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Hamburger SV v RB Leipzig : Bundesliga match betting preview, prediction and odds

Sun 1st Mar, 18:30 BST, Volksparkstadion, Hamburg

RB Leipzig, led by manager Ole Werner, visit Merlin Polzin and his Hamburger SV side at the Volksparkstadion on Sunday evening in the Bundesliga. We've analysed both clubs' last 20 Bundesliga matches, as well as baseline data within the competition and the market, to generate our percentage predictions. All the statistics, including head-to-heads, are shown below, alongside odds from leading bookmakers.


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In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Hamburg
41%
--
Draw
25%
--
RB Leipzig
34%
--
Draw 1-1
12%
--
Hamburg 1-0
9%
--
Hamburg 2-1
9%
--
RB Leipzig 1-0
8%
--
RB Leipzig 2-1
8%
--
Hamburg 2-0
7%
--
Draw 0-0
6%
--
Draw 2-2
6%
--
RB Leipzig 2-0
5%
--
Hamburg 3-1
4%
--
RB Leipzig 3-1
3%
--
Hamburg 3-0
3%
--
Hamburg 3-2
3%
--
RB Leipzig 3-2
3%
--
RB Leipzig 3-0
2%
--
Over 2.5 Goals
53%
--
Under 2.5 Goals
47%
--
Home 1st Goal
49%
--
Away 1st Goal
47%
--
No 1st Goal
4%
--
BTTS - Yes
57%
--
BTTS - No
43%
--
BTTS - Home Win
20%
--
BTTS - Draw
19%
--
BTTS - Away Win
17%
--
Home/draw
66%
--
Away/draw
59%
--
Home/away
75%
--
Over 1.5 Goals
77%
--
Under 1.5 Goals
23%
--
Over 3.5 Goals
31%
--
Under 3.5 Goals
69%
--
Over 4.5 Goals
15%
--
Under 4.5 Goals
85%
--
Over 5.5 Goals
7%
--
Under 5.5 Goals
93%
--
Over 0.5 Goals
94%
--
Under 0.5 Goals
6%
--
Home DNB
58%
--
Away DNB
52%
--
Hamburg win to nil
21%
--
RB Leipzig win to nil
17%
--
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Win / draw / win Bundesliga table

Hamburg have played 21 matches so far this season and are in 9th position in the league.

Performance against teams above them in the league

8 of those games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 4 games, drawn 3 and won 1. Hamburg have conceded 18 goals, scored 9, failed to score in 1 match and kept no clean sheets.

Home league performance

Hamburg have played 11 games at home, winning 5, drawing 4 and losing 2 fixtures. They have scored 18 goals, conceded 13 goals, kept 2 clean sheets and failed to score 3 times in home league games.

RB Leipzig lay in 6th place on 39 points in the Bundesliga league table having played 21 matches.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 15 games against teams below them in the table, winning 11, drawing 2 and losing 2 games. They have scored 33 goals and kept 9 clean sheets against lower placed opposition. RB Leipzig have conceded 9 goals and have failed to score in 1 match.

Away league performance

RB Leipzig have played 11 away games, winning 5, drawing 3 and losing 3 games. They have scored an average of 1.5 goals per away game and conceded an average 1.4 goals per away game.

Won
Draw
Lost
Hamburg
RB Leipzig
Results by League Table
TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY HOME AWAY
1
Bayern2218316357 
d
 
