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VfB Stuttgart v Hamburger SV : Bundesliga match betting preview, prediction and odds

Sun 12th Apr, 16:30 BST, Mercedes-Benz Arena, Stuttgart

We’ve Bundesliga action to enjoy on Sunday afternoon, as Sebastian Hoeneß and his VfB Stuttgart side host Merlin Polzin’s Hamburger SV at the Mercedes-Benz Arena. Stats drive the algorithmic predictions below for all the markets, and flipping between them shows bespoke analysis, including head-to-head, form and unique league tables. Odds are also provided. Click on the tabs below to explore.


Want to know who’s consistently beating the odds? Check out the Top Bundesliga Tipsters and see the most profitable experts for this season!

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Best Tip: Over 1.5 goals

The statistics suggest we don't have an obvious winner in this fixture, but there's plenty of reasons to believe that Stuttgart and Hamburg will find the net twice at least between them. We've seen goals when they've gone head-to-head historically, and neither Sebastian Hoeneß or Merlin Polzin has subjected their supporters to too many 0-0s of late either. The bookmakers are predicting over 1.5 goals too, with odds of 1.14 equating to roughly a 81% probability.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think Stuttgart are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 57% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 1.50.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Stuttgart
57%
4/9
1%
1/2
Draw
22%
7/218/5
4%
Hamburg
21%
11/2
4%
19/4
5%
Draw 1-1
10%
8/17/1
6%
Stuttgart 2-1
10%
7/1
6%
13/2
Stuttgart 1-0
9%
17/2
5%
15/2
Stuttgart 2-0
9%
15/2
6%
7/1
Stuttgart 3-1
6%
10/117/2
Stuttgart 3-0
6%
10/19/1
Hamburg 2-1
6%
18/114/1
Draw 2-2
5%
14/111/1
Hamburg 1-0
5%
20/114/1
Draw 0-0
5%
18/1
10%
14/1
Stuttgart 3-2
4%
18/114/1
Stuttgart 4-1
3%
18/1
12%
14/1
Stuttgart 4-0
3%
18/114/1
Hamburg 2-0
3%
33/122/1
Hamburg 3-1
2%
40/125/1
Over 2.5 Goals
59%
1/21/2
1%
Under 2.5 Goals
41%
13/829/20
2%
Home 1st Goal
54%
4/92/5
Away 1st Goal
43%
7/42/1
No 1st Goal
3%
18/1
10%
12/1
13%
BTTS - Yes
58%
4/6
3%
13/20
BTTS - No
42%
11/10
5%
23/20
BTTS - Home Win
29%
7/4
5%
17/10
2%
BTTS - Draw
17%
9/24/1
5%
BTTS - Away Win
12%
9/1
5%
7/1
Home/draw
79%
1/9
2%
2/15
1%
Away/draw
43%
13/86/4
Home/away
78%
2/111/5
2%
Over 1.5 Goals
81%
1/7
3%
2/13
Under 1.5 Goals
19%
9/2
9%
4/1
Over 3.5 Goals
37%
6/5
10%
6/5
Under 3.5 Goals
63%
4/6
6%
8/13
Over 4.5 Goals
20%
3/1
7%
27/10
Under 4.5 Goals
80%
1/4
3%
1/4
Over 5.5 Goals
9%
6/1
8%
11/2
Under 5.5 Goals
91%
1/10
1%
1/11
Over 0.5 Goals
95%
1/40
1%
1/66
1%
Under 0.5 Goals
5%
16/1
19%
14/1
Home DNB
72%
1/62/11
2%
Away DNB
36%
4/110/3
3%
Stuttgart win to nil
28%
7/4-
Hamburg win to nil
9%
12/1-
Stuttgart / Stuttgart
38%
11/1023/20
2%
Stuttgart / Hamburg
2%
40/1
21%
28/1
Stuttgart / Draw
6%
14/112/1
Draw / Stuttgart
18%
10/3
4%
7/2
2%
Draw / Hamburg
6%
12/111/1
Draw / Draw
11%
13/2
6%
6/1
Hamburg / Stuttgart
5%
16/116/1
Hamburg / Hamburg
9%
9/17/1
7%
Hamburg / Draw
5%
16/114/1
15%
Match Predictor Pro
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Win / draw / win Bundesliga table

Stuttgart have played 27 matches so far this season and lay in 3rd place in the Bundesliga league table.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 25 games against teams below in the table, having won 16, drawn 4 and lost 5 matches. They have kept 10 clean sheets and have failed to score in 1 fixture. Stuttgart have outscored their opponents by 56 goals to 31 goals.

