%	-	-
Over 0.5 Goals 91%	-	-
Under 0.5 Goals 9%	-	-
Home DNB 58%	-	-
Away DNB 53%	-	-
St. Pauli win to nil 23%	-	-
Köln win to nil 20%	-	-

Win / draw / win Bundesliga table

St. Pauli have played 27 matches so far this season and are in 16th position in the league.

Performance against teams above them in the league

25 of those games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 14 games, drawn 6 and won 5. St. Pauli have conceded 41 goals, scored 21, failed to score in 11 matches and kept 5 clean sheets.

Home league performance

St. Pauli have played 13 games at home, winning 4, drawing 4 and losing 5 fixtures. They have scored 14 goals, conceded 20 goals, kept 2 clean sheets and failed to score 5 times in home league games.

Köln lay in 15th place on 26 points in the Bundesliga league table having played 27 matches. Köln are unbeaten in 4 games against teams below them in the league and kept 1 clean sheet out of 4 games.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 4 games against teams below them in the table, winning 1, drawing 3 and losing 0 games. They have scored 7 goals and kept 1 clean sheet against lower placed opposition. Köln have conceded 6 goals and scored in every game.

Away league performance

Köln have played 13 away games, winning 2, drawing 4 and losing 7 games. They have scored an average of 1 goals per away game and conceded an average 1.8 goals per away game.

BTTS yes BTTS no BTTS yes BTTS no Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Over 0.5 Under 0.5 Over 1.5 Under 1.5 Over 2.5 Under 2.5 Over 3.5 Under 3.5 Over 4.5 Under 4.5 Over 5.5 Under 5.5 For 0-0 Against Won Draw Lost	St. Pauli Köln
Results by League Table

	TEAM	PLD	W	D	L	GD	PTS	HOME	AWAY	HOME	AWAY
1	Bayern	27	22	4	1	72	70	Apr 11	l 3-1F	l 1-3F	May 16
2	Dortmund	27	18	7	2	30	61	d 3-3A	l 3-2A	l 1-2A	l 1-0A
3	Stuttgart	27	16	5	6	20	53	w 2-1F	l 2-0A	l 1-2F	l 3-1A
4	RB Leipzig	27	15	5	7	18	50	d 1-1A	May 9	l 1-2A	l 3-1A
5	Hoffenheim	27	15	5	7	15	50	l 0-3A	w 0-1F	d 2-2F	w 0-1F
6	Leverkusen	27	13	7	7	16	46	l 1-2A	l 4-0A	Apr 25	l 2-0A
7	E.Frankfurt	27	10	8	9	-1	38	d 0-00-0	l 2-0A	l 3-4F	Apr 5
8	Freiburg	27	10	7	10	-5	37	l 1-2F	l 2-1A	w 4-1F	l 2-1F
9	Union Berlin	27	8	7	12	-15	31	l 0-1A	Apr 5	l 0-1A	May 2
10	Augsburg	27	9	4	14	-17	31	w 2-1A	l 2-1F	d 1-1A	l 2-0A
11	Mainz	27	7	9	11	-9	30	May 3	d 0-00-0	w 2-1A	w 0-1F
12	Hamburg	27	7	9	11	-9	30	d 0-00-0	w 0-2F	w 4-1F	d 1-1A
13	B. M'gladbach	27	7	8	12	-13	29	l 0-4A	l 2-0A	d 3-3A	l 3-1A
14	W.Bremen	27	7	7	13	-17	28	w 2-1F	l 1-0A	Apr 12	d 1-1A
15	Köln	27	6	8	13	-9	26	Apr 17	d 1-1A	-	-
16	St. Pauli	27	6	6	15	-20	24	-	-	d 1-1F	Apr 17
17	Wolfsburg	27	5	6	16	-22	21	May 16	l 2-1A	w 1-0F	d 3-3F
18	Heidenheim	27	3	6	18	-34	15	w 2-1F	Apr 25	May 10	d 2-2A

	UEFA Champions League
	UEFA Europa League
	UEFA Conference League Qualifiers
	Relegation Play Off
	Relegation

