1. FSV Mainz 05's team badge Sport-Club Freiburg's team badge

1. FSV Mainz 05 v Sport-Club Freiburg : Bundesliga match betting preview, prediction and odds

Sun 12th Apr, 18:30 BST, Mewa Arena, Mainz

1. FSV Mainz 05 and their boss Urs Fischer will be looking to get one over on Julian Schuster and his Sport-Club Freiburg side on Sunday evening, as the pair clash at the Mewa Arena in the Bundesliga. All the odds are delivered directly from the UK's leading bookmakers, while predictions are calculated from statistics over a 20-game period. Particular attention is given to Bundesliga match data, including head to head (H2H) records. Click the tabs below to explore it all.


Want to know who’s consistently beating the odds? Check out the Top Bundesliga Tipsters and see the most profitable experts for this season!

If you’re keen on betting across various leagues and markets, our Live Bets page showcases active accumulator bets and real-time tips.

Best Tip: Over 1.5 goals

The stats suggest there's no obvious winner in this fixture, but there's plenty of reasons to believe that Mainz and Freiburg will find the net twice at least between them. Goals have flowed freely when they've gone head-to-head historically, and neither Urs Fischer or Julian Schuster has served up too many 0-0s of late either. The bookies predict over 1.5 goals too, with best odds of 1.29 equating to roughly a 77% probability.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think Mainz are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 53% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 2.10.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Mainz
53%
21/20
2%
11/10
Draw
24%
21/1012/5
Freiburg
23%
3/1
5%
5/2
Draw 1-1
11%
5/15/1
Mainz 1-0
11%
15/2
6%
13/2
Mainz 2-1
10%
8/17/1
Mainz 2-0
9%
9/1
9%
8/1
Freiburg 1-0
7%
11/19/1
5%
Draw 0-0
6%
9/1
8%
8/1
Freiburg 2-1
6%
12/110/1
Mainz 3-1
6%
16/112/1
Mainz 3-0
5%
18/114/1
Draw 2-2
5%
11/110/1
Freiburg 2-0
3%
18/114/1
Mainz 3-2
3%
25/1
13%
18/1
Mainz 4-1
2%
33/125/1
Mainz 4-0
2%
40/125/1
Freiburg 3-1
2%
28/120/1
Over 2.5 Goals
53%
10/11
6%
17/20
Under 2.5 Goals
47%
10/11
5%
17/20
Home 1st Goal
54%
8/118/11
Away 1st Goal
42%
13/1011/8
No 1st Goal
4%
9/1
8%
8/1
BTTS - Yes
54%
7/10
5%
8/11
BTTS - No
46%
21/20
5%
1/1
BTTS - Home Win
25%
10/3
8%
29/10
BTTS - Draw
18%
3/116/5
BTTS - Away Win
12%
6/1
8%
5/1
Home/draw
77%
2/9
2%
2/7
Away/draw
47%
8/11
2%
8/11
Home/away
76%
4/113/10
Over 1.5 Goals
77%
2/7
3%
2/7
Under 1.5 Goals
23%
11/4
6%
5/2
Over 3.5 Goals
31%
11/5
7%
2/1
Under 3.5 Goals
69%
4/11
3%
7/20
Over 4.5 Goals
15%
5/1
9%
19/4
Under 4.5 Goals
85%
1/8
1%
1/8
Over 5.5 Goals
6%
12/1
18%
10/1
Under 5.5 Goals
94%
1/25
1%
1/33
Over 0.5 Goals
94%
1/16
1%
1/20
Under 0.5 Goals
6%
9/1
8%
8/1
Home DNB
70%
4/910/21
Away DNB
40%
13/86/4
2%
Mainz win to nil
28%
11/4-
Freiburg win to nil
12%
6/1-
Mainz / Mainz
25%
9/411/5
Mainz / Freiburg
3%
33/125/1
13%
Mainz / Draw
6%
12/111/1
Draw / Mainz
16%
4/117/4
5%
Draw / Freiburg
10%
7/113/2
Draw / Draw
16%
9/219/5
4%
Freiburg / Mainz
4%
22/118/1
Freiburg / Freiburg
15%
9/29/2
Freiburg / Draw
6%
14/111/1
Match Predictor Pro
Your ultimate betting assistant
Try it now
Win / draw / win Bundesliga table

Mainz have played 27 matches so far this season and are in 11th position in the league.

