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TSG 1899 Hoffenheim v Sport-Club Freiburg : Bundesliga match betting preview, prediction and odds

Sat 14th Feb, 14:30 BST, Wirsol Rhein-Neckar-Arena, Zuzenhausen

The Bundesliga is the focus for both TSG 1899 Hoffenheim and Sport-Club Freiburg on Saturday afternoon, as bosses Christian Ilzer and Julian Schuster go head to head at the Wirsol Rhein-Neckar-Arena. In this preview you'll find the best odds for 17 top betting markets as well as predictions, statistics and head-to-head data for these two clubs. You can access it all using the tabs below.


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Best Tip: Over 2.5 goals

Our prediction for Saturday's game is over 2.5 goals, meaning that we expect Hoffenheim and Freiburg to score 3 goals or more combined during the traditional 90 minutes. 2 goals or less would mean a losing bet but, with statistics below suggesting there will be plenty of firepower on the pitch, we think it could well be a winner.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think Hoffenheim are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 55% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 1.91.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Hoffenheim
55%
-10/11
Draw
21%
-14/5
Freiburg
24%
-14/5
Hoffenheim 2-1
10%
-13/2
Draw 1-1
9%
-11/2
Hoffenheim 2-0
7%
-8/1
Hoffenheim 1-0
7%
-7/1
Hoffenheim 3-1
7%
-11/1
Draw 2-2
6%
-10/1
Freiburg 2-1
6%
-10/1
Hoffenheim 3-0
5%
-12/1
Freiburg 1-0
5%
-10/1
Hoffenheim 3-2
4%
-16/1
Draw 0-0
4%
-10/1
Hoffenheim 4-1
3%
-18/1
Freiburg 2-0
3%
-16/1
Freiburg 3-2
3%
-22/1
Hoffenheim 4-0
3%
-22/1
Over 2.5 Goals
65%
-13/20
Under 2.5 Goals
35%
-23/20
Home 1st Goal
54%
-13/20
Away 1st Goal
44%
-29/20
No 1st Goal
2%
-10/1
BTTS - Yes
63%
-8/13
BTTS - No
37%
-23/20
BTTS - Home Win
31%
-12/5
BTTS - Draw
18%
-17/5
BTTS - Away Win
14%
-5/1
Home/draw
76%
-1/4
Away/draw
45%
-10/11
Home/away
79%
-1/4
Over 1.5 Goals
85%
-1/5
Under 1.5 Goals
15%
-16/5
Over 3.5 Goals
43%
-8/5
Under 3.5 Goals
57%
-4/9
Over 4.5 Goals
25%
-18/5
Under 4.5 Goals
75%
-1/6
Over 5.5 Goals
12%
-15/2
Under 5.5 Goals
88%
-1/18
Over 0.5 Goals
97%
-1/33
Under 0.5 Goals
4%
-10/1
Home DNB
70%
-2/5
Away DNB
38%
-7/4
Hoffenheim win to nil
24%
--
Freiburg win to nil
9%
--
Hoffenheim / Hoffenheim
28%
-7/4
Hoffenheim / Freiburg
3%
-25/1
Hoffenheim / Draw
6%
-11/1
Draw / Hoffenheim
15%
-17/4
Draw / Freiburg
10%
-7/1
Draw / Draw
13%
-19/4
Freiburg / Hoffenheim
5%
-16/1
Freiburg / Freiburg
13%
-19/4
Freiburg / Draw
6%
-11/1
Win / draw / win Bundesliga table

Hoffenheim have played 20 matches so far this season and lay in 3rd place in the Bundesliga league table.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 18 games against teams below in the table, having won 13, drawn 3 and lost 2 matches. They have kept 5 clean sheets and have failed to score in 2 fixtures. Hoffenheim have outscored their opponents by 43 goals to 31 goals.

Home League Performance

Hoffenheim have played 10 games at home winning 7, drawing 0 and losing 3 games. They have scored 24 goals, kept 2 clean sheets and conceded 13 goals at home.

Freiburg are in 7th position in the Bundesliga on 27 points having played 20 matches so far this season.

Away League Performance

6 of those games have been losing matches. They have conceded 22 goals and kept 3 clean sheets. They have scored 13 goals in total and failed to score in 5 fixtures.

Performance against teams above them in the league

7 games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 4 games, drawn 2 and won 1. Freiburg have conceded 14 goals, scored 7, failed to score in 3 fixtures and have kept no clean sheets.

Won
Draw
Lost
Hoffenheim
Freiburg
Results by League Table
TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY HOME AWAY
1
Bayern2016315651 
l
 
