SV Werder Bremen's team badge 1. FSV Mainz 05's team badge

SV Werder Bremen v 1. FSV Mainz 05 : Bundesliga match betting preview, prediction and odds

Sun 15th Mar, 14:30 BST, Weser-Stadion, Bremen

the Weser-Stadion masses welcome 1. FSV Mainz 05's travelling contingent on Sunday afternoon, as Daniel Thioune's SV Werder Bremen go head to head with Urs Fischer's team in the Bundesliga. Our predictions for each betting market are based on the past 20 games for each team (at home, away or overall) with additional weight assigned to top teams. All the stats and infographics are tailored for the betting market in question. Head-to-head statistics between the team are also given if there is some fixture history. Odds are provided straight from from the UK's biggest bookmakers.


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Best Tip: Over 1.5 goals

KickOff's predictive algorithm suggests there is a 79% probability of W.Bremen and Mainz delivering at least 2 goals in this Bundesliga match. Recent form statistics and head-to-head (H2H) records are central to that calculation , and it would appear that the bookmakers favour that outcome too. This over 1.5 goals tip is available at 1.25.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
W.Bremen
47%
13/1013/10
Draw
24%
5/212/5
Mainz
29%
19/102/1
Draw 1-1
11%
6/15/1
W.Bremen 2-1
9%
17/27/1
W.Bremen 1-0
9%
9/17/1
W.Bremen 2-0
7%
11/19/1
Mainz 2-1
7%
10/117/2
Mainz 1-0
7%
10/117/2
Draw 2-2
6%
11/110/1
Draw 0-0
5%
12/19/1
W.Bremen 3-1
5%
16/114/1
Mainz 2-0
4%
16/112/1
W.Bremen 3-0
4%
20/116/1
W.Bremen 3-2
3%
22/118/1
Mainz 3-1
3%
20/116/1
Mainz 3-2
2%
25/120/1
W.Bremen 4-1
2%
33/125/1
Over 2.5 Goals
56%
8/113/4
Under 2.5 Goals
44%
11/1019/20
Home 1st Goal
52%
5/65/6
Away 1st Goal
45%
21/2023/20
No 1st Goal
3%
12/19/1
BTTS - Yes
58%
8/1313/20
BTTS - No
42%
6/523/20
BTTS - Home Win
24%
10/316/5
BTTS - Draw
19%
10/316/5
BTTS - Away Win
15%
4/14/1
Home/draw
71%
2/54/11
Away/draw
53%
4/73/5
Home/away
76%
2/73/10
Over 1.5 Goals
79%
2/91/4
Under 1.5 Goals
21%
10/311/4
Over 3.5 Goals
34%
7/49/5
Under 3.5 Goals
66%
4/92/5
Over 4.5 Goals
17%
4/117/4
Under 4.5 Goals
83%
1/62/15
Over 5.5 Goals
8%
9/19/1
Under 5.5 Goals
92%
1/161/25
Over 0.5 Goals
95%
1/251/25
Under 0.5 Goals
5%
12/19/1
Home DNB
64%
4/613/20
Away DNB
46%
11/1023/20
W.Bremen win to nil
23%
10/3-
Mainz win to nil
13%
9/2-
W.Bremen / W.Bremen
22%
11/45/2
W.Bremen / Mainz
3%
25/122/1
W.Bremen / Draw
7%
12/111/1
Draw / W.Bremen
14%
5/119/4
Draw / Mainz
12%
6/16/1
Draw / Draw
14%
5/117/4
Mainz / W.Bremen
4%
22/120/1
Mainz / Mainz
17%
15/418/5
Mainz / Draw
7%
12/111/1
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Win / draw / win Bundesliga table

W.Bremen have played 24 matches so far this season and are in 16th position in the league.

Performance against teams above them in the league

21 of those games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 12 games, drawn 6 and won 3. W.Bremen have conceded 41 goals, scored 19, failed to score in 10 matches and kept 4 clean sheets.

