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Sport-Club Freiburg v FC Union Berlin : Bundesliga match betting preview, prediction and odds

Sun 15th Mar, 16:30 BST, Schwarzwald-Stadion, Freiburg im Breisgau

Sport-Club Freiburg and FC Union Berlin clash at the Schwarzwald-Stadion on Sunday afternoon, with both Julian Schuster and Steffen Baumgart aiming for victory in the Bundesliga. The predictions for all the markets are calculated using the past 20 games for each team (at home, away or overall) with additional weight applied to top teams. All the stats and graphics are designed specifically for the betting market in question. Head-to-head stats between the team are also given where our data allows. Odds are provided straight from from leading bookmakers.


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Best Tip: Under 3.5 goals

We don't believe there is a clear favourite to to get the win in this one, but does appear clear is that the odds suggest it'll have 3 goals or less. Our statistical analysis says the same. Freiburg and Union Berlin have delivered a lot of under 3.5 goal games recently, and key performance stats point towards those records being extended. We're confidently predicting under 3.5 goals on Sunday afternoon, and the bookies have it priced at 1.25.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Freiburg
54%
11/10-
Draw
24%
11/5-
Union Berlin
21%
5/2-
Freiburg 1-0
12%
6/1-
Draw 1-1
12%
5/1-
Freiburg 2-0
10%
17/2-
Freiburg 2-1
10%
8/1-
Draw 0-0
8%
15/2-
Union Berlin 1-0
7%
17/2-
Freiburg 3-0
6%
18/1-
Union Berlin 2-1
5%
12/1-
Freiburg 3-1
5%
18/1-
Draw 2-2
4%
14/1-
Union Berlin 2-0
3%
16/1-
Freiburg 3-2
2%
28/1-
Freiburg 4-0
2%
40/1-
Freiburg 4-1
2%
40/1-
Union Berlin 3-1
2%
28/1-
Over 2.5 Goals
48%
6/5-
Under 2.5 Goals
52%
4/6-
Home 1st Goal
54%
4/5-
Away 1st Goal
41%
13/10-
No 1st Goal
5%
15/2-
BTTS - Yes
49%
19/20-
BTTS - No
51%
4/5-
BTTS - Home Win
23%
15/4-
BTTS - Draw
17%
7/2-
BTTS - Away Win
10%
13/2-
Home/draw
79%
2/7-
Away/draw
46%
7/10-
Home/away
76%
4/11-
Over 1.5 Goals
73%
4/11-
Under 1.5 Goals
27%
11/5-
Over 3.5 Goals
26%
3/1-
Under 3.5 Goals
74%
1/4-
Over 4.5 Goals
12%
7/1-
Under 4.5 Goals
88%
1/12-
Over 5.5 Goals
5%
16/1-
Under 5.5 Goals
95%
1/40-
Over 0.5 Goals
92%
1/14-
Under 0.5 Goals
8%
15/2-
Home DNB
72%
1/2-
Away DNB
38%
6/4-
Freiburg win to nil
32%
12/5-
Union Berlin win to nil
12%
5/1-
Freiburg / Freiburg
24%
12/5-
Freiburg / Union Berlin
2%
33/1-
Freiburg / Draw
6%
12/1-
Draw / Freiburg
16%
4/1-
Draw / Union Berlin
11%
13/2-
Draw / Draw
17%
15/4-
Union Berlin / Freiburg
3%
25/1-
Union Berlin / Union Berlin
14%
5/1-
Union Berlin / Draw
5%
14/1-
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Win / draw / win Bundesliga table

Freiburg have played 24 matches so far this season and lay in 8th place in the Bundesliga league table.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 14 games against teams below in the table, having won 8, drawn 3 and lost 3 matches. They have kept 5 clean sheets and have failed to score in 2 fixtures. Freiburg have outscored their opponents by 34 goals to 29 goals.

Home League Performance

Freiburg have played 11 games at home winning 7, drawing 3 and losing 1 game. They have scored 21 goals, kept 2 clean sheets and conceded 12 goals at home.

