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Hamburger SV v Sport-Club Freiburg : Bundesliga match betting preview, prediction and odds

Volksparkstadion, Hamburg

Merlin Polzin welcomes Julian Schuster to the Volksparkstadion on Sunday afternoon, as their Hamburger SV and Sport-Club Freiburg troops go head to head in the Bundesliga. For every Bundesliga preview, KickOff explores the statistics for seventeen major betting markets. Key stats, including head to head (H2H) results, are then published alongside odds from leading bookmakers.

This match has now expired. Kickoff has all of the best football predictions for you to choose from, for all Bundesliga Predictions. Kickoff constantly updates all 17 football betting markets to analyse and predict football scores – whether you choose football accumulator tips, both teams to score (BTTS tips), correct score, or if you are looking for free football tips – then make sure to sign up to Kickoff.co.uk today.

Hamburger SV's next match is v Leverkusen at 14:30 on Saturday 16th May
Sport-Club Freiburg's next match is v RB Leipzig at 14:30 on Saturday 16th May

The last German Bundesliga meeting between Hamburg and Freiburg was on Sunday 10th May 2026

German Bundesliga

May 10th 2026

Hamburg 3	2 Freiburg

B. Jatta 14'	16' I. Matanovic
L. Vušković 64'	87' I. Matanovic
F. Uri Baldé 67'

	HSV SCF
Shots On	5 3
Shots Off	4 2
Corners	2 4
Possession	47% 53%
Fouls	14 8
Yellow/red cards	2/0 2/0

Hamburg	Freiburg

D. Heuer Fernandes W. Omari A. Sambi Lokonga (Y. Yurary Poulsen 80') F. Ferreira Vieira R. Königsdörffer B. Jatta (F. Uri Baldé 65') N. Remberg N. Capaldo L. Vušković (S. Nandja 90') A. Erlykke O. Emerson Stange (R. Philippe 65')	N. Atubolu (D. Scherhant 68') L. Kübler (A. Jung 71') M. Ginter M. Eggestein L. Höler (J. Makengo 59') J. Beste P. Treu I. Matanovic V. Grifo (P. Lienhart 68') B. Ogbus (N. Höfler 58') J. Manzambi

Want to know who’s consistently beating the odds? Check out the Top Bundesliga Tipsters and see the most profitable experts for this season!

If you’re keen on betting across various leagues and markets, our Live Bets page showcases active accumulator bets and real-time tips.

Best Tip: Over 1.5 goals

The stats suggest there's no obvious winner in this fixture, but good reason to think Hamburg and Freiburg will score at least a couple of goals between them. We've seen goals when they've gone head-to-head in the past, and neither Merlin Polzin or Julian Schuster has subjected their supporters to too many 0-0s recently either. The bookies are predicting over 1.5 goals too, with best odds of 1.22 equating to approximately a 80% probability.

If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think Hamburg are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 42% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 2.75.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Predictions	Bet365	Coral
Hamburg 42%	21/10	1/66
Draw 24%	13/5	16/1
Freiburg 33%	6/5	100/1
Draw 1-1 11%	6/1	15/8
Hamburg 2-1 9%	10/1	13/8
Hamburg 1-0 8%	12/1	10/1
Freiburg 2-1 8%	8/1	7/2
Freiburg 1-0 7%	10/1	15/2
Hamburg 2-0 7%	18/1	8/1
Draw 2-2 6%	10/1	3/1
Draw 0-0 5%	14/1	9/1
Freiburg 2-0 5%	12/1	9/1
Hamburg 3-1 5%	20/1	10/21
Freiburg 3-1 4%	14/1	10/1
Hamburg 3-0 3%	33/1	12/1
Hamburg 3-2 3%	25/1	1/4
Freiburg 3-2 3%	20/1	11/1
Freiburg 3-0 2%	20/1	16/1
Over 2.5 Goals 56%	4/6	4/11
Under 2.5 Goals 44%	6/5	15/8
Home 1st Goal 50%	11/10	23/20
Away 1st Goal 47%	4/5	5/6
No 1st Goal 3%	14/1	9/1
BTTS - Yes 59%	8/15	2/9
BTTS - No 41%	11/8	29/10
BTTS - Home Win 22%	4/1	1/11
BTTS - Draw 19%	3/1	11/2
BTTS - Away Win 18%	11/4	40/1
Home/draw 67%	4/6	1/1000
Away/draw 58%	4/11	11/2
Home/away 76%	2/7	1/12
Over 1.5 Goals 79%	1/5	1/33
Under 1.5 Goals 21%	7/2	10/1
Over 3.5 Goals 34%	13/8	4/9
Under 3.5 Goals 66%	1/2	17/10
Over 4.5 Goals 18%	7/2	6/4
Under 4.5 Goals 83%	1/5	10/21
Over 5.5 Goals 8%	8/1	5/2
Under 5.5 Goals 92%	1/14	2/7
Over 0.5 Goals 95%	1/33	1/25
Under 0.5 Goals 5%	14/1	9/1
Home DNB 60%	5/4	1/1000
Away DNB 50%	4/7	40/1
Hamburg win to nil 20%	11/2	-
Freiburg win to nil 15%	10/3	-
Hamburg / Hamburg 17%	15/4	17/2
Hamburg / Freiburg 4%	20/1	28/1
Hamburg / Draw 7%	12/1	18/1
Draw / Hamburg 11%	6/1	3/1
Draw / Freiburg 14%	5/1	23/10
Draw / Draw 14%	5/1	21/10
Freiburg / Hamburg 4%	25/1	33/1
Freiburg / Freiburg 23%	5/2	7/1
Freiburg / Draw 7%	12/1	18/1