Performance against teams above them in the league

16 of those games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 7 games, drawn 5 and won 4. Mainz have conceded 29 goals, scored 22, failed to score in 5 matches and kept 1 clean sheet.

Home league performance

Mainz have played 14 games at home, winning 4, drawing 5 and losing 5 fixtures. They have scored 17 goals, conceded 17 goals, kept 2 clean sheets and failed to score 5 times in home league games.

Freiburg lay in 8th place on 37 points in the Bundesliga league table having played 27 matches.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 16 games against teams below them in the table, winning 9, drawing 3 and losing 4 games. They have scored 27 goals and kept 5 clean sheets against lower placed opposition. Freiburg have conceded 20 goals and have failed to score in 3 matches.

Away league performance

Freiburg have played 14 away games, winning 3, drawing 3 and losing 8 games. They have scored an average of 1.1 goals per away game and conceded an average 2 goals per away game.

Won
Draw
Lost
Mainz
Freiburg
Results by League Table
TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY HOME AWAY
1
Bayern2722417270 
Apr 25
d
 
2-2A
Apr 4
l
 
6-2F
2
Dortmund2718723061 
l
 
0-2A
l
 
4-0A
d
 
1-1A
Apr 25
3
Stuttgart2716562053 
d
 
2-2F
l
 
2-1F
w
 
3-1A
l
 
1-0A
4
RB Leipzig2715571850 
l
 
0-1A
w
 
1-2A
May 16
l
 
2-0A
5
Hoffenheim2715571550 
d
 
1-1A
Apr 4
d
 
1-1F
l
 
3-0A
6
Leverkusen2713771646 
l
 
3-4A
d
 
1-1F
d
 
3-3F
l
 
2-0A
7
E.Frankfurt271089-138 
w
 
2-1F
l
 
1-0A
d
 
2-2F
l
 
2-0A
8
Freiburg2710710-537 
Apr 12
l
 
4-0A
-
-
9
Union Berlin278712-1531 
May 9
d
 
2-2F
l
 
0-1A
d
 
0-00-0
10
Augsburg279414-1731 
w
 
2-0F
w
 
1-4F
l
 
1-3A
d
 
2-2A
11
Mainz277911-930 
-
-
w
 
4-0F
Apr 12
12
Hamburg277911-930 
d
 
1-1F
l
 
4-0A
w
 
2-1A
May 9
13
B. M'gladbach277812-1329 
l
 
0-1A
Apr 19
w
 
2-1F
d
 
0-00-0
14
W.Bremen277713-1728 
d
 
1-1F
w
 
0-2F
w
 
1-0F
w
 
0-3F
15
Köln276813-926 
l
 
0-1A
l
 
2-1F
w
 
2-1A
l
 
4-1A
16
St. Pauli276615-2024 
d
 
0-00-0
May 2
w
 
2-1F
w
 
1-2A
17
Wolfsburg275616-2221 
w
 
3-1A
d
 
1-1A
May 2
w
 
3-4F
18
Heidenheim273618-3415 
w
 
2-1F
May 16
Apr 19
l
 
2-1F
Win / draw / win form
7
Mainz have not lost in 7 consecutive home league games
Mainz 11TH
20 league games
Home
7
Overall
Goals: Scored
27
Conceded
25
Games: Scored
15 / 20
Conceded
17 / 20
Clean sheets
3 / 20
Failed to score
5 / 20
Won
5
Draw
10
Lost
5
HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Mainz2 - 1E.Frankfurt
Mainz2 - 2Stuttgart
Mainz1 - 1Hamburg
Mainz2 - 0Augsburg
Mainz3 - 1Wolfsburg
Mainz2 - 1Heidenheim
Mainz0 - 0St. Pauli
Mainz0 - 1B. M'gladbach
Mainz1 - 1Hoffenheim
Mainz1 - 1W.Bremen
Mainz3 - 4Leverkusen
Mainz0 - 2Dortmund
Mainz0 - 1RB Leipzig
Mainz0 - 1Köln
Mainz2 - 2Leverkusen
Mainz1 - 1E.Frankfurt
Mainz2 - 2Wolfsburg
Mainz1 - 1Holstein