Union Berlin are in 10th position in the Bundesliga on 28 points having played 24 matches so far this season.

Away League Performance

7 of those games have been losing matches. They have conceded 21 goals and kept 2 clean sheets. They have scored 12 goals in total and failed to score in 4 fixtures.

Performance against teams above them in the league

14 games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 5 games, drawn 5 and won 4. Union Berlin have conceded 25 goals, scored 18, failed to score in 4 fixtures and have kept 2 clean sheets.

Won
Draw
Lost
Freiburg
Union Berlin
Results by League Table
TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY HOME AWAY
1
Bayern2420316563 
Apr 4
l
 
6-2F
d
 
2-2F
Mar 21
2
Dortmund2415722652 
d
 
1-1A
Apr 25
l
 
0-3A
l
 
3-0A
3
Hoffenheim2414461846 
d
 
1-1F
l
 
3-0A
l
 
2-4A
l
 
3-1A
4
Stuttgart2414461646 
w
 
3-1A
l
 
1-0A
w
 
2-1F
d
 
1-1A
5
RB Leipzig2413561344 
May 16
l
 
2-0A
w
 
3-1F
Apr 25
6
Leverkusen2312471540 
Mar 7
l
 
2-0A
w
 
1-0F
l
 
2-0A
7
E.Frankfurt24978-134 
d
 
2-2F
l
 
2-0A
d
 
1-1A
w
 
3-4F
8
Freiburg24969-533 
-
-
d
 
0-00-0
Mar 15
9
Augsburg249411-1131 
l
 
1-3A
d
 
2-2A
May 16
d
 
1-1A
10
Union Berlin247710-928 
Mar 15
d
 
0-00-0
-
-
11
Hamburg23689-826 
w
 
2-1A
May 9
d
 
0-00-0
l
 
3-2F
12
B. M'gladbach246711-1225 
w
 
2-1F
d
 
0-00-0
w
 
3-1F
l
 
1-0A
13
Köln246612-824 
w
 
2-1A
l
 
4-1A
May 2
w
 
0-1F
14
Mainz245811-1223 
w
 
4-0F
Apr 11
d
 
2-2A
May 9
15
St. Pauli246513-1723 
w
 
2-1F
Mar 22
Apr 4
w
 
0-1F
16
W.Bremen245712-1922 
w
 
1-0F
w
 
0-3F
Mar 8
l
 
1-0A
17
Wolfsburg245514-2020 
May 2
w
 
3-4F
Apr 18
l
 
3-1A
18
Heidenheim243516-3114 
Apr 18
l
 
2-1F
l
 
1-2F
Apr 11
Win / draw / win form
3
Union Berlin have lost 3 consecutive away league games
5
Union Berlin have not won in 5 consecutive away league games
Freiburg 8TH
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
36
Conceded
27
Games: Scored
19 / 20
Conceded
15 / 20
Clean sheets
5 / 20
Failed to score
1 / 20
Won
10
Draw
5
Lost
5
HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Freiburg2 - 1B. M'gladbach
Freiburg1 - 0W.Bremen
Freiburg2 - 1Köln
Freiburg2 - 1Hamburg
Freiburg1 - 1Dortmund
Freiburg4 - 0Mainz
Freiburg2 - 1St. Pauli
Freiburg2 - 2E.Frankfurt
Freiburg1 - 1Hoffenheim
Freiburg3 - 1Stuttgart
Freiburg1 - 3Augsburg
Freiburg1 - 3E.Frankfurt
Freiburg2 - 2Leverkusen
Freiburg3 - 2Hoffenheim
Freiburg1 - 4Dortmund
Freiburg1 - 2Union Berlin
Freiburg0 - 0RB Leipzig
Freiburg5 - 0W.Bremen
Freiburg1 - 0Heidenheim
Freiburg1 - 2Bayern
Goals: Scored
26
Conceded
31
Games: Scored
13 / 20
Conceded
16 / 20
Clean sheets
4 / 20
Failed to score
7 / 20
Won
7
Draw
6
Lost
7
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
AFreiburg0 - 2E.Frankfurt
HFreiburg2 - 1B. M'gladbach