Home league performance

W.Bremen have played 12 games at home, winning 4, drawing 4 and losing 4 fixtures. They have scored 14 goals, conceded 21 goals, kept 3 clean sheets and failed to score 4 times in home league games.

Mainz lay in 14th place on 23 points in the Bundesliga league table having played 24 matches. Mainz are unbeaten in 5 games against teams below them in the league and kept 1 clean sheet out of 5 games.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 5 games against teams below them in the table, winning 2, drawing 3 and losing 0 games. They have scored 7 goals and kept 1 clean sheet against lower placed opposition. Mainz have conceded 4 goals and have failed to score in 1 match.

Away league performance

Mainz have played 12 away games, winning 2, drawing 4 and losing 6 games. They have scored an average of 1.2 goals per away game and conceded an average 2.1 goals per away game.

Won
Draw
Lost
W.Bremen
Mainz
Results by League Table
TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY HOME AWAY
1
Bayern2420316563 
l
 
0-3A
l
 
4-0A
Apr 25
d
 
2-2A
2
Dortmund2415722652 
May 16
l
 
3-0A
l
 
0-2A
l
 
4-0A
3
Hoffenheim2414461846 
l
 
0-2A
May 9
d
 
1-1A
Apr 4
4
Stuttgart2414461646 
l
 
0-4A
Apr 25
Mar 7
l
 
2-1F
5
RB Leipzig2413561344 
Apr 4
l
 
2-0A
l
 
0-1A
w
 
1-2A
6
Leverkusen2312471540 
d
 
3-3A
l
 
1-0A
l
 
3-4A
d
 
1-1F
7
E.Frankfurt24978-134 
d
 
3-3A
l
 
4-1A
Mar 22
l
 
1-0A
8
Freiburg24969-533 
l
 
0-3A
l
 
1-0A
Apr 11
l
 
4-0A
9
Augsburg249411-1131 
May 2
d
 
0-00-0
w
 
2-0F
w
 
1-4F
10
Union Berlin247710-928 
w
 
1-0F
Mar 8
May 9
d
 
2-2F
11
Hamburg23689-826 
Apr 18
l
 
3-2F
d
 
1-1F
l
 
4-0A
12
B. M'gladbach246711-1225 
d
 
1-1A
w
 
0-4F
l
 
0-1A
Apr 18
13
Köln246612-824 
d
 
1-1F
Apr 11
l
 
0-1A
l
 
2-1F
14
Mainz245811-1223 
Mar 15
d
 
1-1A
-
-
15
St. Pauli246513-1723 
w
 
1-0F
l
 
2-1A
d
 
0-00-0
May 2
16
W.Bremen245712-1922 
-
-
d
 
1-1F
Mar 15
17
Wolfsburg245514-2020 
w
 
2-1A
Mar 21
w
 
3-1A
d
 
1-1A
18
Heidenheim243516-3114 
w
 
2-0F
d
 
2-2F
w
 
2-1F
May 16
Win / draw / win form
W.Bremen 16TH
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
22
Conceded
30
Games: Scored
14 / 20
Conceded
12 / 20
Clean sheets
8 / 20
Failed to score
6 / 20
Won
7
Draw
6
Lost
7
HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
W.Bremen2 - 0Heidenheim
W.Bremen0 - 3Bayern
W.Bremen1 - 1B. M'gladbach
W.Bremen0 - 2Hoffenheim
W.Bremen3 - 3E.Frankfurt
W.Bremen0 - 4Stuttgart
W.Bremen1 - 1Köln
W.Bremen2 - 1Wolfsburg
W.Bremen1 - 0Union Berlin
W.Bremen1 - 0St. Pauli
W.Bremen0 - 3Freiburg
W.Bremen3 - 3Leverkusen
W.Bremen0 - 0RB Leipzig
W.Bremen0 - 0St. Pauli
W.Bremen1 - 0VfL Bochum
W.Bremen2 - 0E.Frankfurt
W.Bremen2 - 4B. M'gladbach
W.Bremen1 - 2Wolfsburg
W.Bremen1 - 3Hoffenheim
W.Bremen1 - 0Mainz
Goals: Scored
17
Conceded
34
Games: Scored
11 / 20
Conceded
16 / 20
Clean sheets
4 / 20
Failed to score
9 / 20
W
4
Draw
6
Lost
10
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
HW.Bremen2 - 0Heidenheim
AW.Bremen1 - 2St. Pauli
HW.Bremen0 - 3Bayern
AW.Bremen0 - 1Freiburg
HW.Bremen1 - 1B. M'gladbach
HW.Bremen0 - 2Hoffenheim
AW.Bremen0 - 1Leverkusen
HW.Bremen3 - 3E.Frankfurt
AW.Bremen0 - 3Dortmund
AW.Bremen0 - 0Augsburg
HW.Bremen0 - 4Stuttgart
AW.Bremen2 - 3Hamburg
HW.Bremen1 - 1Köln
AW.Bremen0 - 2RB Leipzig
HW.Bremen2 - 1Wolfsburg
AW.Bremen1 - 1Mainz
HW.Bremen1 - 0Union Berlin