Win / draw / win form

Home

Overall

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

11 / 20

Conceded

17 / 20

Clean sheets

3 / 20

Failed to score

9 / 20

Won

Draw

Lost

HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
St. Pauli	1 - 2	Freiburg
St. Pauli	0 - 0	E.Frankfurt
St. Pauli	2 - 1	W.Bremen
St. Pauli	2 - 1	Stuttgart
St. Pauli	1 - 1	RB Leipzig
St. Pauli	0 - 0	Hamburg
St. Pauli	2 - 1	Heidenheim
St. Pauli	0 - 1	Union Berlin
St. Pauli	0 - 4	B. M'gladbach
St. Pauli	0 - 3	Hoffenheim
St. Pauli	1 - 2	Leverkusen
St. Pauli	2 - 1	Augsburg
St. Pauli	3 - 3	Dortmund
St. Pauli	0 - 2	VfL Bochum
St. Pauli	0 - 1	Stuttgart
St. Pauli	1 - 1	Leverkusen
St. Pauli	1 - 1	B. M'gladbach
St. Pauli	1 - 0	Hoffenheim
St. Pauli	0 - 2	Dortmund
St. Pauli	0 - 1	Freiburg

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

12 / 20

Conceded

16 / 20

Clean sheets

4 / 20

Failed to score

8 / 20

Draw

Lost

OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
H	St. Pauli	1 - 2	Freiburg
A	St. Pauli	0 - 2	B. M'gladbach
H	St. Pauli	0 - 0	E.Frankfurt
A	St. Pauli	1 - 0	Hoffenheim
H	St. Pauli	2 - 1	W.Bremen
A	St. Pauli	0 - 4	Leverkusen
H	St. Pauli	2 - 1	Stuttgart
A	St. Pauli	1 - 2	Augsburg
H	St. Pauli	1 - 1	RB Leipzig
H	St. Pauli	0 - 0	Hamburg
A	St. Pauli	2 - 3	Dortmund
A	St. Pauli	1 - 2	Wolfsburg
A	St. Pauli	0 - 0	Mainz
H	St. Pauli	2 - 1	Heidenheim
A	St. Pauli	1 - 1	Köln
A	St. Pauli	1 - 3	Bayern
H	St. Pauli	0 - 1	Union Berlin
A	St. Pauli	1 - 2	Freiburg
H	St. Pauli	0 - 4	B. M'gladbach
A	St. Pauli	0 - 2	E.Frankfurt

Away

Overall

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

14 / 20

Conceded

17 / 20

Clean sheets

3 / 20

Failed to score

6 / 20

Won

Draw

Lost

AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Hamburg	1 - 1	Köln
Augsburg	2 - 0	Köln
Stuttgart	3 - 1	Köln
Freiburg	2 - 1	Köln
Heidenheim	2 - 2	Köln
Leverkusen	2 - 0	Köln
W.Bremen	1 - 1	Köln
B. M'gladbach	3 - 1	Köln
Dortmund	1 - 0	Köln
Hoffenheim	0 - 1	Köln
RB Leipzig	3 - 1	Köln
Wolfsburg	3 - 3	Köln
Mainz	0 - 1	Köln
Nurnberg	1 - 2	Köln
Hannover	1 - 0	Köln
Greuther	1 - 1	Köln
Paderborn	1 - 2	Köln
Ulm	0 - 1	Köln
Karlsruher	1 - 0	Köln
Magdeburg	3 - 0	Köln

