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FC St. Pauli v SV Werder Bremen : Bundesliga match betting preview, prediction and odds

Sun 22nd Feb, 16:30 BST, Millerntor-Stadion, Hamburg

SV Werder Bremen are away on Sunday afternoon, as manager Daniel Thioune takes his team to visit FC St. Pauli and Alexander Blessin at the Millerntor-Stadion in the Bundesliga. The odds you see on the page are provided straight from the bookmaker, while predictions are calculated from stats over a 20-game period. We focus especially on Bundesliga match data, including head to head (H2H) performance. Explore it all using the tabs below.


Want to know who’s consistently beating the odds? Check out the Top Bundesliga Tipsters and see the most profitable experts for this season!

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Best Tip: Over 1.5 goals

We make over 1.5 goals our top tip on this fixture, meaning that the sides will score a minimum of 2 goals between them during 90 minutes. Both St. Pauli and W.Bremen's current form stats suggest goals are to be expected, while their head-to-head (H2H) record also supports the bet. The bookies make it the most likely outcome in this market too, available at 1.36.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think St. Pauli are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 38% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 2.80.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
St. Pauli
38%
2.80
10%
2.70
4%
Draw
26%
3.10
3%
3.10
W.Bremen
36%
2.70
7%
2.70
6%
Draw 1-1
12%
6.005.75
5%
St. Pauli 1-0
10%
8.00
7%
7.00
W.Bremen 1-0
9%
7.50
12%
7.00
7%
St. Pauli 2-1
8%
11.00
10%
9.00
6%
W.Bremen 2-1
8%
10.00
9%
9.00
5%
Draw 0-0
7%
8.00
6%
7.00
7%
St. Pauli 2-0
7%
13.00
8%
11.00
W.Bremen 2-0
6%
12.00
8%
11.00
8%
Draw 2-2
5%
15.0013.00
St. Pauli 3-1
4%
23.00
10%
19.00
12%
W.Bremen 3-1
3%
23.0019.00
St. Pauli 3-0
3%
29.00
26%
21.00
W.Bremen 3-0
3%
26.00
10%
21.00
9%
St. Pauli 3-2
2%
34.0026.00
W.Bremen 3-2
2%
34.0026.00
Over 2.5 Goals
49%
2.202.20
2%
Under 2.5 Goals
51%
1.671.60
1%
Home 1st Goal
48%
2.05
5%
2.05
3%
Away 1st Goal
47%
2.00
5%
2.05
2%
No 1st Goal
5%
8.00
6%
7.00
BTTS - Yes
53%
1.95
2%
1.91
3%
BTTS - No
47%
1.80
6%
1.83
1%
BTTS - Home Win
18%
6.00
9%
5.50
5%
BTTS - Draw
19%
4.334.33
3%
BTTS - Away Win
17%
6.005.50
Home/draw
64%
1.44
3%
1.44
3%
Away/draw
62%
1.40
7%
1.44
3%
Home/away
74%
1.361.35
Over 1.5 Goals
74%
1.40
3%
1.40
Under 1.5 Goals
26%
3.00
6%
2.75
2%
Over 3.5 Goals
27%
4.33
8%
4.00
3%
Under 3.5 Goals
73%
1.22
2%
1.20
2%
Over 4.5 Goals
13%
9.00
13%
8.00
Under 4.5 Goals
87%
1.07
1%
1.06
Over 5.5 Goals
5%
19.00
12%
17.00
Under 5.5 Goals
95%
1.02
1%
1.01
Over 0.5 Goals
93%
1.08
1%
1.07
Under 0.5 Goals
7%
8.00
6%
7.50
Home DNB
57%
1.83
6%
1.85
6%
Away DNB
54%
1.83
9%
1.85
5%
St. Pauli win to nil
20%
4.33
8%
-
W.Bremen win to nil
19%
4.33
4%
-
St. Pauli / St. Pauli
18%
4.50
13%
4.20
5%
St. Pauli / W.Bremen
3%
29.0023.00
St. Pauli / Draw
6%
15.0012.00
Draw / St. Pauli
13%
6.006.00
4%
Draw / W.Bremen
13%
6.00
8%
6.00
8%
Draw / Draw
18%
4.754.33
3%
W.Bremen / St. Pauli
3%
29.0023.00
W.Bremen / W.Bremen
19%
4.33
9%
4.20
3%
W.Bremen / Draw
6%
15.0012.00
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Win / draw / win Bundesliga table

St. Pauli have played 21 matches so far this season and are in 17th position in the league.