2-2F
l
 
5-0A
l
 
1-5F
l
 
6-0A
2
Dortmund2215612751 
d
 
1-1A
Mar 21
Feb 21
d
 
1-1F
3
Hoffenheim2214351945 
Apr 25
l
 
4-1A
Mar 20
l
 
3-1F
4
Stuttgart2213361242 
w
 
2-1F
Apr 11
w
 
3-1F
Mar 15
5
Leverkusen2112361639 
Mar 4
May 16
l
 
1-3F
May 2
6
RB Leipzig2112361239 
Mar 1
l
 
2-1A
-
-
7
E.Frankfurt22877-231 
d
 
1-1F
May 2
w
 
6-0F
Apr 18
8
Freiburg22868-430 
May 9
l
 
2-1F
w
 
2-0F
May 16
9
Hamburg21678-725 
-
-
w
 
2-1F
Mar 1
10
Union Berlin22679-925 
w
 
3-2A
d
 
0-00-0
Apr 25
l
 
3-1A
11
Köln226511-623 
Mar 14
l
 
4-1A
w
 
3-1F
w
 
1-2F
12
B. M'gladbach225710-1222 
d
 
0-00-0
d
 
0-00-0
Apr 11
d
 
0-00-0
13
Augsburg216411-1522 
Apr 4
l
 
1-0A
Mar 7
w
 
0-6F
14
Mainz225611-1221 
w
 
4-0F
Feb 20
l
 
1-2F
w
 
0-1F
15
Wolfsburg215412-1519 
l
 
0-1A
Mar 7
Feb 15
w
 
0-1F
16
W.Bremen224711-2019 
w
 
3-2A
Apr 18
w
 
2-0F
Apr 4
17
St. Pauli224513-1917 
l
 
0-2A
d
 
0-00-0
May 9
d
 
1-1F
18
Heidenheim213414-2813 
w
 
2-1F
w
 
0-2F
w
 
2-0F
w
 
0-3F
Win / draw / win form
7
Hamburg have not lost in 7 consecutive home league games
Hamburg 9TH
20 league games
Home
7
Overall
Goals: Scored
42
Conceded
23
Games: Scored
16 / 20
Conceded
14 / 20
Clean sheets
6 / 20
Failed to score
4 / 20
Won
10
Draw
6
L
4
HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Hamburg3 - 2Union Berlin
Hamburg2 - 2Bayern
Hamburg0 - 0B. M'gladbach
Hamburg1 - 1E.Frankfurt
Hamburg3 - 2W.Bremen
Hamburg2 - 1Stuttgart
Hamburg1 - 1Dortmund
Hamburg0 - 1Wolfsburg
Hamburg4 - 0Mainz
Hamburg2 - 1Heidenheim
Hamburg0 - 2St. Pauli
Hamburg6 - 1Ulm
Hamburg1 - 2Karlsruher
Hamburg2 - 4E. Braun
Hamburg0 - 0Elversberg
Hamburg4 - 1Dusseldorf
Hamburg3 - 0Kaiserslautern
Hamburg2 - 2Hannover
Hamburg1 - 0Köln
Hamburg5 - 0Greuther
Goals: Scored
24
Conceded
31
Games: Scored
13 / 20
Conceded
15 / 20
Clean sheets
5 / 20
Failed to score
7 / 20
Won
6
Draw
6
Lost
8
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
HHamburg3 - 2Union Berlin
AHamburg2 - 0Heidenheim
HHamburg2 - 2Bayern
AHamburg0 - 0St. Pauli
HHamburg0 - 0B. M'gladbach
AHamburg1 - 2Freiburg
HHamburg1 - 1E.Frankfurt
AHamburg1 - 4Hoffenheim
HHamburg3 - 2W.Bremen
HHamburg2 - 1Stuttgart
AHamburg0 - 1Augsburg
HHamburg1 - 1Dortmund
AHamburg1 - 4Köln
HHamburg0 - 1Wolfsburg
AHamburg1 - 2RB Leipzig
HHamburg4 - 0Mainz
AHamburg0 - 0Union Berlin
HHamburg2 - 1Heidenheim
AHamburg0 - 5Bayern
HHamburg0 - 2St. Pauli
RB Leipzig 6TH
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
24
Conceded
27
Games: Scored
12 / 20
Conceded
11 / 20
Clean sheets
9 / 20
Failed to score
8 / 20
Won
6
Draw
8
Lost
6
AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Köln1 - 2RB Leipzig
St. Pauli1 - 1RB Leipzig
Heidenheim0 - 3RB Leipzig
Union Berlin3 - 1RB Leipzig
B. M'gladbach0 - 0RB Leipzig
Hoffenheim3 - 1RB Leipzig
Augsburg0 - 6RB Leipzig
Dortmund1 - 1RB Leipzig
Wolfsburg0 - 1RB Leipzig
Mainz0 - 1RB Leipzig
Bayern6 - 0RB Leipzig
W.Bremen0 - 0RB Leipzig
E.Frankfurt4 - 0RB Leipzig
Wolfsburg2 - 3RB Leipzig
B. M'gladbach1 - 0RB Leipzig
Freiburg0 - 0RB Leipzig
Augsburg0 - 0RB Leipzig
Union Berlin0 - 0RB Leipzig
VfL Bochum3 - 3RB Leipzig
Stuttgart2 - 1RB Leipzig
Goals: Scored
40
Conceded
22
Games: Scored
19 / 20
Conceded
11 / 20
Clean sheets
9 / 20
Failed to score
1 / 20
Won
12
D
3
Lost
5
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
ARB Leipzig2 - 1Köln
HRB Leipzig1 - 2Mainz
ARB Leipzig1 - 1St. Pauli
ARB Leipzig3 - 0Heidenheim
HRB Leipzig1 - 5Bayern
HRB Leipzig2 - 0Freiburg
HRB Leipzig1 - 3Leverkusen
ARB Leipzig1 - 3Union Berlin
HRB Leipzig6 - 0E.Frankfurt
ARB Leipzig0 - 0B. M'gladbach
HRB Leipzig2 - 0W.Bremen
ARB Leipzig1 - 3Hoffenheim
HRB Leipzig3 - 1Stuttgart
ARB Leipzig6 - 0Augsburg
HRB Leipzig2 - 1Hamburg
ARB Leipzig1 - 1Dortmund
ARB Leipzig1 - 0Wolfsburg
HRB Leipzig3 - 1Köln
ARB Leipzig1 - 0Mainz
HRB Leipzig2 - 0Heidenheim
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
League games at Hamburg since 2016
Hamburg
RB Leipzig
Goals: Scored
0
6
Games: Scored
0 / 2
2 / 2
Clean sheets
0 / 2
2 / 2
RBL
2
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Hamburg
0 - 2RB Leipzig
0 - 4RB Leipzig
League games at RB Leipzig since 2017
RB Leipzig
Hamburg
Goals: Scored
3
5
Games: Scored
2 / 3
3 / 3
Clean sheets
0 / 3
1 / 3
HSV
1
D
1
RBL
1
FIXTURE HISTORY AT RB Leipzig
RB Leipzig2 - 1
Draw1 - 1Draw
0 - 3Hamburg
Goal Statistics

