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Bayer Leverkusen v FC St. Pauli : Bundesliga match betting preview, prediction and odds

Sat 14th Feb, 14:30 BST, BayArena, Leverkusen

Alexander Blessin will be hoping for a vital away win in the Bundesliga on Saturday afternoon, as he takes his FC St. Pauli side to the BayArena to visit Bayer Leverkusen and Kasper Hjulmand. Form, head to head (H2H) statistics, predictions and odds from the UK's biggest bookmakers are all shown below. It's our job to give you all the information you need to place a smart, well-informed bet. We're tipping Leverkusen to win, but why not use the stats to find the perfect bet for you?

Want to know who’s consistently beating the odds? Check out the Top Bundesliga Tipsters and see the most profitable experts for this season!

If you’re keen on betting across various leagues and markets, our Live Bets page showcases active accumulator bets and real-time tips.

Best Tip: Leverkusen to win

We are predicting Leverkusen will come out on top after 90 minutes on Saturday in the win / draw / win market. The latest form statistics and historical head-to-head (H2H) records below all that they're well placed to do just that and, as favourites with the bookmakers, the odds back that up too. Expect jubilant celebrations among the home supporters when that final whistle blows at BayArena.

If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think Leverkusen are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 63% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 1.48.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Predictions	Bet365	Coral
Leverkusen 63%	-	1.48
Draw 21%	-	4.50
St. Pauli 16%	-	6.50
Leverkusen 2-0 11%	-	6.50
Leverkusen 1-0 11%	-	6.00
Leverkusen 2-1 10%	-	7.50
Draw 1-1 10%	-	7.50
Leverkusen 3-0 7%	-	8.50
Leverkusen 3-1 7%	-	11.00
Draw 0-0 5%	-	10.00
St. Pauli 1-0 5%	-	13.00
Draw 2-2 4%	-	15.00
St. Pauli 2-1 4%	-	17.00
Leverkusen 4-0 4%	-	15.00
Leverkusen 4-1 3%	-	19.00
Leverkusen 3-2 3%	-	21.00
St. Pauli 2-0 2%	-	23.00
Leverkusen 4-2 2%	-	29.00
Over 2.5 Goals 56%	-	1.75
Under 2.5 Goals 44%	-	1.95
Home 1st Goal 57%	-	1.40
Away 1st Goal 39%	-	3.40
No 1st Goal 3%	-	10.00
BTTS - Yes 51%	-	2.00
BTTS - No 49%	-	1.73
BTTS - Home Win 28%	-	3.30
BTTS - Draw 15%	-	5.75
BTTS - Away Win 8%	-	11.00
Home/draw 84%	-	1.11
Away/draw 37%	-	2.62
Home/away 79%	-	1.20
Over 1.5 Goals 79%	-	1.25
Under 1.5 Goals 21%	-	3.70
Over 3.5 Goals 33%	-	2.90
Under 3.5 Goals 67%	-	1.36
Over 4.5 Goals 17%	-	5.25
Under 4.5 Goals 83%	-	1.13
Over 5.5 Goals 7%	-	10.00
Under 5.5 Goals 93%	-	1.04
Over 0.5 Goals 95%	-	1.04
Under 0.5 Goals 5%	-	10.00
Home DNB 78%	-	1.15
Away DNB 31%	-	4.80
Leverkusen win to nil 35%	-	-
St. Pauli win to nil 8%	-	-
Leverkusen / Leverkusen 36%	-	2.15
Leverkusen / St. Pauli 2%	-	34.00
Leverkusen / Draw 5%	-	15.00
Draw / Leverkusen 19%	-	4.20
Draw / St. Pauli 7%	-	12.00
Draw / Draw 13%	-	6.00
St. Pauli / Leverkusen 5%	-	17.00
St. Pauli / St. Pauli 8%	-	9.50
St. Pauli / Draw 5%	-	15.00

Win / draw / win Bundesliga table

Leverkusen have played 19 matches so far this season and lay in 6th place in the Bundesliga league table.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 13 games against teams below in the table, having won 10, drawn 2 and lost 1 match. They have kept 5 clean sheets and have failed to score in 1 fixture. Leverkusen have outscored their opponents by 38 goals to 18 goals.