Performance against teams above them in the league

20 of those games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 12 games, drawn 5 and won 3. St. Pauli have conceded 34 goals, scored 18, failed to score in 8 matches and kept 3 clean sheets.

Home league performance

St. Pauli have played 10 games at home, winning 3, drawing 3 and losing 4 fixtures. They have scored 11 goals, conceded 17 goals, kept 1 clean sheet and failed to score 4 times in home league games.

W.Bremen lay in 16th place on 19 points in the Bundesliga league table having played 21 matches. W.Bremen are unbeaten in 2 games against teams below them in the league and kept 1 clean sheet out of 2 games.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 2 games against teams below them in the table, winning 1, drawing 1 and losing 0 games. They have scored 3 goals and kept 1 clean sheet against lower placed opposition. W.Bremen have conceded 2 goals and scored in every game.

Away league performance

W.Bremen have played 11 away games, winning 1, drawing 3 and losing 7 games. They have scored an average of 0.9 goals per away game and conceded an average 1.9 goals per away game.

Won
Draw
Lost
St. Pauli
W.Bremen
Results by League Table
TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY HOME AWAY
1
Bayern2117316054 
Apr 11
l
 
3-1F
Feb 14
l
 
4-0A
2
Dortmund2114612348 
d
 
3-3A
l
 
3-2A
May 16
l
 
3-0A
3
Hoffenheim2113351642 
l
 
0-3A
Feb 28
l
 
0-2A
May 9
4
RB Leipzig2112361239 
d
 
1-1A
May 9
Apr 4
l
 
2-0A
5
Stuttgart2112361039 
w
 
2-1F
l
 
2-0A
l
 
0-4A
Apr 25
6
Leverkusen2011361236 
l
 
1-2A
Feb 14
d
 
3-3A
l
 
1-0A
7
Freiburg21867-130 
Mar 22
l
 
2-1A
l
 
0-3A
l
 
1-0A
8
E.Frankfurt21777-528 
Mar 8
l
 
2-0A
d
 
3-3A
l
 
4-1A
9
Union Berlin21678-825 
l
 
0-1A
Apr 4
w
 
1-0F
Mar 8
10
Köln216510-423 
Apr 18
d
 
1-1A
d
 
1-1F
Apr 11
11
Hamburg20578-822 
d
 
0-00-0
w
 
0-2F
Apr 18
l
 
3-2F
12
B. M'gladbach21579-922 
l
 
0-4A
Mar 13
d
 
1-1A
w
 
0-4F
13
Augsburg216411-1522 
w
 
2-1A
l
 
2-1F
May 2
d
 
0-00-0
14
Mainz215610-821 
May 2
d
 
0-00-0
Mar 15
d
 
1-1A
15
Wolfsburg215412-1519 
May 16
l
 
2-1A
w
 
2-1A
Mar 21
16
W.Bremen214710-1719 
Feb 22
l
 
1-0A
-
-
17
St. Pauli214512-1517 
-
-
w
 
1-0F
Feb 22
18
Heidenheim213414-2813 
w
 
2-1F
Apr 25
Feb 28
d
 
2-2F
Win / draw / win form
3
W.Bremen have lost 3 consecutive away league games
9
W.Bremen have not won in 9 consecutive away league games
4
W.Bremen have failed to score in 4 consecutive away league games
St. Pauli 17TH
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
18
Conceded
27
Games: Scored
11 / 20
Conceded
17 / 20
Clean sheets
3 / 20
Failed to score
9 / 20
Won
5
Draw
6
Lost
9
HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
St. Pauli2 - 1Stuttgart
St. Pauli1 - 1RB Leipzig
St. Pauli0 - 0Hamburg
St. Pauli2 - 1Heidenheim
St. Pauli0 - 1Union Berlin
St. Pauli0 - 4B. M'gladbach
St. Pauli0 - 3Hoffenheim
St. Pauli1 - 2Leverkusen
St. Pauli2 - 1Augsburg
St. Pauli3 - 3Dortmund
St. Pauli0 - 2VfL Bochum
St. Pauli0 - 1Stuttgart
St. Pauli1 - 1Leverkusen
St. Pauli1 - 1B. M'gladbach
St. Pauli1 - 0Hoffenheim
St. Pauli0 - 2Dortmund
St. Pauli0 - 1Freiburg
St. Pauli1 - 1Augsburg
St. Pauli3 - 0Union Berlin
St. Pauli0 - 1E.Frankfurt
Goals: Scored
17
Conceded
32
Games: Scored
12 / 20
Conceded
17 / 20
Clean sheets
3 / 20
Failed to score
8 / 20
W
4
D
4
Lost
12
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
HSt. Pauli2 - 1Stuttgart
ASt. Pauli1 - 2Augsburg
HSt. Pauli1 - 1RB Leipzig
HSt. Pauli0 - 0Hamburg
ASt. Pauli2 - 3Dortmund
ASt. Pauli1 - 2Wolfsburg