AW.Bremen2 - 2Heidenheim
HW.Bremen1 - 0St. Pauli
AW.Bremen0 - 4Bayern
Mainz 14TH
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
26
Conceded
37
Games: Scored
13 / 20
Conceded
19 / 20
Clean sheets
1 / 20
Failed to score
7 / 20
Won
6
D
4
Lost
10
AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Leverkusen1 - 1Mainz
Dortmund4 - 0Mainz
RB Leipzig1 - 2Mainz
Köln2 - 1Mainz
Union Berlin2 - 2Mainz
Bayern2 - 2Mainz
Freiburg4 - 0Mainz
E.Frankfurt1 - 0Mainz
Stuttgart2 - 1Mainz
Hamburg4 - 0Mainz
Augsburg1 - 4Mainz
Wolfsburg1 - 1Mainz
VfL Bochum1 - 4Mainz
Bayern3 - 0Mainz
Hoffenheim2 - 0Mainz
Dortmund3 - 1Mainz
B. M'gladbach1 - 3Mainz
RB Leipzig1 - 2Mainz
Heidenheim0 - 2Mainz
W.Bremen1 - 0Mainz
Goals: Scored
22
Conceded
35
Games: Scored
13 / 20
Conceded
18 / 20
Clean sheets
2 / 20
Failed to score
7 / 20
W
4
Draw
7
Lost
9
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
AMainz1 - 1Leverkusen
HMainz1 - 1Hamburg
AMainz0 - 4Dortmund
HMainz2 - 0Augsburg
AMainz2 - 1RB Leipzig
HMainz3 - 1Wolfsburg
AMainz1 - 2Köln
HMainz2 - 1Heidenheim
AMainz2 - 2Union Berlin
HMainz0 - 0St. Pauli
AMainz2 - 2Bayern
HMainz0 - 1B. M'gladbach
AMainz0 - 4Freiburg
HMainz1 - 1Hoffenheim
AMainz0 - 1E.Frankfurt
HMainz1 - 1W.Bremen
AMainz1 - 2Stuttgart
HMainz3 - 4Leverkusen
AMainz0 - 4Hamburg
HMainz0 - 2Dortmund
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
6
W.Bremen have not lost to Mainz in 6 consecutive league meetings
League games at W.Bremen since 2012
W.Bremen
Mainz
Goals: Scored
16
18
Games: Scored
8 / 12
9 / 12
Clean sheets
3 / 12
4 / 12
SVW
4
D
3
M05
5
FIXTURE HISTORY AT W.Bremen
W.Bremen1 - 0
W.Bremen4 - 0
0 - 2Mainz
0 - 1Mainz
0 - 5Mainz
W.Bremen3 - 1
Draw2 - 2Draw
1 - 2Mainz
Draw1 - 1Draw
Draw0 - 0Draw
2 - 3Mainz
W.Bremen2 - 1
League games at Mainz since 2013
Mainz
W.Bremen
Goals: Scored
15
17
Games: Scored
9 / 12
11 / 12
Clean sheets
1 / 12
3 / 12
SVW
6
D
3
M05
3
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Mainz
Draw1 - 1Draw
1 - 2W.Bremen
0 - 1W.Bremen
Draw2 - 2Draw
0 - 1W.Bremen
Mainz3 - 1
Mainz2 - 1
1 - 2W.Bremen
0 - 2W.Bremen
1 - 3W.Bremen
Mainz3 - 0
Draw1 - 1Draw
Goal Statistics
W.Bremen 16th Mainz 14th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.7
goals
1.3
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
19%
1
31%
2
26%
3
15%
4+
9%
There is a 81% probability that W.Bremen will score 1 or more goals
0
28%
1
36%
2
23%
3
9%
4+
There is a 64% probability that Mainz will score no more than 1 goal
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
-31
W.Bremen have scored 31% fewer goals at home than predicted
-6
Mainz’s goalscoring when away has been inline with predictions
1.1
average goals scored
1.3
average goals scored
1.5
conceded
1.9
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Bundesliga - 2025/2025 season
W.Bremen
PG (predicted goals)
Mainz
1.7
1.3
Attack rating
SVW
M05
11%
better
view stats
Games scored14
15
Failed to score10
9
Scored first7
9
Goals scored25
27
Avg. goals scored1
1.1
Avg. shots per game9
8
Avg. shots per goal9
7
Conversion rate for11
14
Avg. XG for1.3
1.5
KickOff rating
+11%
Defence rating
4%
better
SVW
M05
view stats
Games conceded19
22
Clean sheets5
2
Conceded first16
14
Goals conceded44
39
Avg. goals conceded1.8
1.6
Avg. shots/game conceded10
11
Avg. shots/goal conceded6
7
Conversion rate against18%
15%
Avg. XG against1.5
1.7
KickOff rating
+4%