Mainz2 - 2Freiburg
Mainz2 - 0St. Pauli
Goals: Scored
25
Conceded
28
Games: Scored
15 / 20
Conceded
17 / 20
Clean sheets
3 / 20
Failed to score
5 / 20
Won
6
Draw
8
Lost
6
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
HMainz2 - 1E.Frankfurt
AMainz2 - 0W.Bremen
HMainz2 - 2Stuttgart
AMainz1 - 1Leverkusen
HMainz1 - 1Hamburg
AMainz0 - 4Dortmund
HMainz2 - 0Augsburg
AMainz2 - 1RB Leipzig
HMainz3 - 1Wolfsburg
AMainz1 - 2Köln
HMainz2 - 1Heidenheim
AMainz2 - 2Union Berlin
HMainz0 - 0St. Pauli
AMainz2 - 2Bayern
HMainz0 - 1B. M'gladbach
AMainz0 - 4Freiburg
HMainz1 - 1Hoffenheim
AMainz0 - 1E.Frankfurt
HMainz1 - 1W.Bremen
AMainz1 - 2Stuttgart
Freiburg 8TH
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
23
Conceded
32
Games: Scored
12 / 20
Conceded
14 / 20
Clean sheets
6 / 20
Failed to score
8 / 20
Won
7
Draw
5
Lost
8
AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
St. Pauli1 - 2Freiburg
E.Frankfurt2 - 0Freiburg
Hoffenheim3 - 0Freiburg
Stuttgart1 - 0Freiburg
Augsburg2 - 2Freiburg
RB Leipzig2 - 0Freiburg
Wolfsburg3 - 4Freiburg
Heidenheim2 - 1Freiburg
Bayern6 - 2Freiburg
Union Berlin0 - 0Freiburg
Leverkusen2 - 0Freiburg
B. M'gladbach0 - 0Freiburg
W.Bremen0 - 3Freiburg
Köln4 - 1Freiburg
Holstein1 - 2Freiburg
Wolfsburg0 - 1Freiburg
B. M'gladbach1 - 2Freiburg
Mainz2 - 2Freiburg
Augsburg0 - 0Freiburg
St. Pauli0 - 1Freiburg
Goals: Scored
28
Conceded
33
Games: Scored
13 / 20
Conceded
17 / 20
Clean sheets
3 / 20
Failed to score
7 / 20
Won
8
D
4
Lost
8
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
AFreiburg2 - 1St. Pauli
HFreiburg0 - 1Union Berlin
HFreiburg3 - 3Leverkusen
AFreiburg0 - 2E.Frankfurt
HFreiburg2 - 1B. M'gladbach
AFreiburg0 - 3Hoffenheim
HFreiburg1 - 0W.Bremen
AFreiburg0 - 1Stuttgart
HFreiburg2 - 1Köln
AFreiburg2 - 2Augsburg
AFreiburg0 - 2RB Leipzig
HFreiburg2 - 1Hamburg
AFreiburg4 - 3Wolfsburg
HFreiburg1 - 1Dortmund
AFreiburg1 - 2Heidenheim
HFreiburg4 - 0Mainz
AFreiburg2 - 6Bayern
HFreiburg2 - 1St. Pauli
AFreiburg0 - 0Union Berlin
AFreiburg0 - 2Leverkusen
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
9
Freiburg have not lost to Mainz in 9 consecutive league meetings
League games at Mainz since 2013
Mainz
Freiburg
Goals: Scored
20
10
Games: Scored
9 / 12
6 / 12
Clean sheets
6 / 12
3 / 12
M05
5
D
5
SCF
2
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Mainz
Draw2 - 2Draw
0 - 1Freiburg
Draw1 - 1Draw
Draw0 - 0Draw
Mainz1 - 0
1 - 2Freiburg
Mainz5 - 0
Mainz2 - 0
Mainz4 - 2
Draw2 - 2Draw
Mainz2 - 0
Draw0 - 0Draw
League games at Freiburg since 2012
Freiburg
Mainz
Goals: Scored
20
16
Games: Scored
12 / 13
9 / 13
Clean sheets
4 / 13
1 / 13
M05
4
D
4
SCF
5
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Freiburg
Freiburg4 - 0
Draw0 - 0Draw
Draw1 - 1Draw
Freiburg2 - 1
Draw1 - 1Draw
1 - 3Mainz
Freiburg3 - 0
1 - 3Mainz
Freiburg2 - 1
Freiburg1 - 0
2 - 3Mainz
1 - 2Mainz
Draw1 - 1Draw
Goal Statistics