AFreiburg0 - 3Hoffenheim
HFreiburg1 - 0W.Bremen
AFreiburg0 - 1Stuttgart
HFreiburg2 - 1Köln
AFreiburg2 - 2Augsburg
AFreiburg0 - 2RB Leipzig
HFreiburg2 - 1Hamburg
AFreiburg4 - 3Wolfsburg
HFreiburg1 - 1Dortmund
AFreiburg1 - 2Heidenheim
HFreiburg4 - 0Mainz
AFreiburg2 - 6Bayern
HFreiburg2 - 1St. Pauli
AFreiburg0 - 0Union Berlin
AFreiburg0 - 2Leverkusen
HFreiburg2 - 2E.Frankfurt
AFreiburg0 - 0B. M'gladbach
HFreiburg1 - 1Hoffenheim
Union Berlin 10TH
20 league games
Away
3
Overall
Goals: Scored
23
Conceded
34
Games: Scored
13 / 20
Conceded
16 / 20
Clean sheets
4 / 20
Failed to score
7 / 20
Won
7
D
4
Lost
9
AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
B. M'gladbach1 - 0Union Berlin
Hamburg3 - 2Union Berlin
Hoffenheim3 - 1Union Berlin
Stuttgart1 - 1Union Berlin
Augsburg1 - 1Union Berlin
Köln0 - 1Union Berlin
Wolfsburg3 - 1Union Berlin
St. Pauli0 - 1Union Berlin
W.Bremen1 - 0Union Berlin
Leverkusen2 - 0Union Berlin
E.Frankfurt3 - 4Union Berlin
Dortmund3 - 0Union Berlin
Augsburg1 - 2Union Berlin
VfL Bochum1 - 1Union Berlin
Leverkusen0 - 0Union Berlin
Freiburg1 - 2Union Berlin
E.Frankfurt1 - 2Union Berlin
Dortmund6 - 0Union Berlin
Hoffenheim0 - 4Union Berlin
St. Pauli3 - 0Union Berlin
Goals: Scored
21
Conceded
27
Games: Scored
14 / 20
Conceded
15 / 20
Clean sheets
5 / 20
Failed to score
6 / 20
Won
5
Draw
7
Lost
8
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
AUnion Berlin0 - 1B. M'gladbach
HUnion Berlin1 - 0Leverkusen
AUnion Berlin2 - 3Hamburg
HUnion Berlin1 - 1E.Frankfurt
AUnion Berlin1 - 3Hoffenheim
HUnion Berlin0 - 3Dortmund
AUnion Berlin1 - 1Stuttgart
AUnion Berlin1 - 1Augsburg
HUnion Berlin2 - 2Mainz
AUnion Berlin1 - 0Köln
HUnion Berlin3 - 1RB Leipzig
AUnion Berlin1 - 3Wolfsburg
HUnion Berlin1 - 2Heidenheim
AUnion Berlin1 - 0St. Pauli
HUnion Berlin2 - 2Bayern
HUnion Berlin0 - 0Freiburg
AUnion Berlin0 - 1W.Bremen
HUnion Berlin3 - 1B. M'gladbach
AUnion Berlin0 - 2Leverkusen
HUnion Berlin0 - 0Hamburg
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
6
Union Berlin have not lost to Freiburg in 6 consecutive league meetings
League games at Freiburg since 2015
Freiburg
Union Berlin
Goals: Scored
12
9
Games: Scored
5 / 7
5 / 7
Clean sheets
2 / 7
2 / 7
SCF
3
D
1
FCU
3
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Freiburg
1 - 2Union Berlin
Draw0 - 0Draw
Freiburg4 - 1
1 - 4Union Berlin
0 - 1Union Berlin
Freiburg3 - 1
Freiburg3 - 0
League games at Union Berlin since 2016
Union Berlin
Freiburg
Goals: Scored
11
5
Games: Scored
5 / 8
4 / 8
Clean sheets
4 / 8
3 / 8
D
4
FCU
4
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Union Berlin
Draw0 - 0Draw
Draw0 - 0Draw
Union Berlin2 - 1
Union Berlin4 - 2
Draw0 - 0Draw
Draw1 - 1Draw
Union Berlin2 - 0
Union Berlin2 - 1
Goal Statistics