ASt. Pauli0 - 0Mainz
HSt. Pauli2 - 1Heidenheim
ASt. Pauli1 - 1Köln
ASt. Pauli1 - 3Bayern
HSt. Pauli0 - 1Union Berlin
ASt. Pauli1 - 2Freiburg
HSt. Pauli0 - 4B. M'gladbach
ASt. Pauli0 - 2E.Frankfurt
HSt. Pauli0 - 3Hoffenheim
ASt. Pauli0 - 1W.Bremen
HSt. Pauli1 - 2Leverkusen
ASt. Pauli0 - 2Stuttgart
HSt. Pauli2 - 1Augsburg
ASt. Pauli2 - 0Hamburg
W.Bremen 16TH
20 league games
Away
3
Overall
Goals: Scored
27
Conceded
39
Games: Scored
12 / 20
Conceded
16 / 20
Clean sheets
4 / 20
Failed to score
8 / 20
Won
5
Draw
5
Lost
10
AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Freiburg1 - 0W.Bremen
Leverkusen1 - 0W.Bremen
Dortmund3 - 0W.Bremen
Augsburg0 - 0W.Bremen
Hamburg3 - 2W.Bremen
RB Leipzig2 - 0W.Bremen
Mainz1 - 1W.Bremen
Heidenheim2 - 2W.Bremen
Bayern4 - 0W.Bremen
B. M'gladbach0 - 4W.Bremen
E.Frankfurt4 - 1W.Bremen
Heidenheim1 - 4W.Bremen
Union Berlin2 - 2W.Bremen
Stuttgart1 - 2W.Bremen
Holstein0 - 3W.Bremen
Leverkusen0 - 2W.Bremen
Freiburg5 - 0W.Bremen
Bayern3 - 0W.Bremen
Dortmund2 - 2W.Bremen
RB Leipzig4 - 2W.Bremen
Goals: Scored
21
Conceded
35
Games: Scored
11 / 20
Conceded
16 / 20
Clean sheets
4 / 20
Failed to score
9 / 20
W
4
Draw
7
Lost
9
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
AW.Bremen0 - 1Freiburg
HW.Bremen1 - 1B. M'gladbach
HW.Bremen0 - 2Hoffenheim
AW.Bremen0 - 1Leverkusen
HW.Bremen3 - 3E.Frankfurt
AW.Bremen0 - 3Dortmund
AW.Bremen0 - 0Augsburg
HW.Bremen0 - 4Stuttgart
AW.Bremen2 - 3Hamburg
HW.Bremen1 - 1Köln
AW.Bremen0 - 2RB Leipzig
HW.Bremen2 - 1Wolfsburg
AW.Bremen1 - 1Mainz
HW.Bremen1 - 0Union Berlin
AW.Bremen2 - 2Heidenheim
HW.Bremen1 - 0St. Pauli
AW.Bremen0 - 4Bayern
HW.Bremen0 - 3Freiburg
AW.Bremen4 - 0B. M'gladbach
HW.Bremen3 - 3Leverkusen
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
5
W.Bremen have not lost to St. Pauli in 5 consecutive league meetings
3
W.Bremen have kept a clean sheet in 3 consecutive league meetings with St. Pauli
League games at St. Pauli since 2022
St. Pauli
W.Bremen
Goals: Scored
1
3
Games: Scored
1 / 2
2 / 2
Clean sheets
0 / 2
1 / 2
D
1
SVW
1
FIXTURE HISTORY AT St. Pauli
0 - 2W.Bremen
Draw1 - 1Draw
League games at W.Bremen since 2021
W.Bremen
St. Pauli
Goals: Scored
2
1
Games: Scored
2 / 3
1 / 3
Clean sheets
2 / 3
1 / 3
D
2
SVW
1
FIXTURE HISTORY AT W.Bremen
W.Bremen1 - 0
Draw0 - 0Draw
Draw1 - 1Draw
Goal Statistics
St. Pauli 17th W.Bremen 16th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.3
goals
1.3
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
26%
1
35%
2
24%
3
11%
4+
There is a 61% probability that St. Pauli will score no more than 1 goal
0
28%
1
36%
2
23%
3
10%
4+
There is a 64% probability that W.Bremen will score no more than 1 goal
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
-32
St. Pauli have scored 32% fewer goals at home than predicted
=0
W.Bremen’s goalscoring when away has been inline with predictions
0.9
average goals scored
1.4
average goals scored
1.4
conceded
2.0
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Bundesliga - 2025/2025 season
St. Pauli
PG (predicted goals)
W.Bremen
1.3
1.3
Attack rating
0%
better
STP
SVW
view stats
Games scored13
12
Failed to score8
9
Scored first5
6
Goals scored20
22
Avg. goals scored1
1
Avg. shots per game7
9
Avg. shots per goal8
9
Conversion rate for13
11
Avg. XG for1
1.2
KickOff rating
0%
Defence rating
STP
SVW
4%
better
view stats
Games conceded18
17
Clean sheets3
4
Conceded first14
14
Goals conceded35
39
Avg. goals conceded1.7
1.9
Avg. shots/game conceded8
11
Avg. shots/goal conceded5
6
Conversion rate against20%
17%
Avg. XG against1.5
1.6
KickOff rating
+4%