1. FSV Mainz 05 have been steady in attack of late, scoring in 5 consecutive Bundesliga outings. Their PG of 1.7 against Sport-Club Freiburg on Sunday suggests they're likely to extend that run.

1. FSV Mainz 05's defensive record is to be admired, U. Fischer's men having conceded 1 or less in 9 consecutive Bundesliga matches. An average PG rating of 1.1 for Sport-Club Freiburg makes sense in this context.

Mainz 11th Freiburg 8th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.7
goals
1.1
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
18%
1
31%
2
27%
3
15%
4+
10%
There is a 82% probability that Mainz will score 1 or more goals
0
34%
1
37%
2
20%
3
4+
There is a 71% probability that Freiburg will score no more than 1 goal
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
-13
Mainz have scored 13% fewer goals at home than predicted
-7
Freiburg’s goalscoring when away has been inline with predictions
1.4
average goals scored
1.2
average goals scored
1.3
conceded
1.6
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Bundesliga - 2025/2025 season
Mainz
PG (predicted goals)
Freiburg
1.7
1.1
Attack rating
M05
SCF
8%
better
view stats
Games scored18
19
Failed to score9
8
Scored first12
11
Goals scored33
39
Avg. goals scored1.2
1.4
Avg. shots per game8
9
Avg. shots per goal7
6
Conversion rate for15
16
Avg. XG for1.5
1.6
KickOff rating
+8%
Defence rating
M05
SCF
4%
better
view stats
Games conceded24
22
Clean sheets3
5
Conceded first14
14
Goals conceded42
44
Avg. goals conceded1.6
1.6
Avg. shots/game conceded11
10
Avg. shots/goal conceded7
6
Conversion rate against15%
17%
Avg. XG against1.7
1.5
KickOff rating
+4%

Mainz v Freiburg Bundesliga lLine ups will show here when available.

Mainz Bundesliga squad statistics 2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
271039
K SanoN AmiriD CostaD Kohr
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
D Costa DEF2723
3
-
K Sano MID2711
1
-
J Lee MID2542
3
-
P Nebel MID2341
2
2
P Mwene DEF221
4
-
D Kohr DEF221
7
2
S Widmer  DEF212
5
-
N Amiri MID20102
6
-
D Hoof DEF1821
4
-
N Weiper FWD18
1
-
L Maloney MID17
1
-
N Veratschnig MID171
2
-
A Sieb FWD162
1
-
D Batz GLK15
1
-
B Hollerbach FWD1413
-
A Hanche-Olsen  DEF131
3
-
A Nordin FWD13
-
R Zentner GLK9
2
1
S Kawasaki MID8
1
-
W Bøving FWD71
1
-
L Rieß GLK4
-
A Caci DEF4
1
-
M Leitsch  DEF3
-
B Bobzien FWD1
-
Freiburg Bundesliga squad statistics 2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
27836
N AtuboluI MatanovicM GinterJ. Manzambi
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
N Atubolu GLK27
-
V Grifo MID2771
-
M Eggestein MID272
3
-
M Ginter DEF2623
1
-
L Höler FWD2611
1
-
D Scherhant  FWD2441
1
-
I Matanovic FWD2481
-
P Treu DEF2312
2
-
Y Suzuki FWD2243
3
-
J. Manzambi MID2132
4
2
J Beste FWD2113
5
-
P Osterhage MID201
4
-
C Günter DEF193
2
-
J Makengo DEF16
1
-
L Kübler DEF1621
2
-
P Lienhart DEF131
3
1
M Rosenfelder DEF12
-
B. Ogbus DEF11
-
A Jung DEF10
2
-
C Adamu FWD911
1
-
E Dinkçi FWD8
1
-
N Höfler MID7
-
C. Irié FWD7
3
-