Home League Performance

Leverkusen have played 10 games at home winning 6, drawing 1 and losing 3 games. They have scored 20 goals, kept 5 clean sheets and conceded 10 goals at home.

St. Pauli are in 17th position in the Bundesliga on 14 points having played 20 matches so far this season.

Away League Performance

8 of those games have been losing matches. They have conceded 18 goals and kept 2 clean sheets. They have scored 9 goals in total and failed to score in 4 fixtures.

Performance against teams above them in the league

19 games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 12 games, drawn 5 and won 2. St. Pauli have conceded 33 goals, scored 16, failed to score in 8 fixtures and have kept 3 clean sheets.

BTTS yes BTTS no BTTS yes BTTS no Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Over 0.5 Under 0.5 Over 1.5 Under 1.5 Over 2.5 Under 2.5 Over 3.5 Under 3.5 Over 4.5 Under 4.5 Over 5.5 Under 5.5 For 0-0 Against Won Draw Lost	Leverkusen St. Pauli
Results by League Table

	TEAM	PLD	W	D	L	GD	PTS	HOME	AWAY	HOME	AWAY
1	Bayern	20	16	3	1	56	51	Mar 14	l 3-0A	Apr 11	l 3-1F
2	Dortmund	20	13	6	1	22	45	l 1-2A	Apr 11	d 3-3A	l 3-2A
3	Hoffenheim	20	13	3	4	20	42	l 1-2F	l 1-0A	l 0-3A	Feb 28
4	Stuttgart	20	12	3	5	11	39	l 1-4A	May 9	Feb 7	l 2-0A
5	RB Leipzig	20	11	3	6	11	36	May 2	w 1-3A	d 1-1A	May 9
6	Leverkusen	19	11	2	6	12	35	-	-	l 1-2A	Feb 14
7	Freiburg	20	7	6	7	-2	27	w 2-0F	Mar 7	Mar 21	l 2-1A
8	E.Frankfurt	20	7	6	7	-5	27	w 3-1F	w 1-3F	Mar 7	l 2-0A
9	Union Berlin	20	6	6	8	-8	24	w 2-0F	Feb 21	l 0-1A	Apr 4
10	Köln	20	6	5	9	-3	23	w 2-0F	Apr 25	Apr 18	d 1-1A
11	Augsburg	20	6	4	10	-13	22	Apr 18	l 2-0A	w 2-1A	l 2-1F
12	B. M'gladbach	20	5	6	9	-9	21	d 1-1F	Feb 7	l 0-4A	Mar 14
13	Hamburg	19	4	7	8	-10	19	May 16	Mar 4	d 0-00-0	w 0-2F
14	Wolfsburg	20	5	4	11	-14	19	Apr 4	w 1-3F	May 16	l 2-1A
15	W.Bremen	20	4	7	9	-16	19	w 1-0F	d 3-3F	Feb 22	l 1-0A
16	Mainz	20	4	6	10	-10	18	Feb 28	w 3-4F	May 2	d 0-00-0
17	St. Pauli	20	3	5	12	-16	14	Feb 14	w 1-2F	-	-
18	Heidenheim	20	3	4	13	-26	13	w 6-0F	Mar 21	w 2-1F	Apr 25

	UEFA Champions League
	UEFA Europa League
	UEFA Conference League Qualifiers
	Relegation Play Off
	Relegation