St. Pauli v W.Bremen Bundesliga lLine ups will show here when available.

St. Pauli Bundesliga squad statistics 2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
21435
N VasiljD SinaniJ FujitaA Dzwigala
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
N Vasilj GLK21
-
J Fujita MID203
3
-
J Sands MID201
4
-
M Lage FWD202
2
-
E Smith DEF1922
3
1
A Pyrka DEF181
3
-
L. Oppie DEF181
-
H Wahl DEF181
-
D Sinani MID1842
2
-
M Kaars FWD183
-
K Mets DEF15
1
-
C Metcalfe MID141
-
A Dzwigala DEF1311
5
-
A. Ceesay FWD13
2
-
J Irvine MID12
-
A Hountondji FWD124
1
-
M Saliakas DEF1111
2
-
L Ritzka DEF11
1
-
R Jade-Jones FWD82
1
-
O Afolayan FWD7
1
-
W.Bremen Bundesliga squad statistics 2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
21656
R SchmidJ StageR SchmidM Friedl
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
R Schmid MID2125
4
-
M Grüll FWD2121
4
-
A. Coulibaly DEF201
4
1
Y Sugawara DEF204
1
-
S Lynen MID20
2
-
J Njinmah FWD204
1
-
M Backhaus GLK19
-
M Friedl DEF191
6
-
J Stage MID1961
4
-
S. Mbangula FWD1832
-
C Puertas MID16
3
-
K Topp FWD1611
3
-
A Pieper DEF12
3
-
I Schmidt DEF121
1
-
V Boniface FWD112
1
-
P. Čović MID10
1
-
L Bittencourt MID8
1
-
F Agu DEF7
1
-
N Stark DEF7
3
2
J Malatini DEF7
2
-
O Deman DEF51
1
-
K Hein GLK2
-
S Alvero MID2
-
I Hansen-Aaroen MID1
-