Hamburger SV's fans will be hoping for goals on Sunday evening, not least because RB Leipzig have conceded in each of their last 17 Bundesliga outings. A PG of 1.5 for M. Polzin's side suggests that run should continue.

Hamburg 9th RB Leipzig 6th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.5
goals
1.3
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
23%
1
34%
2
25%
3
12%
4+
There is a 77% probability that Hamburg will score 1 or more goals
0
27%
1
35%
2
23%
3
10%
4+
There is a 62% probability that RB Leipzig will score no more than 1 goal
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
+19
Hamburg have scored 19% more goals at home than predicted
-23
RB Leipzig have scored 23% fewer goals when away than predicted
2.1
average goals scored
1.2
average goals scored
1.2
conceded
1.4
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Bundesliga - 2025/2025 season
Hamburg
PG (predicted goals)
RB Leipzig
1.5
1.3
Attack rating
%
better
HSV
RBL
view stats
Games scored0
0
Failed to score0
0
Scored first0
0
Goals scored0
0
Avg. goals scored0
0
Avg. shots per game0
0
Avg. shots per goal0
0
Conversion rate for0
0
Avg. XG for0
0
KickOff rating
0%
Defence rating
%
better
HSV
RBL
view stats
Games conceded0
0
Clean sheets0
0
Conceded first0
0
Goals conceded0
0
Avg. goals conceded0
0
Avg. shots/game conceded0
0
Avg. shots/goal conceded0
0
Conversion rate against0%
0%
Avg. XG against0
0
KickOff rating
0%

Hamburg v RB Leipzig Bundesliga lLine ups will show here when available.

Hamburg Bundesliga squad statistics 2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
21547
D FernandesR PhilippeM MuheimN Remberg
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
D Fernandes GLK21
3
-
M Muheim DEF214
3
-
R Königsdörffer FWD2142
1
-
N Remberg MID201
7
-
L. Vušković DEF194
5
-
R Philippe FWD195
2
-
N Capaldo  MID1811
6
-
G Gocholeishvili DEF172
2
1
F Vieira MID1624
2
2
A Lokonga MID164
2
-
D Elfadli DEF15
4
1
W Mikelbrencis DEF151
2
-
M Dompé FWD152
-
R Glatzel FWD1311
-
J Torunarigha DEF12
1
-
F. Uri Baldé FWD111
-
A. Røssing-Lelesiit FWD111
2
1
Y Poulsen FWD91
3
-
B Jatta FWD91
-
G Ramos DEF8
-
W Omari DEF7
-
I Pherai MID6
1
1
A. Souhmahoro DEF4
1
-
J Meffert MID4
-
E Sahiti FWD2
-
RB Leipzig Bundesliga squad statistics 2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
21875
P Gulácsi C BaumgartnerC BaumgartnerD Raum
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
P Gulácsi  GLK21
1
-
D Raum DEF2134
5
-
W Orbán DEF211
2
-
N Seiwald MID212
1
-
C Baumgartner MID2087
5
-
Y. Diomande FWD2074
2
-
R Baku DEF1912
3
-
E Banzuzi MID181
3
-
A Nusa FWD1822
-
C Harder FWD1822
3
-
X Schlager MID1721
2
-
R Rômulo FWD1764
-
C Lukeba DEF161
1
-
J Bakayoko FWD132
1
-
T. Gomis FWD131
-
A Ouédraogo MID1233
-
A. Maksimović MID8
-
E Bitshiabu DEF7
-
K. Nedeljković DEF5
-
M Finkgräfe DEF4
-
L Klostermann DEF4
-
B Henrichs DEF4
-
K Kampl MID3
-
T Werner FWD3
-