Win / draw / win form

Home

Overall

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

17 / 20

Conceded

11 / 20

Clean sheets

9 / 20

Failed to score

3 / 20

Won

Lost

HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Leverkusen	1 - 0	W.Bremen
Leverkusen	1 - 4	Stuttgart
Leverkusen	2 - 0	Köln
Leverkusen	1 - 2	Dortmund
Leverkusen	6 - 0	Heidenheim
Leverkusen	2 - 0	Freiburg
Leverkusen	2 - 0	Union Berlin
Leverkusen	1 - 1	B. M'gladbach
Leverkusen	3 - 1	E.Frankfurt
Leverkusen	1 - 2	Hoffenheim
Leverkusen	2 - 4	Dortmund
Leverkusen	2 - 0	Augsburg
Leverkusen	0 - 0	Union Berlin
Leverkusen	3 - 1	VfL Bochum
Leverkusen	0 - 2	W.Bremen
Leverkusen	0 - 0	Bayern
Leverkusen	3 - 1	Hoffenheim
Leverkusen	3 - 1	B. M'gladbach
Leverkusen	1 - 0	Mainz
Leverkusen	5 - 1	Freiburg

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

17 / 20

Conceded

15 / 20

Clean sheets

5 / 20

Failed to score

3 / 20

Won

Lost

OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
A	Leverkusen	3 - 1	E.Frankfurt
H	Leverkusen	1 - 0	W.Bremen
A	Leverkusen	0 - 1	Hoffenheim
H	Leverkusen	1 - 4	Stuttgart
A	Leverkusen	3 - 1	RB Leipzig
H	Leverkusen	2 - 0	Köln
A	Leverkusen	0 - 2	Augsburg
H	Leverkusen	1 - 2	Dortmund
A	Leverkusen	3 - 1	Wolfsburg
H	Leverkusen	6 - 0	Heidenheim
A	Leverkusen	0 - 3	Bayern
H	Leverkusen	2 - 0	Freiburg
A	Leverkusen	4 - 3	Mainz
H	Leverkusen	2 - 0	Union Berlin
A	Leverkusen	2 - 1	St. Pauli
H	Leverkusen	1 - 1	B. M'gladbach
H	Leverkusen	3 - 1	E.Frankfurt
A	Leverkusen	3 - 3	W.Bremen
H	Leverkusen	1 - 2	Hoffenheim
A	Leverkusen	2 - 2	Mainz

Away

Overall

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

12 / 20

Conceded

16 / 20

Clean sheets

4 / 20

Failed to score

8 / 20

Draw

Lost

AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Augsburg	2 - 1	St. Pauli
Dortmund	3 - 2	St. Pauli
Wolfsburg	2 - 1	St. Pauli
Mainz	0 - 0	St. Pauli
Köln	1 - 1	St. Pauli
Bayern	3 - 1	St. Pauli
Freiburg	2 - 1	St. Pauli
E.Frankfurt	2 - 0	St. Pauli
W.Bremen	1 - 0	St. Pauli
Stuttgart	2 - 0	St. Pauli
Hamburg	0 - 2	St. Pauli
E.Frankfurt	2 - 2	St. Pauli
W.Bremen	0 - 0	St. Pauli
Holstein	1 - 2	St. Pauli
Bayern	3 - 2	St. Pauli
Wolfsburg	1 - 1	St. Pauli
Mainz	2 - 0	St. Pauli
RB Leipzig	2 - 0	St. Pauli
Heidenheim	0 - 2	St. Pauli
VfL Bochum	1 - 0	St. Pauli

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

12 / 20

Conceded

17 / 20

Clean sheets

3 / 20

Failed to score

8 / 20

Draw

Lost

OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
A	St. Pauli	1 - 2	Augsburg
H	St. Pauli	1 - 1	RB Leipzig
H	St. Pauli	0 - 0	Hamburg
A	St. Pauli	2 - 3	Dortmund
A	St. Pauli	1 - 2	Wolfsburg
A	St. Pauli	0 - 0	Mainz
H	St. Pauli	2 - 1	Heidenheim
A	St. Pauli	1 - 1	Köln
A	St. Pauli	1 - 3	Bayern
H	St. Pauli	0 - 1	Union Berlin
A	St. Pauli	1 - 2	Freiburg
H	St. Pauli	0 - 4	B. M'gladbach
A	St. Pauli	0 - 2	E.Frankfurt
H	St. Pauli	0 - 3	Hoffenheim
A	St. Pauli	0 - 1	W.Bremen
H	St. Pauli	1 - 2	Leverkusen
A	St. Pauli	0 - 2	Stuttgart
H	St. Pauli	2 - 1	Augsburg
A	St. Pauli	2 - 0	Hamburg
H	St. Pauli	3 - 3	Dortmund

Goal Statistics

A PG of 2.0 is decent for Bayer Leverkusen in their clash with FC St. Pauli, as is their run of scoring 1 goal or more in 31 consecutive Bundesliga matches.