Win / draw / win Bundesliga table

Hamburg have played 32 matches so far this season and are in 12th position in the league.

Performance against teams above them in the league

20 of those games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 10 games, drawn 7 and won 3. Hamburg have conceded 34 goals, scored 21, failed to score in 6 matches and kept 3 clean sheets.

Home league performance

Hamburg have played 16 games at home, winning 5, drawing 6 and losing 5 fixtures. They have scored 22 goals, conceded 20 goals, kept 2 clean sheets and failed to score 4 times in home league games.

Freiburg lay in 7th place on 44 points in the Bundesliga league table having played 32 matches.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 21 games against teams below them in the table, winning 11, drawing 5 and losing 5 games. They have scored 33 goals and kept 6 clean sheets against lower placed opposition. Freiburg have conceded 26 goals and have failed to score in 4 matches.

Away league performance

Freiburg have played 16 away games, winning 4, drawing 3 and losing 9 games. They have scored an average of 1 goals per away game and conceded an average 2 goals per away game.

BTTS yes BTTS no BTTS yes BTTS no Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Over 0.5 Under 0.5 Over 1.5 Under 1.5 Over 2.5 Under 2.5 Over 3.5 Under 3.5 Over 4.5 Under 4.5 Over 5.5 Under 5.5 For 0-0 Against Won Draw Lost	Hamburg Freiburg
Results by League Table

	TEAM	PLD	W	D	L	GD	PTS	HOME	AWAY	HOME	AWAY
1	Bayern	33	27	5	1	82	86	d 2-2F	l 5-0A	l 2-3F	l 6-2F
2	Dortmund	33	21	7	5	34	70	d 1-1A	l 3-2F	d 1-1A	l 4-0A
3	RB Leipzig	33	20	5	8	22	65	l 1-2F	l 2-1A	May 16	l 2-0A
4	Stuttgart	33	18	7	8	22	61	w 2-1F	l 4-0A	w 3-1A	l 1-0A
5	Hoffenheim	33	18	7	8	17	61	l 1-2A	l 4-1A	d 1-1F	l 3-0A
6	Leverkusen	33	17	7	9	21	58	l 0-1A	May 16	d 3-3F	l 2-0A
7	Freiburg	33	12	8	13	-9	44	w 3-2F	l 2-1F	-	-
8	E.Frankfurt	33	11	10	12	-4	43	d 1-1F	w 1-2A	d 2-2F	l 2-0A
9	Augsburg	33	12	7	14	-12	43	d 1-1A	l 1-0A	l 1-3A	d 2-2A
10	Mainz	33	9	10	14	-11	37	w 4-0F	d 1-1A	w 4-0F	w 0-1F
11	Hamburg	33	9	10	14	-14	37	-	-	w 2-1A	l 3-2A
12	Union Berlin	33	9	9	15	-18	36	w 3-2A	d 0-00-0	l 0-1A	d 0-00-0
13	B. M'gladbach	33	8	11	14	-15	35	d 0-00-0	d 0-00-0	w 2-1F	d 0-00-0
14	Köln	33	7	11	15	-10	32	d 1-1F	l 4-1A	w 2-1A	l 4-1A
15	W.Bremen	33	8	8	17	-21	32	w 3-2A	l 3-1A	w 1-0F	w 0-3F
16	Wolfsburg	33	6	8	19	-26	26	l 0-1A	w 1-2A	d 1-1A	w 3-4F
17	Heidenheim	33	6	8	19	-29	26	w 2-1F	w 0-2F	w 2-1F	l 2-1F
18	St. Pauli	33	6	8	19	-29	26	l 0-2A	d 0-00-0	w 2-1F	w 1-2A