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

16 / 20

Conceded

19 / 20

Clean sheets

1 / 20

Failed to score

4 / 20

Draw

Lost

OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
H	Köln	3 - 3	B. M'gladbach
A	Köln	1 - 1	Hamburg
H	Köln	1 - 2	Dortmund
A	Köln	0 - 2	Augsburg
H	Köln	2 - 2	Hoffenheim
A	Köln	1 - 3	Stuttgart
H	Köln	1 - 2	RB Leipzig
H	Köln	1 - 0	Wolfsburg
A	Köln	1 - 2	Freiburg
H	Köln	2 - 1	Mainz
H	Köln	1 - 3	Bayern
A	Köln	2 - 2	Heidenheim
H	Köln	0 - 1	Union Berlin
A	Köln	0 - 2	Leverkusen
H	Köln	1 - 1	St. Pauli
A	Köln	1 - 1	W.Bremen
H	Köln	3 - 4	E.Frankfurt
A	Köln	1 - 3	B. M'gladbach
H	Köln	4 - 1	Hamburg
A	Köln	0 - 1	Dortmund

Goal Statistics

	St. Pauli 16th	Köln 15th
	Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction	1.2 goals	1.1 goals
	Scoring probability
Scoring probability	0 29% 1 36% 2 22% 3 9% 4+ There is a 65% probability that St. Pauli will score no more than 1 goal	0 32% 1 37% 2 21% 3 8% 4+ There is a 69% probability that Köln will score no more than 1 goal

	20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games	-38 St. Pauli have scored 38% fewer goals at home than predicted	-29 Köln have scored 29% fewer goals when away than predicted
	0.9 average goals scored	1.0 average goals scored
	1.4 conceded	1.6 conceded

Attack defence ratings
Bundesliga - 2025/2025 season

better

STP

KOE

view stats

Games scored	0		0
Failed to score	0		0
Scored first	0		0
Goals scored	0		0
Avg. goals scored	0		0
Avg. shots per game	0		0
Avg. shots per goal	0		0
Conversion rate for	0		0
Avg. XG for	0		0
KickOff rating		0%

better

STP

KOE

view stats

Games conceded	0		0
Clean sheets	0		0
Conceded first	0		0
Goals conceded	0		0
Avg. goals conceded	0		0
Avg. shots/game conceded	0		0
Avg. shots/goal conceded	0		0
Conversion rate against	0%		0%
Avg. XG against	0		0
KickOff rating		0%

St. Pauli v Köln Bundesliga lLine ups will show here when available.

St. Pauli Bundesliga squad statistics 2025

Overall

Attack

Defence

Most starts	Most goals	Most assists	Most cards
27	5	3	5
N Vasilj	D Sinani	J Fujita	E Smith

Players	Appserances	goals	Assists	cards
N Vasilj GLK	27			-
J Fujita MID	26	1	3	4 -
M Lage FWD	25	1	2	3 -
A Pyrka DEF	24		1	3 -
E Smith DEF	24	2	2	4 1
J Sands MID	24	1		4 -
D Sinani MID	24	5	3	3 -
H Wahl DEF	23	2		1 -
M Kaars FWD	22	3		1 -
L. Oppie DEF	20	1		-
K Mets DEF	18			2 -
C Metcalfe MID	18		1	1 -
J Irvine MID	18			-
A Dzwigala DEF	16	1	1	5 -
L Ritzka DEF	16			1 -
M Saliakas DEF	15	1	3	3 -
A. Ceesay FWD	15			2 -
A Hountondji FWD	14	4		1 -
R Jade-Jones FWD	8	2		1 -
O Afolayan FWD	7			1 -

Most goals	Most shots on target	Most assists	Most big chances
5	17	3	5
D Sinani	D Sinani	J Fujita	J Fujita

Players	goals	shots on	Assists	big chances
D Sinani MID	5	17	3	4
A Hountondji FWD	4	7
M Kaars FWD	3	9		1
E Smith DEF	2	5	2
H Wahl DEF	2	4
R Jade-Jones FWD	2	6		1
J Fujita MID	1	6	3	5
M Lage FWD	1	14	2	3
J Sands MID	1	4		2
L. Oppie DEF	1	3		2
A Dzwigala DEF	1	1	1
M Saliakas DEF	1	3	3	1
A Pyrka DEF		3	1	5
C Metcalfe MID		2	1	2
J Irvine MID		3		1
L Ritzka DEF				1
A. Ceesay FWD		1
O Afolayan FWD		2