	Leverkusen 3rd	St. Pauli 16th
	Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction	2.0 goals	0.9 goals
	Scoring probability
Scoring probability	0 13% 1 27% 2 27% 3 18% 4+ 14% There is a 60% probability that Leverkusen will score 2 or more goals in this match	0 41% 1 37% 2 16% 3 4+ There is a 78% probability of St. Pauli scoring 1 goal or less

	20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games	-4 Leverkusen’s goalscoring at home has been inline with predictions	-22 St. Pauli have scored 22% fewer goals when away than predicted
	2.0 average goals scored	0.9 average goals scored
	1.0 conceded	1.5 conceded

Attack defence ratings
Bundesliga - 2025/2025 season

44%

better

B04

STP

view stats

Games scored	16		12
Failed to score	3		8
Scored first	13		4
Goals scored	38		18
Avg. goals scored	2		0.9
Avg. shots per game	10		7
Avg. shots per goal	5		8
Conversion rate for	19		13
Avg. XG for	1.9		0.9
KickOff rating		+44%

25%

better

B04

STP

view stats

Games conceded	14		17
Clean sheets	5		3
Conceded first	6		14
Goals conceded	26		34
Avg. goals conceded	1.4		1.7
Avg. shots/game conceded	10		8
Avg. shots/goal conceded	7		5
Conversion rate against	14%		20%
Avg. XG against	1.5		1.6
KickOff rating		+25%

Leverkusen v St. Pauli Bundesliga lLine ups will show here when available.

Leverkusen Bundesliga squad statistics 2025

Overall

Attack

Defence

Most starts	Most goals	Most assists	Most cards
18	6	5	6
A García	P Schick	A Grimaldo	J Quansah

Players	Appserances	goals	Assists	cards
A García MID	19	1	4	3 -
R Andrich MID	18	1		2 1
M Flekken GLK	17			1 -
L Badé DEF	17			5 -
E Poku FWD	17	4	3	-
J Quansah DEF	16	1		6 -
J Hofmann MID	16	2	1	2 -
C. Kofane FWD	16	3	1	3 -
A Grimaldo DEF	15	5	5	4 -
E Tapsoba DEF	15	3	2	3 -
M Tillman MID	15	4	1	1 -
P Schick FWD	15	6	2	-
I Maza MID	14	2	2	1 -
Arthur DEF	12	1	3	2 -
E Fernández MID	10			2 1
N Tella FWD	10		2	2 -
M Terrier FWD	10	3		-
J Belocian DEF	8			-
L Vázquez DEF	7	1	1	2 -
E Seghir FWD	7			2 -
C Echeverri MID	6			-
A. Tape-Kobrissa DEF	5			1 -
E Palacios MID	4			-
J Blaswich GLK	3			-
A. Sarco FWD	3			-

Most goals	Most shots on target	Most assists	Most big chances
6	12	5	8
P Schick	A Grimaldo	A Grimaldo	A Grimaldo

Players	goals	shots on	Assists	big chances
P Schick FWD	6	11	2	3
A Grimaldo DEF	5	12	5	8
E Poku FWD	4	7	3	3
M Tillman MID	4	5	1	6
C. Kofane FWD	3	11	1
E Tapsoba DEF	3	5	2	2
M Terrier FWD	3	4		2
J Hofmann MID	2	6	1	4
I Maza MID	2	7	2	3
A García MID	1	3	4	7
R Andrich MID	1	2
J Quansah DEF	1	4		1
Arthur DEF	1	2	3	2
L Vázquez DEF	1	1	1	2
M Flekken GLK				1
L Badé DEF		3
E Fernández MID		1		1
N Tella FWD		2	2	3
E Seghir FWD		1		2
A. Tape-Kobrissa DEF		1