Sport-Club Freiburg's fans will be hoping for goals on Sunday afternoon, not least because FC Union Berlin have conceded in each of their last 8 Bundesliga outings. A PG of 1.7 for J. Schuster's side suggests that run should continue.

Freiburg 8th Union Berlin 10th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.7
goals
0.9
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
19%
1
32%
2
26%
3
14%
4+
9%
There is a 81% probability that Freiburg will score 1 or more goals
0
39%
1
37%
2
17%
3
4+
There is a 76% probability of Union Berlin scoring 1 goal or less
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
+5
Freiburg’s goalscoring at home has been inline with predictions
-5
Union Berlin’s goalscoring when away has been inline with predictions
1.8
average goals scored
1.2
average goals scored
1.4
conceded
1.7
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Bundesliga - 2025/2025 season
Freiburg
PG (predicted goals)
Union Berlin
1.7
0.9
Attack rating
10%
better
SCF
FCU
view stats
Games scored17
17
Failed to score6
7
Scored first10
10
Goals scored34
29
Avg. goals scored1.4
1.2
Avg. shots per game8
9
Avg. shots per goal6
8
Conversion rate for17
13
Avg. XG for1.6
1.5
KickOff rating
+10%
Defence rating
2%
better
SCF
FCU
view stats
Games conceded18
19
Clean sheets5
5
Conceded first11
12
Goals conceded37
38
Avg. goals conceded1.5
1.6
Avg. shots/game conceded9
9
Avg. shots/goal conceded6
6
Conversion rate against17%
17%
Avg. XG against1.5
1.4
KickOff rating
+2%

Freiburg v Union Berlin Bundesliga lLine ups will show here when available.

Freiburg Bundesliga squad statistics 2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
24636
N AtuboluV GrifoM GinterJ. Manzambi
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
N Atubolu GLK24
-
M Eggestein MID242
3
-
V Grifo MID2461
-
M Ginter DEF2313
1
-
L Höler FWD2311
1
-
I Matanovic FWD2161
-
D Scherhant  FWD214
1
-
P Treu DEF2011
2
-
P Osterhage MID191
4
-
Y Suzuki FWD1933
2
-
J. Manzambi MID1832
4
2
J Beste FWD1813
5
-
C Günter DEF172
1
-
L Kübler DEF1621
2
-
J Makengo DEF13
1
-
P Lienhart DEF121
3
1
M Rosenfelder DEF12
-
A Jung DEF10
2
-
C Adamu FWD911
1
-
B. Ogbus DEF8
-
E Dinkçi FWD8
1
-
N Höfler MID7
-
C. Irié FWD4
2
-
Union Berlin Bundesliga squad statistics 2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
24588
F RönnowI AnsahA IlićJ Haberer 
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
F Rönnow GLK24
2
-
L Querfeld DEF242
4
-
D Doekhi DEF244
3
-
I Ansah MID2452
1
-
R Khedira MID235
6
-
D Köhn DEF221
3
1
A Kemlein MID221
3
-
W Jeong MID2221
-
A Ilić FWD2218
5
-
C Trimmel  DEF212
7
-
J Haberer  MID211
8
-
O Burke FWD2141
2
-
A Schäfer  MID201
2
-
D Leite DEF16
2
-
A Kral MID15
1
-
T Skarke FWD141
-
T Rothe DEF121
1
1
L. Burcu FWD10
2
-
S Nsoki DEF911
2
-
J Juranovic DEF5
1
-
R Skov MID3
-
M Ljubicic FWD22
-
D. Bohdanov FWD1
-