	UEFA Champions League
	UEFA Europa League
	UEFA Conference League Qualifiers
	Relegation Play Off
	Relegation

Win / draw / win form

Hamburg have not won in 5 consecutive home league games

Home

Overall

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

15 / 20

Conceded

17 / 20

Clean sheets

3 / 20

Failed to score

5 / 20

Won

Draw

Lost

HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Hamburg	1 - 2	Hoffenheim
Hamburg	1 - 1	Augsburg
Hamburg	1 - 1	Köln
Hamburg	0 - 1	Leverkusen
Hamburg	1 - 2	RB Leipzig
Hamburg	3 - 2	Union Berlin
Hamburg	2 - 2	Bayern
Hamburg	0 - 0	B. M'gladbach
Hamburg	1 - 1	E.Frankfurt
Hamburg	3 - 2	W.Bremen
Hamburg	2 - 1	Stuttgart
Hamburg	1 - 1	Dortmund
Hamburg	0 - 1	Wolfsburg
Hamburg	4 - 0	Mainz
Hamburg	2 - 1	Heidenheim
Hamburg	0 - 2	St. Pauli
Hamburg	6 - 1	Ulm
Hamburg	1 - 2	Karlsruher
Hamburg	2 - 4	E. Braun
Hamburg	0 - 0	Elversberg

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

16 / 20

Conceded

17 / 20

Clean sheets

3 / 20

Failed to score

4 / 20

Won

Draw

Lost

OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
A	Hamburg	2 - 1	E.Frankfurt
H	Hamburg	1 - 2	Hoffenheim
A	Hamburg	1 - 3	W.Bremen
A	Hamburg	0 - 4	Stuttgart
H	Hamburg	1 - 1	Augsburg
A	Hamburg	2 - 3	Dortmund
H	Hamburg	1 - 1	Köln
A	Hamburg	2 - 1	Wolfsburg
H	Hamburg	0 - 1	Leverkusen
H	Hamburg	1 - 2	RB Leipzig
A	Hamburg	1 - 1	Mainz
H	Hamburg	3 - 2	Union Berlin
A	Hamburg	2 - 0	Heidenheim
H	Hamburg	2 - 2	Bayern
A	Hamburg	0 - 0	St. Pauli
H	Hamburg	0 - 0	B. M'gladbach
A	Hamburg	1 - 2	Freiburg
H	Hamburg	1 - 1	E.Frankfurt
A	Hamburg	1 - 4	Hoffenheim
H	Hamburg	3 - 2	W.Bremen

Away

Overall

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

12 / 20

Conceded

15 / 20

Clean sheets

5 / 20

Failed to score

8 / 20

Won

Lost

AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Dortmund	4 - 0	Freiburg
Mainz	0 - 1	Freiburg
St. Pauli	1 - 2	Freiburg
E.Frankfurt	2 - 0	Freiburg
Hoffenheim	3 - 0	Freiburg
Stuttgart	1 - 0	Freiburg
Augsburg	2 - 2	Freiburg
RB Leipzig	2 - 0	Freiburg
Wolfsburg	3 - 4	Freiburg
Heidenheim	2 - 1	Freiburg
Bayern	6 - 2	Freiburg
Union Berlin	0 - 0	Freiburg
Leverkusen	2 - 0	Freiburg
B. M'gladbach	0 - 0	Freiburg
W.Bremen	0 - 3	Freiburg
Köln	4 - 1	Freiburg
Holstein	1 - 2	Freiburg
Wolfsburg	0 - 1	Freiburg
B. M'gladbach	1 - 2	Freiburg
Mainz	2 - 2	Freiburg

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

14 / 20

Conceded

18 / 20

Clean sheets

2 / 20

Failed to score

6 / 20

Won

Lost

OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
H	Freiburg	1 - 1	Wolfsburg
A	Freiburg	0 - 4	Dortmund
H	Freiburg	2 - 1	Heidenheim
A	Freiburg	1 - 0	Mainz
H	Freiburg	2 - 3	Bayern
A	Freiburg	2 - 1	St. Pauli
H	Freiburg	0 - 1	Union Berlin
H	Freiburg	3 - 3	Leverkusen
A	Freiburg	0 - 2	E.Frankfurt
H	Freiburg	2 - 1	B. M'gladbach
A	Freiburg	0 - 3	Hoffenheim
H	Freiburg	1 - 0	W.Bremen
A	Freiburg	0 - 1	Stuttgart
H	Freiburg	2 - 1	Köln
A	Freiburg	2 - 2	Augsburg
A	Freiburg	0 - 2	RB Leipzig
H	Freiburg	2 - 1	Hamburg
A	Freiburg	4 - 3	Wolfsburg
H	Freiburg	1 - 1	Dortmund
A	Freiburg	1 - 2	Heidenheim

Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)

Hamburg

Freiburg

Goals: Scored

Games: Scored

3 / 4

Clean sheets

1 / 4

HSV

SCF

FIXTURE HISTORY AT Hamburg
Hamburg	1 - 0
Draw	2 - 2	Draw
Draw	1 - 1	Draw
	0 - 1	Freiburg

Freiburg

Hamburg

Goals: Scored

Games: Scored

2 / 6

Clean sheets

4 / 6

HSV

SCF

FIXTURE HISTORY AT Freiburg
Freiburg	2 - 1
Draw	0 - 0	Draw
Freiburg	1 - 0
Draw	0 - 0	Draw
	0 - 3	Hamburg
Draw	0 - 0	Draw

Goal Statistics

	Hamburg 11th	Freiburg 7th
	Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction	1.6 goals	1.4 goals
	Scoring probability
Scoring probability	0 21% 1 33% 2 26% 3 13% 4+ 8% There is a 79% probability that Hamburg will score 1 or more goals	0 26% 1 35% 2 24% 3 11% 4+ There is a 61% probability that Freiburg will score no more than 1 goal

	20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games	-6 Hamburg’s goalscoring at home has been inline with predictions	-7 Freiburg’s goalscoring when away has been inline with predictions
	1.6 average goals scored	1.2 average goals scored
	1.4 conceded	1.8 conceded

Attack defence ratings
Bundesliga - 2025/2025 season

HSV

SCF

16%

better

view stats

Games scored	22		23
Failed to score	10		9
Scored first	10		14
Goals scored	36		45
Avg. goals scored	1.1		1.4
Avg. shots per game	9		9
Avg. shots per goal	8		6
Conversion rate for	12		16
Avg. XG for	1.3		1.6
KickOff rating		+16%

better

HSV

SCF

view stats

Games conceded	26		26
Clean sheets	6		6
Conceded first	18		16
Goals conceded	51		53
Avg. goals conceded	1.6		1.7
Avg. shots/game conceded	11		10
Avg. shots/goal conceded	7		6
Conversion rate against	15%		17%
Avg. XG against	1.8		1.5
KickOff rating		+1%

Hamburg v Freiburg Bundesliga lLine ups will show here when available.

Hamburg Bundesliga squad statistics 2025

Overall

Attack

Defence

Most starts	Most goals	Most assists	Most cards
32	6	5	11
D Fernandes	F Vieira	F Vieira	N Remberg

Line-up	Appserances	goals	Assists	cards
D Fernandes GLK	32			3 -
N Capaldo DEF	24	1	2	8 -
L. Vušković DEF	26	5		5 -
W Omari DEF	18		1	-
B Jatta MID	14		1	1 -
N Remberg MID	30		1	11 -
A Lokonga MID	24	5		3 -
A Grönbaek MID	5	1	1	-
F Vieira FWD	27	6	5	3 2
R Königsdörffer FWD	32	5	2	2 -
O. Emerson Stange FWD	8			-
Subs
S Tangvik GLK				-
J Torunarigha DEF	23			2 -
L. Lemke DEF				-
S. Nandja DEF				-
D Elfadli MID	21			5 1
R Philippe FWD	26	5		2 -
Y Poulsen FWD	13	1		4 -
P Otele FWD	9	1	1	3 1
F. Uri Baldé FWD	14		1	1 -

Most goals	Most shots on target	Most assists	Most big chances
6	22	5	8
F Vieira	R Königsdörffer	F Vieira	F Vieira

Line-up	goals	shots on	Assists	big chances
F Vieira FWD	6	17	5	8
L. Vušković DEF	5	8
A Lokonga MID	5	10
R Königsdörffer FWD	5	22	2	1
Subs
R Philippe FWD	5	14		2
N Capaldo DEF	1	5	2	2
A Grönbaek MID	1	4	1	1
Subs
Y Poulsen FWD	1	3		1
P Otele FWD	1	3	1	3
W Omari DEF		1	1
B Jatta MID		4	1
N Remberg MID		8	1	3
O. Emerson Stange FWD		1
Subs
J Torunarigha DEF		1
D Elfadli MID		1
F. Uri Baldé FWD		3	1	2

Most passes	Most tackles	Most duels won
1600	64	195
D Fernandes	N Capaldo	L. Vušković