Most passes	Most tackles	Most duels won
1854	31	70
A García	R Andrich	L Badé

Players	passes	tackles	duels won
A García MID	1854	13	30
E Tapsoba DEF	1305	17	52
L Badé DEF	1124	27	70
R Andrich MID	1026	31	63
A Grimaldo DEF	952	22	63
J Quansah DEF	913	15	63
M Flekken GLK	560		10
M Tillman MID	523	25	70
I Maza MID	478	18	58
E Fernández MID	453	18	40
J Hofmann MID	430	14	31
E Poku FWD	350	8	35
Arthur DEF	302	16	49
P Schick FWD	230	4	52
J Belocian DEF	201	5	11
M Terrier FWD	160	8	25
L Vázquez DEF	118	6	17
E Seghir FWD	112	3	17
N Tella FWD	110	6	27
C. Kofane FWD	107	5	35
E Palacios MID	84	1	4
J Blaswich GLK	74		1
C Echeverri MID	73	1	4
A. Tape-Kobrissa DEF	61	1	14
A. Sarco FWD	18	1	5

St. Pauli Bundesliga squad statistics 2025

Overall

Attack

Defence

Most starts	Most goals	Most assists	Most cards
20	4	3	5
N Vasilj	A Hountondji	J Fujita	A Dzwigala

Players	Appserances	goals	Assists	cards
N Vasilj GLK	20			-
J Fujita MID	20		3	3 -
M Lage FWD	20		2	2 -
E Smith DEF	19	2	2	3 1
J Sands MID	19	1		4 -
L. Oppie DEF	18	1		-
H Wahl DEF	18	1		-
A Pyrka DEF	17			3 -
D Sinani MID	17	3	2	2 -
M Kaars FWD	17	3		-
K Mets DEF	14			1 -
C Metcalfe MID	14		1	-
A. Ceesay FWD	13			2 -
A Dzwigala DEF	12	1	1	5 -
A Hountondji FWD	12	4		1 -
J Irvine MID	11			-
M Saliakas DEF	10		1	2 -
L Ritzka DEF	10			1 -
R Jade-Jones FWD	8	2		1 -
O Afolayan FWD	7			1 -

Most goals	Most shots on target	Most assists	Most big chances
4	12	3	5
A Hountondji	M Lage	J Fujita	J Fujita

Players	goals	shots on	Assists	big chances
A Hountondji FWD	4	7
D Sinani MID	3	9	2	4
M Kaars FWD	3	7		1
E Smith DEF	2	5	2
R Jade-Jones FWD	2	6		1
J Sands MID	1	4		2
L. Oppie DEF	1	3		2
H Wahl DEF	1	3
A Dzwigala DEF	1	1	1
J Fujita MID		2	3	5
M Lage FWD		12	2	3
A Pyrka DEF		2		2
C Metcalfe MID		2	1	2
A. Ceesay FWD		1
J Irvine MID		2		1
M Saliakas DEF		2	1
O Afolayan FWD		2

Most passes	Most tackles	Most duels won
1132	45	121
E Smith	J Fujita	J Sands

Players	passes	tackles	duels won
E Smith DEF	1132	25	73
H Wahl DEF	1020	31	73
J Fujita MID	827	45	87
K Mets DEF	763	19	52
J Sands MID	749	37	121
N Vasilj GLK	682	1	9
L. Oppie DEF	552	21	42
D Sinani MID	547	15	42
A Pyrka DEF	506	21	47
A Dzwigala DEF	412	32	51
M Lage FWD	361	28	94
M Saliakas DEF	352	17	30
L Ritzka DEF	214	19	27
J Irvine MID	213	9	42
M Kaars FWD	204	3	18
C Metcalfe MID	121	9	17
A Hountondji FWD	91	6	23
O Afolayan FWD	64	4	15
R Jade-Jones FWD	53	3	24
A. Ceesay FWD	44	1	16