Home League Performance

Stuttgart have played 13 games at home winning 10, drawing 2 and losing 1 game. They have scored 22 goals, kept 7 clean sheets and conceded 12 goals at home.

Hamburg are in 12th position in the Bundesliga on 30 points having played 27 matches so far this season.

Away League Performance

7 of those games have been losing matches. They have conceded 23 goals and kept 4 clean sheets. They have scored 11 goals in total and failed to score in 5 fixtures.

Performance against teams above them in the league

16 games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 8 games, drawn 5 and won 3. Hamburg have conceded 28 goals, scored 20, failed to score in 4 fixtures and have kept 2 clean sheets.

Won
Draw
Lost
Stuttgart
Hamburg
Results by League Table
TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY HOME AWAY
1
Bayern2722417270 
l
 
0-5A
Apr 19
d
 
2-2F
l
 
5-0A
2
Dortmund2718723061 
Apr 4
d
 
3-3A
d
 
1-1A
l
 
3-2F
3
Stuttgart2716562053 
-
-
w
 
2-1F
Apr 12
4
RB Leipzig2715571850 
w
 
1-0F
l
 
3-1A
l
 
1-2F
l
 
2-1A
5
Hoffenheim2715571550 
d
 
0-00-0
May 2
Apr 25
l
 
4-1A
6
Leverkusen2713771646 
May 9
w
 
1-4F
l
 
0-1A
May 16
7
E.Frankfurt271089-138 
w
 
3-2A
May 16
d
 
1-1F
May 2
8
Freiburg2710710-537 
w
 
1-0F
l
 
3-1F
May 9
l
 
2-1F
9
Union Berlin278712-1531 
d
 
1-1F
l
 
2-1A
w
 
3-2A
d
 
0-00-0
10
Augsburg279414-1731 
w
 
3-2A
w
 
2-5F
Apr 4
l
 
1-0A
11
Mainz277911-930 
w
 
2-1A
d
 
2-2A
w
 
4-0F
d
 
1-1A
12
Hamburg277911-930 
Apr 12
l
 
2-1A
-
-
13
B. M'gladbach277812-1329 
w
 
1-0F
w
 
0-3F
d
 
0-00-0
d
 
0-00-0
14
W.Bremen277713-1728 
Apr 25
w
 
0-4F
w
 
3-2A
Apr 18
15
Köln276813-926 
w
 
3-1F
w
 
1-2A
d
 
1-1F
l
 
4-1A
16
St. Pauli276615-2024 
w
 
2-0F
l
 
2-1A
l
 
0-2A
d
 
0-00-0
17
Wolfsburg275616-2221 
w
 
4-0F
w
 
0-3F
l
 
0-1A
w
 
1-2A
18
Heidenheim273618-3415 
w
 
1-0F
d
 
3-3F
w
 
2-1F
w
 
0-2F
Win / draw / win form
Stuttgart 3RD
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
33
Conceded
26
Games: Scored
17 / 20
Conceded
12 / 20
Clean sheets
8 / 20
Failed to score
3 / 20
Won
11
D
2
Lost
7
HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Stuttgart1 - 0RB Leipzig
Stuttgart4 - 0Wolfsburg
Stuttgart3 - 1Köln
Stuttgart1 - 0Freiburg
Stuttgart1 - 1Union Berlin
Stuttgart3 - 2E.Frankfurt
Stuttgart0 - 0Hoffenheim
Stuttgart0 - 5Bayern
Stuttgart3 - 2Augsburg
Stuttgart2 - 1Mainz
Stuttgart1 - 0Heidenheim
Stuttgart2 - 0St. Pauli
Stuttgart1 - 0B. M'gladbach
Stuttgart4 - 0Augsburg
Stuttgart0 - 1Heidenheim
Stuttgart1 - 2W.Bremen
Stuttgart3 - 4Leverkusen
Stuttgart1 - 3Bayern
Stuttgart1 - 2Wolfsburg
Stuttgart1 - 2B. M'gladbach
Goals: Scored
45
Conceded
30
Games: Scored
18 / 20
Conceded
14 / 20
Clean sheets
6 / 20
Failed to score
2 / 20
Won