W.Bremen v Mainz Bundesliga lLine ups will show here when available.

W.Bremen Bundesliga squad statistics 2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
24667
R SchmidJ StageR SchmidM Friedl
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
R Schmid MID2426
4
-
M Grüll FWD2421
4
-
S Lynen MID23
4
-
J Njinmah FWD234
1
-
M Backhaus GLK22
-
M Friedl DEF221
7
-
Y Sugawara DEF224
1
-
J Stage MID2261
4
-
A. Coulibaly DEF211
4
1
S. Mbangula FWD2032
-
C Puertas MID19
4
-
K Topp FWD1811
3
-
I Schmidt DEF141
2
-
A Pieper DEF12
3
-
P. Čović MID11
1
-
V Boniface FWD112
1
-
N Stark DEF10
5
2
L Bittencourt MID10
2
-
J Malatini DEF9
2
-
F Agu DEF8
1
-
O Deman DEF61
2
-
K Hein GLK2
-
S Alvero MID2
-
I Hansen-Aaroen MID1
-
Mainz Bundesliga squad statistics 2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
241039
K SanoN AmiriB HollerbachD Kohr
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
D Costa DEF2412
3
-
K Sano MID2411
1
-
J Lee MID2222
2
-
P Nebel MID2011
2
2
N Amiri MID20102
6
-
P Mwene DEF19
3
-
D Kohr DEF191
7
2
S Widmer  DEF182
5
-
D Hoof DEF1821
4
-
L Maloney MID15
1
-
N Weiper FWD15
1
-
A Sieb FWD152
1
-
N Veratschnig MID141
2
-
B Hollerbach FWD1413
-
A Hanche-Olsen  DEF131
3
-
A Nordin FWD13
-
D Batz GLK12
1
-
R Zentner GLK9
2
1
S Kawasaki MID6
1
-
W Bøving FWD61
1
-
L Rieß GLK4
-
A Caci DEF4
1
-
M Leitsch  DEF3
-
B Bobzien FWD1
-