Most passes	Most tackles	Most duels won
1363	49	139
E Smith	J Fujita	J Sands

Players	passes	tackles	duels won
E Smith DEF	1363	32	93
H Wahl DEF	1246	38	94
J Fujita MID	1021	49	110
K Mets DEF	914	22	62
N Vasilj GLK	904	1	14
J Sands MID	881	42	139
D Sinani MID	793	23	66
A Pyrka DEF	719	27	68
L. Oppie DEF	589	24	45
A Dzwigala DEF	523	42	71
M Saliakas DEF	479	27	46
J Irvine MID	452	15	69
M Lage FWD	438	33	112
L Ritzka DEF	285	30	40
M Kaars FWD	256	5	26
C Metcalfe MID	130	10	22
A Hountondji FWD	99	6	24
O Afolayan FWD	64	4	15
R Jade-Jones FWD	53	3	24
A. Ceesay FWD	47	1	17

Köln Bundesliga squad statistics 2025

Overall

Attack

Defence

Most starts	Most goals	Most assists	Most cards
27	10	4	10
M Schwäbe	S. El Mala	S. El Mala	E Martel

Players	Appserances	goals	Assists	cards
M Schwäbe GLK	27			1 -
J Kaminski FWD	27	6	3	3 -
S. El Mala FWD	27	10	4	2 -
K Lund DEF	26		1	2 -
E Martel MID	26	2	2	9 1
R Ache FWD	26	6	3	2 -
Ísak Bergmann Jóhannesson MID	25	1	2	4 -
M Bülter FWD	25	3	3	3 -
S Sebulonsen DEF	24			5 -
T Krauß MID	22		1	4 -
J Thielmann FWD	20	3	1	4 -
C Özkacar DEF	18			2 -
L Waldschmidt FWD	18	3	3	-
L Maina FWD	17	2		-
D Huseinbašić MID	14			1 -
R Berg DEF	13		1	1
J Schmied DEF	13			4 -
F Kainz MID	13	1	1	1 -
T Hübers DEF	8			-
D Heintz DEF	8			-
A Castro-Montes MID	8		3	2 -
J Gazibegovic DEF	1			-

Most goals	Most shots on target	Most assists	Most big chances
10	22	4	10
S. El Mala	S. El Mala	S. El Mala	J Kaminski

Players	goals	shots on	Assists	big chances
S. El Mala FWD	10	22	4	4
J Kaminski FWD	6	18	3	10
R Ache FWD	6	18	3	5
M Bülter FWD	3	12	3	6
J Thielmann FWD	3	10	1	1
L Waldschmidt FWD	3	7	3	4
E Martel MID	2	2	2	4
L Maina FWD	2	7		1
Ísak Bergmann Jóhannesson MID	1	2	2	1
F Kainz MID	1	3	1	1
M Schwäbe GLK				1
K Lund DEF		4	1	3
S Sebulonsen DEF		3		4
T Krauß MID		1	1	2
C Özkacar DEF		4
R Berg DEF			1	1
A Castro-Montes MID			3	3

Most passes	Most tackles	Most duels won
1257	61	168
M Schwäbe	T Krauß	R Ache

Players	passes	tackles	duels won
M Schwäbe GLK	1257	2	8
E Martel MID	1182	39	162
J Kaminski FWD	795	41	92
T Krauß MID	729	61	100
Ísak Bergmann Jóhannesson MID	686	20	38
R Berg DEF	672	14	38
K Lund DEF	660	29	101
C Özkacar DEF	657	22	69
S Sebulonsen DEF	607	35	76
D Huseinbašić MID	407	17	29
J Schmied DEF	377	11	33
T Hübers DEF	367	14	46
J Thielmann FWD	326	16	59
M Bülter FWD	302	5	60
R Ache FWD	276	13	168
S. El Mala FWD	270	19	86
D Heintz DEF	262	3	23
L Maina FWD	217	6	19
A Castro-Montes MID	212	13	32
F Kainz MID	162	4	12
L Waldschmidt FWD	158	7	23
J Gazibegovic DEF	6