11
Draw
5
L
4
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
AStuttgart5 - 2Augsburg
HStuttgart1 - 0RB Leipzig
AStuttgart2 - 2Mainz
HStuttgart4 - 0Wolfsburg
AStuttgart3 - 3Heidenheim
HStuttgart3 - 1Köln
AStuttgart1 - 2St. Pauli
HStuttgart1 - 0Freiburg
AStuttgart3 - 0B. M'gladbach
HStuttgart1 - 1Union Berlin
HStuttgart3 - 2E.Frankfurt
AStuttgart4 - 1Leverkusen
HStuttgart0 - 0Hoffenheim
AStuttgart4 - 0W.Bremen
HStuttgart0 - 5Bayern
AStuttgart1 - 2Hamburg
AStuttgart3 - 3Dortmund
HStuttgart3 - 2Augsburg
AStuttgart1 - 3RB Leipzig
HStuttgart2 - 1Mainz
Hamburg 12TH
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
26
Conceded
31
Games: Scored
14 / 20
Conceded
13 / 20
Clean sheets
7 / 20
Failed to score
6 / 20
Won
5
Draw
6
Lost
9
AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Dortmund3 - 2Hamburg
Wolfsburg1 - 2Hamburg
Mainz1 - 1Hamburg
Heidenheim0 - 2Hamburg
St. Pauli0 - 0Hamburg
Freiburg2 - 1Hamburg
Hoffenheim4 - 1Hamburg
Augsburg1 - 0Hamburg
Köln4 - 1Hamburg
RB Leipzig2 - 1Hamburg
Union Berlin0 - 0Hamburg
Bayern5 - 0Hamburg
B. M'gladbach0 - 0Hamburg
Greuther3 - 2Hamburg
Darmstadt0 - 4Hamburg
Schalke2 - 2Hamburg
Nurnberg0 - 3Hamburg
Magdeburg0 - 3Hamburg
Paderborn2 - 0Hamburg
Regensburg1 - 1Hamburg
Goals: Scored
24
Conceded
30
Games: Scored
15 / 20
Conceded
17 / 20
Clean sheets
3 / 20
Failed to score
5 / 20
Won
5
Draw
7
Lost
8
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
AHamburg2 - 3Dortmund
HHamburg1 - 1Köln
AHamburg2 - 1Wolfsburg
HHamburg0 - 1Leverkusen
HHamburg1 - 2RB Leipzig
AHamburg1 - 1Mainz
HHamburg3 - 2Union Berlin
AHamburg2 - 0Heidenheim
HHamburg2 - 2Bayern
AHamburg0 - 0St. Pauli
HHamburg0 - 0B. M'gladbach
AHamburg1 - 2Freiburg
HHamburg1 - 1E.Frankfurt
AHamburg1 - 4Hoffenheim
HHamburg3 - 2W.Bremen
HHamburg2 - 1Stuttgart
AHamburg0 - 1Augsburg
HHamburg1 - 1Dortmund
AHamburg1 - 4Köln
HHamburg0 - 1Wolfsburg
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
5
Stuttgart have not lost to Hamburg in 5 consecutive home league meetings
League games at Stuttgart since 2013
Stuttgart
Hamburg
Goals: Scored
9
6
Games: Scored
5 / 6
5 / 6
Clean sheets
1 / 6
1 / 6
VFB
4
D
1
HSV
1
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Stuttgart
Stuttgart3 - 2
Draw1 - 1Draw
Stuttgart2 - 1
Stuttgart2 - 1
Stuttgart1 - 0
0 - 1Hamburg
League games at Hamburg since 2012
Hamburg
Stuttgart
Goals: Scored
14
8
Games: Scored
4 / 5
5 / 5
Clean sheets
0 / 5
1 / 5
VFB
1
D
1
HSV
3
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Hamburg
Hamburg2 - 1
Hamburg6 - 2
Hamburg3 - 1
Draw3 - 3Draw
0 - 1Stuttgart
Goal Statistics

A PG of 2.0 is decent for VfB Stuttgart in their clash with Hamburger SV, as is their run of scoring 1 goal or more in 19 consecutive Bundesliga matches.