Line-up	passes	tackles	duels won
D Fernandes GLK	1600		9
L. Vušković DEF	1443	23	195
N Remberg MID	1227	58	164
Subs
J Torunarigha DEF	1005	36	106
F Vieira FWD	776	18	93
N Capaldo DEF	684	64	151
A Lokonga MID	683	28	82
Subs
D Elfadli MID	666	22	58
W Omari DEF	639	20	56
R Königsdörffer FWD	412	6	99
B Jatta MID	201	14	27
Subs
R Philippe FWD	191	20	48
P Otele FWD	113	2	23
Y Poulsen FWD	97	5	40
F. Uri Baldé FWD	96	14	31
A Grönbaek MID	77	8	17
O. Emerson Stange FWD	29	2	14

Freiburg Bundesliga squad statistics 2025

Overall

Attack

Defence

Most starts	Most goals	Most assists	Most cards
32	8	4	6
N Atubolu	I Matanovic	M Ginter	J. Manzambi

Line-up	Appserances	goals	Assists	cards
N Atubolu GLK	32			1 -
L Kübler DEF	21	2	1	2 -
M Ginter DEF	30	2	4	2 -
B. Ogbus DEF	16			1 -
P Treu DEF	26	1	2	2 -
M Eggestein MID	32	3	1	4 -
J. Manzambi MID	25	5	3	4 2
J Beste MID	26	1	3	5 -
L Höler MID	31	3	1	3 -
V Grifo MID	31	7	3	-
I Matanovic FWD	29	8	1	-
Subs
F Müller GLK				-
C Günter DEF	24		3	3 -
J Makengo DEF	18			1 -
P Lienhart DEF	18	1	1	3 1
A Jung DEF	11			2 -
N Höfler MID	11			-
D Scherhant FWD	29	4	1	1 -
C. Irié FWD	10			3 -
M Philipp FWD	1			-

Most goals	Most shots on target	Most assists	Most big chances
8	18	4	11
I Matanovic	I Matanovic	M Ginter	V Grifo

Line-up	goals	shots on	Assists	big chances
I Matanovic FWD	8	18	1	2
V Grifo MID	7	12	3	11
J. Manzambi MID	5	13	3	6
Subs
D Scherhant FWD	4	12	1	1
M Eggestein MID	3	13	1	2
L Höler MID	3	15	1	2
L Kübler DEF	2	4	1	4
M Ginter DEF	2	6	4	5
P Treu DEF	1	4	2	3
J Beste MID	1	13	3	4
Subs
P Lienhart DEF	1	2	1
N Atubolu GLK				1
B. Ogbus DEF		2
Subs
C Günter DEF		1	3	4
A Jung DEF				1
N Höfler MID		2
C. Irié FWD		2

Most passes	Most tackles	Most duels won
1701	62	167
M Ginter	M Eggestein	J. Manzambi

Line-up	passes	tackles	duels won
M Ginter DEF	1701	23	147
M Eggestein MID	1390	62	151
N Atubolu GLK	1275	1	16
Subs
P Lienhart DEF	917	17	56
J. Manzambi MID	884	34	167
P Treu DEF	738	39	95
V Grifo MID	734	8	36
L Kübler DEF	594	38	85
B. Ogbus DEF	572	21	56
L Höler MID	536	24	128
Subs
C Günter DEF	514	20	38
J Beste MID	446	37	92
Subs
J Makengo DEF	400	20	46
A Jung DEF	310	2	19
I Matanovic FWD	282	23	127
Subs
D Scherhant FWD	204	17	79
C. Irié FWD	110	9	33
N Höfler MID	84	3	10
M Philipp FWD	3	1	1

German Bundesliga match betting previews, predictions and odds

E.Frankfurt v Stuttgart

Sat 16th May, 14:30

Bayern v Köln

Sat 16th May, 14:30

Freiburg v RB Leipzig

Sat 16th May, 14:30

B. M'gladbach v Hoffenheim

Sat 16th May, 14:30

Heidenheim v Mainz

Sat 16th May, 14:30

Union Berlin v Augsburg

Sat 16th May, 14:30

Leverkusen v Hamburg

Sat 16th May, 14:30

St. Pauli v Wolfsburg

Sat 16th May, 14:30

W.Bremen v Dortmund

Sat 16th May, 14:30

Hamburger SV v Sport-Club Freiburg : Bundesliga match betting preview, prediction and odds

Hamburg have played 32 matches so far this season and are in 12th position in the league.

Performance against teams above them in the league

Home league performance

Freiburg lay in 7th place on 44 points in the Bundesliga league table having played 32 matches.

Performance against teams below them in the league

Away league performance

Hamburg v Freiburg Bundesliga lLine ups will show here when available.

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