1-4A
Feb 8
Apr 4
l
 
6-2F
2
Dortmund2013612245 
Apr 18
l
 
2-0A
d
 
1-1A
Apr 25
3
Hoffenheim2013342042 
-
-
d
 
1-1F
Feb 14
4
Stuttgart2012351139 
May 2
d
 
0-00-0
w
 
3-1A
l
 
1-0A
5
RB Leipzig2011361136 
w
 
3-1A
Mar 21
May 16
l
 
2-0A
6
Leverkusen1911261235 
w
 
1-0F
w
 
1-2A
Mar 7
l
 
2-0A
7
Freiburg20767-227 
Feb 14
d
 
1-1A
-
-
8
E.Frankfurt20767-527 
l
 
1-3A
w
 
1-3A
d
 
2-2F
Mar 1
9
Union Berlin20668-824 
w
 
3-1F
w
 
2-4F
Mar 14
d
 
0-00-0
10
Köln20659-323 
l
 
0-1A
Feb 21
w
 
2-1A
l
 
4-1A
11
Augsburg206410-1322 
w
 
3-0F
Apr 11
l
 
1-3A
d
 
2-2A
12
B. M'gladbach20569-921 
w
 
5-1F
May 16
Feb 22
d
 
0-00-0
13
Hamburg19478-1019 
w
 
4-1F
Apr 25
w
 
2-1A
May 9
14
Wolfsburg205411-1419 
Mar 14
w
 
2-3A
May 2
w
 
3-4F
15
W.Bremen20479-1619 
May 9
w
 
0-2F
Feb 7
w
 
0-3F
16
Mainz204610-1018 
Apr 4
d
 
1-1F
w
 
4-0F
Apr 11
17
St. Pauli203512-1614 
Feb 28
w
 
0-3F
w
 
2-1F
Mar 21
18
Heidenheim203413-2613 
w
 
3-1F
Mar 7
Apr 18
l
 
2-1F
Win / draw / win form
Hoffenheim 5TH
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
34
Conceded
32
Games: Scored
16 / 20
Conceded
17 / 20
Clean sheets
3 / 20
Failed to score
4 / 20
Won
8
D
4
Lost
8
Goals: Scored
43
Conceded
23
Games: Scored
17 / 20
Conceded
15 / 20
Clean sheets
5 / 20
Failed to score
3 / 20
Won
13
D
3
L
4
Freiburg 9TH
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
23
Conceded
34
Games: Scored
13 / 20
Conceded
13 / 20
Clean sheets
7 / 20
Failed to score
7 / 20
Won
7
Draw
5
Lost
8
Goals: Scored
31
Conceded
33
Games: Scored
15 / 20
Conceded
16 / 20
Clean sheets
4 / 20
Failed to score
5 / 20
Won
7
Draw
6
Lost
7
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
8
Freiburg have not lost to Hoffenheim in 8 consecutive league meetings
League games at Hoffenheim since 2013
Hoffenheim
Freiburg
Goals: Scored
15
19
Games: Scored
8 / 10
9 / 10
Clean sheets
1 / 10
2 / 10
TSG
2
D
4
SCF
4
League games at Freiburg since 2012
Freiburg
Hoffenheim
Goals: Scored
25
21
Games: Scored
13 / 13
12 / 13
Clean sheets
1 / 13
0 / 13
TSG
2
D
5
SCF
6
Goal Statistics

TSG 1899 Hoffenheim's defensive record is to be admired, C. Ilzer's men having conceded 1 or less in 6 consecutive Bundesliga outings. An average PG rating of 1.3 for Sport-Club Freiburg makes sense in this context.

Hoffenheim 5th Freiburg 9th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
2.1
goals
1.3
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
13%
1
26%
2
27%
3
19%
4+
15%
There is a 61% probability that Hoffenheim will score 2 or more goals in this match
0
28%
1
36%
2
23%
3
10%
4+
There is a 64% probability that Freiburg will score no more than 1 goal
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
+3
Hoffenheim’s goalscoring at home has been inline with predictions
-7
Freiburg’s goalscoring when away has been inline with predictions
1.7
average goals scored
1.2
average goals scored
1.6
conceded
1.7
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Bundesliga - 2025/2025 season
Hoffenheim
PG (predicted goals)
Freiburg
2.1
1.3
Attack rating
19%
better
TSG
SCF
view stats
Games scored17
15
Failed to score3
4
Scored first10
8
Goals scored43
31
Avg. goals scored2.2
1.6
Avg. shots per game10
9
Avg. shots per goal5
6
Conversion rate for22
18
Avg. XG for1.6
1.7
KickOff rating
+19%
Defence rating
16%
better
TSG
SCF
view stats
Games conceded15
15
Clean sheets5
4
Conceded first9
9
Goals conceded23
32
Avg. goals conceded1.2
1.6
Avg. shots/game conceded9
9
Avg. shots/goal conceded8
5
Conversion rate against13%
18%
Avg. XG against1.4
1.4
KickOff rating
+16%

Hoffenheim v Freiburg Bundesliga lLine ups will show here when available.

Hoffenheim Bundesliga squad statistics 2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
20867
O BaumannA KramaricW BurgerA Hajdari 
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
O Baumann GLK20
1
-
V Coufal DEF2014
2
-
L Avdullahu MID201
3
-
G Prömel  MID2062
2
-
A Kramaric MID2084
1
-
R Hranáč DEF19
4
-
F Asllani FWD1964
1
-
Bernardo DEF18
6
-
W Burger MID1846
4
1
A Prass MID1811
1
-
T Lemperle FWD1862
1
-
A Hajdari  DEF171
7
-
B. Touré FWD1625
1
-
M. Moerstedt FWD142
1
-
I Bebou FWD12
1
-
O Kabak DEF112
-
M Damar  MID10
-
U Tohumcu MID5
2
-
A Chaves DEF4
1
-
K Akpoguma DEF4
-
V Gendrey DEF41
-
A Hlozek FWD3
-
K Machida DEF1
1
-
Freiburg Bundesliga squad statistics 2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
20635
N AtuboluV GrifoM GinterJ. Manzambi
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
N Atubolu GLK20
-
V Grifo MID2061
-
M Eggestein MID202
3
-
M Ginter DEF193
1
-
L Höler FWD1911
-
P Treu DEF1711
2
-
J. Manzambi MID1732
4
1
I Matanovic FWD175
-
D Scherhant  FWD174
1
-
L Kübler DEF1621
2
-
P Osterhage MID151
3
-
Y Suzuki FWD1533
2
-
J Beste FWD153
4
-
C Günter DEF132
1
-
P Lienhart DEF121
3
1
J Makengo DEF12
1
-
M Rosenfelder DEF10
-
C Adamu FWD911
1
-
A Jung DEF8
2
-
E Dinkçi FWD8
1
-
N Höfler MID6
-
B. Ogbus DEF4
-
C. Irié FWD2
1
-