Stuttgart 3rd Hamburg 12th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
2.0
goals
1.1
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
14%
1
28%
2
27%
3
18%
4+
14%
There is a 86% probability that Stuttgart will score 1 or more goals
0
33%
1
37%
2
20%
3
4+
There is a 70% probability that Hamburg will score no more than 1 goal
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
-10
Stuttgart’s goalscoring at home has been inline with predictions
-6
Hamburg’s goalscoring when away has been inline with predictions
1.7
average goals scored
1.3
average goals scored
1.3
conceded
1.6
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Bundesliga - 2025/2025 season
Stuttgart
PG (predicted goals)
Hamburg
2
1.1
Attack rating
36%
better
VFB
HSV
view stats
Games scored25
18
Failed to score2
9
Scored first15
10
Goals scored56
31
Avg. goals scored2.1
1.1
Avg. shots per game11
9
Avg. shots per goal6
8
Conversion rate for18
13
Avg. XG for1.8
1.3
KickOff rating
+36%
Defence rating
14%
better
VFB
HSV
view stats
Games conceded17
21
Clean sheets10
6
Conceded first11
13
Goals conceded36
40
Avg. goals conceded1.3
1.5
Avg. shots/game conceded9
11
Avg. shots/goal conceded7
7
Conversion rate against15%
14%
Avg. XG against1.5
1.8
KickOff rating
+14%

Stuttgart v Hamburg Bundesliga lLine ups will show here when available.

Stuttgart Bundesliga squad statistics 2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
271864
A NübelD UndavA StillerA Karazor
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
A Nübel GLK271
-
A Stiller MID2716
1
-
C Führich MID2645
1
-
M Mittelstädt DEF2544
3
-
A Karazor MID25
4
-
J Leweling FWD2576
4
-
R Hendriks  DEF242
2
-
N Nartey MID2332
2
-
D Undav FWD23186
4
-
J Vagnoman DEF2213
3
-
J Chabot DEF21
3
-
F. Jeltsch DEF201
3
-
T Tomás FWD2042
3
-
L Assignon  DEF19
3
1
B Khannouss MID1933
4
-
J. Andrés Baixauli MID191
2
-
E Demirovic  FWD1892
4
-
B Bouanani FWD12
1
-
L Jaquez DEF91
1
-
L. Jovanović FWD3
-
D Zagadou DEF2
-
A Al-Dakhil DEF2
1
-
P Stenzel  DEF2
2
-
L Stergiou DEF1
-
Hamburg Bundesliga squad statistics 2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
275510
D FernandesL. VuškovićF VieiraN Remberg
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
D Fernandes GLK27
3
-
R Königsdörffer FWD2742
1
-
M Muheim DEF264
6
-
N Remberg MID261
10
-
L. Vušković DEF245
5
-
R Philippe FWD235
2
-
F Vieira MID2255
3
2
W Mikelbrencis DEF214
3
-
A Lokonga MID215
2
-
G Gocholeishvili DEF202
2
1
N Capaldo  MID2011
6
-
M Dompé FWD203
-
D Elfadli DEF19
5
1
J Torunarigha DEF18
1
-
R Glatzel FWD1411
-
W Omari DEF13
-
F. Uri Baldé FWD131
1
-
Y Poulsen FWD121
4
-
B Jatta FWD111
-
A. Røssing-Lelesiit FWD111
2
1
G Ramos DEF8
-
I Pherai MID6
1
1
A. Souhmahoro DEF4
1
-
J Meffert MID4
-
E Sahiti FWD2
-